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NOVEL APPROACH TO MANAGING 
FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AT THE 
RIVER BASIN SCALE IN THE 
DEVELOPING WORLD 
Pavelic P.*, Amarnath G., Brindha K., 
Hanjra M., Malik R.S., Reddy V.R., 
Sharma B.R., Smakhtin V. and L. 
Surinaidu 
* International Water Management Institute 
Vientiane, Lao PDR 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
Distributed 
upstream recharge 
of excess floodwater 
to groundwater 
Urban: protection of infrastructure / assets / lives / livelihoods 
Rural: better access to groundwater & increased agricultural production 
and livelihood improvement 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Regular 
harmful floods 
Groundwater 
withdrawal to 
boost irrigation 
BENEFITS:
SOLVING MULTIPLE PROBLEMS WITH ONE SOLUTION… 
Upstream Downstream 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Rural 
Farmers 
Surface Water 
Urban Flood 
Managers 
Opportunities 
Impacts 
Groundwater
GENERAL TYPES OF FLOODING 
1. Monsoonal floods 
2. Flash floods 
3. Coastal / estuarine – 
storm surges + tides 
Source: GoWvat toefr B faonr gala fdoeosdh-,s ecure world 
Dept of Disaster Management 
www.iwmi.org
PORTFOLIO OF FLOOD MANAGEMENT OPTIONS 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Cost-Benefit-Ratio 
Robustness to Uncertainties 
Structural 
Non-Structural 
Source: Jha et al, (2011) 
adapted 
from Ranger and 
Garbett-Shiels (2011)
ISSUES WITH EXISTING APROACHES 
• Expensive if large surface storages are proposed 
• Can result in lost opportunities through inefficient 
use of water 
• Largely neglects a ubiquitous and vast storage 
below ground 
• Interventions may not target the poorest members 
of the community 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
REDUCING THE FLOOD RISK 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Investment 
Effectiveness 
Acceptable risk level 
UTFI 
Levee 
Storages 
Diversions 
Early warning 
Reseroir 
Opn.
RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGE 
“ How to simultaneously reduce or 
solve the flooding problems of low-lying 
cities and towns and overcome 
water scarcity in the dry season? ” 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
FROM IDEA TO MAINSTREAM PRACTICE 
Prefeasibility analyses 
Identification of concept (UTFI) 
Desk 
-top 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
New 
Idea 
Promoting & 
Upscaling 
Testing & 
learning 
Concept-ualization 
Understanding of tradeoffs, 
opportunities and constraints 
Technical & non-technical proof of 
concept 
Piloting 
Investments from governments, 
donors and other investors 
Strategy development & knowledge 
dissemination to next-users 
Scaling Up 
SCALE STAGE ACTIVITY
TYPES OF RISKS & ISSUES 
TECHNICAL RISKS SOCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL RISKS 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
- poor system 
design/construction 
and/or site selection 
- low recharge 
performance 
- new upstream 
developments 
- insufficient incentive for land conversion 
- cumbersome or overly-complex 
governance models 
- poor or inadequate participation of 
farmers/famers organizations 
- unclear operational rules 
ECONOMIC RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS 
- high investments or 
opportunity costs 
- high maintenance/ 
operational costs 
- polluted floodwater enters aquifers 
- waterlogging due to aquifer over-filling 
- negative impacts downstream due to 
interventions
WHERE ARE WE WORKING? 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Catastrophic 
Floods in Asia: 
1900 – 2011 
Focal areas
IDENTIFYING UTFI HOTSPOTS 
• >60% of inner GB potentially suitable 
• Prospects in others basins being explored 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
SYSTEM DESIGN 
+ + + 
+ + 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Data unavailable 
rice paddies 
sand mines 
canals 
recharge 
structure 
well 
irrigation 
city 
+ 
+ 
+ 
+ 
+ 
+ 
+ 
flood 
prone 
sea 
+ 
dam 
diversion
IMPROVING IRRIGATION COMMAND AREAS 
PERFORMANCE VIA REOPERATIONALIZATION 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Source: IWMI Water Policy Briefing No.1
HYDROLOGICAL MODELLING 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Data unavailable
INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS AND COST-BENEFIT 
SHARING 
What are the governance arrangements and incentives 
needed for farmers and flood managers to work 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org 
Implementation 
Approaches 
MARKET 
BASED 
NON-MARKET 
BASED 
towards common goals ? 
• How will upstream be co-opted 
to partake for benefit 
of the downstream ? 
• How will the downstream 
mobilize resources to support 
upstream engagement?
CONCLUSIONS 
• Efforts are underway to establish the first-ever 
demonstration of the technical and non-technical 
performance of UTFI 
• Knowledge on the technical performance, and the social 
and institutional arrangements needed to make UTFI 
work over the long term and benefits that arise from 
investments 
• Credible evidence translated into business models, 
guidelines and investment strategies that will be 
communicated to next-users including responsible 
governments agencies, international organizations, 
private industry and donors leading to implementation 
and upscale the Water technology 
for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org
THANKYOU 
and now…. 
Water for a food-secure world 
www.iwmi.org

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Pavelic DavosIDRC UTFI_250814

  • 1. NOVEL APPROACH TO MANAGING FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AT THE RIVER BASIN SCALE IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD Pavelic P.*, Amarnath G., Brindha K., Hanjra M., Malik R.S., Reddy V.R., Sharma B.R., Smakhtin V. and L. Surinaidu * International Water Management Institute Vientiane, Lao PDR Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 2. Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 3. Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 4. Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 5. Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 6. Distributed upstream recharge of excess floodwater to groundwater Urban: protection of infrastructure / assets / lives / livelihoods Rural: better access to groundwater & increased agricultural production and livelihood improvement Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Regular harmful floods Groundwater withdrawal to boost irrigation BENEFITS:
  • 7. SOLVING MULTIPLE PROBLEMS WITH ONE SOLUTION… Upstream Downstream Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Rural Farmers Surface Water Urban Flood Managers Opportunities Impacts Groundwater
  • 8. GENERAL TYPES OF FLOODING 1. Monsoonal floods 2. Flash floods 3. Coastal / estuarine – storm surges + tides Source: GoWvat toefr B faonr gala fdoeosdh-,s ecure world Dept of Disaster Management www.iwmi.org
  • 9. PORTFOLIO OF FLOOD MANAGEMENT OPTIONS Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Cost-Benefit-Ratio Robustness to Uncertainties Structural Non-Structural Source: Jha et al, (2011) adapted from Ranger and Garbett-Shiels (2011)
  • 10. ISSUES WITH EXISTING APROACHES • Expensive if large surface storages are proposed • Can result in lost opportunities through inefficient use of water • Largely neglects a ubiquitous and vast storage below ground • Interventions may not target the poorest members of the community Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 11. REDUCING THE FLOOD RISK Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Investment Effectiveness Acceptable risk level UTFI Levee Storages Diversions Early warning Reseroir Opn.
  • 12. RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGE “ How to simultaneously reduce or solve the flooding problems of low-lying cities and towns and overcome water scarcity in the dry season? ” Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 13. FROM IDEA TO MAINSTREAM PRACTICE Prefeasibility analyses Identification of concept (UTFI) Desk -top Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org New Idea Promoting & Upscaling Testing & learning Concept-ualization Understanding of tradeoffs, opportunities and constraints Technical & non-technical proof of concept Piloting Investments from governments, donors and other investors Strategy development & knowledge dissemination to next-users Scaling Up SCALE STAGE ACTIVITY
  • 14. TYPES OF RISKS & ISSUES TECHNICAL RISKS SOCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL RISKS Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org - poor system design/construction and/or site selection - low recharge performance - new upstream developments - insufficient incentive for land conversion - cumbersome or overly-complex governance models - poor or inadequate participation of farmers/famers organizations - unclear operational rules ECONOMIC RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS - high investments or opportunity costs - high maintenance/ operational costs - polluted floodwater enters aquifers - waterlogging due to aquifer over-filling - negative impacts downstream due to interventions
  • 15. WHERE ARE WE WORKING? Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Catastrophic Floods in Asia: 1900 – 2011 Focal areas
  • 16. IDENTIFYING UTFI HOTSPOTS • >60% of inner GB potentially suitable • Prospects in others basins being explored Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 17. SYSTEM DESIGN + + + + + Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Data unavailable rice paddies sand mines canals recharge structure well irrigation city + + + + + + + flood prone sea + dam diversion
  • 18. IMPROVING IRRIGATION COMMAND AREAS PERFORMANCE VIA REOPERATIONALIZATION Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Source: IWMI Water Policy Briefing No.1
  • 19. HYDROLOGICAL MODELLING Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Data unavailable
  • 20. INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS AND COST-BENEFIT SHARING What are the governance arrangements and incentives needed for farmers and flood managers to work Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org Implementation Approaches MARKET BASED NON-MARKET BASED towards common goals ? • How will upstream be co-opted to partake for benefit of the downstream ? • How will the downstream mobilize resources to support upstream engagement?
  • 21. CONCLUSIONS • Efforts are underway to establish the first-ever demonstration of the technical and non-technical performance of UTFI • Knowledge on the technical performance, and the social and institutional arrangements needed to make UTFI work over the long term and benefits that arise from investments • Credible evidence translated into business models, guidelines and investment strategies that will be communicated to next-users including responsible governments agencies, international organizations, private industry and donors leading to implementation and upscale the Water technology for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 22. THANKYOU and now…. Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org

Editor's Notes

  1. * THERE IS ROOM FOR INNOVATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES
  2. Floods differ in terms of their location, timing, intensity, duration. Further, floods can have highly positive or highly negative impact – the classic ‘good’ and ‘bad’ floods.
  3. * PLANNERS & DECISION MAKERS NORMALLY TURN TO ONE OR MORE OF THE SUITE OF APPROACHES SHOWN HERE TO ADDRESS FLOODS * THEY CAN BE STRUCTURAL (MEANING THEY CHANGE THE PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT IN SOME WAY) OR THEY CAN BE NON-STRUCTURAL (LESS TANGEABLE SUCH AS SOFTWARE SUPPORT ETC). NOTE THAT EACH CIRCLE ON THE PLOT COULD HAVE MANY DIFFERENT SUB-OPTIONS * AND THE CONSIDERATIONS, WHEN MADE ON RATIONAL GROUNDS, STEM AROUND THEIR COST-EFFECTIVENESS AND THEIR UTILITY/ROBUSTNESS * BUT IS THIS SUFFICIENT?
  4. IF WE ARE TALKING ABOUT LARGE STORAGES WE ARE TALKING OF LIMITED NUMBER OF SITES WHERE THIS IS VIABLE, AND A VERY EXPENSIVE SOLUTION THIS COST CAN BE IN PURELY ECONOMIC TERMS OR IN TERMS OF SOCIAL COST THROUGH DISPLACEMENT OF VILLAGES WHO ARE DIRECTLY AFFECTED OR HAVE LARGE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPLICATIONS (EG. PROPOSED HOUAY SAMONG DAM NEAR KAO YAI) * THE OPPORTUNITY COST IS HIGH SINCE THE WATER WHICH IS PROBLEMATIC IN THE WETSEASON IS OFTEN VERY MUCH NEEDED JUST A FEW MONTHS LATER IN THE DRY SEASON * THE LARGEST RESERVES OF FRESH WATER ARE BELOW OUR FEET. THIS MEANS THERE ARE LARGE RESERVOIRS WHICH COULD BE FILLED, OR EVEN EMPTIED AND REFILLED. * CLEARLY THE APPROACHES CHOSEN MAY NOT TARGET THE POORST AND MOST NEEDY MEMBERS OF THE COMMUNITY
  5. THE COASTAL BELT OF ASIA ARE WHERE THE GREATEST HUMAN AND ECONOMIC EFFECTS ARE FELT SO ON ONE LEVEL WE WORK ACROSS THUS VAST REGION ON ANOTHER LEVEL WE NEED TO DO MORE DETIALED WORK TO PROVIE THE KIND OF EVIDENCE NEEDED TO CONVINCE DECISION MAKERS/INVESTORS. ONE SITE IN SA AND SEA IS PROPOSED. NATURALLY WE WANT THE SEA SITE TO BE A SUB-BASIN OF THE CHAOPHRAYA
  6. ONE OF OUR FOCAL AREAS IS IN THE GANGES BASIN. BUT THE BASIN IS VAST – COVERS 3 COUNTRIES AND HOUSES >200m PEOPLE. WHERE IS THE EFFORT MOST NEEDED? WE DEVELOPED A METHOS FOR ANALYSING SUITABILITY TAKING INTO ACCOUT OF FLOOD, RECHARGE, STORAGE, REUSE
  7. Participation is the key – no single party can do it alone… Working together to share the costs and the benefits. But How?