5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
Pavelic DavosIDRC UTFI_250814
1. NOVEL APPROACH TO MANAGING
FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AT THE
RIVER BASIN SCALE IN THE
DEVELOPING WORLD
Pavelic P.*, Amarnath G., Brindha K.,
Hanjra M., Malik R.S., Reddy V.R.,
Sharma B.R., Smakhtin V. and L.
Surinaidu
* International Water Management Institute
Vientiane, Lao PDR
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
6. Distributed
upstream recharge
of excess floodwater
to groundwater
Urban: protection of infrastructure / assets / lives / livelihoods
Rural: better access to groundwater & increased agricultural production
and livelihood improvement
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
Regular
harmful floods
Groundwater
withdrawal to
boost irrigation
BENEFITS:
7. SOLVING MULTIPLE PROBLEMS WITH ONE SOLUTION…
Upstream Downstream
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
Rural
Farmers
Surface Water
Urban Flood
Managers
Opportunities
Impacts
Groundwater
8. GENERAL TYPES OF FLOODING
1. Monsoonal floods
2. Flash floods
3. Coastal / estuarine –
storm surges + tides
Source: GoWvat toefr B faonr gala fdoeosdh-,s ecure world
Dept of Disaster Management
www.iwmi.org
9. PORTFOLIO OF FLOOD MANAGEMENT OPTIONS
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
Cost-Benefit-Ratio
Robustness to Uncertainties
Structural
Non-Structural
Source: Jha et al, (2011)
adapted
from Ranger and
Garbett-Shiels (2011)
10. ISSUES WITH EXISTING APROACHES
• Expensive if large surface storages are proposed
• Can result in lost opportunities through inefficient
use of water
• Largely neglects a ubiquitous and vast storage
below ground
• Interventions may not target the poorest members
of the community
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
11. REDUCING THE FLOOD RISK
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
Investment
Effectiveness
Acceptable risk level
UTFI
Levee
Storages
Diversions
Early warning
Reseroir
Opn.
12. RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGE
“ How to simultaneously reduce or
solve the flooding problems of low-lying
cities and towns and overcome
water scarcity in the dry season? ”
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
13. FROM IDEA TO MAINSTREAM PRACTICE
Prefeasibility analyses
Identification of concept (UTFI)
Desk
-top
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
New
Idea
Promoting &
Upscaling
Testing &
learning
Concept-ualization
Understanding of tradeoffs,
opportunities and constraints
Technical & non-technical proof of
concept
Piloting
Investments from governments,
donors and other investors
Strategy development & knowledge
dissemination to next-users
Scaling Up
SCALE STAGE ACTIVITY
14. TYPES OF RISKS & ISSUES
TECHNICAL RISKS SOCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL RISKS
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
- poor system
design/construction
and/or site selection
- low recharge
performance
- new upstream
developments
- insufficient incentive for land conversion
- cumbersome or overly-complex
governance models
- poor or inadequate participation of
farmers/famers organizations
- unclear operational rules
ECONOMIC RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS
- high investments or
opportunity costs
- high maintenance/
operational costs
- polluted floodwater enters aquifers
- waterlogging due to aquifer over-filling
- negative impacts downstream due to
interventions
15. WHERE ARE WE WORKING?
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
Catastrophic
Floods in Asia:
1900 – 2011
Focal areas
16. IDENTIFYING UTFI HOTSPOTS
• >60% of inner GB potentially suitable
• Prospects in others basins being explored
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
17. SYSTEM DESIGN
+ + +
+ +
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
Data unavailable
rice paddies
sand mines
canals
recharge
structure
well
irrigation
city
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
flood
prone
sea
+
dam
diversion
18. IMPROVING IRRIGATION COMMAND AREAS
PERFORMANCE VIA REOPERATIONALIZATION
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
Source: IWMI Water Policy Briefing No.1
20. INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS AND COST-BENEFIT
SHARING
What are the governance arrangements and incentives
needed for farmers and flood managers to work
Water for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
Implementation
Approaches
MARKET
BASED
NON-MARKET
BASED
towards common goals ?
• How will upstream be co-opted
to partake for benefit
of the downstream ?
• How will the downstream
mobilize resources to support
upstream engagement?
21. CONCLUSIONS
• Efforts are underway to establish the first-ever
demonstration of the technical and non-technical
performance of UTFI
• Knowledge on the technical performance, and the social
and institutional arrangements needed to make UTFI
work over the long term and benefits that arise from
investments
• Credible evidence translated into business models,
guidelines and investment strategies that will be
communicated to next-users including responsible
governments agencies, international organizations,
private industry and donors leading to implementation
and upscale the Water technology
for a food-secure world
www.iwmi.org
* THERE IS ROOM FOR INNOVATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES
Floods differ in terms of their location, timing, intensity, duration. Further, floods can have highly positive or highly negative impact – the classic ‘good’ and ‘bad’ floods.
* PLANNERS & DECISION MAKERS NORMALLY TURN TO ONE OR MORE OF THE SUITE OF APPROACHES SHOWN HERE TO ADDRESS FLOODS
* THEY CAN BE STRUCTURAL (MEANING THEY CHANGE THE PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT IN SOME WAY) OR THEY CAN BE NON-STRUCTURAL (LESS TANGEABLE SUCH AS SOFTWARE SUPPORT ETC). NOTE THAT EACH CIRCLE ON THE PLOT COULD HAVE MANY DIFFERENT SUB-OPTIONS
* AND THE CONSIDERATIONS, WHEN MADE ON RATIONAL GROUNDS, STEM AROUND THEIR COST-EFFECTIVENESS AND THEIR UTILITY/ROBUSTNESS
* BUT IS THIS SUFFICIENT?
IF WE ARE TALKING ABOUT LARGE STORAGES WE ARE TALKING OF LIMITED NUMBER OF SITES WHERE THIS IS VIABLE, AND A VERY EXPENSIVE SOLUTION
THIS COST CAN BE IN PURELY ECONOMIC TERMS OR IN TERMS OF SOCIAL COST THROUGH DISPLACEMENT OF VILLAGES WHO ARE DIRECTLY AFFECTED OR HAVE LARGE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPLICATIONS (EG. PROPOSED HOUAY SAMONG DAM NEAR KAO YAI)
* THE OPPORTUNITY COST IS HIGH SINCE THE WATER WHICH IS PROBLEMATIC IN THE WETSEASON IS OFTEN VERY MUCH NEEDED JUST A FEW MONTHS LATER IN THE DRY SEASON
* THE LARGEST RESERVES OF FRESH WATER ARE BELOW OUR FEET. THIS MEANS THERE ARE LARGE RESERVOIRS WHICH COULD BE FILLED, OR EVEN EMPTIED AND REFILLED.
* CLEARLY THE APPROACHES CHOSEN MAY NOT TARGET THE POORST AND MOST NEEDY MEMBERS OF THE COMMUNITY
THE COASTAL BELT OF ASIA ARE WHERE THE GREATEST HUMAN AND ECONOMIC EFFECTS ARE FELT SO ON ONE LEVEL WE WORK ACROSS THUS VAST REGION
ON ANOTHER LEVEL WE NEED TO DO MORE DETIALED WORK TO PROVIE THE KIND OF EVIDENCE NEEDED TO CONVINCE DECISION MAKERS/INVESTORS. ONE SITE IN SA AND SEA IS PROPOSED. NATURALLY WE WANT THE SEA SITE TO BE A SUB-BASIN OF THE CHAOPHRAYA
ONE OF OUR FOCAL AREAS IS IN THE GANGES BASIN. BUT THE BASIN IS VAST – COVERS 3 COUNTRIES AND HOUSES >200m PEOPLE. WHERE IS THE EFFORT MOST NEEDED?
WE DEVELOPED A METHOS FOR ANALYSING SUITABILITY TAKING INTO ACCOUT OF FLOOD, RECHARGE, STORAGE, REUSE
Participation is the key – no single party can do it alone…
Working together to share the costs and the benefits. But How?