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Systematic reviews and randomised trials:  influencing public policy 2 April 2008 Professor Mike Clarke UK Cochrane Centre Clinical Trial Service Unit, University of Oxford School of Nursing and Midwifery, Trinity College Dublin
Evidence Based Health Care ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
Answering these questions with ... ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example
Sub-arachnoid haemorrhage ,[object Object]
International  Sub-arachnoid haemorrhage trial ISAT
ISAT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Death
ISAT ,[object Object],24% Endovascular 31% Neurosurgery
Endovascular coiling ,[object Object],75-85% 2007 ~0% 1990
Treatments for stroke: from  suggestion  through  randomised trials  to  routine clinical practice 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Coiling ruptured aneurysms Cholesterol    - 2 0  prevention BP    - acute stroke BP    - 2 0  prevention Thrombolysis - acute stroke Warfarin in SR - 2 0  prevention Warfarin in AF - 2 0  prevention Heparin - acute stroke Neuroprotection - acute stroke Aspirin - acute stroke Thienopyridines - 2 0  prevention Dipyridamole + asp - 2 0  prevention Aspirin - 2 0  prevention Carotid angioplasty Carotid endarterectomy
Example
Pregnancy ,[object Object]
MidU Study
MidU ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MidU Results ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
Systematic reviews
What is a systematic review? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why do we need systematic reviews? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overwhelming amount of healthcare literature
[object Object],[object Object]
health
 
 
Example
Early (operable) breast cancer ,[object Object]
Early Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group (EBCTCG) Overview  Tamoxifen versus  no immediate tamoxifen ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tamoxifen vs no tamoxifen, 1998
Avoiding undue emphasis on individual trials
How sure are we about this treatment?
How sure are we about this treatment?
Tamoxifen for 5 years (ER+), 2005 Breast cancer death Recurrence
Tamoxifen versus  no immediate tamoxifen ,[object Object],38% 18% Tamoxifen (5 years) 50% 25%
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
What resources are available to help?
 
Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews Issue 1, 2008 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Cochrane Library Regional subscriptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Cochrane Systematic Reviews
Cochrane Systematic Reviews ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications for Practice (2006) 84 (3%) Only use in research 1409 (50%) Uncertain 206 (7%) Intervention doesn’t work 1305 (47%) Intervention works 2801 All Cochrane reviews
Implications for Research (2005) 82 (3%) No more research 1315 (52%) Types of outcome 765 (30%) Types of participant 2079 (82%) Types of intervention 2535 All Cochrane reviews
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
National Institute for Health Research Estimate of costs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Use of Cochrane reviews in UK guidelines and policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Influencing public policy: You are important ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some web addresses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some web addresses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Systematic reviews and randomised trials: influencing public policy

  • 1. Systematic reviews and randomised trials: influencing public policy 2 April 2008 Professor Mike Clarke UK Cochrane Centre Clinical Trial Service Unit, University of Oxford School of Nursing and Midwifery, Trinity College Dublin
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 6.
  • 7. International Sub-arachnoid haemorrhage trial ISAT
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Death
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Treatments for stroke: from suggestion through randomised trials to routine clinical practice 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Coiling ruptured aneurysms Cholesterol  - 2 0 prevention BP  - acute stroke BP  - 2 0 prevention Thrombolysis - acute stroke Warfarin in SR - 2 0 prevention Warfarin in AF - 2 0 prevention Heparin - acute stroke Neuroprotection - acute stroke Aspirin - acute stroke Thienopyridines - 2 0 prevention Dipyridamole + asp - 2 0 prevention Aspirin - 2 0 prevention Carotid angioplasty Carotid endarterectomy
  • 18.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. Overwhelming amount of healthcare literature
  • 32.
  • 34.  
  • 35.  
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Tamoxifen vs no tamoxifen, 1998
  • 40. Avoiding undue emphasis on individual trials
  • 41. How sure are we about this treatment?
  • 42. How sure are we about this treatment?
  • 43. Tamoxifen for 5 years (ER+), 2005 Breast cancer death Recurrence
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.  
  • 47.  
  • 48. What resources are available to help?
  • 49.  
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. Implications for Practice (2006) 84 (3%) Only use in research 1409 (50%) Uncertain 206 (7%) Intervention doesn’t work 1305 (47%) Intervention works 2801 All Cochrane reviews
  • 55. Implications for Research (2005) 82 (3%) No more research 1315 (52%) Types of outcome 765 (30%) Types of participant 2079 (82%) Types of intervention 2535 All Cochrane reviews
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65.