Navigating Risk and Resilience IIMM - Philippines by Hugh Blake-Manson
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IIMM Information Session - Water Sector Reforms, Asset Management and the IIMM. What you need to know!
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Navigating Risk and Resilience IIMM - Philippines by Hugh Blake-Manson
- 1. Navigating Risk and Resilience IIMM - Philippines HUGH BLAKE-MANSON INFRASTRUCTURE ADVISOR, WAUGH INFRASTRUCTURE
- 2. Outline • Overview and Definitions • IIMM– Providing Guidance • A Relatable Example – Climate Change and the Philippines
- 3. Risk and Resilience – Defined? • Risk “ the effect of uncertainty on objectives….events which may compromise the delivery of the organisation’s strategic objective” • Resilience “the concept… is wider than natural disasters and covers the capacity of public, private and civic sectors to withstand disruption, absorb disturbance, act effectively in a crisis, adapt to changing conditions, including climate change….”
- 4. Where do we look in the IIMM? • s1 – Asset Management Maturity • s1.6.2 • s3 Lifecycle Management • s3.2 – Managing Risk And Resilience • s3.2.4 – Asset Level Criticality and • Risk Analysis
- 5. Risk and Resilience – The Philippines • Challenges • growth, climate change, levels of service • Risks • tsunamis, flooding, volcanoes, landslides, droughts • Resilience • natural hazard resilience (including pandemics) to enable infrastructure to function through and beyond these events Team delivered a NAMP and x3 Pilot AAMPS, supported by a Maturity Assessment Questionnaire Source:https://floodlist.com/asia/philippines-floods-typhoon-infa-july-2021
- 6. The Philippines Natural Hazard Profile Source: UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs ; OCHA Philippines, 2017
- 7. Managing Risk and Resilience in Practice The natural hazard risk assessment and planning process has the following connected phases: A to D What, Where, When Exposure,fragility, value benefits Naturaland manmade infrastructure
- 8. Options for Dealing with Natural Hazard Risks Source: Hugh Cowan
- 9. Risk Prioritisation Process Source : World Bank & South African Treasury
- 10. Conclusion • Infrastructure Risk and Resilience - using criticality • There are real events both natural and inside your organisation to consider (Phillipines) • S3 Lifecycle Management provides guidance. Climate change guidance is evolving • Address R/R through the AM Maturity Process. Consider developing your own Infrastructure Resilience and Response Plans
Editor's Notes
- Hello and thankyou for taking part today. I'm Hugh Blake-Manson, and work for Waugh Infrastructure Management Ltd as an Infrastructure Advisor. Over the past 25 years or so, I've focused on 3 waters asset management, in what I like to refer to as its three legs – strategy (as a 5Waters Asset Manager with Council), delivery including operations and maintenance of reticulation, treatment and data and now as a consultant providing on the ground strategic and operational advice. NEXT SLIDE
- We will take a relatively rapid look at risk, resilience, how the double I double M provides the basis for consistent asset management and look at the Phillipines as an example case. Our infrastructure was never built to be infallible (even if we tend to forget this reality). Rather, it has been built with return periods of extremes in mind – a once in x year probability that a given event (flood, drought, hurricane, wildfire etc.) will occur. We have treated these extremes with certainties. As climate change reduces the predictability including the range of extremes – our infrastructures weaknesses are revealed. Lets look at what risk and resilience are. NEXT SLIDE
- The IIMM provides the following definitions of risk and resilience. I’ve adapted them somewhat for this discussion. Risk – via risk management practices excapsulates all of your organisations issues and challenges. Resilience and its management can be consider an outcome of a risk management process. Resilience appreciates how, where and why water infrastructure has the potential to be found wanting. In anticipating failure, resilience looks beyond impacts toward the recovery phase where we start getting things running again. It applies a human trait to inorganic systems. An alternative view on resilince (where I quote Paul Brown) is that reslience is “based on the humility and wisdom to provide for survival and rapid recovery, instead of bold promises of protection that may be unattainable”. Essentially, building water resilience means creating, supporting, and expanding the capacity of communities to respond to the impacts of extreme events. NEXT SLIDE
- There are a number of double I double M sections that are immediately relevant to addresssing water risk and resilience – and for that matter any other infrastructures risk-resilience issues. The risk management process in the IIMM is aligned to the international risk management standard ISO 31000 and takes you through the steps of Identifying, Assessing, Evaluating, Treating and Monitoring risks. Resilient infrastructure, which can absorb and adapt to disruptive events and rapidly recover, should be an outcome of good risk management processes. There are frameworks described in this section including criticality, that can be used to further assess and improve the resilience of your organisation itself as well as its physical infrastructure networks. Climate change mitigation and adaptation for infrastructure is the focus of the latter part of Section 3.2 NEXT SLIDE NB adapted from the IIMM Section 3 Summary
- I will now turn to the case study. Engaged as part of team by the World Bank, we have recently delivered their first National Asset Management Plan and three Pilot Agency Asset Management Plans – Health, Transport and Education. Given the Phillipines geographic location, water is a constant underlying theme running through these plans. The double I double M and digital badges were a cornerstone in delivering this work – providing Phillipines agency champions with a practice framework on which to own and develop their plans. The Philippines ranks 9th in terms of disaster risk among other countries in the world. Developing a framework for resilience, risk management and planning is helping them to identify the potential impacts of the highest risks and make better decisions on actions to mitigate those risks. The process is anticipated to help reduce the Philippine Government’s exposure to the risks of damage and destruction of assets and facilities, and ability to maintain service delivery during disaster events; and the coping capacities, including financial, of Governmental and other organizations. NEXT SLIDE Refer World Risk Report 2020. Focus: Forced Displacement and Migration. Retrieved from: https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/WorldRiskReport-2020.pdf
- The natural hazard profile describes the siginficant water and tectonic based risks the Phillipines has, spread over a significant area and population exceeding 110 million. NEXT SLIDE
- As part of the AMP development, the agency plans applied the following stepwise approach to natural hazard risk and resilience management. NEXT SLIDE
- When dealing with natural hazards the following considerations shoudl be covered: -Asset criticality is a key input -Treat the different magnitudes of risks differently -Infrastructure responses should include: Avoidance -> relocate/retreat Control -> reduce the impact Transfer -> Physical, financial or contractual adaptation Acceptance -> focus on response ‘when’ something happens NEXT SLIDE
- Infrastructure fragility is a function of the ability of the asset to cope with natural events. The fragility consists of two components: 1) The design standard (e.g. flood return period of drainage structures) and 2) The condition of the infrastructure (e.g. old and deteriorated infrastructure is more prone to storm damage). The Philippine Government follows the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR). According to this framework, addressing natural disaster risks should be prioritized with community protection among the primary objectives. The Philippine Government has made progress on the four priorities of the Sendai Framework and has key challenges to progress, particularly applying key global frameworks in a coherent manner at country level and strengthening Disaster Risk Management (DRM) governance from three pilot Agencies (DOH, DPWH, DepED) to the Barangay-level. NEXT SLIDE
- Albert Einstein observed that 'We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them' Given we are fully aware of the stresses climate change has and is likely to bring, a change in a straight line focus on 3Waters infrastructure delivery - to one of embedding resilient and safely managed water and sanitation services is needed. The IIMM is a tool that provides a very strong basis to enable this change. I also note that IPWEA has a digital badge (climate adaptation in asset management) that provides further support. Thankyou for your time. END