SlideShare a Scribd company logo
© OECD/IEA 2017
Integrating climate, air pollution & universal
access: The Sustainable Development Scenario
Webinar
24 November 2017
© OECD/IEA 2017
Context
 Energy supports economic growth & is pervasive to all aspects of human life
 Energy production & use is linked to a wide range of issues, including
environmental aspects but also e.g. health, social and equity problems
 Progress has been made, but the problems are far from solved:
CO2 emissions were at the same level for three consecutive years, but a
peak is not yet in sight
Air pollution is linked to around 6 million premature deaths per year
1.1 billion people still lack access to electricity & 2.8 billion people do not
have access to clean cooking
© OECD/IEA 2017
Energy underpins the UN Sustainable Development Agenda
© OECD/IEA 2017
…and is particularly crucial for SDGs 3, 7 and 13
SDG 3.9: Substantially reduce the number of deaths and
illnesses from hazardous chemicals and air, water and
soil pollution and contamination
SDG 7: Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable
and modern energy for all
SDG 13: Take urgent action to combat climate
change and its impacts
© OECD/IEA 2017
India takes the lead, as China energy growth slows
Change in energy demand, 2016-40 (Mtoe)
Old ways of understanding the energy world are losing value as countries change roles;
India
1 005
420
Southeast
Asia
China
790
United States
-30
Japan
-50
Europe
-200
270Central and
South America
485Africa
135 Eurasia
480
Middle
East
low-carbon sources & natural gas meet 85% of the increase in global demand
2016-2040
Coal Oil
Gas Low-carbon
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
Mtoe
© OECD/IEA 2017
CO2 emissions growth slows
Energy-related CO2 emissions in the New Policies Scenario
Emissions growth slows as China moves restructures its economic growth model and the
use of low-carbon technologies, in particular solar PV and wind, rises
10
20
30
40
Gt
Coal Oil Gas
1990 2000 2010 2016 2020 2030 2040
© OECD/IEA 2017
Air pollution is an energy problem
Emissions of the main air pollutants fall in many regions, but ageing populations and
urbanisation increase related health impacts
New Policies Scenario, 2016-2040
Millionpeople
-0.3
0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
European Union
China
India
Southeast Asia
Rest of world
Premature deaths from
outdoor air pollution
-60%
-30%
0%
30%
60%
European
Union
China India Southeast
Asia
SO2 NOX PM2.5
Change in air pollutant emissions
© OECD/IEA 2017
Million
people
200
400
600
2000 2005 2010 2016
Electricity access makes progress in all regions,
but sub-Saharan Africa lags behind
Many countries, led by India, are on track to achieving full electrification by 2030,
but – despite recent progress – efforts in sub-Saharan Africa need to redouble
Sub-Saharan
Africa
India
Other Asia
2020 2025 2030
India
Other Asia
Sub-Saharan
Africa
Million
200
400
600
2000 2005 2010 2016
Sub-Saharan
Africa
India
Other Asia
2020 2025 2030
Population without electricity access
© OECD/IEA 2017
Sustainable
Development
Scenario
The Sustainable Development Scenario reduces CO2 emissions to address climate change while
also tackling air pollution and achieving universal energy access
A new strategy for energy & sustainable development
© OECD/IEA 2017
Rethinking the energy sector
580bcm
additional gas demand
2times
more efficient
than today
3250GW
global solar PV capacity
875million electric
vehicles
Achieving the three targets of the Sustainable Development Scenario simultaneously
requires a step change in the pace of delivering a clean energy transition
The Sustainable Development Scenario in 2040
© OECD/IEA 2017
Electricity generation
Towards a low-carbon power sector
New Policies Scenario
Power generation in 2040 is all but decarbonised in the Sustainable Development
Scenario, with renewables accounting for more than 60% of total generation
Coal
Coal CCS
Gas CCS
Gas
Oil
Nuclear
Hydro
Wind
Solar PV
Other renewables
Sustainable Development Scenario
25%
50%
75%
100%
2010 2020 2030 2040
25%
50%
75%
2010 2020 2030 2040
100%
© OECD/IEA 2017
Natural gas is the only fossil fuel to grow in the
Sustainable Development Scenario
Fossil fuel demand in the New Policies Scenario & Sustainable Development Scenario
Coal & oil demand drop in the Sustainable Development Scenario. Gas becomes the largest fossil fuel
by 2040 alongside the rapid expansion of low-carbon technologies & improvements in efficiency
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Coal
Oil
Gas
Mtoe
New Policies Scenario
Sustainable Development
Scenario
© OECD/IEA 2017
A complex picture for gas,
a clear downward path for coal
Share of coal & gas in energy demand in selected regions in the Sustainable Development Scenario
The share of coal in total primary energy demand falls across all regions in the Sustainable
Development Scenario, but opportunities for gas vary by country, by sector and over time
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Share of gas in primary energy
Share of coal
in primary energy
India
Europe North America
Eurasia
Middle East
China 2016
2025
2040
© OECD/IEA 2017
Three quarters of current oil and gas methane emissions
are technically avoidable
Global marginal abatement cost curve for oil and gas methane emissions, 2015
It is technically possible to reduce the 76 Mt current oil and gas emissions by 58 Mt;
half (38 Mt) can be avoided using approaches with positive net present values
North America
Europe
Middle East
Asia Pacific
Latin America
Africa
Eurasia
-10
-5
0
5
10
60
Mt
0 10 20 30 40 50
USD/MBtu
© OECD/IEA 2017
The Sustainable Development Scenario:
on track to achieve the Paris Agreement
CO2 emissions peak & decline through 2040 in the Sustainable Development Scenario,
allowing for the achievement of ambitious temperature goals by 2100
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
From SDS towards 1.5 °C
From SDS towards 2 °C
Sustainable Development
Scenario (SDS)
GtCO2
Energy- and process-related CO2 emissions
2040 2100Emissions from scenarios projecting global temperature rise of around 1.7 – 1.8 °C :
© OECD/IEA 2017
Air quality is an energy issue
Concentration of fine particulate matter in China
Urbanisation & an ageing population increase vulnerability to health impacts in China,
but a clean energy transition cuts pollutant emissions considerably
Today
2040: New
Policies Scenario
2040: Sustainable
Development
Scenario
Source: WEO analysis, IIASA
© OECD/IEA 2017
Achieving universal energy access is not in
conflict with climate goals
On-Grid
Mini-Grid
Off-Grid
Existing grid
 Grid extension for 150 million additional people,
with hydro accounting for the lion’s share
 Decentralised solutions, mainly solar PV, for the
remaining 450 million people in rural areas
 An additional $26 billion per year is needed in
electricity generation and grids
Policies of the Sustainable Development Scenario achieve universal energy access by 2030,
improving human health and supporting the achievement of climate change goals
© OECD/IEA 2017
Energy demand
Average annual investment in the Sustainable Development Scenario
Sustainable investment needs
The Sustainable Development Scenario requires 15% additional investment to 2040; two-
thirds of energy supply investment are needed for electricity generation & networks
T&DNuclear and CCS
RenewablesFossil fuels
400
800
1 200
1 600
2016 2017-40
USDbillion(2016)
Energy supply
2017-40
Industry
TransportBuildings
2016
© OECD/IEA 2017
Conclusions
 Progress is being made towards the SDGs, but under current trends the goals on
climate change, air pollution and universal access will not be met
 Our strategy for sustainable energy shows that concerted action to address climate
change is fully compatible with global goals on universal access & air quality
 The strategy achieves universal access in 2030, and cuts CO2 emissions and premature
deaths from air pollution in 2040 by half, relative to the central scenario
 The Sustainable Development Scenario requires an additional 15% of investment and
profound changes in energy production & use
 The IEA stands ready to support progress towards a clean energy future with its full
range of capabilities ranging from data to analysis and support to implementation
© OECD/IEA 2017
iea.org/weo

More Related Content

What's hot

China Energy Outlook 2017
China Energy Outlook 2017China Energy Outlook 2017
China Energy Outlook 2017
International Energy Agency
 
Webinar: Power renewables and energy efficiency
Webinar: Power renewables and energy efficiencyWebinar: Power renewables and energy efficiency
Webinar: Power renewables and energy efficiency
International Energy Agency
 
Webinar: Outlook for Fossil Fuels
Webinar: Outlook for Fossil FuelsWebinar: Outlook for Fossil Fuels
Webinar: Outlook for Fossil Fuels
International Energy Agency
 
Renewables 2017
Renewables 2017Renewables 2017
WEO-2018 Electricity Webinar
WEO-2018 Electricity WebinarWEO-2018 Electricity Webinar
WEO-2018 Electricity Webinar
International Energy Agency
 
The Global Low-Carbon Energy Transition
The Global Low-Carbon Energy TransitionThe Global Low-Carbon Energy Transition
The Global Low-Carbon Energy Transition
International Energy Agency
 
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
International Energy Agency
 
Natural gas and LNG in the Future of Global Energy
Natural gas and LNG in the Future of Global EnergyNatural gas and LNG in the Future of Global Energy
Natural gas and LNG in the Future of Global Energy
International Energy Agency
 
LNG reshaping the global gas market
LNG reshaping the global gas marketLNG reshaping the global gas market
LNG reshaping the global gas market
International Energy Agency
 
2017 Melchett Lecture
2017 Melchett Lecture2017 Melchett Lecture
2017 Melchett Lecture
International Energy Agency
 
ETP 2017 Webinar - Part I
ETP 2017 Webinar - Part IETP 2017 Webinar - Part I
ETP 2017 Webinar - Part I
International Energy Agency
 
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
International Energy Agency
 
G7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
G7 Energy Ministers' MeetingG7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
G7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
International Energy Agency
 
WEO 2017: China
WEO 2017: ChinaWEO 2017: China
Energy Efficiency 2017: Launch Presentation
Energy Efficiency 2017: Launch PresentationEnergy Efficiency 2017: Launch Presentation
Energy Efficiency 2017: Launch Presentation
International Energy Agency
 
The LNG opportunity for Europe
The LNG opportunity for EuropeThe LNG opportunity for Europe
The LNG opportunity for Europe
International Energy Agency
 
The Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environment
The Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environmentThe Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environment
The Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environment
International Energy Agency
 
IEA Executive Director Presentation to G20 Energy Ministers Session
IEA Executive Director Presentation to G20 Energy Ministers SessionIEA Executive Director Presentation to G20 Energy Ministers Session
IEA Executive Director Presentation to G20 Energy Ministers Session
International Energy Agency
 
A sustainable & secure transition to a low carbon future
A sustainable & secure transition to a low carbon futureA sustainable & secure transition to a low carbon future
A sustainable & secure transition to a low carbon future
International Energy Agency
 
Energy Technology Perspectives 2017
Energy Technology Perspectives 2017Energy Technology Perspectives 2017
Energy Technology Perspectives 2017
International Energy Agency
 

What's hot (20)

China Energy Outlook 2017
China Energy Outlook 2017China Energy Outlook 2017
China Energy Outlook 2017
 
Webinar: Power renewables and energy efficiency
Webinar: Power renewables and energy efficiencyWebinar: Power renewables and energy efficiency
Webinar: Power renewables and energy efficiency
 
Webinar: Outlook for Fossil Fuels
Webinar: Outlook for Fossil FuelsWebinar: Outlook for Fossil Fuels
Webinar: Outlook for Fossil Fuels
 
Renewables 2017
Renewables 2017Renewables 2017
Renewables 2017
 
WEO-2018 Electricity Webinar
WEO-2018 Electricity WebinarWEO-2018 Electricity Webinar
WEO-2018 Electricity Webinar
 
The Global Low-Carbon Energy Transition
The Global Low-Carbon Energy TransitionThe Global Low-Carbon Energy Transition
The Global Low-Carbon Energy Transition
 
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
 
Natural gas and LNG in the Future of Global Energy
Natural gas and LNG in the Future of Global EnergyNatural gas and LNG in the Future of Global Energy
Natural gas and LNG in the Future of Global Energy
 
LNG reshaping the global gas market
LNG reshaping the global gas marketLNG reshaping the global gas market
LNG reshaping the global gas market
 
2017 Melchett Lecture
2017 Melchett Lecture2017 Melchett Lecture
2017 Melchett Lecture
 
ETP 2017 Webinar - Part I
ETP 2017 Webinar - Part IETP 2017 Webinar - Part I
ETP 2017 Webinar - Part I
 
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
 
G7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
G7 Energy Ministers' MeetingG7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
G7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
 
WEO 2017: China
WEO 2017: ChinaWEO 2017: China
WEO 2017: China
 
Energy Efficiency 2017: Launch Presentation
Energy Efficiency 2017: Launch PresentationEnergy Efficiency 2017: Launch Presentation
Energy Efficiency 2017: Launch Presentation
 
The LNG opportunity for Europe
The LNG opportunity for EuropeThe LNG opportunity for Europe
The LNG opportunity for Europe
 
The Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environment
The Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environmentThe Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environment
The Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environment
 
IEA Executive Director Presentation to G20 Energy Ministers Session
IEA Executive Director Presentation to G20 Energy Ministers SessionIEA Executive Director Presentation to G20 Energy Ministers Session
IEA Executive Director Presentation to G20 Energy Ministers Session
 
A sustainable & secure transition to a low carbon future
A sustainable & secure transition to a low carbon futureA sustainable & secure transition to a low carbon future
A sustainable & secure transition to a low carbon future
 
Energy Technology Perspectives 2017
Energy Technology Perspectives 2017Energy Technology Perspectives 2017
Energy Technology Perspectives 2017
 

Similar to Webinar: The Sustainable Development Scenario, World Energy Outlook 2017

OECD-Parliamentary-days-2018-World-Energy-Outlook
OECD-Parliamentary-days-2018-World-Energy-OutlookOECD-Parliamentary-days-2018-World-Energy-Outlook
OECD-Parliamentary-days-2018-World-Energy-Outlook
Holly Richards
 
Webinar on Sustainable Development Scenario
Webinar on Sustainable Development ScenarioWebinar on Sustainable Development Scenario
Webinar on Sustainable Development Scenario
International Energy Agency
 
Opening plenary Key Trends and Future Potential in Energy Sector Mitigation b...
Opening plenary Key Trends and Future Potential in Energy Sector Mitigation b...Opening plenary Key Trends and Future Potential in Energy Sector Mitigation b...
Opening plenary Key Trends and Future Potential in Energy Sector Mitigation b...
OECD Environment
 
ENV GLOBAL FORUM OCT 2016 - Session 3 - Timur Gül
ENV GLOBAL FORUM OCT 2016 - Session 3 - Timur GülENV GLOBAL FORUM OCT 2016 - Session 3 - Timur Gül
ENV GLOBAL FORUM OCT 2016 - Session 3 - Timur Gül
OECD Environment
 
Clean Energy Ministerial: Tracking Progress and Identifying Further Opportuni...
Clean Energy Ministerial: Tracking Progress and Identifying Further Opportuni...Clean Energy Ministerial: Tracking Progress and Identifying Further Opportuni...
Clean Energy Ministerial: Tracking Progress and Identifying Further Opportuni...
International Energy Agency
 
Energy Markets: Today and Tomorrow
Energy Markets: Today and TomorrowEnergy Markets: Today and Tomorrow
Energy Markets: Today and Tomorrow
International Energy Agency
 
CCXG March 2019 Laura Cozzi IEA Insights Flagship Products
CCXG March 2019 Laura Cozzi IEA Insights Flagship ProductsCCXG March 2019 Laura Cozzi IEA Insights Flagship Products
CCXG March 2019 Laura Cozzi IEA Insights Flagship Products
OECD Environment
 
World Energy Outlook 2017 | Bruxelles - 01 février 2018
World Energy Outlook 2017 | Bruxelles - 01 février 2018World Energy Outlook 2017 | Bruxelles - 01 février 2018
World Energy Outlook 2017 | Bruxelles - 01 février 2018
Cluster TWEED
 
Energy Efficiency 2018 - South African Webinar
Energy Efficiency 2018 - South African Webinar Energy Efficiency 2018 - South African Webinar
Energy Efficiency 2018 - South African Webinar
International Energy Agency
 
IEA World Energy Outlook 2017- till period 2040
IEA World Energy Outlook 2017- till period 2040IEA World Energy Outlook 2017- till period 2040
IEA World Energy Outlook 2017- till period 2040
Energy for One World
 
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World ScenarioThe International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
Leonardo ENERGY
 
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World ScenarioThe International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
Leonardo ENERGY
 
Webinar on the Outlook for Fuels, 23rd November 2018
Webinar on the Outlook for Fuels, 23rd November 2018Webinar on the Outlook for Fuels, 23rd November 2018
Webinar on the Outlook for Fuels, 23rd November 2018
International Energy Agency
 
Maximising synergies between the Sustainable Development Goals
Maximising synergies between the Sustainable Development GoalsMaximising synergies between the Sustainable Development Goals
Maximising synergies between the Sustainable Development Goals
ipcc-media
 
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018
International Energy Agency
 
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian CronshawAutumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Funseam - Fundación para la Sostenibilidad Energética y Ambiental
 
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
Student Energy
 
Cédric PHILIBERT Energy and Climate Change Analyst IEA (Atoms for the Future ...
Cédric PHILIBERT Energy and Climate Change Analyst IEA (Atoms for the Future ...Cédric PHILIBERT Energy and Climate Change Analyst IEA (Atoms for the Future ...
Cédric PHILIBERT Energy and Climate Change Analyst IEA (Atoms for the Future ...
Société Française d'Energie Nucléaire
 
MEXIREC Ministerial
 MEXIREC Ministerial MEXIREC Ministerial
MEXIREC Ministerial
robstone62
 
MEXIREC Ministerial
MEXIREC MinisterialMEXIREC Ministerial
MEXIREC Ministerial
International Energy Agency
 

Similar to Webinar: The Sustainable Development Scenario, World Energy Outlook 2017 (20)

OECD-Parliamentary-days-2018-World-Energy-Outlook
OECD-Parliamentary-days-2018-World-Energy-OutlookOECD-Parliamentary-days-2018-World-Energy-Outlook
OECD-Parliamentary-days-2018-World-Energy-Outlook
 
Webinar on Sustainable Development Scenario
Webinar on Sustainable Development ScenarioWebinar on Sustainable Development Scenario
Webinar on Sustainable Development Scenario
 
Opening plenary Key Trends and Future Potential in Energy Sector Mitigation b...
Opening plenary Key Trends and Future Potential in Energy Sector Mitigation b...Opening plenary Key Trends and Future Potential in Energy Sector Mitigation b...
Opening plenary Key Trends and Future Potential in Energy Sector Mitigation b...
 
ENV GLOBAL FORUM OCT 2016 - Session 3 - Timur Gül
ENV GLOBAL FORUM OCT 2016 - Session 3 - Timur GülENV GLOBAL FORUM OCT 2016 - Session 3 - Timur Gül
ENV GLOBAL FORUM OCT 2016 - Session 3 - Timur Gül
 
Clean Energy Ministerial: Tracking Progress and Identifying Further Opportuni...
Clean Energy Ministerial: Tracking Progress and Identifying Further Opportuni...Clean Energy Ministerial: Tracking Progress and Identifying Further Opportuni...
Clean Energy Ministerial: Tracking Progress and Identifying Further Opportuni...
 
Energy Markets: Today and Tomorrow
Energy Markets: Today and TomorrowEnergy Markets: Today and Tomorrow
Energy Markets: Today and Tomorrow
 
CCXG March 2019 Laura Cozzi IEA Insights Flagship Products
CCXG March 2019 Laura Cozzi IEA Insights Flagship ProductsCCXG March 2019 Laura Cozzi IEA Insights Flagship Products
CCXG March 2019 Laura Cozzi IEA Insights Flagship Products
 
World Energy Outlook 2017 | Bruxelles - 01 février 2018
World Energy Outlook 2017 | Bruxelles - 01 février 2018World Energy Outlook 2017 | Bruxelles - 01 février 2018
World Energy Outlook 2017 | Bruxelles - 01 février 2018
 
Energy Efficiency 2018 - South African Webinar
Energy Efficiency 2018 - South African Webinar Energy Efficiency 2018 - South African Webinar
Energy Efficiency 2018 - South African Webinar
 
IEA World Energy Outlook 2017- till period 2040
IEA World Energy Outlook 2017- till period 2040IEA World Energy Outlook 2017- till period 2040
IEA World Energy Outlook 2017- till period 2040
 
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World ScenarioThe International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
 
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World ScenarioThe International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
The International Energy Agency’s Efficient World Scenario
 
Webinar on the Outlook for Fuels, 23rd November 2018
Webinar on the Outlook for Fuels, 23rd November 2018Webinar on the Outlook for Fuels, 23rd November 2018
Webinar on the Outlook for Fuels, 23rd November 2018
 
Maximising synergies between the Sustainable Development Goals
Maximising synergies between the Sustainable Development GoalsMaximising synergies between the Sustainable Development Goals
Maximising synergies between the Sustainable Development Goals
 
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018
 
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian CronshawAutumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
 
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
 
Cédric PHILIBERT Energy and Climate Change Analyst IEA (Atoms for the Future ...
Cédric PHILIBERT Energy and Climate Change Analyst IEA (Atoms for the Future ...Cédric PHILIBERT Energy and Climate Change Analyst IEA (Atoms for the Future ...
Cédric PHILIBERT Energy and Climate Change Analyst IEA (Atoms for the Future ...
 
MEXIREC Ministerial
 MEXIREC Ministerial MEXIREC Ministerial
MEXIREC Ministerial
 
MEXIREC Ministerial
MEXIREC MinisterialMEXIREC Ministerial
MEXIREC Ministerial
 

More from International Energy Agency

World Energy Investment Launch Presentation - 14th May 2019
World Energy Investment Launch Presentation - 14th May 2019World Energy Investment Launch Presentation - 14th May 2019
World Energy Investment Launch Presentation - 14th May 2019
International Energy Agency
 
What role will nuclear power play in meeting energy security and climate goals?
What role will nuclear power play in meeting energy security and climate goals?What role will nuclear power play in meeting energy security and climate goals?
What role will nuclear power play in meeting energy security and climate goals?
International Energy Agency
 
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Portuguese version)
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Portuguese version)IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Portuguese version)
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Portuguese version)
International Energy Agency
 
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Spanish version)
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Spanish version)IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Spanish version)
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Spanish version)
International Energy Agency
 
Producer Economies Webinar
Producer Economies WebinarProducer Economies Webinar
Producer Economies Webinar
International Energy Agency
 
Hydrogen: Accelerating & Expanding Deployment
Hydrogen: Accelerating & Expanding Deployment Hydrogen: Accelerating & Expanding Deployment
Hydrogen: Accelerating & Expanding Deployment
International Energy Agency
 
LNG: Driving global gas growth & improving flexibility
LNG: Driving global gas growth & improving flexibilityLNG: Driving global gas growth & improving flexibility
LNG: Driving global gas growth & improving flexibility
International Energy Agency
 
Low carbon Transition in the Cement Industry
Low carbon Transition in the Cement IndustryLow carbon Transition in the Cement Industry
Low carbon Transition in the Cement Industry
International Energy Agency
 
Global energy markets: today & tomorrow
Global energy markets: today & tomorrowGlobal energy markets: today & tomorrow
Global energy markets: today & tomorrow
International Energy Agency
 
Oil 2018 - Launch Presentation
Oil 2018 - Launch PresentationOil 2018 - Launch Presentation
Oil 2018 - Launch Presentation
International Energy Agency
 
Oil 2018 slide deck
Oil 2018 slide deckOil 2018 slide deck
Oil 2018 slide deck
International Energy Agency
 
Webinar: Digitalization & Energy
Webinar:  Digitalization & EnergyWebinar:  Digitalization & Energy
Webinar: Digitalization & Energy
International Energy Agency
 

More from International Energy Agency (12)

World Energy Investment Launch Presentation - 14th May 2019
World Energy Investment Launch Presentation - 14th May 2019World Energy Investment Launch Presentation - 14th May 2019
World Energy Investment Launch Presentation - 14th May 2019
 
What role will nuclear power play in meeting energy security and climate goals?
What role will nuclear power play in meeting energy security and climate goals?What role will nuclear power play in meeting energy security and climate goals?
What role will nuclear power play in meeting energy security and climate goals?
 
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Portuguese version)
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Portuguese version)IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Portuguese version)
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Portuguese version)
 
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Spanish version)
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Spanish version)IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Spanish version)
IEA Webinar: Energy Efficiency Market Report 2018 (Spanish version)
 
Producer Economies Webinar
Producer Economies WebinarProducer Economies Webinar
Producer Economies Webinar
 
Hydrogen: Accelerating & Expanding Deployment
Hydrogen: Accelerating & Expanding Deployment Hydrogen: Accelerating & Expanding Deployment
Hydrogen: Accelerating & Expanding Deployment
 
LNG: Driving global gas growth & improving flexibility
LNG: Driving global gas growth & improving flexibilityLNG: Driving global gas growth & improving flexibility
LNG: Driving global gas growth & improving flexibility
 
Low carbon Transition in the Cement Industry
Low carbon Transition in the Cement IndustryLow carbon Transition in the Cement Industry
Low carbon Transition in the Cement Industry
 
Global energy markets: today & tomorrow
Global energy markets: today & tomorrowGlobal energy markets: today & tomorrow
Global energy markets: today & tomorrow
 
Oil 2018 - Launch Presentation
Oil 2018 - Launch PresentationOil 2018 - Launch Presentation
Oil 2018 - Launch Presentation
 
Oil 2018 slide deck
Oil 2018 slide deckOil 2018 slide deck
Oil 2018 slide deck
 
Webinar: Digitalization & Energy
Webinar:  Digitalization & EnergyWebinar:  Digitalization & Energy
Webinar: Digitalization & Energy
 

Recently uploaded

The Cruelty of Animal Testing in the Industry.pdf
The Cruelty of Animal Testing in the Industry.pdfThe Cruelty of Animal Testing in the Industry.pdf
The Cruelty of Animal Testing in the Industry.pdf
luzmilaglez334
 
Benchmarking Sustainability: Neurosciences and AI Tech Research in Macau - Ke...
Benchmarking Sustainability: Neurosciences and AI Tech Research in Macau - Ke...Benchmarking Sustainability: Neurosciences and AI Tech Research in Macau - Ke...
Benchmarking Sustainability: Neurosciences and AI Tech Research in Macau - Ke...
Alvaro Barbosa
 
SEQUNCES Lecture_Notes_Unit4_chapter11_sequence
SEQUNCES  Lecture_Notes_Unit4_chapter11_sequenceSEQUNCES  Lecture_Notes_Unit4_chapter11_sequence
SEQUNCES Lecture_Notes_Unit4_chapter11_sequence
Murugan Solaiyappan
 
How to Add a Filter in the Odoo 17 - Odoo 17 Slides
How to Add a Filter in the Odoo 17 - Odoo 17 SlidesHow to Add a Filter in the Odoo 17 - Odoo 17 Slides
How to Add a Filter in the Odoo 17 - Odoo 17 Slides
Celine George
 
Node JS Interview Question PDF By ScholarHat
Node JS Interview Question PDF By ScholarHatNode JS Interview Question PDF By ScholarHat
Node JS Interview Question PDF By ScholarHat
Scholarhat
 
How to Manage Line Discount in Odoo 17 POS
How to Manage Line Discount in Odoo 17 POSHow to Manage Line Discount in Odoo 17 POS
How to Manage Line Discount in Odoo 17 POS
Celine George
 
11EHS Term 3 Week 1 Unit 1 Review: Feedback and improvementpptx
11EHS Term 3 Week 1 Unit 1 Review: Feedback and improvementpptx11EHS Term 3 Week 1 Unit 1 Review: Feedback and improvementpptx
11EHS Term 3 Week 1 Unit 1 Review: Feedback and improvementpptx
mansk2
 
Open Source and AI - ByWater Closing Keynote Presentation.pdf
Open Source and AI - ByWater Closing Keynote Presentation.pdfOpen Source and AI - ByWater Closing Keynote Presentation.pdf
Open Source and AI - ByWater Closing Keynote Presentation.pdf
Jessica Zairo
 
Codeavour 5.0 International Impact Report - The Biggest International AI, Cod...
Codeavour 5.0 International Impact Report - The Biggest International AI, Cod...Codeavour 5.0 International Impact Report - The Biggest International AI, Cod...
Codeavour 5.0 International Impact Report - The Biggest International AI, Cod...
Codeavour International
 
How To Update One2many Field From OnChange of Field in Odoo 17
How To Update One2many Field From OnChange of Field in Odoo 17How To Update One2many Field From OnChange of Field in Odoo 17
How To Update One2many Field From OnChange of Field in Odoo 17
Celine George
 
C Interview Questions PDF By Scholarhat.pdf
C Interview Questions PDF By Scholarhat.pdfC Interview Questions PDF By Scholarhat.pdf
C Interview Questions PDF By Scholarhat.pdf
Scholarhat
 
New Features in Odoo 17 Sign - Odoo 17 Slides
New Features in Odoo 17 Sign - Odoo 17 SlidesNew Features in Odoo 17 Sign - Odoo 17 Slides
New Features in Odoo 17 Sign - Odoo 17 Slides
Celine George
 
E-learning Odoo 17 New features - Odoo 17 Slides
E-learning Odoo 17  New features - Odoo 17 SlidesE-learning Odoo 17  New features - Odoo 17 Slides
E-learning Odoo 17 New features - Odoo 17 Slides
Celine George
 
Cómo crear video-tutoriales con ScreenPal (2 de julio de 2024)
Cómo crear video-tutoriales con ScreenPal (2 de julio de 2024)Cómo crear video-tutoriales con ScreenPal (2 de julio de 2024)
Cómo crear video-tutoriales con ScreenPal (2 de julio de 2024)
Cátedra Banco Santander
 
How to Create & Publish a Blog in Odoo 17 Website
How to Create & Publish a Blog in Odoo 17 WebsiteHow to Create & Publish a Blog in Odoo 17 Website
How to Create & Publish a Blog in Odoo 17 Website
Celine George
 
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ 4 KỸ NĂNG TIẾNG ANH LỚP 12 - GLOBAL SUCCESS - FORM MỚI 2025 - ...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ 4 KỸ NĂNG TIẾNG ANH LỚP 12 - GLOBAL SUCCESS - FORM MỚI 2025 - ...BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ 4 KỸ NĂNG TIẾNG ANH LỚP 12 - GLOBAL SUCCESS - FORM MỚI 2025 - ...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ 4 KỸ NĂNG TIẾNG ANH LỚP 12 - GLOBAL SUCCESS - FORM MỚI 2025 - ...
Nguyen Thanh Tu Collection
 
C# Interview Questions PDF By ScholarHat.pdf
C# Interview Questions PDF By ScholarHat.pdfC# Interview Questions PDF By ScholarHat.pdf
C# Interview Questions PDF By ScholarHat.pdf
Scholarhat
 
Genetics Teaching Plan: Dr.Kshirsagar R.V.
Genetics Teaching Plan: Dr.Kshirsagar R.V.Genetics Teaching Plan: Dr.Kshirsagar R.V.
Genetics Teaching Plan: Dr.Kshirsagar R.V.
DrRavindrakshirsagar1
 
matatag curriculum education for Kindergarten
matatag curriculum education for Kindergartenmatatag curriculum education for Kindergarten
matatag curriculum education for Kindergarten
SarahAlie1
 
How to Empty a One2Many Field in Odoo 17
How to Empty a One2Many Field in Odoo 17How to Empty a One2Many Field in Odoo 17
How to Empty a One2Many Field in Odoo 17
Celine George
 

Recently uploaded (20)

The Cruelty of Animal Testing in the Industry.pdf
The Cruelty of Animal Testing in the Industry.pdfThe Cruelty of Animal Testing in the Industry.pdf
The Cruelty of Animal Testing in the Industry.pdf
 
Benchmarking Sustainability: Neurosciences and AI Tech Research in Macau - Ke...
Benchmarking Sustainability: Neurosciences and AI Tech Research in Macau - Ke...Benchmarking Sustainability: Neurosciences and AI Tech Research in Macau - Ke...
Benchmarking Sustainability: Neurosciences and AI Tech Research in Macau - Ke...
 
SEQUNCES Lecture_Notes_Unit4_chapter11_sequence
SEQUNCES  Lecture_Notes_Unit4_chapter11_sequenceSEQUNCES  Lecture_Notes_Unit4_chapter11_sequence
SEQUNCES Lecture_Notes_Unit4_chapter11_sequence
 
How to Add a Filter in the Odoo 17 - Odoo 17 Slides
How to Add a Filter in the Odoo 17 - Odoo 17 SlidesHow to Add a Filter in the Odoo 17 - Odoo 17 Slides
How to Add a Filter in the Odoo 17 - Odoo 17 Slides
 
Node JS Interview Question PDF By ScholarHat
Node JS Interview Question PDF By ScholarHatNode JS Interview Question PDF By ScholarHat
Node JS Interview Question PDF By ScholarHat
 
How to Manage Line Discount in Odoo 17 POS
How to Manage Line Discount in Odoo 17 POSHow to Manage Line Discount in Odoo 17 POS
How to Manage Line Discount in Odoo 17 POS
 
11EHS Term 3 Week 1 Unit 1 Review: Feedback and improvementpptx
11EHS Term 3 Week 1 Unit 1 Review: Feedback and improvementpptx11EHS Term 3 Week 1 Unit 1 Review: Feedback and improvementpptx
11EHS Term 3 Week 1 Unit 1 Review: Feedback and improvementpptx
 
Open Source and AI - ByWater Closing Keynote Presentation.pdf
Open Source and AI - ByWater Closing Keynote Presentation.pdfOpen Source and AI - ByWater Closing Keynote Presentation.pdf
Open Source and AI - ByWater Closing Keynote Presentation.pdf
 
Codeavour 5.0 International Impact Report - The Biggest International AI, Cod...
Codeavour 5.0 International Impact Report - The Biggest International AI, Cod...Codeavour 5.0 International Impact Report - The Biggest International AI, Cod...
Codeavour 5.0 International Impact Report - The Biggest International AI, Cod...
 
How To Update One2many Field From OnChange of Field in Odoo 17
How To Update One2many Field From OnChange of Field in Odoo 17How To Update One2many Field From OnChange of Field in Odoo 17
How To Update One2many Field From OnChange of Field in Odoo 17
 
C Interview Questions PDF By Scholarhat.pdf
C Interview Questions PDF By Scholarhat.pdfC Interview Questions PDF By Scholarhat.pdf
C Interview Questions PDF By Scholarhat.pdf
 
New Features in Odoo 17 Sign - Odoo 17 Slides
New Features in Odoo 17 Sign - Odoo 17 SlidesNew Features in Odoo 17 Sign - Odoo 17 Slides
New Features in Odoo 17 Sign - Odoo 17 Slides
 
E-learning Odoo 17 New features - Odoo 17 Slides
E-learning Odoo 17  New features - Odoo 17 SlidesE-learning Odoo 17  New features - Odoo 17 Slides
E-learning Odoo 17 New features - Odoo 17 Slides
 
Cómo crear video-tutoriales con ScreenPal (2 de julio de 2024)
Cómo crear video-tutoriales con ScreenPal (2 de julio de 2024)Cómo crear video-tutoriales con ScreenPal (2 de julio de 2024)
Cómo crear video-tutoriales con ScreenPal (2 de julio de 2024)
 
How to Create & Publish a Blog in Odoo 17 Website
How to Create & Publish a Blog in Odoo 17 WebsiteHow to Create & Publish a Blog in Odoo 17 Website
How to Create & Publish a Blog in Odoo 17 Website
 
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ 4 KỸ NĂNG TIẾNG ANH LỚP 12 - GLOBAL SUCCESS - FORM MỚI 2025 - ...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ 4 KỸ NĂNG TIẾNG ANH LỚP 12 - GLOBAL SUCCESS - FORM MỚI 2025 - ...BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ 4 KỸ NĂNG TIẾNG ANH LỚP 12 - GLOBAL SUCCESS - FORM MỚI 2025 - ...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ 4 KỸ NĂNG TIẾNG ANH LỚP 12 - GLOBAL SUCCESS - FORM MỚI 2025 - ...
 
C# Interview Questions PDF By ScholarHat.pdf
C# Interview Questions PDF By ScholarHat.pdfC# Interview Questions PDF By ScholarHat.pdf
C# Interview Questions PDF By ScholarHat.pdf
 
Genetics Teaching Plan: Dr.Kshirsagar R.V.
Genetics Teaching Plan: Dr.Kshirsagar R.V.Genetics Teaching Plan: Dr.Kshirsagar R.V.
Genetics Teaching Plan: Dr.Kshirsagar R.V.
 
matatag curriculum education for Kindergarten
matatag curriculum education for Kindergartenmatatag curriculum education for Kindergarten
matatag curriculum education for Kindergarten
 
How to Empty a One2Many Field in Odoo 17
How to Empty a One2Many Field in Odoo 17How to Empty a One2Many Field in Odoo 17
How to Empty a One2Many Field in Odoo 17
 

Webinar: The Sustainable Development Scenario, World Energy Outlook 2017

  • 1. © OECD/IEA 2017 Integrating climate, air pollution & universal access: The Sustainable Development Scenario Webinar 24 November 2017
  • 2. © OECD/IEA 2017 Context  Energy supports economic growth & is pervasive to all aspects of human life  Energy production & use is linked to a wide range of issues, including environmental aspects but also e.g. health, social and equity problems  Progress has been made, but the problems are far from solved: CO2 emissions were at the same level for three consecutive years, but a peak is not yet in sight Air pollution is linked to around 6 million premature deaths per year 1.1 billion people still lack access to electricity & 2.8 billion people do not have access to clean cooking
  • 3. © OECD/IEA 2017 Energy underpins the UN Sustainable Development Agenda
  • 4. © OECD/IEA 2017 …and is particularly crucial for SDGs 3, 7 and 13 SDG 3.9: Substantially reduce the number of deaths and illnesses from hazardous chemicals and air, water and soil pollution and contamination SDG 7: Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all SDG 13: Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts
  • 5. © OECD/IEA 2017 India takes the lead, as China energy growth slows Change in energy demand, 2016-40 (Mtoe) Old ways of understanding the energy world are losing value as countries change roles; India 1 005 420 Southeast Asia China 790 United States -30 Japan -50 Europe -200 270Central and South America 485Africa 135 Eurasia 480 Middle East low-carbon sources & natural gas meet 85% of the increase in global demand 2016-2040 Coal Oil Gas Low-carbon 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 Mtoe
  • 6. © OECD/IEA 2017 CO2 emissions growth slows Energy-related CO2 emissions in the New Policies Scenario Emissions growth slows as China moves restructures its economic growth model and the use of low-carbon technologies, in particular solar PV and wind, rises 10 20 30 40 Gt Coal Oil Gas 1990 2000 2010 2016 2020 2030 2040
  • 7. © OECD/IEA 2017 Air pollution is an energy problem Emissions of the main air pollutants fall in many regions, but ageing populations and urbanisation increase related health impacts New Policies Scenario, 2016-2040 Millionpeople -0.3 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 European Union China India Southeast Asia Rest of world Premature deaths from outdoor air pollution -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% European Union China India Southeast Asia SO2 NOX PM2.5 Change in air pollutant emissions
  • 8. © OECD/IEA 2017 Million people 200 400 600 2000 2005 2010 2016 Electricity access makes progress in all regions, but sub-Saharan Africa lags behind Many countries, led by India, are on track to achieving full electrification by 2030, but – despite recent progress – efforts in sub-Saharan Africa need to redouble Sub-Saharan Africa India Other Asia 2020 2025 2030 India Other Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Million 200 400 600 2000 2005 2010 2016 Sub-Saharan Africa India Other Asia 2020 2025 2030 Population without electricity access
  • 9. © OECD/IEA 2017 Sustainable Development Scenario The Sustainable Development Scenario reduces CO2 emissions to address climate change while also tackling air pollution and achieving universal energy access A new strategy for energy & sustainable development
  • 10. © OECD/IEA 2017 Rethinking the energy sector 580bcm additional gas demand 2times more efficient than today 3250GW global solar PV capacity 875million electric vehicles Achieving the three targets of the Sustainable Development Scenario simultaneously requires a step change in the pace of delivering a clean energy transition The Sustainable Development Scenario in 2040
  • 11. © OECD/IEA 2017 Electricity generation Towards a low-carbon power sector New Policies Scenario Power generation in 2040 is all but decarbonised in the Sustainable Development Scenario, with renewables accounting for more than 60% of total generation Coal Coal CCS Gas CCS Gas Oil Nuclear Hydro Wind Solar PV Other renewables Sustainable Development Scenario 25% 50% 75% 100% 2010 2020 2030 2040 25% 50% 75% 2010 2020 2030 2040 100%
  • 12. © OECD/IEA 2017 Natural gas is the only fossil fuel to grow in the Sustainable Development Scenario Fossil fuel demand in the New Policies Scenario & Sustainable Development Scenario Coal & oil demand drop in the Sustainable Development Scenario. Gas becomes the largest fossil fuel by 2040 alongside the rapid expansion of low-carbon technologies & improvements in efficiency 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Coal Oil Gas Mtoe New Policies Scenario Sustainable Development Scenario
  • 13. © OECD/IEA 2017 A complex picture for gas, a clear downward path for coal Share of coal & gas in energy demand in selected regions in the Sustainable Development Scenario The share of coal in total primary energy demand falls across all regions in the Sustainable Development Scenario, but opportunities for gas vary by country, by sector and over time 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Share of gas in primary energy Share of coal in primary energy India Europe North America Eurasia Middle East China 2016 2025 2040
  • 14. © OECD/IEA 2017 Three quarters of current oil and gas methane emissions are technically avoidable Global marginal abatement cost curve for oil and gas methane emissions, 2015 It is technically possible to reduce the 76 Mt current oil and gas emissions by 58 Mt; half (38 Mt) can be avoided using approaches with positive net present values North America Europe Middle East Asia Pacific Latin America Africa Eurasia -10 -5 0 5 10 60 Mt 0 10 20 30 40 50 USD/MBtu
  • 15. © OECD/IEA 2017 The Sustainable Development Scenario: on track to achieve the Paris Agreement CO2 emissions peak & decline through 2040 in the Sustainable Development Scenario, allowing for the achievement of ambitious temperature goals by 2100 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 From SDS towards 1.5 °C From SDS towards 2 °C Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS) GtCO2 Energy- and process-related CO2 emissions 2040 2100Emissions from scenarios projecting global temperature rise of around 1.7 – 1.8 °C :
  • 16. © OECD/IEA 2017 Air quality is an energy issue Concentration of fine particulate matter in China Urbanisation & an ageing population increase vulnerability to health impacts in China, but a clean energy transition cuts pollutant emissions considerably Today 2040: New Policies Scenario 2040: Sustainable Development Scenario Source: WEO analysis, IIASA
  • 17. © OECD/IEA 2017 Achieving universal energy access is not in conflict with climate goals On-Grid Mini-Grid Off-Grid Existing grid  Grid extension for 150 million additional people, with hydro accounting for the lion’s share  Decentralised solutions, mainly solar PV, for the remaining 450 million people in rural areas  An additional $26 billion per year is needed in electricity generation and grids Policies of the Sustainable Development Scenario achieve universal energy access by 2030, improving human health and supporting the achievement of climate change goals
  • 18. © OECD/IEA 2017 Energy demand Average annual investment in the Sustainable Development Scenario Sustainable investment needs The Sustainable Development Scenario requires 15% additional investment to 2040; two- thirds of energy supply investment are needed for electricity generation & networks T&DNuclear and CCS RenewablesFossil fuels 400 800 1 200 1 600 2016 2017-40 USDbillion(2016) Energy supply 2017-40 Industry TransportBuildings 2016
  • 19. © OECD/IEA 2017 Conclusions  Progress is being made towards the SDGs, but under current trends the goals on climate change, air pollution and universal access will not be met  Our strategy for sustainable energy shows that concerted action to address climate change is fully compatible with global goals on universal access & air quality  The strategy achieves universal access in 2030, and cuts CO2 emissions and premature deaths from air pollution in 2040 by half, relative to the central scenario  The Sustainable Development Scenario requires an additional 15% of investment and profound changes in energy production & use  The IEA stands ready to support progress towards a clean energy future with its full range of capabilities ranging from data to analysis and support to implementation