"How to Run a Quantitative Trading Business in China with Python" by Xiaoyou ...Quantopian
From QuantCon 2017: Running a quantitative trading business in China used to be very difficult and require strong IT skills, however it's getting much easier nowadays, when traders with no professional IT training can also do all the tasks in quantitative trading using Python.
In this sharing session, Xiaoyou will share his experience in using Python for data collection, strategy development and automated trading. He will also introduce some related open source projects including TuShare, quantOS, vn.py and so on.
"Active Learning in Trading Algorithms" by David Fellah, Head of the EMEA Lin...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Institutional orders generally exceed the absorption capacity in the immediate order book and are frequently split horizontally over time and vertically over price. The task of splitting apart a meta-order is achieved through a sequence of market transactions performed by trading algorithms, causing market impact. Consequently a great deal of research is spent on understanding market impact and its role in algorithm design in order to reduce it.
In this presentation, we discuss an application of Deep Reinforcement Learning to minimise transaction costs across a diverse range of instruments. We first discuss high-frequency market impact and its role in optimal planning for single-position and portfolio trading. We then discuss examples of how machine learning is used in short-term forecasting to augment order placement decisions.
Finally, we discuss how the algorithm considers these effects jointly, how it optimizes a dynamic policy, and how it improves performance against surrogate hand-tuned algorithms.
"Lessons Learned from running a quant crypto fund" presented by Michael Feng, CEO and Co-founder of hummingbot
1. Crypto enables new quant strategies
2. Build a chain of production
3. Preventing overfitting is job #1
4. Establish a disaster response plan
5. Every model has an expiration date
Learn more about algo crypto trading: https://www.hummingbot.io
An introduction to implementing 5 basic quant strategies on Quantopian. Presented to the Bay Area Algorithmic Trading Group and the Bay Area Trading Signals meetup groups at the Hacker Dojo Feb 6th, 2014 by Jess Stauth
Intra-Day De Mark Plus Order Flow Indicator by Dr. Christopher Ting, SMUQuantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Traders apply DeMark indicators on daily and weekly charts to indicate the area in which the market was considerably oversold or overbought that the opposite price move is deemed to be fairly probable. Lesser known is their applicability on intra-day (one-minute) charts, which present challenges and opportunities of a different kind.
In this talk, Dr. Ting will walk through the stages in designing and back-testing an Intra-day De-Mark Plus Order-Flow Indicator (Indempofi) as an algorithmic trading strategy for futures contract. Following standard practice, he will separate the intra-day data into three sets: one for ``training’’ the Indempofi algo, one for out-of-sample analysis, and another one for ``paper trading". This research study shows that you need order flow to enhance the algo performance on a variety of performance measures.
"Quantitative Trading as a Mathematical Science" by Dr. Haksun Li, Founder an...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Quantitative trading is distinguishable from other trading methodologies like technical analysis and analysts’ opinions because it uniquely provides justifications to trading strategies using mathematical reasoning. Put differently, quantitative trading is a science that trading strategies are proven statistically profitable or even optimal under certain assumptions. There are properties about strategies that we can deduce before betting the first $1, such as P&L distribution and risks. There are exact explanations to the success and failure of strategies, such as choice of parameters. There are ways to iteratively improve strategies based on experiences of live trading, such as making more realistic assumptions. These are all made possible only in quantitative trading because we have assumptions, models and rigorous mathematical analysis.
Quantitative trading has proved itself to be a significant driver of mathematical innovations, especially in the areas of stochastic analysis and PDE-theory. For instances, we can compute the optimal timings to follow the market by solving a pair of coupled Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations; we can construct sparse mean reverting baskets by solving semi-definite optimization problems with cardinality constraints and can optimally trade these baskets by solving stochastic control problems; we can identify statistical arbitrage opportunities by analyzing the volatility process of a stochastic asset at different frequencies; we can compute the optimal placements of market and limit orders by solving combined singular and impulse control problems which leads to novel and difficult to solve quasi-variational inequalities.
"Fundamental Forecasts: Methods and Timing" by Vinesh Jha, CEO of ExtractAlphaQuantopian
From QuantCon 2017:
Fundamental and quantitative stock selection research has long focused on creating accurate forecasts of company fundamentals such as earnings and revenues. In this talk we examine why fundamental forecasts are powerful and survey some classic methods for generating these forecasts. Next we explore some newer methodologies which can be effective in generating more accurate fundamental forecasts, including new uses of traditional data as well as novel crowdsourced and online behavior databases. Finally, we present new research examining the temporal variation in efficacy of these forecasts with an eye towards understanding the market conditions in which an accurate fundamental forecast can be more or less profitable.
"How to Run a Quantitative Trading Business in China with Python" by Xiaoyou ...Quantopian
From QuantCon 2017: Running a quantitative trading business in China used to be very difficult and require strong IT skills, however it's getting much easier nowadays, when traders with no professional IT training can also do all the tasks in quantitative trading using Python.
In this sharing session, Xiaoyou will share his experience in using Python for data collection, strategy development and automated trading. He will also introduce some related open source projects including TuShare, quantOS, vn.py and so on.
"Active Learning in Trading Algorithms" by David Fellah, Head of the EMEA Lin...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Institutional orders generally exceed the absorption capacity in the immediate order book and are frequently split horizontally over time and vertically over price. The task of splitting apart a meta-order is achieved through a sequence of market transactions performed by trading algorithms, causing market impact. Consequently a great deal of research is spent on understanding market impact and its role in algorithm design in order to reduce it.
In this presentation, we discuss an application of Deep Reinforcement Learning to minimise transaction costs across a diverse range of instruments. We first discuss high-frequency market impact and its role in optimal planning for single-position and portfolio trading. We then discuss examples of how machine learning is used in short-term forecasting to augment order placement decisions.
Finally, we discuss how the algorithm considers these effects jointly, how it optimizes a dynamic policy, and how it improves performance against surrogate hand-tuned algorithms.
"Lessons Learned from running a quant crypto fund" presented by Michael Feng, CEO and Co-founder of hummingbot
1. Crypto enables new quant strategies
2. Build a chain of production
3. Preventing overfitting is job #1
4. Establish a disaster response plan
5. Every model has an expiration date
Learn more about algo crypto trading: https://www.hummingbot.io
An introduction to implementing 5 basic quant strategies on Quantopian. Presented to the Bay Area Algorithmic Trading Group and the Bay Area Trading Signals meetup groups at the Hacker Dojo Feb 6th, 2014 by Jess Stauth
Intra-Day De Mark Plus Order Flow Indicator by Dr. Christopher Ting, SMUQuantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Traders apply DeMark indicators on daily and weekly charts to indicate the area in which the market was considerably oversold or overbought that the opposite price move is deemed to be fairly probable. Lesser known is their applicability on intra-day (one-minute) charts, which present challenges and opportunities of a different kind.
In this talk, Dr. Ting will walk through the stages in designing and back-testing an Intra-day De-Mark Plus Order-Flow Indicator (Indempofi) as an algorithmic trading strategy for futures contract. Following standard practice, he will separate the intra-day data into three sets: one for ``training’’ the Indempofi algo, one for out-of-sample analysis, and another one for ``paper trading". This research study shows that you need order flow to enhance the algo performance on a variety of performance measures.
"Quantitative Trading as a Mathematical Science" by Dr. Haksun Li, Founder an...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Quantitative trading is distinguishable from other trading methodologies like technical analysis and analysts’ opinions because it uniquely provides justifications to trading strategies using mathematical reasoning. Put differently, quantitative trading is a science that trading strategies are proven statistically profitable or even optimal under certain assumptions. There are properties about strategies that we can deduce before betting the first $1, such as P&L distribution and risks. There are exact explanations to the success and failure of strategies, such as choice of parameters. There are ways to iteratively improve strategies based on experiences of live trading, such as making more realistic assumptions. These are all made possible only in quantitative trading because we have assumptions, models and rigorous mathematical analysis.
Quantitative trading has proved itself to be a significant driver of mathematical innovations, especially in the areas of stochastic analysis and PDE-theory. For instances, we can compute the optimal timings to follow the market by solving a pair of coupled Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations; we can construct sparse mean reverting baskets by solving semi-definite optimization problems with cardinality constraints and can optimally trade these baskets by solving stochastic control problems; we can identify statistical arbitrage opportunities by analyzing the volatility process of a stochastic asset at different frequencies; we can compute the optimal placements of market and limit orders by solving combined singular and impulse control problems which leads to novel and difficult to solve quasi-variational inequalities.
"Fundamental Forecasts: Methods and Timing" by Vinesh Jha, CEO of ExtractAlphaQuantopian
From QuantCon 2017:
Fundamental and quantitative stock selection research has long focused on creating accurate forecasts of company fundamentals such as earnings and revenues. In this talk we examine why fundamental forecasts are powerful and survey some classic methods for generating these forecasts. Next we explore some newer methodologies which can be effective in generating more accurate fundamental forecasts, including new uses of traditional data as well as novel crowdsourced and online behavior databases. Finally, we present new research examining the temporal variation in efficacy of these forecasts with an eye towards understanding the market conditions in which an accurate fundamental forecast can be more or less profitable.
"Quant Trading for a Living – Lessons from a Life in the Trenches" by Andreas...Quantopian
It takes hard work, skill and time to develop robust trading models, but that is just the beginning of the journey. The question then is what you can do with it, and how to go about building a career in quant finance.
If your plan is to move beyond hobby trading and build a career in in the professional quant trading field, the work is not over once you have a great model.
This presentation will discuss how to leverage your trading models into building a successful career in quant trading. We will look at the various options available, and their respective merits and faults. Whether you want to trade your own money for a living, find a job in the industry or build your own business, your model design will have to be adapted to your aim. We will discuss what type of models and results there is a market for, how to go about finding investors for your trading, and how the real economics of the business look.
Profit from trapped traders with 2 simple setupsNetpicksTrading
http://www.netpicks.com/tjgiveaway1 - YOUR FREE TRADING SYSTEM
The concept of trapped traders is a simple one to understand.
While there are two forms of trapped traders, I only want to focus on one.
The trader who is trapped in a losing position.
These traders, by virtue of being on the wrong side of the market, can help propel your trade when they hit the exits.
Issues Of Trapped Traders
The fear and panic by those who enter a trade only to find the market going against them can cause a sudden burst of price movement. This movement in price is caused by these traders exiting their positions and creating order flow in the opposite direction from which they entered the trade.
Whenever you look at the high of a green candle, picture someone hitting their buy button and entering the trade. Flash forward to the next candle being a red momentum candle and that trader who bought the high, is trapped.
To exit, they have to sell.
See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/trapped-traders/
MLX 2018 - Marcos López de Prado, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Comp...Mehdi Merai Ph.D.(c)
Presented by: Marcos López de Prado, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Computational Research Division
MLX FinTech Conference II, Toronto, May 2018.
More info at: https://www.machinelearningx.net
The QuantCon Keynote: "Counter Trend Trading – Threat or Complement to Trend ...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Over the past 30 years, trend following has been a remarkably successful futures trading strategy. Once a fringe trading style barely known outside of Chicago, it has grown into a 300 billion dollar global industry. It would be very difficult indeed to claim that trend following doesn’t work in the face of decades of empirical evidence otherwise. But trend following isn’t completely without problems.
It is well known that classic trend following models tend to lose money on a majority of trades. This is not necessarily an issue, since trend following is all about accepting a large number of small losses in exchange for a small number of large gains. As long as the net is positive, all is fine. That is the underlying idea of the strategy and it has historically worked very well.
However, if you dissect trend following models you can find weaknesses which could be exploited. This is what counter trend trading models are about. These counter trend models usually operate on a shorter time frame and with nearly opposite logic.
As counter trend models are gaining popularity in the systematic trading hedge fund field, a few questions arise. Are these models a threat to trend following? Can they be a complement to trend following? Can trend following be adapted to be less susceptible to the counter trend issue?
This presentation provide a general overview on Algorithmic trading. It has basic definitions and some details on general aspect of the environment in which algo trading is used.
There are 3 entry level of fibonacci retracement. In this pdf ebook will tell you the 3 entry level. Stop loss, and your target profits.
This entry level is also suitable for beginners.
This months speaker is Quantitative Researcher Yann-Shin Aaron Chen. Chen grew up in Taipei and moved to Southern California when he was a teenager. He participated in numerous math and physics competitions in high school and was ranked in the top 24 students in the US Physics Olympiad. He obtained a B.A. in mathematics at U.C. Berkeley, and got his PhD also at Berkeley in 2012. During his graduate studies, he did a summer internship at Morgan Stanley. After graduation, he joined Citadel, one of the largest hedge funds in US, as a quantitative researcher and worked there for 5 years. He left Citadel a few months ago, and he is now looking forward to his next venture.
Quantitative trading is a relatively new field in the world of finance. With the advances of information technology and data science, quantitative trading has generated significant interest in the past decade. In his talk, Aaron will cover the basic facts about quantitative trading and open the floor for questions. This short presentation is intended for people that are not in this industry and want to learn more about it.
"Portfolio Optimisation When You Don’t Know the Future (or the Past)" by Rob...Quantopian
We generally assume the past is a good guide to the future, but well do we even know the past? What effect does this uncertainty when estimating inputs have on the notoriously unstable algorithms for portfolio optimization?
I explore this issue, look at some commonly used solutions, and also introduce some alternative methods.
Click here for more information on range trading
http://www.netpicks.com/simple-range-trading-strategy/
Here is some information on range trading:
It’s been said that a market only trends 30% of the time.
I can’t quantify that figure but having a range trading strategy to take advantage of the other 70% is good business.
Range trading is not difficult however it does require discipline and a method of determining when a trading range is in play.
For more information on range trading click here:
http://www.netpicks.com/simple-range-trading-strategy/
A Guided Tour of Machine Learning for Traders by Tucker Balch at QuantCon 2016Quantopian
You’ve probably heard about Machine Learning and you likely know it is of emerging importance for trading and investing. Unfortunately it is a deeply technical field and the complexity and jargon get in the way of broader use and understanding. There are literally hundreds of learning algorithms that each solve a slightly different problem. Which algorithms really matter for investing? In this presentation, Professor Balch will help declutter the ML jungle. He’ll introduce a few of the most important ML algorithms and show how they can be applied to the challenges of trading.
Trade Forex From Home - 10 Biggest Mistakes New Forex Traders Make (And How T...ForexTraining
Its a fact that 94% of new Forex traders fail. Read the '10 Biggest Mistakes New Traders Make' so you don't make them too. The report has been written by me, Annabel Meade from http://www.tradeforexfromhome.com. I educate people to work less and earn more trading the Forex market. How much would you like to earn working 15 hours or less per week?
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong WayNetpicksTrading
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
- See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/support-resistance/
Support and resistance trading is a popular technical analysis method of trading. The bad part is that many traders enter trades blindly at these levels without a firm understanding of what they mean.
Learn about trading support and resistance and see if your trading results improve.
- See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/support-resistance/
- Visit our website: http://www.netpicks.com/
- Download the free indicator blueprint: http://www.netpicks.com/blueprint/
- Options Hot List PLUS Training: http://www.netpicks.com/oftbrightbreakthroughs
support, resistance, support and resistance trading, reversals, trend
"From Trading Strategy to Becoming an Industry Professional – How to Break in...Quantopian
You have created a great trading strategy, backtested, traded it and now you want to take it to the next level. You may find that developing the strategy was just the first of many difficult steps.
With the increased availability of low cost, high quality quant modelling platforms, the field is much more open than it once was. The interest for algorithmic trading his higher than ever and anyone has the potential develop a great trading model.
But having a great trading model is not enough. The work is not done yet.
This presentation will discuss turning your algorithmic trading strategy into a business or a great job, and becoming a professional trader. We’re going to talk about what it takes to move to the next level and where the common pitfalls lay. What kind of strategies are marketable are which are not. The pros and cons of trading your own money and how to go about finding external capital and gaining traction in the business.
Are you ready to take the step?
This short course introduces traders to trading strategies and methods used in the Master in Trading Course at Online Finance Academy. Learn how we integrate probability analysis, order flow, market profile, volume analysis, chart patterns and macro-fundamentals into a comprehensive trading strategy.
These are the slides used during the seminar "Introduction to Technical analysis". Will be blogging more about them in detail in further posts. Check out my blog http://trilokhg.blogspot.com for more.
"Quant Trading for a Living – Lessons from a Life in the Trenches" by Andreas...Quantopian
It takes hard work, skill and time to develop robust trading models, but that is just the beginning of the journey. The question then is what you can do with it, and how to go about building a career in quant finance.
If your plan is to move beyond hobby trading and build a career in in the professional quant trading field, the work is not over once you have a great model.
This presentation will discuss how to leverage your trading models into building a successful career in quant trading. We will look at the various options available, and their respective merits and faults. Whether you want to trade your own money for a living, find a job in the industry or build your own business, your model design will have to be adapted to your aim. We will discuss what type of models and results there is a market for, how to go about finding investors for your trading, and how the real economics of the business look.
Profit from trapped traders with 2 simple setupsNetpicksTrading
http://www.netpicks.com/tjgiveaway1 - YOUR FREE TRADING SYSTEM
The concept of trapped traders is a simple one to understand.
While there are two forms of trapped traders, I only want to focus on one.
The trader who is trapped in a losing position.
These traders, by virtue of being on the wrong side of the market, can help propel your trade when they hit the exits.
Issues Of Trapped Traders
The fear and panic by those who enter a trade only to find the market going against them can cause a sudden burst of price movement. This movement in price is caused by these traders exiting their positions and creating order flow in the opposite direction from which they entered the trade.
Whenever you look at the high of a green candle, picture someone hitting their buy button and entering the trade. Flash forward to the next candle being a red momentum candle and that trader who bought the high, is trapped.
To exit, they have to sell.
See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/trapped-traders/
MLX 2018 - Marcos López de Prado, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Comp...Mehdi Merai Ph.D.(c)
Presented by: Marcos López de Prado, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Computational Research Division
MLX FinTech Conference II, Toronto, May 2018.
More info at: https://www.machinelearningx.net
The QuantCon Keynote: "Counter Trend Trading – Threat or Complement to Trend ...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Over the past 30 years, trend following has been a remarkably successful futures trading strategy. Once a fringe trading style barely known outside of Chicago, it has grown into a 300 billion dollar global industry. It would be very difficult indeed to claim that trend following doesn’t work in the face of decades of empirical evidence otherwise. But trend following isn’t completely without problems.
It is well known that classic trend following models tend to lose money on a majority of trades. This is not necessarily an issue, since trend following is all about accepting a large number of small losses in exchange for a small number of large gains. As long as the net is positive, all is fine. That is the underlying idea of the strategy and it has historically worked very well.
However, if you dissect trend following models you can find weaknesses which could be exploited. This is what counter trend trading models are about. These counter trend models usually operate on a shorter time frame and with nearly opposite logic.
As counter trend models are gaining popularity in the systematic trading hedge fund field, a few questions arise. Are these models a threat to trend following? Can they be a complement to trend following? Can trend following be adapted to be less susceptible to the counter trend issue?
This presentation provide a general overview on Algorithmic trading. It has basic definitions and some details on general aspect of the environment in which algo trading is used.
There are 3 entry level of fibonacci retracement. In this pdf ebook will tell you the 3 entry level. Stop loss, and your target profits.
This entry level is also suitable for beginners.
This months speaker is Quantitative Researcher Yann-Shin Aaron Chen. Chen grew up in Taipei and moved to Southern California when he was a teenager. He participated in numerous math and physics competitions in high school and was ranked in the top 24 students in the US Physics Olympiad. He obtained a B.A. in mathematics at U.C. Berkeley, and got his PhD also at Berkeley in 2012. During his graduate studies, he did a summer internship at Morgan Stanley. After graduation, he joined Citadel, one of the largest hedge funds in US, as a quantitative researcher and worked there for 5 years. He left Citadel a few months ago, and he is now looking forward to his next venture.
Quantitative trading is a relatively new field in the world of finance. With the advances of information technology and data science, quantitative trading has generated significant interest in the past decade. In his talk, Aaron will cover the basic facts about quantitative trading and open the floor for questions. This short presentation is intended for people that are not in this industry and want to learn more about it.
"Portfolio Optimisation When You Don’t Know the Future (or the Past)" by Rob...Quantopian
We generally assume the past is a good guide to the future, but well do we even know the past? What effect does this uncertainty when estimating inputs have on the notoriously unstable algorithms for portfolio optimization?
I explore this issue, look at some commonly used solutions, and also introduce some alternative methods.
Click here for more information on range trading
http://www.netpicks.com/simple-range-trading-strategy/
Here is some information on range trading:
It’s been said that a market only trends 30% of the time.
I can’t quantify that figure but having a range trading strategy to take advantage of the other 70% is good business.
Range trading is not difficult however it does require discipline and a method of determining when a trading range is in play.
For more information on range trading click here:
http://www.netpicks.com/simple-range-trading-strategy/
A Guided Tour of Machine Learning for Traders by Tucker Balch at QuantCon 2016Quantopian
You’ve probably heard about Machine Learning and you likely know it is of emerging importance for trading and investing. Unfortunately it is a deeply technical field and the complexity and jargon get in the way of broader use and understanding. There are literally hundreds of learning algorithms that each solve a slightly different problem. Which algorithms really matter for investing? In this presentation, Professor Balch will help declutter the ML jungle. He’ll introduce a few of the most important ML algorithms and show how they can be applied to the challenges of trading.
Trade Forex From Home - 10 Biggest Mistakes New Forex Traders Make (And How T...ForexTraining
Its a fact that 94% of new Forex traders fail. Read the '10 Biggest Mistakes New Traders Make' so you don't make them too. The report has been written by me, Annabel Meade from http://www.tradeforexfromhome.com. I educate people to work less and earn more trading the Forex market. How much would you like to earn working 15 hours or less per week?
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong WayNetpicksTrading
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
- See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/support-resistance/
Support and resistance trading is a popular technical analysis method of trading. The bad part is that many traders enter trades blindly at these levels without a firm understanding of what they mean.
Learn about trading support and resistance and see if your trading results improve.
- See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/support-resistance/
- Visit our website: http://www.netpicks.com/
- Download the free indicator blueprint: http://www.netpicks.com/blueprint/
- Options Hot List PLUS Training: http://www.netpicks.com/oftbrightbreakthroughs
support, resistance, support and resistance trading, reversals, trend
"From Trading Strategy to Becoming an Industry Professional – How to Break in...Quantopian
You have created a great trading strategy, backtested, traded it and now you want to take it to the next level. You may find that developing the strategy was just the first of many difficult steps.
With the increased availability of low cost, high quality quant modelling platforms, the field is much more open than it once was. The interest for algorithmic trading his higher than ever and anyone has the potential develop a great trading model.
But having a great trading model is not enough. The work is not done yet.
This presentation will discuss turning your algorithmic trading strategy into a business or a great job, and becoming a professional trader. We’re going to talk about what it takes to move to the next level and where the common pitfalls lay. What kind of strategies are marketable are which are not. The pros and cons of trading your own money and how to go about finding external capital and gaining traction in the business.
Are you ready to take the step?
This short course introduces traders to trading strategies and methods used in the Master in Trading Course at Online Finance Academy. Learn how we integrate probability analysis, order flow, market profile, volume analysis, chart patterns and macro-fundamentals into a comprehensive trading strategy.
These are the slides used during the seminar "Introduction to Technical analysis". Will be blogging more about them in detail in further posts. Check out my blog http://trilokhg.blogspot.com for more.
Identifying Rich and Cheap Implied Volatility - Equity OptionsRYAN RENICKER
Actionable trade ideas for stock market investors and traders seeking alpha by overlaying their portfolios with options, other derivatives, ETFs, and disciplined and applied Game Theory for hedge fund managers and other active fund managers worldwide. Ryan Renicker, CFA
Options on the VIX and Mean Reversion in Implied Volatility Skews RYAN RENICKER
Actionable trade ideas for stock market investors and traders seeking alpha by overlaying their portfolios with options, other derivatives, ETFs, and disciplined and applied Game Theory for hedge fund managers and other active fund managers worldwide. Ryan Renicker, CFA
The Lehman Brothers Volatility Screening ToolRYAN RENICKER
Actionable trade ideas for stock market investors and traders seeking alpha by overlaying their portfolios with options, other derivatives, ETFs, and disciplined and applied Game Theory for hedge fund managers and other active fund managers worldwide. Ryan Renicker, CFA
Short Variance Swap Strategies on the S&P 500 Index Profitable, Yet RiskyRYAN RENICKER
Actionable trade ideas for stock market investors and traders seeking alpha by overlaying their portfolios with options, other derivatives, ETFs, and disciplined and applied Game Theory for hedge fund managers and other active fund managers worldwide. Ryan Renicker, CFA
Realized and implied index skews, jumps, and the failure of the minimum-varia...Volatility
1) Empirical evidence for the log-normality of implied and realized volatilities of stock indices
2) Apply the beta stochastic volatility (SV) model for quantifying implied and realized index skews
3) Origin of the premium for risk-neutral skews and its impacts on profit-and-loss (P\&L) of delta-hedging strategies
4) Closed-form solution for the mean-reverting log-normal beta SV model
5) Optimal delta-hedging strategies to improve Sharpe ratios
6) Argue why log-normal beta SV model is better than its alternatives
Enhanced Call Overwriting*
Systematically overwriting the S&P 500 with 1-month at-the-money calls, rebalanced on a monthly basis at expiration, outperformed the S&P 500 Index during our sample period (1996 – 2005). This “base case” overwriting strategy also generated superior risk-adjusted returns versus the index.
Overwriting portfolios with out-of-the-money calls tends to outperform at-the-money overwriting during market rallies, but provides less protection during market downturns. However, out-of-the money overwriting also results in relatively higher return variability and inferior risk-adjusted performance.
During the sample period, overwriting the S&P 500 with short-dated options, rebalanced more frequently, outperformed overwriting with longer-dated options, rebalanced less frequently. We discuss possible explanations for these performance differences.
We find that going long the market during periods of heightened short-term anxiety, inferred from the presence of relatively high S&P 500 1-month at-the-money implied volatility, has, on average, been a winning strategy. To a slightly lesser extent, having relatively less exposure to the market during periods of complacency – or relatively low implied market implied volatility – was also beneficial.
We create an “enhanced” overwriting strategy – whereby investors systematically overwrite the S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100 with disproportionately fewer (more) calls against the indices when risk expectations are relatively high (low).
Our enhanced overwriting portfolios handily outperformed the base case overwrite portfolios and the respective underlying indices, on an absolute and risk-adjusted basis. For example, the average annual return for the S&P 500 enhanced overwriting portfolio from 1997 – 2005 was 7.9%, versus 6.6% for the base case overwrite portfolio and 5.5% for the S&P 500 Index.
Overwriting with fewer calls when implied volatility is rich, and more calls when implied volatility is cheap, could improve the absolute and risk-adjusted performance of index-oriented overwriting portfolios.
This goes against the conventional tendency for investors to sell calls against their positions when implied volatility is high.
*Renicker, Ryan and Devapriya Mallick., “Enhanced Call Overwriting.”, Lehman,Brothers Global Equity Research Nov 17, 2005.
Style-Oriented Option Investing - Value vs. Growth?RYAN RENICKER
Actionable trade ideas for stock market investors and traders seeking alpha by overlaying their portfolios with options, other derivatives, ETFs, and disciplined and applied Game Theory for hedge fund managers and other active fund managers worldwide. Ryan Renicker, CFA
Convertible Bonds and Call Overwrites - 2007RYAN RENICKER
Actionable trade ideas for stock market investors and traders seeking alpha by overlaying their portfolios with options, other derivatives, ETFs, and disciplined and applied Game Theory for hedge fund managers and other active fund managers worldwide. Ryan Renicker, CFA
Consistently Modeling Joint Dynamics of Volatility and Underlying To Enable E...Volatility
1) Analyze the dependence between returns and volatility in conventional stochastic volatility (SV) models
2) Introduce the beta SV model by Karasinski-Sepp, "Beta Stochastic Volatility Model", Risk, October 2012
3) Illustrate intuitive and robust calibration of the beta SV model to historical and implied data
4) Mix local and stochastic volatility in the beta SV model to produce different volatility regimes and equity delta
Stochastic Local Volatility Models: Theory and ImplementationVolatility
1) Hedging and volatility
2) Review of volatility models
3) Local volatility models with jumps and stochastic volatility
4) Calibration using Kolmogorov equations
5) PDE based methods in one dimension
5) PDE based methods in two dimensions
7) Illustrations
Pricing Exotics using Change of NumeraireSwati Mital
The intention of this essay is to show how change of numeraire technique is used in pricing derivatives with complex payoffs. In the first instance, we apply the technique to pricing European Call Options and then use the same method to price an exotic Power Option.
Risk valuation for securities with limited liquidityJack Sarkissian
Everything seems simple with liquid securities - price is known, risks are more or less known too. It becomes a lot harder when we get illiquid instruments in the book. This is why we developed this model to enable modeling of securities with low liquidity and evaluate impact of risk sources associated with liquidity. And in order to do that we had to demonstrate that price formation has quantum chaotic character.
This short course introduces novice traders to spread trading strategies on the US Treasury futures market. . Answers to questions relating to the yield curve, fixed income markets, and economic macro-fundamentals are offered.
Option Pricing Models Lecture NotesThis week’s assignment is .docxhopeaustin33688
Option Pricing Models Lecture Notes:
This week’s assignment is quite complex. Keep in mind that the theory behind these pricing models is the important thing to remember for this week’s assignment.
If you feel the need to understand the Black Scholes (BSOPM) model in greater detail, I direct you to and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Scholes.
The models we discuss this week can be used via MS Excel templates, which you will find uploaded to the course content section of our classroom under this week’s folder. There is also an alternative calculator, courtesy of 888options.com located at the Binomial & Black Scholes Calculator link. I strongly encourage you to try these out to get a feel for how the different variables play into the final determination of pricing.
1. Binomial options pricing model
In finance, the binomial options pricing model provides a generalisable numerical method for the valuation of options. The binomial model was first proposed by Cox, Ross and Rubinstein (1979). Essentially, the model uses a "discrete-time" model of the varying price over time of the underlying financial instrument. Option valuation is then via application of therisk neutrality assumption over the life of the option, as the price of the underlying instrument evolves.
Use of the model
The Binomial options pricing model approach is widely used as it is able to handle a variety of conditions for which other models cannot easily be applied. This is largely because the BOPM models the underlying instrument over time - as opposed to at a particular point. For example, the model is used to value American options which can be exercised at any point and Bermudan options which can be exercised at various points.
The model is also relatively simple, mathematically, and can therefore be readily implemented in a software (or even spreadsheet) environment. Although slower than the Black-Scholes model, it is considered more accurate, particularly for longer-dated options, and options on securities with dividend payments. For these reasons, various versions of the binomial model are widely used by practitioners in the options markets.
For options with several sources of uncertainty (e.g. real options), or for options with complicated features (e.g. Asian options), lattice methods face several difficulties and are not practical. Monte Carlo option models are generally used in these cases. Monte Carlo simulation is, however, time-consuming in terms of computation, and is not used when the Lattice approach (or a formula) will suffice. See Monte Carlo methods in finance.
Methodology
The binomial pricing model uses a "discrete-time framework" to trace the evolution of the option's key underlying variable via a binomial lattice (tree), for a given number of time steps between valuation date and option expiration.
Each node in the lattice represents a possible price of the underlying, at a particular point in time. This price evolution forms the basis for t.
Statistical Arbitrage
Pairs Trading, Long-Short Strategy
Cyrille BEN LEMRID

1 Pairs Trading Model 5
1.1 Generaldiscussion ................................ 5 1.2 Cointegration ................................... 6 1.3 Spreaddynamics ................................. 7
2 State of the art and model overview 9
2.1 StochasticDependenciesinFinancialTimeSeries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2.2 Cointegration-basedtradingstrategies ..................... 10 2.3 FormulationasaStochasticControlProblem. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.4 Fundamentalanalysis............................... 16
3 Strategies Analysis 19
3.1 Roadmapforstrategydesign .......................... 19 3.2 Identificationofpotentialpairs ......................... 19 3.3 Testingcointegration ............................... 20 3.4 Riskcontrolandfeasibility............................ 20
4 Results
22
2
Contents

Introduction
This report presents my research work carried out at Credit Suisse from May to September 2012. This study has been pursued in collaboration with the Global Arbitrage Strategies team.
Quantitative analysis strategy developers use sophisticated statistical and optimization techniques to discover and construct new algorithms. These algorithms take advantage of the short term deviation from the ”fair” securities’ prices. Pairs trading is one such quantitative strategy - it is a process of identifying securities that generally move together but are currently ”drifting away”.
Pairs trading is a common strategy among many hedge funds and banks. However, there is not a significant amount of academic literature devoted to it due to its proprietary nature. For a review of some of the existing academic models, see [6], [8], [11] .
Our focus for this analysis is the study of two quantitative approaches to the problem of pairs trading, the first one uses the properties of co-integrated financial time series as a basis for trading strategy, in the second one we model the log-relationship between a pair of stock prices as an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and use this to formulate a portfolio optimization based stochastic control problem.
This study was performed to show that under certain assumptions the two approaches are equivalent.
Practitioners most often use a fundamentally driven approach, analyzing the performance of stocks around a market event and implement strategies using back-tested trading levels.
We also study an example of a fundamentally driven strategy, using market reaction to a stock being dropped or added to the MSCI World Standard, as a signal for a pair trading strategy on those stocks once their inclusion/exclusion has been made effective.
This report is organized as follows. Section 1 provides some background on pairs trading strategy. The theoretical results are described in Section 2. Section 3
Mastering the Broadening Wedge Pattern: A Trader's Comprehensive GuideFx Lotus
Explore the dynamics of the Broadening Wedge Pattern with our comprehensive guide. Learn about its features, trading strategies, and key indicators to navigate market volatility successfully. Uncover the insights you need to make informed trading decisions.
A presentation that Andreas and my self (Jacques) presented on behalf of the Financial Services Board both in Cape Town and Pretoria as well as the University of Stellenbosch
This presentation serves as study notes for the e-learning material titled: "South African Hedge funds and International Developments"
These notes focus on UCITS IV and its Impact on the Industry.
http://www.hedgefund-sa.co.za/ucits
This presentation serves as study notes for the e-learning material titled: "South African Hedge funds and international developments"
These notes focus on Solvency II and its Impact on the Hedge Fund Industry.
http://www.hedgefund-sa.co.za/solvency-ii
This presentation serves as study notes for the e-learning material titled: "South African Hedge funds and international developments"
These notes focus on the amended Regulation 28 South Africa and its Impact on the Hedge Fund Industry.
http://www.hedgefund-sa.co.za/regulation-28
This presentation serves as study notes for the e-learning material titled: "South African Hedge funds and international developments"
These notes focus on the new proposed Hedge Fund framework in South Africa and its Impact on the Hedge Fund Industry.
http://www.hedgefund-sa.co.za/new-proposed-framework
This presentation serves as study notes for the e-learning material titled: "South African Hedge funds and international developments"
These notes focus on FATCA and its Impact on the Hedge Fund Industry.
http://www.hedgefund-sa.co.za/fatca
This presentation serves as study notes for the e-learning material titled: "South African Hedge funds and international developments"
These notes focus on Dodd Frank and its Impact on the Hedge Fund Industry.
http://www.hedgefund-sa.co.za/dodd-frank
A short PPT that we used in creating our youtube video on Hedge funds and their clients.
Here is a link to the video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=miaqaAe83h4
And our Website: http://www.hedgefund-sa.co.za/
This presentation serves as study notes for the e-learning material titled: "South African Hedge funds and international developments"
These notes focus on AIFMD and its Impact on the Hedge Fund Industry.
http://www.hedgefund-sa.co.za/aifmd
Business Valuation Principles for EntrepreneursBen Wann
This insightful presentation is designed to equip entrepreneurs with the essential knowledge and tools needed to accurately value their businesses. Understanding business valuation is crucial for making informed decisions, whether you're seeking investment, planning to sell, or simply want to gauge your company's worth.
"𝑩𝑬𝑮𝑼𝑵 𝑾𝑰𝑻𝑯 𝑻𝑱 𝑰𝑺 𝑯𝑨𝑳𝑭 𝑫𝑶𝑵𝑬"
𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐬 (𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬) is a professional event agency that includes experts in the event-organizing market in Vietnam, Korea, and ASEAN countries. We provide unlimited types of events from Music concerts, Fan meetings, and Culture festivals to Corporate events, Internal company events, Golf tournaments, MICE events, and Exhibitions.
𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐬 provides unlimited package services including such as Event organizing, Event planning, Event production, Manpower, PR marketing, Design 2D/3D, VIP protocols, Interpreter agency, etc.
Sports events - Golf competitions/billiards competitions/company sports events: dynamic and challenging
⭐ 𝐅𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐬:
➢ 2024 BAEKHYUN [Lonsdaleite] IN HO CHI MINH
➢ SUPER JUNIOR-L.S.S. THE SHOW : Th3ee Guys in HO CHI MINH
➢FreenBecky 1st Fan Meeting in Vietnam
➢CHILDREN ART EXHIBITION 2024: BEYOND BARRIERS
➢ WOW K-Music Festival 2023
➢ Winner [CROSS] Tour in HCM
➢ Super Show 9 in HCM with Super Junior
➢ HCMC - Gyeongsangbuk-do Culture and Tourism Festival
➢ Korean Vietnam Partnership - Fair with LG
➢ Korean President visits Samsung Electronics R&D Center
➢ Vietnam Food Expo with Lotte Wellfood
"𝐄𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐚 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲, 𝐚 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐣𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐞𝐲. 𝐖𝐞 𝐚𝐥𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐥𝐲 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐞 𝐚 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬."
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptxWorkforce Group
Cultivating and maintaining discipline within teams is a critical differentiator for successful organisations.
Forward-thinking leaders and business managers understand the impact that discipline has on organisational success. A disciplined workforce operates with clarity, focus, and a shared understanding of expectations, ultimately driving better results, optimising productivity, and facilitating seamless collaboration.
Although discipline is not a one-size-fits-all approach, it can help create a work environment that encourages personal growth and accountability rather than solely relying on punitive measures.
In this deck, you will learn the significance of workplace discipline for organisational success. You’ll also learn
• Four (4) workplace discipline methods you should consider
• The best and most practical approach to implementing workplace discipline.
• Three (3) key tips to maintain a disciplined workplace.
Personal Brand Statement:
As an Army veteran dedicated to lifelong learning, I bring a disciplined, strategic mindset to my pursuits. I am constantly expanding my knowledge to innovate and lead effectively. My journey is driven by a commitment to excellence, and to make a meaningful impact in the world.
Premium MEAN Stack Development Solutions for Modern BusinessesSynapseIndia
Stay ahead of the curve with our premium MEAN Stack Development Solutions. Our expert developers utilize MongoDB, Express.js, AngularJS, and Node.js to create modern and responsive web applications. Trust us for cutting-edge solutions that drive your business growth and success.
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Remote sensing and monitoring are changing the mining industry for the better. These are providing innovative solutions to long-standing challenges. Those related to exploration, extraction, and overall environmental management by mining technology companies Odisha. These technologies make use of satellite imaging, aerial photography and sensors to collect data that might be inaccessible or from hazardous locations. With the use of this technology, mining operations are becoming increasingly efficient. Let us gain more insight into the key aspects associated with remote sensing and monitoring when it comes to mining.
Attending a job Interview for B1 and B2 Englsih learnersErika906060
It is a sample of an interview for a business english class for pre-intermediate and intermediate english students with emphasis on the speking ability.
Improving profitability for small businessBen Wann
In this comprehensive presentation, we will explore strategies and practical tips for enhancing profitability in small businesses. Tailored to meet the unique challenges faced by small enterprises, this session covers various aspects that directly impact the bottom line. Attendees will learn how to optimize operational efficiency, manage expenses, and increase revenue through innovative marketing and customer engagement techniques.
Accpac to QuickBooks Conversion Navigating the Transition with Online Account...PaulBryant58
This article provides a comprehensive guide on how to
effectively manage the convert Accpac to QuickBooks , with a particular focus on utilizing online accounting services to streamline the process.
Enterprise Excellence is Inclusive Excellence.pdfKaiNexus
Enterprise excellence and inclusive excellence are closely linked, and real-world challenges have shown that both are essential to the success of any organization. To achieve enterprise excellence, organizations must focus on improving their operations and processes while creating an inclusive environment that engages everyone. In this interactive session, the facilitator will highlight commonly established business practices and how they limit our ability to engage everyone every day. More importantly, though, participants will likely gain increased awareness of what we can do differently to maximize enterprise excellence through deliberate inclusion.
What is Enterprise Excellence?
Enterprise Excellence is a holistic approach that's aimed at achieving world-class performance across all aspects of the organization.
What might I learn?
A way to engage all in creating Inclusive Excellence. Lessons from the US military and their parallels to the story of Harry Potter. How belt systems and CI teams can destroy inclusive practices. How leadership language invites people to the party. There are three things leaders can do to engage everyone every day: maximizing psychological safety to create environments where folks learn, contribute, and challenge the status quo.
Who might benefit? Anyone and everyone leading folks from the shop floor to top floor.
Dr. William Harvey is a seasoned Operations Leader with extensive experience in chemical processing, manufacturing, and operations management. At Michelman, he currently oversees multiple sites, leading teams in strategic planning and coaching/practicing continuous improvement. William is set to start his eighth year of teaching at the University of Cincinnati where he teaches marketing, finance, and management. William holds various certifications in change management, quality, leadership, operational excellence, team building, and DiSC, among others.
2. Volatility trading
Index:
1. What is volatility?
1.1. Implied Volatility versus Realized Volatility
2. Why is it so important for options trading?
3. Distributional Properties of Volatility
3.1. Volatility Mean Reversion
3.2. Volatility Smile/Skew
3.3. Term Structure of Volatility
4. Volatility Strategies in Practice
4.1. Volatility dispersion or dispersion trading
4.2. Volatility spread
4.3. Gamma trading strategy
5. References
3. 1. What is volatility?
Volatility, for the most sources, is to measure the
annualized standard deviation of the percentage
change in the price of the underlying stock or
index, in a continuously compounded basis - log
return. (Marshall 2008)
4. 1. What is volatility?
1.1. Implied Volatility versus Realized
Volatility
Realized volatility: measure of how volatile a stock’s
price has actually been when measured over some
past period of time, is a backward looking measuring.
(Marshall 2008)
ppy – periods per year
Implied volatility: look to the implied volatilities at
various points in time in the past, is a forward looking
(Marshall 2008)
5. 2. Why is it so important for options
trading?
According Klein (2006):
constant volatilities for different options are assumed by
options theory;
the volatility is similar a rough ocean with continuous
waves and changing wind directions
The investor can follow the waves and use the right
wind breeze to make decisions, trading gains without
risking a lot.
6. 3. Distributional Properties of Volatility
3.1. Volatility Mean Reversion
Volatility tend to return to their historical averages –
being mean reverting, over the long term. (Marshall
2008)
7. 3. Distributional Properties of Volatility
3.2. Volatility Smile/Skew
Volatility smile or volatility skew (Marshall 2008):
Implied volatility tends to be:
low for at-the-money (ATM) calls and puts;
higher for out-of-the-money (OTM) calls and puts and for in-themoney (ITM) calls and puts and for.
The graph: “smiling face”
8. 3. Distributional Properties of Volatility
3.3. Term Structure of Volatility
Term structure of volatility - relationship between time
to expiry and its option’s implied volatility. (Marshall
2008)
The more time to expiration -> the higher the
implied volatility.
9. 3.3. Term Structure of Volatility
Volatility smile/skew and the term structure of volatility
combination: to develop a three-dimensional image
“volatility surface”
Is a three-dimensional graph which displays strike price
(volatility smile) and volatility as a function of time to expiry
(term structure of volatility) for a particular underlying.
(Marshall 2008)
10. 4. Volatility Strategies in Practice
4.1. Volatility dispersion or dispersion trading
Volatility dispersion or dispersion trading:
Involves buying the volatility of the index components
using at-the-money options (i.e., buying equity options)
and selling volatility (i.e., writing options) on a stock
index and. (Nelken 2006)
11. 4.2. Volatility spread
Volatility spread:
Involves, for example, to buy the delta-neutral number of
one-year options with a low implicit volatility and, at the
same time, sell short-term options with a high implicit
volatility.
This can be displayed via simple call-call or put-put
combinations in the same basic value with the same basic
price and also short and long straddles. (Klein 2006)
12. 4.3. Gamma trading strategy
Gamma trading strategy:
Long gamma trading strategy: is a large profit if
unexpected external shocks occur, eg terrorist
attacks, political elections, and environmental
catastrophes. (Klein 2006)
13. 5. References
Klein, H., 2006, ‘Volatility Trading’, in Eureka Hedge, viewed
2 August 2013, from
http://www.eurekahedge.com/news/16_june_Davinci_Vola
tility_Trading.asp
Marshall, C.M., 2008, ‘Volatility trading: Hedge Funds and
the search for alpha’, Dissertation, Department of
Economics, Fordham University;
Nelken, I., 2006, ‘Variance Swap Volatility Dispersion’
Derivatives Use, Trading & Regulation, 11(4): 334.