OBJECTIVES:
At the endof one hundred twenty-minute period, the learners will be
able to:
1.Analyze current trends and determine the emerging patterns that
contribute to their popularity and longevity.
2. Show interest in learning about how trends shape various aspects
of society, such as technology, fashion, business, and culture.
3. Create a visual presentation or infographic illustrating the life
cycle of an emerging trend and its influencing factors.
Trend is amovement or behavior geared towards a certain
direction. Furthermore,
a trend also implies change.
Pattern is a series of data that repeats in a recognizable
way period. It can be identified in the history of the asset
being evaluated or other assets with similar
characteristics. Patterns can occur within a downward or
upward trend, or they can mark the beginning of a new
trend.
5.
Emerging Patterns aresets of items whose frequency changes
significantly from one dataset to another. They are useful as a means
of discovering distinctions inherently present amongst a collection
dataset and have been shown to be a powerful method for
construction accurate classifiers.
Time is a moment, hour, day or year as indicated by a clock or
calendar. It is the
most important factor which ensures success in a business. It’s
difficult to keep up with the speed of time.
Time Series Forecasting is used to predict future values based on
previously
observed values.
6.
Parts that Emergea Trend
The entirety is understood by their component consciousness.
The parts, as products of the total division, can only be understood
through understanding of the whole. The classical German
philosophers F. Von Schelling and G. Hegel introduced the
distinction between the inorganic and the inorganic (self-
developing) whole; the organic whole, however, was associated with
nonmaterial development only, and not with matter.
In the 19th and 20th centuries, in the frequent principled
schools of thought, such as neovitalism, holism, and intuitivism,
the connection between parts and whole was viewed in similar
terms.
7.
Emergence of Trends
Howdo we distinguish that a trend is preliminary emerging? The
capacity to recognize emerging trends is engrained in our capacity to
distinguish patterns. This, of development, lies in the inside works of the
human brain, which are established in our intellectual processes. Our
encounter with patterns was helped by involvement and managed by the
mind through concept and simplification.
According to the philosopher John Locke, there are no innate
ideas. All of the philosophies that we have are resulting from involvement
and that every composite idea that we have in our mind can be drawn
back to a simple idea. Experience, for Locke, is contained of awareness
and reflection.
According to Duinand Pekalska (2007), outline
recognition is categorized by three phases, namely,
representation, generalization and evaluation.
Adaptation, which serves as an intermediary phase is
also involved in the development.
Identifying the emergence of trends is categorized by
our capacity to identify patterns. The procedure of
pattern recognition is characterized by three stages,
namely:
11.
1. Representation –real world objects
have to be represented in a formal way
in order to be examined and associated.
Representation is an essential aspect of
pattern recognition and is different from
classification. It largely influences the
success of the stages to come.
12.
Adaptation is anintermediate stage between
representation and generalization, in which
representations, learning methodology or problem
statement are adapted or extended in order to
enhance the final recognition. It may reduce or
simplify the representation, or it may enrich it by
emphasizing particular aspects. Exploratory data
analysis may be used to guide the choices of
suitable learning strategies.
13.
2. Generalization orInference – in this stage
we learn a concept from a training set, the set
of known and appropriately represented
examples, in such a way that prediction can
be made in some unknown properties of new
examples. The most common property is the
class of pattern it belongs to, which is the
above mention classification task.
14.
3. Evaluation –in this stage we
estimate how our (pattern
recognition process) performs on
known training and validation data.
If the results are unsatisfactory, then
the previous steps have to be
considered.
Cause – areason for doing or feeling something. Something
that brings about an effect or a result.
Consequence – is what happens as a result of the cause.
Technology – the use of science in industry, engineering, etc.
Education – the action of process of teaching someone
especially in a school, college, or university.
Social Media – forms of electronic communication (such as
web sites) through which users create online communities to
share information, ideas, personal messages, other content
(such as videos).
Fashion – a prevailing custom, usage, or style.
Medicine – substance or preparation used in treating disease.
25.
• Causes andConsequences of a Trend
‘Causality’ is the connection of the
phenomena in which one thing is the cause
gives rise to or causes something else the
effect under certain circumstances. Its
essence and importance lies in the
generation and determination of one
phenomenon. – Alexander Spirkin.
26.
Meanwhile, regarding causeand effect, it appears, that many
of the things that we experienced in the world are
characterized by the cause and effect. This is also crucial for us
in identifying patterns. Interestingly, cause and effect can be
useful in recognizing patterns. Example, change in oil prices
can cause changes in the price of commodities as their
consequences. From this, we can say that the pattern or trend
is: high oil prices = high prices of commodities whereas low
oil prices = low prices of commodities. This relationship
between cause and consequences and the emergence of trend
or pattern have proven to be very useful to us in many
occasions.
27.
Apart from theseeming nature of the world to be
organized in a particular pattern that enable us to
see and analyzed to identify emerging trends,
there are other external factors that influence such
emergence. These factors also play a vital role in
the promotion and endurance of trends. These
factors are technology, education, social media,
fashion and medicine.