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The Rise in Economic
Inequality:
Causes and Cures
Greg Mankiw
April 2016
Today’s Surprising Politics
“an economy and a
political system that has
been rigged by Wall
Street”
Facts
GDP Growth over Past 10 Years
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1957-01
1958-12
1960-11
1962-10
1964-09
1966-08
1968-07
1970-06
1972-05
1974-04
1976-03
1978-02
1980-01
1981-12
1983-11
1985-10
1987-09
1989-08
1991-07
1993-06
1995-05
1997-04
1999-03
2001-02
2003-01
2004-12
2006-11
2008-10
2010-09
2012-08
2014-07
%
Source: Goldin and Katz from census data.
The One Percent
(Threshold is $423,000 in 2014)
Top 0.01 % Income Share
(Threshold is about $9,750,000 in 2014)
Source: Piketty and Saez.
An Aside on Mobility
• If your income
is at the 99th
percentile, at
what percentile
should you
expect your
children to be?
• Nature or
nurture?
Source: Chetty et al., 2014.
Hypotheses
Why Slow Growth?
• The future ain’t what it used to be
Why Rising Inequality?
• A tug of war: Education versus Technology
A Slowdown in Educational Attainment
Source: Goldin and Katz.
The Rising Return to Education
Source: David H Autor, Science 2014;344:843-851
Other Reasons for Rising Inequality
• Globalization
• Superstars
• Women’s movement
& assortative mating
Trends in the correlation between
husbands' and wives' earnings
Source: Earnings Inequality and the Changing Association between Spouses’ Earnings, Christine R. Schwartz,
American Journal of Sociology , Vol. 115, No. 5 (March 2010), pp. 1524-1557.
Policies
What can we do?
• Many root causes are nearly impossible to alter
• Except:
• Treating the symptoms
33
22
13
3
Optimal redistribution?
• Normative, not positive.
• The Utilitarianism of
Jeremy Bentham (1748-
1832)
• The role of diminishing
marginal utility
Questioning Utilitarianism
• Is utility interpersonally comparable?
• What about differences in tastes?
• Revolting(?) implications: Trolley problems
• “Tagging” and the optimal taxation of height
One final thought
• Americans living at
the poverty line are
poorer than 85% of
their fellow citizens.
• But they are richer
than 85% of people
in the world.
Thank you!

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The Rise in Economic Equality: Causes and Cures

  • 1. The Rise in Economic Inequality: Causes and Cures Greg Mankiw April 2016
  • 2. Today’s Surprising Politics “an economy and a political system that has been rigged by Wall Street”
  • 4. GDP Growth over Past 10 Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 1957-01 1958-12 1960-11 1962-10 1964-09 1966-08 1968-07 1970-06 1972-05 1974-04 1976-03 1978-02 1980-01 1981-12 1983-11 1985-10 1987-09 1989-08 1991-07 1993-06 1995-05 1997-04 1999-03 2001-02 2003-01 2004-12 2006-11 2008-10 2010-09 2012-08 2014-07 %
  • 5. Source: Goldin and Katz from census data.
  • 6. The One Percent (Threshold is $423,000 in 2014)
  • 7. Top 0.01 % Income Share (Threshold is about $9,750,000 in 2014) Source: Piketty and Saez.
  • 8. An Aside on Mobility • If your income is at the 99th percentile, at what percentile should you expect your children to be? • Nature or nurture? Source: Chetty et al., 2014.
  • 10. Why Slow Growth? • The future ain’t what it used to be
  • 11. Why Rising Inequality? • A tug of war: Education versus Technology
  • 12. A Slowdown in Educational Attainment Source: Goldin and Katz.
  • 13. The Rising Return to Education Source: David H Autor, Science 2014;344:843-851
  • 14. Other Reasons for Rising Inequality • Globalization • Superstars • Women’s movement & assortative mating
  • 15. Trends in the correlation between husbands' and wives' earnings Source: Earnings Inequality and the Changing Association between Spouses’ Earnings, Christine R. Schwartz, American Journal of Sociology , Vol. 115, No. 5 (March 2010), pp. 1524-1557.
  • 17. What can we do? • Many root causes are nearly impossible to alter • Except: • Treating the symptoms
  • 19. Optimal redistribution? • Normative, not positive. • The Utilitarianism of Jeremy Bentham (1748- 1832) • The role of diminishing marginal utility
  • 20. Questioning Utilitarianism • Is utility interpersonally comparable? • What about differences in tastes? • Revolting(?) implications: Trolley problems • “Tagging” and the optimal taxation of height
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. One final thought • Americans living at the poverty line are poorer than 85% of their fellow citizens. • But they are richer than 85% of people in the world.