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SMI Joint Forces Simulation and Training Conference – Farnborough UK
                          4/5 February 2013


    THE LIVE/SYNTHETIC BALANCE:
      OPERATIONAL AND POLICY
            PERSPECTIVES

       Andy Fawkes & Rory Cunningham




                    Pictures: BBC – Phil Coomes – Picture Editor
Live-Synthetic Balance



!!                          
            ?        *       #
      !          ?
Overview
Policy Perspective           Operational Perspective
•   Why Simulation           •   Cost vs Capability
•   Trends                   •   COTS Technology
•   Beyond Simulation        •   What‟s being done
•   How to Respond           •   EDA
•   Future of Training?      •   Simulation For The Frontline
                             •   HERRICK
                             •   ELLAMY
                             •   Tomorrow‟s Conflict


                          Summary
SMI Joint Forces Simulation and Training Conference – 4/5 February 2013

The Live/Synthetic Balance: Operational and Policy Perspectives




                     Policy Perspective



                             Andy Fawkes
UK Military Training and Education

•   Scale - 257,160 Military/Civilian (2011)
•   Depth – eg. Fighter Pilot, Reactor Operator
•   Breadth – Apache Pilot through to Cook
•   Flexibility – Changing Operations




                Source DASA:- UK Defence Statistics 2011
Why Use Simulation?

Improve
                            Safety
Training


Reduce                      Reduce
 Costs                   Environmental
                            Impact

           Reduce Time
             to Train
Cost of Training

Weapons

  Fuel

Platforms

 People            Fuel
                Simulation
                  People
 Estate
                  Estate
  Live          Simulation
How much?
        ?
• “Cost Simulation 20% of Live Training”

            • “Save £100m‟s”
                                           $
£
     • “Cost Simulation 5% of Live Training”

  • “Training 20% of Defence Budget”       €
The Mysteries of Simulation
                  CGF          VV&A     LVC      SEDRIS
 SOAP                                                     DIS
          MSHTF         TENA           Agent-based
  DTEC                                                     HLA
            RTI                 Architectures       ASP
                   Federate
  SISO                         SCORM         CBML     CORBA
             DLP         AI
  MCTS                         AR     DTED    Serious Gaming
          SEBA      CATT
   VR                          Distributed M&S        AVCATT
             Monte Carlo
                                              FOM
      NMSG              Human-in-the-loop            DoDAF
synthetic environment            DSALT              ITEC
                       BOM               Latency
                                   I/ITSEC       Emulation
          Constructive Accreditation
Nothing New? Predominantly Mechanical Era




               Images - Imperial War Museum
Predominantly Bespoke Electronic Era




               Images: Lockheed Martin
Predominantly Consumer-Driven Digital Era




             The Defence Equipment Plan 2012



               Images: MoD, Royal Navy, Army, Bohemia
Trends

1900s 1910s 1920s 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s

                                                                        Cloud?
                                                                        Mobile?

                                                             Predominantly
                                                            Digital Consumer

                                    Predominantly Bespoke
                                          Electronic

            Predominantly
             Mechanical


1900s 1910s 1920s 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s
Access to Simulation



                                                        1000’s
Numbers




                                         100’s


          10’s

                 1990             2000           2010
The Live Synthetic Balance




•   Language – What does the word “Synthetic” Convey?
•   Culture - “Live will never be replaced”
•   Assessing Training Cost Effectiveness is Difficult
•   Technology is Changing and so do Operations
•   How often do we change the Way we Manage?
UK MoD - The Defence Equipment Plan 2012

                “A priority for future
                investment when funds
                allow will be to expand our
                investment in simulated
                pilot training”

                              31 January 2013
And it‟s not just Simulation….. 20 Years Ago
Now - Training and Education
Knowledge in Your Hands
Recruit Expectations
Digital and Online Classrooms

    South Korea 2015



                      Florida 2015



Stanford University
                          2012 - 23,000 Graduates
Time Spent in Training and Education?
• Influence of Technology?

   Now


     “Classroom”       “Simulation”            “Live”



   Future?


  “Classroom”      “Simulation”       “Live”
Barriers

                           Learning
Simulation
                             Tech




              Office and
             C2 Systems
Convergence?


             Learning
Simulation
               Tech


      Office and
     C2 Systems
Improved Interoperability and Collective Training   Training and Education Operating Model?
                                                                                Co-ordination                   Unification

                                                                                • Diverse Software,     • Single Infrastructure
                                                     Organisation Integration


                                                                                  Shared Data & Network   and Services



                                                                                Diversification                 Replication
                                                                                • Diverse Software, no          • Similar Software, no
                                                                                  Data Sharing &                  Data Sharing &
                                                                                  Network                         Network


                                                                                             Organisation Standardisation

                                                                                    Decreasing Procurement Costs? Less Innovation?

                                                                                        Derived from MIT Sloan School of Management
How should Organisations Respond? – UK MoD




• The Defence Training and Education Capability (DTEC)
  programme takes an enterprise approach to training and
  simulation
• An Enterprise approach to training and education
  technologies (including simulation)
   – Catalogue of software and services
• Defence Systems Approach to Training
   – Understand the training requirement
   – Evaluate

           Source: www.gov.uk/the-defence-training-and-education-capability-programme - 9 Jan 13
Who/What is the Technology Benefitting?

       • The Organisation
         – eg. improved cost effectiveness
       • The Trainee
         – eg. 24/7 access to knowledge
       • The Trainer
         – eg. audio/visual aids
       • All of the Above



             Source DASA:- UK Defence Statistics 2011
The Future of Knowledge and Skills?
        Larry Page - 2004
        "Search will be included in people's
        brains…. Eventually, you'll have the
        implant, where if you think about a
        fact, it will just tell you the answer.“




              Sergey Brin – 2012
              “You'll ride in robot
              cars within 5 years”




                 Images - Google
Train Less.. Train at All?
Live and Simulation
Less Simulation                       More Simulation

Organisational Inertia               Resources
Culture and Language                 Improving Technology
Long Procurement                     Operations
Stovepipes                           Environment
Risk                                 Time and Flexibility
Evaluating Training                  Safety




           Issues are moving beyond Simulation
SMI Joint Forces Simulation and Training Conference – 4/5 February 2013

 The Live/Synthetic Balance: Operational and Policy Perspectives




                        Operational
                        Perspective



                Rory Cunningham
Joint Forces Simulation and Training

   Does simulation have to be expensive?
Why can’t the simulators connect with others?
     What can be done for less money?
  Why do I always need to re-train to use a
       different simulation package?

   Why should we travel to the simulator?
Simulation Cost/Capability Spectrum

                                                        Expanding
£20m+



                                                          areas:



                                     Full Motion
£5m




                                     Simulators

                         Part Task
£1m




                         Trainers                  Mission Trainers
        Training Media

          Individual            Crew                Collective
Commercial Off The Shelf Technology
• Evidence of COTS synthetic training
  today:
   – EDA, Niteworks, NATO
   – Joint, Multinational, distributed synthetic
     training
• Does it work?
   –   Cost effective
   –   Immersive
   –   Flexible
   –   100% serviceability
• Previous concerns with COTS:
   – Ability to model complex systems
   – Classification
   – Hardware
Joint Forces Simulation and Training
          - EDA’s ISHTC -



• European Interim Support
  Helicopter Tactics Course
• 3wk course – 10 per year
• RAF Linton-On-Ouse




              Courtesy of EDA
Joint Forces Simulation and Training
- Niteworks Training Transformation CCD -
     • Capability Concept Demonstrator
     • Defence Simulation Centre
     • A test bed for future Tactics Trainers;
       including targeted-fidelity, LVC
       blending, and distributed training




                 Courtesy of Niteworks
Simulation For The Frontline



How far forward should simulation be deployed?
Simulation For The Frontline
                  Early/Initial Training




     Home
                    Strategic Planning

                Pre Deployment Training


                 Op/Tac Level Planning
     Deployed
                 Mission Rehearsal/Prep

                         Mission

                   Post Mission - AAR


                Evaluate (systems/tactics)
     Home




                 Develop future training
Live Vs Simulated
                    - Op HERRICK -
            Live                        Simulated

•   The Gold standard           Increasingly competent
•   Expensive                   Increasingly Cost Effective
•   Maximum Risk                Minimal Risk
•   Availability of assets      Distributed
•   Final Output                Development/ Rehearsal
Simulation For The Frontline
                - Op HERRICK -
     Nature of Conflict        Role of Simulation

•   Joint/Combined           Competency/Familiarity
•   Established procedures   Refinement/development
•   Minimal Risk             Rehearsals
•   Corporate knowledge      Roulement (RiPs)
•   Transitional nature      Training & Mentoring
Simulation For The Frontline
                 - Op ELLAMY -
    Nature of Conflict          Role of Simulation
• Joint/Combined              Competency/Familiarity
• Minimal preparation         In-theatre training
   – No corporate knowledge   Development of plans
• Area of Operations
   – Vast/Unfamiliar          Familiarisations (database)
   – Non-permissive           Force-on-Force preparation
• Politically Sensitive       Minimising risk (rehearsals)
Tomorrow’s Conflict

    Nature of Conflict                  Role of Simulation
• Joint/Combined                     Competency/Familiarity
• Preparation
   – Short notice                    Deployed, in theatre training
   – Distributed planning/training   Course of Action analysis
• Duration                           No planned Msn Specific
   – Shorter than HERRICK(!)         Training
• „More-from-less‟                   Max efficiency thru rehearsal
• Area of Operations                 Familiarisation (database)
   – Unfamiliar
   – (non/semi)permissive?           Force-on-Force preparation
• Political complexities             Minimising risk (rehearsals)
Summary
Live-Simulation Balance - Summary
• Policy
  – Simulation and wider technologies can help to meet the
    significant challenges of today and tomorrow
  – Are organisations equipped to exploit technological
    trends as effectively as they did in the past?
  – Understanding the value of training and education is
    critical to making better decisions
• Operational
  – Trust and understanding in simulation is improving
  – Emphasis on continuous demonstration followed by agile
    procurement to training services
  – EDA is currently delivering: Cost effective, Joint,
    Multinational, Distributed, Synthetic Training using
    COTS
Questions




?               ?

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The Live/Synthetic Balance: Operational and Policy Perspectives

  • 1. SMI Joint Forces Simulation and Training Conference – Farnborough UK 4/5 February 2013 THE LIVE/SYNTHETIC BALANCE: OPERATIONAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES Andy Fawkes & Rory Cunningham Pictures: BBC – Phil Coomes – Picture Editor
  • 2. Live-Synthetic Balance !!   ? * #  ! ?
  • 3. Overview Policy Perspective Operational Perspective • Why Simulation • Cost vs Capability • Trends • COTS Technology • Beyond Simulation • What‟s being done • How to Respond • EDA • Future of Training? • Simulation For The Frontline • HERRICK • ELLAMY • Tomorrow‟s Conflict Summary
  • 4. SMI Joint Forces Simulation and Training Conference – 4/5 February 2013 The Live/Synthetic Balance: Operational and Policy Perspectives Policy Perspective Andy Fawkes
  • 5. UK Military Training and Education • Scale - 257,160 Military/Civilian (2011) • Depth – eg. Fighter Pilot, Reactor Operator • Breadth – Apache Pilot through to Cook • Flexibility – Changing Operations Source DASA:- UK Defence Statistics 2011
  • 6. Why Use Simulation? Improve Safety Training Reduce Reduce Costs Environmental Impact Reduce Time to Train
  • 7. Cost of Training Weapons Fuel Platforms People Fuel Simulation People Estate Estate Live Simulation
  • 8. How much? ? • “Cost Simulation 20% of Live Training” • “Save £100m‟s” $ £ • “Cost Simulation 5% of Live Training” • “Training 20% of Defence Budget” €
  • 9. The Mysteries of Simulation CGF VV&A LVC SEDRIS SOAP DIS MSHTF TENA Agent-based DTEC HLA RTI Architectures ASP Federate SISO SCORM CBML CORBA DLP AI MCTS AR DTED Serious Gaming SEBA CATT VR Distributed M&S AVCATT Monte Carlo FOM NMSG Human-in-the-loop DoDAF synthetic environment DSALT ITEC BOM Latency I/ITSEC Emulation Constructive Accreditation
  • 10. Nothing New? Predominantly Mechanical Era Images - Imperial War Museum
  • 11. Predominantly Bespoke Electronic Era Images: Lockheed Martin
  • 12. Predominantly Consumer-Driven Digital Era The Defence Equipment Plan 2012 Images: MoD, Royal Navy, Army, Bohemia
  • 13. Trends 1900s 1910s 1920s 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s Cloud? Mobile? Predominantly Digital Consumer Predominantly Bespoke Electronic Predominantly Mechanical 1900s 1910s 1920s 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s
  • 14. Access to Simulation 1000’s Numbers 100’s 10’s 1990 2000 2010
  • 15. The Live Synthetic Balance • Language – What does the word “Synthetic” Convey? • Culture - “Live will never be replaced” • Assessing Training Cost Effectiveness is Difficult • Technology is Changing and so do Operations • How often do we change the Way we Manage?
  • 16. UK MoD - The Defence Equipment Plan 2012 “A priority for future investment when funds allow will be to expand our investment in simulated pilot training” 31 January 2013
  • 17. And it‟s not just Simulation….. 20 Years Ago
  • 18. Now - Training and Education
  • 21. Digital and Online Classrooms South Korea 2015 Florida 2015 Stanford University 2012 - 23,000 Graduates
  • 22. Time Spent in Training and Education? • Influence of Technology? Now “Classroom” “Simulation” “Live” Future? “Classroom” “Simulation” “Live”
  • 23. Barriers Learning Simulation Tech Office and C2 Systems
  • 24. Convergence? Learning Simulation Tech Office and C2 Systems
  • 25. Improved Interoperability and Collective Training Training and Education Operating Model? Co-ordination Unification • Diverse Software, • Single Infrastructure Organisation Integration Shared Data & Network and Services Diversification Replication • Diverse Software, no • Similar Software, no Data Sharing & Data Sharing & Network Network Organisation Standardisation Decreasing Procurement Costs? Less Innovation? Derived from MIT Sloan School of Management
  • 26. How should Organisations Respond? – UK MoD • The Defence Training and Education Capability (DTEC) programme takes an enterprise approach to training and simulation • An Enterprise approach to training and education technologies (including simulation) – Catalogue of software and services • Defence Systems Approach to Training – Understand the training requirement – Evaluate Source: www.gov.uk/the-defence-training-and-education-capability-programme - 9 Jan 13
  • 27. Who/What is the Technology Benefitting? • The Organisation – eg. improved cost effectiveness • The Trainee – eg. 24/7 access to knowledge • The Trainer – eg. audio/visual aids • All of the Above Source DASA:- UK Defence Statistics 2011
  • 28. The Future of Knowledge and Skills? Larry Page - 2004 "Search will be included in people's brains…. Eventually, you'll have the implant, where if you think about a fact, it will just tell you the answer.“ Sergey Brin – 2012 “You'll ride in robot cars within 5 years” Images - Google
  • 30. Live and Simulation Less Simulation More Simulation Organisational Inertia Resources Culture and Language Improving Technology Long Procurement Operations Stovepipes Environment Risk Time and Flexibility Evaluating Training Safety Issues are moving beyond Simulation
  • 31. SMI Joint Forces Simulation and Training Conference – 4/5 February 2013 The Live/Synthetic Balance: Operational and Policy Perspectives Operational Perspective Rory Cunningham
  • 32. Joint Forces Simulation and Training Does simulation have to be expensive? Why can’t the simulators connect with others? What can be done for less money? Why do I always need to re-train to use a different simulation package? Why should we travel to the simulator?
  • 33. Simulation Cost/Capability Spectrum Expanding £20m+ areas: Full Motion £5m Simulators Part Task £1m Trainers Mission Trainers Training Media Individual Crew Collective
  • 34. Commercial Off The Shelf Technology • Evidence of COTS synthetic training today: – EDA, Niteworks, NATO – Joint, Multinational, distributed synthetic training • Does it work? – Cost effective – Immersive – Flexible – 100% serviceability • Previous concerns with COTS: – Ability to model complex systems – Classification – Hardware
  • 35. Joint Forces Simulation and Training - EDA’s ISHTC - • European Interim Support Helicopter Tactics Course • 3wk course – 10 per year • RAF Linton-On-Ouse Courtesy of EDA
  • 36. Joint Forces Simulation and Training - Niteworks Training Transformation CCD - • Capability Concept Demonstrator • Defence Simulation Centre • A test bed for future Tactics Trainers; including targeted-fidelity, LVC blending, and distributed training Courtesy of Niteworks
  • 37. Simulation For The Frontline How far forward should simulation be deployed?
  • 38. Simulation For The Frontline Early/Initial Training Home Strategic Planning Pre Deployment Training Op/Tac Level Planning Deployed Mission Rehearsal/Prep Mission Post Mission - AAR Evaluate (systems/tactics) Home Develop future training
  • 39. Live Vs Simulated - Op HERRICK - Live Simulated • The Gold standard Increasingly competent • Expensive Increasingly Cost Effective • Maximum Risk Minimal Risk • Availability of assets Distributed • Final Output Development/ Rehearsal
  • 40. Simulation For The Frontline - Op HERRICK - Nature of Conflict Role of Simulation • Joint/Combined Competency/Familiarity • Established procedures Refinement/development • Minimal Risk Rehearsals • Corporate knowledge Roulement (RiPs) • Transitional nature Training & Mentoring
  • 41. Simulation For The Frontline - Op ELLAMY - Nature of Conflict Role of Simulation • Joint/Combined Competency/Familiarity • Minimal preparation In-theatre training – No corporate knowledge Development of plans • Area of Operations – Vast/Unfamiliar Familiarisations (database) – Non-permissive Force-on-Force preparation • Politically Sensitive Minimising risk (rehearsals)
  • 42. Tomorrow’s Conflict Nature of Conflict Role of Simulation • Joint/Combined Competency/Familiarity • Preparation – Short notice Deployed, in theatre training – Distributed planning/training Course of Action analysis • Duration No planned Msn Specific – Shorter than HERRICK(!) Training • „More-from-less‟ Max efficiency thru rehearsal • Area of Operations Familiarisation (database) – Unfamiliar – (non/semi)permissive? Force-on-Force preparation • Political complexities Minimising risk (rehearsals)
  • 44. Live-Simulation Balance - Summary • Policy – Simulation and wider technologies can help to meet the significant challenges of today and tomorrow – Are organisations equipped to exploit technological trends as effectively as they did in the past? – Understanding the value of training and education is critical to making better decisions • Operational – Trust and understanding in simulation is improving – Emphasis on continuous demonstration followed by agile procurement to training services – EDA is currently delivering: Cost effective, Joint, Multinational, Distributed, Synthetic Training using COTS

Editor's Notes

  1. Varies from system to system.Trend lines -