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More presentations can be found in my website at http://solohermelin.com.
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Suppose that the probability is 0.8 that any given person will believe a tale.docx
1. Supposethat the probabilityis 0.8 that any given person
will believe a tale about life after death. What is the
probabilitythat the sixth person to hear this tale is the
fourth one to believe it?
Solution
K = 4
p = 0.8
q = 0.2
x = 6
NegativeBinomial Distribution is
𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = (
𝑥 − 1
𝑘 − 1
) 𝑝𝑘
𝑞𝑥−𝑘
𝑃(𝑋 = 6) = (
6 − 1
4 − 1
) (0.8)6
(0.2)6−4
𝑃(𝑋 = 6) = 0.1049