This document discusses using rankings to measure transport system performance and impact policy. It proposes developing a "Good Mobility Index" (GMIR) that incorporates transportation volume, greenhouse gas emissions, deaths, and infrastructure costs to measure sustainability. The document suggests rankings may influence policy if scientists agree on methodology, rankings are linked to targets, future visions are presented, society is engaged, and leaders from low-ranking areas are involved in proposing solutions. Regularly discussing rankings and getting the timing right for policy changes could help ensure they have impact.

1. Ranking Performance:
the impact on transport policy
www.mobilityacademy.ch
jbeckmann@tcs.ch

2. «The founding father of the Mobility Academy»
Platform for future-oriented
debates
Think Tank
Further Education
„Better Mobility with Less
Risks“

3. «Fields and parameters impacting on transport»
Local/regional National
European policy policies
Politics Policies Demography
Economics
Investments
Supply strategies Economic, spatial, and
Mobility services demographic development
Internalisation of
external costs
Power Train
Society and Technology,
lifestyles innovations
Work
Mobility View Energy Traffic system
supply management
Climate Change Following IFMO 2007

4. Trendscanning
Retrombilität
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5. „How good is transport in Switzerland?“
Regular Rankings
In partnership with
other „Lead Agencies“
Commuicated via
different electronic
formats (blogs,
podcasts, etc.)

6. How successful have we been in reducing road accidents?
For CH: Minus 50%
every 10 years:
– 2010: 300
– 2020: 150
– 2030: 75
– 2040: 38
– 2050: 19

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EU Road Safety Target: Even the good can still be better

8. Steps of Engagement
Engagement
Society at large
Political Leaders
Champions
Science
time

9. Can benchmarking replace legislation?
„A non mandatory global automotive fuel
economy target of 140 gCO2/km for passenger cars
should be adopted; Such a global fuel economy target
could be used as an international benchmark to assess
progress in the fuel efficiency of the global fleet of new
motor vehicles.“

10. Which country has the most sustainable transport system?
11

11. Ecological, social and economic indicators
Source: VTPI, 2008
12

12. «The art of setting a target/developing a vision»
Measure Forecasting Backcasting
Philosophy • Justification of policies • Exploring the future
• Determinism/causal chains • Causilities/intentions
Perspective • Dominant Trends • The need to solve a problem
• Probabilities • Desired future
• Marginal Changes • Considering human choice
• Matching current trends • Strategic decisions
Approach • Extrapolation • Idenfication of likely futures
• Elasticities • Analysing the conditions
Method • Econometric Models • Partial extrapolations
• Mathematical Algorythms • Normative/dynamic models
• Delphi/Expert interviews
Example: European Example: Swedish
Road Safety target Vision Zero
Nach VIBAT 2006

13. Mobility 2030 according to the WBCSD: goals but no targets
1. Conventional emissions should not constitute a significant
public health concern
2. Limit GHG emissions down to sustainable levels
3. Significantly reduce the number of deaths and injuries
4. Reduce transport-related noise
5. Mitigate congestion
6. Narrow the “mobility opportunity divides”
7. Preserve and enhance the mobility opportunities

14. Transport by 2050: The Good Mobility Index
1. Road Safety: minus 50% every decade
2. Air pollution: zeronising conventional
emissions
3. GHG-emissions: flipping the coin – from
95% to 5%
4. Energy efficiency: 0,1kWh/km or better
5. Economic efficiency: “how many pkm/€”
6. Health: 50% of all trips below 3km human
co-powered
7. Space consumption: capping daily
distances at current levels

15. Good Mobility: The Basic Formula
Transport Volume [pkm]
GM =
GHG-Emissions [t CO2] + Deaths + Infrastructure Investment [€]
Ecological Social Economic
sustainability sustainability sustainability
16

16. Good (Road) Mobility
Transport VolumeR [pkm]
GMR =
GHG-EmissionsR [t CO2] + DeathsR + Infrastr. Inv. & Maint. R[€]
25 €/t 1.000.000€/death €
sustainability
[pkm/€]
17

17. GMIR – A first approximation
18

18. GMIR – Are infrastructure costs too high in Switzerland?
19

19. GMIR – Are GHG-Emissions and deaths undervalued?
20

20. When do rankings have an impact?
• Get the scientists to agree
• Link the rankings to a target
• Paint a picture of tomorrow
• Engage society
• Involve the Champions and encourage the „Loosers“
• Identify and Confront those resposible/in charge
• Talk about it a lot
• Get the timing right
• Propose measures (legislation, technolgies etc.)
• Continue...