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ROCKET-AF
Rivaroxaban versus Warfarin in
Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation
by Theodore Graphos
Objective

 The primary objective of this study is to demonstrate
 that the efficacy of rivaroxaban, a direct FXa inhibitor,
 is non-inferior to that of dose-adjusted warfarin for the
 prevention of thromboembolic events in subjects with
 non-valvular atrial fibrillation as measured by the
 composite of stroke and non-central nervous system
 (non-CNS) systemic embolism.
Article
 JOURNAL

     New England Journal of Medicine
     ▪ Peer-reviewed

 AUTHORS

     ▪ Physicians (mostly cardiologists)
     ▪ No statistician listed

 FUNDING

     ▪ Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Research and Development
     ▪ Bayer HealthCare
Background A-fib
 MEDSCAPE 


  Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a relatively common cardiac
  arrhythmia that can have adverse consequences related to:
  1)   A reduction in cardiac output (symptoms)
  2) Atrial and atrial appendage thrombus formation
     (stroke and peripheral embolization).
  In addition, affected patients may be at increased risk for
  mortality.
Background Stroke Risk

  Non-valvular a-fib
  • 2- to 7-fold increased risk of stroke

  Valvular a-fib
  •   17-fold increased risk of stroke
Competitors
                                 Dabigatran         Rivaroxaban        Apixaban      Edoxaban

        Stroke prevention
                                     RELY                               ARISTOTLE
A-Fib




                                  RELY-ABLE
                                                      ROCKET-AF
                                                                        AVERROES
                                                                                         <>
                                                                                                  Rivaroxaban is currently
        Treatment                  RECOVER          EINSTEIN-DVT
                                                                                                  FDA approved for VTE
                                                                         AMPLIFY      HOKUSAI
                                  RECOVER-2         & EINSTEIN-PE
                                                                                                  prophylaxis after major
        Long-term secondary
        prophylaxis
                                   REMEDY
                                                      EINSTEIN-
                                                                       AMPLIFY-EXT    HOKUSAI
                                                                                                  orthopedic surgery
                                                      Extension
                                  RESONATE

        Prophylaxis in acute
        medical illness
VTE




                                      <>              MAGELLAN           ADOPT           <>
                                                                                                  The only other new
                                                                                                  anticoagulant approved
        Prophylaxis after      REMODEL (Knee)
        major orthopedic
                               REMOBILIZE (Knee)
                                                                                                  for a-fib is dabigatran
        surgery                                      RECORD (1-4)      NCT00097357      <>
                                RENOVATE (Hip)
                               RENOVATE 2 (Hip)
        Secondary prevention                       ATLAS ACS TIMI 46                 ENGAGE AF-
ACS




                                   REDEEM                              APPRAISE-2
                                                     NCT00809965                       TIMI 48
Design & Oversight
 ROCKET-AF Executive Committee
  • Study design
  • Oversight


 Duke Clinical Research Institute
  • Coordinated the trial
  • Primary data analysis
  • Independent of the sponsor


 Protocol was approved by IRBs at participating sites
Structure

 Multi-center
    1178 sites, 45 countries
 Randomized
 Double-blind
 Double-dummy
 Event-driven
    405 adjudicated endpoint events reached followed
     by study closure activities
Subjects Inclusion criteria
  Subjects meet all of the following:


  Non-valvular atrial fibrillation
     – “Subjects with atrial fibrillation and valvular disease (either mitral stenosis or
       prosthetic valve) are excluded even though they have a clear indication for
       anticoagulant therapy since the previous placebo controlled trials of warfarin
       therapy did not include these subjects.”
     – A-fib with a concomitant valve disorder is associated with a much higher risk of
       thromboembolism
  Moderate-to-high risk of stroke
     – Hx of stroke, TIA, or non-CNS systemic embolism
     - OR - CHADS2 score of 2 or more
     – >90% were required to have a previous thromboembolism or CHADS2 score of 3 or
       more
SubjectsExclusion criteria
 Cardiac-Related Conditions                                     Hemorrhage Risk-Related Criteria
  Excluded mostly due to significantly                           Excluded mostly due to increased risk
  higher risk of thromboembolism                                 of clinically significant bleeding

     Hemodynamically significant mitral valve stenosis             Active internal bleeding

     Prosthetic heart valve (annuloplasty with or without          History of or condition associated with increased
      prosthetic ring, commissurotomy and/or valvuloplasty           bleeding risk including, but not limited to:
      are permitted)                                                  – Major surgical procedure or trauma within 30 days
     Planned cardioversion (electrical or pharmacological)             before the randomization visit

     Transient atrial fibrillation caused by a reversible            – Clinically significant gastrointestinal bleeding
      disorder (e.g., thyrotoxicosis, PE, recent surgery, MI)           within 6 months before the randomization visit

     Known presence of atrial myxoma or left ventricular             – History of intracranial, intraocular, spinal, or
      thrombus                                                          atraumatic intra-articular bleeding

     Active endocarditis                                             – Chronic hemorrhagic disorder
                                                                      – Known intracranial neoplasm, arteriovenous
                                                                        malformation, or aneurysm
                                                                    Planned invasive procedure with potential for
                                                                     uncontrolled bleeding, including major surgery
                                                                    Platelet count <90,000/μL at the screening visit
                                                                    Sustained uncontrolled hypertension: systolic blood
                                                                     pressure ≥180 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure ≥100
                                                                     mmHg
SubjectsExclusion criteria
 Concomitant Conditions and Therapies
  Excluded due to addition of confounding variables

     Severe, disabling stroke (modified Rankin score of 4 to      Anticipated need for chronic treatment with a non-
      5, inclusive) within 3 months or any stroke within 14         steroidal anti-inflammatory drug
      days before the randomization visit                          Systemic treatment with a strong inhibitor of cytochrome
     Transient ischemic attack within 3 days before the            P450 3A4, such as ketoconazole or protease inhibitors,
                                                                    within 4 days before randomization, or planned treatment
      randomization visit                                           during the time period of the study
     Indication for anticoagulant therapy for a condition         Treatment with a strong inducer of cytochrome P450 3A4,
      other than atrial fibrillation (e.g., VTE)                    such as rifampin/rifampicin, within 4 days before
     Treatment with:                                               randomization, or planned treatment during the time
                                                                    period of the study
      ▫ Aspirin >100 mg daily
                                                                   Anemia (hemoglobin <10 g/dL) at the screening visit
      ▫ Aspirin in combination with thienopyridines                Pregnancy or breast-feeding
        within 5 days before randomization
                                                                   Any other contraindication to warfarin
      ▫ Intravenous antiplatelets within 5 days before
        randomization                                              Known HIV infection at time of screening
                                                                   Calculated CLCR <30 mL/min at the screening visit (refer
      ▫ Fibrinolytics within 10 days before randomization           to Attachment 4 for calculating CLCR)
      ▫ Note: Aspirin ≤100 mg monotherapy is allowed               Known significant liver disease (e.g., acute clinical
        and thienopyridine monotherapy is allowed.                  hepatitis, chronic active hepatitis, cirrhosis), or ALT >3x
                                                                    the ULN



 Additional exclusion criteria common to most trials (past drug abuse, hypersensitivity,
 conflicts of interest, etc.)
SubjectsExclusion criteria
 Concomitant Conditions and Therapies
  Excluded due to addition of confounding variables

     Severe, disabling strokeTreatment with:4 to
                            (modified Rankin score of               Anticipated need for chronic treatment with a non-
      5, inclusive) within 3 months or any stroke within 14           steroidal anti-inflammatory drug
                               • Aspirin >100 mg daily
      days before the randomization visit                          Systemic treatment with a strong inhibitor of cytochrome
      Transient ischemic attack within 3 days before the            P450 3A4, such as ketoconazole or protease inhibitors,
  
      randomization visit
                               • Aspirin in combination           with thienopyridines
                                                                    within 4 days before randomization, or planned treatment
                                                                    during the time period of the study
     Indication for anticoagulant therapy for5 days before
                                      within a condition      randomization
                                                                     Treatment with a strong inducer of cytochrome P450 3A4,
      other than atrial fibrillation (e.g., VTE)                      such as rifampin/rifampicin, within 4 days before
                              • Intravenous antiplatelets             within 5 daysplanned treatment during the time
                                                                      randomization, or before
     Treatment with:
      ▫   Aspirin >100 mg daily
                                randomization                         period of the study
                                                                     Anemia (hemoglobin <10 g/dL) at the screening visit
      ▫ Aspirin in combination with thienopyridines within
                              • Fibrinolytics                 10 days before breast-feeding
                                                                   Pregnancy or
        within 5 days before randomization
                                 randomization                       Any other contraindication to warfarin
      ▫ Intravenous antiplatelets within 5 days before
                                                                     Known HIV infection at time of screening
        randomization      Note: Aspirin ≤100 mg monotherapy is<30 mL/min at the screening visit (refer
                                                             Calculated CLCR
                                                                               allowed
      ▫   Fibrinolytics within 10 days before randomization
                              and thienopyridine monotherapy is 4 for calculating CLCR)
                                                              to Attachment allowed.
      ▫ Note: Aspirin ≤100 mg monotherapy is allowed                 Known significant liver disease (e.g., acute clinical
        and thienopyridine monotherapy is allowed.                    hepatitis, chronic active hepatitis, cirrhosis), or ALT >3x
                                                                      the ULN



 Additional exclusion criteria common to most trials (past drug abuse, hypersensitivity,
 conflicts of interest, etc.)
SubjectsRandomization
   Central computerized randomization
   1:1 ratio
   Stratified, based on
      – Country
      – Prior VKA use (> 6 week)
      – Prior stroke, TIA, or non-CNS systemic
        embolism
  Written informed consent was obtained for all subjects
SubjectsDemographics
 No statistically significant differences in patient characteristics between
 treatment arms (though this was not explicitly stated)




                                          P<0.05 for all characteristics
SubjectsDemographics
 No statistically significant differences in patient characteristics between
 treatment arms (though this was not explicitly stated)




                       P<0.05 for all medications
InterventionTreatment Arms

     Rivaroxaban                                 Warfarin
             20 mg daily                          Dose-adjusted to
    (or 15 mg daily in CrCl of 30 to 49   target INR between 2.0 and 3.0
                ml/min)


  Why 20 mg?                              Why warfarin?
  • 20 mg dose is based on dose-          • Chosen as comparator because
    ranging Phase II study                  warfarin is indicated for the
  • Lowest studied dose                     study population based on the
                                            CHEST guidelines




  Compliance was assessed by periodic pill counts
InterventionBlinding


 Patients were given "Rivaroxaban" and "Warfarin"
 together, but one was a placebo
  • Specially-designed point-of-care INR device
  • Sham INR values for rivaroxaban patients
  • Validated algorithm produced values based on the distribution if
    values in warfarin-treated patients similar to those in the study
    population
Outcomes

            Primary




                                                                                       SAFETY
              1) Stroke + Systemic embolism
            Secondary

              2) Stroke + Systemic embolism + Vascular death
 EFFICACY




              3) Stroke + Systemic embolism + Vascular death + Myocardial infarction
              4) Individual components of the composite endpoints


                 Primary

                      1) Major and nonmajor clinically relevant bleeding
StatisticsPower analysis

    • 363 events for 95% power
    • Increased by 10% to 405 (more robust)
    • Assumed warfarin treatment group event rate
      of 2.3% per year
    • Assumed annual dropout rate of 15%
    • Estimated to need 14,000 subjects to reach
      405 events
ResultsPrimary Efficacy



 A




     RESULT: Non-inferior to warfarin
ResultsPrimary Efficacy




 B




     RESULT: Superior to warfarin
ResultsPrimary Efficacy




 C




     RESULT: Not superior to warfarin
Analysis
           Criticism from FDA reviewers
           regarding events occurring
           after discontinuation of
           rivaroxaban

           More events occurred when
           patients on rivaroxaban
           switched to warfarin than in
           patients already on warfarin

           Probably due to difficulty
           achieving therapeutic INR
           (patients already on warfarin
           were already therapeutic)
ResultsSafety




   RESULT: No statistical difference
Rivaroxaban better   Warfarin better

                                       ResultsSafety
ResultsSafety


                         P<0.001




                 Rivaroxaban worse


                 All others - no statistically
                    significant difference
ResultsSecondary Efficacy
                             B Safety, as treated population

                             1) Composite of stroke, systemic
                                embolism, and vascular death
                                ▫ Superior to warfarin
                             2) Composite of stroke, systemic
                                embolism, vascular death,
                                and myocardial infarction
                                ▫ Superior to warfarin
                             3) Hemorrhagic stroke and non-
                                CNS embolism events were
                                statistically different in favor
                                of rivaroxaban, but the event
                                counts were very small and
                                the clinical significance is
                                minor
ResultsSubgroups
   Authors report “both safety and efficacy [were] consistent across all
   prespecified subgroups.”


        However…
   Statistically significant differences were recorded for a few patient
   characteristics.

   Results tended towards superior efficicay of rivaroxaban but with
   increased risk of bleeding




                  Clinical significance is minimal
Analysis
                           • Large population
                           • Randomization was nearly perfect
                           • Primary efficacy endpoints were
                             analyzed using multiple population sets
      Strengths

 • Warfarin within therapeutic goal only
   55% of the time
                                                 Weaknesses
 • Could not determine if investigators tested
   whether or not blinding was maintained
 • Thienopyridine usage not reported
Analysis




   The top 25% of centers that appropriately maintained warfarin within
   goal still resulted in a hazard ratio that favored rivaroxaban
Conclusions
 Author’s conclusions

    Rivaroxaban was noninferior to warfarin in the prevention of
    subsequent stroke or systemic embolism. There were no significant
    differences in rates of major and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding
    between the two study groups, although intracranial and fatal bleeding
    occurred less frequently in the rivaroxaban group.

 My conclusions

    I agree with the author’s conclusion.
    Note that rivaroxaban had a higher incidence of GI bleeding.

    If approved, rivaroxaban would be a good alternative to warfarin for
    busy patients that can reliably take medication and in patients in which
    warfarin’s multitude of drug interactions makes it difficult to manage.

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Rivaroxaban

  • 1. ROCKET-AF Rivaroxaban versus Warfarin in Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation by Theodore Graphos
  • 2. Objective The primary objective of this study is to demonstrate that the efficacy of rivaroxaban, a direct FXa inhibitor, is non-inferior to that of dose-adjusted warfarin for the prevention of thromboembolic events in subjects with non-valvular atrial fibrillation as measured by the composite of stroke and non-central nervous system (non-CNS) systemic embolism.
  • 3. Article JOURNAL New England Journal of Medicine ▪ Peer-reviewed AUTHORS ▪ Physicians (mostly cardiologists) ▪ No statistician listed FUNDING ▪ Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Research and Development ▪ Bayer HealthCare
  • 4. Background A-fib MEDSCAPE  Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a relatively common cardiac arrhythmia that can have adverse consequences related to: 1) A reduction in cardiac output (symptoms) 2) Atrial and atrial appendage thrombus formation (stroke and peripheral embolization). In addition, affected patients may be at increased risk for mortality.
  • 5. Background Stroke Risk Non-valvular a-fib • 2- to 7-fold increased risk of stroke Valvular a-fib • 17-fold increased risk of stroke
  • 6.
  • 7. Competitors Dabigatran Rivaroxaban Apixaban Edoxaban Stroke prevention RELY ARISTOTLE A-Fib RELY-ABLE ROCKET-AF AVERROES <> Rivaroxaban is currently Treatment RECOVER EINSTEIN-DVT FDA approved for VTE AMPLIFY HOKUSAI RECOVER-2 & EINSTEIN-PE prophylaxis after major Long-term secondary prophylaxis REMEDY EINSTEIN- AMPLIFY-EXT HOKUSAI orthopedic surgery Extension RESONATE Prophylaxis in acute medical illness VTE <> MAGELLAN ADOPT <> The only other new anticoagulant approved Prophylaxis after REMODEL (Knee) major orthopedic REMOBILIZE (Knee) for a-fib is dabigatran surgery RECORD (1-4) NCT00097357 <> RENOVATE (Hip) RENOVATE 2 (Hip) Secondary prevention ATLAS ACS TIMI 46 ENGAGE AF- ACS REDEEM APPRAISE-2 NCT00809965 TIMI 48
  • 8. Design & Oversight ROCKET-AF Executive Committee • Study design • Oversight Duke Clinical Research Institute • Coordinated the trial • Primary data analysis • Independent of the sponsor Protocol was approved by IRBs at participating sites
  • 9. Structure Multi-center  1178 sites, 45 countries Randomized Double-blind Double-dummy Event-driven  405 adjudicated endpoint events reached followed by study closure activities
  • 10. Subjects Inclusion criteria Subjects meet all of the following: Non-valvular atrial fibrillation – “Subjects with atrial fibrillation and valvular disease (either mitral stenosis or prosthetic valve) are excluded even though they have a clear indication for anticoagulant therapy since the previous placebo controlled trials of warfarin therapy did not include these subjects.” – A-fib with a concomitant valve disorder is associated with a much higher risk of thromboembolism Moderate-to-high risk of stroke – Hx of stroke, TIA, or non-CNS systemic embolism - OR - CHADS2 score of 2 or more – >90% were required to have a previous thromboembolism or CHADS2 score of 3 or more
  • 11. SubjectsExclusion criteria Cardiac-Related Conditions Hemorrhage Risk-Related Criteria Excluded mostly due to significantly Excluded mostly due to increased risk higher risk of thromboembolism of clinically significant bleeding  Hemodynamically significant mitral valve stenosis  Active internal bleeding  Prosthetic heart valve (annuloplasty with or without  History of or condition associated with increased prosthetic ring, commissurotomy and/or valvuloplasty bleeding risk including, but not limited to: are permitted) – Major surgical procedure or trauma within 30 days  Planned cardioversion (electrical or pharmacological) before the randomization visit  Transient atrial fibrillation caused by a reversible – Clinically significant gastrointestinal bleeding disorder (e.g., thyrotoxicosis, PE, recent surgery, MI) within 6 months before the randomization visit  Known presence of atrial myxoma or left ventricular – History of intracranial, intraocular, spinal, or thrombus atraumatic intra-articular bleeding  Active endocarditis – Chronic hemorrhagic disorder – Known intracranial neoplasm, arteriovenous malformation, or aneurysm  Planned invasive procedure with potential for uncontrolled bleeding, including major surgery  Platelet count <90,000/μL at the screening visit  Sustained uncontrolled hypertension: systolic blood pressure ≥180 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure ≥100 mmHg
  • 12. SubjectsExclusion criteria Concomitant Conditions and Therapies Excluded due to addition of confounding variables  Severe, disabling stroke (modified Rankin score of 4 to  Anticipated need for chronic treatment with a non- 5, inclusive) within 3 months or any stroke within 14 steroidal anti-inflammatory drug days before the randomization visit  Systemic treatment with a strong inhibitor of cytochrome  Transient ischemic attack within 3 days before the P450 3A4, such as ketoconazole or protease inhibitors, within 4 days before randomization, or planned treatment randomization visit during the time period of the study  Indication for anticoagulant therapy for a condition  Treatment with a strong inducer of cytochrome P450 3A4, other than atrial fibrillation (e.g., VTE) such as rifampin/rifampicin, within 4 days before  Treatment with: randomization, or planned treatment during the time period of the study ▫ Aspirin >100 mg daily  Anemia (hemoglobin <10 g/dL) at the screening visit ▫ Aspirin in combination with thienopyridines  Pregnancy or breast-feeding within 5 days before randomization  Any other contraindication to warfarin ▫ Intravenous antiplatelets within 5 days before randomization  Known HIV infection at time of screening  Calculated CLCR <30 mL/min at the screening visit (refer ▫ Fibrinolytics within 10 days before randomization to Attachment 4 for calculating CLCR) ▫ Note: Aspirin ≤100 mg monotherapy is allowed  Known significant liver disease (e.g., acute clinical and thienopyridine monotherapy is allowed. hepatitis, chronic active hepatitis, cirrhosis), or ALT >3x the ULN Additional exclusion criteria common to most trials (past drug abuse, hypersensitivity, conflicts of interest, etc.)
  • 13. SubjectsExclusion criteria Concomitant Conditions and Therapies Excluded due to addition of confounding variables  Severe, disabling strokeTreatment with:4 to  (modified Rankin score of  Anticipated need for chronic treatment with a non- 5, inclusive) within 3 months or any stroke within 14 steroidal anti-inflammatory drug • Aspirin >100 mg daily days before the randomization visit  Systemic treatment with a strong inhibitor of cytochrome Transient ischemic attack within 3 days before the P450 3A4, such as ketoconazole or protease inhibitors,  randomization visit • Aspirin in combination with thienopyridines within 4 days before randomization, or planned treatment during the time period of the study  Indication for anticoagulant therapy for5 days before within a condition randomization  Treatment with a strong inducer of cytochrome P450 3A4, other than atrial fibrillation (e.g., VTE) such as rifampin/rifampicin, within 4 days before • Intravenous antiplatelets within 5 daysplanned treatment during the time randomization, or before  Treatment with: ▫ Aspirin >100 mg daily randomization period of the study  Anemia (hemoglobin <10 g/dL) at the screening visit ▫ Aspirin in combination with thienopyridines within • Fibrinolytics 10 days before breast-feeding  Pregnancy or within 5 days before randomization randomization  Any other contraindication to warfarin ▫ Intravenous antiplatelets within 5 days before  Known HIV infection at time of screening randomization Note: Aspirin ≤100 mg monotherapy is<30 mL/min at the screening visit (refer  Calculated CLCR allowed ▫ Fibrinolytics within 10 days before randomization and thienopyridine monotherapy is 4 for calculating CLCR) to Attachment allowed. ▫ Note: Aspirin ≤100 mg monotherapy is allowed  Known significant liver disease (e.g., acute clinical and thienopyridine monotherapy is allowed. hepatitis, chronic active hepatitis, cirrhosis), or ALT >3x the ULN Additional exclusion criteria common to most trials (past drug abuse, hypersensitivity, conflicts of interest, etc.)
  • 14. SubjectsRandomization  Central computerized randomization  1:1 ratio  Stratified, based on – Country – Prior VKA use (> 6 week) – Prior stroke, TIA, or non-CNS systemic embolism Written informed consent was obtained for all subjects
  • 15. SubjectsDemographics No statistically significant differences in patient characteristics between treatment arms (though this was not explicitly stated) P<0.05 for all characteristics
  • 16. SubjectsDemographics No statistically significant differences in patient characteristics between treatment arms (though this was not explicitly stated) P<0.05 for all medications
  • 17. InterventionTreatment Arms Rivaroxaban Warfarin 20 mg daily Dose-adjusted to (or 15 mg daily in CrCl of 30 to 49 target INR between 2.0 and 3.0 ml/min) Why 20 mg? Why warfarin? • 20 mg dose is based on dose- • Chosen as comparator because ranging Phase II study warfarin is indicated for the • Lowest studied dose study population based on the CHEST guidelines  Compliance was assessed by periodic pill counts
  • 18. InterventionBlinding Patients were given "Rivaroxaban" and "Warfarin" together, but one was a placebo • Specially-designed point-of-care INR device • Sham INR values for rivaroxaban patients • Validated algorithm produced values based on the distribution if values in warfarin-treated patients similar to those in the study population
  • 19. Outcomes Primary SAFETY 1) Stroke + Systemic embolism Secondary 2) Stroke + Systemic embolism + Vascular death EFFICACY 3) Stroke + Systemic embolism + Vascular death + Myocardial infarction 4) Individual components of the composite endpoints Primary 1) Major and nonmajor clinically relevant bleeding
  • 20. StatisticsPower analysis • 363 events for 95% power • Increased by 10% to 405 (more robust) • Assumed warfarin treatment group event rate of 2.3% per year • Assumed annual dropout rate of 15% • Estimated to need 14,000 subjects to reach 405 events
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. ResultsPrimary Efficacy A RESULT: Non-inferior to warfarin
  • 27. ResultsPrimary Efficacy B RESULT: Superior to warfarin
  • 28. ResultsPrimary Efficacy C RESULT: Not superior to warfarin
  • 29. Analysis Criticism from FDA reviewers regarding events occurring after discontinuation of rivaroxaban More events occurred when patients on rivaroxaban switched to warfarin than in patients already on warfarin Probably due to difficulty achieving therapeutic INR (patients already on warfarin were already therapeutic)
  • 30. ResultsSafety RESULT: No statistical difference
  • 31. Rivaroxaban better Warfarin better ResultsSafety
  • 32. ResultsSafety P<0.001 Rivaroxaban worse All others - no statistically significant difference
  • 33. ResultsSecondary Efficacy B Safety, as treated population 1) Composite of stroke, systemic embolism, and vascular death ▫ Superior to warfarin 2) Composite of stroke, systemic embolism, vascular death, and myocardial infarction ▫ Superior to warfarin 3) Hemorrhagic stroke and non- CNS embolism events were statistically different in favor of rivaroxaban, but the event counts were very small and the clinical significance is minor
  • 34. ResultsSubgroups Authors report “both safety and efficacy [were] consistent across all prespecified subgroups.” However… Statistically significant differences were recorded for a few patient characteristics. Results tended towards superior efficicay of rivaroxaban but with increased risk of bleeding Clinical significance is minimal
  • 35. Analysis • Large population • Randomization was nearly perfect • Primary efficacy endpoints were analyzed using multiple population sets Strengths • Warfarin within therapeutic goal only 55% of the time Weaknesses • Could not determine if investigators tested whether or not blinding was maintained • Thienopyridine usage not reported
  • 36. Analysis The top 25% of centers that appropriately maintained warfarin within goal still resulted in a hazard ratio that favored rivaroxaban
  • 37. Conclusions Author’s conclusions Rivaroxaban was noninferior to warfarin in the prevention of subsequent stroke or systemic embolism. There were no significant differences in rates of major and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding between the two study groups, although intracranial and fatal bleeding occurred less frequently in the rivaroxaban group. My conclusions I agree with the author’s conclusion. Note that rivaroxaban had a higher incidence of GI bleeding. If approved, rivaroxaban would be a good alternative to warfarin for busy patients that can reliably take medication and in patients in which warfarin’s multitude of drug interactions makes it difficult to manage.