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Hazardous Liquid Pipeline Integrity
January 2021
RISK ASSESSMENT
WEBINAR:
TODAY’S SPEAKER
Bryan Louque has over 25 years of experience in the
midstream & downstream energy industry, actively
involved in pipeline safety. His primary experience is
associated with the design, construction, and
operations & maintenance of midstream and
downstream assets. He is an expert on corrosion
control, asset integrity and regulatory compliance
programs for natural gas (Parts 191/192) and
hazardous liquids (Part 195) pipeline systems. He has
previously held corrosion control, pipeline integrity
and regulatory compliance management positions
with global EPC firms and the Department of
Transportation (PHMSA)..
Bryan Louque, P.E.
Vice President of Asset Integrity and Corrosion
Audubon Companies
Get Out and Look (GOAL)
SAFETY START
Table of Contents
Risk Assessment Basics
Regulatory Backdrop
Integrity Assessment Schedule
Information Analysis
Preventative & Mitigative Measures
Integrity Assessment Intervals
Slide 5
Slide 6
Slide 7
Slide 7
Slide 7
Slide 7
RISK 101
Why Should I Bother?
Objectives
 Prioritize pipeline segments for:
• Integrity assessments
• Mitigating action
 Quantify benefit of mitigating
action
 Align mitigation measures versus
identified threats
 Determine cost/benefit for
modified assessment intervals
 Optimize resource allocation
QUANTITATIVE RISK ANALYSIS
Expected Loss (EL) Units
Probability
 Exposure
 Mitigation
 Resistance
• Manufacturing
• Construction
• Equipment
Consequence
 Ignition vs. Non-ignition
 Cost impact in dollars
• Human/Safety
• Environmental
• Commercial
Time Dependent Threats
 Corrosion
• External
• Internal
 Cracking
• Fatigue
• Enviro-Assisted Cracking
Time Independent
 Third Party
 Geo-Hazard/Weather
 Incorrect Operations
 Sabotage
REGULATORY BACKDROP
49 CFR Part 195 Transportation of Hazardous Liquids by Pipeline
 Integrity Assessment Schedule 452 (e)
 Information Analysis 452 (g)
• New “MegaRule” Requirement
 Preventative & Mitigative Measures 452 (i)
 Integrity Assessment Intervals 452 (j)
Inch-Wide Mile-Deep
Integrity Management in High Consequence Areas
ASSESSMENT SCHEDULE (e)
BAP / CAP
Risk Factors Used to Determine Reassessment Intervals
 Minimum Consideration
• ILI, ECDA, Hydro
 Relevant Threats
• Risk based assessment
schedule
 Omission of Risk Factors
• Technical justification for
not considering the minimum
Risk Assessment Using Integrated Data
INFORMATION ANALYSIS (g)
DATA INTEGRATION
MegaRule Part 1
 Minimum Consideration
• 21 proscriptive data sets
• Anomaly spatial relationship
development
• GIS platform / Tools to get the job done
 Relevant Threats
• Document threat inclusion or omission
basis
 Information Interrelationship Analysis
• Risk (PoF & CoF)
o Absolute, rate of change, etc.
 Important Dates
• Effective – 01 OCT 2020
• Compliance – 01 OCT 2022
What is the Impact?
 The Impact is LOW
 No longer an alternative technology that requires approval
 Modify IMP manual to reflect new requirements
INFORMATION ANALYSIS
Cost/Benefit Analysis
P & MM’S (i)
Risk Management
Enhance Public Safety or Environmental Protection
 Minimum Consideration
• Additional measures to improve
pipeline system safety
• Implement actions that offer
“significant” risk reduction
 Relevant Threats
• Documented for significant integrity
threats
 Omission of any P&MM’s
• Technical justification for not
implementing those that reduce risk
P&MM Consideration
Example - Pump Station in a Flood Plain
 What are Options for Additional Preventative & Mitigative Measures?
 What is the Relative ROI Among Options?
Analysis Criteria
Simulated Pipeline Release in a High Consequence Area
 Minimum Consideration
• Nature & location of
most significant risks (CoF)
• Likelihood of pipeline
release (PoF)
• Demonstrate risk reduction
benefits of P&MMs
 Relevant Threats
• Documented for all relevant risk factors
• Identify dominant risk drivers
 Omission from Analysis
• Technical justification for failure to identify risk reduction impacts
Pipeline Integrity Assessment
ASSESSMENT INTERVALS (j)
Interval Establishment
Based on Line Pipe Risk Posed to High Consequence Areas
 Minimum Consideration
• Assessment interval
based on
• Prioritize assessments by risk
posed by line pipe to HCAs
 Assessment Interval
• Documented based on
risk factors
 Omission from Analysis
• Technical justification for defaulting to 5 year maximum interval
Interval establishment
Time-To-Failure / Remaining Life
 Essential Element of Risk Analysis
 Requires Two Pieces of Information
• Largest remain defect
• Degradation rate (mpy)
 Common Oversights
• Failure to address dominant threats
• Degradation mechanisms; either unknown or coincident
• Plausible loadings on defect types and orientation
• Failure to estimate and document key values including safety factors
and other considerations of uncertainty
In Conclusion
Takeaways
 Risk management tools can be leveraged to optimize O&M investment in
addition to “checking the compliance box”
 Hazardous liquid pipeline integrity management requires
multiple “types” of risk analysis
• Each is unique
• Each satisfies different regulatory requirements / goals
• Each is an integral part of your pipeline integrity management program
• Our job is to understand the nuances and create solutions
Bryan Louque, P.E.
Vice President, Asset Integrity & Corrosion
D: 918.514.5879 C: 913.221.3446
blouque@auduboncompanies.com
auduboncompanies.com
Any Questions?

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Risk Assessment Hazardous Liquid Pipeline Integrity

  • 1. Hazardous Liquid Pipeline Integrity January 2021 RISK ASSESSMENT WEBINAR:
  • 2. TODAY’S SPEAKER Bryan Louque has over 25 years of experience in the midstream & downstream energy industry, actively involved in pipeline safety. His primary experience is associated with the design, construction, and operations & maintenance of midstream and downstream assets. He is an expert on corrosion control, asset integrity and regulatory compliance programs for natural gas (Parts 191/192) and hazardous liquids (Part 195) pipeline systems. He has previously held corrosion control, pipeline integrity and regulatory compliance management positions with global EPC firms and the Department of Transportation (PHMSA).. Bryan Louque, P.E. Vice President of Asset Integrity and Corrosion Audubon Companies
  • 3. Get Out and Look (GOAL) SAFETY START
  • 4. Table of Contents Risk Assessment Basics Regulatory Backdrop Integrity Assessment Schedule Information Analysis Preventative & Mitigative Measures Integrity Assessment Intervals Slide 5 Slide 6 Slide 7 Slide 7 Slide 7 Slide 7
  • 5. RISK 101 Why Should I Bother? Objectives  Prioritize pipeline segments for: • Integrity assessments • Mitigating action  Quantify benefit of mitigating action  Align mitigation measures versus identified threats  Determine cost/benefit for modified assessment intervals  Optimize resource allocation
  • 6. QUANTITATIVE RISK ANALYSIS Expected Loss (EL) Units Probability  Exposure  Mitigation  Resistance • Manufacturing • Construction • Equipment Consequence  Ignition vs. Non-ignition  Cost impact in dollars • Human/Safety • Environmental • Commercial Time Dependent Threats  Corrosion • External • Internal  Cracking • Fatigue • Enviro-Assisted Cracking Time Independent  Third Party  Geo-Hazard/Weather  Incorrect Operations  Sabotage
  • 7. REGULATORY BACKDROP 49 CFR Part 195 Transportation of Hazardous Liquids by Pipeline  Integrity Assessment Schedule 452 (e)  Information Analysis 452 (g) • New “MegaRule” Requirement  Preventative & Mitigative Measures 452 (i)  Integrity Assessment Intervals 452 (j) Inch-Wide Mile-Deep
  • 8. Integrity Management in High Consequence Areas ASSESSMENT SCHEDULE (e)
  • 9. BAP / CAP Risk Factors Used to Determine Reassessment Intervals  Minimum Consideration • ILI, ECDA, Hydro  Relevant Threats • Risk based assessment schedule  Omission of Risk Factors • Technical justification for not considering the minimum
  • 10. Risk Assessment Using Integrated Data INFORMATION ANALYSIS (g)
  • 11. DATA INTEGRATION MegaRule Part 1  Minimum Consideration • 21 proscriptive data sets • Anomaly spatial relationship development • GIS platform / Tools to get the job done  Relevant Threats • Document threat inclusion or omission basis  Information Interrelationship Analysis • Risk (PoF & CoF) o Absolute, rate of change, etc.  Important Dates • Effective – 01 OCT 2020 • Compliance – 01 OCT 2022
  • 12. What is the Impact?  The Impact is LOW  No longer an alternative technology that requires approval  Modify IMP manual to reflect new requirements INFORMATION ANALYSIS
  • 14. Risk Management Enhance Public Safety or Environmental Protection  Minimum Consideration • Additional measures to improve pipeline system safety • Implement actions that offer “significant” risk reduction  Relevant Threats • Documented for significant integrity threats  Omission of any P&MM’s • Technical justification for not implementing those that reduce risk
  • 15. P&MM Consideration Example - Pump Station in a Flood Plain  What are Options for Additional Preventative & Mitigative Measures?  What is the Relative ROI Among Options?
  • 16. Analysis Criteria Simulated Pipeline Release in a High Consequence Area  Minimum Consideration • Nature & location of most significant risks (CoF) • Likelihood of pipeline release (PoF) • Demonstrate risk reduction benefits of P&MMs  Relevant Threats • Documented for all relevant risk factors • Identify dominant risk drivers  Omission from Analysis • Technical justification for failure to identify risk reduction impacts
  • 18. Interval Establishment Based on Line Pipe Risk Posed to High Consequence Areas  Minimum Consideration • Assessment interval based on • Prioritize assessments by risk posed by line pipe to HCAs  Assessment Interval • Documented based on risk factors  Omission from Analysis • Technical justification for defaulting to 5 year maximum interval
  • 19. Interval establishment Time-To-Failure / Remaining Life  Essential Element of Risk Analysis  Requires Two Pieces of Information • Largest remain defect • Degradation rate (mpy)  Common Oversights • Failure to address dominant threats • Degradation mechanisms; either unknown or coincident • Plausible loadings on defect types and orientation • Failure to estimate and document key values including safety factors and other considerations of uncertainty
  • 20. In Conclusion Takeaways  Risk management tools can be leveraged to optimize O&M investment in addition to “checking the compliance box”  Hazardous liquid pipeline integrity management requires multiple “types” of risk analysis • Each is unique • Each satisfies different regulatory requirements / goals • Each is an integral part of your pipeline integrity management program • Our job is to understand the nuances and create solutions
  • 21. Bryan Louque, P.E. Vice President, Asset Integrity & Corrosion D: 918.514.5879 C: 913.221.3446 blouque@auduboncompanies.com auduboncompanies.com Any Questions?

Editor's Notes

  1. A proper risk model can be used to prioritize pipeline segments for future assessments and preventive and mitigative actions. It should also be able to quantify the effect of performing these actions on the understood risk associated with operating the assets. Resources need to be targeted to the right threats and in a way that addresses the mechanism driving risk. Non-quantitative risk assessment models fall short of being a proven tool for this.
  2. Modern quantitative models look at failure mechanisms where damage occurs at a rate over time (Time Dependent) and where damage occurs suddenly and randomly in a singular event (Time Independent). Both calculate the probability of damage to the pipe as the unmitigated exposure minus the amount reduced by the effectiveness of mitigation, or protection. The probability of failure is then the probability of damage minus the effectiveness of the asset’s natural resistance to damage. Manufacturing Defects, Construction Issues, and Equipment, traditionally referred to as “Time Stable” threats, do not lead directly to failure. In a quant model, they are treated as a reduction in material resistance to other threats, such as incorrect operations or fatigue. Consequence should consider the likelihood of ignition when evaluating certain receptors inside the impact area. Operators should be careful not to overly prioritize business impacts over immediate impacts to people and the environment.
  3. Gas and Liquid MegaRule Part 1 presentations included over 100 slides covering all aspects of compliance. Today we will look at just a few of those 100 slides and drill down to application.
  4. Relevant Threats - external and internal corrosion, stress corrosion cracking, materials problems, third party damage, operator or procedures errors, equipment failures, natural forces damage, and construction errors.
  5. 1) Information analysis
  6. 1) CoF (in units of expected loss) is a required part of this analysis. 2) Third party damage FoF is driving overall risk.
  7. 1) More than just regulatory compliance, this is where your risk analysis can optimize spend of your O&M resources.
  8. Cost and payback period of: Building flood protection Improving drainage Raising the elevation of the station in places Etc
  9. 1. An operator’s preventive and mitigative measures program should not be restricted to just line pipe. It should include facilities such as valves and other appurtenances connected to line pipe, metering and delivery stations, pump stations, and breakout tanks.