Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald TrumpIpsos UK
Two-thirds (68%) of the British public have an unfavourable opinion of US President Donald Trump, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. With fieldwork one week after his visit to the UK, the new poll reveals that just one in five (19%) have a favourable opinion, one in nine (11%) say they see him as neither favourable nor unfavourable, but half (52%) feel very unfavourable towards him.
Women are more likely to feel unfavourable towards the President than men (75% vs. 60% respectively) as are young people – three-quarters (76%) of 18-34s are also negative compared with 64% of 35-54s and 65% of people ages 55 and above. Labour supporters are especially unfavourable (by 82% to 12%), while Conservative supporters are also negative (by a margin of 61% to 23%). However, although the figures are not positive for the President they are not as poor as when last asked in October 2016 when 7% were favourable towards Mr Trump and 84% unfavourable.
The April 2018 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows more people have become dissatisfied with Jeremy Corbyn while Ruth Davidson leads other Conservative Cabinet Ministers as Prime Ministerial material.
Most Britons are not very confident that Theresa May will get a good deal for Britain from the Brexit negotiations, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. A third (34%) say they are confident when asked if Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain in negotiations with other European Union leaders while nearly two-thirds (63%) are not. This shows a slight drop from March when 37% said they were confident and 59% were not confident, and down from 44% with confidence in her in March 2017.
Ipsos MORI’s July Political Monitor reveals that over half (55%) believe that Theresa May has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, up from 28% in July 2015. Her ratings are particularly high among Conservative voters, among whom 81% think she has what it takes.
Mrs May’s ratings are well ahead of those for Andrea Leadsom and Boris Johnson. One in five (18%) think that Andrea Leadsom has what it takes to be a good PM (20% among Conservative voters), and 21% say the same about Boris Johnson (23% among Conservative voters). Mr Johnson’s ratings have fallen since last year – now 70% disagree he has what it takes, up from 52% last July. Fieldwork was conducted 9-11 July, with the vast majority carried out before Andrea Leadsom retired from the race.
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos UK
In the week before the Conservative party conference, the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals that only a third (33%) of the British public agree that Theresa May has the what it takes to be a good Prime Minister – no change from July this year however down from 55% just before she took office in July 2016. Nevertheless, she still leads Jeremy Corbyn (27%), and potential leadership challenger, Boris Johnson (25%), albeit at a narrowing margin. Fieldwork for this poll was conducted before the summit in Salzburg amongst EU leaders.
One week following George Osborne’s budget announcement Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor show his satisfaction ratings have fallen compared to one month ago. Three in five (60%) say they are dissatisfied with the performance of Mr Osborne (up 14 points from February) compared to one in four (27%) who say they are satisfied (down 13 points). This equals George Osborne’s worst performance in March 2013. Mr Osborne still has the backing of most of his party with three in five (58%) Conservative supporters saying they are satisfied with the Chancellor (although 31% are dissatisfied).
With just three weeks to go until Britain goes to the polls Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor shows the Conservatives holding a strong lead despite an improvement for Labour. The Conservatives currently stand on 49% (nc from April) with Labour at 34% (up 8 points), the Liberal Democrats down six to 7% and UKIP with 2%.
There is a softness in the Labour support, however, as the new poll reveals a clear party distinction when it comes to strength of support – 77% of Conservative supporters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (22% may change their mind) compared with 57% of Labour supporters (42% may change their mind). Worryingly for Jeremy Corbyn, two in five (38%) Labour voters who may change their mind say they would consider voting for the Conservative party. Overall two in three (67%) voters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (up 4 points from April) while one in three (32%) may change their mind.
Theresa May is enjoying a warm honeymoon welcome with the public according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. More than half (54%) say they are satisfied with Ms May’s performance in her first month as PM while one in five (19%) say they are dissatisfied – leaving her with a net satisfaction score of +35. This is comparable to her predecessor David Cameron’s rating in June 2010 when 57% were satisfied with him doing his job as PM and 26% dissatisfied. Although higher than those of John Major and Gordon Brown in their first month as Prime Minister, May’s satisfaction ratings are still behind Tony Blair’s first month back in May 1997 (65% were satisfied and 5% dissatisfied).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald TrumpIpsos UK
Two-thirds (68%) of the British public have an unfavourable opinion of US President Donald Trump, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. With fieldwork one week after his visit to the UK, the new poll reveals that just one in five (19%) have a favourable opinion, one in nine (11%) say they see him as neither favourable nor unfavourable, but half (52%) feel very unfavourable towards him.
Women are more likely to feel unfavourable towards the President than men (75% vs. 60% respectively) as are young people – three-quarters (76%) of 18-34s are also negative compared with 64% of 35-54s and 65% of people ages 55 and above. Labour supporters are especially unfavourable (by 82% to 12%), while Conservative supporters are also negative (by a margin of 61% to 23%). However, although the figures are not positive for the President they are not as poor as when last asked in October 2016 when 7% were favourable towards Mr Trump and 84% unfavourable.
The April 2018 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows more people have become dissatisfied with Jeremy Corbyn while Ruth Davidson leads other Conservative Cabinet Ministers as Prime Ministerial material.
Most Britons are not very confident that Theresa May will get a good deal for Britain from the Brexit negotiations, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. A third (34%) say they are confident when asked if Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain in negotiations with other European Union leaders while nearly two-thirds (63%) are not. This shows a slight drop from March when 37% said they were confident and 59% were not confident, and down from 44% with confidence in her in March 2017.
Ipsos MORI’s July Political Monitor reveals that over half (55%) believe that Theresa May has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, up from 28% in July 2015. Her ratings are particularly high among Conservative voters, among whom 81% think she has what it takes.
Mrs May’s ratings are well ahead of those for Andrea Leadsom and Boris Johnson. One in five (18%) think that Andrea Leadsom has what it takes to be a good PM (20% among Conservative voters), and 21% say the same about Boris Johnson (23% among Conservative voters). Mr Johnson’s ratings have fallen since last year – now 70% disagree he has what it takes, up from 52% last July. Fieldwork was conducted 9-11 July, with the vast majority carried out before Andrea Leadsom retired from the race.
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos UK
In the week before the Conservative party conference, the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals that only a third (33%) of the British public agree that Theresa May has the what it takes to be a good Prime Minister – no change from July this year however down from 55% just before she took office in July 2016. Nevertheless, she still leads Jeremy Corbyn (27%), and potential leadership challenger, Boris Johnson (25%), albeit at a narrowing margin. Fieldwork for this poll was conducted before the summit in Salzburg amongst EU leaders.
One week following George Osborne’s budget announcement Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor show his satisfaction ratings have fallen compared to one month ago. Three in five (60%) say they are dissatisfied with the performance of Mr Osborne (up 14 points from February) compared to one in four (27%) who say they are satisfied (down 13 points). This equals George Osborne’s worst performance in March 2013. Mr Osborne still has the backing of most of his party with three in five (58%) Conservative supporters saying they are satisfied with the Chancellor (although 31% are dissatisfied).
With just three weeks to go until Britain goes to the polls Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor shows the Conservatives holding a strong lead despite an improvement for Labour. The Conservatives currently stand on 49% (nc from April) with Labour at 34% (up 8 points), the Liberal Democrats down six to 7% and UKIP with 2%.
There is a softness in the Labour support, however, as the new poll reveals a clear party distinction when it comes to strength of support – 77% of Conservative supporters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (22% may change their mind) compared with 57% of Labour supporters (42% may change their mind). Worryingly for Jeremy Corbyn, two in five (38%) Labour voters who may change their mind say they would consider voting for the Conservative party. Overall two in three (67%) voters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (up 4 points from April) while one in three (32%) may change their mind.
Theresa May is enjoying a warm honeymoon welcome with the public according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. More than half (54%) say they are satisfied with Ms May’s performance in her first month as PM while one in five (19%) say they are dissatisfied – leaving her with a net satisfaction score of +35. This is comparable to her predecessor David Cameron’s rating in June 2010 when 57% were satisfied with him doing his job as PM and 26% dissatisfied. Although higher than those of John Major and Gordon Brown in their first month as Prime Minister, May’s satisfaction ratings are still behind Tony Blair’s first month back in May 1997 (65% were satisfied and 5% dissatisfied).
Only 14% of Britons think that the new funding announced for the NHS by the government will lead to actual improvements, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. As the NHS celebrates its 70th year half the public (49%) believe the new funding will only be enough to maintain the current level of NHS services, but not to lead to improvements – a third 33% think the amount is not enough and the NHS will get worse. While there is some variation across party lines supporters of all parties are pessimistic the funding will lead to improvements - a quarter (23%) of Conservative voters believe the amount is enough to lead to improvements compared with 8% of Labour voters. More than half (55%) of Conservative voters and 47% of Labour voters think the amount is enough to maintain current levels, while one in five (21%) Conservatives and two in five (40%) Labour voters think it will still get worse).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor March 2015: voting intentions, economic optimisim, the Government's economic record and perceptions around the George Osborne and Ed Balls
A majority of Britons do not think that the American President Donald Trump should be invited to the Royal Wedding between Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. The new poll shows that 69% of the public believe that he should not be invited – 23% think he should. Opposition to the invitation is higher amongst younger people (79% of 18-34s compared with 59% of those aged 55+. Women are also more likely to oppose (78%) than men (58%), as are Labour voters (80%) than Conservative voters (63%).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2014Ipsos UK
Support for the Labour Party is at the lowest level since the final days of Gordon Brown’s premiership, November’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals. Labour are down four points to 29%, their first score below 30% of the vote since before the last general election, while the Conservatives are up two points to 32%, giving them a three-point lead. This is a turnaround since last month, prior to recent media rumours of a Labour leadership challenge, when Labour held a three-point lead on 33% over the Conservatives’ 30%. UKIP are down two points from last month’s high on 14%, while the Liberal Democrats are up one point to 9%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's Political Monitor shows how the lead of the 'Stay in/remain' side in the EU debate has narrowed since June 2015. Also, it shows how British economic optimism is now at its lowest since 2013.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: December 2015Ipsos UK
Most Britons believe that David Cameron will campaign for Britain to stay in the European Union after his negotiations with other European leaders, according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor, even though only 18% think he will achieve all or most of his goals. The survey reveals that 68% think the Prime Minister will campaign for Britain to remain a member in the upcoming referendum (including both 73% of Conservative supporters and 71% of supporters of other parties), while 17% think he will campaign for Britain to leave (just 1% thinks he will remain neutral).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016Ipsos UK
As party conference season begins new Ipsos MORI polling reveals the public remain more positive about the new Prime Minister than they do Jeremy Corbyn on many key leader image attributes.
Theresa May continues to enjoy her honeymoon period with more than half (54%) of Britons satisfied with her performance as Prime Minister and 27% saying they are dissatisfied – leaving her a net satisfaction score of +27 (although down by 8 points from last month). Jeremy Corbyn however continues to struggle with public approval with 27% satisfied in him doing his job as leader of the Labour party and three in five (58%) dissatisfied - leaving him a net score of -31 (up 2 points). While Theresa May has overwhelming support from her own party (81% satisfied and 6% dissatisfied) Labour voters are split on their assessment of their leader (47% satisfied vs. 46% dissatisfied, although this has improved since August).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2014Ipsos UK
October’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows that, in the aftermath of Douglas Carswell’s by-election win for the party, more of the British public now disagree that voting UKIP in a general election is a wasted vote than agree. Just under half (48%) disagree that a general election vote for UKIP is a wasted vote, compared with 41% who agree. This is a turnaround from earlier this year – last month, prior to the Clacton by-election, 50% thought a UKIP vote was a vote wasted and 41% disagreed; in May, some 57% thought voting UKIP was a wasted vote and just 33% disagreed.
High satisfaction levels with the Royal FamilyIpsos UK
New polling released as the Queen turns 90 reveals that key members of the Royal Family continue to receive high satisfaction ratings from the public. When asked how they feel about the way the Queen is doing her job as Monarch 86% are satisfied, and 5% are dissatisfied - giving a net rating of 81%. Prince William, though third in line to the throne, receives the second highest satisfaction levels with 76% satisfied, and 6% dissatisfied (net +73%). Prince Charles has 71% satisfied, and 11% are dissatisfied - giving a net satisfaction rating of 60%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2015Ipsos UK
Less than two weeks into his tenure as the new Labour leader Ipsos MORI’s detailed image ratings show the public’s views on Jeremy Corbyn and the party he leads.
More than half (54%) of Britons say Jeremy Corbyn is ‘more honest than most politicians’ compared to three in ten (30%) who say the same for David Cameron. However only 32% think he’s a capable leader compared to 62% saying this for David Cameron. When asked if either ‘has sound judgment’ 32% say Mr Corbyn possesses this while 46% say Mr Cameron does. Less of the public however believe that Jeremy Corbyn is ‘out of touch with ordinary people’ when compared to David Cameron (39% versus 64%), but he falls far behind David Cameron when being seen as ‘patriotic’ (37% compared to 76%).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2015: Labour Leadership ElectionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's June 2015 Political Monitor looks at Labour's leadership election candidates, as well as some interim headline voting intention figures post-GE2015.
One week following Theresa May’s call for a snap general election Ipsos MORI’s Political Monitor finds the Conservatives with a significant lead over Labour. The first of our polls to open the election campaign shows the Conservative party standing at 49% (up 6 points from March) while Labour trail at 26% (down 4). The poll also shows the Liberal Democrats on 13% (no change), and UKIP at 4% (down 2). This is the biggest Conservative lead in our voting series since September 2008, and matches their lead in May 1983.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016Ipsos UK
Weeks after the High Court’s decision requiring the government to receive parliamentary approval before Article 50 is triggered, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals the public are split when it comes to what role parliament should take when initiating the start to Britain’s exit from the European Union. Even so, Britons are on balance critical of the government’s handling of Brexit.
Forty-four percent believe that parliament’s role should be to only vote on triggering Article 50, while 37% think that parliament should have a further role telling the government what terms Britain’s future relationship with the EU should be. Opinion is largely divided along those groups who either voted for Leave or Remain. Three in five (61%) Conservative supporters believe parliament should only vote on triggering Article 50 compared with three in five Labour supporters (60%) and 53% Lib Dem supporters who want parliament to have more of a role setting the terms of the negotiations. Half (51%) of those without a qualification also want parliament to just vote on triggering Article 50, while half (51%) of graduates want parliament to determine the terms of Britain’s future relationship with the EU.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos UK
With less than a week to go until the next Autumn Statement new Ipsos MORI polling shows growing public concern about the government’s plans for public services. Our latest Political Monitor shows two in three (67%) Britons disagree the government’s policies will improve the state of Britain’s public services, up from 60% before the election and at its highest level since 2001.
Ben Page, Chief Executive, Ipsos MORI, presented at a CBI event event held in Bloomberg offices on 25 May 2017 on what to expect from the 2017 election from a polling perspective
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2015 finds Boris Johnson is the most popular prospective Conservative leader amongst the public, but most Conservatives support George Osborne.
With just two months to go until Britain decides whether it will remain a member of the European Union or leave, Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals the economy and immigration to be the most important issues for the public when deciding how to vote. Two in three (32%) say the impact on the economy will be very important in helping them decide how to vote, just ahead of immigration which was mentioned by 27%.
When looking further into these figures there is a clear difference on what issues are most important between those that want to remain in the EU and those who want to leave. Two in five (40%) of those who will vote to remain say the economy is very important to them while 14% say immigration. This compares to one in five (21%) of those voting to leave mentioning the economy and almost half (47%) saying immigration. Other important issues for the public include Britain’s ability to make its own laws (14%, rising to 25% of leave supporters), the cost of EU immigration on the welfare system (12%), Britain’s ability to trade with other EU countries (11%), and the impact on British jobs (11%).
Satisfaction with the Chancellor has fallen since November, according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. The new poll, based on fieldwork after the Budget (but before yesterday’s announcement of a U-turn on National Insurance contributions for the self-employed) reveals that satisfaction with the Chancellor has fallen five points since November to 34%, while 46% of the British public are dissatisfied with him (up 18 points).
These ratings are similar to George Osborne’s after his first year (36% satisfied, 45% dissatisfied in March 2011), although Mr Osborne’s ratings had dropped to 27% satisfied, 60% dissatisfied by March 2016. Among Conservative supporters, 60% are satisfied with Mr Hammond, and 26% dissatisfied.
Only 14% of Britons think that the new funding announced for the NHS by the government will lead to actual improvements, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. As the NHS celebrates its 70th year half the public (49%) believe the new funding will only be enough to maintain the current level of NHS services, but not to lead to improvements – a third 33% think the amount is not enough and the NHS will get worse. While there is some variation across party lines supporters of all parties are pessimistic the funding will lead to improvements - a quarter (23%) of Conservative voters believe the amount is enough to lead to improvements compared with 8% of Labour voters. More than half (55%) of Conservative voters and 47% of Labour voters think the amount is enough to maintain current levels, while one in five (21%) Conservatives and two in five (40%) Labour voters think it will still get worse).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor March 2015: voting intentions, economic optimisim, the Government's economic record and perceptions around the George Osborne and Ed Balls
A majority of Britons do not think that the American President Donald Trump should be invited to the Royal Wedding between Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. The new poll shows that 69% of the public believe that he should not be invited – 23% think he should. Opposition to the invitation is higher amongst younger people (79% of 18-34s compared with 59% of those aged 55+. Women are also more likely to oppose (78%) than men (58%), as are Labour voters (80%) than Conservative voters (63%).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2014Ipsos UK
Support for the Labour Party is at the lowest level since the final days of Gordon Brown’s premiership, November’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals. Labour are down four points to 29%, their first score below 30% of the vote since before the last general election, while the Conservatives are up two points to 32%, giving them a three-point lead. This is a turnaround since last month, prior to recent media rumours of a Labour leadership challenge, when Labour held a three-point lead on 33% over the Conservatives’ 30%. UKIP are down two points from last month’s high on 14%, while the Liberal Democrats are up one point to 9%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's Political Monitor shows how the lead of the 'Stay in/remain' side in the EU debate has narrowed since June 2015. Also, it shows how British economic optimism is now at its lowest since 2013.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: December 2015Ipsos UK
Most Britons believe that David Cameron will campaign for Britain to stay in the European Union after his negotiations with other European leaders, according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor, even though only 18% think he will achieve all or most of his goals. The survey reveals that 68% think the Prime Minister will campaign for Britain to remain a member in the upcoming referendum (including both 73% of Conservative supporters and 71% of supporters of other parties), while 17% think he will campaign for Britain to leave (just 1% thinks he will remain neutral).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016Ipsos UK
As party conference season begins new Ipsos MORI polling reveals the public remain more positive about the new Prime Minister than they do Jeremy Corbyn on many key leader image attributes.
Theresa May continues to enjoy her honeymoon period with more than half (54%) of Britons satisfied with her performance as Prime Minister and 27% saying they are dissatisfied – leaving her a net satisfaction score of +27 (although down by 8 points from last month). Jeremy Corbyn however continues to struggle with public approval with 27% satisfied in him doing his job as leader of the Labour party and three in five (58%) dissatisfied - leaving him a net score of -31 (up 2 points). While Theresa May has overwhelming support from her own party (81% satisfied and 6% dissatisfied) Labour voters are split on their assessment of their leader (47% satisfied vs. 46% dissatisfied, although this has improved since August).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2014Ipsos UK
October’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows that, in the aftermath of Douglas Carswell’s by-election win for the party, more of the British public now disagree that voting UKIP in a general election is a wasted vote than agree. Just under half (48%) disagree that a general election vote for UKIP is a wasted vote, compared with 41% who agree. This is a turnaround from earlier this year – last month, prior to the Clacton by-election, 50% thought a UKIP vote was a vote wasted and 41% disagreed; in May, some 57% thought voting UKIP was a wasted vote and just 33% disagreed.
High satisfaction levels with the Royal FamilyIpsos UK
New polling released as the Queen turns 90 reveals that key members of the Royal Family continue to receive high satisfaction ratings from the public. When asked how they feel about the way the Queen is doing her job as Monarch 86% are satisfied, and 5% are dissatisfied - giving a net rating of 81%. Prince William, though third in line to the throne, receives the second highest satisfaction levels with 76% satisfied, and 6% dissatisfied (net +73%). Prince Charles has 71% satisfied, and 11% are dissatisfied - giving a net satisfaction rating of 60%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2015Ipsos UK
Less than two weeks into his tenure as the new Labour leader Ipsos MORI’s detailed image ratings show the public’s views on Jeremy Corbyn and the party he leads.
More than half (54%) of Britons say Jeremy Corbyn is ‘more honest than most politicians’ compared to three in ten (30%) who say the same for David Cameron. However only 32% think he’s a capable leader compared to 62% saying this for David Cameron. When asked if either ‘has sound judgment’ 32% say Mr Corbyn possesses this while 46% say Mr Cameron does. Less of the public however believe that Jeremy Corbyn is ‘out of touch with ordinary people’ when compared to David Cameron (39% versus 64%), but he falls far behind David Cameron when being seen as ‘patriotic’ (37% compared to 76%).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2015: Labour Leadership ElectionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's June 2015 Political Monitor looks at Labour's leadership election candidates, as well as some interim headline voting intention figures post-GE2015.
One week following Theresa May’s call for a snap general election Ipsos MORI’s Political Monitor finds the Conservatives with a significant lead over Labour. The first of our polls to open the election campaign shows the Conservative party standing at 49% (up 6 points from March) while Labour trail at 26% (down 4). The poll also shows the Liberal Democrats on 13% (no change), and UKIP at 4% (down 2). This is the biggest Conservative lead in our voting series since September 2008, and matches their lead in May 1983.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016Ipsos UK
Weeks after the High Court’s decision requiring the government to receive parliamentary approval before Article 50 is triggered, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals the public are split when it comes to what role parliament should take when initiating the start to Britain’s exit from the European Union. Even so, Britons are on balance critical of the government’s handling of Brexit.
Forty-four percent believe that parliament’s role should be to only vote on triggering Article 50, while 37% think that parliament should have a further role telling the government what terms Britain’s future relationship with the EU should be. Opinion is largely divided along those groups who either voted for Leave or Remain. Three in five (61%) Conservative supporters believe parliament should only vote on triggering Article 50 compared with three in five Labour supporters (60%) and 53% Lib Dem supporters who want parliament to have more of a role setting the terms of the negotiations. Half (51%) of those without a qualification also want parliament to just vote on triggering Article 50, while half (51%) of graduates want parliament to determine the terms of Britain’s future relationship with the EU.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos UK
With less than a week to go until the next Autumn Statement new Ipsos MORI polling shows growing public concern about the government’s plans for public services. Our latest Political Monitor shows two in three (67%) Britons disagree the government’s policies will improve the state of Britain’s public services, up from 60% before the election and at its highest level since 2001.
Ben Page, Chief Executive, Ipsos MORI, presented at a CBI event event held in Bloomberg offices on 25 May 2017 on what to expect from the 2017 election from a polling perspective
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2015 finds Boris Johnson is the most popular prospective Conservative leader amongst the public, but most Conservatives support George Osborne.
With just two months to go until Britain decides whether it will remain a member of the European Union or leave, Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals the economy and immigration to be the most important issues for the public when deciding how to vote. Two in three (32%) say the impact on the economy will be very important in helping them decide how to vote, just ahead of immigration which was mentioned by 27%.
When looking further into these figures there is a clear difference on what issues are most important between those that want to remain in the EU and those who want to leave. Two in five (40%) of those who will vote to remain say the economy is very important to them while 14% say immigration. This compares to one in five (21%) of those voting to leave mentioning the economy and almost half (47%) saying immigration. Other important issues for the public include Britain’s ability to make its own laws (14%, rising to 25% of leave supporters), the cost of EU immigration on the welfare system (12%), Britain’s ability to trade with other EU countries (11%), and the impact on British jobs (11%).
Satisfaction with the Chancellor has fallen since November, according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. The new poll, based on fieldwork after the Budget (but before yesterday’s announcement of a U-turn on National Insurance contributions for the self-employed) reveals that satisfaction with the Chancellor has fallen five points since November to 34%, while 46% of the British public are dissatisfied with him (up 18 points).
These ratings are similar to George Osborne’s after his first year (36% satisfied, 45% dissatisfied in March 2011), although Mr Osborne’s ratings had dropped to 27% satisfied, 60% dissatisfied by March 2016. Among Conservative supporters, 60% are satisfied with Mr Hammond, and 26% dissatisfied.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2017Ipsos UK
A majority of Britons (52%) believe that the country’s economy will get worse over the next 12 months, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor, little change from the last survey in July when 54% said things would get worse. One in five (21%) say the economy will improve over the next year (an improvement from 14% in July) while a similar number (23%) say it will stay the same (down from 28%). This leaves an Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index score (net get better minus get worse) of -31. This is an improvement of nine points in the Index since July, but remains lower than the average score of -18 in the first five months of the year.
When looking at the differences between various demographics in Britain the figures show women to be more pessimistic than men. Three in five (58%) women say the economy will get worse compared with 47% of men. Younger people are also more pessimistic with three in five (59%) 18-34 year olds saying the economy will get worse while 44% of those aged 55 and over say the same (this number drops to 38% for those aged 65+). Those who own a home outright are also less pessimistic than other tenure types. Forty-four percent say the economy will get worse, compared with half (52%) of those paying a mortgage and three in five (61%) renters.
People in the Midlands and the South outside London are less pessimistic than the rest of the country, with 43% and 44% respectively saying the economy will get worse over the next 12 months. This compares with two in three (65%) in the North, 62% in Scotland, and 60% in London.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016Ipsos UK
Public optimism over the strength of the economy has fallen sharply in the last month according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. More than half (53%, up from 37% in September) think the economy will get worse over the next twelve months, with a quarter (24%) thinking it will get better and 17% saying it will stay the same – leaving an overall Economic Optimism Index score of -29 (compared with -1 in September).
One month on from the General Election Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals the negative shift in Theresa May’s personal ratings continues. Her ratings are the worst in our records for a Prime Minister one month after an election.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: June 2016 - Voting IntentionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI’s June Political Monitor reveals that one in four (24%) believes the Conservative party is the most clear and united party while just 13% think this of the Labour party. Although the Conservatives are ahead of Labour on this attribute David Cameron’s party has seen a decline since January when one in three (33%) said the Conservatives were most clear and united. The poll also reveals one in nine (11%) think UKIP is most clear and united while one in five (24%) think no party is and 17% have no opinion.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017Ipsos UK
As Theresa May opens up the new year outlining her Government’s stance on the upcoming Brexit negotiations, Ipsos MORI’s first Political Monitor of 2017 shows a nation divided on what those terms should mean.
According to the new poll 44% believe Britain should prioritise having access to the European Single Market while 42% think the priority should be controlling immigration. This is only a marginal change from October when 45% believed Britain should prioritise Single Market access compared with 39% who to prioritise controlling immigration. Groups more likely to have voted remain in the referendum are amongst those who are more likely to favour access to the Single Market over immigration control. Seven in ten (69%) of those aged 18-34 favour access to the single market (22% favour immigration control) compared with 23% of those aged 55+ (61% favour immigration control) while 63% of those with a degree favour single market access (23% favour immigration control) compared with one in five (20%) with no qualifications (65% favour immigration control).
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018Ipsos UK
A majority want to see the Government increase public spending, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. One week before Phillip Hammond is due to deliver his budget the new poll reveals that two-thirds (66%) think the government should increase spending on public services, even if that means higher taxes or more government borrowing. One in five (20%) believe it should keep spending at the current level, while just 8% think it should reduce spending to allow for tax cuts or less government borrowing.
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018Ipsos UK
As Parliament gets ready to vote on the Withdrawal Agreement next week Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals most of the public believe withdrawing from the EU on its terms will be bad for Britain. The poll shows six in ten (62%) think withdrawing under this deal will be bad for the UK as a whole (25% say good), including 47% of Conservatives (40% of whom think it would be good). This is worse than the reaction to the Prime Minister’s Chequers deal in July when 47% thought it would be bad for the country.
With just one month to go until the referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor shows that on balance Britons believe the economy would be better off in the long term if Britain left the European Union yet likely be worse off in the years immediately following Brexit. When asked if Britain votes to leave the European Union, to what extent do you think it would be better or worse for Britain’s economy over the next five years, half (49%) say it would be worse compared with a quarter (26%) who say it would be better (15% say Brexit would make no difference). When asked about Britain’s economy over the next ten to twenty years however two in five (39%) think it would be better outside the EU compared with 35% who say it would be worse (11% say Brexit would make no difference).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017Ipsos UK
As the Brexit negotiations continue Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals little confidence among the public that the Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain. Three in five (60%) are either ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ confident in the PM getting a good deal – just over a third (36%) are either ‘very’ or ‘fairly’ confident in her. Nonetheless two-thirds (66%) of Conservative supporters have confidence that she will strike a good deal compared with one in five (19%) Labour supporters and quarter (26%) of Liberal Democrats. Overall few members of the public think Theresa May is doing a good job handling Brexit. A third (32%) say she is doing a good job but a majority (55%) say she is doing a bad job. Neither of these measures show any real change since last asked in July, but both are down from Mrs May’s ratings before the election.
As pressure mounts on Theresa May to step down Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals no clear public favourite amongst the Conservative rivals for the Premiership.
When asked if each contender has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister none of the potential candidates stand out as a clear favourite with little shift in this figures since March this year. Boris Johnson has the largest number of Britons believing he has what it takes at with a quarter (25%) agreeing – however two-thirds (64%) disagree, which is also the highest negative number. Following Boris Johnson one in five (20%) think Sajid Javid has what it takes however almost half (47%) disagree.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2017Ipsos UK
Theresa May continues to have strong backing from the British public according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. The new poll reveals that the Prime Minister’s honeymoon is yet to end with more than half (53%) of the public satisfied with her performance (up 8 points). One in three (36%) said they were dissatisfied with her (down 3 points) leaving Ms May a net satisfaction score of +17 (up 11 points).
Economic optimism has fallen to its lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis, according to Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor. The new poll, conducted between 13-16 March, so before some of this week’s emergency measures were announced, shows seven in ten (69%) now say they think the economy will get worse in the next 12 months – this is up from 42% in February. Just 15% think that the economy will improve, leaving an Economic Optimism Index score of -54. The last time pessimism was this low was in November 2008 (at its worst during the 2008 crisis 75% thought the economy would get worse). Despite this pessimism, around half (49%) believe the Government is handling the coronavirus outbreak well (35% say badly).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016Ipsos UK
As David Cameron ramps up his efforts this week to secure a new deal for Britain in the EU Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals little change from January amongst the public when it comes to how they will vote in the referendum on EU membership. When asked the referendum question “should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?” the poll finds a majority (54%) would vote to remain a member (down 1 point from January) and 36% would vote to leave (no change). Ipsos MORI’s trend question on EU membership also reveals little difference from last month. When asked “if there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or get out of the European Union, how would you vote?” half (51%) would vote to stay in (up 1 point) while 36% would vote to get out (down 2 points).
Ipsos MORI November Political Monitor
1 December 2017
Conservatives seen as more divided and less fit to govern than a year ago
Most lack confidence in government’s long-term economic policies as economic optimism drops
But Philip Hammond still preferred over John McDonnell as most capable chancellor
Ipsos MORI's July 2015 UK Political Monitor covers voting intention, views on the candidates to lead the UK Labour Party as wwell as likely future candidates to lead the UK Conservative Party and public attitudes to expansion of UK airport capacity. https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive.aspx?contenttype=Politicians+%26+Parties%3bPolitical+Monitor&datefield=published
Ipsos MORI's April 2015 Political Monitor looks at voting intentions, whether people have made up their mind yet as well as some party leader image attributes.
This month’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows the Conservatives continuing to lead Labour on managing the economy, although they are neck-and-neck with regard to taxation policy and Labour lead on unemployment policy. One in three (35%) think the Conservatives have the best policies on managing the economy, compared with 22% for Labour; Labour lead the Conservatives on unemployment by 32% to 27%, and the two are almost level on taxation with Labour supported by 27% and the Conservatives on 25%.
The Beat is an Ipsos always on community of engaged consumers, representative of the UK population, for rapid understanding of consumer views. In this edition, we explore people’s views on the Brexit vote 5 years on, and how they feel about the vote they made.
Jayesh Navin Shah, from Ipsos MORI Public Affairs, presented our findings on cyber skills gaps and shortages in the UK at the SC Digital Congress 2021. The findings are taken from Ipsos MORI’s report, Understanding the UK Cyber Security Labour Market 2021 study, carried out on behalf of the UK Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport.
https://www.sccongressuk.com/digital-congress/
Jayesh Navin Shah, from Ipsos MORI Public Affairs, presented our findings on cyber resilience among UK businesses and charities at the SC Digital Congress 2021. The findings are taken from Ipsos MORI’s Cyber Security Breaches Survey 2021, carried out on behalf of the UK Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport.
https://www.sccongressuk.com/digital-congress/
Ipsos Global Advisor: The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate ChangeIpsos UK
People around the world say they understand what actions they need to take to combat climate change, but do they really? The latest Perils of Perception study by Ipsos looks at how the general public in 30 markets around the world perceive environmental action. We ask them what they might do in their own lives to tackle climate change, and compare the answers to the (sometimes confusing) scientific truth.
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah EverardIpsos UK
The horrific murder of Sarah Everard has raised the need to debate the safety of women in public spaces. We've seen the alarming images from the vigil turned protest on Clapham Common. We were keen to hear how these events were perceived by the public, so we turned to our 'always on' Ipsos community to hear their views.
The 2020 Global Infrastructure Index - undertaken in partnership by GIIA and Ipsos MORI and the largest global survey of its kind looking at public attitudes towards infrastructure and investment – shows that the British public believe investment in infrastructure should form a key part of the UK Government’s plan to secure economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.
Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, women of all ages across Britain are more pessimistic and worried than their male counterparts. This new webinar explores why.
Looking at data around the balance of responsibility and mental load at work and at home for women compared to men, the additional stresses that the pandemic has put on women of all ages, and the specific damages it has made to women's work-life balances and future ability to progress in a career, our expert speakers will examine how the disease - despite being more prevalent in men - might be more damaging to women.
Ipsos has analysed data from more than 2,000 women of working age across Britain to examine what is happening, explore the causes and explain what can be done to better support those women being hit hardest by the pandemic.
Speakers include:
Jane Merrick, Policy Editor, the I newspaper
Kully Kaur-Ballagan, Research Director, Public Affairs
Jordana Moser, Business research specialist, Ipsos MORI
Kelly Beaver, Managing Director, Ipsos MORI Social Research Institute (Chair)
With just a few weeks to go before the 2020 presidential election in the US, Ipsos MORI hosted this webinar to explore the complexities and current uncertainties regarding the process and outcome of the election.
As part of the webinar, Clifford Young, our President of Public Affairs in the US, shared findings from our latest political polling.
Full webinar: https://youtu.be/d012B5iwSzQ
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in BritainIpsos UK
New Ipsos MORI research shows that Britons think LGBTQ+ communities face discrimination in Britain today, but opinion is split regarding the progression of LGBTQ+ rights.
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social MediaIpsos UK
There is a toxic mix between underlying beliefs, misleading information and how people act around the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic according to a new survey by Ipsos MORI and The Policy Institute and King's College London.
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMSIpsos UK
Taking findings from Ipsos MORI’s latest cyber security labour market study for DCMS, published in March 2020, we explore three areas in this webinar:
1. The demand for cyber skills in the UK
2. The training and qualifications landscape
3. Recruitment and diversity
Boris Johnson’s favourability rating increases sharply, with the Conservative Party’s image also showing some improvement
By a small margin, the public now think the country is heading in the right direction
One in two Britons are yet to form a view new Labour leader Keir Starmer. Those who do express a view expect him to improve the party’s fortunes by a seven-to-one margin
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?Ipsos UK
A new survey of more than 20,000 people in 27 countries from Ipsos MORI and King's College London for International Women's Day 2020 finds significant differences in what women and men see as acceptable workplace behaviour.
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORIIpsos UK
A new global poll by Ipsos MORI shows the extent to which the UK public may change their behaviours because of the threat of the virus, including 14% saying they would avoid contact with people of Chinese origin or appearance.
The threat of the Covid-19 could have a significant impact on the UK public’s behaviour, according to an Ipsos survey conducted online from February 7 to 9, 2020 among 8,001 adults aged 16 (18) -74 in Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Two-thirds of people in the UK say they would consider avoiding travelling to infected countries or areas (65%), while three in ten would avoid large gatherings of people or travelling by air for holidays (both 29%). A quarter say they would avoid shaking hands with others (26%), and one in five say they would avoid travelling by public transport (22%).
This study did not have any external sponsors or partners. It was initiated and run by Ipsos with the intention to share our understanding about the world we live in and how citizens around the globe think and feel about their world.
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of DeathIpsos UK
Ipsos’ latest Perils of Perception study highlights public misperceptions across 32 countries about the proportion of people who die from diseases, violence, transport injuries and other causes. While patterns differ in different countries, overall on average people tend to underestimate how many deaths are caused by cancers and cardiovascular disease, and overestimate how many are caused by transport injuries, substance misuse and violence.
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus PollIpsos UK
As concern about the environment continues to rise, 81% of Britons believe that the Government should take partial or full responsibility for reducing the harm we do to the environment. Within this, 1 in 5 believe the Government should take main responsibility while 61% believe it should be split between the Government, Businesses and the public, an Ipsos MORI Omnibus Survey has found.
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019Ipsos UK
The key findings of the November 2019 edition of our new Social Media Britain report - powered by Synthesio - include:
Overall Brexit continued to lead the conversation in November – however there was a 59% increase in NHS related mentions vs. October. This was driven in part by Corbyn revealing documents that he says indicate a Conservative government would sell off the NHS as part of a US trade deal.
The general election, which is the focus of our deep dive this month, as well as the London Bridge terror attack - both contributed to sizeable shifts in social conversation.
Following the ITV Leaders Debate, there was a sharp increase in conversation around the general election. The release of the Labour and Conservative manifestos seeing further spikes in volume towards the end of November.
When comparing Johnson and Corbyn activity on Twitter in November there were some notable differences in the focus of their posts. Whilst Brexit was mentioned across 42% of Johnson’s tweets – it was only mentioned within 6% of Corbyn’s. Corbyn focused mainly on the NHS, which was mentioned in just over a third of his tweets.
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - HousingIpsos UK
New research from Ipsos MORI finds the major housing parties included in Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat manifestos are popular, but the public also have strong doubts that anyone will improve housing if elected.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019Ipsos UK
Conservatives hold 12-point lead over Labour heading into final week of the election campaign
Corbyn has improved leader satisfaction ratings since October but still trails Johnson
NHS of increased importance to voters as an election issue
One in four may change their minds on who to vote for before next Thursday
More of the British public are opposed to a second referendum on Scottish independence next year than support one
NHS surges in final Issues Index ahead of the 2019 General Election
• The proportion of Britons who say the NHS is one of the most important issues facing the country has risen 18 percentage points since October to 54 per cent, close to Brexit which has fallen by six points to 57 per cent this month
• Brexit remains the single biggest issue by a long way and is also the most important issue influencing how people might vote
• Concern about crime and pollution has fallen while worry about the economy has spiked
ZGB - The Role of Generative AI in Government transformation.pdfSaeed Al Dhaheri
This keynote was presented during the the 7th edition of the UAE Hackathon 2024. It highlights the role of AI and Generative AI in addressing government transformation to achieve zero government bureaucracy
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Presentation by Jared Jageler, David Adler, Noelia Duchovny, and Evan Herrnstadt, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies and Health Analysis Divisions, at the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Summer Conference.
This session provides a comprehensive overview of the latest updates to the Uniform Administrative Requirements, Cost Principles, and Audit Requirements for Federal Awards (commonly known as the Uniform Guidance) outlined in the 2 CFR 200.
With a focus on the 2024 revisions issued by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), participants will gain insight into the key changes affecting federal grant recipients. The session will delve into critical regulatory updates, providing attendees with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate and comply with the evolving landscape of federal grant management.
Learning Objectives:
- Understand the rationale behind the 2024 updates to the Uniform Guidance outlined in 2 CFR 200, and their implications for federal grant recipients.
- Identify the key changes and revisions introduced by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in the 2024 edition of 2 CFR 200.
- Gain proficiency in applying the updated regulations to ensure compliance with federal grant requirements and avoid potential audit findings.
- Develop strategies for effectively implementing the new guidelines within the grant management processes of their respective organizations, fostering efficiency and accountability in federal grant administration.
A process server is a authorized person for delivering legal documents, such as summons, complaints, subpoenas, and other court papers, to peoples involved in legal proceedings.
What is the point of small housing associations.pptxPaul Smith
Given the small scale of housing associations and their relative high cost per home what is the point of them and how do we justify their continued existance
Russian anarchist and anti-war movement in the third year of full-scale warAntti Rautiainen
Anarchist group ANA Regensburg hosted my online-presentation on 16th of May 2024, in which I discussed tactics of anti-war activism in Russia, and reasons why the anti-war movement has not been able to make an impact to change the course of events yet. Cases of anarchists repressed for anti-war activities are presented, as well as strategies of support for political prisoners, and modest successes in supporting their struggles.
Thumbnail picture is by MediaZona, you may read their report on anti-war arson attacks in Russia here: https://en.zona.media/article/2022/10/13/burn-map
Links:
Autonomous Action
http://Avtonom.org
Anarchist Black Cross Moscow
http://Avtonom.org/abc
Solidarity Zone
https://t.me/solidarity_zone
Memorial
https://memopzk.org/, https://t.me/pzk_memorial
OVD-Info
https://en.ovdinfo.org/antiwar-ovd-info-guide
RosUznik
https://rosuznik.org/
Uznik Online
http://uznikonline.tilda.ws/
Russian Reader
https://therussianreader.com/
ABC Irkutsk
https://abc38.noblogs.org/
Send mail to prisoners from abroad:
http://Prisonmail.online
YouTube: https://youtu.be/c5nSOdU48O8
Spotify: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/libertarianlifecoach/episodes/Russian-anarchist-and-anti-war-movement-in-the-third-year-of-full-scale-war-e2k8ai4
2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS
3. 3Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+, 2rd March – 7th March 2018; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it
depends vote in General Elections = 782. Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4%
Voting Intention
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = 0
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +1
43%
42%
6%
2%
2%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
41%
41%
8%
3%
2%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
4. 4Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
2015 General Election
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
5. 5Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan04
Jun04
Nov04
Apr05
Sep05
Feb06
Jul06
Dec06
May07
Oct07
Mar08
Aug08
Jan09
Jun09
Nov09
Apr10
Sep10
Feb11
Jul11
Dec11
May12
Oct12
Mar13
Aug13
Jan14
Jun14
Nov14
Apr15
Sep15
Feb16
Jul16
Dec16
May17
Oct17
Mar18
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – March ‘18
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM
6. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS
7. 7Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
30%
62%
9%
41%
52%
7%
37%
52%
10%
Jeremy Corbyn The Government
+3%
swing from January 2018
-2%
swing from January 2018
0%
swing from January 2018
+2%
swing from January 2018
-11 Net -15 Net -12 Net -32 Net
SATISFIED 41% SATISFIED 37% SATISFIED 25% SATISFIED 30%
DISSATISFIED 52% DISSATISFIED 52% DISSATISFIED 38% DISSATISFIED 62%
25%
37%
38%
Vince Cable
8. 8Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER
/LEADER OF THE LABOUR/LIB DEM PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month.
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – Mar 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
MAY CORBYN CABLE
41%
37%
25%
9. 9Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2018)
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May
Number of months after becoming Prime Minister
10. 10Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2018)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Hague (97-01) Duncan Smith (01-03) Howard (03-05) Cameron (05-10)
Blair (94-97) Miliband (10-15) Corbyn (15-present) Kinnock (83-92)
Foot (80-83) Smith (92-94)
Number of months after becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
Corbyn
11. 11Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Theresa May (satisfaction)
41%
52%
7%
March 2018 August 2016 – March 2018
SATISFIED 41%
DISSATISFIED 52%
DON’T KNOW 7%
Net = -11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
12. 12Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 386 Conservative supporters 18+ , 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters)
74%
22%
4%
March 2018
SATISFIED 74%
DISSATISFIED 22%
DON’T KNOW 4%
Net = +52
August 2016 – March 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
13. 13Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
37%
52%
10%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
SATISFIED 37%
DISSATISFIED 52%
DON’T KNOW 10%
Net = -15
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
March 2018 September 2015 – March 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
14. 14Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
71%
26%
3%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
SATISFIED 71%
DISSATISFIED 26%
DON’T KNOW 3%
Net = +45
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 318 Labour supporters 18+ , 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
March 2018 September 2015 – March 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
15. 15Political Monitor | March 2018 | Final | Public
25%
37%
38%
SATISFIED 25%
DISSATISFIED 37%
DON’T KNOW 38%
Net = -12
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Vince Cable (satisfaction)
March 2018
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
September 2017 – March 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
16. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 16
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM
17. 17Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
22%
22%
54%
3%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan-07
May-07
Jul-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-117
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Aprl-16
Jun-16
Aug-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jul-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
IMPROVE 22%
STAY THE SAME 22%
GET WORSE 54%
DON’T KNOW 3%
EOI = -32
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,0312 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Economic Optimism Index
March 2018
18. 18Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Consistent levels of economic pessimism since July 2017
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jan1998
Dec1998
Nov1999
Oct2000
Sep2001
Aug2002
Jul2003
Jun2004
May2005
Apr2006
Mar2007
Feb2008
Jan2009
Dec2009
Nov2010
Oct2011
Sep2012
Aug2013
Jul2014
Jun2015
May2016
Apr2017
Mar2018
-32