A majority of Britons do not think that the American President Donald Trump should be invited to the Royal Wedding between Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. The new poll shows that 69% of the public believe that he should not be invited – 23% think he should. Opposition to the invitation is higher amongst younger people (79% of 18-34s compared with 59% of those aged 55+. Women are also more likely to oppose (78%) than men (58%), as are Labour voters (80%) than Conservative voters (63%).
Most Britons are not very confident that Theresa May will get a good deal for Britain from the Brexit negotiations, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. A third (34%) say they are confident when asked if Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain in negotiations with other European Union leaders while nearly two-thirds (63%) are not. This shows a slight drop from March when 37% said they were confident and 59% were not confident, and down from 44% with confidence in her in March 2017.
The April 2018 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows more people have become dissatisfied with Jeremy Corbyn while Ruth Davidson leads other Conservative Cabinet Ministers as Prime Ministerial material.
Only 14% of Britons think that the new funding announced for the NHS by the government will lead to actual improvements, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. As the NHS celebrates its 70th year half the public (49%) believe the new funding will only be enough to maintain the current level of NHS services, but not to lead to improvements – a third 33% think the amount is not enough and the NHS will get worse. While there is some variation across party lines supporters of all parties are pessimistic the funding will lead to improvements - a quarter (23%) of Conservative voters believe the amount is enough to lead to improvements compared with 8% of Labour voters. More than half (55%) of Conservative voters and 47% of Labour voters think the amount is enough to maintain current levels, while one in five (21%) Conservatives and two in five (40%) Labour voters think it will still get worse).
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos UK
In the week before the Conservative party conference, the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals that only a third (33%) of the British public agree that Theresa May has the what it takes to be a good Prime Minister – no change from July this year however down from 55% just before she took office in July 2016. Nevertheless, she still leads Jeremy Corbyn (27%), and potential leadership challenger, Boris Johnson (25%), albeit at a narrowing margin. Fieldwork for this poll was conducted before the summit in Salzburg amongst EU leaders.
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018Ipsos UK
As Parliament gets ready to vote on the Withdrawal Agreement next week Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals most of the public believe withdrawing from the EU on its terms will be bad for Britain. The poll shows six in ten (62%) think withdrawing under this deal will be bad for the UK as a whole (25% say good), including 47% of Conservatives (40% of whom think it would be good). This is worse than the reaction to the Prime Minister’s Chequers deal in July when 47% thought it would be bad for the country.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's Political Monitor shows how the lead of the 'Stay in/remain' side in the EU debate has narrowed since June 2015. Also, it shows how British economic optimism is now at its lowest since 2013.
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018Ipsos UK
A majority want to see the Government increase public spending, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. One week before Phillip Hammond is due to deliver his budget the new poll reveals that two-thirds (66%) think the government should increase spending on public services, even if that means higher taxes or more government borrowing. One in five (20%) believe it should keep spending at the current level, while just 8% think it should reduce spending to allow for tax cuts or less government borrowing.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2015Ipsos UK
Less than two weeks into his tenure as the new Labour leader Ipsos MORI’s detailed image ratings show the public’s views on Jeremy Corbyn and the party he leads.
More than half (54%) of Britons say Jeremy Corbyn is ‘more honest than most politicians’ compared to three in ten (30%) who say the same for David Cameron. However only 32% think he’s a capable leader compared to 62% saying this for David Cameron. When asked if either ‘has sound judgment’ 32% say Mr Corbyn possesses this while 46% say Mr Cameron does. Less of the public however believe that Jeremy Corbyn is ‘out of touch with ordinary people’ when compared to David Cameron (39% versus 64%), but he falls far behind David Cameron when being seen as ‘patriotic’ (37% compared to 76%).
Most Britons are not very confident that Theresa May will get a good deal for Britain from the Brexit negotiations, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. A third (34%) say they are confident when asked if Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain in negotiations with other European Union leaders while nearly two-thirds (63%) are not. This shows a slight drop from March when 37% said they were confident and 59% were not confident, and down from 44% with confidence in her in March 2017.
The April 2018 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows more people have become dissatisfied with Jeremy Corbyn while Ruth Davidson leads other Conservative Cabinet Ministers as Prime Ministerial material.
Only 14% of Britons think that the new funding announced for the NHS by the government will lead to actual improvements, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. As the NHS celebrates its 70th year half the public (49%) believe the new funding will only be enough to maintain the current level of NHS services, but not to lead to improvements – a third 33% think the amount is not enough and the NHS will get worse. While there is some variation across party lines supporters of all parties are pessimistic the funding will lead to improvements - a quarter (23%) of Conservative voters believe the amount is enough to lead to improvements compared with 8% of Labour voters. More than half (55%) of Conservative voters and 47% of Labour voters think the amount is enough to maintain current levels, while one in five (21%) Conservatives and two in five (40%) Labour voters think it will still get worse).
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos UK
In the week before the Conservative party conference, the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals that only a third (33%) of the British public agree that Theresa May has the what it takes to be a good Prime Minister – no change from July this year however down from 55% just before she took office in July 2016. Nevertheless, she still leads Jeremy Corbyn (27%), and potential leadership challenger, Boris Johnson (25%), albeit at a narrowing margin. Fieldwork for this poll was conducted before the summit in Salzburg amongst EU leaders.
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018Ipsos UK
As Parliament gets ready to vote on the Withdrawal Agreement next week Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals most of the public believe withdrawing from the EU on its terms will be bad for Britain. The poll shows six in ten (62%) think withdrawing under this deal will be bad for the UK as a whole (25% say good), including 47% of Conservatives (40% of whom think it would be good). This is worse than the reaction to the Prime Minister’s Chequers deal in July when 47% thought it would be bad for the country.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's Political Monitor shows how the lead of the 'Stay in/remain' side in the EU debate has narrowed since June 2015. Also, it shows how British economic optimism is now at its lowest since 2013.
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018Ipsos UK
A majority want to see the Government increase public spending, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. One week before Phillip Hammond is due to deliver his budget the new poll reveals that two-thirds (66%) think the government should increase spending on public services, even if that means higher taxes or more government borrowing. One in five (20%) believe it should keep spending at the current level, while just 8% think it should reduce spending to allow for tax cuts or less government borrowing.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2015Ipsos UK
Less than two weeks into his tenure as the new Labour leader Ipsos MORI’s detailed image ratings show the public’s views on Jeremy Corbyn and the party he leads.
More than half (54%) of Britons say Jeremy Corbyn is ‘more honest than most politicians’ compared to three in ten (30%) who say the same for David Cameron. However only 32% think he’s a capable leader compared to 62% saying this for David Cameron. When asked if either ‘has sound judgment’ 32% say Mr Corbyn possesses this while 46% say Mr Cameron does. Less of the public however believe that Jeremy Corbyn is ‘out of touch with ordinary people’ when compared to David Cameron (39% versus 64%), but he falls far behind David Cameron when being seen as ‘patriotic’ (37% compared to 76%).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2015: Labour Leadership ElectionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's June 2015 Political Monitor looks at Labour's leadership election candidates, as well as some interim headline voting intention figures post-GE2015.
One week following George Osborne’s budget announcement Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor show his satisfaction ratings have fallen compared to one month ago. Three in five (60%) say they are dissatisfied with the performance of Mr Osborne (up 14 points from February) compared to one in four (27%) who say they are satisfied (down 13 points). This equals George Osborne’s worst performance in March 2013. Mr Osborne still has the backing of most of his party with three in five (58%) Conservative supporters saying they are satisfied with the Chancellor (although 31% are dissatisfied).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2014Ipsos UK
Support for the Labour Party is at the lowest level since the final days of Gordon Brown’s premiership, November’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals. Labour are down four points to 29%, their first score below 30% of the vote since before the last general election, while the Conservatives are up two points to 32%, giving them a three-point lead. This is a turnaround since last month, prior to recent media rumours of a Labour leadership challenge, when Labour held a three-point lead on 33% over the Conservatives’ 30%. UKIP are down two points from last month’s high on 14%, while the Liberal Democrats are up one point to 9%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald TrumpIpsos UK
Two-thirds (68%) of the British public have an unfavourable opinion of US President Donald Trump, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. With fieldwork one week after his visit to the UK, the new poll reveals that just one in five (19%) have a favourable opinion, one in nine (11%) say they see him as neither favourable nor unfavourable, but half (52%) feel very unfavourable towards him.
Women are more likely to feel unfavourable towards the President than men (75% vs. 60% respectively) as are young people – three-quarters (76%) of 18-34s are also negative compared with 64% of 35-54s and 65% of people ages 55 and above. Labour supporters are especially unfavourable (by 82% to 12%), while Conservative supporters are also negative (by a margin of 61% to 23%). However, although the figures are not positive for the President they are not as poor as when last asked in October 2016 when 7% were favourable towards Mr Trump and 84% unfavourable.
Ipsos MORI’s July Political Monitor reveals that over half (55%) believe that Theresa May has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, up from 28% in July 2015. Her ratings are particularly high among Conservative voters, among whom 81% think she has what it takes.
Mrs May’s ratings are well ahead of those for Andrea Leadsom and Boris Johnson. One in five (18%) think that Andrea Leadsom has what it takes to be a good PM (20% among Conservative voters), and 21% say the same about Boris Johnson (23% among Conservative voters). Mr Johnson’s ratings have fallen since last year – now 70% disagree he has what it takes, up from 52% last July. Fieldwork was conducted 9-11 July, with the vast majority carried out before Andrea Leadsom retired from the race.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: December 2015Ipsos UK
Most Britons believe that David Cameron will campaign for Britain to stay in the European Union after his negotiations with other European leaders, according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor, even though only 18% think he will achieve all or most of his goals. The survey reveals that 68% think the Prime Minister will campaign for Britain to remain a member in the upcoming referendum (including both 73% of Conservative supporters and 71% of supporters of other parties), while 17% think he will campaign for Britain to leave (just 1% thinks he will remain neutral).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2014Ipsos UK
October’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows that, in the aftermath of Douglas Carswell’s by-election win for the party, more of the British public now disagree that voting UKIP in a general election is a wasted vote than agree. Just under half (48%) disagree that a general election vote for UKIP is a wasted vote, compared with 41% who agree. This is a turnaround from earlier this year – last month, prior to the Clacton by-election, 50% thought a UKIP vote was a vote wasted and 41% disagreed; in May, some 57% thought voting UKIP was a wasted vote and just 33% disagreed.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor March 2015: voting intentions, economic optimisim, the Government's economic record and perceptions around the George Osborne and Ed Balls
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2014Ipsos UK
Ipsos MORI’s last Political Monitor before party conference season and the Clacton by-election shows that UKIP’s popularity has risen by two percentage points, as other parties’ remain stable.
Ipsos MORI’s first Political Monitor in 2016 shows the Conservatives opening up their biggest lead over Labour on a number of key party image attributes. When asked which of the parties has the best team of leaders to deal with the country’s problems, 43% of Britons say the Conservatives with 16% choosing Labour. This is an increase of 9 points for the Conservatives and a fall of 7 points for Labour since June 2014, and is the biggest lead for the Conservatives since we started asking the question in 1989.
The number of Britons saying Theresa May is doing a good job at handling Brexit is up from October, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor, although more still say she is doing a bad job. Two in five (43%) say the Prime Minister is currently doing a good job at handling Britain’s exit from the European Union – up 11 points from when asked in October last year. Half (50%) however say she is doing a bad job – down 5 points.
Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...Ipsos UK
The second instalment of Ipsos MORI's June 2015 Political Monitor looks at the EU Referendum, Leader and government satisfaction and IPSA's salary recommendations for MPs.
Theresa May is enjoying a warm honeymoon welcome with the public according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. More than half (54%) say they are satisfied with Ms May’s performance in her first month as PM while one in five (19%) say they are dissatisfied – leaving her with a net satisfaction score of +35. This is comparable to her predecessor David Cameron’s rating in June 2010 when 57% were satisfied with him doing his job as PM and 26% dissatisfied. Although higher than those of John Major and Gordon Brown in their first month as Prime Minister, May’s satisfaction ratings are still behind Tony Blair’s first month back in May 1997 (65% were satisfied and 5% dissatisfied).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos UK
With less than a week to go until the next Autumn Statement new Ipsos MORI polling shows growing public concern about the government’s plans for public services. Our latest Political Monitor shows two in three (67%) Britons disagree the government’s policies will improve the state of Britain’s public services, up from 60% before the election and at its highest level since 2001.
With just two months to go until Britain decides whether it will remain a member of the European Union or leave, Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals the economy and immigration to be the most important issues for the public when deciding how to vote. Two in three (32%) say the impact on the economy will be very important in helping them decide how to vote, just ahead of immigration which was mentioned by 27%.
When looking further into these figures there is a clear difference on what issues are most important between those that want to remain in the EU and those who want to leave. Two in five (40%) of those who will vote to remain say the economy is very important to them while 14% say immigration. This compares to one in five (21%) of those voting to leave mentioning the economy and almost half (47%) saying immigration. Other important issues for the public include Britain’s ability to make its own laws (14%, rising to 25% of leave supporters), the cost of EU immigration on the welfare system (12%), Britain’s ability to trade with other EU countries (11%), and the impact on British jobs (11%).
High satisfaction levels with the Royal FamilyIpsos UK
New polling released as the Queen turns 90 reveals that key members of the Royal Family continue to receive high satisfaction ratings from the public. When asked how they feel about the way the Queen is doing her job as Monarch 86% are satisfied, and 5% are dissatisfied - giving a net rating of 81%. Prince William, though third in line to the throne, receives the second highest satisfaction levels with 76% satisfied, and 6% dissatisfied (net +73%). Prince Charles has 71% satisfied, and 11% are dissatisfied - giving a net satisfaction rating of 60%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017Ipsos UK
As the Brexit negotiations continue Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals little confidence among the public that the Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain. Three in five (60%) are either ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ confident in the PM getting a good deal – just over a third (36%) are either ‘very’ or ‘fairly’ confident in her. Nonetheless two-thirds (66%) of Conservative supporters have confidence that she will strike a good deal compared with one in five (19%) Labour supporters and quarter (26%) of Liberal Democrats. Overall few members of the public think Theresa May is doing a good job handling Brexit. A third (32%) say she is doing a good job but a majority (55%) say she is doing a bad job. Neither of these measures show any real change since last asked in July, but both are down from Mrs May’s ratings before the election.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017Ipsos UK
As Theresa May opens up the new year outlining her Government’s stance on the upcoming Brexit negotiations, Ipsos MORI’s first Political Monitor of 2017 shows a nation divided on what those terms should mean.
According to the new poll 44% believe Britain should prioritise having access to the European Single Market while 42% think the priority should be controlling immigration. This is only a marginal change from October when 45% believed Britain should prioritise Single Market access compared with 39% who to prioritise controlling immigration. Groups more likely to have voted remain in the referendum are amongst those who are more likely to favour access to the Single Market over immigration control. Seven in ten (69%) of those aged 18-34 favour access to the single market (22% favour immigration control) compared with 23% of those aged 55+ (61% favour immigration control) while 63% of those with a degree favour single market access (23% favour immigration control) compared with one in five (20%) with no qualifications (65% favour immigration control).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2015: Labour Leadership ElectionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's June 2015 Political Monitor looks at Labour's leadership election candidates, as well as some interim headline voting intention figures post-GE2015.
One week following George Osborne’s budget announcement Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor show his satisfaction ratings have fallen compared to one month ago. Three in five (60%) say they are dissatisfied with the performance of Mr Osborne (up 14 points from February) compared to one in four (27%) who say they are satisfied (down 13 points). This equals George Osborne’s worst performance in March 2013. Mr Osborne still has the backing of most of his party with three in five (58%) Conservative supporters saying they are satisfied with the Chancellor (although 31% are dissatisfied).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2014Ipsos UK
Support for the Labour Party is at the lowest level since the final days of Gordon Brown’s premiership, November’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals. Labour are down four points to 29%, their first score below 30% of the vote since before the last general election, while the Conservatives are up two points to 32%, giving them a three-point lead. This is a turnaround since last month, prior to recent media rumours of a Labour leadership challenge, when Labour held a three-point lead on 33% over the Conservatives’ 30%. UKIP are down two points from last month’s high on 14%, while the Liberal Democrats are up one point to 9%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald TrumpIpsos UK
Two-thirds (68%) of the British public have an unfavourable opinion of US President Donald Trump, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. With fieldwork one week after his visit to the UK, the new poll reveals that just one in five (19%) have a favourable opinion, one in nine (11%) say they see him as neither favourable nor unfavourable, but half (52%) feel very unfavourable towards him.
Women are more likely to feel unfavourable towards the President than men (75% vs. 60% respectively) as are young people – three-quarters (76%) of 18-34s are also negative compared with 64% of 35-54s and 65% of people ages 55 and above. Labour supporters are especially unfavourable (by 82% to 12%), while Conservative supporters are also negative (by a margin of 61% to 23%). However, although the figures are not positive for the President they are not as poor as when last asked in October 2016 when 7% were favourable towards Mr Trump and 84% unfavourable.
Ipsos MORI’s July Political Monitor reveals that over half (55%) believe that Theresa May has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, up from 28% in July 2015. Her ratings are particularly high among Conservative voters, among whom 81% think she has what it takes.
Mrs May’s ratings are well ahead of those for Andrea Leadsom and Boris Johnson. One in five (18%) think that Andrea Leadsom has what it takes to be a good PM (20% among Conservative voters), and 21% say the same about Boris Johnson (23% among Conservative voters). Mr Johnson’s ratings have fallen since last year – now 70% disagree he has what it takes, up from 52% last July. Fieldwork was conducted 9-11 July, with the vast majority carried out before Andrea Leadsom retired from the race.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: December 2015Ipsos UK
Most Britons believe that David Cameron will campaign for Britain to stay in the European Union after his negotiations with other European leaders, according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor, even though only 18% think he will achieve all or most of his goals. The survey reveals that 68% think the Prime Minister will campaign for Britain to remain a member in the upcoming referendum (including both 73% of Conservative supporters and 71% of supporters of other parties), while 17% think he will campaign for Britain to leave (just 1% thinks he will remain neutral).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2014Ipsos UK
October’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows that, in the aftermath of Douglas Carswell’s by-election win for the party, more of the British public now disagree that voting UKIP in a general election is a wasted vote than agree. Just under half (48%) disagree that a general election vote for UKIP is a wasted vote, compared with 41% who agree. This is a turnaround from earlier this year – last month, prior to the Clacton by-election, 50% thought a UKIP vote was a vote wasted and 41% disagreed; in May, some 57% thought voting UKIP was a wasted vote and just 33% disagreed.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor March 2015: voting intentions, economic optimisim, the Government's economic record and perceptions around the George Osborne and Ed Balls
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2014Ipsos UK
Ipsos MORI’s last Political Monitor before party conference season and the Clacton by-election shows that UKIP’s popularity has risen by two percentage points, as other parties’ remain stable.
Ipsos MORI’s first Political Monitor in 2016 shows the Conservatives opening up their biggest lead over Labour on a number of key party image attributes. When asked which of the parties has the best team of leaders to deal with the country’s problems, 43% of Britons say the Conservatives with 16% choosing Labour. This is an increase of 9 points for the Conservatives and a fall of 7 points for Labour since June 2014, and is the biggest lead for the Conservatives since we started asking the question in 1989.
The number of Britons saying Theresa May is doing a good job at handling Brexit is up from October, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor, although more still say she is doing a bad job. Two in five (43%) say the Prime Minister is currently doing a good job at handling Britain’s exit from the European Union – up 11 points from when asked in October last year. Half (50%) however say she is doing a bad job – down 5 points.
Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...Ipsos UK
The second instalment of Ipsos MORI's June 2015 Political Monitor looks at the EU Referendum, Leader and government satisfaction and IPSA's salary recommendations for MPs.
Theresa May is enjoying a warm honeymoon welcome with the public according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. More than half (54%) say they are satisfied with Ms May’s performance in her first month as PM while one in five (19%) say they are dissatisfied – leaving her with a net satisfaction score of +35. This is comparable to her predecessor David Cameron’s rating in June 2010 when 57% were satisfied with him doing his job as PM and 26% dissatisfied. Although higher than those of John Major and Gordon Brown in their first month as Prime Minister, May’s satisfaction ratings are still behind Tony Blair’s first month back in May 1997 (65% were satisfied and 5% dissatisfied).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos UK
With less than a week to go until the next Autumn Statement new Ipsos MORI polling shows growing public concern about the government’s plans for public services. Our latest Political Monitor shows two in three (67%) Britons disagree the government’s policies will improve the state of Britain’s public services, up from 60% before the election and at its highest level since 2001.
With just two months to go until Britain decides whether it will remain a member of the European Union or leave, Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals the economy and immigration to be the most important issues for the public when deciding how to vote. Two in three (32%) say the impact on the economy will be very important in helping them decide how to vote, just ahead of immigration which was mentioned by 27%.
When looking further into these figures there is a clear difference on what issues are most important between those that want to remain in the EU and those who want to leave. Two in five (40%) of those who will vote to remain say the economy is very important to them while 14% say immigration. This compares to one in five (21%) of those voting to leave mentioning the economy and almost half (47%) saying immigration. Other important issues for the public include Britain’s ability to make its own laws (14%, rising to 25% of leave supporters), the cost of EU immigration on the welfare system (12%), Britain’s ability to trade with other EU countries (11%), and the impact on British jobs (11%).
High satisfaction levels with the Royal FamilyIpsos UK
New polling released as the Queen turns 90 reveals that key members of the Royal Family continue to receive high satisfaction ratings from the public. When asked how they feel about the way the Queen is doing her job as Monarch 86% are satisfied, and 5% are dissatisfied - giving a net rating of 81%. Prince William, though third in line to the throne, receives the second highest satisfaction levels with 76% satisfied, and 6% dissatisfied (net +73%). Prince Charles has 71% satisfied, and 11% are dissatisfied - giving a net satisfaction rating of 60%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017Ipsos UK
As the Brexit negotiations continue Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals little confidence among the public that the Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain. Three in five (60%) are either ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ confident in the PM getting a good deal – just over a third (36%) are either ‘very’ or ‘fairly’ confident in her. Nonetheless two-thirds (66%) of Conservative supporters have confidence that she will strike a good deal compared with one in five (19%) Labour supporters and quarter (26%) of Liberal Democrats. Overall few members of the public think Theresa May is doing a good job handling Brexit. A third (32%) say she is doing a good job but a majority (55%) say she is doing a bad job. Neither of these measures show any real change since last asked in July, but both are down from Mrs May’s ratings before the election.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017Ipsos UK
As Theresa May opens up the new year outlining her Government’s stance on the upcoming Brexit negotiations, Ipsos MORI’s first Political Monitor of 2017 shows a nation divided on what those terms should mean.
According to the new poll 44% believe Britain should prioritise having access to the European Single Market while 42% think the priority should be controlling immigration. This is only a marginal change from October when 45% believed Britain should prioritise Single Market access compared with 39% who to prioritise controlling immigration. Groups more likely to have voted remain in the referendum are amongst those who are more likely to favour access to the Single Market over immigration control. Seven in ten (69%) of those aged 18-34 favour access to the single market (22% favour immigration control) compared with 23% of those aged 55+ (61% favour immigration control) while 63% of those with a degree favour single market access (23% favour immigration control) compared with one in five (20%) with no qualifications (65% favour immigration control).
With just one month to go until the referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor shows that on balance Britons believe the economy would be better off in the long term if Britain left the European Union yet likely be worse off in the years immediately following Brexit. When asked if Britain votes to leave the European Union, to what extent do you think it would be better or worse for Britain’s economy over the next five years, half (49%) say it would be worse compared with a quarter (26%) who say it would be better (15% say Brexit would make no difference). When asked about Britain’s economy over the next ten to twenty years however two in five (39%) think it would be better outside the EU compared with 35% who say it would be worse (11% say Brexit would make no difference).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: June 2016 - Voting IntentionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI’s June Political Monitor reveals that one in four (24%) believes the Conservative party is the most clear and united party while just 13% think this of the Labour party. Although the Conservatives are ahead of Labour on this attribute David Cameron’s party has seen a decline since January when one in three (33%) said the Conservatives were most clear and united. The poll also reveals one in nine (11%) think UKIP is most clear and united while one in five (24%) think no party is and 17% have no opinion.
The latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows an increase in the proportion of the British public thinking the Prime Minister should step down as soon as possible, and her worst ratings yet for having what it takes to be a good Prime Minister. However, despite how poorly the British public believe the Brexit process has gone, Theresa May is still viewed more favourable than Jeremy Corbyn and her potential Conservative successors.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2017Ipsos UK
Theresa May continues to have strong backing from the British public according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. The new poll reveals that the Prime Minister’s honeymoon is yet to end with more than half (53%) of the public satisfied with her performance (up 8 points). One in three (36%) said they were dissatisfied with her (down 3 points) leaving Ms May a net satisfaction score of +17 (up 11 points).
Ipsos MORI November Political Monitor
1 December 2017
Conservatives seen as more divided and less fit to govern than a year ago
Most lack confidence in government’s long-term economic policies as economic optimism drops
But Philip Hammond still preferred over John McDonnell as most capable chancellor
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016Ipsos UK
Public optimism over the strength of the economy has fallen sharply in the last month according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. More than half (53%, up from 37% in September) think the economy will get worse over the next twelve months, with a quarter (24%) thinking it will get better and 17% saying it will stay the same – leaving an overall Economic Optimism Index score of -29 (compared with -1 in September).
Ipsos MORI February 2019 Political MonitorIpsos UK
Before Jeremy Corbyn wrote to Theresa May outlining the changes he wants made to her Withdrawal Agreement, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor shows that his satisfaction ratings have fallen to their lowest ever levels. Fewer than one in five (17%) say that they are satisfied with the way Jeremy Corbyn is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition (down from 27% in December), which is the lowest recorded for a Labour leader since Michael Foot, who dropped to 13% in August 1982. Meanwhile, nearly three in four (72%) say they are dissatisfied with his performance, putting his net-satisfaction at -55. This compares with Mrs May who despite a trying start to 2019, only drops three points since December, and is now on -25. Even among Labour party supporters, under half (44%) say they are satisfied with Mr Corbyn, while 46% say they are dissatisfied, meaning that his net-satisfaction among party supporters dips into negative figures (-2) for the first time since the 2017 General Election campaign.
As the Conservative leadership contest gathers pace, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals that there is little to choose between Jeremy Hunt and Boris Johnson in terms of public opinion.
With just three weeks to go until Britain goes to the polls Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor shows the Conservatives holding a strong lead despite an improvement for Labour. The Conservatives currently stand on 49% (nc from April) with Labour at 34% (up 8 points), the Liberal Democrats down six to 7% and UKIP with 2%.
There is a softness in the Labour support, however, as the new poll reveals a clear party distinction when it comes to strength of support – 77% of Conservative supporters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (22% may change their mind) compared with 57% of Labour supporters (42% may change their mind). Worryingly for Jeremy Corbyn, two in five (38%) Labour voters who may change their mind say they would consider voting for the Conservative party. Overall two in three (67%) voters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (up 4 points from April) while one in three (32%) may change their mind.
Satisfaction with the Chancellor has fallen since November, according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. The new poll, based on fieldwork after the Budget (but before yesterday’s announcement of a U-turn on National Insurance contributions for the self-employed) reveals that satisfaction with the Chancellor has fallen five points since November to 34%, while 46% of the British public are dissatisfied with him (up 18 points).
These ratings are similar to George Osborne’s after his first year (36% satisfied, 45% dissatisfied in March 2011), although Mr Osborne’s ratings had dropped to 27% satisfied, 60% dissatisfied by March 2016. Among Conservative supporters, 60% are satisfied with Mr Hammond, and 26% dissatisfied.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016Ipsos UK
Weeks after the High Court’s decision requiring the government to receive parliamentary approval before Article 50 is triggered, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals the public are split when it comes to what role parliament should take when initiating the start to Britain’s exit from the European Union. Even so, Britons are on balance critical of the government’s handling of Brexit.
Forty-four percent believe that parliament’s role should be to only vote on triggering Article 50, while 37% think that parliament should have a further role telling the government what terms Britain’s future relationship with the EU should be. Opinion is largely divided along those groups who either voted for Leave or Remain. Three in five (61%) Conservative supporters believe parliament should only vote on triggering Article 50 compared with three in five Labour supporters (60%) and 53% Lib Dem supporters who want parliament to have more of a role setting the terms of the negotiations. Half (51%) of those without a qualification also want parliament to just vote on triggering Article 50, while half (51%) of graduates want parliament to determine the terms of Britain’s future relationship with the EU.
One week following Theresa May’s call for a snap general election Ipsos MORI’s Political Monitor finds the Conservatives with a significant lead over Labour. The first of our polls to open the election campaign shows the Conservative party standing at 49% (up 6 points from March) while Labour trail at 26% (down 4). The poll also shows the Liberal Democrats on 13% (no change), and UKIP at 4% (down 2). This is the biggest Conservative lead in our voting series since September 2008, and matches their lead in May 1983.
Economic optimism has fallen to its lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis, according to Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor. The new poll, conducted between 13-16 March, so before some of this week’s emergency measures were announced, shows seven in ten (69%) now say they think the economy will get worse in the next 12 months – this is up from 42% in February. Just 15% think that the economy will improve, leaving an Economic Optimism Index score of -54. The last time pessimism was this low was in November 2008 (at its worst during the 2008 crisis 75% thought the economy would get worse). Despite this pessimism, around half (49%) believe the Government is handling the coronavirus outbreak well (35% say badly).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016Ipsos UK
As David Cameron ramps up his efforts this week to secure a new deal for Britain in the EU Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals little change from January amongst the public when it comes to how they will vote in the referendum on EU membership. When asked the referendum question “should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?” the poll finds a majority (54%) would vote to remain a member (down 1 point from January) and 36% would vote to leave (no change). Ipsos MORI’s trend question on EU membership also reveals little difference from last month. When asked “if there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or get out of the European Union, how would you vote?” half (51%) would vote to stay in (up 1 point) while 36% would vote to get out (down 2 points).
Ipsos MORI September 2019 Political MonitorIpsos UK
As the Conservatives kick-off their party conference in Manchester, 81% of the British public tell Ipsos MORI’s Political Monitor that they are dissatisfied with how the government is running the country. Just 14% are satisfied. The government’s net satisfaction score now stands at minus 67, with only the governments of John Major and Theresa May ever achieving lower ratings in the Ipsos MORI Political Monitor series – dating back to 1977.
Meanwhile 37% are satisfied with the job Boris Johnson is doing as Prime Minister (up 6 points from July) but a majority (55%) are dissatisfied (up 17 points). His net satisfaction rating is -18 (down 11 points). Conservative supporters remain satisfied overall with their leader (71% - up 4 points) while 21% are dissatisfied (up 13 points) – leaving him a net satisfaction score of +50 (down 9 points).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019Ipsos UK
Conservatives hold 12-point lead over Labour heading into final week of the election campaign
Corbyn has improved leader satisfaction ratings since October but still trails Johnson
NHS of increased importance to voters as an election issue
One in four may change their minds on who to vote for before next Thursday
More of the British public are opposed to a second referendum on Scottish independence next year than support one
One month on from the General Election Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals the negative shift in Theresa May’s personal ratings continues. Her ratings are the worst in our records for a Prime Minister one month after an election.
Similar to Ipsos MORI January 2018 Political Monitor (20)
The Beat is an Ipsos always on community of engaged consumers, representative of the UK population, for rapid understanding of consumer views. In this edition, we explore people’s views on the Brexit vote 5 years on, and how they feel about the vote they made.
Jayesh Navin Shah, from Ipsos MORI Public Affairs, presented our findings on cyber skills gaps and shortages in the UK at the SC Digital Congress 2021. The findings are taken from Ipsos MORI’s report, Understanding the UK Cyber Security Labour Market 2021 study, carried out on behalf of the UK Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport.
https://www.sccongressuk.com/digital-congress/
Jayesh Navin Shah, from Ipsos MORI Public Affairs, presented our findings on cyber resilience among UK businesses and charities at the SC Digital Congress 2021. The findings are taken from Ipsos MORI’s Cyber Security Breaches Survey 2021, carried out on behalf of the UK Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport.
https://www.sccongressuk.com/digital-congress/
Ipsos Global Advisor: The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate ChangeIpsos UK
People around the world say they understand what actions they need to take to combat climate change, but do they really? The latest Perils of Perception study by Ipsos looks at how the general public in 30 markets around the world perceive environmental action. We ask them what they might do in their own lives to tackle climate change, and compare the answers to the (sometimes confusing) scientific truth.
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah EverardIpsos UK
The horrific murder of Sarah Everard has raised the need to debate the safety of women in public spaces. We've seen the alarming images from the vigil turned protest on Clapham Common. We were keen to hear how these events were perceived by the public, so we turned to our 'always on' Ipsos community to hear their views.
The 2020 Global Infrastructure Index - undertaken in partnership by GIIA and Ipsos MORI and the largest global survey of its kind looking at public attitudes towards infrastructure and investment – shows that the British public believe investment in infrastructure should form a key part of the UK Government’s plan to secure economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.
Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, women of all ages across Britain are more pessimistic and worried than their male counterparts. This new webinar explores why.
Looking at data around the balance of responsibility and mental load at work and at home for women compared to men, the additional stresses that the pandemic has put on women of all ages, and the specific damages it has made to women's work-life balances and future ability to progress in a career, our expert speakers will examine how the disease - despite being more prevalent in men - might be more damaging to women.
Ipsos has analysed data from more than 2,000 women of working age across Britain to examine what is happening, explore the causes and explain what can be done to better support those women being hit hardest by the pandemic.
Speakers include:
Jane Merrick, Policy Editor, the I newspaper
Kully Kaur-Ballagan, Research Director, Public Affairs
Jordana Moser, Business research specialist, Ipsos MORI
Kelly Beaver, Managing Director, Ipsos MORI Social Research Institute (Chair)
With just a few weeks to go before the 2020 presidential election in the US, Ipsos MORI hosted this webinar to explore the complexities and current uncertainties regarding the process and outcome of the election.
As part of the webinar, Clifford Young, our President of Public Affairs in the US, shared findings from our latest political polling.
Full webinar: https://youtu.be/d012B5iwSzQ
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in BritainIpsos UK
New Ipsos MORI research shows that Britons think LGBTQ+ communities face discrimination in Britain today, but opinion is split regarding the progression of LGBTQ+ rights.
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social MediaIpsos UK
There is a toxic mix between underlying beliefs, misleading information and how people act around the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic according to a new survey by Ipsos MORI and The Policy Institute and King's College London.
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMSIpsos UK
Taking findings from Ipsos MORI’s latest cyber security labour market study for DCMS, published in March 2020, we explore three areas in this webinar:
1. The demand for cyber skills in the UK
2. The training and qualifications landscape
3. Recruitment and diversity
Boris Johnson’s favourability rating increases sharply, with the Conservative Party’s image also showing some improvement
By a small margin, the public now think the country is heading in the right direction
One in two Britons are yet to form a view new Labour leader Keir Starmer. Those who do express a view expect him to improve the party’s fortunes by a seven-to-one margin
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?Ipsos UK
A new survey of more than 20,000 people in 27 countries from Ipsos MORI and King's College London for International Women's Day 2020 finds significant differences in what women and men see as acceptable workplace behaviour.
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORIIpsos UK
A new global poll by Ipsos MORI shows the extent to which the UK public may change their behaviours because of the threat of the virus, including 14% saying they would avoid contact with people of Chinese origin or appearance.
The threat of the Covid-19 could have a significant impact on the UK public’s behaviour, according to an Ipsos survey conducted online from February 7 to 9, 2020 among 8,001 adults aged 16 (18) -74 in Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Two-thirds of people in the UK say they would consider avoiding travelling to infected countries or areas (65%), while three in ten would avoid large gatherings of people or travelling by air for holidays (both 29%). A quarter say they would avoid shaking hands with others (26%), and one in five say they would avoid travelling by public transport (22%).
This study did not have any external sponsors or partners. It was initiated and run by Ipsos with the intention to share our understanding about the world we live in and how citizens around the globe think and feel about their world.
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of DeathIpsos UK
Ipsos’ latest Perils of Perception study highlights public misperceptions across 32 countries about the proportion of people who die from diseases, violence, transport injuries and other causes. While patterns differ in different countries, overall on average people tend to underestimate how many deaths are caused by cancers and cardiovascular disease, and overestimate how many are caused by transport injuries, substance misuse and violence.
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus PollIpsos UK
As concern about the environment continues to rise, 81% of Britons believe that the Government should take partial or full responsibility for reducing the harm we do to the environment. Within this, 1 in 5 believe the Government should take main responsibility while 61% believe it should be split between the Government, Businesses and the public, an Ipsos MORI Omnibus Survey has found.
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019Ipsos UK
The key findings of the November 2019 edition of our new Social Media Britain report - powered by Synthesio - include:
Overall Brexit continued to lead the conversation in November – however there was a 59% increase in NHS related mentions vs. October. This was driven in part by Corbyn revealing documents that he says indicate a Conservative government would sell off the NHS as part of a US trade deal.
The general election, which is the focus of our deep dive this month, as well as the London Bridge terror attack - both contributed to sizeable shifts in social conversation.
Following the ITV Leaders Debate, there was a sharp increase in conversation around the general election. The release of the Labour and Conservative manifestos seeing further spikes in volume towards the end of November.
When comparing Johnson and Corbyn activity on Twitter in November there were some notable differences in the focus of their posts. Whilst Brexit was mentioned across 42% of Johnson’s tweets – it was only mentioned within 6% of Corbyn’s. Corbyn focused mainly on the NHS, which was mentioned in just over a third of his tweets.
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - HousingIpsos UK
New research from Ipsos MORI finds the major housing parties included in Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat manifestos are popular, but the public also have strong doubts that anyone will improve housing if elected.
NHS surges in final Issues Index ahead of the 2019 General Election
• The proportion of Britons who say the NHS is one of the most important issues facing the country has risen 18 percentage points since October to 54 per cent, close to Brexit which has fallen by six points to 57 per cent this month
• Brexit remains the single biggest issue by a long way and is also the most important issue influencing how people might vote
• Concern about crime and pollution has fallen while worry about the economy has spiked
Ipsos MORI General Election Campaign Tracker: 4 December 2019Ipsos UK
British adults most likely to see Conservatives as having a ‘good campaign’ as the public increasingly expects a Conservative majority following next week’s election.
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
Welcome to the new Mizzima Weekly !
Mizzima Media Group is pleased to announce the relaunch of Mizzima Weekly. Mizzima is dedicated to helping our readers and viewers keep up to date on the latest developments in Myanmar and related to Myanmar by offering analysis and insight into the subjects that matter. Our websites and our social media channels provide readers and viewers with up-to-the-minute and up-to-date news, which we don’t necessarily need to replicate in our Mizzima Weekly magazine. But where we see a gap is in providing more analysis, insight and in-depth coverage of Myanmar, that is of particular interest to a range of readers.
27052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
ys jagan mohan reddy political career, Biography.pdfVoterMood
Yeduguri Sandinti Jagan Mohan Reddy, often referred to as Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy, is an Indian politician who currently serves as the Chief Minister of the state of Andhra Pradesh. He was born on December 21, 1972, in Pulivendula, Andhra Pradesh, to Yeduguri Sandinti Rajasekhara Reddy (popularly known as YSR), a former Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh, and Y.S. Vijayamma.
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
Future Of Fintech In India | Evolution Of Fintech In IndiaTheUnitedIndian
Navigating the Future of Fintech in India: Insights into how AI, blockchain, and digital payments are driving unprecedented growth in India's fintech industry, redefining financial services and accessibility.
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS
3. 3Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,031 British adults 18+, 19th January – 23rd January 2018; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it
depends vote in General Elections = 817. Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4%
Voting Intention
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +2
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = -3
39%
42%
9%
3%
2%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
42%
40%
9%
2%
2%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
4. 4Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
2015 General Election
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
5. 5Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan04
Jul04
Jan05
Jul05
Jan06
Jul06
Jan07
Jul07
Jan08
Jul08
Jan09
Jul09
Jan10
Jul10
Jan11
Jul11
Jan12
Jul12
Jan13
Jul13
Jan14
Jul14
Jan15
Jul15
Jan16
Jul16
Jan17
Jul17
Jan18
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – January ‘18
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM
6. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS
7. 7Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
28%
64%
9%
38%
55%
8%
38%
49%
14%
Jeremy Corbyn The Government
+5%
swing from November 2017
-2%
swing from November 2017
0%
swing from November 2017
+2.5%
swing from November 2017
-17 Net -11 Net -12 Net -36 Net
SATISFIED 38% SATISFIED 38% SATISFIED 25% SATISFIED 28%
DISSATISFIED 55% DISSATISFIED 49% DISSATISFIED 37% DISSATISFIED 64%
25%
37%
39%
Vince Cable
8. 8Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER
/LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month.
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – Jan 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
MAY CORBYN CABLE
38%38%
25%
9. 9Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2018)
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May
Number of months after becoming Prime Minister
10. 10Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2018)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Hague (97-01) Duncan Smith (01-03) Howard (03-05) Cameron (05-10)
Blair (94-97) Miliband (10-15) Corbyn (15-present) Kinnock (83-92)
Foot (80-83) Smith (92-94)
Number of months after becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
Corbyn
11. 11Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Theresa May (satisfaction)
38%
55%
8%
January 2018 August 2016 – January 2018
SATISFIED 38%
DISSATISFIED 55%
DON’T KNOW 8%
Net = -17
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
12. 12Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 405 Conservative supporters 18+ , 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters)
76%
21%
3%
January 2018
SATISFIED 76%
DISSATISFIED 21%
DON’T KNOW 3%
Net = +55
August 2016 – January 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
13. 13Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
38%
49%
14%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
SATISFIED 38%
DISSATISFIED 49%
DON’T KNOW 14%
Net = -11
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
January 2018 September 2015 – January 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
14. 14Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
69%
21%
10%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
SATISFIED 69%
DISSATISFIED 21%
DON’T KNOW 10%
Net = +48
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 336 Labour supporters 18+ , 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
January 2018 September 2015 – January 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
15. 15Political Monitor | January 2018 | Final | Public
25%
37%
39%
SATISFIED 25%
DISSATISFIED 37%
DON’T KNOW 39%
Net = -12
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Vince Cable (satisfaction)
January 2018
Base: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
September 2017 – January 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
16. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 16
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM
17. 17Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
20%
24%
52%
4%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan-07
May-07
Jul-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-117
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Aprl-16
Jun-16
Aug-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jul-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
IMPROVE 20%
STAY THE SAME 24%
GET WORSE 52%
DON’T KNOW 4%
EOI = -32
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Economic Optimism Index
January 2018
18. 18Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Slight increase in optimism since November 2017
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jan1998
May1998
Sep1998
Jan1999
May1999
Sep1999
Jan2000
May2000
Sep2000
Jan2001
May2001
Sep2001
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Sep2002
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May2004
Sep2004
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May2007
Sep2007
Jan2008
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Sep2008
Jan2009
May2009
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Jan2010
May2010
Sep2010
Jan2011
May2011
Sep2011
Jan2012
May2012
Sep2012
Jan2013
May2013
Sep2013
Jan2014
May2014
Sep2014
Jan2015
May2015
Sep2015
Jan2016
May2016
Sep2016
Jan2017
May2017
Sep2017
Jan2018
-32
19. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 19
President Trump and
the Royal Wedding
20. 20Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
Majority think Trump should not be invited to Royal Wedding –
though opposition falls if Obama is invited
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: Split sampled- each question was asked of c.500 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
23%
39%
69%
54%
Should be invited Should not be invited
As you may know, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle are going to get married in May. Looking forward
to the Royal Wedding:
Do you think that American President
Donald Trump should be, or should not be
invited to attend the wedding?
Do you think that American President
Donald Trump should be, or should not be
invited to attend the wedding if former
American President Barack Obama is
invited?