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/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED1
NAVIGATING THE
ENERGY TRANSFORMATION
Jan Vrins
Global Energy
Practice Leader
CREATING CUSTOMER AND SHAREHOLDER
VALUE IN THE ENERGY CLOUD
NOVEMBER 20, 2017
2017 CANADIAN
POWER CONFERENCE
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED2 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED2
THE ENERGY TRANSFORMATION IS ACCELERATING
THREE FORCES UPENDING THE STATUS QUO
Technology
Innovation
Regulation and
Policy
Market
Demand
Five megatrends underpin the utility
industry transformation in Canada.
1. Climate policies are subsuming
energy policies
2. Energy customer expectations are
changing
3. Well defined industry lines are blurring
4. Mega projects are more challenging
5. The Energy Cloud is emerging: Old
energy infrastructure is being
replaced with cleaner, more
distributed, more intelligent systems
Disruption is a prevailing and un-
compromising threat to our industry.
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED3 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED3
THE ENERGY CLOUD
TOWARD A CLEAN, DECENTRALIZED, INTELLIGENT & MOBILE GRID
PAST: Traditional Power Grid
Central, One-Way Power System
©2016 Navigant Consulting, Inc. All rights reserved.
1 Navigating the Energy Transformation: Building a Competitive Advantage for Energy Cloud 2.0 (white paper)
Source: Navigant
TODAY: The Energy Cloud
Distributed, Cleaner, Two-Way Power Flows
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED4 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED4
ENERGY CLOUD SCENARIO’S
DER GROWTH ACCELERATING IN NORTH AMERICA AND CANADA
Observations
• DER deployments will reach ~30 GW this year in the US, versus new central station generation
(19.7GW)
• DER in North America is growing two-to-three times faster than centralized generation (incl. renewables)
• In Canada new DER will reach 15 GW in the next 5 year
• DER growth in Canada comes primarily from DG, DR, EV charging load, and energy efficiency
(Source: Navigant Research)
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED5 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED5
ENERGY CLOUD SCENARIO’S
VALUE SHIFTS TO T&D, EAAS AND EC PLATFORMS
Business As Usual
(Conservative)
ENERGY CLOUD
(Aggressive)
Source: Navigant, global figures
Generation Transmission &
Distribution
EaaS
EC Platforms
Value
2030
$ 4.7tr
$ 6 tr
Disruptors are cash heavy, thriving in-house R&D engines, and often own customer relationship
Energy Tech Telecom Oil & Gas Retail Manufacturer Security DER Auto
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED6 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED6
BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING
1. ENERGY-AS-A-SERVICE
Supply Services
• Solar, Wind, Bioenergy
• CHP, Fuel cell, H2
• Backup generation
• Storage, Microgrids
Demand Services
• Energy efficiency
(lighting, HVAC etc.)
• Building optimization
and commissioning
• Demand response
Energy Optimization
Services
• Energy monitoring &
load management
• Waste/water/energy
nexus
• Robotics / AI / ML
Today
2030
$63B
$221BIntegrated
Deployments
Bold & Digital
Moves
Source: Navigant, global figures
EaaS
Applications
Industry
Evolution
and Growth
Point
Solutions
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED7 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED7
BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING
1. ENERGY-AS-A-SERVICE - RESIDENTIAL
GMP is building the utility of the future ecosystem for their
customers through its vertically integrated franchise.
• Personal Energy Management
• Solar PV and storage
• Portable Power
• EV Charging, with several charging package options
Offering NEW-AGE ENERGY PRODUCTS TO THEIR CUSTOMERS,
including heat pump water heaters, heating and cooling systems, Powerwall,
EV charging, and home energy management.
Source: Green Mountain Power
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED8 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED8
BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING
1. ENERGY-AS-A-SERVICE – COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL
ENGIE North America Inc. and
Axium Infrastructure have closed
a 50-year concession valued at
$1.165 billion USD to address
The Ohio State University's
energy sustainability goals for
its 485-building campus in
Columbus, Ohio, one of the
largest university campuses in
the United States.
Edison International created a
subsidiary to help large
energy users. Edison Energy is
a business that will help reduce
energy costs, improve efficiency
and offer more environmentally
friendly options for large
energy users. The company
aims to serve commercial
buildings, data centers, retail
centers, healthcare operations
and educational
institutions
nationwide.
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED9 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED9
BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING
2. ENERGY CLOUD PLATFORMS
Why Energy Cloud platforms?
✓ Margins on individual technologies will erode even faster going forward (e.g. rooftop solar, storage)
✓ Difficult to scale and build a sustainable business around individual (siloed) technologies
✓ Need for orchestration, to unlock full value out of these platforms and technology ecosystems
iDER
Building2Grid (B2G)
Transportation2Grid (T2G)
Internet of Energy / Things (IoE)
Transactive Energy
Neural Grid
Smart Cities
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED10 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED10
BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING
2. ENERGY CLOUD PLATFORMS
• DER will grow 3-5x
faster than central
station generation giving
rise to virtual power
plants (VPP) and other
aggregation networks
iDER
• The smart city
technology market will
be worth more than
$600 billion over the
next decade with annual
revenues growing
almost 2.5x
SMART CITIES
• Residential and
commercial customers
will invest more than
$50 billion in behind-
the-meter integrated
energy assets to take
advantage of B2G
opportunities
BUILDING2GRID
• Electric vehicles will be
the single largest
addition of energy
demand to the grid
globally, exceeding 200
TWh
TRANSPORTATION
2GRID
• Annual global revenue
from IoT devices will
grow 4x generating
nearly $750 billion in
cumulative revenue
INTERNET OF
ENERGY
• Utilities will invest more
than $700 billion in
information technology,
communications
networking and
automation technologies
over the next decade
NEURAL GRID
• More than 40 million
electricity customers
expected to participate
in transactive energy
markets
TRANSACTIVE
ENERGY
…and orchestrators
will be the fastest growing
and most profitable
business model category
across the utility value
chain by leveraging assets
and customer networks
ENERGY CLOUD
Source: Navigant Research
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED11 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED11
BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING
2. ENERGY CLOUD PLATFORMS - TRANSPORTATION EXAMPLE
Capture grid-related value streams on top of load growth and fleet management
services.
• Real-time energy balancing
• Peak-shaving load shift
• Distribution peak capacity support
• Time-of-use energy management
• Power quality, backup power, supply
firming, and frequency regulation
+ Car sharing services, fleet management
EXAMPLE: CUSTOMER-FOCUSED V2G SYSTEM
• Enables drivers to operate as individual
energy hubs to use, store, and return
excess energy to the grid
• EV owners paid up to €1,500/year for
parking in dedicated locations
• If all UK vehicles were electric, the virtual
storage capacity of 370 GW could power
the UK, Germany, and France combined
• Enel acquired eMotorWorks to pursue
the North American vehicle-to-grid (V2G)
market
with
VALUE STREAMS
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED12 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED12
PLATFORM
Technology
Applications
Products &
Services
Data &
Analytics
Infrastructure
(Physical &
Data)
Customers
Energy Cloud Platform Utility as Network Orchestrator
BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING
2. ENERGY CLOUD PLATFORMS – MOVE TO ORCHESTRATION
Access to
a dynamic
asset
portfolio
Agile
product and
services
management
Control of
Technologie
s and ‘Big
Data’ for
leverage
Focus on
aggregation,
optimization,
and value
creation
Customer-
centricity
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED13 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED13
STAY IN OR CHANGE THE GAME
EVOLVING ROLE OF THE UTILITY / LDC
• Utility business models
transform from supply- to
service- and platform based.
• Utilities evolve into energy
cloud platform orchestrators
to increase customer and
shareholder value.
• Distributors evolve into
Distribution System
Orchestrators (DSO) to
manage the intelligent,
neural and mobile grid.
• Retail Operations evolve into
Energy as a Service
Providers (ESP).
• Regulatory, Technology/
DER, Data analytics, AI
capabilities are key.
DSO
ESP
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED14 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED14
STAY IN OR CHANGE THE GAME
EVOLVING ROLE OF THE POWER PRODUCER
Traditional
Emerging
PRODUCTS CUSTOMERS SUCCESS FACTORS
» Centralized
generation
(conventional)
» Utilities
» Wholesale
market
» Government
(PPA)
» Project development
» Construction management
» Low-cost capital
» Project finance
» Efficient operations
» Centralized
generation
(renewables)
» Distributed
generation
» Storage
» Clean fuel
production
» Utilities
» Wholesale
market
» Government
(PPA)
» C&I customers
» Cities and
Communities
» Innovation (technology,
products and business
model)
» Laser focused go-to-market
» Customer engagement
» Ability to scale, integrate
and orchestrate
» Data analytics
Opportunity pursuer
Opportunity maker
Energy Cloud
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED15 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED15
PATH FORWARD IN THE ENERGY CLOUD
Need to pursue two parallel tracks:
Business model
evolution will be key to
success.
Network orchestrator
business model
emerges in energy and
beyond.
FIRST TRACK: PLAY DEFENSE
SECOND TRACK: PLAY OFFENSE
Competitors are
proactive, bold, and
digital.
• More scalable, integrated, and cost-effective
services to optimize the current business
• Ensure core business remains resilient while
freeing up resources (human and financial)
to invest
• Departure from well-worn norms of strategic
planning
• Focus on lucrative, high growth
opportunities around Energy Cloud
platforms and orchestration
• Cultural change plus regulatory and market
change
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED16
Energy Cloud
Playbook
navigant.com
CONTACT
JAN VRINS
Global Energy Practice Leader
305-341-7839
jan.vrins@navigant.com
Linked-In:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/janvrin
snavigant
Twitter:
@Jan_Vrins
#FurureUtility
RELEVANT
THOUGHT
LEADERSHIP
State & Future
of the Power
Industry
July 5, 2017
Navigating the
Energy
Transformation
August 2016
Defining the
Digital Future of
Utilities
April 2017
Utility’s Role in
Electricity’s
Future
Q1 & Q2 2017
RELEVANT
THOUGHT
LEADERSHIP
July 2016
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED17 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED17
NAVIGANT CONSULTING
GLOBAL SPECIALIZED PROFESSIONAL SERVICES FIRM
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED18
/ ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED18
NAVIGANT’S GLOBAL ENERGY PRACTICE
✓ 50 largest electric and gas utilities
✓ 20 largest independent power generators
✓ 20 largest gas distribution and pipeline companies
✓ Leading oil & gas companies
✓ International, federal, and state government organizations
✓ Multiple new energy market entrants and investors
✓ With over 600 consultants globally we are one of
the largest energy management consulting teams
✓ Consultants average 15 years of experience
✓ 60% have an advanced degree
✓ Over 50% have an engineering degree
✓ Among Top 10 in Vault’s 2016 Best Consulting
Firms for Energy
✓ Named "Best Advisory – Renewable Energy" in 9th
and 10th Annual Environmental Finance and
Carbon Finance Market Surveys
CLIENTS
TEAM
NAME
We collaborate with clients to help them thrive in a rapidly changing environment.
+
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED19 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED19
NAVIGANT’S GLOBAL ENERGY PRACTICE
OUR CLIENTS
• Operational flexibility of the
demand response system will
enable HECO to meet its goals of
100% clean energy by 2045
• Assessed potential for fast-responding
demand response system for power
distribution across five islands and
450,000 customers
HAWAIIAN
ELECTRIC
COMPANY
• Results and recommendations
were included in SCE’s Distribution
Resource Plan file at CPUC
• Assessed more than 140 distribution
technologies in order to prepare for major
regulatory filing with CPUC, including
classification by opportunity type
SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA
EDISON
• Navigant named Supplier of the
Year for Innovation
• Measured and validated savings of
$100 million energy efficiency portfolio
• Supported energy efficiency program
planning
DTE
ENERGY
• Analysis used to set competitive
positioning against other countries
• Analyzed global and domestic fuel cell
market growth by shipment and
manufacturers, including end-use
application, technology, and fuel cell size
US DOE
• Analysis enabled 5-year business
unit plans to prepare for capital and
operational investments
• Explored smart city market growth
potential, specifically analyzing markets
by geography and key segment
ENGIE
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED20 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED20
Technologies
Strategy
Implementation
• Distributed generation
• Demand Side Management
• Energy Storage
• Electrification of Transportation
• Building Automation (residential/C&I)
• Information & communication technologies
• Flexibility / demand response
• M&A / Growth / Go-to-market
• New energy products and services
• Customer Engagement
• DER / Renewables
• R&D / Innovation
• Grid Modernization/Technology
• Sustainability and Climate Risk (SBT)
• Strategy Implementation
• Renewable procurement and auctioning
• DER products / services implementation
• Grid Modernization
• Compliance and Security
NAVIGANT’S GLOBAL ENERGY PRACTICE
OUR PROJECTS
Client Recent Projects
Global Energy Company Smart Cities strategy and roadmap
US Vertically-integrated Utility DER market assessment and strategy
UK DNO DSO strategy
Canadian Electricity Distributor Strategic merger and due diligence support
European Energy Company Transactive Energy Market Assessment
US Utility New Energy Products and Services
European Energy Company DER Acquisition Support North-America
Middle East Utility R&D Centre strategy/implementation roadmap
US Utility
Technology innovation Roadmap and
Implementation
US Vertically-integrated Utility DER Architecture Design
Global Manufacturer Connected Home Strategy
US Vertically-integrated Utility Micro-grid Strategy and Roadmap
US Vertically-integrated Utility EV Integration Architecture and Design
US NY Utilities Renewable Strategy
/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED21 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED21
NAVIGANT’S GLOBAL ENERGY PRACTICE
OUR SOLUTION OFFERINGS
• Regulatory Support
• Risk Management,
Compliance & Security
• Litigation Support
• Strategy, Planning & Implementation
• Low Carbon Strategy, Policy & Implementation
• Financing the Energy Transition
• DER Strategy & Implementation
• Innovation and R&D Management
• Technology Advisory
• Due Diligence and M&A Support
• Technology/Appliance
Standards, Codes & Testing
• Data Management and Analytics
• Customer Engagement
• Impact Evaluation
• Program Design &
Implementation
• Process Evaluation
• Market Adoption & Potential
Studies
• Corporate Climate &
Sustainability Services
• End-User Energy
Management
• Integrated Resource
Management
• Project Development &
Transaction Support
• Electric Transmission,
Planning & Operations
• Grid Modernization
• Performance Excellence
• Resource Procurement
Market
Intelligence
• Research
• Benchmarking
• Data Services

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Navigating the Energy Transformation: Creating Customer and Shareholder Value in the Energy Cloud

  • 1. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED1 NAVIGATING THE ENERGY TRANSFORMATION Jan Vrins Global Energy Practice Leader CREATING CUSTOMER AND SHAREHOLDER VALUE IN THE ENERGY CLOUD NOVEMBER 20, 2017 2017 CANADIAN POWER CONFERENCE
  • 2. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED2 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED2 THE ENERGY TRANSFORMATION IS ACCELERATING THREE FORCES UPENDING THE STATUS QUO Technology Innovation Regulation and Policy Market Demand Five megatrends underpin the utility industry transformation in Canada. 1. Climate policies are subsuming energy policies 2. Energy customer expectations are changing 3. Well defined industry lines are blurring 4. Mega projects are more challenging 5. The Energy Cloud is emerging: Old energy infrastructure is being replaced with cleaner, more distributed, more intelligent systems Disruption is a prevailing and un- compromising threat to our industry.
  • 3. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED3 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED3 THE ENERGY CLOUD TOWARD A CLEAN, DECENTRALIZED, INTELLIGENT & MOBILE GRID PAST: Traditional Power Grid Central, One-Way Power System ©2016 Navigant Consulting, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 Navigating the Energy Transformation: Building a Competitive Advantage for Energy Cloud 2.0 (white paper) Source: Navigant TODAY: The Energy Cloud Distributed, Cleaner, Two-Way Power Flows
  • 4. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED4 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED4 ENERGY CLOUD SCENARIO’S DER GROWTH ACCELERATING IN NORTH AMERICA AND CANADA Observations • DER deployments will reach ~30 GW this year in the US, versus new central station generation (19.7GW) • DER in North America is growing two-to-three times faster than centralized generation (incl. renewables) • In Canada new DER will reach 15 GW in the next 5 year • DER growth in Canada comes primarily from DG, DR, EV charging load, and energy efficiency (Source: Navigant Research)
  • 5. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED5 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED5 ENERGY CLOUD SCENARIO’S VALUE SHIFTS TO T&D, EAAS AND EC PLATFORMS Business As Usual (Conservative) ENERGY CLOUD (Aggressive) Source: Navigant, global figures Generation Transmission & Distribution EaaS EC Platforms Value 2030 $ 4.7tr $ 6 tr Disruptors are cash heavy, thriving in-house R&D engines, and often own customer relationship Energy Tech Telecom Oil & Gas Retail Manufacturer Security DER Auto
  • 6. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED6 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED6 BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING 1. ENERGY-AS-A-SERVICE Supply Services • Solar, Wind, Bioenergy • CHP, Fuel cell, H2 • Backup generation • Storage, Microgrids Demand Services • Energy efficiency (lighting, HVAC etc.) • Building optimization and commissioning • Demand response Energy Optimization Services • Energy monitoring & load management • Waste/water/energy nexus • Robotics / AI / ML Today 2030 $63B $221BIntegrated Deployments Bold & Digital Moves Source: Navigant, global figures EaaS Applications Industry Evolution and Growth Point Solutions
  • 7. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED7 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED7 BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING 1. ENERGY-AS-A-SERVICE - RESIDENTIAL GMP is building the utility of the future ecosystem for their customers through its vertically integrated franchise. • Personal Energy Management • Solar PV and storage • Portable Power • EV Charging, with several charging package options Offering NEW-AGE ENERGY PRODUCTS TO THEIR CUSTOMERS, including heat pump water heaters, heating and cooling systems, Powerwall, EV charging, and home energy management. Source: Green Mountain Power
  • 8. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED8 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED8 BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING 1. ENERGY-AS-A-SERVICE – COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL ENGIE North America Inc. and Axium Infrastructure have closed a 50-year concession valued at $1.165 billion USD to address The Ohio State University's energy sustainability goals for its 485-building campus in Columbus, Ohio, one of the largest university campuses in the United States. Edison International created a subsidiary to help large energy users. Edison Energy is a business that will help reduce energy costs, improve efficiency and offer more environmentally friendly options for large energy users. The company aims to serve commercial buildings, data centers, retail centers, healthcare operations and educational institutions nationwide.
  • 9. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED9 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED9 BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING 2. ENERGY CLOUD PLATFORMS Why Energy Cloud platforms? ✓ Margins on individual technologies will erode even faster going forward (e.g. rooftop solar, storage) ✓ Difficult to scale and build a sustainable business around individual (siloed) technologies ✓ Need for orchestration, to unlock full value out of these platforms and technology ecosystems iDER Building2Grid (B2G) Transportation2Grid (T2G) Internet of Energy / Things (IoE) Transactive Energy Neural Grid Smart Cities
  • 10. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED10 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED10 BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING 2. ENERGY CLOUD PLATFORMS • DER will grow 3-5x faster than central station generation giving rise to virtual power plants (VPP) and other aggregation networks iDER • The smart city technology market will be worth more than $600 billion over the next decade with annual revenues growing almost 2.5x SMART CITIES • Residential and commercial customers will invest more than $50 billion in behind- the-meter integrated energy assets to take advantage of B2G opportunities BUILDING2GRID • Electric vehicles will be the single largest addition of energy demand to the grid globally, exceeding 200 TWh TRANSPORTATION 2GRID • Annual global revenue from IoT devices will grow 4x generating nearly $750 billion in cumulative revenue INTERNET OF ENERGY • Utilities will invest more than $700 billion in information technology, communications networking and automation technologies over the next decade NEURAL GRID • More than 40 million electricity customers expected to participate in transactive energy markets TRANSACTIVE ENERGY …and orchestrators will be the fastest growing and most profitable business model category across the utility value chain by leveraging assets and customer networks ENERGY CLOUD Source: Navigant Research
  • 11. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED11 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED11 BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING 2. ENERGY CLOUD PLATFORMS - TRANSPORTATION EXAMPLE Capture grid-related value streams on top of load growth and fleet management services. • Real-time energy balancing • Peak-shaving load shift • Distribution peak capacity support • Time-of-use energy management • Power quality, backup power, supply firming, and frequency regulation + Car sharing services, fleet management EXAMPLE: CUSTOMER-FOCUSED V2G SYSTEM • Enables drivers to operate as individual energy hubs to use, store, and return excess energy to the grid • EV owners paid up to €1,500/year for parking in dedicated locations • If all UK vehicles were electric, the virtual storage capacity of 370 GW could power the UK, Germany, and France combined • Enel acquired eMotorWorks to pursue the North American vehicle-to-grid (V2G) market with VALUE STREAMS
  • 12. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED12 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED12 PLATFORM Technology Applications Products & Services Data & Analytics Infrastructure (Physical & Data) Customers Energy Cloud Platform Utility as Network Orchestrator BUSINESS MODELS ARE CHANGING 2. ENERGY CLOUD PLATFORMS – MOVE TO ORCHESTRATION Access to a dynamic asset portfolio Agile product and services management Control of Technologie s and ‘Big Data’ for leverage Focus on aggregation, optimization, and value creation Customer- centricity
  • 13. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED13 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED13 STAY IN OR CHANGE THE GAME EVOLVING ROLE OF THE UTILITY / LDC • Utility business models transform from supply- to service- and platform based. • Utilities evolve into energy cloud platform orchestrators to increase customer and shareholder value. • Distributors evolve into Distribution System Orchestrators (DSO) to manage the intelligent, neural and mobile grid. • Retail Operations evolve into Energy as a Service Providers (ESP). • Regulatory, Technology/ DER, Data analytics, AI capabilities are key. DSO ESP
  • 14. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED14 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED14 STAY IN OR CHANGE THE GAME EVOLVING ROLE OF THE POWER PRODUCER Traditional Emerging PRODUCTS CUSTOMERS SUCCESS FACTORS » Centralized generation (conventional) » Utilities » Wholesale market » Government (PPA) » Project development » Construction management » Low-cost capital » Project finance » Efficient operations » Centralized generation (renewables) » Distributed generation » Storage » Clean fuel production » Utilities » Wholesale market » Government (PPA) » C&I customers » Cities and Communities » Innovation (technology, products and business model) » Laser focused go-to-market » Customer engagement » Ability to scale, integrate and orchestrate » Data analytics Opportunity pursuer Opportunity maker Energy Cloud
  • 15. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED15 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED15 PATH FORWARD IN THE ENERGY CLOUD Need to pursue two parallel tracks: Business model evolution will be key to success. Network orchestrator business model emerges in energy and beyond. FIRST TRACK: PLAY DEFENSE SECOND TRACK: PLAY OFFENSE Competitors are proactive, bold, and digital. • More scalable, integrated, and cost-effective services to optimize the current business • Ensure core business remains resilient while freeing up resources (human and financial) to invest • Departure from well-worn norms of strategic planning • Focus on lucrative, high growth opportunities around Energy Cloud platforms and orchestration • Cultural change plus regulatory and market change
  • 16. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED16 Energy Cloud Playbook navigant.com CONTACT JAN VRINS Global Energy Practice Leader 305-341-7839 jan.vrins@navigant.com Linked-In: https://www.linkedin.com/in/janvrin snavigant Twitter: @Jan_Vrins #FurureUtility RELEVANT THOUGHT LEADERSHIP State & Future of the Power Industry July 5, 2017 Navigating the Energy Transformation August 2016 Defining the Digital Future of Utilities April 2017 Utility’s Role in Electricity’s Future Q1 & Q2 2017 RELEVANT THOUGHT LEADERSHIP July 2016
  • 17. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED17 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED17 NAVIGANT CONSULTING GLOBAL SPECIALIZED PROFESSIONAL SERVICES FIRM
  • 18. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED18 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED18 NAVIGANT’S GLOBAL ENERGY PRACTICE ✓ 50 largest electric and gas utilities ✓ 20 largest independent power generators ✓ 20 largest gas distribution and pipeline companies ✓ Leading oil & gas companies ✓ International, federal, and state government organizations ✓ Multiple new energy market entrants and investors ✓ With over 600 consultants globally we are one of the largest energy management consulting teams ✓ Consultants average 15 years of experience ✓ 60% have an advanced degree ✓ Over 50% have an engineering degree ✓ Among Top 10 in Vault’s 2016 Best Consulting Firms for Energy ✓ Named "Best Advisory – Renewable Energy" in 9th and 10th Annual Environmental Finance and Carbon Finance Market Surveys CLIENTS TEAM NAME We collaborate with clients to help them thrive in a rapidly changing environment. +
  • 19. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED19 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED19 NAVIGANT’S GLOBAL ENERGY PRACTICE OUR CLIENTS • Operational flexibility of the demand response system will enable HECO to meet its goals of 100% clean energy by 2045 • Assessed potential for fast-responding demand response system for power distribution across five islands and 450,000 customers HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC COMPANY • Results and recommendations were included in SCE’s Distribution Resource Plan file at CPUC • Assessed more than 140 distribution technologies in order to prepare for major regulatory filing with CPUC, including classification by opportunity type SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON • Navigant named Supplier of the Year for Innovation • Measured and validated savings of $100 million energy efficiency portfolio • Supported energy efficiency program planning DTE ENERGY • Analysis used to set competitive positioning against other countries • Analyzed global and domestic fuel cell market growth by shipment and manufacturers, including end-use application, technology, and fuel cell size US DOE • Analysis enabled 5-year business unit plans to prepare for capital and operational investments • Explored smart city market growth potential, specifically analyzing markets by geography and key segment ENGIE
  • 20. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED20 / ©2017 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED20 Technologies Strategy Implementation • Distributed generation • Demand Side Management • Energy Storage • Electrification of Transportation • Building Automation (residential/C&I) • Information & communication technologies • Flexibility / demand response • M&A / Growth / Go-to-market • New energy products and services • Customer Engagement • DER / Renewables • R&D / Innovation • Grid Modernization/Technology • Sustainability and Climate Risk (SBT) • Strategy Implementation • Renewable procurement and auctioning • DER products / services implementation • Grid Modernization • Compliance and Security NAVIGANT’S GLOBAL ENERGY PRACTICE OUR PROJECTS Client Recent Projects Global Energy Company Smart Cities strategy and roadmap US Vertically-integrated Utility DER market assessment and strategy UK DNO DSO strategy Canadian Electricity Distributor Strategic merger and due diligence support European Energy Company Transactive Energy Market Assessment US Utility New Energy Products and Services European Energy Company DER Acquisition Support North-America Middle East Utility R&D Centre strategy/implementation roadmap US Utility Technology innovation Roadmap and Implementation US Vertically-integrated Utility DER Architecture Design Global Manufacturer Connected Home Strategy US Vertically-integrated Utility Micro-grid Strategy and Roadmap US Vertically-integrated Utility EV Integration Architecture and Design US NY Utilities Renewable Strategy
  • 21. / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED21 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED21 NAVIGANT’S GLOBAL ENERGY PRACTICE OUR SOLUTION OFFERINGS • Regulatory Support • Risk Management, Compliance & Security • Litigation Support • Strategy, Planning & Implementation • Low Carbon Strategy, Policy & Implementation • Financing the Energy Transition • DER Strategy & Implementation • Innovation and R&D Management • Technology Advisory • Due Diligence and M&A Support • Technology/Appliance Standards, Codes & Testing • Data Management and Analytics • Customer Engagement • Impact Evaluation • Program Design & Implementation • Process Evaluation • Market Adoption & Potential Studies • Corporate Climate & Sustainability Services • End-User Energy Management • Integrated Resource Management • Project Development & Transaction Support • Electric Transmission, Planning & Operations • Grid Modernization • Performance Excellence • Resource Procurement Market Intelligence • Research • Benchmarking • Data Services