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 the
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                                                                                                   do
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 need
 
                         If
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          FIRE!
 




www.fire-italia.org   White certificates: Evaluation of the monitoring plan projects in Italy
                      Dario Di Santo, FIRE

                      EC-JRC Workshop on experiences and policies on energy saving obligations and WhC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Gazzada Schianno (VA) 9-10 April 2013

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Monitoring plans within white certificate scheme

  • 1. The
  • 6.   do
  • 8.   You
  • 10.   If
  • 11.  you
  • 14.  to
  • 16.   in
  • 17.  the
  • 19.   FIRE!
  • 20.   www.fire-italia.org White certificates: Evaluation of the monitoring plan projects in Italy Dario Di Santo, FIRE EC-JRC Workshop on experiences and policies on energy saving obligations and WhC Gazzada Schianno (VA) 9-10 April 2013
  • 21. FIRE The Italian Federation for the Rational use of Energy is a no-profit association that promotes energy efficiency, supporting energy manager, ESCOs and other companies dealing with energy. Besides the activities directed to its nearly 500 members, FIRE operates under an implementing agreement with the Ministry of Economic Development to manage the Italian energy manager network since 1992. In order to promote energy efficiency FIRE cooperates and deals with public authorities, energy technology and service companies, consultants, medium and large consumers, universities and associations to promote best practices and improve the legislation. www.fire-italia.org EGE certification Energy Management Experts UNI CEI 11339 www.fire-italia.org www.secem.eu Gestione Energia magazine
  • 22. FIRE activities and projects www.enforce-een.eu www.hreii.eu/demo www.soltec-project.eu Among closed projects: - www.hreii.eu - www.e-quem.enea.it - www.eu-greenlight.org - www.enerbuilding.eu - Eurocontract www.ener-supply.eu www.esd-ca.eu Besides to dedicated meetings, FIRE organises the Enermanagement www.fire-italia.org conference, workshops, and training courses. It implements dissemination campaigns, surveys, market analysis and studies. Among the subjects with which FIRE has cooperated there are ENEA, GSE, RSE, large companies, universities, associations, agencies and trade fairs organizers. 3
  • 23. Saving evaluation methods Deemed savings Saving evaluation method Engineering estimates Monitoring plan Deemed savings (progetti standard): the saving is evaluated with D.S. respect to the number of installed reference units (e.g. square meter, file kW, number of installed units). No measures are required. Only standardized solutions can be included in a deemed saving file. Engineering estimates (progetti analitici): the saving is evaluated with E.E. respect to some measured quantities through a dedicated algorithm file defined in the considered file. Required meters are also indicated in the considered file. www.fire-italia.org Monitoring plans (progetti a consuntivo): the method is similar to the previous one, but the algorithm, the baseline, the additional saving coefficient, and the needed meters should be preliminarily proposed PPPM by the applicant PPPM and approved from GSE (with ENEA-RSE). After the PPPM is accepted the proponent will get WhC by presenting RVC (at least once a year).
  • 24. Market trends and monitoring plans WhCpricetrend Introduction 120 Monitoring plans 110 100 90 Sectors and tech WhC'sprice(Euro) 80 70 Conclusions 60 50 40 30 20 10 Source:FIREevaluaIonbasedonAEEGandGMEdata 0 /05 06 /07 06 /10 06 /01 06 /03 07 /06 07 /08 07 /11 07 /01 07 /04 08 /06 08 /09 08 /11 08 /02 08 /04 09 /07 09 /09 09 /12 09 /03 09 /05 10 /07 10 /10 10 /01 10 /03 11 /05 11 /08 11 /11 11 /02 11 /04 12 /05 12 /08 12 /11 12 /02 12 13 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 ItalianWhCtargetsandresults /03 (dataupdatedtoFebruary282013) 07 16 25 24 16 27 05 28 06 29 08 17 09 18 17 28 01 22 01 02 11 20 19 11 22 31 30 15 07 17 31 07 06 05 %8.000%% Marketsessiondata 80%% May31stsession DSO'sreimbursement TypeIII TypeII TypeI %6.000%% 60%% %4.000%% 40%% %2.000%% 20%% www.fire-italia.org ktoe % %!%%%% 0%% 2005% 2006% 2007% 2008% 2009% 2010% 2011% 2012% !2.000%% !20%% !4.000%% !40%% Source:%FIRE%based%on%AEEG%and%GME%data% 2012: 31% !6.000%% !60%% monitoring plans Primary%energy%saving%targets%(ktoe)% Issued%WhC%from%June%1st%to%May%31st%(ktoe)% Eccess%%or%missing%WhC%(ktoe)% (issuedWhC!targetWhC)/targetWhC%(%)%
  • 25. The analysis about monitoring plans Introduction Background Considering new projects, monitoring plans are overcoming standard and Monitoring plans engineering estimates projects with respect to the amount of generated Sectors and tech savings. No deep investigation was carried out and a few data were available on them. Conclusions The aim of the analysis ENEA commissioned a study to FIRE to:   investigate monitoring plans and extract information on the results of seven years of presented projects;   identify trend lines for the energy efficiency technologies used and assess the market penetration;   verify if the real savings (RVC) matched the forecasts (PPPM);   identify the role of the proponents, the difficulties they encountered and the most common errors in the presentation of proposals. www.fire-italia.org
  • 26. The analysis about monitoring plans Introduction The methodology All the presented PPPM were evaluated and catalogued independently from their Monitoring plans acceptance. A database was built with ad hoc categories to confront and Sectors and tech evaluate the proposals. Many diagrams and tables have been drawn, an intermediate report has been finalised last year and the final one is to be Conclusions presented after May 2013. The analysis covered the PPPM for the period from 2005 to 2012. Information within the database:   date of completion of work and sending of the proposal;   proponent and end user;   result of evaluation from ENEA / Authority;   geographic area of the project;   industrial or civil sector; www.fire-italia.org   technologies employed;   source of energy supply;   type of savings (i.e. electricity, gas, other fuels);   the algorithms use to calculate the savings;   the measurement systems used in the project.
  • 27. PPPM presentation trend Introduction Monthly#average#PPPM#proposals# Monitoring plans 50# 47# Source: FIRE on AEEG data. 45# Sectors and tech 40# Conclusions 35# 33# 30# 25# 20# 15# 14# 10# 5# 0# www.fire-italia.org 2005)2010# 2011# 2012#(incomplete)# Both the effect of the tau coefficient and of the learning curve about PPPM presenting linked to FIRE-ENEA training courses can be seen.
  • 28. PPPM are not that easy to present Detailed analysis focused on the 600 PPPM that have been approved. Introduction About half of the approved proposals has required at least a request for Monitoring plans integration. Especially in the first years some proposals required 3 or 4 revisions (recently ENEA decided to allow no more than one request of integration. Sectors and tech Less than 10% of the proposals were rejected. Conclusions Accepted$PPPM$ 0,1%$ 0,5%$ 6%$ Passed$at$the$first$a7empt$ 43%$ a9er$1$revision$ a9er$2$revisions$ 51%$ a9er$3$revisions$ www.fire-italia.org a9er$4$revisions$ Source: FIRE commissioned by ENEA.
  • 29. PPPM and monitoring plans’ WhC divided by proponent Introduction Presented#PPPM# 1%# Monitoring plans 5%# 7%# Electric#DSO#(DE)# Sectors and tech Gas#DSO#(DG)# Conclusions Energy#manager#(EM)# 87%# Energy#service#provider# (ESP)# Source: FIRE commissioned by ENEA. Requested#WhC## 2%# Electric(DSO((DE)( 30%# Gas(DSO((DG)( www.fire-italia.org 68%# Energy(manager((EM)( Energy(service(provider((ESP)( Source: FIRE commissioned by ENEA.
  • 30. WhC breakdown Introduction WhC$energy$saving$breakdown$ Monitoring plans Sectors and tech 30%$ 29%$ WhC$electricity$$ Conclusions WhC$natural$gas$ 41%$ WhC$other$fuels$ Source: FIRE commissioned by ENEA. Toe$from$PPPM WhC$electricity$ WhC$natural$gas WhC$other$fuels WhC$total 1.320.000 420.000 580.000 400.000 1.400.000 Yearly$Toe$forecast$in$PPPM$VS$toe$requested$in$RVC www.fire-italia.org A strong role of thermal energy consumption emerges in the industrial sector, in opposition to the saving electricity leadership for standard projects.
  • 31. WhC breakdown: PPPM (above) and WhC (below) TEXTILE%AND%TANNING% AUTOMOTIVE% WOOD% 4%% MECHANICS% 2%% STEEL%METALLURGICAL% 6%% Introduction 9%% ICT% 3%% PAPER%AND%PRINTING% PETROCHEMICAL% Monitoring plans 4%% PHARMACEUTICAL% CHEMISTRY% GLASS% 4%% 17%% Sectors and tech RESIDENTIAL% COMMERCIAL% BUILDING%MATERIALS% Conclusions 17%% 14%% AGRO9FOOD% 13%% ENERGY%/%SERVICES%/% WASTE%TREATMENT% 7%% Source: FIRE commissioned by ENEA. AUTOMOTIVE% WOOD% PAPER%AND% MECHANICS% 2%% PRINTING% ICT% 2%% TEXTILE%AND%TANNING% 1%% 3%% 2%% GLASS% RESIDENTIAL% 4%% COMMERCIAL% 6%% ENERGY%/%SERVICES%/% STEEL% WASTE%TREATMENT% METALLURGICAL% 7%% 38%% AGRO:FOOD% www.fire-italia.org 7%% BUILDING% PETROCHEMICAL% MATERIALS% PHARMACEUTICAL% 12%% CHEMISTRY% 16%%
  • 32. Technology breakdown PPPMtechnologybreakdown Introduction Solvent Monitoring plans treatment 1% Civilsector EEheat Biomass Sectors and tech 14% 19% 6% Conclusions Cogenera8on 17% EEelectricity 28% n°#PPPM requested#WhC Heatrecovery EE#heat 128 645.293 15% EE#electricity 186 226.946 Heat#recovery 98 112.973 Cogeneration 111 210.377 Biomass 41 81.487 Solvent#treatment 9 5.236 Civil#sector 90 48.820 WhCtechnologybreakdown Civilsector Source: FIRE commissioned by ENEA. 4% Solventtreatment EEheat 0% Biomass 48% www.fire-italia.org 6% Cogenera8on 16% Heatrecovery EEelectricity 9% 17%
  • 33. Heat recovery Introduction Heat#recovery#breakdown# Monitoring plans 10%# HEAT#RECOVERY#FOR# Sectors and tech THE#PROCESS# 28%# Conclusions HEAT#RECOVERY#FOR# OTHER#USES# 53%# FLUE#RECOVERY#FOR# 9%# THE#PROCESS# FLUE#RECOVERY#FOR# Source: FIRE commissioned by ENEA. OTHER#USES# With heat recovery for the process we mean heat reused within the same process that generated it. www.fire-italia.org More often the heat recovered at low temperature is used in other processes within the enterprise. The same applies for the two flue recovery categories.
  • 34. Gas cogeneration Cogenera.on$proposals$ Introduction Monitoring plans 1%$ Sectors and tech Gas$CHP$ Conclusions 17%$ 82%$ Gas$trigenera.on$ Gas$quadrigenera.on$ The new cogeneration plants are distributed homogeneously among www.fire-italia.org all activities with use of low-temperature heat. A peak of interventions in the food and chemical / pharmaceutical sectors can be nevertheless noticed.
  • 35. Biomass Introduction Biomass#proposals# Monitoring plans Sectors and tech BIOMASS#BOILER# 10%# Conclusions 14%# BIOMASS#COGENERATION# 10%# 44%# BIOMASS#FOR#PROCESS# 22%# BIOGAS# BIOOIL# The use of biomass shows a concentration in the agri-food sector www.fire-italia.org where the availability of residues leads to a natural application. Other interesting aspects are the direct use of wood biomass as fuel in the lime factories and biogas in the food industry.
  • 36. Civil sector Introduction Monitoring plans Civil$sector$proposals$ Sectors and tech 5%$ BOILERS$AND$HEAT$ Conclusions ACCOUNTING$ 36%$ LIGHTING$ 59%$ DISTRICT$HEATING$ www.fire-italia.org
  • 37. PPPM forecast VS requested WhC over years Introduction Caso 1: e.g. building Monitoring plans materials, Preventivo manufacturing industry Sectors and tech Consuntivo Conclusions Caso 2: e.g. Consuntivo furnace glass, membranes, RDF Preventivo www.fire-italia.org Caso 3: e.g. Consuntivo lighting, heating, cooling Preventivo
  • 38. Conclusions Introduction The complete report will give us a lot of interesting information (that would be difficult to summarize in a presentation). Monitoring plans It is better to think about a procedure to collecting and categorising data from Sectors and tech complex projects since the start up of the WhC scheme. Conclusions Monitoring plans don’t tell us just how many pieces of a technology has been installed, they give us information about industrial processes and trends in technology substitution (a fact that can stimulate many support activities), and they help ESP to grown up and become ESCO or anyway skilled operators. To make savings in the order of Mtoe monitoring plans are a necessity (unless we pour a lot of money in terms of WhC/”cost of investment” on deemed savings, like we have done for CFL), so it is important to monitor their trends. A lot of information and training activities is needed in order to get some interesting achievement. www.fire-italia.org Energy efficiency is complex and to be successful it needs a lot of commitment (in primis by policy makers), the recognition of co-benefits, MV (not only for WhC to work, but for EPC and banks), information and training. This is true for EEO as well as for any kind of support policy.
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