Modeling the water food energy nexus: the case of Egypt
1. Modeling the Water-Food-Energy Nexus in the Arab
World : The Case of Egypt
USMAN KHALID AWAN
BIJU GEORGE
APRIL 18, 2016
CONRAD - CAIRO, EGYPT
2. Optimizing
inputs for
maximizing yield
(long term)
Hydrological/Crop Simulation
Models
Optimizing inputs
for maximizing
income (long term)
Socio-economic models
Hydro-economic
Modeling for food
& water security
WaterBalance
SaltBalance
NutrientsBalance
ICARDA Irrigation Modeling Thematic Group
PhysicalConstrains
SocialConstrains/aspects
EconomicalConstrains/aspects
3. Optimizing
inputs for
maximizing yield
(long term)
Hydrus-1D
AquaCrop
Optimizing inputs
for maximizing
income (long term)
Socio-economic models
Hydro-economic
Modeling for food
& water security
WaterBalance
SaltBalance
NutrientsBalance
PhysicalConstrains
Institutionalsetup,Outscalingvs
upscaling
Fertilizerpesticideuse,machinery
cost,waterpumpingcostetc.
Case-1 Field Level
Mechanised Raised Bed Technology
4. Case-1 Field Level
FAO AquaCrop Crop Water Productivity Model is a software package which is used
to simulate yield response to water
Parameterization of model
Climatic parameters
Crop related information
Soil charachteristics
Irrigation criteria
Groundwater
AquaCrop Crop Water Productivity Model
5. Case-1 Filed Level
TDR system for SMC measurements
AquaCrop calibration and validation
Scenario analysis
Canopy cover of
27.3%
6. Case-1 Field Level
Version 4.0 of HYDRUS-1D, a software package for simulating water, heat and solute
movement was used (Simunek and van Genuchten, 1998)
Soil characteristics
Groundwater levels and quality
Crop phenological data
Meteorological data (E and T)
Parameterization of model
Water and salt balance by HYDRUS-1D model
7. Case-2 Basin to Irrigation System Level
Supply
Water availability in
space and time
Surface,
Groundwater and
Drainage
Allocation processes
•Allocation, deliveries
and routing
• Physical constraints
• Quality constraints
Demand
User demands in
space and time
Climate &
behaviour
dependent
Urban, Industries,
agriculture,
aquaculture, lakes
8. Case-2 Basin to Irrigation System Level
Persian wells/water wheals – Around 3-12
m groundwater depth
Around 10-30 m
groundwater depth
Around 100 -
300 m depth
Cat and Rat Chase
During 1960s
During 1980s
Current
status
Source: Awan, UK 2015
9. Case-2 Basin to Irrigation System Level
Wells/bores
Pumps
Pipework/
Channels
FLOW OF WATER
Equipment
materials
Energy
processing/
generation
Primary fuel
exploration
Equipment
manufacture
Materials
processing
Materials
extraction
Equipment
materials
Equipment
manufacture
Materials
processing
Materials extraction
Equipment
transport
Equipment
transport
Energy transport/
transmission
Energy transport/
transmission
Energy use Energy use
Energy processing/generation
Primary fuel exploration
Equipment
materials
Equipment
manufacture
Materials
processing
Materials
extraction
Equipment
transport
Human
labour
Irrigation
Energy processing/generation
Primary fuel exploration
Energy transport/
transmission
Energy use
Human
labour
Source: Tyson, George & Malano, 2012
10. Case-2 Basin to Irrigation System Level
FEFLOW-3D (Version 5.1), a Finite Element Subsurface Flow & Transport
Simulation System for simulations of groundwater levels (Diersch and Kolditz, 2002)
Horizontal and vertical distribution of
permeable and impermeable layers
Characteristics governing groundwater
flow (e.g., hydraulic conductivity)
Information on groundwater flow at the
interface to surface water (e.g., recharge
rates)
Parameterization of model
Groundwater fluctuation by FEFLOW-3D model &
MODFLOW Visual Flex