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Daily Commodity Re
                                                D                eport

                                                                                                                  3rd July 2012
                                                               MC GOLD (4 A
                                                                 CX            AUGUST 12) - Gold open higher at 29690 and
                                                                                                       ned           t
                   Gold
                   G            Si
                                 ilver          Cr
                                                 rude
                 (4 A
                    Aug-12)    (5 Sept-12)    (19 J
                                                  Jul-12)      touc
                                                                  ched an intra
                                                                              a-day high of 29759. How
                                                                                          f           wever, it failed to sustain
                                                               high and mov
                                                                  her         ved lower to touch an intra-day low o 29560. It
                                                                                                                    of
 Ope
   en                29,690        53,402          4,686       end the day fla to close at 29660.
                                                                  ded          at
 High
    h                29,759        53,645          4,702
                                                               The RSI remains placed belo its averag which wo
                                                                  e                         ow           ge,        ould result in
 Low
   w                 29,560        53,157          4,578       selling pressure However, t
                                                                               e.          the Stochastic has move above its
                                                                                                                    ed
 Clos
    se               29,660        53,513          4,636       aveerage but is s placed in the over sold zone, which would lead
                                                                               still                     d          h
                                                               to s
                                                                  short covering and buying support at low levels. Th ADX line,
                                                                               g                         wer         he
 Prev Close
    v.               29,665        53,293          4,695
                                                               +DI line and -D line are m
                                                                  I            DI          moving sidew ways, indicati
                                                                                                                     ing a range
 %C
  Change             -0.02%         0.41%         -1.26%       bouund trend. M MCX GOLD faces resistance at 296      668, 30179,
                                                               303340, 30428 an 31000, wh the suppo are place at 28859,
                                                                                nd         hile          orts        ed
Sourc – MCX
    ce
                                                               287 and 27962 levels.
                                                                  765
                   Volume (In 000
                   V            0's)                           MC SILVER (5 SEPT 12) - Silver open
                                                                CX            5                        ned higher a 53402 but
                                                                                                                   at
                 02/0
                    07/2012    30/0
                                  06/2012        % Chg.        mov lower. It t
                                                                  ved                     ntra-day low o 53157 but managed to
                                                                              touched an in            of
                                                               bou
                                                                 unce back fro lower leve
                                                                             om          els. It moved higher to tou an intra-
                                                                                                                   uch
 Gold (gms)
    d              31,488.0
                   3               2,037.0     144
                                                 45.80%        day high of 5364 It ended t day with modest gains to close at
                                                                 y            45.         the                       s
 Silve (kgs)
     er              1,466.9         373.0      29
                                                 93.30%        535
                                                                 513.
 Crud (bbl)
    de             27,401.7
                   2               1,413.0     183
                                                 39.26%        The RSI remains placed belo its averag which wo
                                                                  e                         ow           ge,        ould result in
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                         selling pressure However, t
                                                                               e.          the Stochastic has move above its
                                                                                                                    ed
                                                               aveerage but is s placed in the over sold zone, which would lead
                                                                               still                     d          h
                  Tu
                   urnover (In Lacs)                           to s
                                                                  short covering and buying support at low levels. Th ADX line,
                                                                               g                         wer         he
                                                               +DI line and -D line are m
                                                                  I            DI          moving sidew ways, indicati
                                                                                                                     ing a range
                 02/0
                    07/2012    30/0
                                  06/2012        % Chg.        bou trend. MC Silver face resistance at 53675, 54
                                                                  und          CX          es                       4570, 55551,
                                                               56157 and 5773 while the s
                                                                               37          supports are placed at 51559, 51029,
Gold
   d              93
                   34,024.8       60,438.5
                                  6            144
                                                 45.41%
                                                               and 50252 levels
                                                                  d             s.
Silve
    er            78
                   83,863.6     19
                                 94,210.3       30
                                                 03.62%
                                                               MC CRUDE (1 JULY 12) - Crude ope
                                                                CX             19                      ened lower at 4686 level
Crud
   de            1,27
                    73,196.6      66,393.7
                                  6            181
                                                 17.65%
                                                               but managed to move higher It touched a intra-day h
                                                                                            r.         an            high of 4702
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                         but failed to sus
                                                                               stain higher a
                                                                                            and moved lo
                                                                                                       ower. It touch
                                                                                                                    hed an intra-
                                                               day low of 4578. It ended the day with mo
                                                                 y             .            e          oderate losse to close at
                                                                                                                    es
               Global Market (Nym - $)
                                mex                            463
                                                                 36.
                 03/0
                    07/2012    02/0
                                  07/2012        % Chg.        The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                 e             he            c           d
Gold (oz)
   d               1,600.00
                   1              1,597.70         0.14%         erages, which would lead to buying support. Ho
                                                               ave             h                                      owever, the
                                                               Stochastic is pla
                                                                               aced in the ov bought zo
                                                                                             ver         one, which wwould lead to
Silve (oz)
    er                27.66          27.47         0.68%
                                                               prof taking at higher levels. The ADX line and –DI line are placed
                                                                  fit                                    e            e
Crud (bbl)
   de                 84.08          83.75         0.39%       abo the 33 lev indicating sellers have an upper han while the
                                                                 ove           vel                                    nd,
Dolla Index
    ar                81.85          81.87        -0.03%       +DI line is movin sideways. It faces resis
                                                                  I            ng                        stance at 472 4855 and
                                                                                                                     20,
                                                               490 while the supports are p
                                                                 05                         placed at 4624 4421, 4259 and 3723.
                                                                                                         4,           9
Sourc – www.cme
    ce        egroup.com

                                                                   Intra-day Re
                                                                              esistance                 Intra-day Sup
                                                                                                                    pport
Comm
   modities                     Close        Pivot Point
                                                                   R1          R2           R3
                                                                                            R         S1          S2          S3

CRUD JUL 12
   DE                            4636              4639          4699
                                                                 4           47
                                                                              763         488
                                                                                            87      4575
                                                                                                       5        4515        4391

GOLD AUG 12
   D                            29660             29660
                                                  2             29
                                                                 9759       298
                                                                              859         3005
                                                                                             58    29560
                                                                                                       0       29461        29262

SILVE SEPT 12
    ER                          53513             53438
                                                  5             53
                                                                 3720       539
                                                                              926         5441
                                                                                             14    53232
                                                                                                       2       52950        52462


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                                                  te         Ltd.
         The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
               by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                            www.keyynotecapitals.com
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                                                              Keynot Capitals L
                                                                   te         Ltd.
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Keynote commodity daily report for 030712

  • 1. Daily Commodity Re D eport 3rd July 2012 MC GOLD (4 A CX AUGUST 12) - Gold open higher at 29690 and ned t Gold G Si ilver Cr rude (4 A Aug-12) (5 Sept-12) (19 J Jul-12) touc ched an intra a-day high of 29759. How f wever, it failed to sustain high and mov her ved lower to touch an intra-day low o 29560. It of Ope en 29,690 53,402 4,686 end the day fla to close at 29660. ded at High h 29,759 53,645 4,702 The RSI remains placed belo its averag which wo e ow ge, ould result in Low w 29,560 53,157 4,578 selling pressure However, t e. the Stochastic has move above its ed Clos se 29,660 53,513 4,636 aveerage but is s placed in the over sold zone, which would lead still d h to s short covering and buying support at low levels. Th ADX line, g wer he Prev Close v. 29,665 53,293 4,695 +DI line and -D line are m I DI moving sidew ways, indicati ing a range %C Change -0.02% 0.41% -1.26% bouund trend. M MCX GOLD faces resistance at 296 668, 30179, 303340, 30428 an 31000, wh the suppo are place at 28859, nd hile orts ed Sourc – MCX ce 287 and 27962 levels. 765 Volume (In 000 V 0's) MC SILVER (5 SEPT 12) - Silver open CX 5 ned higher a 53402 but at 02/0 07/2012 30/0 06/2012 % Chg. mov lower. It t ved ntra-day low o 53157 but managed to touched an in of bou unce back fro lower leve om els. It moved higher to tou an intra- uch Gold (gms) d 31,488.0 3 2,037.0 144 45.80% day high of 5364 It ended t day with modest gains to close at y 45. the s Silve (kgs) er 1,466.9 373.0 29 93.30% 535 513. Crud (bbl) de 27,401.7 2 1,413.0 183 39.26% The RSI remains placed belo its averag which wo e ow ge, ould result in Sourc – MCX ce selling pressure However, t e. the Stochastic has move above its ed aveerage but is s placed in the over sold zone, which would lead still d h Tu urnover (In Lacs) to s short covering and buying support at low levels. Th ADX line, g wer he +DI line and -D line are m I DI moving sidew ways, indicati ing a range 02/0 07/2012 30/0 06/2012 % Chg. bou trend. MC Silver face resistance at 53675, 54 und CX es 4570, 55551, 56157 and 5773 while the s 37 supports are placed at 51559, 51029, Gold d 93 34,024.8 60,438.5 6 144 45.41% and 50252 levels d s. Silve er 78 83,863.6 19 94,210.3 30 03.62% MC CRUDE (1 JULY 12) - Crude ope CX 19 ened lower at 4686 level Crud de 1,27 73,196.6 66,393.7 6 181 17.65% but managed to move higher It touched a intra-day h r. an high of 4702 Sourc – MCX ce but failed to sus stain higher a and moved lo ower. It touch hed an intra- day low of 4578. It ended the day with mo y . e oderate losse to close at es Global Market (Nym - $) mex 463 36. 03/0 07/2012 02/0 07/2012 % Chg. The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective e he c d Gold (oz) d 1,600.00 1 1,597.70 0.14% erages, which would lead to buying support. Ho ave h owever, the Stochastic is pla aced in the ov bought zo ver one, which wwould lead to Silve (oz) er 27.66 27.47 0.68% prof taking at higher levels. The ADX line and –DI line are placed fit e e Crud (bbl) de 84.08 83.75 0.39% abo the 33 lev indicating sellers have an upper han while the ove vel nd, Dolla Index ar 81.85 81.87 -0.03% +DI line is movin sideways. It faces resis I ng stance at 472 4855 and 20, 490 while the supports are p 05 placed at 4624 4421, 4259 and 3723. 4, 9 Sourc – www.cme ce egroup.com Intra-day Re esistance Intra-day Sup pport Comm modities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 R S1 S2 S3 CRUD JUL 12 DE 4636 4639 4699 4 47 763 488 87 4575 5 4515 4391 GOLD AUG 12 D 29660 29660 2 29 9759 298 859 3005 58 29560 0 29461 29262 SILVE SEPT 12 ER 53513 53438 5 53 3720 539 926 5441 14 53232 2 52950 52462 Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US E Economic C Calendar: Tuesday Thursday Friday Moonday Tues sday Jul 03 Jul 05 Jul 06 Ju 09 ul Jul 10 Fact tory Orders Jobles Claims ss Employm ment Situation n Consume Credit er ICSC-Goldm Store man Sales Moto Vehicle Sales or EIA Pe etroleum Statu us Monster Employment r t 4-Week B Bill NFIB Small Business Reporrt Index Announce ement ndex Optimism In ICSC C-Goldman St tore ISM Non-Mfg Index N Treasur STRIPS ry 3-Month B Auction Bill 4-Week Bill Auction Sale es Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Discclaimer This document is n for public di not istribution and has been furnis shed to you so olely for your information and must not be re eproduced or redisstributed to any other person. Persons into who possession this document may come are required to obse P ose erve these restr rictions. This material is for t personal info the ormation of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action base upon it. This report is not ed s to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer o solicitation e or woul be illegal. It i for the gener information o clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recomm ld is ral of t mendation or take into account the particular inve estment objectiv tuations, or need of individual clients. ves, financial sit ds We h have reviewed t report, and in so far as it includes current o historical info the or ormation, it is beelieved to be rel liable though its accuracy or s comp pleteness canno be guarantee Neither Keyn ot ed. note Capitals Lt nor any pers connected with it, accepts any liability aris td., son sing from the use of this documen The recipien of this mater should rely on their own inv nt. nts rial vestigations and take their own professional a advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this m material may go up or down. Past performan is not a gu nce uide for future pperformance. Certa transactions -including thos involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investmen grade securit ain s se s nt ties - involve subsstantial risk and are not suitab for all invest d ble tors. Reports ba ased on technic analysis cen cal nters on studyin charts of a stock’s price ng move ement and trad ding volume, as opposed to fo s ocusing on a co ompany’s funda amentals and as such, may no match with a report on a s ot comp pany’s fundame entals. Opinnions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appea d f aring on this maaterial only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the informatio discussed in this material, there may be r s on n regulatory, commpliance, or othe reasons that prevent us fro doing so. er t om Prosspective investo and others are cautioned t ors a that any forward d-looking statemments are not p predictions and may be subjec to change ct witho notice. Our proprietary tr out r rading and inve estment busine esses may ma ake investment decisions that are inconsiste with the t ent recommendations e expressed herein n. We a our affiliates, officers, direc and ctors, and empl loyees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or sh positions in and buy or m hort n, sell t securities th the hereof, of compa (ies) mentio any oned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involvi such securit ing ties and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a mar o rket maker in th financial inst he truments of the company (ies) discussed here or act as ein advis or lender / borrower to such company (ie or have other potential con sor es) nflict of interest with respect to any recomme t o endation and related information a opinions. and The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views express s s e sed in this repo accurately re ort eflect his or he personal view about the er ws subje company or companies an its or their se ect r nd ecurities, and no part of his or her compensa r ation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly y related to specific re ecommendation or views expr ns ressed in this report. No p of this material may be dup part plicated in any fo and/or redis orm stributed withou Keynote Capit ut tals Ltd’s., prior written consent. r Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com