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Daily Commodity Outlook

                                                                                                                    7th September 2011


                      Gold        Silver      Crude      MCX GOLD (OCT 11)
                    (5 Oct-11) (5 Dec-11) (15 Sep-11)

Open                     28545       66476       3858    The Stochastic has slipped below its average. Moreso it is
High                     28744       66893       3954    placed in the over bought zone on the daily charts, which
                                                         would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The RSI too has
Low                      27726       64400       3847
                                                         slipped below its average, which would again lead to selling
Close                    27969       64605       3931
                                                         pressure. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28750 and 29000
Prev. Close              28485       66394       3850    levels, while the supports are placed at 27777 and 27184
% Change                -1.81%       -2.69%     2.10%    levels.
Source – MCX
                                                         MCX SILVER (DEC 11)
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                         The RSI is comfortably placed above its average, which would
                     6/9/2011     5/9/2011    % Chg.
                                                         lead to regular bouts of buying support. However, the
Gold (grms)          150,019.0     71,494.0   109.83%    Stochastic, has moved below its average and is placed in the
Silver (kgs)            3,453.1     1,448.3   138.43%    over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at higher
                                                         levels. MCX Silver faces resistance at 64925, 66051 and
Crude (bbl)           25,756.0     12,272.1   109.87%
                                                         66625 levels, while the supports are placed at 62129 and
Source – MCX
                                                         60839 levels.
                    Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                         MCX CRUDE (SEP 11)
                     6/9/2011     5/9/2011    % Chg.

Gold                4,244,461.0 2,016,954.6   110.44%    MCX Crude is moving in a range bound trend. The MACD is
Silver              2,261,392.8   958,202.3   136.00%
                                                         placed below its average. The – DI line has moved above the
                                                         30 level indicating the sellers have an upper hand, however,
Crude               1,003,527.5   478,658.5   109.65%
                                                         the ADX line and +DI line continue to move sideways and are
Source – MCX                                             placed around the 20 level. The Stochastic is placed in the
                                                         oversold zone, which would lead to short covering at lower
                    Global Market ($)                    levels. It faces resistance at 3967 and 4084 levels, while the
                                                         supports are placed at 3747 and 3663 levels.
                     7/9/2011     6/9/2011    % Chg.

Gold (oz)              1,871.70    1,869.90     0.10%

Silver (oz)              41.89        41.81     0.19%

Crude (bbl)              86.41        86.02     0.45%
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
    Commodities                   Close        Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
 CRUDE SEP 11                        3931                3911       3974        4018          4125           3867         3804          3697
 GOLD OCT 11                        27969               28146      28567       29164         30182         27549         27128         26110
 SILVER DEC 11                      64605               65299      66199       67792         70285         63706         62806         60313




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              4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote commodity daily report 070911

  • 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 7th September 2011 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (OCT 11) (5 Oct-11) (5 Dec-11) (15 Sep-11) Open 28545 66476 3858 The Stochastic has slipped below its average. Moreso it is High 28744 66893 3954 placed in the over bought zone on the daily charts, which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The RSI too has Low 27726 64400 3847 slipped below its average, which would again lead to selling Close 27969 64605 3931 pressure. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28750 and 29000 Prev. Close 28485 66394 3850 levels, while the supports are placed at 27777 and 27184 % Change -1.81% -2.69% 2.10% levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (DEC 11) Volume (In 000's) The RSI is comfortably placed above its average, which would 6/9/2011 5/9/2011 % Chg. lead to regular bouts of buying support. However, the Gold (grms) 150,019.0 71,494.0 109.83% Stochastic, has moved below its average and is placed in the Silver (kgs) 3,453.1 1,448.3 138.43% over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. MCX Silver faces resistance at 64925, 66051 and Crude (bbl) 25,756.0 12,272.1 109.87% 66625 levels, while the supports are placed at 62129 and Source – MCX 60839 levels. Turnover (In Lacs) MCX CRUDE (SEP 11) 6/9/2011 5/9/2011 % Chg. Gold 4,244,461.0 2,016,954.6 110.44% MCX Crude is moving in a range bound trend. The MACD is Silver 2,261,392.8 958,202.3 136.00% placed below its average. The – DI line has moved above the 30 level indicating the sellers have an upper hand, however, Crude 1,003,527.5 478,658.5 109.65% the ADX line and +DI line continue to move sideways and are Source – MCX placed around the 20 level. The Stochastic is placed in the oversold zone, which would lead to short covering at lower Global Market ($) levels. It faces resistance at 3967 and 4084 levels, while the supports are placed at 3747 and 3663 levels. 7/9/2011 6/9/2011 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,871.70 1,869.90 0.10% Silver (oz) 41.89 41.81 0.19% Crude (bbl) 86.41 86.02 0.45% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE SEP 11 3931 3911 3974 4018 4125 3867 3804 3697 GOLD OCT 11 27969 28146 28567 29164 30182 27549 27128 26110 SILVER DEC 11 64605 65299 66199 67792 70285 63706 62806 60313 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com