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Daily Commodity Outlook

                                                                                                                    6th September 2011


                      Gold        Silver      Crude       MCX GOLD (OCT 11)
                    (5 Oct-11) (5 Sep-11) (19 Sep-11)

Open                     27818       66050        3967    MCX Gold moved higher on back of the Stochastic moving
High                     28515       66649        3967    above its average. However, it is placed in the over bought
                                                          zone on the daily charts, which would lead to profit taking at
Low                      27818       65328        3843
                                                          higher levels. The RSI too has moved above its average,
Close                    28485       66394        3850
                                                          which is a positive sign and would lead to regular bouts of
Prev. Close              27789       65898        3979    buying support. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28750 and
% Change                 2.50%       0.75%      -3.24%    29000 levels, while the supports are placed at 28175 and
Source – MCX                                              27777 levels.

                    Volume (In 000's)                     MCX SILVER (DEC 11)
                     5/9/2011     3/9/2011    % Chg.
                                                          MCX Silver continues to move in a sideways trend. The RSI is
Gold (grms)           71,494.0     14,821.0    382.38%    placed above its average, along with the Stochastic, which is a
Silver (kgs)            1,448.3       297.3    387.18%    positive sign. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over
                                                          bought zone and would lead to profit taking at higher levels.
Crude (bbl)           12,272.1        735.7   1568.08%
                                                          MCX Silver faces resistance at 64925, 66051 and 66625
Source – MCX
                                                          levels, while the supports are placed at 62129 and 60839
                                                          levels.
                    Turnover (In Lacs)
                     5/9/2011     3/9/2011    % Chg.      MCX CRUDE (SEP 11)
Gold                2,016,954.6   412,256.7   389.25%

Silver               958,202.3    196,378.9   387.94%
                                                          MCX Crude corrected on back of the MACD slipping below its
                                                          average. The – DI line has moved above the 30 level
Crude                478,658.5     29,249.0   1536.50%
                                                          indicating the sellers have an upper hand, however, the ADX
Source – MCX                                              line and +DI line continue to move sideways and are placed
                                                          around the 20 level. The Stochastic has moved in the oversold
                    Global Market ($)                     zone, which would lead to short covering at lower levels. It
                                                          faces resistance at 3967 and 4084 levels, while the supports
                     6/9/2011     5/9/2011    % Chg.
                                                          are placed at 3747 and 3663 levels.
Gold (oz)             1,907.80     1,873.70      1.82%

Silver (oz)              43.10        43.02      0.19%

Crude (bbl)              83.96        86.45     -2.88%
Source – www.cmegroup.com


                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
    Commodities                   Close        Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
 CRUDE SEP 11                        3850                 3887       3930       4011          4135           3806         3763          3639
 GOLD OCT 11                        28485                28273      28727      28970         29667         28030         27576         26879
 SILVER DEC 11                      66394                66124      66919      67445         68766         65598         64803         63482




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               th
              4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 060911

  • 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 6th September 2011 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (OCT 11) (5 Oct-11) (5 Sep-11) (19 Sep-11) Open 27818 66050 3967 MCX Gold moved higher on back of the Stochastic moving High 28515 66649 3967 above its average. However, it is placed in the over bought zone on the daily charts, which would lead to profit taking at Low 27818 65328 3843 higher levels. The RSI too has moved above its average, Close 28485 66394 3850 which is a positive sign and would lead to regular bouts of Prev. Close 27789 65898 3979 buying support. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28750 and % Change 2.50% 0.75% -3.24% 29000 levels, while the supports are placed at 28175 and Source – MCX 27777 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (DEC 11) 5/9/2011 3/9/2011 % Chg. MCX Silver continues to move in a sideways trend. The RSI is Gold (grms) 71,494.0 14,821.0 382.38% placed above its average, along with the Stochastic, which is a Silver (kgs) 1,448.3 297.3 387.18% positive sign. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone and would lead to profit taking at higher levels. Crude (bbl) 12,272.1 735.7 1568.08% MCX Silver faces resistance at 64925, 66051 and 66625 Source – MCX levels, while the supports are placed at 62129 and 60839 levels. Turnover (In Lacs) 5/9/2011 3/9/2011 % Chg. MCX CRUDE (SEP 11) Gold 2,016,954.6 412,256.7 389.25% Silver 958,202.3 196,378.9 387.94% MCX Crude corrected on back of the MACD slipping below its average. The – DI line has moved above the 30 level Crude 478,658.5 29,249.0 1536.50% indicating the sellers have an upper hand, however, the ADX Source – MCX line and +DI line continue to move sideways and are placed around the 20 level. The Stochastic has moved in the oversold Global Market ($) zone, which would lead to short covering at lower levels. It faces resistance at 3967 and 4084 levels, while the supports 6/9/2011 5/9/2011 % Chg. are placed at 3747 and 3663 levels. Gold (oz) 1,907.80 1,873.70 1.82% Silver (oz) 43.10 43.02 0.19% Crude (bbl) 83.96 86.45 -2.88% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE SEP 11 3850 3887 3930 4011 4135 3806 3763 3639 GOLD OCT 11 28485 28273 28727 28970 29667 28030 27576 26879 SILVER DEC 11 66394 66124 66919 67445 68766 65598 64803 63482 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com