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Daily Commodity Outlook

                                                                                                                      13th September 2011


                      Gold         Silver        Crude           MCX GOLD (OCT 11)
                    (5 Oct-11)    (5 Dec-11)    (19 Sep-11)

Open                     28120        64986           4049       The Stochastic is placed above its average but is nearing the
High                     28308        65358           4201       over bought zone. The RSI is placed below its average. Both
                                                                 these conditions would lead to selling pressure especially at
Low                      27721        63555           4007
                                                                 higher levels. The ADX, +DI line and –DI line are moving
Close                    27793        63786           4160
                                                                 sideways. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27964, 28284 and
Prev. Close              28152        65159           4067       28744 levels, while the supports are placed at 27777, 27184,
% Change                -1.28%        -2.11%         2.29%       and 26899 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                 MCX SILVER (DEC 11)
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                 Silver corrected on back of profit taking. The RSI has slipped
                    12/9/2011     10/9/2011      % Chg.          below its average, Moreso, the Stochastic has also slipped
Gold (grms)          102,379.0       6,279.0     1530.50%        below its average. Both these conditions would lead to selling
                                                                 pressure. MCX Silver faces resistance at 64925, 66051,
Silver (kgs)           2,600.3         120.1     2064.74%
                                                                 66625 and 66893 levels, while the supports are placed at
Crude (bbl)           31,263.8         517.2     5944.82%        62129 and 60839 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (SEP 11)
                    Turnover (In Lacs)
                    12/9/2011     10/9/2011      % Chg.          MCX Crude continues to move higher. The RSI is
                                                                 comfortably placed above its average. The Stochastic has
Gold                2,871,704.5    176,572.3     1526.36%
                                                                 slipped below its average and is placed near the over bought
Silver              1,681,261.4     78,109.5     2052.44%        zone, which would lead to profit taking at regular intervals. It
Crude               1,280,757.6     21,028.2     5990.68%        faces resistance at 4207, 4449 and 4631 levels, while the
Source – MCX
                                                                 supports are placed at 4153, 4008, 3955 and 3843 levels.


                    Global Market ($)
                    13/9/2011     12/9/2011      % Chg.

Gold (oz)             1,826.50      1,809.90         0.92%

Silver (oz)              40.93         40.16         1.92%

Crude (bbl)              88.97         88.19         0.88%
Source – www.cmegroup.com




                                                                              Intra-day Resistance                   Intra-day Support
   Commodities                     Close           Pivot Point           R1            R2          R3          S1           S2         S3
 CRUDE SEP 11                            4160                 4123         4238          4317       4511         4044          3929            3735
 GOLD OCT 11                            27793             27941           28160         28528      29115        27573         27354           26767
 SILVER DEC 11                          63786             64233           64911         66036      67839        63108         62430           60627




                                                                      Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               th
              4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                     www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 130911

  • 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 13th September 2011 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (OCT 11) (5 Oct-11) (5 Dec-11) (19 Sep-11) Open 28120 64986 4049 The Stochastic is placed above its average but is nearing the High 28308 65358 4201 over bought zone. The RSI is placed below its average. Both these conditions would lead to selling pressure especially at Low 27721 63555 4007 higher levels. The ADX, +DI line and –DI line are moving Close 27793 63786 4160 sideways. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27964, 28284 and Prev. Close 28152 65159 4067 28744 levels, while the supports are placed at 27777, 27184, % Change -1.28% -2.11% 2.29% and 26899 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (DEC 11) Volume (In 000's) Silver corrected on back of profit taking. The RSI has slipped 12/9/2011 10/9/2011 % Chg. below its average, Moreso, the Stochastic has also slipped Gold (grms) 102,379.0 6,279.0 1530.50% below its average. Both these conditions would lead to selling pressure. MCX Silver faces resistance at 64925, 66051, Silver (kgs) 2,600.3 120.1 2064.74% 66625 and 66893 levels, while the supports are placed at Crude (bbl) 31,263.8 517.2 5944.82% 62129 and 60839 levels. Source – MCX MCX CRUDE (SEP 11) Turnover (In Lacs) 12/9/2011 10/9/2011 % Chg. MCX Crude continues to move higher. The RSI is comfortably placed above its average. The Stochastic has Gold 2,871,704.5 176,572.3 1526.36% slipped below its average and is placed near the over bought Silver 1,681,261.4 78,109.5 2052.44% zone, which would lead to profit taking at regular intervals. It Crude 1,280,757.6 21,028.2 5990.68% faces resistance at 4207, 4449 and 4631 levels, while the Source – MCX supports are placed at 4153, 4008, 3955 and 3843 levels. Global Market ($) 13/9/2011 12/9/2011 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,826.50 1,809.90 0.92% Silver (oz) 40.93 40.16 1.92% Crude (bbl) 88.97 88.19 0.88% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE SEP 11 4160 4123 4238 4317 4511 4044 3929 3735 GOLD OCT 11 27793 27941 28160 28528 29115 27573 27354 26767 SILVER DEC 11 63786 64233 64911 66036 67839 63108 62430 60627 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com