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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                           8th November 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                            Markets breakout…
 BSE SENSEX                    18902.41             0.45
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5760.10             0.62      Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues the markets
 NIFTY NOV. FUT.                5793.25             0.46      witnessed a flat opening. However, the markets witnessed a
 India VIX                        14.51             -4.60     steady rise as the Nifty managed to move above the crucial
                                                              5747 level. Increased buying support was witnessed as
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        markets moved higher. The markets did not show any signs
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3        of weakness and managed to hold on to the gains. The
Support           5747          5665            5554          markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the
Resistance        5816          5885            5945          highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were JP
                                                              Associates, Bank of Baroda, PNB, IDFC, DLF, HDFC, BHEL,
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         SBI, HCL Tech and Ambuja Cements.
50 Day SMA                     5577.88
100 Day SMA                    5410.50                        Technically, the market breadth remained positive,
200 Day SMA                    5304.94        ◄Positive       amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the
                                                              markets. The prevailing technical positives continued to
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           help the markets move higher. The Stochastic, RSI and
Advances                            1672               718    KST all are still placed above their respective averages.
Declines                            1205               441    More so the KST is placed in the positive territory, which
Same                                 131                 51   augurs well for the markets and would lead to further
Total                               3008             1210     buying support. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-
A/D Ratio                        1.39 : 1          1.63 : 1
                                                              day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the
                                                              Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
               07/11/12        06/11/12        % Chg.         Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
BSE                    2436         2209            10.28
                                                              regular bouts of short covering and buying support.
                                                              However, a few technical negatives still continue to hold
NSE                    7014         5525            26.95
                                                              good and would weigh on the market sentiment at higher
Total                  9450         7734            22.19
                                                              levels The MACD is still placed below its average and is
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   also placed in the negative territory. The Stochastic is
               07/11/12        06/11/12        % Chg.
                                                              placed in the over bought zone. These negative technical
                                                              conditions would lead to profit taking at higher levels.
BSE                  2328.56     2269.15              2.62
                                                              The ADX line and –DI line are moving lower, while the +DI
NSE              11069.45        9455.11            17.07
                                                              line is moving higher, indicating a range bound trend.
NSE F&O         144360.95       88242.05            63.60     The market sentiment has turned positive as Nifty has
Total           157758.96       99966.31            57.81     managed to close above the 5747 resistance level. Now,
                                                              it is important that the Nifty continues to sustain above
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *
                                                              the 5747 level for follow up buying support to emerge,
               07/11/12        06/11/12        % Chg.
                                                              which would help the markets move further higher and
Index Fut.           363278      222796             63.05     closer to the 5900 level. In the meanwhile the markets
Stock Fut.           514214      416149             23.56     would take cues from the earnings season, global
Index Opt.        3860552       2210731             74.63     markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The support levels
Stock Opt.           277867      220443             26.05     for Nifty are placed at 5747, 5665, 5554 and 5447 The Nifty
Total             5015911       3070119             55.61     faces resistance at 5816, 5885, 5910 and 5945 levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                     Stop
                                                      Initiation       Stop          Loss                      Target
       Stock             Close           Action         Price         Loss *          (%)       Target          (%)                Remarks
Allahabad Bank            142.85        Buy Above           143.50        139.60       2.72         151.50          5.57
BHEL                      236.95        Buy Above           238.00        228.00       4.20         260.00          9.24
DLF                       211.50        Buy Above           213.00        205.00       3.76         230.00          7.98
                                                                                                                            TGT of 1065
                                                                                                                            Achieved given
                                                                                                                            Buy @ 1033 on
Financial Tech.       1066.60   Buy Above        1071.00    1029.00                    3.92     1163.00             8.59    05/11/12
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
       Indices             Close           Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                   S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                    18902                 18887       18989        19075          19262        18801             18700       18513
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5760                5750          5788       5816           5881            5722           5684        5618
NIFTY NOV. FUT.                  5793                5785          5827       5861           5937            5751           5709        5632




                                              Stocks To Watch Out Today
Allahabad Bank, Ambuja Cements, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Bank of Baroda, BHEL, Biocon, CBI, Century Textiles,
Dena bank, Dish TV, DLF, Dr. Reddys, FT, GAIL, GMR Infra, Grasim, Havells, HDFC, HDFC Bank, In Realestate, ICICI Bank,
IFCI, Indusind Bank, Infosys Tech; IVRCL, JP Associates, Jubilant Food, Kotak Bank, Pantaloon Retail, PNB, Powergrid,
Ranbaxy, Raymond, Rel. Comm; SBI, Sesa Goa, Union Bank, United Spirits, Unitech
Aban offshore, CESC, Coal India, India Cement

                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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    written consent.



                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 081112

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 8th November 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets breakout… BSE SENSEX 18902.41 0.45 S&P CNX NIFTY 5760.10 0.62 Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues the markets NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5793.25 0.46 witnessed a flat opening. However, the markets witnessed a India VIX 14.51 -4.60 steady rise as the Nifty managed to move above the crucial 5747 level. Increased buying support was witnessed as S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets moved higher. The markets did not show any signs Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 of weakness and managed to hold on to the gains. The Support 5747 5665 5554 markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the Resistance 5816 5885 5945 highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were JP Associates, Bank of Baroda, PNB, IDFC, DLF, HDFC, BHEL, Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY SBI, HCL Tech and Ambuja Cements. 50 Day SMA 5577.88 100 Day SMA 5410.50 Technically, the market breadth remained positive, 200 Day SMA 5304.94 ◄Positive amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. The prevailing technical positives continued to Market Breadth * BSE NSE help the markets move higher. The Stochastic, RSI and Advances 1672 718 KST all are still placed above their respective averages. Declines 1205 441 More so the KST is placed in the positive territory, which Same 131 51 augurs well for the markets and would lead to further Total 3008 1210 buying support. The Nifty remains placed above its 50- A/D Ratio 1.39 : 1 1.63 : 1 day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day Volume (Lacs Shares) * SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden 07/11/12 06/11/12 % Chg. Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to BSE 2436 2209 10.28 regular bouts of short covering and buying support. However, a few technical negatives still continue to hold NSE 7014 5525 26.95 good and would weigh on the market sentiment at higher Total 9450 7734 22.19 levels The MACD is still placed below its average and is Turnover ( ` Crores) * also placed in the negative territory. The Stochastic is 07/11/12 06/11/12 % Chg. placed in the over bought zone. These negative technical conditions would lead to profit taking at higher levels. BSE 2328.56 2269.15 2.62 The ADX line and –DI line are moving lower, while the +DI NSE 11069.45 9455.11 17.07 line is moving higher, indicating a range bound trend. NSE F&O 144360.95 88242.05 63.60 The market sentiment has turned positive as Nifty has Total 157758.96 99966.31 57.81 managed to close above the 5747 resistance level. Now, it is important that the Nifty continues to sustain above F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * the 5747 level for follow up buying support to emerge, 07/11/12 06/11/12 % Chg. which would help the markets move further higher and Index Fut. 363278 222796 63.05 closer to the 5900 level. In the meanwhile the markets Stock Fut. 514214 416149 23.56 would take cues from the earnings season, global Index Opt. 3860552 2210731 74.63 markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The support levels Stock Opt. 277867 220443 26.05 for Nifty are placed at 5747, 5665, 5554 and 5447 The Nifty Total 5015911 3070119 55.61 faces resistance at 5816, 5885, 5910 and 5945 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Allahabad Bank 142.85 Buy Above 143.50 139.60 2.72 151.50 5.57 BHEL 236.95 Buy Above 238.00 228.00 4.20 260.00 9.24 DLF 211.50 Buy Above 213.00 205.00 3.76 230.00 7.98 TGT of 1065 Achieved given Buy @ 1033 on Financial Tech. 1066.60 Buy Above 1071.00 1029.00 3.92 1163.00 8.59 05/11/12 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18902 18887 18989 19075 19262 18801 18700 18513 S&P CNX NIFTY 5760 5750 5788 5816 5881 5722 5684 5618 NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5793 5785 5827 5861 5937 5751 5709 5632 Stocks To Watch Out Today Allahabad Bank, Ambuja Cements, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Bank of Baroda, BHEL, Biocon, CBI, Century Textiles, Dena bank, Dish TV, DLF, Dr. Reddys, FT, GAIL, GMR Infra, Grasim, Havells, HDFC, HDFC Bank, In Realestate, ICICI Bank, IFCI, Indusind Bank, Infosys Tech; IVRCL, JP Associates, Jubilant Food, Kotak Bank, Pantaloon Retail, PNB, Powergrid, Ranbaxy, Raymond, Rel. Comm; SBI, Sesa Goa, Union Bank, United Spirits, Unitech Aban offshore, CESC, Coal India, India Cement Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com