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Genesis of Key Negotiation Points
for the Least Developed Countries
Ahsan Uddin Ahmed
ED, Centre for Global Change (CGC) and
Member, IPCC
Growing Scientific Understanding
“The poorest Country Parties and the poorest and
marginalized people including women will be
among the worst victims of climate change” – IPCC
TAR (2007)
The UNFCCC
Clear mandate: interests of the poor (i.e., LDCs),
Small Island States, and African Countries must be
taken care of ………
“… provide assistance ………..”
Initial Negotiations
Annex-1 (Culprit countries causing the damage)
Non-Annex-1 (All the developing countries with per
capita emission at 1990 levels below a
threshold set in 1992)
Different Blocks with different interests
Annex-1 High emitting advanced economies
G77+China Developing countries
LDC Highly vulnerable countries
SIDS Small Island Developing States
BASIC High emitting developing countries
(Brazil, South Africa, India, China)
Why negotiation becomes that necessary?
Tension
•Whose responsibility is it?
•Who should do what
•Historical Responsibility
What needs to be done?
•Reduce emissions
•Adaptation
Which block should concentrate on what?
Annex-1 – Mitigation
NA-1 – Adaptation
In 2001, at COP 7 in Marrakesh
Least Developed Countries(LDC) Work Programme
Parties established the LDC work programme to
develop national climate change mechanisms and
build capacity, including NAPAs: Through National
Adaptation Programmes of Action LDCs identify and
report their adaptation needs.
The LDC Expert Group (LEG) was also established to
provide advice on NAPAs.
Activities under the Least Developed Countries work
programme and LEG are on going
• In 2006, at COP 12 in Nairobi
Nairobi Work Programme(NWP)
The Subsidiary Body for Scientific and
Technological Advice (SBSTA) was mandated to
undertake a 5 year project to address impacts,
vulnerability and adaptation in relation to
climate change - the Nairobi work programme.
The NWP disseminates knowledge and
information on adaptation, and highlights the
work of partners as widely as possible through a
variety of knowledge products and publications.
BALI ACTION PLAN 2007
COP Decision
4+1 Agenda
Ad-hoc Working Group formed to advance Long-term
Climate Actions (AWG-LCA)
Shared Vision
Mitigation (early pledges)
Adaptation (assistance)
Technology development and Transfer and Capacity
Building
Financing
From Bali to Copenhagen
The missed opportunity
A note that opened a few doors
Towards a Safer Climate Future (1.5C)
Fast Track Financing (30 Bn$ up to 2012)
Green Climate Fund
Economy-wide emission reduction
Post-Copenhagen Negotiations
Cancun (2010)
Loss and Damage
Impacts beyond efforts on adaptation
Durban (2011)
All countries will share responsibility
Push the ‘reset’ button: not now, later
Cost of non-action?
Negotiation leading upto Paris (2015)
Debates
Population or Consumption?
Energy Security or Reckless Energy Use?
Current VS Future Generations
Profit first or Reality first?
Scientific debate on specific issues
THANK YOU VERY MUCH

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Genesis of Key Negotiation Points for the Least Developed Countries

  • 1. Genesis of Key Negotiation Points for the Least Developed Countries Ahsan Uddin Ahmed ED, Centre for Global Change (CGC) and Member, IPCC
  • 2. Growing Scientific Understanding “The poorest Country Parties and the poorest and marginalized people including women will be among the worst victims of climate change” – IPCC TAR (2007) The UNFCCC Clear mandate: interests of the poor (i.e., LDCs), Small Island States, and African Countries must be taken care of ……… “… provide assistance ………..”
  • 3. Initial Negotiations Annex-1 (Culprit countries causing the damage) Non-Annex-1 (All the developing countries with per capita emission at 1990 levels below a threshold set in 1992) Different Blocks with different interests Annex-1 High emitting advanced economies G77+China Developing countries LDC Highly vulnerable countries SIDS Small Island Developing States BASIC High emitting developing countries (Brazil, South Africa, India, China)
  • 4. Why negotiation becomes that necessary? Tension •Whose responsibility is it? •Who should do what •Historical Responsibility What needs to be done? •Reduce emissions •Adaptation Which block should concentrate on what? Annex-1 – Mitigation NA-1 – Adaptation
  • 5. In 2001, at COP 7 in Marrakesh Least Developed Countries(LDC) Work Programme Parties established the LDC work programme to develop national climate change mechanisms and build capacity, including NAPAs: Through National Adaptation Programmes of Action LDCs identify and report their adaptation needs. The LDC Expert Group (LEG) was also established to provide advice on NAPAs. Activities under the Least Developed Countries work programme and LEG are on going
  • 6. • In 2006, at COP 12 in Nairobi Nairobi Work Programme(NWP) The Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice (SBSTA) was mandated to undertake a 5 year project to address impacts, vulnerability and adaptation in relation to climate change - the Nairobi work programme. The NWP disseminates knowledge and information on adaptation, and highlights the work of partners as widely as possible through a variety of knowledge products and publications.
  • 7. BALI ACTION PLAN 2007 COP Decision 4+1 Agenda Ad-hoc Working Group formed to advance Long-term Climate Actions (AWG-LCA) Shared Vision Mitigation (early pledges) Adaptation (assistance) Technology development and Transfer and Capacity Building Financing
  • 8. From Bali to Copenhagen The missed opportunity A note that opened a few doors Towards a Safer Climate Future (1.5C) Fast Track Financing (30 Bn$ up to 2012) Green Climate Fund Economy-wide emission reduction
  • 9. Post-Copenhagen Negotiations Cancun (2010) Loss and Damage Impacts beyond efforts on adaptation Durban (2011) All countries will share responsibility Push the ‘reset’ button: not now, later Cost of non-action? Negotiation leading upto Paris (2015)
  • 10. Debates Population or Consumption? Energy Security or Reckless Energy Use? Current VS Future Generations Profit first or Reality first? Scientific debate on specific issues