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Jeffrey Hart

Business News & Politics

Y376 International Political Economy January 11, 2012

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Historical And Contemporary Overview Of Globalization Introduction Although “globalization” became the mot du jour to explain changes in the world economy in the late 1990s, today its meaning is still not very clear. People associate globalization with increased trade, financial volatility, business growth, lower commodity prices, cross-cultural conflict, multinational outsourcing, developing-world poverty (or progress), environmental degradation, speed-up in all aspects of life, and terrorism, among other things. Some of these associations make more immediate sense than others, but all of them point in one way or another to the integration of the world economy. This integration has been more pronounced in the last thirty years than in the previous thirty, but, as we will see, globalization is actually more the rule than the exception over the long-historical haul. Globalization might have little clear meaning because of its association with freer trade and the fact that Americans hold notably changeable and somewhat contradictory views about free trade. A recent poll conducted by Newsweek suggested that a clear majority of Americans disagreed with the chair of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers’ claim that outsourcing is good for the American economy. At the same time, respondents were roughly evenly divided about whether trade agreements like NAFTA, which enshrine the principles that enable such outsourcing, were good for the economy. Likewise, an Investor’s Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor Poll in 2002 found that a large majority of Americans believed that the foremost goal of trade policy should be to increase exports (rather than restrict imports); at the same time, a similarly large majority said that American trade policy should include restrictions on imports to protect American jobs. As far as the theory of international trade goes, these two views are diametrically opposed. That a majority of polled Americans could claim to hold them at the same time perhaps speaks to the work that needs to be done to clarify the implications of free international trade and globalization. So what does globalization mean? When did it begin? Part 1: Before The World Wars We can begin with a descriptive definition: globalization means economic integration. It means that nominally independent people, places, and institutions become economically important to each other. Japan’s banking sector depends upon the value of US Treasury Securities, which in turn depends upon the competitiveness of US manufacturers, which in turn depends upon the costs of intermediate goods imported from Mexico, and so on. It also means change outside of the strictly economic realm—in the political and cultural realms, for example. (Think: the European Union, animé on the Cartoon Network, anti-war protesters also collaborating to stop human rights abuses in China.) Moreover, globalization is not a new process; it has been fundamental to the modern world econom ...

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had a damaging effect on employment abroad. The foreign response involved retaliatory trade restrictions and preferential trading agreements among groups of countries. A meas- ure that raises domestic welfare is called a beggar-thy-neighbor policy when it benefits the home country at the cost of worsening economic conditions abroad. Uncertainty about government policies led to sharp reserve movements for countries with pegged exchange rates and sharp exchange rate movements for those with floating rates. Many countries imposed prohibitions on private financial account transactions to limit these effects of foreign exchange market developments. This was another way of addressing the trilemma. Trade barriers and deflation in the industrial economies of America and Europe led to widespread repudiations of international debts, particularly by Latin American countries, whose export markets were disappearing. In short, the world economy disintegrated into increasingly autarkic (that is, self-sufficient) national units in the early 1930s. In the face of the Great Depression, most countries resolved the choice between external and internal balance by curtailing their trading links with the rest of the world and eliminating, by government decree, the possibility of any significant external imbalance. By reducing the gains from trade, that approach imposed high costs on the world economy and contributed to the slow recovery from depression, which in many countries was still incomplete in 1939. All countries would have been better off in a world with freer international trade, provided international cooperation had helped each country preserve its external balance and financial stability without sacrificing internal policy goals. It was this realization that inspired the blueprint for the postwar international monetary system, the Bretton Woods agreement. Case Study The International Gold Standard and the Great Depression One of the most striking features of the decade-long Great Depression that started in 1929 was its global nature. Rather than being confined to the United States and its main trading partners, the downturn spread rapidly and forcefully to Europe, Latin America, and else- where. What explains the Great Depression’s nearly universal scope? Recent scholarship shows that the international gold standard played a central role in starting, deepening, and spreading the 20th century’s greatest economic crisis.8 In 1929, most market economies were once again on the gold standard. At the time, however, the United States, attempting to slow its overheated economy through monetary contraction, and France, having just ended an inflationary period and returned to gold, faced large financial inflows. Through the resulting balance of payments sur- pluses, both countries were absorbing the world’s monetary gold at a startling rate. (By 1932 the two countries alone held more than 70 percent of it!) Other countries on the gold standard had no cho ...

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