SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Group Members:   Arslan Husain Khanzada
                 Shumail Ather
                 S@jid Ali Aarain
Class:           BBA 8D
Subject:         World Trade Organization
Country:         Republic Of India
Date:            May 2, 2011
Table Of Contents
INTRODUCTION                                               3


INDIA AND THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION                     3


INDIA’S ECONOMIC & SOCIAL INDICATORS                       4


IMPORTS & EXPORT TREND OF INDIA                            5


ARTICLE SUMMARY RELATED TO INDIA AND WTO                   6


CONCLUSION OF THE ARTICLE:                                 7


TRADE INDICATORS AND INDICES                               8


TRADE INTENSITY INDEX:                                     8
INDIA & CHINA TRADE INDEX:                                 8
INDIA & PAKISTAN TRADE INDEX:                              8
INDIA & SRI LANKA TRADE INDEX:                             9
INDIA & BANGLADESH TRADE INDEX:                            9
RELATIVE GROWTH RATE OF MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS    9
RELATIVE GROWTH IN TRADE OF RAW COTTON:                    9
RELATIVE GROWTH IN TRADE OF IRON ORE:                     10
RELATIVE GROWTH IN TRADE OF RICE:                         10
RELATIVE GROWTH IN TRADE OF FISH AND FISH PREPARATIONS:   10
RELATIVE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE INDEX                      11
TRADE COMPLEMENTARY INDEX:                                11
INTRODUCTION
India, officially the Republic of India, is biggest country in South Asia. It is the seventh-largest country by
geographical area, the second-most populous country, and the most populous democracy in the world.
Bounded by the Indian Ocean on the south, the Arabian Sea on the west, and the Bay of Bengal on the east,
India has a coastline of 7,517 kilometers (4,700 mi). It is bordered by Pakistan to the west; People's Republic
of China, Nepal, and Bhutan to the north; and Bangladesh and Myanmar to the east. India is in the vicinity of
Sri Lanka, the Maldives, and Indonesia in the Indian Ocean.

Home to the Indus Valley Civilization and a region of historic trade routes and vast empires, the Indian
subcontinent was identified with its commercial and cultural wealth for much of its long history. Four major
religions, Hinduism, Buddhism, Jainism and Sikhism originated here, while Zoroastrianism, Judaism,
Christianity and Islam arrived in the first millennium CE and shaped the region's diverse culture. Gradually
annexed by the British East India Company from the early eighteenth century and colonized by the United
Kingdom from the mid-nineteenth century, India became an independent nation in 1947 after a struggle for
independence that was marked by widespread non-violent resistance.

India is a republic consisting of 28 states and seven union territories with a parliamentary system of
democracy. It has the world's twelfth largest economy at market exchange rates and the fourth largest in
purchasing power. Economic reforms since 1991 have transformed it into one of the fastest growing
economies however, it still suffers from high levels of poverty, illiteracy, disease, and malnutrition. A
pluralistic, multilingual, and multiethnic society, India is also home to a diversity of wildlife in a variety of
protected habitats.


INDIA AND THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
India played an important part in establishment of GATT and then in establishment of WTO. In 1947 it was it
became the member of GATT and started to play its part in GATT. And now it’s an active member of WTO,
the replacement of GATT, which came into effect on 1st January 1995 in Uruguay Round. India is in very favor
of governance of international trade which is based on international rules and regulations. India strongly
believes that trade lead to prosperity and the trade based on rules and regulations will lead to good
predictability.

It believes that trade will not only benefit its economy but it will also benefit all 134 members of WTO. All
countries will enjoy MFN status as India’s economy and receive and provide national treatment to all the
multinational and national organizations.




3|Page
INDIA’S ECONOMIC & SOCIAL INDICATORS
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                            1950-51   1960-61    1970-71   1980-81   1990-91   2000-01    2004-05   2005-06    2006-07    2007-08    2008-09
GDP at factor cost: At      9719      16512      42981     132520    515032    1925017    2877701   3282385    3779384    4320892    4933183
current prices Rs.Cr.
GDP at factor cost:         224786    329825     474131    641921    1083572   1864300    2388768   2616101    2871120    3129717    3339374
At constant prices Rs.
Cr.
Per capita Net              5708      7121       8091      8594      11535     16172      19331     20868      22580      24295      25494
National Product
At constant prices Rs.
Gross Domestic              8.4       14.0       15.1      19.9      26.0      24.3       32.1      35.5       36.9       39.1       na
Capital Formation
As percentage to GDP
at current market
prices
Gross domestic              8.6       11.2       14.2      18.5      22.8      23.7       31.7      34.2       35.7       37.7       na
savings as percentage
to GDP (at current
market prices)
Index of agricultural       46.2      68.8       85.9      102.1     148.4     165.7      177.3     191.9      200.7      207.1      188.7
production (Base:
triennium ending
1981-82)
Index of industrial         7.9       15.6       28.1      43.1      91.6      162.6      204.8     221.5      247.1      268.0      274.3
production
(Base:1993-94=100)
Wholesale Price Index       6.8       7.9        14.3      36.8      73.7      155.7      187.3     195.6      206.2      215.8      234.0
average(Base
1993-94=100)
Consumer Price Index        17.0      21.0       38.0      81.0      193.0     444.0      520.0     542.0      125        133        145
for Industrial Workers
Average (Base
1982=100)
OUTPUT
Foodgrains (million         50.8      82.0       108.4     129.6     176.4     196.8      198.4     208.6      217.3      230.8      229.9
tons)
Finished Steele             1.0       2.4        4.6       6.8       13.5      31.2       41.3      44.4       50.2       53.3       53.5
(million tones)
Cement (million tons)       2.7       8.0        14.3      18.6      48.8      99.2       125.3     140.5      154.7      167.6      181.4
Coal and lignite            32.3      55.2       76.3      119.0     225.5     332.6      413.0     437.1      462.1      491.1      na
(million tons)
Crude oil (million          0.3       0.5        6.8       10.5      32.2      32.4       34.0      32.2       34.0       34.1       33.5
tons)
Electricity generated       5         17         56        111       264       499        587       617        663        704        724
(utilities only) (Billion
KWH)
Plan outlay (Rs. Crore)     260       1117       2524      15023     58369     185737     193114    247178      244230     292336     375486
                                                                                                     (Source: Economic Survey 2009-2010)


SOCIAL INDICATORS
                            1950-51    1960-61   1970-71   1980-81   1990-91    2000-01   2004-05   2005-      2006-07    2007-     2008-
                                                                                                    06                    08        09
Population (Million)        359.0      434.0     541.0     679.0     839.0      1019      1089      1106       1122       1138      1154
Birth Rate (per 1000)       39.9       41.7      36.9      33.9      29.5       25.4      23.8      23.5       23.1       na        na
Death Rate (per 1000)       27.4       22.8      14.9      12.5      9.8        8.4       7.6       7.5        7.4        na        na

Life Expectancy at          32.1       41.3      45.6      50.4      58.7       62.5      na        na         63.5       na        na
Birth (in Years)
   (a) Male                 32.5       41.9      46.4      50.9      58.6       61.6      na        na         62.6       na        na
   (b) Female               31.7       40.6      44.7      50.0      59.0       63.3      na        na         64.2       na        na
Education: Literacy         18.3       28.3      34.4      43.6      52.2       64.8      na        67.6       na         na        na
Rate (%)
   (a) Male                 27.2       40.4      46.0      56.4      64.1       75.3      na        na         na         na        na
   (b) Female               8.9        15.4      22.0      29.8      39.3       53.7      na        na         na         na        na


4|Page
Health & Family        61.8       83.7            151.1        268.7            393.6         577.1        660.8     na           na             na   na
Welfare RMP
                 st
(Thousand) on 31
Dec
RMP per 10,000         1.7        1.9             2.8          3.9              4.7           5.6          6.0       na           na             na   na
population
Beds (All Types) Per   3.2        5.7             6.4          8.3              9.5           na           na        na           na             na   na
10,000
                                                                                                                     (Source: Economic Survey 2009-2010)



IMPORTS & EXPORT TREND OF INDIA
Exports and imports are in increasing trend. According to Ministry of Commerce & Industry India the exports
were around $303.696 Billion in 2009 and imports are around $185.295 Billion. There was around 21%
increase in exports and around 13.68% increase in imports as compare to year 2008.


                                            India Imoprts And Exports
                                                                                                                                           488.991
      500
      450                                                                                                                  414

      400
      350                                                                                                   312                  303.696
      300                                                                                 252                      251
      250
                                                                          196                       186                                185.295
      200                                                                                                                163
                                                         142                      149
                                                                                                          126
      150                             114                      112                      103
                       95                                            84
                                             78
      100      51 44          61 53                 64

       50
         0
               FY 2002        FY2003         FY2004            FY 2005            FY2006            FY 2007        FY 2008        FY 2009

                                                          Imports          Exports            Total

                                                                                                                     (Source: Economic Survey 2009-2010)




5|Page
ARTICLE SUMMARY RELATED TO INDIA AND WTO
 In the context of Pakistan-India bilateral relations and the bilateral dialogue, India
   seems to hold most of the cards; the only cards that Pakistan holds are trade and
                                        transit.

In this article we learned that although this is true that granting MFN is the obligation to all the members but
there is an escape clause as well. This clause permits the individual members to suspend application on
national security grounds. This thought has never been challenged or tested the dispute settlement system
of WTO/GATT. If and when any member feels offended or compelled WTO can utmost authorize the
aggrieved member to suspend or withdraw trade benefits of comparable value from the offending member!

As India is one of the largest importers, the import of consumer articles from India may be needed in
emergency situations. The delivery is apparent in either or the situation, price and freight advantage or
advantage of early delivery. If India is been granted MFN status, Pakistan would lose all control. Therefore
the result would be drastic increase in trade imbalances for India in future years. Whereas, if the Indian
imports’ doors could be open, it does not seem to be a nice idea for dealing with trade imbalances. India has
a diversified industrial base and has vast cost and price advantage.

India extends subsidies to its agriculture as well as industries in all sorts of subtle ways that we can neither
follow nor afford. And India will not hesitate to employ dumping, if it can get away with it, to destroy our
nascent industries and secure a dominant position in our market. Already some of our industries are reeling
under the chill wind of cheaper Chinese imports. Some sectors of our industry (such as light engineering
goods, automobiles, pharmaceuticals, ceramic tiles and sanitary-ware) may be particularly vulnerable in the
face of unrestricted and uncontrolled flood of cheaper imports from India.

If Pakistan continue to withhold the MFN status from INDIA through its lack of enthusiasm about SAARC and
SAFTA, Pakistan has strengthened India’s hand in their bilateral relations, and that they must not use these
levers (which evidently annoys India without hurting it) if they want forward movement on India’s part in
resolving the long-standing problem of Kashmir.

”I do not find much merit in the argument that India is pressing ahead with SAFTA and promoting yet another
 regional grouping, BIMSTEC (whatever it means),and Pakistan will lose out and stand isolated in the end if it
  does not (grant MFN status to India and) enthusiastically join in the frantic race for the completion of these
                                           regional relationships.”

                                                                                  (Khwaja Mohammad Hamid)

India has a predominant position in South Asia in all respects and there is no getting away from the reality
that it is bound to dominate, manipulate and exploit any South Asian regional arrangement to its own
advantage. The principal markets lie in the Middle East, Europe, North America and the Far East. That is
where most of the potential for the growth of our trade lies and where we should concentrate our energies
and efforts.

It should not be a surprise to anybody; however, that immediately behind the question of MFN status to
India lays the even bigger question, in economic as well as geo-political terms, of the passage of India’s trade
with Afghanistan and with the Central Asian countries through Pakistan. In the context of its regional and
global ambitions as an emerging great power, India desperately needs this access.

6|Page
Conclusion Of The Article:
We concluded that India should not be forced to seek a close economic and political relationship with Iran in
the interest of acquiring a passage route to these countries. If and when India succeeds in getting MFN
status from Pakistan, it will employ all its economic, political and diplomatic resources to the utmost to
obtain transit through Pakistan. People assume India’s objective is to devastate the road transport
infrastructure of Pakistan. In fact India wants to increase trade relations with Pakistan and further more with
Afghanistan and countries of Central Asia.




7|Page
TRADE INDICATORS AND INDICES
These indicators are used to identify and analyze a country’s character and pattern of trade with its partners.
With the help of figures and formulas these indicators can show the real position of a countries trade with
the entire world. These indicators can also be very useful in calculating the intra industry trade and it is also
helpful to analyze country’s growth and their interdependence on each other. Some indicators that we
selected to analyze the Indian industry and trade are as follows…



Trade Intensity Index:
This indicator indicates that how much two countries are trading with each other and what is the importance
of these countries in the world. For our analysis we selected China, as it’s a fastest growing economy and
would be next super power, Pakistan, because Pakistan and India are always considered as competitors to
each other, Sir Lanka, because India had a great stake in economy of India and Bangladesh, which is also a
neighbor county of India.

India & China Trade Index:
In 2009 the total exports of India to China were $ 9354 million and the total exports of India were $ 185295
million. The total imports of china were 1.01 trillion and total imports of India were $ 303696 million.
According to the formula given…

                                                      (         )

                                                     (          )




                               Where TIC is trade index between India and China

India & Pakistan Trade Index:
Total export of India to Pakistan = 1440, the total imports of Pakistan were $ 28922.4 million

                                                      (         )

                                                      (         )




                             Where TIP is trade index between India and Pakistan




8|Page
India & Sri Lanka Trade Index:
Total export of India to Sri Lanka = 2426, the total imports of Sri Lanka were $ 9600 million

                                                      (           )

                                                      (           )




                             Where TIS is trade index between India and Sri Lanka



India & Bangladesh Trade Index:


                                                      (               )

                                                      (               )




                           Where TIC is trade index between India and Bengladesh



Relative Growth Rate Of Merchandise Exports And Imports
This index is used to compare rates of growth of exports and imports with those of the world. This index
actually tells us that are there is a real growth or decrease in imports and exports of the country.

Relative Growth In Trade of Raw Cotton:
The traded volume of raw cotton in 2009 was $ 623 Million and in 2001 it was $ 49 Million. Now putting
these values in the formula…

                                                          (   )
                                                 [(       )       ]


                                                          (           )


                                                              %

                                 Where Grc is growth in trade of Raw Cotton




9|Page
Relative Growth In Trade of Iron Ore:
Total traded volume of iron ore in 2009 was $ 4724 Million and in 2001 it was $ 358 Million. Calculations…

                                                           (   )
                                               [(      )           ]


                                                       (           )




                                  Where Gio is growth in trade of Iron Ore

Relative Growth In Trade Of Rice:
Total traded volume of iron ore in 2009 was $ 2428 Million and in 2001 it was $ 644 Million. Calculations…

                                                          (    )
                                              [(      )            ]


                                                      (            )




                                     Where Gr is growth in trade of Rice

Relative Growth In Trade Of Fish And Fish Preparations:
The traded volume of fish and fish preparations in 2009 was $ 1536 Million and in 2001 it was $ 1394 Million.
Now putting these values in the formula…

                                                          (    )
                                              [(      )            ]


                                                      (            )




                              Where Gf is growth in fish and fish preparations




10 | P a g e
Relative Comparative Advantage Index
It measures the potential of exports in a country. It explain that if the country in using its trade potential in a
product of industry or not? The relevant measure for India is as follows…

We selected Indian textile industry for this analysis. The total export of textile industry of India is $ 22130
million and the total export of India is 163132. And the total world exports are around $ 15.78 trillion in 2008
and the share of textile was 345 billion. Now putting all these values in the given formula…

                                                         (         )

                                                         (        )




                 Where RCAit is Indian textile industry revealed comparative advantage index



Trade Complementary Index:
It measures the similarity of one country with the other country. The Pakistan exports of petroleum products
were $ 378.5 million and the imports of India of petroleum products were 79645. So the remaining
calculations are as follows…

                                                          (|               |)




It shows that India and Pakistan has very much similarity between their imports and exports. Both are
developing countries having major trade shear of agricultural goods. Both are not oil producing countries so
that is why they import huge amount of petroleum products and use them to run their economy.




11 | P a g e

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India And Wto

  • 1. Group Members: Arslan Husain Khanzada Shumail Ather S@jid Ali Aarain Class: BBA 8D Subject: World Trade Organization Country: Republic Of India Date: May 2, 2011
  • 2. Table Of Contents INTRODUCTION 3 INDIA AND THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION 3 INDIA’S ECONOMIC & SOCIAL INDICATORS 4 IMPORTS & EXPORT TREND OF INDIA 5 ARTICLE SUMMARY RELATED TO INDIA AND WTO 6 CONCLUSION OF THE ARTICLE: 7 TRADE INDICATORS AND INDICES 8 TRADE INTENSITY INDEX: 8 INDIA & CHINA TRADE INDEX: 8 INDIA & PAKISTAN TRADE INDEX: 8 INDIA & SRI LANKA TRADE INDEX: 9 INDIA & BANGLADESH TRADE INDEX: 9 RELATIVE GROWTH RATE OF MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS 9 RELATIVE GROWTH IN TRADE OF RAW COTTON: 9 RELATIVE GROWTH IN TRADE OF IRON ORE: 10 RELATIVE GROWTH IN TRADE OF RICE: 10 RELATIVE GROWTH IN TRADE OF FISH AND FISH PREPARATIONS: 10 RELATIVE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE INDEX 11 TRADE COMPLEMENTARY INDEX: 11
  • 3. INTRODUCTION India, officially the Republic of India, is biggest country in South Asia. It is the seventh-largest country by geographical area, the second-most populous country, and the most populous democracy in the world. Bounded by the Indian Ocean on the south, the Arabian Sea on the west, and the Bay of Bengal on the east, India has a coastline of 7,517 kilometers (4,700 mi). It is bordered by Pakistan to the west; People's Republic of China, Nepal, and Bhutan to the north; and Bangladesh and Myanmar to the east. India is in the vicinity of Sri Lanka, the Maldives, and Indonesia in the Indian Ocean. Home to the Indus Valley Civilization and a region of historic trade routes and vast empires, the Indian subcontinent was identified with its commercial and cultural wealth for much of its long history. Four major religions, Hinduism, Buddhism, Jainism and Sikhism originated here, while Zoroastrianism, Judaism, Christianity and Islam arrived in the first millennium CE and shaped the region's diverse culture. Gradually annexed by the British East India Company from the early eighteenth century and colonized by the United Kingdom from the mid-nineteenth century, India became an independent nation in 1947 after a struggle for independence that was marked by widespread non-violent resistance. India is a republic consisting of 28 states and seven union territories with a parliamentary system of democracy. It has the world's twelfth largest economy at market exchange rates and the fourth largest in purchasing power. Economic reforms since 1991 have transformed it into one of the fastest growing economies however, it still suffers from high levels of poverty, illiteracy, disease, and malnutrition. A pluralistic, multilingual, and multiethnic society, India is also home to a diversity of wildlife in a variety of protected habitats. INDIA AND THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION India played an important part in establishment of GATT and then in establishment of WTO. In 1947 it was it became the member of GATT and started to play its part in GATT. And now it’s an active member of WTO, the replacement of GATT, which came into effect on 1st January 1995 in Uruguay Round. India is in very favor of governance of international trade which is based on international rules and regulations. India strongly believes that trade lead to prosperity and the trade based on rules and regulations will lead to good predictability. It believes that trade will not only benefit its economy but it will also benefit all 134 members of WTO. All countries will enjoy MFN status as India’s economy and receive and provide national treatment to all the multinational and national organizations. 3|Page
  • 4. INDIA’S ECONOMIC & SOCIAL INDICATORS ECONOMIC INDICATORS 1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 GDP at factor cost: At 9719 16512 42981 132520 515032 1925017 2877701 3282385 3779384 4320892 4933183 current prices Rs.Cr. GDP at factor cost: 224786 329825 474131 641921 1083572 1864300 2388768 2616101 2871120 3129717 3339374 At constant prices Rs. Cr. Per capita Net 5708 7121 8091 8594 11535 16172 19331 20868 22580 24295 25494 National Product At constant prices Rs. Gross Domestic 8.4 14.0 15.1 19.9 26.0 24.3 32.1 35.5 36.9 39.1 na Capital Formation As percentage to GDP at current market prices Gross domestic 8.6 11.2 14.2 18.5 22.8 23.7 31.7 34.2 35.7 37.7 na savings as percentage to GDP (at current market prices) Index of agricultural 46.2 68.8 85.9 102.1 148.4 165.7 177.3 191.9 200.7 207.1 188.7 production (Base: triennium ending 1981-82) Index of industrial 7.9 15.6 28.1 43.1 91.6 162.6 204.8 221.5 247.1 268.0 274.3 production (Base:1993-94=100) Wholesale Price Index 6.8 7.9 14.3 36.8 73.7 155.7 187.3 195.6 206.2 215.8 234.0 average(Base 1993-94=100) Consumer Price Index 17.0 21.0 38.0 81.0 193.0 444.0 520.0 542.0 125 133 145 for Industrial Workers Average (Base 1982=100) OUTPUT Foodgrains (million 50.8 82.0 108.4 129.6 176.4 196.8 198.4 208.6 217.3 230.8 229.9 tons) Finished Steele 1.0 2.4 4.6 6.8 13.5 31.2 41.3 44.4 50.2 53.3 53.5 (million tones) Cement (million tons) 2.7 8.0 14.3 18.6 48.8 99.2 125.3 140.5 154.7 167.6 181.4 Coal and lignite 32.3 55.2 76.3 119.0 225.5 332.6 413.0 437.1 462.1 491.1 na (million tons) Crude oil (million 0.3 0.5 6.8 10.5 32.2 32.4 34.0 32.2 34.0 34.1 33.5 tons) Electricity generated 5 17 56 111 264 499 587 617 663 704 724 (utilities only) (Billion KWH) Plan outlay (Rs. Crore) 260 1117 2524 15023 58369 185737 193114 247178 244230 292336 375486 (Source: Economic Survey 2009-2010) SOCIAL INDICATORS 1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2004-05 2005- 2006-07 2007- 2008- 06 08 09 Population (Million) 359.0 434.0 541.0 679.0 839.0 1019 1089 1106 1122 1138 1154 Birth Rate (per 1000) 39.9 41.7 36.9 33.9 29.5 25.4 23.8 23.5 23.1 na na Death Rate (per 1000) 27.4 22.8 14.9 12.5 9.8 8.4 7.6 7.5 7.4 na na Life Expectancy at 32.1 41.3 45.6 50.4 58.7 62.5 na na 63.5 na na Birth (in Years) (a) Male 32.5 41.9 46.4 50.9 58.6 61.6 na na 62.6 na na (b) Female 31.7 40.6 44.7 50.0 59.0 63.3 na na 64.2 na na Education: Literacy 18.3 28.3 34.4 43.6 52.2 64.8 na 67.6 na na na Rate (%) (a) Male 27.2 40.4 46.0 56.4 64.1 75.3 na na na na na (b) Female 8.9 15.4 22.0 29.8 39.3 53.7 na na na na na 4|Page
  • 5. Health & Family 61.8 83.7 151.1 268.7 393.6 577.1 660.8 na na na na Welfare RMP st (Thousand) on 31 Dec RMP per 10,000 1.7 1.9 2.8 3.9 4.7 5.6 6.0 na na na na population Beds (All Types) Per 3.2 5.7 6.4 8.3 9.5 na na na na na na 10,000 (Source: Economic Survey 2009-2010) IMPORTS & EXPORT TREND OF INDIA Exports and imports are in increasing trend. According to Ministry of Commerce & Industry India the exports were around $303.696 Billion in 2009 and imports are around $185.295 Billion. There was around 21% increase in exports and around 13.68% increase in imports as compare to year 2008. India Imoprts And Exports 488.991 500 450 414 400 350 312 303.696 300 252 251 250 196 186 185.295 200 163 142 149 126 150 114 112 103 95 84 78 100 51 44 61 53 64 50 0 FY 2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY 2005 FY2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 Imports Exports Total (Source: Economic Survey 2009-2010) 5|Page
  • 6. ARTICLE SUMMARY RELATED TO INDIA AND WTO In the context of Pakistan-India bilateral relations and the bilateral dialogue, India seems to hold most of the cards; the only cards that Pakistan holds are trade and transit. In this article we learned that although this is true that granting MFN is the obligation to all the members but there is an escape clause as well. This clause permits the individual members to suspend application on national security grounds. This thought has never been challenged or tested the dispute settlement system of WTO/GATT. If and when any member feels offended or compelled WTO can utmost authorize the aggrieved member to suspend or withdraw trade benefits of comparable value from the offending member! As India is one of the largest importers, the import of consumer articles from India may be needed in emergency situations. The delivery is apparent in either or the situation, price and freight advantage or advantage of early delivery. If India is been granted MFN status, Pakistan would lose all control. Therefore the result would be drastic increase in trade imbalances for India in future years. Whereas, if the Indian imports’ doors could be open, it does not seem to be a nice idea for dealing with trade imbalances. India has a diversified industrial base and has vast cost and price advantage. India extends subsidies to its agriculture as well as industries in all sorts of subtle ways that we can neither follow nor afford. And India will not hesitate to employ dumping, if it can get away with it, to destroy our nascent industries and secure a dominant position in our market. Already some of our industries are reeling under the chill wind of cheaper Chinese imports. Some sectors of our industry (such as light engineering goods, automobiles, pharmaceuticals, ceramic tiles and sanitary-ware) may be particularly vulnerable in the face of unrestricted and uncontrolled flood of cheaper imports from India. If Pakistan continue to withhold the MFN status from INDIA through its lack of enthusiasm about SAARC and SAFTA, Pakistan has strengthened India’s hand in their bilateral relations, and that they must not use these levers (which evidently annoys India without hurting it) if they want forward movement on India’s part in resolving the long-standing problem of Kashmir. ”I do not find much merit in the argument that India is pressing ahead with SAFTA and promoting yet another regional grouping, BIMSTEC (whatever it means),and Pakistan will lose out and stand isolated in the end if it does not (grant MFN status to India and) enthusiastically join in the frantic race for the completion of these regional relationships.” (Khwaja Mohammad Hamid) India has a predominant position in South Asia in all respects and there is no getting away from the reality that it is bound to dominate, manipulate and exploit any South Asian regional arrangement to its own advantage. The principal markets lie in the Middle East, Europe, North America and the Far East. That is where most of the potential for the growth of our trade lies and where we should concentrate our energies and efforts. It should not be a surprise to anybody; however, that immediately behind the question of MFN status to India lays the even bigger question, in economic as well as geo-political terms, of the passage of India’s trade with Afghanistan and with the Central Asian countries through Pakistan. In the context of its regional and global ambitions as an emerging great power, India desperately needs this access. 6|Page
  • 7. Conclusion Of The Article: We concluded that India should not be forced to seek a close economic and political relationship with Iran in the interest of acquiring a passage route to these countries. If and when India succeeds in getting MFN status from Pakistan, it will employ all its economic, political and diplomatic resources to the utmost to obtain transit through Pakistan. People assume India’s objective is to devastate the road transport infrastructure of Pakistan. In fact India wants to increase trade relations with Pakistan and further more with Afghanistan and countries of Central Asia. 7|Page
  • 8. TRADE INDICATORS AND INDICES These indicators are used to identify and analyze a country’s character and pattern of trade with its partners. With the help of figures and formulas these indicators can show the real position of a countries trade with the entire world. These indicators can also be very useful in calculating the intra industry trade and it is also helpful to analyze country’s growth and their interdependence on each other. Some indicators that we selected to analyze the Indian industry and trade are as follows… Trade Intensity Index: This indicator indicates that how much two countries are trading with each other and what is the importance of these countries in the world. For our analysis we selected China, as it’s a fastest growing economy and would be next super power, Pakistan, because Pakistan and India are always considered as competitors to each other, Sir Lanka, because India had a great stake in economy of India and Bangladesh, which is also a neighbor county of India. India & China Trade Index: In 2009 the total exports of India to China were $ 9354 million and the total exports of India were $ 185295 million. The total imports of china were 1.01 trillion and total imports of India were $ 303696 million. According to the formula given… ( ) ( ) Where TIC is trade index between India and China India & Pakistan Trade Index: Total export of India to Pakistan = 1440, the total imports of Pakistan were $ 28922.4 million ( ) ( ) Where TIP is trade index between India and Pakistan 8|Page
  • 9. India & Sri Lanka Trade Index: Total export of India to Sri Lanka = 2426, the total imports of Sri Lanka were $ 9600 million ( ) ( ) Where TIS is trade index between India and Sri Lanka India & Bangladesh Trade Index: ( ) ( ) Where TIC is trade index between India and Bengladesh Relative Growth Rate Of Merchandise Exports And Imports This index is used to compare rates of growth of exports and imports with those of the world. This index actually tells us that are there is a real growth or decrease in imports and exports of the country. Relative Growth In Trade of Raw Cotton: The traded volume of raw cotton in 2009 was $ 623 Million and in 2001 it was $ 49 Million. Now putting these values in the formula… ( ) [( ) ] ( ) % Where Grc is growth in trade of Raw Cotton 9|Page
  • 10. Relative Growth In Trade of Iron Ore: Total traded volume of iron ore in 2009 was $ 4724 Million and in 2001 it was $ 358 Million. Calculations… ( ) [( ) ] ( ) Where Gio is growth in trade of Iron Ore Relative Growth In Trade Of Rice: Total traded volume of iron ore in 2009 was $ 2428 Million and in 2001 it was $ 644 Million. Calculations… ( ) [( ) ] ( ) Where Gr is growth in trade of Rice Relative Growth In Trade Of Fish And Fish Preparations: The traded volume of fish and fish preparations in 2009 was $ 1536 Million and in 2001 it was $ 1394 Million. Now putting these values in the formula… ( ) [( ) ] ( ) Where Gf is growth in fish and fish preparations 10 | P a g e
  • 11. Relative Comparative Advantage Index It measures the potential of exports in a country. It explain that if the country in using its trade potential in a product of industry or not? The relevant measure for India is as follows… We selected Indian textile industry for this analysis. The total export of textile industry of India is $ 22130 million and the total export of India is 163132. And the total world exports are around $ 15.78 trillion in 2008 and the share of textile was 345 billion. Now putting all these values in the given formula… ( ) ( ) Where RCAit is Indian textile industry revealed comparative advantage index Trade Complementary Index: It measures the similarity of one country with the other country. The Pakistan exports of petroleum products were $ 378.5 million and the imports of India of petroleum products were 79645. So the remaining calculations are as follows… (| |) It shows that India and Pakistan has very much similarity between their imports and exports. Both are developing countries having major trade shear of agricultural goods. Both are not oil producing countries so that is why they import huge amount of petroleum products and use them to run their economy. 11 | P a g e