Convegno sul futuro delle tecnologie organizzato dal Polo Tecnologico di Pordenone il 30 Giugno 2015

1. ANDARE INCONTRO AL LAVORO DI DOMANI
Roberto Siagri
Pordenone, 19 giugno 2015
Disrupting Ideas for
Friuli Venezia Giulia

2. Quale è il posto in classifica dell’Italia
1- 11 °
2- 17 °
3- 23 °
4- 32 °

3. Quale è il posto in classifica dell’Italia
1- 11 °
2- 19 °
3- 21 °
4- 27 °

4. Quale è il posto in classifica dell’Italia
1- 12 °
2- 28 °
3- 31 °
4- 47 °

5. National Power Index

6. 6
…we won't experience 100 years
of progress in the 21st century,
it will be more like
20,000 years of progress
(at today's rate)
Law of accelerating returns
Ray Kurzweil
The singularity is near

7. Late majority: Laggards:
Market share
Time
Adoption Rate
Innovators: Early majority:Early adopters:
Big Bang Market Adoption
Trial users Everyone else
L.Downes P. Nunes Big Bang Disruption

8. 8
The Computer for the 21st Century
"The Computer for the 21st Century", Scientific American,
Vol. 265 No.9, pp. 66-75, 1991
Mark Weiser
“The most profound
technologies are those that
disappear. They weave
themselves into the fabric of
everyday life until they are
indistinguishable from it “

9. 9
Trends in Technological Acceleration
IDEAS are the new “ultimate” raw material
 Moore's Law Miniaturization ‘65
 Transistors increase 2 times over 18 months
 Metcalfe's Law Interconnection ‘93
 Value of a network increases with the square of the
number of connections
 Gilder's Law Quantization ’00
 Bandwidth increases 3 times over 12 months

10. I-IoT The Future of Automated Manufacturing
the fusion of
IT & OT
business processes technical processes
10
The wave is arriving, it's
time to decide
to ride or to be swept
is leading the way to a new industrial age

11. I-IoT or Industry 4.0
is not about
Products & Technologies
is about
Transition

12. Without a plan for change
you can be located in an unconfortable zone
Change is Hard:
70% of change efforts fail

13. Softwarization
Companies in every industry need to assume that a
software revolution is coming…
Marc Andreessen

14. The dawn of a New Smart World
Transforming Bits of Data at the Edge of the Network
into Actionable Information & Knowledge

15. Industries will see
a type of
not
experienced
in the last
two decades

16. Transition= Disruption = New value
creation
• Improve operational efficiency
• Emergence of an outcome
economy
• New connected ecosystems
• Collaboration between humans
and machines
0 1 0 11 00
1 0 1 0 11 1 0 11
1 1 1 000 10 11 1
0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1
1 0 1 1 1 0 11 1 0 11
1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0
1 0 1 0 11 1
0000 1
1 0 1 1 0
11
0 1 0 11 00 1 0
11 0

17. Adoption and impact path of the Industrial Internet
17
1. Operational
Efficiency
2. New Products &
Services
3. Outcome Economy
4. Autonomous,
Pull Economy
Near-term
Long-term
World Economic Forum:
Industrial Internet of Things:
Unleashing the Potential of
Connected Products and
Services Jan.2015

18. The Internet of Things
is Everywhere …

19. Inside Opportunities
• Predictive maintenance
• Remote Monitoring & Assets
Performance Management
• Operational efficiency and
productivity gains

20. Outside Opportunities
• new business models
• products-as-a-service,
• pay-per-use
• monetization of data

21. Re-Thinking
• Products
• Value Add
• Business Model
• Business Processes

22. More data, More value, More services

23. Why it is important for nations
Progress, future, strategy
TO
OUTCOMPUTE
IS
TO
OUTCOMPETE
97% of companies* that had adopted supercomputing said they could no longer
compete or survive without it.
*worldwide IDC study.

24. Why it is important for nations
• Worldwide political leaders increasingly recognize this trend
• USA, China, Japan, South Korea, India, Russia, UK, France, Germany. Huge
investments for developing national supercomputing technologies.
Progress, future, strategy
Distribution of Top500 for nation

25. 25
BIT

26. 26
ATOMI
http://fab.cba.mit.edu/about

27. 27
Genome
Bacterial image Genetic map
LIFE 2.0 : 21st May 2010
GENI

28. 28
A 99% biodegradable computer chip

29. HPC in life science
« 25 Percent of Life Scientists Will Require HPC in 2015 (HPC Wire) »
«High performance computing‐accelerate life sciences discoveries (Bio IT World)»
« Supercomputing Facilitates Breakthrough Cancer Treatment (HPC Wire) »
« The Future of Medical Care Are Tech Companies (Cheatsheet.com) »
News highlight changes and progresses in life sciences

30. What do they have in common?
Physics and
Astrophisics
Better quality of life Safer and more
efficient transportation
High speed trading
Weather
forecasting
New oilfields

31. Why HPC is important
HPC: the engine of progress
• Life Science progress
• Complex problems resolution
• Entertainment
Sovereignty
• Intelligence activities
• Combat environment simulation
• Cyber security
Competitiveness Societal improvement
• Innovation
• Time to Market
• Cost Reduction

32. Why it is important for nations
Progress, future, strategy
TO
OUTCOMPUTE
IS
TO
OUTCOMPETE
97% of companies* that had adopted supercomputing said they could no longer
compete or survive without it.
*worldwide IDC study.

33. Why it is important for nations
• Worldwide political leaders increasingly recognize this trend
• USA, China, Japan, South Korea, India, Russia, UK, France, Germany. Huge
investments for developing national supercomputing technologies.
Progress, future, strategy
Distribution of Top500 for nation

34. 34
Cosmic Evolution
Geosphere
(Chemical Substrate)
Biosphere
(Biologic-Genetic Substrate)
Noosphere
(Memetic-Technologic Substrate)

35. 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
Calculationspersecond
The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999), by Ray Kurzweil
One insect brain
One mouse brain
1040
1035
1030
1025
1020
1015
1010
105
10
10-5
$1,000 of computing buys…
One human brain
All human brains
Exponential Growth of Computing 1900-2100

36. CHALLENGE
1000 PF in 20 MW
1000 PF (1000 MW)
3,000,000 people city
10 PetaOp/s
With 20 W
Challenges in HPC
The energy challenge
1 PF (1 MW)
3,000 people
town

37. 37
“The ones who survive are not the biggest,
but those who adapt better to changes”
Charles Darwin, Evolution Theory (1859)
faster you compute faster you adapt
to changes

38. www.eurotech.com
Thank You!