This document discusses emerging technologies and the creative economy. It identifies several emerging technologies like the internet of things, 3D printing, synthetic biology and nanotechnology that governments should invest in to support new creative economic activities. It also mentions increasing intelligence and retrofitting buildings for energy production. The document then discusses concepts like the post-information age and humans becoming cyborgs. It provides an overview of several emerging technologies and their potential impacts. It emphasizes investing in a diverse set of new creative economic activities to support future economic growth rather than specific industries like panda bears.
SOAR Connect your Economy Practical Seminar: GallardoKevin Loux
Dr. Roberto Gallardo's presentation regarding the digital age and broadband as means of economic development at the SOAR Connect your Economy Practical Seminar in Pikeville on December 15th 2016
State of the Future 2015-16: Report from the Millennium ProjectDavid Wood
Slides used by David Wood, Chair of London Futurists, to preview the London Futurists event, http://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/224799635/, held at Bloomberg HQ London on 13th November 2015. These slides are derived from a set created by Jerome C. Glenn, The Millennium Project. Topics include the State of the Future Index 1995-2025, 15 Global Challenges, the inevitability of New Economics, Technological Unemployment, and Basic Income Guarantee.
Korea World Strategy Forum 2016
EDaily the Korean Media Company brought me back to Seoul to address the World Strategy Forum on the Work/Tech 2050 study and scenarios. Nick Bostrom of Oxford (a leading philosopher of AI) was also a keynote speaker along with other Korean AI-related experts. Future impacts of various forms of AI continue as a hot topic in South Korea, due to an AI program’s defeat of a GO Champion. This is my third trip to Seoul on this topic in two months.
SOAR Connect your Economy Practical Seminar: GallardoKevin Loux
Dr. Roberto Gallardo's presentation regarding the digital age and broadband as means of economic development at the SOAR Connect your Economy Practical Seminar in Pikeville on December 15th 2016
State of the Future 2015-16: Report from the Millennium ProjectDavid Wood
Slides used by David Wood, Chair of London Futurists, to preview the London Futurists event, http://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/224799635/, held at Bloomberg HQ London on 13th November 2015. These slides are derived from a set created by Jerome C. Glenn, The Millennium Project. Topics include the State of the Future Index 1995-2025, 15 Global Challenges, the inevitability of New Economics, Technological Unemployment, and Basic Income Guarantee.
Korea World Strategy Forum 2016
EDaily the Korean Media Company brought me back to Seoul to address the World Strategy Forum on the Work/Tech 2050 study and scenarios. Nick Bostrom of Oxford (a leading philosopher of AI) was also a keynote speaker along with other Korean AI-related experts. Future impacts of various forms of AI continue as a hot topic in South Korea, due to an AI program’s defeat of a GO Champion. This is my third trip to Seoul on this topic in two months.
Spain work tech 2050 scenarios and national workshopsJerome Glenn
Intro to The Millennium Project, inevitability of new economics, global study on future work/technology 2050, three global work/tech 2050 scenarios, and workshops to explore national long-range strategies to address issue raised in the scenarios.
Presentation by David Wood of London Futurists at Transvision 2014, Paris, 20th Nov: Accelerating technology and increasing inequality. With Appendix slide covering Q&A at the event.
Slides presented by David Wood, Executive Director of Transpolitica, at the London Futurists event "Anticipating Tomorrow's Politics" on Saturday 21st March 2015. See http://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/220967752/ for more about this meeting, and http://transpolitica.org/ for more about Transpolitica.
In just under 50 years, computers have gone from frightening behemoths to countercultural totems to everyday consumer fashion accessories. The history of new media helps us understand why it is so ideologically powerful today.
These lecture slides are from my Masters unit, Future Media Platforms, taught at Bournemouth University.
Learning Objective: Discuss the upcoming trends of information technology
This seminar looks at the forefront of technology trends in the community for technology leaders. As a technology professional, staying on top of trends is crucial. Below is a list of technology topics that this seminar will cover.
1. Emergence of the Mobile Cloud
Mobile distributed computing paradigm will lead to explosion of new services.
2. From Internet of Things to Web of Things
Need connectivity, internetworking to link physical and digital.
3. From Big Data to Extreme Data
Simpler analytics tools needed to leverage the data deluge.
4. The Revolution Will Be 3D
New tools; techniques bring 3D printing power to masses.
5. Supporting New Learning Styles
Online courses demand seamless, ubiquitous approach.
6. Next-generation mobile networks
Mobile infrastructure must catch up with user needs.
7. Balancing Identity and Privacy
Growing risks and concerns about social networks.
8. Smart and Connected Healthcare
Intelligent systems, assistive devices will improve health.
9. E-Government
Interoperability a big challenge to delivering information.
10. Scientific Cloud Computing
Key to solving grand challenges, pursuing breakthroughs.
At the end of this seminar, participants will be able to:
a. Explore the multiple uses of the internet.
b. Identify ways that technology can make our society more productive.
c. Examine what we give up when we advance technologically.
Economic Impact of Digital Revolution_JM_073015JIM MUKERJEE
Paper for Oxford University (Merton College) course on "Did the Victors lose the Peace?", Summer 2015.
(International Relations & Economics, 1945-2015)
Global Future Changes and Millennium ProjectJerome Glenn
Overview of global challenges, strategies, new technologies to improve the prospects for humanity from the Millennium Project and its annual State of the Future report
Spain work tech 2050 scenarios and national workshopsJerome Glenn
Intro to The Millennium Project, inevitability of new economics, global study on future work/technology 2050, three global work/tech 2050 scenarios, and workshops to explore national long-range strategies to address issue raised in the scenarios.
Presentation by David Wood of London Futurists at Transvision 2014, Paris, 20th Nov: Accelerating technology and increasing inequality. With Appendix slide covering Q&A at the event.
Slides presented by David Wood, Executive Director of Transpolitica, at the London Futurists event "Anticipating Tomorrow's Politics" on Saturday 21st March 2015. See http://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/220967752/ for more about this meeting, and http://transpolitica.org/ for more about Transpolitica.
In just under 50 years, computers have gone from frightening behemoths to countercultural totems to everyday consumer fashion accessories. The history of new media helps us understand why it is so ideologically powerful today.
These lecture slides are from my Masters unit, Future Media Platforms, taught at Bournemouth University.
Learning Objective: Discuss the upcoming trends of information technology
This seminar looks at the forefront of technology trends in the community for technology leaders. As a technology professional, staying on top of trends is crucial. Below is a list of technology topics that this seminar will cover.
1. Emergence of the Mobile Cloud
Mobile distributed computing paradigm will lead to explosion of new services.
2. From Internet of Things to Web of Things
Need connectivity, internetworking to link physical and digital.
3. From Big Data to Extreme Data
Simpler analytics tools needed to leverage the data deluge.
4. The Revolution Will Be 3D
New tools; techniques bring 3D printing power to masses.
5. Supporting New Learning Styles
Online courses demand seamless, ubiquitous approach.
6. Next-generation mobile networks
Mobile infrastructure must catch up with user needs.
7. Balancing Identity and Privacy
Growing risks and concerns about social networks.
8. Smart and Connected Healthcare
Intelligent systems, assistive devices will improve health.
9. E-Government
Interoperability a big challenge to delivering information.
10. Scientific Cloud Computing
Key to solving grand challenges, pursuing breakthroughs.
At the end of this seminar, participants will be able to:
a. Explore the multiple uses of the internet.
b. Identify ways that technology can make our society more productive.
c. Examine what we give up when we advance technologically.
Economic Impact of Digital Revolution_JM_073015JIM MUKERJEE
Paper for Oxford University (Merton College) course on "Did the Victors lose the Peace?", Summer 2015.
(International Relations & Economics, 1945-2015)
Global Future Changes and Millennium ProjectJerome Glenn
Overview of global challenges, strategies, new technologies to improve the prospects for humanity from the Millennium Project and its annual State of the Future report
These are the slides from a presentation I gave at the Yorkshire Grantmakers Forum 25th Anniversary, looking at what the next 25 years might hold in terms of technological, social and political change.
Moogfest 2014 keynote Conscious-Technology, The Millennium Project, and an In...Jerome Glenn
We are merging with technology. We will become “Conscious-Technology” beings.
Google Glass, Internet of Things, heart pacemakers, the works! Voice recognition and voice synthesis with artificial intelligence imbedded through the built environment will make inanimate objects seem conscious. We will import advance tech in and on our bodies and export our consciousness to technology. These imports/export will seem to merge into a continuum of consciousness and technology. The quality of this merger will depend on how well we can blend our mystic-self with our technocratic self, as individuals and as a species. By mystic I simply mean one whose primary focus is improving life by enhancing consciousness; by technocrat I simply mean one whose primary focus for improving life is with new technologies and policies. We are all part mystic and part technocrat, but we tend to be more of one than the other. Seeking harmony, balance, synergy between the two seems right to me. Like the musician, instrument, and music merge in a great performance.
Merging the attitudes of the mystic toward life with the technocratic’s knowledge of life makes life work and be worthwhile.
Arts, media, and music technologies can be designed and used from a mystic attitude. Experiencing performances of such technologies should enhance our consciousness. From such enhanced consciousness new technologies can be conceived. And so on to become a more aesthetic future conscious-technology civilization.
The explosive, accelerating growth of knowledge in a rapidly changing and increasingly interdependent world gives us so much to know about so many things that it seems impossible to keep up. At the same time, we are flooded with so much trivial news that serious attention to serious issues gets little interest, and too much time is wasted going through useless information.
World Economic Forum Tipping Points ReportSergey Nazarov
Describes how 10% of global GDP will be on the blockchain and the value of the monumental shift started by Bitcoin.
Features SmartContract.com as The Shift in Action" for blockchain technology.
Future Tech: How should enterprise avoid the 'success trap' of the next big t...Livingstone Advisory
The rate of business and societal change fuelled by innovative, emerging and disruptive information technologies is well known, with impacts being felt in almost every facet of life. The forces driving the evolution and adoption of such technologies are complex, diverse and not always well understood. How can organisations predict the consequences of future tech? How should they fortify against the chaos of change while taking advantage of innovation?
This public lecture provides a concise perspective on the implications of emerging technologies and offers practical insights on how many enterprises and individuals survive, and also thrive, in a world of rapid technology-induced change.
Smart Data for you and me: Personalized and Actionable Physical Cyber Social ...Amit Sheth
Featured Keynote at Worldcomp'14, July 2014: http://www.world-academy-of-science.org/worldcomp14/ws/keynotes/keynote_sheth
Video of the talk at: http://youtu.be/2991W7OBLqU
Big Data has captured a lot of interest in industry, with the emphasis on the challenges of the four Vs of Big Data: Volume, Variety, Velocity, and Veracity, and their applications to drive value for businesses. Recently, there is rapid growth in situations where a big data challenge relates to making individually relevant decisions. A key example is human health, fitness, and well-being. Consider for instance, understanding the reasons for and avoiding an asthma attack based on Big Data in the form of personal health signals (e.g., physiological data measured by devices/sensors or Internet of Things around humans, on the humans, and inside/within the humans), public health signals (information coming from the healthcare system such as hospital admissions), and population health signals (such as Tweets by people related to asthma occurrences and allergens, Web services providing pollen and smog information, etc.). However, no individual has the ability to process all these data without the help of appropriate technology, and each human has different set of relevant data!
In this talk, I will forward the concept of Smart Data that is realized by extracting value from Big Data, to benefit not just large companies but each individual. If I am an asthma patient, for all the data relevant to me with the four V-challenges, what I care about is simply, “How is my current health, and what is the risk of having an asthma attack in my personal situation, especially if that risk has changed?” As I will show, Smart Data that gives such personalized and actionable information will need to utilize metadata, use domain specific knowledge, employ semantics and intelligent processing, and go beyond traditional reliance on ML and NLP.
For harnessing volume, I will discuss the concept of Semantic Perception, that is, how to convert massive amounts of data into information, meaning, and insight useful for human decision-making. For dealing with Variety, I will discuss experience in using agreement represented in the form of ontologies, domain models, or vocabularies, to support semantic interoperability and integration. For Velocity, I will discuss somewhat more recent work on Continuous Semantics, which seeks to use dynamically created models of new objects, concepts, and relationships, using them to better understand new cues in the data that capture rapidly evolving events and situations.
Smart Data applications in development at Kno.e.sis come from the domains of personalized health, energy, disaster response, and smart city. I will present examples from a couple of these.
The Future Is Faster Than You Think Book SummaryPrasad Kaushik
This book is about formerly independent exponentially accelerating technologies beginning to converge with other independent waves of exponentially accelerating technologies. Its greatest value is in its exploration of the impact of convergence across multiple industries.
Evaluation of technology, trade, and inclusive development: Chinese experiencesAkhilesh Chandra Prabhakar
The present study begins by surveying, broadly supports the assertion that technology, trade, sustainability and
development-led globalization is the path in the Chinese context not adequately paid to attention except with very few
original or significant contributions. This research examines the existing pattern in the areas of trade, technology,
investment with a view to locate in the development context in the era of globalization. This study also investigates
theories of trade, technology movement under capitalist paradigm along with the empirical one. The survey broadly
supports the frequent, through usually undocumented, assertion that China’s socialist market paradigm was not
different from the capitalist mode of production as tended to neglect and to which they had made few if any original or
significant contributions. Alongside, this study used secondary data and analyzed, where the results confirmed that
foreign direct investment (FDI), trade and economic growth indicated the presence of long-run sustainable equilibrium
relationship between them but created income inequality gap widely among people. It is, thus, important for
policymakers to remove obstacles and improve the respective absorptive capacity in order to reap maximized positive
inclusive development with equality basis.
The Slide Share categories a annoyingly stupid. This a an overview of the global future situation with implications for Latin America for the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean.
Seizing opportunities with AI in the cognitive economybaghdad
Citizens increasingly expect that they own their
own data.2
They also expect heightened service
standards and stewardship from Government.
Yes, most discussions around AI center around
the “potentially devastating negative use
cases and unintended consequences” but
leaders recognize that technology-inspired,
society-scale innovation now fueled by data
is (again) changing life as we know it.
Leaders also see similar patterns from the early
internet days and not only want to transform
the business of government, but to also enable
citizens to navigate the transition well and position
to seize the exponential opportunities of the
new era. All are now asking critical questions
regarding data and its nascent foundations:
• Who owns the ‘data’ in big data?
• Where does big data stop and privacy start?
Similar to Energing Technology and the Creative Economy (20)
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From Daily Decisions to Bottom Line: Connecting Product Work to Revenue by VP...
Energing Technology and the Creative Economy
1. Emerging Technologies and
Creative Economy
Ministry of Science, ICT, and Future Planning
June 20, 2013
Jerome C. Glenn
The Millennium Project
2. Wise to invest in a diverse set of new creative
economic activities (not Panda Bear)
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Internet of things
Increasing intelligence
3-D Printing
Synthetic Biology
Nanotechnology
Retrofitting buildings for energy production
Continue robotic manufacturing
One-Person Businesses (massive training programs)
3. Next Mega Trend:
Conscious-Technology
When the distinction between these two trends
becomes blurred, we will have reached the
Post-Information Age
HUMANS BECOMING
CYBORGS
2030
2015
2000
1985
BUILT ENVIRONMENT
BECOMING INTELLIGENT
4. Simplification/Generalization of History and an
Alternative Future
Age / Element
Product
Power
Wealth
Place
War
Time
Agricultural Extraction
Food/Res
Religion
Land
Earth/Res
Location
Cyclical
Industrial
Machine
Nation-State
Capital
Factory
Resources
Linear
Information
Info/serv
Corporation
Access
Office
Perception
Flexible
Conscious-Technology
Linkage
Individual
Being
Motion
Identity
Invented
23. Creative Industries…. for what?
•
•
•
•
For arts?
For media?
For entertainment?
Yes, that is part of it, but also creativity to address the
15 Global Challenges
• Businesses grow and survive that address real
challenges – especially long-term challenges
24. 15 Global Challenges:
A Framework for Understanding Global Change, and an Agenda for Humanity
Challenge 1: How can sustainable development be
achieved for all while addressing global climate change?
Challenge 15: How can ethical considerations become more
routinely incorporated into global decisions?
Challenge 14: How can scientific and technological
breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition?
Challenge 13: How can growing energy demands be
met safely and efficiently?
Challenge 12: How can transnational organized crime
networks be stopped from becoming more powerful
and sophisticated global enterprises?
Challenge 11: How can the changing status of
women improve the human condition?
Challenge 10: How can shared values and new security
strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of
weapons of mass destruction?
Challenge 9: How can the capacity to decide
be improved as the nature of work and
institutions change?
Challenge 2: How can everyone have sufficient
clean water without conflict?
Challenge 3: How can population growth and
resources be brought into balance?
Challenge 4: How can genuine democracy
emerge from authoritarian regimes?
Challenge 5: How can policymaking be made more
sensitive to global long-term perspectives?
Challenge 6: How can the global convergence of information
and communications technologies work for everyone?
Challenge 7: How can ethical market economies
be encouraged to help reduce the gap between
rich and poor?
Challenge 8: How can the threat of new and
reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms
be reduced?
25. 32 Seeds of the Future of Arts,
Media, and Entertainment
Cross-Impact
these 32
seeds to see
what new
creative
industries are
possible
26. The Creative Economy… not
Catch-up Economy
•
•
•
•
•
Requires cultural/perceptual changes
– Silicon Valley example of boss and employee
– Google example of 20% paid free time – pools of creativity
– Finding markets worldwide vs. finding jobs where you live
Builds on all South Koreans having Internet access with the processing power of
a human brain before 2020 and many more brains per person after that.
Acts with Internet of things, and nanotech sensor nets
Increases the changes from searching for a job, to searching for markets around
the world for individual’s capabilities.
Changes market as the center to attract people to physical location to each
person as the center for a 2 billion person set of markets today, but 9
billion/person in 37 years.
27. Creative Economy Management
3. Intersection of
Networks: Nodes
1. Hierarchy
2. Networks
4. Connecting Nodes
into Fields of Play
5. Connecting Fields of Play
29. Futures Research and the
Miracle of South Korea’s Development
President Park Chung Hee
Herman Kahn, inventor of scenarios
for policy, talked through
development strategies with Pres.
Park over years and many visits
30. 허먼 칸과 박정희 잦은 만남
사진출처:민주화기념사업회
2013-11-19
박영숙(사)유엔미래포럼
30
31. Some Elements of Next Economic System
• Capitalist and socialist/communist systems are early industrial age economic
systems
• Emerging new economic system, adapted to the globalized world and knowledge
economy
• Assessing some future elements of the next global economy
• 35 elements (not policies, events, developments, or goals)
that might help shape the next economic system over the
next 20 years:
– rated as to their importance to improving the human condition
– potential positive and negative impacts’ descriptions
– analysis of levels of agreement
32. Top 10 Most Beneficial Elements
by 2030
Elements
Imp
Resp
Agr.
1
Ethics: a key element in economic exchanges
8.36
168
0.86
2
New GDP definitions that include all forms of national wealth
7.96
164
0.78
3
Small tax on use of commons directed to global public goods
7.75
172
0.83
4
Collective intelligence: global commons for the knowledge economy
7.74
155
0.88
Continuously updated education on the evolving economic system and its elements
7.64
154
0.83
6
Simultaneous knowing – time lags changed or eliminated in information dissemination
with much greater transparency.
7.61
168
0.79
7
Value of natural resources used in production included in pricing
7.56
162
0.76
8
Women’s political-economic roles essentially on par with men
7.25
182
0.68
9
Increased public disclosure of "tax havens", secret accounts
7.10
153
0.68
Wealth, re-defined as experience and not the accumulation of money or physical things
6.83
161
0.62
5
10
33. Some other Interesting Elements
• Simultaneous knowing – time lags changed or eliminated in
information dissemination with much greater transparency.
• Non-ownership, as distinct from private ownership or
collective/state ownership (e.g. current open source software)
• Alternatives to continuously creating artificial demand and growth
• One-Person Business - Self-employment via the Internet—
individuals seek markets for their abilities rather than jobs
34. Future of Education is Increasing Intelligence:
both Individual and Collective Intelligence
35. How to increase Individual Intelligence
1. Responding to feedback
2. Consistency of love, diversity of environment
3. Nutrition
4. Reasoning exercises
5. Believing it is possible (placebo effect)
6. Contact with intelligent people or via VR simulations
7. Software systems and gaming
8. Neuro-pharmacology (enhanced brain chemistry)
9. Memes on classroom walls and else where, for example: intelligence is sexy
10. Low stress, stimulating environments, with certain music, color, fragrances
improves concentration and performance
11. Longer term:
• Reverse engineering the brain (President Obama)
• Applied Epigenetics and genetic engineering
• Designer microbes to eat the plaque on neurons
36. How to Increase Collective Intelligence
• It emerges from the integration
and synergies among
• data/info/knowledge
• software/hardware
• experts and others with insight
• that continually learns from
feedback
• to produce just in time knowledge
for better decisions
• than these elements acting alone.
37. Why the Transition to CIS?
• The velocity, volume, and complexity of change and
•
•
•
•
•
challenges are increasing exponentially
Some local issues depend on global developments
The amount of information and data is exploding
Our work shows that humanity has the resources to address
the challenges ahead
Will we make the necessary decisions?
We believe collective intelligence used by trans-Institutional
networks can help
38. An Application of Collective Intelligence:
Global Futures Intelligence System at www.themp.org
39. Global Challenge Menu in GFIS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and Policies
Report (detailed text) on the challenge from State of the Future
News items (automatic news feeds – searchable)
Scanning (annotated, rated information)
On-going Delphi questionnaires to collect expert judgments
Public comments
Discussion groups
Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and conceptual models
Resources: websites, books, papers, videos
Updates – all edits
Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions
40.
41.
42. Wise to invest in a diverse set of new creative
economic activities (not Panda Bear)
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Internet of things
Increasing intelligence
3-D Printing
Synthetic Biology
Nanotechnology
Retrofitting buildings for energy production
Continue robotic manufacturing
One-Person Businesses (massive training programs)
43. … May become a TransInstitution
Universities
UN
Organizations
The Millennium
Project
Governments
Corporations
NGOs
and
Foundations
44. Purposes of the Millennium Project
• Create a global and on-going capacity to improve thinking
about the future
• Make that thinking available through a variety of media for
consideration in
• policymaking
• advanced training
• educational curricula
• public education
• Continually respond to feedback, to accumulate wisdom
about potential futures
45. 49 Millennium Project Nodes...
are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views in:
Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews,
special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.
46. 25 years ago there was no World Wide Web.
25 years from now: What will be emerging?
And from what?
47. For further information
Jerome C. Glenn
The Millennium Project
4421 Garrison Street, NW,
Washington, D.C. 20016 USA
+1-202-686-5179 phone/fax
Jerome.Glenn@Millennium-Project.org
www.StateoftheFuture.org
www.themp.org (Global Futures Intelligence System)