The document summarizes strategies for de-risking retirement investments. It discusses the challenges of generating reliable retirement income given market volatility and changing needs pre- and post-retirement. The document outlines Grindrod Asset Management's approach of "income efficient portfolios" that aim to produce stable income growth through allocations to listed property, cash/bonds, and equities focusing on high dividend payers. Examples of hypothetical portfolio outcomes are shown demonstrating how reliable income growth can sustain retirement withdrawals over decades.
Netwealth portfolio construction series - Discover cost effective investment ...netwealthInvest
Part of Netwealth's portfolio construction webinar series - Tracey McNaughton, Head of Investment at UBS presented to an audience on 26th October 2016 about an evolved strategy for today's investment climate.
Netwealth portfolio construction series - Why are ETFs gaining in popularity ...netwealthInvest
Part of Netwealth's portfolio construction webinar series - Vinnie Wadhera from BetaShares presented to an audience on 14th September 2016 about Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and strategies on how ETFs can be used in a portfolio.
netwealth educational webinar - The evolution of asset allocationnetwealthInvest
On April 14, 2016 Tracey McNaughton, Head of Investment Strategy at UBS presented to financial advisers on the evolution of asset allocation during a netwealth educational webinar.
Netwealth portfolio construction series - Discover cost effective investment ...netwealthInvest
Part of Netwealth's portfolio construction webinar series - Tracey McNaughton, Head of Investment at UBS presented to an audience on 26th October 2016 about an evolved strategy for today's investment climate.
Netwealth portfolio construction series - Why are ETFs gaining in popularity ...netwealthInvest
Part of Netwealth's portfolio construction webinar series - Vinnie Wadhera from BetaShares presented to an audience on 14th September 2016 about Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and strategies on how ETFs can be used in a portfolio.
netwealth educational webinar - The evolution of asset allocationnetwealthInvest
On April 14, 2016 Tracey McNaughton, Head of Investment Strategy at UBS presented to financial advisers on the evolution of asset allocation during a netwealth educational webinar.
Growing Money: Choosing Investments and Various StrategiesRavi Shikha
What we discuss :
How to allocate money in these 4 Assets Class : Domestic Equity, Global Equity, Gold and Debt
Mutual Fund Scheme Selection using Risk Reward Ratios, Rolling Returns etc.
Optimization of Portfolio based on HRP (Hierarchical Risk Parity) Model
Monitoring and Rebalancing of Portfolio
ICICI Prudential Hybrid/FOF Schemes Bluebook | September 2022iciciprumf
Diversification aims to capture benefits from each asset class that a single investment cannot do. The ICICI Prudential Hybrid/FOF schemes bluebook suggests investing in Hybrid/FOF schemes to diversify your portfolio.
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Vighnesh Shashtri
In India, financial inclusion remains a critical challenge, with a significant portion of the population still unbanked. Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) have emerged as key players in bridging this gap by providing financial services to those often overlooked by traditional banking institutions. This article delves into how NBFCs are fostering financial inclusion and empowering the unbanked.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
Even tho Pi network is not listed on any exchange yet.
Buying/Selling or investing in pi network coins is highly possible through the help of vendors. You can buy from vendors[ buy directly from the pi network miners and resell it]. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal vendor.
@Pi_vendor_247
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024DOT TECH
The best way to sell your pi coins safely is trading with an exchange..but since pi is not launched in any exchange, and second option is through a VERIFIED pi merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and pioneers and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive amounts before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade pi coins with.
@Pi_vendor_247
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptxWrito-Finance
financial assets represent claim for future benefit or cash. Financial assets are formed by establishing contracts between participants. These financial assets are used for collection of huge amounts of money for business purposes.
Two major Types: Debt Securities and Equity Securities.
Debt Securities are Also known as fixed-income securities or instruments. The type of assets is formed by establishing contracts between investor and issuer of the asset.
• The first type of Debit securities is BONDS. Bonds are issued by corporations and government (both local and national government).
• The second important type of Debit security is NOTES. Apart from similarities associated with notes and bonds, notes have shorter term maturity.
• The 3rd important type of Debit security is TRESURY BILLS. These securities have short-term ranging from three months, six months, and one year. Issuer of such securities are governments.
• Above discussed debit securities are mostly issued by governments and corporations. CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSITS CDs are issued by Banks and Financial Institutions. Risk factor associated with CDs gets reduced when issued by reputable institutions or Banks.
Following are the risk attached with debt securities: Credit risk, interest rate risk and currency risk
There are no fixed maturity dates in such securities, and asset’s value is determined by company’s performance. There are two major types of equity securities: common stock and preferred stock.
Common Stock: These are simple equity securities and bear no complexities which the preferred stock bears. Holders of such securities or instrument have the voting rights when it comes to select the company’s board of director or the business decisions to be made.
Preferred Stock: Preferred stocks are sometime referred to as hybrid securities, because it contains elements of both debit security and equity security. Preferred stock confers ownership rights to security holder that is why it is equity instrument
<a href="https://www.writofinance.com/equity-securities-features-types-risk/" >Equity securities </a> as a whole is used for capital funding for companies. Companies have multiple expenses to cover. Potential growth of company is required in competitive market. So, these securities are used for capital generation, and then uses it for company’s growth.
Concluding remarks
Both are employed in business. Businesses are often established through debit securities, then what is the need for equity securities. Companies have to cover multiple expenses and expansion of business. They can also use equity instruments for repayment of debits. So, there are multiple uses for securities. As an investor, you need tools for analysis. Investment decisions are made by carefully analyzing the market. For better analysis of the stock market, investors often employ financial analysis of companies.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...beulahfernandes8
Role in Financial System
NBFCs are critical in bridging the financial inclusion gap.
They provide specialized financial services that cater to segments often neglected by traditional banks.
Economic Impact
NBFCs contribute significantly to India's GDP.
They support sectors like micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), housing finance, and personal loans.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxmikemetalprod
Indepth analysis of the BYD 2024
BYD (Build Your Dreams) is a Chinese automaker and battery manufacturer that has snowballed over the past two decades to become a significant player in electric vehicles and global clean energy technology.
This SWOT analysis examines BYD's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as it competes in the fast-changing automotive and energy storage industries.
Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Shenzhen, BYD started as a battery company before expanding into automobiles in the early 2000s.
Initially manufacturing gasoline-powered vehicles, BYD focused on plug-in hybrid and fully electric vehicles, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.
Today, BYD is the world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer, delivering over 1.2 million electric cars globally. The company also produces electric buses, trucks, forklifts, and rail transit.
On the energy side, BYD is a major supplier of rechargeable batteries for cell phones, laptops, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems.
2. AGENDA
Update on Grindrod Asset Management – Paul Stewart
Marc Thomas – Post Retirement thinking
Ian Anderson – Portfolio attributes
Marc Thomas – Pre Retirement thinking
3. “More dangerous yet is the shift in focus away
from retirement income to return on investment
that has come with the introduction of saver-
managed DC plans: Investment decisions are now
focused on the value of the funds, the returns on
investment they deliver, and how volatile those
returns are. Yet the primary concern of the saver
remains what it always has been: Will I have
sufficient income in retirement to live comfortably?”
- Robert C. Merton, MIT Sloan School of Economics
Harvard Business Review, March 2014
4. We conceptualised the Grindrod Asset Management business offering
on 3 key ideas:
Differentiated products aimed at meeting particular investor needs
Delivering on our primary promise of income and income growth
Competitive long-term investment results against the benchmark
and peer group.
A REFLECTION ON WHERE WE CAME FROM
5. Most asset managers, globally and in South Africa, are peer group and capital
return focussed;
We saw the pre- and post-retirement markets as being poorly serviced by
asset managers
We decided on “outcomes-based investing” as a core principle addressing the
dual problems of income provision and inflation-hedged income growth
Yield and growth in yield is our major measureable and deliverable
We registered the trademark
We realigned our fund range along these principles in 2012.
1. DIFFERENTIATED PRODUCTS MEETING INVESTOR NEEDS
6. 2. DELIVERING ON OUR PROMISE OF INCOME GROWTH
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
230,805
285,725
329,209
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2012 2013 2014
ANNUAL INCOME PRODUCED FROM
R5m INVESTMENT
164,000
219,000
290,500
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2012 2013 2014
ANNUAL INCOME PRODUCED FROM
R5m INVESTMENT
Grindrod Stable Growth Fund Grindrod Managed Growth Fund
7. 3. P&G® ALSO DELIVER COMPETITIVE LONG-TERM RETURNS
3 years to 30 April 2015
Annualised
income
return
Annualised
capital
return
Annualised
total return
Annualised
benchmark
return
Peer
group
rank
Grindrod Stable
Growth A
5.31% 11.05% 16.36%
(TER 1.27%)
7.47%
(CPI +2%)
1/80
Grindrod Managed
Growth A
4.64% 16.38% 21.02%
(TER 1.25%)
9.64%
(CPI +4%)
1/90
Grindrod High
Income A
6.89% 1.24% 8.13%
(TER 1.17%)
6.67%
(Stefi +1%)
8/50
Grindrod Equity
Income Growth A
(*since inception – 2 Jul 2013)
3.72% 20.94% 24.66%
(TER 1.23%)
*19.93%
(SA Gen Eq. Ave.)
18/162
TER is measured over the last 12 months to 31 March 2015
Source: Grindrod Asset Management, Moneymate
8. Payers & Growers® brand has seen very pleasing growth:
AuM growth of 22.4% over 12 months to 30 April 2015
GCI Manco assets grow by 58.7% for the year to 30 April 2015
159 IFA‟s consistently supporting the business
- across the country in all provinces and markets
Both direct and LISP business channels growing
Institutional clients now number ten – up from five 12 months ago
Launched Grindrod Global Equity Income Growth Fund
and Grindrod Global Managed Growth Funds domiciled in Ireland
Launched our Tax-free Savings Plan on 1 April 2015.
BUSINESS MILESTONES ACHIEVED
12. BlackRock: America‟s Retirement Needs 2013
“the challenge of decumulation has yet to be effectively addressed”
William Sharpe: Nobel Laureate Economics,CFA Conference May 2014
“I am focussing my attention on this issue (retirement income). And it‟s a really
hard problem-the hardest problem I‟ve ever considered- because its
multidimensional…”
Thaler: Behavioural Finance Professor. Your Wealth and Life UBS 2015
“.. One issue that‟s on everyone‟s mind is that we don‟t have satisfactory
solutions for dealing with the decumulation phase of life. This is a problem
because figuring out the best way to draw down a pile of money is a much
harder problem than accumulation.”
DECUMULATION/DRAWDOWN CHALLENGE
15. “Substituting Top 100 Dividend Paying stocks for S&P 500 Index stocks
had very beneficial effects on the “SAFEMAX” for retirees during the period.
The SAFEMAX was increased by about 25 percent (i.e. from 4% to 5%)
during this period, which translates into a significant improvement of lifestyle
for those retirees… and they also saw very substantial increases
in their portfolio longevity” Bengen
“We found that this focus on dividends had a significantly positive impact
on both the portfolio‟s withdrawal rate and its sustainability…
we found that using a strategy focused on companies with high and growing
dividends alleviates the stress of regular withdrawals.”
Thornburg Investment Management
INCOME DRAWDOWN:PORTFOLIO SUSTAINABILITY
Impact of including yield and income growth in drawdown portfolios
17. R3m invested on 06/07/2012
Initial drawdown rate of 6%
Escalating at 6% per annum
July is anniversary month
Unit balance is dropping
moderately
Reinvestment of distributions
lower than income drawdowns
Income growth will stabilise the
decline and then increase the
units
(2,000)
(1,000)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
Drawdown Reinvestment
174,500
175,000
175,500
176,000
176,500
177,000
177,500
178,000
178,500
179,000
Unit balance
Only 1.6% decline
in units
GRINDROD STABLE GROWTH FUND (JAN 2014)
20. Year 1
July 2012 -
June 2013
Year 2
July 2013 -
June 2014
Year 31
July 2014 -
June 2015
Income drawdown requirement R180,000.00 R190,800.00 R202,248.00
Net income produced by fund R134,035.08 R172,555.19 R193,453.88
Income covered by portfolio 74.5% 90.4% 95.7%
Capital value at end of period R3,284,104.89 R3,528,361.24 n/a
GRINDROD STABLE GROWTH FUND – APRIL 2015
6% drawdown rate
1 Based on GrAM distributions forecasts and April 2015 ending unit balance
21. 1. Client retirement becoming
MORE secure
2. Advisor AUM based fees
INCREASE
3. Capital and income LESS
vulnerable to volatility,
sequence, timing and top up
risk
22. Reliable income yield
Annual growth in income of close to CPI
Long term capital growth (Total Return) at/above CPI to sustain income for up
to 30 years
INCOME EFFICIENT PORTFOLIOS
3 important elements to provide for income dependent investors
24. IN JANUARY 2014, SA FUND MANAGERS...
forecast the 10-year bond yield to be 8.5 – 9.0% in 12 months
forecast the rand to be ZAR10.25/US$ in 12 months
thought that South African 10-year bonds were „overvalued‟
thought that resources would be the best performing equity sector in 2014
Source: Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey
25. HISTORIC PERFORMANCE – SA ASSET CLASSES
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Ten year performance to 31/03/2015
SA Listed Property SA Equities SA Bonds SA Cash
SA Listed
Property
SA Equities SA Bonds SA Cash
10 Years 22.4% 18.0% 8.9% 7.4%
5 Years 22.2% 16.1% 9.7% 5.8%
3 Years 25.2% 19.4% 9.0% 5.6%
1 Year 41.4% 12.5% 12.4% 6.1%
Source: I-Net Bridge
26. HISTORIC PERFORMANCE – SA FUND MANAGERS
SA Listed
Property
SA Equities SA Bonds SA Cash
10 Years 22.4% 18.0% 8.9% 7.4%
5 Years 22.2% 16.1% 9.7% 5.8%
3 Years 25.2% 19.4% 9.0% 5.6%
1 Year 41.4% 12.5% 12.4% 6.1%
Multi-Asset
Low Equity
Multi-Asset
High Equity
10.1% 13.4%
10.3% 12.8%
11.5% 15.0%
10.3% 11.9%
16.0% 20.5%P&G portfolios – 3 years
20.0% 25.1%P&G portfolios – 1 year
Source: I-Net Bridge & Morningstar
28. MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK FOR ASSET CLASSES
Simple expected real returns
Source: Research Affiliates based on data from Robert Shiller, FactSet & Bloomberg
30. INCOME EFFICIENT PORTFOLIOS
Listed
property
Cash &
Bonds
Equities
Listed
property
Cash &
Bonds
Equities
Listed
property
Cash &
Bonds
Equities
Listed
property
GRINDROD STABLE GROWTH FUND
GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
GRINDROD HIGH INCOME FUND
GRINDROD EQUITY INCOME GROWTH FUND
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
31. ► SOUTH AFRICA - MULTI-ASSET - LOW EQUITY
► FORWARD INCOME YIELD 6.5%
► INCOME GROWTH (3 YEARS) 6.8% p.a.
► SOUTH AFRICA - MULTI-ASSET - INCOME
► FORWARD INCOME YIELD 8.5%
► INCOME GROWTH (3 YEARS) 1.9% p.a.
INCOME EFFICIENT PORTFOLIOS
GRINDROD STABLE GROWTH FUND
GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
GRINDROD HIGH INCOME FUND
GRINDROD EQUITY INCOME GROWTH FUND
► SOUTH AFRICA - MULTI-ASSET - HIGH EQUITY
► FORWARD INCOME YIELD 5.0%
► INCOME GROWTH (3 YEARS) 9.5% p.a.
► SOUTH AFRICA - EQUITY - GENERAL
► FORWARD INCOME YIELD 4.4%
► INCOME GROWTH (3 YEARS) 10.7% p.a.
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
32. INCOME EFFICIENT EQUITY PORTFOLIO
AVI
BAT
BIDVEST
CLICKS
FIRSTRAND
INVESTEC
LIBERTY
LIFE
HEALTHCARE
MMI
MR PRICEMTNNAMPAK
OLD MUTUAL
REUNERT
SABMILLER
STANDARD BANK
SPAR
TIGER BRANDS
TRUWORTHS
VODACOM
WOOLWORTHS
DIVIDEND YIELD
4.0%
DIVIDEND GROWTH
10.9% p.a.
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
33. INCOME EFFICIENT EQUITY PORTFOLIO
Positions equally weighted
reduces risks to portfolio income stream (good businesses can cut dividends)
disciplined approach (regular rebalancing)
Emphasis on industries & products that matter
aging demographic – healthcare & financial services
communication – mobile telecomms
High quality businesses with relevant products and services;
high cash conversion ratios; clear dividend policies.
35. INCOME EFFICIENT LISTED PROPERTY PORTFOLIO
Positions equally weighted
reduces risks to portfolio income stream (good businesses can cut dividends)
disciplined approach (regular rebalancing)
Yield and expected growth substantially above the market
current yield is more than 2% above market
expected distribution growth over next 3 years is more than 3% above market
Listed property is used to enhance the outcome
(high yield, high growth or combination of the two)
36. GRINDROD HIGH INCOME FUND
2.8%
2.1%
2.6%
1.9%
0.6%
1.4%
1.0% 1.2%
2.3%
2.1%
1.8%
4.5%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
Jun '12 Sep '12 Dec '12 Mar '13 Jun '13 Sep '13 Dec '13 Mar '14 Jun '14 Sep '14 Dec '14 Mar '15
Percentage
Quarterly investment returns – A class
Capital Income Total Return
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
37. GRINDROD STABLE GROWTH FUND
2.2%
6.4%
7.1%
2.2%
1.2%
1.8%
3.7%
2.1%
4.5%
1.7%
5.4%
7.1%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
Jun '12 Sep '12 Dec '12 Mar '13 Jun '13 Sep '13 Dec '13 Mar '14 Jun '14 Sep '14 Dec '14 Mar '15
Percentage
Quarterly investment returns – A class
Capital Income Total Return
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
38. GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
2.3%
8.0%
9.0%
2.6%
1.5%
3.2%
5.1%
2.9%
5.1%
1.8%
7.6%
8.8%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
Jun '12 Sep '12 Dec '12 Mar '13 Jun '13 Sep '13 Dec '13 Mar '14 Jun '14 Sep '14 Dec '14 Mar '15
Percentage
Quarterly investment returns – A class
Capital Income Total Return
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
39. GRINDROD EQUITY INCOME GROWTH FUND
4.4%
5.7%
3.8%
5.5%
2.6%
7.4%
8.3%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
Sep '13 Dec '13 Mar '14 Jun '14 Sep '14 Dec '14 Mar '15
Percentage
Quarterly investment returns – A class
Capital Income Total Return
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
40. INCOME FROM GROWTH ASSETS
GRINDROD STABLE GROWTH FUND
230,805
285,725
329,209
360,848
384,507
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f
Annual income produced from R5m investment – A class
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
TOTAL INCOME = R1,591,093
31.8% OF ORIGINAL INVESTMENT
41. INCOME FROM GROWTH ASSETS
GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
164,000
219,000
290,500
330,000
356,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f
Annual income produced from R5m investment – A class
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
TOTAL INCOME = R1,359,500
27.2% OF ORIGINAL INVESTMENT
42. INCOME FROM GROWTH ASSETS
GROWTH TRUMPS YIELD
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
2013 2014 2015f 2016f 2020f
Annual income produced from R5m investment – A class
High Income Fund Stable Growth Fund Managed Growth Fund
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
43. GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
ANOTHER PERSPECTIVE
Current NAV = R437.9m (as at 07/05/2015)
Income - 2015 Income - 2016 % change
Banking business R1,574,539 R1,773,445 12.6%
Mobile communications business R1,498,490 R1,605,587 7.1%
Fashion retailing business R1,454,230 R1,693,488 16.5%
Insurance business R1,424,029 R1,918,744 34.7%
Food production business R1,065,217 R1,162,895 9.2%
Electronics business R781,070 R781,070 0%
Tobacco business R526,133 R575,214 9.3%
Packaging business R513,764 R622,784 21.2%
Healthcare business R506,629 R570,336 12.6%
Food retailing business R471,374 R510,975 8.4%
Food service & logistics business R376,350 R425,005 12.9%
Brewing business R274,086 R299,584 9.3%
Health & beauty retailing business R352,634 R397,586 12.7%
Property portfolio R8,542,272 R9,317,050 9.1%
Cash & bonds R3,810,696 R3,810,696 0%
TOTAL R23,171,513 R25,464,468 9.9%
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
45. GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
A CASE STUDY
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
45 YEARS OLD
CURRENT ANNUAL SALARY OF R490,769.23
COMPULSORY SAVINGS OF R878,370.85
CONTRIBUTIONS OF 8.25% OF ANNUAL SALARY
SALARY ESCALATES AT 6% PER ANNUM
COMPULSORY SAVINGS INVESTED
IN THE GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
50. Linear projection : no volatility or sequence risk
Fees: most exclude impact of fees
Long term net capital growth 8/11% pa, average cost 3%, gross return
required 11/14% pa
Different CPI estimates: 5/6%
No Asset Allocation(AA) input
Key determinant of variation in return across funds targeting same
outcome
No „glidepath‟ or protection/ adjustments in later years
Retirement date risk: correction or drawdown close to retirement date
Current annuity rate
ISSUES WITH CONVENTIONAL APPROACHES AND PLANNING
CONVENTIONAL APPROACH: HOW MUCH IS ENOUGH?
51. HOW MUCH IS ENOUGH?
ISSUES WITH CONVENTIONAL ASSUMPTIONS AND CALCULATORS
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1 5 10 15 20 25
Millions
Years
Linear projection : no volatility or sequence risk
55. HOW MUCH IS ENOUGH?
Retirement date risk
Correction or drawdown close to retirement date.
-10% increases a 5% planned drawdown rate to 5,5%
Reduces real income growth period from 19 to 17 years and
success rate from 54% to 44%.
-15% increases a 5% planned drawdown rate to 5,8%
Reduces real income growth period from 19 to 14 years and
success rate from 54% to 40%
ISSUES WITH CONVENTIONAL ASSUMPTIONS AND CALCULATORS
61. Almost certain to not achieve the projected capital value (not fully
invested)
Still have another 30 years to sustain income drawdown stress
25-50% less
income
or higher
drawdown rate
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1 5 10 15 20 25
Millions
Years
GLIDEPATH OR TARGET DATE FUND
MECHANICAL ASSET ALLOCATION ADJUSTMENTS
62. Risk is better measured by the volatility in our prospective retirement
income than by the volatility in our portfolio value
A far better measure is the real sustainable spending a portfolio is likely to
deliver
Glidepath funds neither reflect current market conditions or yields, nor
adapt opportunistically to them
66. Morningstar: John Rekenthaler Vice President of Research for Morningstar 2014
“for investors approaching (or in) retirement, the better way to think about
progress is the growth (or shrinkage) of projected income.
Projected income is a concept whose time has come…. Projected retirement
income is superior to total return for conveying to investors how they are
progressing toward their goals,
it‟s quite possible for a fund to succeed according to total return but fail as
measured by projected income,”
Blackrock: Chip Castille Managing Director,BlackRock US DC Group. May 2015
We need to shift our focus away from the total value of the nest egg, and
instead toward the annual income it could provide
NEW THINKING IN A DIFFERENT DIRECTION
GLOBAL RESEARCH
67. UNDERSTANDING „REAL‟ RISK
Short-term risk (“shallow risk”)
- Price volatility
• Obvious
• Immediate
• Temporary
SOURCE: WILLIAM BERNSTEIN:
DEEP RISK
Long-term risk (“deep risk”)
- Devastation (war or anarchy – Egypt)
- Confiscation (taxes or seizure by government - Zimbabwe)
- Deflation (falling asset values - Japan)
- INFLATION
“Std Dev measures only shallow risk”
“You should actively seek shallow risk,
since it will enable you to buy at lower
prices”
69. GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
2.3%
8.0%
9.0%
2.6%
1.5%
3.2%
5.1%
2.9%
5.1%
1.8%
7.6%
8.8%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
Jun '12 Sep '12 Dec '12 Mar '13 Jun '13 Sep '13 Dec '13 Mar '14 Jun '14 Sep '14 Dec '14 Mar '15
Percentage
Quarterly investment returns – A class
Capital Income Total Return
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
70. INCOME FROM GROWTH ASSETS
GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
164,000
219,000
290,500
330,000
356,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f
Annual income produced from R5m investment
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
71. FOCUS ON TOTAL RETURN
THE BENEFITS OF COMPOUNDING INCOME
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Cumulative return split on R5m initial investment
Nedgroup Investments Property Fund
Income paid Capital appreciation Income reinvested (compounding)
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
R933k produces R74k pa=
14% more income
72. GRINDROD MANAGED GROWTH FUND
RETIREMENT PLANNING:INCOME COVERAGE RATIO
Source: Grindrod Asset Management
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
% OF ANNUAL SALARY COVERED BY INCOME FROM GMGF
Income coverage ratio (rhs) Annual salary (lhs) Retirement income (lhs)
73. “Incremental liabilities are not met by the cash
matching of bonds,….They are best matched
through productivity and inflation-related
investments – equity and real estate.”
74. PRE-RETIREMENT POST-RETIREMENT
DERISKING RETIREMENT STRATEGIES
CHANGING THE APPROACH
Move away from an approach that is mostly based on unknowns and
therefore hope. This approach focuses on:
A short term only risk measure, volatility, measured by Std Deviation
Short term tactical or market timing techniques, which are high risk for
the client, especially in the retirement risk zone I.e., value strategy out of
favour
Creating portfolios that look efficient and optimised based on complex
mathematical models which are price centric and short term volatility
based, focus mostly on short term market conditions and bear no
relationship to client outcomes
75. PRE-RETIREMENT POST-RETIREMENT
DERISKING RETIREMENT STRATEGIES
CHANGING THE APPROACH
To an approach that is based on tangible, predictable metrics, thereby
facilitating solid planning. This approach focuses on :
The only relevant retirement risk, predictable income and income growth
A metric that gives you a better indication of income position and risk
than portfolio values, the Income Coverage Ratio (ICR)
The ICR that facilitates a plan management process that matches the
clients income liability with their asset through time
76. PRE-RETIREMENT POST-RETIREMENT
DERISKING RETIREMENT STRATEGIES
APPLYING ASSET LIABILITY MATCHING
This is achieved by:
Matching the clients current or future income liability ………….
through the Income Coverage Ratio ………
to a…..
Grindrod
Income Efficient Portfolio.
77. Grindrod Collective Investments RF) (Pty) Ltd (“the Manager”), Registration number 2008/022492/07, is a company incorporated in
South Africa acting as a manager of collective investments schemes in securities in terms of Section 42 of the Collective Investments
Schemes Control Act and is supervised by the Financial Services Board. The registered address of the Manager is 5 Arundel Close,
Kingsmead Office Park, Durban, 4001. The Trustee and Custodian is Société Générale Johannesburg Branch. The Investment
Management of the portfolios is outsourced to Grindrod Asset Management (Pty) Ltd, an authorised financial services provider, FSP
29834. Both the Manager and Grindrod Asset Management (Pty) Ltd are members of the Grindrod Financial Services Group. Client
administration is outsourced to Maitland Group South Africa Limited, Tel: 021 681 8059; Address: Maitland House 1, River Park,
Gloucester Road, Mowbray, 7700, Cape Town. Collective investment schemes are generally medium to long-term investments. The
value of participatory interests or the investment may go down as well as up. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future
performance. Collective investment schemes are traded at ruling prices and can engage in borrowing and scrip lending. A schedule of
fees and charges and maximum commissions is available on request from the manager. There are no performance fees charged in the
portfolio. The manager does not provide any guarantee either with respect to the capital or the return of a portfolio. A fund of funds is
a portfolio that invests in portfolios of collective investment schemes that levy their own charges, which could result in a higher fee
structure for the fund of funds. Participatory interests in the portfolios issued by the manager qualify as investment instruments for the
purposes of Tax Free Savings and Investment account by virtue of Section 12T of the Income Tax Act. If you wish to invest in a Tax Free
Savings and Investment Plan please ensure that you fill in the correct application form. Grindrod is required by law not to accept
contributions in excess of the annual and lifetime limits. Grindrod does not monitor the contributions you may have with other service
providers. Consequently, you undertake to advise Grindrod when your aggregate contribution across service providers has reached the
annual limit and the lifetime limits. Grindrod is not responsible for the tax penalty which you may incur as a result of excess
contributions made by you into the Investment Plan. A 40% penalty is payable on the contribution above limit. No transfers to another
tax free investment service provider will be allowed before 1 March 2016. Grindrod does not charge any fees for withdrawal of the tax
free investment. The General Investor Report is published on a quarterly basis and is available on request and on our website. The
portfolio may borrow up to 10% of its net assets on a temporary basis. Such borrowings are permitted only to meet the portfolio’s
obligations in relation to (i) the administration of the Fund relating to purchase or sale transactions; and/or (ii) the redemption or
cancellation of participatory interests in the portfolio. Borrowings in relation to (i) above are only permitted for a period of up to 8
calendar days, and 61 calendar days in respect of (ii). Past portfolio performance is measured on a rolling monthly basis. The annual
report, brochures, application form is available on our website. The portfolio may be closed to new investments at any time in order to
be managed in accordance with its mandate. Forward pricing is used. Information on this document shall not be construed as financial
advice as defined and/or contemplated in terms of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act, Act 37 of 2002 ("the FAIS
Act"). Grindrod shall, wherever possible, avoid situations causing a conflict of interest. Where it is not possible to avoid such conflict,
Grindrod shall advise you of such conflict in writing at the earliest reasonable opportunity and shall mitigate the conflict of interest in
accordance with its conflict of interest Management Policy. You may send a blank email with a subject “conflict of interest” to the
compliance officer, should you need a copy of this policy. Complaints should be directed to the Compliance Officer. The Complaints
Resolution Policy is available on request. The Compliance Officer’s email address is compliance@grindrodam.co.za. Grindrod Collective
Investments (RF) (Pty) Ltd and Grindrod Asset Management (Pty) Ltd (collectively referred to as “Grindrod”) are members of the
Grindrod Financial Services Group and are supervised by the Financial Services Board
THANK YOU