The Senate Group
Durban, June 11th, 2015
Belmont Investments
• Founded in 2009
• $215m under management
• Based and regulated in the US, offices in Dublin and Singapore
• Invest in hedge funds managers for clients
• Bias towards quantitative strategies
Hedge Funds and the South African
Investor
Why bother with hedge funds at all ?
• Local equity performance
• Underperformance relative to global stocks and bonds
• Lack of formal FSB recognition
• The ugly stuff – fees, transparency, regulation
The Global Hedge Fund Industry
Source : Citigroup, March 2015
Hedge Fund Industry Constituents
What are managed futures ?
• Professionally managed portfolios of futures contracts
• Can invest on both the long and short side
• Generally trend-following in nature
Diversified markets
Currencies EquitiesBonds Commodities
Euro
British Pound
Swiss Franc
US Dollar
Japanese Yen
Australian Dollar
Canadian Dollar
New Zealand Dollar
South African Rand
Norwegian Kroner
Brazilian Real
Mexican Peso
Singapore Dollar
Energy
Crude Oil
Natural Gas
Natural Gas
Heating Oil
Unleaded Gas
Metals
Gold
Silver
Copper
Aluminum
Nickel
Palladium
Platinum
S&P 500
Nasdaq
AEX
CAC
FTSE
DAX
Eurostoxx
Stoxx
Hang Seng
Nikkei
KOSPI
IBEX
Russell 2000
SMI
TOPIX
US 10-Year
US 5-Year
US 2-Year
BOBL
Bund
Schatz
Gilts
JGB
Eurodollar
Euroswiss
Euroyen
Australian Notes
Canadian Bonds
Short Sterling
Federal Funds
Euribor
Meats
Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
Pork Bellies
Agricultural
Wheat
Barley
Corn
Oats
Soybeans
Softs
Coffee
Cotton
Cocoa
Trend Following
100
110
120
130
140
US Dollar vs. Japanese Yen 1999-2002
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14
Managed Futures Index S&P 500 Index Barclays Aggregate Bond Index
Comparative Performance – Managed Futures
Data as of December 31, 2009
Source: ITR CTA Index. The Index includes both domestic and offshore funds. The managed futures fund universe from which the components of a
managed futures fund index are selected is based on funds which have continued to report results for a minimum period of time. Important Note: This
prerequisite for fund selection interjects a significant element of "survivor bias" into the reported levels of an index, as generally only successful funds
will continue to report for the required period so that the funds from which the statistical analysis or the performance of an index to date is derived
necessarily tend to have been successful. Performance data reflects past performance and is not indicative of future results.
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
Managed Futures Equities Bonds
Data as of December 31, 2014
Source: ITR CTA Index. The Index includes both domestic and offshore funds. The managed futures fund universe from which the components of a
managed futures fund index are selected is based on funds which have continued to report results for a minimum period of time. Important Note: This
prerequisite for fund selection interjects a significant element of "survivor bias" into the reported levels of an index, as generally only successful funds
will continue to report for the required period so that the funds from which the statistical analysis or the performance of an index to date is derived
necessarily tend to have been successful. Performance data reflects past performance and is not indicative of future results.
Low Correlation
Correlation to traditional asset classes
S&P 500 0.03
Nasdaq (0.05)
MSCI World Index 0.06
Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index 0.27
NAREIT (0.02)
CRB Commodity Index 0.04
CSFB Hedge Fund Index 0.12
Portfolio Effect
Stocks
Bonds
40%
60%
Compounded Annualized Return 2.31%
Volatility 7.68%
January 2000 – December 2012
Portfolio Effect
Stocks
Bonds
MF
30%
Compounded Annualized Return 3.26%
Volatility 7.56%
60%
10%
January 2000 – December 2012
Portfolio Effect
Stocks
Bonds
MF
50%
30%
20%
Compounded Annualized Return 4.80%
Volatility 7.14%
January 2000 – December 2012
60 % Stocks, 40% Bonds 24.05%
60% Stocks, 30% Bonds, 10% M.F. 19.72%
50% Stocks, 30% Bonds, 20% M.F. 14.68%
Portfolio Effect
Drawdown Analysis
January 2000 – December 2012
Senate presentation june 2015

Senate presentation june 2015

  • 1.
    The Senate Group Durban,June 11th, 2015
  • 2.
    Belmont Investments • Foundedin 2009 • $215m under management • Based and regulated in the US, offices in Dublin and Singapore • Invest in hedge funds managers for clients • Bias towards quantitative strategies
  • 3.
    Hedge Funds andthe South African Investor
  • 4.
    Why bother withhedge funds at all ? • Local equity performance • Underperformance relative to global stocks and bonds • Lack of formal FSB recognition • The ugly stuff – fees, transparency, regulation
  • 5.
    The Global HedgeFund Industry
  • 7.
    Source : Citigroup,March 2015 Hedge Fund Industry Constituents
  • 8.
    What are managedfutures ? • Professionally managed portfolios of futures contracts • Can invest on both the long and short side • Generally trend-following in nature
  • 10.
    Diversified markets Currencies EquitiesBondsCommodities Euro British Pound Swiss Franc US Dollar Japanese Yen Australian Dollar Canadian Dollar New Zealand Dollar South African Rand Norwegian Kroner Brazilian Real Mexican Peso Singapore Dollar Energy Crude Oil Natural Gas Natural Gas Heating Oil Unleaded Gas Metals Gold Silver Copper Aluminum Nickel Palladium Platinum S&P 500 Nasdaq AEX CAC FTSE DAX Eurostoxx Stoxx Hang Seng Nikkei KOSPI IBEX Russell 2000 SMI TOPIX US 10-Year US 5-Year US 2-Year BOBL Bund Schatz Gilts JGB Eurodollar Euroswiss Euroyen Australian Notes Canadian Bonds Short Sterling Federal Funds Euribor Meats Live Cattle Lean Hogs Pork Bellies Agricultural Wheat Barley Corn Oats Soybeans Softs Coffee Cotton Cocoa
  • 11.
  • 12.
    -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 90 91 9293 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Managed Futures Index S&P 500 Index Barclays Aggregate Bond Index Comparative Performance – Managed Futures Data as of December 31, 2009 Source: ITR CTA Index. The Index includes both domestic and offshore funds. The managed futures fund universe from which the components of a managed futures fund index are selected is based on funds which have continued to report results for a minimum period of time. Important Note: This prerequisite for fund selection interjects a significant element of "survivor bias" into the reported levels of an index, as generally only successful funds will continue to report for the required period so that the funds from which the statistical analysis or the performance of an index to date is derived necessarily tend to have been successful. Performance data reflects past performance and is not indicative of future results.
  • 13.
    $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 Managed Futures EquitiesBonds Data as of December 31, 2014 Source: ITR CTA Index. The Index includes both domestic and offshore funds. The managed futures fund universe from which the components of a managed futures fund index are selected is based on funds which have continued to report results for a minimum period of time. Important Note: This prerequisite for fund selection interjects a significant element of "survivor bias" into the reported levels of an index, as generally only successful funds will continue to report for the required period so that the funds from which the statistical analysis or the performance of an index to date is derived necessarily tend to have been successful. Performance data reflects past performance and is not indicative of future results.
  • 14.
    Low Correlation Correlation totraditional asset classes S&P 500 0.03 Nasdaq (0.05) MSCI World Index 0.06 Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index 0.27 NAREIT (0.02) CRB Commodity Index 0.04 CSFB Hedge Fund Index 0.12
  • 15.
    Portfolio Effect Stocks Bonds 40% 60% Compounded AnnualizedReturn 2.31% Volatility 7.68% January 2000 – December 2012
  • 16.
    Portfolio Effect Stocks Bonds MF 30% Compounded AnnualizedReturn 3.26% Volatility 7.56% 60% 10% January 2000 – December 2012
  • 17.
    Portfolio Effect Stocks Bonds MF 50% 30% 20% Compounded AnnualizedReturn 4.80% Volatility 7.14% January 2000 – December 2012
  • 18.
    60 % Stocks,40% Bonds 24.05% 60% Stocks, 30% Bonds, 10% M.F. 19.72% 50% Stocks, 30% Bonds, 20% M.F. 14.68% Portfolio Effect Drawdown Analysis January 2000 – December 2012