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Alternative financing and privatization
of transport infrastructure – Prospects
and difficulties

EETS Business Framework Seminar
Malmö, April 9 2013
Björn Hasselgren
Architecture and the Built Environment
The rise of markets and the ”tax state”
(Schumpeter, 1918)




               Autocracies


              Study
              object




                                   Govern-
 Markets                            ment
Private and public squares
(Wagner, 1997/2007)




                                  Public
           Private                square
           square




-   Private ownership        -   Collective ownership
-   Voluntary                -   Coercive
-   User financing           -   Tax financing
-   Agreement                -   Regulation
The entangled reality
   (Wagner)




                           Public
                 Private
                           square
                 square




Cooperation and polycentrism is the normal pattern
Historical development of roads and railroads
Railroad corporations
Private and state railroads
in Sweden 1925

- Concessions

- Regulation

- Financing/guarantees
Development over time of transport infrastructure
         -a co-evolutionary approach




                                          Public sector
    Development of
    transport infrastructure
    systems

                               Politics
                                 and
Technology   Economics
                               ”socio-    Private sector
                               culture”
Government and private sector involvement




                                   Private/public –
     Private –     Government –        stronger
   entrepreneurs   consolidation       efficiency
      1850-          1930-60          incentives
                                       1980-
Government and market



     Cust-
                                                              Natural
     omer              Competi-          Scale-
                                                              mono-
     orien-            tiveness          effects
                                                               polies
     tation



                                      Wel-
Flexi-                      Inno-     fare-                        Finan-
bility                      vation   econo-                         cing
                                      mics

              Incen-                               External
               tives                                effects
Public or private goods?


                                                  Private monopoly        Market
                                                                          failure?
                           Public goods
                         (non-rivalrous,
                         non-excludable,
                          externalities)
                                                   Public monopoly        Government
                                                                          failure?

Roads and railroads


                                                       Market
                          Private goods
                      (rivalrous, excludable)


                                                Public sector provision
                                                                          Government
                                                                          failure?
Planning models
                             Coordinated


              Spontaneous    Centralized
                 order        planner




Individual                                   Centralized
knowledge                                    knowledge
                 Market      Government
                 failure       failure




                            Un-coordinated
Future challenges


• Spatial – division of responsibility and organization of
  transport infrastructure networks

• Functional – new technology makes former
  organizations and financing measures obsolete

• Financing and efficiency – user charging might be
  more efficient, private sector actors have stronger
  incentives for efficiency
Possible ways forward…
How can markets be fostered?

• The institutional environment – regulation, political
  support

• Profits are necessary!

• Financing and risk – government guarantees?

• Knowledge – innovation and research

• Long term perspectives

• Culture and communication – language,
  political/business culture

• Competition – diversity is good!
Do we have the necessary preconditions for
             success with projects like EETS?

             • How should transport infrastructure be financed?
 Politics
   and       • What role should the government have?
 ”socio-
 culture”
             • Is there political support for road-charging?


Economics    • Is there a business case? Too high risks/uncertainty?

             • Is there financing for innovators and entrepreneurs?

             • Do we have technical standards that support the
Technology
               business case?
What has to be changed?




• Political consensus concerning alternative
  financing/user charges for roads

• Local/national projects as a starting point

• Concessions and financing
Björn Hasselgren

KTH Royal Institute of Technology

+46-70-762 33 16
bjorn.hasselgren@abe.kth.se

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Government and markets hasselgren april 9 2013

  • 1. Alternative financing and privatization of transport infrastructure – Prospects and difficulties EETS Business Framework Seminar Malmö, April 9 2013 Björn Hasselgren Architecture and the Built Environment
  • 2. The rise of markets and the ”tax state” (Schumpeter, 1918) Autocracies Study object Govern- Markets ment
  • 3. Private and public squares (Wagner, 1997/2007) Public Private square square - Private ownership - Collective ownership - Voluntary - Coercive - User financing - Tax financing - Agreement - Regulation
  • 4. The entangled reality (Wagner) Public Private square square Cooperation and polycentrism is the normal pattern
  • 5. Historical development of roads and railroads
  • 7. Private and state railroads in Sweden 1925 - Concessions - Regulation - Financing/guarantees
  • 8. Development over time of transport infrastructure -a co-evolutionary approach Public sector Development of transport infrastructure systems Politics and Technology Economics ”socio- Private sector culture”
  • 9. Government and private sector involvement Private/public – Private – Government – stronger entrepreneurs consolidation efficiency 1850- 1930-60 incentives 1980-
  • 10. Government and market Cust- Natural omer Competi- Scale- mono- orien- tiveness effects polies tation Wel- Flexi- Inno- fare- Finan- bility vation econo- cing mics Incen- External tives effects
  • 11. Public or private goods? Private monopoly Market failure? Public goods (non-rivalrous, non-excludable, externalities) Public monopoly Government failure? Roads and railroads Market Private goods (rivalrous, excludable) Public sector provision Government failure?
  • 12. Planning models Coordinated Spontaneous Centralized order planner Individual Centralized knowledge knowledge Market Government failure failure Un-coordinated
  • 13. Future challenges • Spatial – division of responsibility and organization of transport infrastructure networks • Functional – new technology makes former organizations and financing measures obsolete • Financing and efficiency – user charging might be more efficient, private sector actors have stronger incentives for efficiency
  • 15. How can markets be fostered? • The institutional environment – regulation, political support • Profits are necessary! • Financing and risk – government guarantees? • Knowledge – innovation and research • Long term perspectives • Culture and communication – language, political/business culture • Competition – diversity is good!
  • 16. Do we have the necessary preconditions for success with projects like EETS? • How should transport infrastructure be financed? Politics and • What role should the government have? ”socio- culture” • Is there political support for road-charging? Economics • Is there a business case? Too high risks/uncertainty? • Is there financing for innovators and entrepreneurs? • Do we have technical standards that support the Technology business case?
  • 17. What has to be changed? • Political consensus concerning alternative financing/user charges for roads • Local/national projects as a starting point • Concessions and financing
  • 18. Björn Hasselgren KTH Royal Institute of Technology +46-70-762 33 16 bjorn.hasselgren@abe.kth.se