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Aldosterone Antagonists in Mild
         Heart Failure
        Harsha Nagarajarao
            June, 2012
Medicine
Evidence Based Surgery - 2012
Objectives
• Learn Patho-physiology of RAS pathway in heart
  failure

• Analysis of EMPHASIS-HF trial

• Brief overview of other trials looking on aldosterone
  antagonism in heart failure
Myocardial Damage
    Fluid Restriction
                        Myocardial Failure                   Inotropic Agents

    Low-sodium Diet
    Diuretics
    Venodilators
                                                        Cardiac Output
                                                        Ventricular Filling
                            Arterial Dilators            Pressures

     Preload        Afterload

                                                Complementary Mechanisms
                                                  Vasopressin
Na+/H2O Retention                                 Renin/angiotensin/aldosterone
Venoconstriction  Systemic Vascular               Sympathetic Activity
                  Resistance

                                                              ACE Inhibitors
                                                              ? Beta-blockers
                                                              ARB
                                                              Aldosterone Antag
Aldosterone
New Biology of Aldosterone
For a long time Adrenal Cortex was thought off as a single source of Aldosterone



     • Aldosterone synthesis is widespread in the body outside of the adrenal
     cortex

     • Aldosterone receptors are widespread in the body as well as traditional
     renal receptors
     • Aldosterone produces endothelial vascular dysfunction

     • Aldosterone produces tissue injury and fibrosis—seen in the myocardium, kidney,
                                              fibrosis
     and cerebral tissues

     • Aldosterone produces baroreceptor dysfunction
Aldosterone Receptor
• Stimulated equally both by gluco-corticoids and mineralo-corticoids

• But in-vivo only aldosterone can effectively activate the receptor

• This is due to proximity of 11ß hydrosterone dehydrogenase – which is
  juxta-posed to aldosterone receptor and rapidly inactivates cortisol
Genomic and Non-Genomic Actions

• Aldosterone acts via traditional genomic transcription
  pathway which takes about 1-2 hours to reach its peak
  stimulation

• But some actions are also immediate not involving
  transcription of new genes – what cause there immediate
  effects is still under debate
Aldosterone
• In vitro studies showed first that aldosterone reduced nitric oxide
  production in response in inflammatory stimuli.

• In experimental animals in vivo, aldosterone was then found to produce a
  vascular inflammatory response with increased expression of cytokines
  such as osteopontin

• Aldosterone blockade reduces both tissue injury and tissue fibrosis this
  protection is seen even when aldosterone blockade is given at a dose too
  low to alter blood pressure—that is, the tissue protective effect of
  aldosterone blockade in experimental models is not simply due to its
  antihypertensive effect.
Tissue Level Effect of Aldostorone
• Aldosterone may reduce NO bioactivity by increasing NADH
  oxidase induced free radical production which in turn
  degrades NO.
Aldosterone activates NFkB
Aldosterone Induced Myocardial Fibrosis
Aldosterone Escape
Defined in two different Contexts:

3.Escape from the sodium-retaining effects of excess aldosterone (or other
mineralocorticoids) in primary hyperaldosteronism, manifested by volume
and/or pressure natriuresis.

•The inability of ACE inhibitor therapy to reliably suppress aldosterone
release, for example, in patients with heart failure or diabetes, usually
manifested by increased salt and water retention. This latter sense may
rather be termed refractory hyperaldosteronism.
                              hyperaldosteronism
Aldosterone Escape
• The importance of aldosterone in congestive heart
  failure has been overlooked in recent years because
  ACE-inhibitor–related reductions in angiotensin were
  thought to eliminate aldosterone production.

• Such suppression of circulating aldosterone,
  however, is transient, as exemplified by the term
  “escape” used to describe the phenomenon.
Aldosterone Escape
Brevity of Aldosterone suppression is explained by:

-Potent stimuli for Aldosterone suppression may
counter-act ACEI due to often used low dosage of
medications secondary to limitations like hypotension
and renal failure.

•E.g.: upright posture, physical activity, and excessive
restriction of dietary sodium (to less than 3 g per day).
Aldosterone Escape Contd..
• Some aldosterone synthesis is also independent of angiotensin
  concentration

• For example, potassium-dependent aldosterone secretion is independent
  of angiotensin concentrations and is integral to intravascular volume
  regulation.

• This mechanism comes into play when sodium intake is excessively
  restricted, the use of loop diuretics leads to substantial urinary sodium
  losses, and potassium supplementation is used to counteract kaliuresis
  related to the use of loop diuretics.

• Finally, the role of reduced metabolic clearance of aldosterone and the
  biologic activity of its metabolites cannot be overlooked.
Aldosterone Escape
CHF and Aldosterone
• In patients with congestive heart failure,
  plasma aldosterone concentrations may reach
  20 times the normal level.

• Two pathophysiologic mechanisms contribute
  to the increased concentrations.
Aldosterone in CHF
• The first is an increase in the rate of aldosterone production by the adrenal
  glands due to activation of RAS.

• The second, and not widely recognized, mechanism is a decreased rate of
  hepatic aldosterone clearance = causes plasma aldosterone concentrations
  to triple or quadruple.

• The primary determinant of aldosterone metabolism is hepatic blood flow.
  In patients with congestive heart failure, the rate of aldosterone clearance
  by the liver falls to 25 to 50 percent of the normal rate.
Aldosterone Hypothesized to be Causing
          Myocardial Fibrosis
ACEI in Near Normal Hearts
                                                  All Cause Mortality


        Perindopril

        Trandalopirl      Primary end point NOT met.


        Ramipril




       Enalapril

Ramipril – Post MI

 Captopril – post MI

        Enalapril

   Trandalopirl Post MI
AREA-IN-CHF
AREA-IN-CHF
Background
• Context
  – CHF is the most common reason for hospital admission
  – ACEI/ARB and Mineralocorticoid antagonists improve
    survival in:
    • NYHA Class III/IV patients with systolic HF (RALES trial)
    • Patients post acute-MI with LV dysfunction/CHF (EPHESUS
      trial)
  – Current standard of care: add mineralocorticoid to
    class III/IV systolic HF pt already on BB + ACEI
  – What about my clinic CHF patient with only mild
    symptoms?
“EMPHASIS-HF Trial”
RALES Trial
EMPHASIS-HF
Clinical Question
• Population: patients with systolic heart failure
                (EF ≤ 35%) and mild sxs (NYHA Class II)
• Intervention: eplerenone (up to 50mg daily) +
                  standard therapy (ie BB, ACEI)
• Comparison: placebo + standard therapy
• Outcome: death, hospitalization rates
Study Oversight
• The executive steering committee designed and
  oversaw the conduct of the trial and data analysis in
  collaboration with representatives of the study
  sponsor (Pfizer).

• The trial was monitored by an independent data and
  safety monitoring committee.

• Data were collected, managed, and analyzed by the
  sponsor according to a predefined statistical analysis
  plan, and the analyses were replicated by an
  independent academic statistician.
Study Design
• Setting: 278 centers, 29 countries
• Participants :
  – 2737 patients, age ≥55
  – NYHA Class II, EF ≤30% or ≤35% if QRS>130
  – already on maximized ACE or ARB + BB
  – hospitalization within 6 months OR ↑BNP
  – Excluded: baseline K >5.0, GFR <30
• Placebo vs. 25mg eplerenone daily
  – Both placebo and eplerenone were uptitrated
  – Lab checks with any dose adjustment
  – Decrease/stopped study med for hyperK
Dose was lower for GFR between 30 and 49 (provided potassium levels were less than
- Started at 25 mg every other day and then went up to 25 mg daily
Procedures
• Follow up every 4 months
• Investigators were asked to stop the drug if k
  was > 6 and decrease the dose if between 5 to
  5.9
• Potassium was re-measured with in 72 hours
  in those with k > 6 and only re-started if
  repeat levels were < 5
Outcomes
• The primary outcome was a composite of
  death from cardiovascular causes or a first
  hospitalization for heart failure.

• The pre specified secondary outcomes were
  hospitalization for heart failure or death from
  any cause, death from cardiovascular causes,
  hospitalization for any reason
Statistics
• The initial assumptions were that, with 2584 patients
  and an annual event rate of 18% in the placebo group
  (based on data from a subgroup analysis of the
  Candesartan in Heart Failure: Assessment of Reduction in
  Mortality and Morbidity– Added trial [CHARM-Added])

• It was estimated that trial would require 813 patients with a
  primary outcome occurring within 48 months to achieve 80%
  power to detect an 18% relative reduction in the risk of the
  primary outcome in the eplerenone group as compared with
  the placebo
Statistics
• The data and safety monitoring committee’s charter
  specified interim analyses of the primary outcome after
  approximately 271 and 542 events had occurred, with a
  statistical stopping guideline for an overwhelming benefit
  (two-sided P<0.001 in favor of eplerenone).

• In May 6, 2010, after the second interim analysis, the data
  and safety monitoring committee reported that the
  prespecified stopping boundary for an overwhelming
  benefit had been crossed.

• The full executive committee was informed, decided to
  stop the trial
Statistics
• Two study groups was assessed by means of a
  two-sample t-test, for continuous variables, or
  Fisher’s exact test, for categorical variables.

• Primary and secondary outcomes were
  conducted on data from all patients who had
  undergone randomization, according to the
  intention-to-treat principle, with the use of
  Kaplan–Meier estimates and Cox proportional-
  hazards models
Study Population
• A total of 45 patients (3.3%) in the eplerenone group and 51
  patients (3.7%) in the placebo group were enrolled on the
  basis of a QRS duration > 130 msec. (with EF b/n 30-35%)

• 195 patients (14.3%) in the eplerenone group and 190
  patients (13.8%) in the placebo group were enrolled on the
  basis of the BNP or N-terminal pro-BNP criterion (with no IP
  admission over past 180 days)

• About 50% had history of MI (all > 30 days prior)
Study Details
• Eight patients (four in each study group) did not start the
  study medication and were not included in the safety analysis

• After completion of the dose-adjustment phase, at 5 months,
  60.2% of patients who had been assigned to receive
  eplerenone were taking the higher dose (50 mg daily)

• The corresponding proportion in the placebo was 60.5%

• The mean doses in each group was 39.1±13.8 mg and
  40.8±12.9 mg respectively
Study Details
• At the trial cutoff date, the study drug had been discontinued
  in 222 patients (16.3%) receiving eplerenone and 228 patients
  (16.6%) receiving placebo.

• At the trial cutoff date, 17 patients (1.2%) in the eplerenone
  group and 15 patients (1.1%) in the placebo group were lost
  to follow-up.

• The median duration of follow-up among all patients was 21
  months, with 4783 patient-years of follow-up.
Outcomes
Results
Results
NNT
• The estimated number of patients who would
  need to be treated to prevent one primary
  outcome from occurring, per year of follow-
  up, was 19 (95% CI, 15 to 27)

• The estimated number needed to treat to
  postpone one death, per year of follow-up,
  was 51 (95% CI, 32 to 180).
Safety
• During the course of the study, 188 patients
  (13.8%) receiving eplerenone and 222 patients
  (16.2%) receiving placebo discontinued the
  study drug because of an adverse event (P =
  0.09) – Analyzed numbers are in the next
  table.
Adverse Events
Review of Terms
• Event rate: # of people experiencing an event
         as a fraction of the total at-risk population
       ex: 15% rate of MI in control group (CER)
           5% rate of MI in experimental group (EER)

• Relative risk: likelihood of the event happening in the
  experimental group as compared to the control group
  (Ideally, experimental or therapy group should have lower
  risk of event than control, ie ratio <1.0)
       ex: 5% therapy group/15% control group = 0.333
          Therapy pts have 1/3 the risk of MI as control patients
Review of Terms
• RRR: difference between control and experimental event rates
  in relative terms – ie what proportion of risk reduction does the
  therapy contribute as compared to baseline risk?
       ex: 15%-5%/15% = 0.6666
      therapy pts have a 66% reduction in baseline rate of MI

• ARR: subtracted difference between experimental and control
  event rates
       ex: 15% - 5% = 10% absolute risk reduction

• NNT: How many pts need to receive the therapy to prevent one
  event? (ie not all pts that take the medication will benefit)
       ex: 1/10% = 10 pts treated to prevent one MI
One Caveat…In Population where Event Rate Is Low




 RRR:         66%       66%
 ARR:        10%        1.33%
 NNT:        10         75
Number Needed to Harm!!!
        Control      Exper      Relative      RRR         ARR         NNT
OUTCOME event        Event Rate   Risk     (CER-EER)    CER-EER     1/ARR
        Rate (%)     (%)        EER/CER    CER (95% CI)             (95% CI)

Death by     15.5%   12.5%      0.81       0.19        3%           33
any cause
Death by     13.5%   10.8%      0.80       0.20        2.7%         37
CV cause
CHF cause    18.4%   12%        0.65       0.35        6.4%         16
hospitaliz



HyperK       3.7%    8%         n/a        n/a         4.3%         23
                                                       (increase)   (NNH)
Are the Results Meaningful?
• Very clinically relevant outcomes
  – Easily applicable, meaningful to patients

• AKI, hyperkalemia, hypotension considered &
  reported
Can I Apply the Results to Patient Care?

Are the study patients similar to my patients?      YES

Is the intervention feasible in my practice setting? YES


Are the benefits worth the harms and costs?         YES*
Cautions
• Composite primary outcome – confusing to apply clinically

• Pharma funded (Pfizer, maker of eplerenone)
   – Eplerenone: $113/month
   – Spironolactone: $14/month

• NNH for hyperkalemia lower than NNT for reducing death.. However
  no deaths from hyperkalemia, no difference in hyperK
  hospitalization rates
Bottom Line
• Addition of eplerenone to maximized CHF regimen
  (BB + ACEI/ARB) in Class II systolic HF patients
  reduced all-cause mortality and decreased CHF
  hospitalizations with a statistically significant, though
  probably acceptable, risk of hyperkalemia.

  – Extrapolate to spironolactone?
  – Choose reliable patients (given hyperK issues)
  – Recommendation not yet incorporated into CHF guidelines
HFSA - 2012
Study Validity
Criteria
Were pts randomized?                          YES
Was randomization concealed?                  YES
Were pts similar on important variables?      YES
Was “intention to treat” analysis done?       YES**
Were pts aware of group allocation?           YES
Were outcome assessors aware of allocation?   ?

Complete and long enough follow-up?           YES
Management of Systolic Heart Failure

                                                               Transplantation
                                                                      Inotropes

                                                 Nitrates, hydralazine
                                                      Aldosterone Antagonists

                                   Digoxin
                      Beta-blockers
       ACE inhibitors or AII Blockers

                                          Diuretics            Combinations
    Na+ restriction, alchohol abstinence, activity counseling, weight monitoring

   NYHA I       NYHA II                   NYHA III              NYHA IV
   Asymptomatic Mild                      Moderate              Severe
                symptoms                  symptoms              symptoms
Massie, B.M., Cardiology 2001;Section 5:p. 14.
EMPHASIS-HF
TOPCAT




TOPCAT is a multi-center, international, randomized, double blind placebo-controlled
trial of the aldosterone antagonist, spironolactone, in 3,445 adult subjects with heart
failure and left ventricular ejection fraction of at least 45%, recruited internationally from
over 200 clinical centers in the US, Canada, Russia, Republic of Georgia, Argentina,
and Brazil.
Thank You

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EMPHASIS HF

  • 1. Aldosterone Antagonists in Mild Heart Failure Harsha Nagarajarao June, 2012
  • 3. Objectives • Learn Patho-physiology of RAS pathway in heart failure • Analysis of EMPHASIS-HF trial • Brief overview of other trials looking on aldosterone antagonism in heart failure
  • 4. Myocardial Damage Fluid Restriction Myocardial Failure Inotropic Agents Low-sodium Diet Diuretics Venodilators Cardiac Output Ventricular Filling Arterial Dilators Pressures Preload Afterload Complementary Mechanisms Vasopressin Na+/H2O Retention Renin/angiotensin/aldosterone Venoconstriction Systemic Vascular Sympathetic Activity Resistance ACE Inhibitors ? Beta-blockers ARB Aldosterone Antag
  • 5.
  • 7. New Biology of Aldosterone For a long time Adrenal Cortex was thought off as a single source of Aldosterone • Aldosterone synthesis is widespread in the body outside of the adrenal cortex • Aldosterone receptors are widespread in the body as well as traditional renal receptors • Aldosterone produces endothelial vascular dysfunction • Aldosterone produces tissue injury and fibrosis—seen in the myocardium, kidney, fibrosis and cerebral tissues • Aldosterone produces baroreceptor dysfunction
  • 8. Aldosterone Receptor • Stimulated equally both by gluco-corticoids and mineralo-corticoids • But in-vivo only aldosterone can effectively activate the receptor • This is due to proximity of 11ß hydrosterone dehydrogenase – which is juxta-posed to aldosterone receptor and rapidly inactivates cortisol
  • 9. Genomic and Non-Genomic Actions • Aldosterone acts via traditional genomic transcription pathway which takes about 1-2 hours to reach its peak stimulation • But some actions are also immediate not involving transcription of new genes – what cause there immediate effects is still under debate
  • 10. Aldosterone • In vitro studies showed first that aldosterone reduced nitric oxide production in response in inflammatory stimuli. • In experimental animals in vivo, aldosterone was then found to produce a vascular inflammatory response with increased expression of cytokines such as osteopontin • Aldosterone blockade reduces both tissue injury and tissue fibrosis this protection is seen even when aldosterone blockade is given at a dose too low to alter blood pressure—that is, the tissue protective effect of aldosterone blockade in experimental models is not simply due to its antihypertensive effect.
  • 11. Tissue Level Effect of Aldostorone • Aldosterone may reduce NO bioactivity by increasing NADH oxidase induced free radical production which in turn degrades NO.
  • 13.
  • 15.
  • 16. Aldosterone Escape Defined in two different Contexts: 3.Escape from the sodium-retaining effects of excess aldosterone (or other mineralocorticoids) in primary hyperaldosteronism, manifested by volume and/or pressure natriuresis. •The inability of ACE inhibitor therapy to reliably suppress aldosterone release, for example, in patients with heart failure or diabetes, usually manifested by increased salt and water retention. This latter sense may rather be termed refractory hyperaldosteronism. hyperaldosteronism
  • 17. Aldosterone Escape • The importance of aldosterone in congestive heart failure has been overlooked in recent years because ACE-inhibitor–related reductions in angiotensin were thought to eliminate aldosterone production. • Such suppression of circulating aldosterone, however, is transient, as exemplified by the term “escape” used to describe the phenomenon.
  • 18.
  • 19. Aldosterone Escape Brevity of Aldosterone suppression is explained by: -Potent stimuli for Aldosterone suppression may counter-act ACEI due to often used low dosage of medications secondary to limitations like hypotension and renal failure. •E.g.: upright posture, physical activity, and excessive restriction of dietary sodium (to less than 3 g per day).
  • 20. Aldosterone Escape Contd.. • Some aldosterone synthesis is also independent of angiotensin concentration • For example, potassium-dependent aldosterone secretion is independent of angiotensin concentrations and is integral to intravascular volume regulation. • This mechanism comes into play when sodium intake is excessively restricted, the use of loop diuretics leads to substantial urinary sodium losses, and potassium supplementation is used to counteract kaliuresis related to the use of loop diuretics. • Finally, the role of reduced metabolic clearance of aldosterone and the biologic activity of its metabolites cannot be overlooked.
  • 22. CHF and Aldosterone • In patients with congestive heart failure, plasma aldosterone concentrations may reach 20 times the normal level. • Two pathophysiologic mechanisms contribute to the increased concentrations.
  • 23. Aldosterone in CHF • The first is an increase in the rate of aldosterone production by the adrenal glands due to activation of RAS. • The second, and not widely recognized, mechanism is a decreased rate of hepatic aldosterone clearance = causes plasma aldosterone concentrations to triple or quadruple. • The primary determinant of aldosterone metabolism is hepatic blood flow. In patients with congestive heart failure, the rate of aldosterone clearance by the liver falls to 25 to 50 percent of the normal rate.
  • 24. Aldosterone Hypothesized to be Causing Myocardial Fibrosis
  • 25. ACEI in Near Normal Hearts All Cause Mortality Perindopril Trandalopirl Primary end point NOT met. Ramipril Enalapril Ramipril – Post MI Captopril – post MI Enalapril Trandalopirl Post MI
  • 28. Background • Context – CHF is the most common reason for hospital admission – ACEI/ARB and Mineralocorticoid antagonists improve survival in: • NYHA Class III/IV patients with systolic HF (RALES trial) • Patients post acute-MI with LV dysfunction/CHF (EPHESUS trial) – Current standard of care: add mineralocorticoid to class III/IV systolic HF pt already on BB + ACEI – What about my clinic CHF patient with only mild symptoms?
  • 32.
  • 33. Clinical Question • Population: patients with systolic heart failure (EF ≤ 35%) and mild sxs (NYHA Class II) • Intervention: eplerenone (up to 50mg daily) + standard therapy (ie BB, ACEI) • Comparison: placebo + standard therapy • Outcome: death, hospitalization rates
  • 34.
  • 35. Study Oversight • The executive steering committee designed and oversaw the conduct of the trial and data analysis in collaboration with representatives of the study sponsor (Pfizer). • The trial was monitored by an independent data and safety monitoring committee. • Data were collected, managed, and analyzed by the sponsor according to a predefined statistical analysis plan, and the analyses were replicated by an independent academic statistician.
  • 36.
  • 37. Study Design • Setting: 278 centers, 29 countries • Participants : – 2737 patients, age ≥55 – NYHA Class II, EF ≤30% or ≤35% if QRS>130 – already on maximized ACE or ARB + BB – hospitalization within 6 months OR ↑BNP – Excluded: baseline K >5.0, GFR <30 • Placebo vs. 25mg eplerenone daily – Both placebo and eplerenone were uptitrated – Lab checks with any dose adjustment – Decrease/stopped study med for hyperK
  • 38. Dose was lower for GFR between 30 and 49 (provided potassium levels were less than - Started at 25 mg every other day and then went up to 25 mg daily
  • 39. Procedures • Follow up every 4 months • Investigators were asked to stop the drug if k was > 6 and decrease the dose if between 5 to 5.9 • Potassium was re-measured with in 72 hours in those with k > 6 and only re-started if repeat levels were < 5
  • 40. Outcomes • The primary outcome was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes or a first hospitalization for heart failure. • The pre specified secondary outcomes were hospitalization for heart failure or death from any cause, death from cardiovascular causes, hospitalization for any reason
  • 41. Statistics • The initial assumptions were that, with 2584 patients and an annual event rate of 18% in the placebo group (based on data from a subgroup analysis of the Candesartan in Heart Failure: Assessment of Reduction in Mortality and Morbidity– Added trial [CHARM-Added]) • It was estimated that trial would require 813 patients with a primary outcome occurring within 48 months to achieve 80% power to detect an 18% relative reduction in the risk of the primary outcome in the eplerenone group as compared with the placebo
  • 42. Statistics • The data and safety monitoring committee’s charter specified interim analyses of the primary outcome after approximately 271 and 542 events had occurred, with a statistical stopping guideline for an overwhelming benefit (two-sided P<0.001 in favor of eplerenone). • In May 6, 2010, after the second interim analysis, the data and safety monitoring committee reported that the prespecified stopping boundary for an overwhelming benefit had been crossed. • The full executive committee was informed, decided to stop the trial
  • 43. Statistics • Two study groups was assessed by means of a two-sample t-test, for continuous variables, or Fisher’s exact test, for categorical variables. • Primary and secondary outcomes were conducted on data from all patients who had undergone randomization, according to the intention-to-treat principle, with the use of Kaplan–Meier estimates and Cox proportional- hazards models
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. Study Population • A total of 45 patients (3.3%) in the eplerenone group and 51 patients (3.7%) in the placebo group were enrolled on the basis of a QRS duration > 130 msec. (with EF b/n 30-35%) • 195 patients (14.3%) in the eplerenone group and 190 patients (13.8%) in the placebo group were enrolled on the basis of the BNP or N-terminal pro-BNP criterion (with no IP admission over past 180 days) • About 50% had history of MI (all > 30 days prior)
  • 47. Study Details • Eight patients (four in each study group) did not start the study medication and were not included in the safety analysis • After completion of the dose-adjustment phase, at 5 months, 60.2% of patients who had been assigned to receive eplerenone were taking the higher dose (50 mg daily) • The corresponding proportion in the placebo was 60.5% • The mean doses in each group was 39.1±13.8 mg and 40.8±12.9 mg respectively
  • 48. Study Details • At the trial cutoff date, the study drug had been discontinued in 222 patients (16.3%) receiving eplerenone and 228 patients (16.6%) receiving placebo. • At the trial cutoff date, 17 patients (1.2%) in the eplerenone group and 15 patients (1.1%) in the placebo group were lost to follow-up. • The median duration of follow-up among all patients was 21 months, with 4783 patient-years of follow-up.
  • 52. NNT • The estimated number of patients who would need to be treated to prevent one primary outcome from occurring, per year of follow- up, was 19 (95% CI, 15 to 27) • The estimated number needed to treat to postpone one death, per year of follow-up, was 51 (95% CI, 32 to 180).
  • 53. Safety • During the course of the study, 188 patients (13.8%) receiving eplerenone and 222 patients (16.2%) receiving placebo discontinued the study drug because of an adverse event (P = 0.09) – Analyzed numbers are in the next table.
  • 55. Review of Terms • Event rate: # of people experiencing an event as a fraction of the total at-risk population ex: 15% rate of MI in control group (CER) 5% rate of MI in experimental group (EER) • Relative risk: likelihood of the event happening in the experimental group as compared to the control group (Ideally, experimental or therapy group should have lower risk of event than control, ie ratio <1.0) ex: 5% therapy group/15% control group = 0.333 Therapy pts have 1/3 the risk of MI as control patients
  • 56. Review of Terms • RRR: difference between control and experimental event rates in relative terms – ie what proportion of risk reduction does the therapy contribute as compared to baseline risk? ex: 15%-5%/15% = 0.6666 therapy pts have a 66% reduction in baseline rate of MI • ARR: subtracted difference between experimental and control event rates ex: 15% - 5% = 10% absolute risk reduction • NNT: How many pts need to receive the therapy to prevent one event? (ie not all pts that take the medication will benefit) ex: 1/10% = 10 pts treated to prevent one MI
  • 57. One Caveat…In Population where Event Rate Is Low RRR: 66% 66% ARR: 10% 1.33% NNT: 10 75
  • 58. Number Needed to Harm!!! Control Exper Relative RRR ARR NNT OUTCOME event Event Rate Risk (CER-EER) CER-EER 1/ARR Rate (%) (%) EER/CER CER (95% CI) (95% CI) Death by 15.5% 12.5% 0.81 0.19 3% 33 any cause Death by 13.5% 10.8% 0.80 0.20 2.7% 37 CV cause CHF cause 18.4% 12% 0.65 0.35 6.4% 16 hospitaliz HyperK 3.7% 8% n/a n/a 4.3% 23 (increase) (NNH)
  • 59. Are the Results Meaningful? • Very clinically relevant outcomes – Easily applicable, meaningful to patients • AKI, hyperkalemia, hypotension considered & reported
  • 60. Can I Apply the Results to Patient Care? Are the study patients similar to my patients? YES Is the intervention feasible in my practice setting? YES Are the benefits worth the harms and costs? YES*
  • 61. Cautions • Composite primary outcome – confusing to apply clinically • Pharma funded (Pfizer, maker of eplerenone) – Eplerenone: $113/month – Spironolactone: $14/month • NNH for hyperkalemia lower than NNT for reducing death.. However no deaths from hyperkalemia, no difference in hyperK hospitalization rates
  • 62. Bottom Line • Addition of eplerenone to maximized CHF regimen (BB + ACEI/ARB) in Class II systolic HF patients reduced all-cause mortality and decreased CHF hospitalizations with a statistically significant, though probably acceptable, risk of hyperkalemia. – Extrapolate to spironolactone? – Choose reliable patients (given hyperK issues) – Recommendation not yet incorporated into CHF guidelines
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  • 78. Study Validity Criteria Were pts randomized? YES Was randomization concealed? YES Were pts similar on important variables? YES Was “intention to treat” analysis done? YES** Were pts aware of group allocation? YES Were outcome assessors aware of allocation? ? Complete and long enough follow-up? YES
  • 79. Management of Systolic Heart Failure Transplantation Inotropes Nitrates, hydralazine Aldosterone Antagonists Digoxin Beta-blockers ACE inhibitors or AII Blockers Diuretics Combinations Na+ restriction, alchohol abstinence, activity counseling, weight monitoring NYHA I NYHA II NYHA III NYHA IV Asymptomatic Mild Moderate Severe symptoms symptoms symptoms Massie, B.M., Cardiology 2001;Section 5:p. 14.
  • 81. TOPCAT TOPCAT is a multi-center, international, randomized, double blind placebo-controlled trial of the aldosterone antagonist, spironolactone, in 3,445 adult subjects with heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction of at least 45%, recruited internationally from over 200 clinical centers in the US, Canada, Russia, Republic of Georgia, Argentina, and Brazil.

Editor's Notes

  1. Kaplan Meier curves showed statistically significant reduction in combined primary outcome of reduction in CV death and/or 1 st CHF hospitalization. Similar curves for both death from any cause (figure B) as well as hospitalization for any reason, hospitalization for CHF.
  2. As expected there was a higher rate of hyperkalemia in the eplerenone group than placebo. However there was no statistically significant difference between rates of hypotension or renal failure.
  3. An important concept to realize when interpreting RRR and ARR. In populations where the event rate is low, RRR and ARR can be very different. Ie RRR can still seem very impressive when absolute risk reduction is very small. Drug companies like to report RRR because it may sound more impressive than ARR.
  4. Plug in your calculated values and describe. Note, you can calculate a “number needed to harm or NNH” just as you would calculate a NNT. You still calculate the absolute difference between risk of event in control vs. experimental group. 3.7-8% would be negative 4.3% - an absolute difference of 4.3%. The inverse of this is the NNH.
  5. *provided your patient is reliable enough to return for lab monitoring with med titration.
  6. **BOTH ITT and adjusted analysis were performed and reported, except for safety analysis where pts who never took study drug were excluded