The document discusses sustainable mobility trends around the world and the need for a paradigm shift in transportation. It outlines strategies to avoid and shift trips to more efficient modes, improve technology and operations, but notes that not enough change is currently happening. It then provides examples of emerging trends that indicate movement towards more sustainable transportation systems, such as increased cycling and public transit ridership in some cities and new policies around congestion pricing, vehicle quotas, and low-emission zones.

1. Sustainable Mobility Trends around the World Darío Hidalgo, PhD Director Research and Practice EMBARQ

2. We Insist in a Paradigm Shift
Moving Cars
Moving People

3. Global Report on Human Settlements 2013
http://www.unhabitat. org/content.asp?typeid=19&catid=555&cid=12336

4. We think we have it clear how
Avoid
Shift
Improve
Quantity and length of motorized trips
To the most efficient modes
Technology and operations

5. But not enough change is happening

6. Why?
Dispersed single land use
Increased urban area
Inncreased Motorization
[Predicton of Vehicular Flows]
Provision of Road Capacity

7. Soultion of Obesity
Eating
Lack of
Exercise
Getting
FAT
Expanding
the Size of
The Pants
Lewis Mumford 1895 - 1990

8. Some champions of putting cities on “diet”

9. Political Will – Community Support Technical Capacity to Plan, Implement, Improve Finance – Infrastructure and Operations Capturing the Trends
Keys for a paradigm shift

10. Something is already happening to our younger genrations

11. Proportion of licensed drivers by age (1998-2008)
Driving is not as cool as it used to be
Sivak and Schoettle, 2011 http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/handle/2027.42/86680/102764.pdf

12. Passenger Car Travel (1990=100) Peak Travel?
Source: International Transport Forum 2012

13. Photo by Alan Crawford, http://www.bikeleague.org/

14. Cycling on the Rise - USA
http://www.bikeleague.org/content/acs- bike-commuting-continues-rise

15. Really shy compared with Western Europe
http://www.fietsberaad.nl/library/repository/bestanden/Fietsberaad_ publicatie7_Engels.pdf

16. http://citymaus.tumblr.com/post/1986376111/cphbikehighways

17. New trends picking up

18. Vehicle demand management

19. Congestion pricing – emerging
Year

20. Received wide implementation due to EU’s health-based air quality standard; Additional 100 EU cities will implement LEZs
Low emission zones - tipping in European Union

21. Caps the number of new vehicle registrations Formats
Beijing, Guiyang – Lottery
Singapore, Shanghai – Auction
Guangzhou and Tianjin – Auction and Lottery
Vehicle quota system – on the rise in China
Year

22. http://churumuri.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/11july07kpn78.jpg

23. TransMilenio, Bogotá, 104 km 2 million pax/day

24. Metro rail - tipping in China London 1863; 189 cities - 10,500 kilometers - 112 million pax/day;
189 Cities
10,500 km
112 MM pax/day
168 Cities 4,424 km 31 MM pax/day

27. Global Growth of Car Sharing 2000-2012

28. Urban design for access

29. Multimodal Integration
Touch and ride with the newest innovation from Google. Photo by yoshinari.

31. The future is not what it used to be; we see some indications of change, but not enough is happening!

32. Our Role

33. www.bogotacomovamos.org

34. Today 2041
Automobility Sustainable Transport
Population (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2
Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75
Area (Sq. Km.) 1330 6484 3242
Emissions
(million Tons CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97
Traffic Fatalities
(per yr) 175 5,232 1,225
Ahmedabad – Future Scenarios
If all of this happens you end up with very
different cities: liveable, affordable, safe

35. And a very different planet
42,971
33,194
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Road Travel (Billion Veh-Km)
4 Degree Scenario
2 Degree Scenario
Source: IEA (2012) Energy Technology Perspectives
22,8% reduction in vehicle-km USD 20 Trillion Savings

36. With 1.3 million people not killed in traffic
3,783,009
5,098,418
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Worldwide annual traffic fatalities
2 Degree Scenario
4 Degree Scenario
Source: EMBARQ Analysis, Duduta and Hidalgo (2013)
1.315.409 lives/year saved due to the reduction in VKT

37. Streets for people not roads for cars

38. Thank You! ¡Muchas Gracias! धन्यवाद

39. http://gehlarchitects.files.wordpress.com/2012/09/header.jpg