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Climate Change Effective Strategies for Highway Users AHUA Conference October 20, 2009
Climate change is real …  and is already happening ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
60-80% GHG reductions are needed ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What should the GHG reduction target be for the transportation sector? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Five  GHG Reduction “Legs” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Vehicle/fuel improvements will be the  dominant  source of GHG reductions for LDVs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Vehicle “decarbonization” is necessary   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
But more GHG reductions are needed ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One Scenario to Achieve  74% LDV GHG Reduction by 2050 1% Annual VMT Growth + 100 mpgge LDV Fleet + 10% Operational Efficiency
U.S.  VMT growth rates are declining– but  will zero or negative VMT growth be expected? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  Alan Pisarski and Cambridge Systematics
Many strategies to reduce LDV VMT* ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  Strategies:  Pricing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Carpooling and Vanpooling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transit helps reduce GHG – but < 2% ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Land use effect on GHG:  Small, even with aggressive assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Moving Cooler” – Heroic strategies reduce GHG only 16% over 40 years ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Vehicle/system operations to reduce GHG ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Eco-driving vs. land use ,[object Object],[object Object]
State Climate Action Plans ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
State Climate Plans – Transportation Elements Vary All Across the Map 17% 49% 14% 21% 2028 VT 14% 31% 10% 46% 2020 RI 0% 18% 36% 45% 2025 PA 4% 27% 11% 59% 2020 NY 20% 45% 12% 24% 2025 MD 1% 21% 25% 53% 2020 ME 2% 8% 38% 51% 2020 CT 1% 29% 55% 14% 2020 SC 15% 38% 12% 35% 2020 NC 25% 25% 35% 15% 2025 MN Other Smart Growth and Transit Low Carbon Fuels Vehicle Year State
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Cindy Burbank's Presentation to the 2009 Highway Users Annual Meeting

  • 1. Climate Change Effective Strategies for Highway Users AHUA Conference October 20, 2009
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. One Scenario to Achieve 74% LDV GHG Reduction by 2050 1% Annual VMT Growth + 100 mpgge LDV Fleet + 10% Operational Efficiency
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. State Climate Plans – Transportation Elements Vary All Across the Map 17% 49% 14% 21% 2028 VT 14% 31% 10% 46% 2020 RI 0% 18% 36% 45% 2025 PA 4% 27% 11% 59% 2020 NY 20% 45% 12% 24% 2025 MD 1% 21% 25% 53% 2020 ME 2% 8% 38% 51% 2020 CT 1% 29% 55% 14% 2020 SC 15% 38% 12% 35% 2020 NC 25% 25% 35% 15% 2025 MN Other Smart Growth and Transit Low Carbon Fuels Vehicle Year State
  • 21.