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“Window on the World
     of Retail”


     29th May, 2008
Agenda
• A Global Tour of the world of retail
      - Rodney Fitch, Fitch Global

• The Collaborative Experience in Virtual Worlds –
      - Rick Brindle, Kraft Foods

• Panel: World’s Collide!
Window on the World of Retail
• Exploration of what is happening in the real world of
  retail
   –   mature to emerging markets
   –   global players adapting to local markets
   –   local retailers reinventing formats
   –   changing consumer drivers (eg luxury vs value)
   –   technology changing our world

• Learnings from emerging and enabling eCommerce
  technologies
   – virtual worlds of social networking and 2nd life
   – challenges of convergence between ‘real’ and ‘virtual’
   – changes to business models required for future success
Panel Discussion: World’s collide
• What are the implications for the future?
• How can we use the experience of the
  convergence between real and 'virtual'
  worlds to change our business models?
Agenda
• A Global Tour of the world of retail
      - Rodney Fitch, Fitch Global
WINDOWONTHEWORLD
WINDOWONTHEWORLD




   RODNEY FITCH CBE
   rodneyfitch@fitch.com




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
FOUR PROPOSITIONS…

“…SHOPPING IS THE PURPOSE OF LIFE…..”


“…SUCCESSFUL RETAILING WILL ALWAYS MIRROR THE
SOCIETY IT SERVES…..”


“…THE TECTONIC PLATES OF WORLD RETAILING ARE SHIFTING…..”


“…INNOVATION AND THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE
ARE PARAMOUNT…..”




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
SHOPPING IS THE PURPOSE OF LIFE…
AND DRIVER OF CHANGE…

GLOBAL
…THE WORLD’S TOP 5 RETAILERS HAVE A
COMBINED REVENUE OF $600 BILLION….
MORE THAN THE ENTIRE ECONOMIES OF SWEDEN,
THAILAND AND KUWAIT COMBINED


…THE IKEA CATALOGUE HAS A CIRCULATION OF
110 MILLION - FOUR TIMES GREATER THAN THE
BIBLE


…ONLINE SHOPPING IN THE UK GREW BY 50% IN
2006


…THERE ARE MORE AVON LADIES IN BRAZIL THAN
PERSONNEL IN THE ARMED FORCES (GFK)


WINDOWONTHEWORLD
WHICH DO YOU PERSONALLY DO TO IMPROVE YOUR SENSE OF WELLBEING?




CONSISTENTLY RANKED AS ONE OF THE TOP FOUR ACTIVITIES THAT IMPROVES CONSUMERS SENSE OF WELLBEING
2007: AVERAGE LEVEL OF IMPORTANCE OF ACTIVITY IN MATURE MARKETS 40% AND 42% IN EMERGING MARKETS
A INCREASE OF IMPORTANCE OF 5% IN MATURE MARKETS AND 9% IN EMERGING SINCE 2003
BRAZIL IN THE TOP QUARTILE



WINDOWONTHEWORLD
BUT SUCCESSFUL RETAILING MUST ALWAYS
MIRROR THE SOCIETY IT SERVES….


USA           MORE CONSERVATIVE, LESS INNOVATIVE, MORE LIFESTYLE DRIVEN

DUBAI         A VISION TO BECOME THE WORLD’S TOURISM AND SHOPPING
              DESTINATION, WITH MORE AND BIGGER MALLS

UK            BECOMING A NATION OF ‘ARMCHAIR SHOPPERS’ WITH ONLINE GROWTH
              TWICE THAT OF EUROPE

RUSSIA        SHIFT FROM COMMAND TO DEMAND ECONOMY

INDIA         BURGEONING SPENDING CLASS,WITH THE WORLD’S LARGEST AND
              YOUNGEST MIDDLE CLASS

BRAZIL        YOUNGER, MORE ASPIRATIONAL CUSTOMERS WILL NEED MODERN AND
              COMPELLING RETAIL




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
…A HISTORY OF RETAILING IN SIX IMAGES




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“…THE TECTONIC PLATES OF
 WORLD RETAILING ARE SHIFTING…”




                              REAL


                   MATURE              EMERGING
                   MARKETS             MARKETS


                             VIRTUAL




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
THERE IS NO WINDOW…THERE IS NO WORLD.
                   RATHER THERE ARE
MANY WINDOWS AND MANY WORLDS…




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“…THE TECTONIC PLATES OF
 WORLD RETAILING ARE SHIFTING…”

  MATURE MARKETS               EMERGING MARKETS

  CONSOLIDATION                          CHOICE
  TECHNOLOGY                   ORGANISED SECTOR
  NEW FORMATS                      GLOBALISATION
  SUSTAINABILITY                   TRAINED STAFF
  PRO-ACTIVE CONSUMERS    ASPIRATIONAL CONSUMERS
  TRANSFER BRAND EQUITY            LOCAL PLAYERS
  LUXURY (EXCLUSIVITY)           LUXURY (STATUS)



WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“RETAIL PIONEER AMAZON EUROPE IS            “THE MALL IS FULL OF ENERGY. IT’S FULL OF
PLANNING TO AQUIRE A MAJORITY STAKE IN      LIFE…THERE YOU CAN DO ANYTHING YOU
LOVEFILM - WHO ITSELF CONTROLS 70% OF       WANT…AT HOME IT’S RESTRICTED AND
THE INTERNET RENTAL MARKET” (MINTEL 2008)   BORING” (TECHNOPAK, INDIA 2007)




MATURE                                      EMERGING
CONSOLIDATION…                              CHOICE…




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“BY 2011 70% OF THE UK SHOPPING       “…WITH 95% OF INDIA’S RETAIL SALES HELD
POPULATION WILL REGULARLY BE BUYING   BY THE TRADITIONAL SECTOR THINGS HAVE
GOODS ONLINE COMPARED TO JUST OVER    TO CHANGE...”
50% OF CONSUMERS TODAY (PRICE
WATERHOUSE COOPER LLP 2008)




MATURE                                EMERGING
TECHNOLOGY…                           ORGANISED RETAIL…




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“TO INCREASE MARKET SHARE AND       “IN RUSSIA TOTAL RETAIL SALES ARE
ATTRACT NEW CUSTOMERS BEST BUY      EXPECTED TO DOUBLE BY 2010 FROM
CONSTANTLY EXPLORE NEW IDEAS AND    $245BN TO $526BN - MAKING IT THE 9TH
RECENTLY DEVELOPED THREE NEW        LARGEST RETAIL MARKET IN THE WORLD”
FORMATS - STUDIO D, ESCAPE AND EQ   (MINTEL 2007)
LIFE” (BEST BUY)


MATURE                              EMERGING
NEW FORMATS…                        GLOBALISATION…                         a
                                                                           Q




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“88% OF UK CONSUMERS MENTIONED AT         “INDIA: 45M GRADUATE POPULATION YET
LEAST ONE ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUE OF          700M DEPEND ON AGRICULTURE”
CONCERN AND 60% AT LEAST ONE              (DEMOS 2007)
ETHICAL ISSUE”
(MINTEL GREEN & ETHICAL CONSUMERS 2007)   “THE GROWING ORGANISED SECTOR WILL
                                          NEED 10M TRAINED STAFF BY 2010”
                                          (TECHNOPAK, INDIA 2007)

MATURE                                    EMERGING
SUSTAINABILITY…                           TRAINED STAFF…




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“H&M’S FACEBOOK GROUP PROMOTING ITS    “I DON’T THINK THERE IS A SINGLE PERSON
RECENT FASHION AGAINST AIDS CAMPAIGN   WHO DOESN’T LIKE SHOPPING…”
BOASTS 27,568 FRIENDS WORLDWIDE”       (TECHNOPAK 2007)
                                       1 IN 10 PEOPLE ON THE PLANET ARE UNDER 25
                                       AND LIVING IN INDIA (CNN)



MATURE                                 EMERGING
PRO-ACTIVE                             ASPIRATIONAL
CONSUMERS…                             CONSUMERS…




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“OWN LABEL BRANDS ARE FUELLING THE     “OF THE US $30 BN TO BE INVESTED IN
GROWTH OF THE EU FOOD RETAIL MARKET,   ORGANISED INDIAN RETAIL OVER THE NEXT
EXPECTED TO RISE 36% IN A DECADE TO    4-5 YEARS, US $20 BN WILL COME FROM
€1,063BN BY 2010” (MINTEL, 2008)       INDIAN BUSINESSES” (TECHNOPAK, INDIA 2007)




MATURE                                 EMERGING
TRANSFER OF                            EMERGENCE OF
BRAND EQUITY…                          LOCAL PLAYERS…




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
“£135K THE COST OF A PRIVATE SPACE   “THE GLOBAL NUMBER OF THOSE CLASSED AS
FLIGHT IN 2012 ” (THE TIMES)         WEALTHY (WITH PORTFOLIOS OVER €1M), HAS
                                     DOUBLED OVER A DECADE”
                                     (WORLD WEALTH REPORT 07)
                                     “A PRADA HANDBAG IS EQUAL TO ABOUT HALF
                                     THE ANNUAL INCOME OF THE AVERAGE
                                     BRAZILIAN HOUSEHOLD”

MATURE                               EMERGING
RETURN TO         EXPLOSION OF
EXCLUSIVE LUXURY… LUXURY STATUS…




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
INNOVATION AND THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING
EXPERIENCE ARE PARAMOUNT…
                    REAL




MATURE                       EMERGING




                   VIRTUAL
WINDOWONTHEWORLD
THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE
NEW FORMATS - POPUP




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   ILLY, VENICE
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   STARBUCKS SALON, NEW YORK
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   MOTOROLA RED, CHICAGO
THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE
NEW FORMATS - TARGETTED OFFERS




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
PLASTIC SURGERY - SINCE 500 AD




TRIGONOMETRY - SINCE 700 AD                     SPACE OBSERVATORY - 1727 BC




  WINDOWONTHEWORLD            TESCO, LONDON   CARREFOUR, BUENOS AIRES
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   CARNIVAL, DALLAS
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   COS, LONDON
THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE
NEW LUXURY




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   HARVEY NICHOLS, ISTANBUL
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   PAUL SMITH, LONDON
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   PAUL&JOE/TARGET, MELROSE AVE LA
THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE
ONLINE




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   NET-A-PORTER WEBSITE
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   AMAZON WEBSITE
PLASTIC SURGERY - SINCE 500 AD




TRIGONOMETRY - SINCE 700 AD                     SPACE OBSERVATORY - 1727 BC




  WINDOWONTHEWORLD            DELL WEBSITE   COURTS, SINGAPORE
FOUR THOUGHTS…


NEW RETAIL RITUALS


GENEROUS BRANDS


THE C2C COMMUNITY


FREE’TAIL


WINDOWONTHEWORLD
™
RITUALS
CONSUMERS ARE SEARCHING FOR A MORE STRUCTURED
SHOPPING EXPERIENCE AND EQUALLY RETAILERS AND BRANDS ARE
LOOKING FOR WAYS OF CREATING MARKERS IN PEOPLES LIVES
THAT HELP TO BUILD LOYALTY AND A REASON TO RETURN.

EXPLORING NEW RETAIL RITUALS CAN BEGIN TO ESTABLISH A
COUNTER POINT TO THE INCREASING NUMBER OF SALES BEING
MADE ON LINE, PROMPTING A VISIT VERSUS WAITNG FOR
CONSUMERS TO ARRIVE.




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
WINDOWONTHEWORLD   SELFRIDGES - EAT MY CITY
™
GENEROUSBRANDS
IN A WORLD WHERE CONSUMERS ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY AWARE OF
‘MEAN’ BRANDS FITCH HAS BEGUN RESEARCHING THE CONCEPT OF GENEROSITY.
GENEROUS BRANDS ARE THE ONES WHO SHOW MORE OF A HEARTBEAT, TAKE
THE FIRST STEP AND DISPLAY A GENUINE UNDERSTANDING OF THEIR
CUSTOMERS NEEDS.

THIS IS A LONG WAY FROM 2 FOR 1 DEALS AND BONUS POINTS, BUT RATHER A
TONE OF VOICE AND GENERAL PERSONALITY THAT ENCOURAGES CONSUMERS
TO WARM TO THEIR OFFER.




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
Subject: The Commoditization of the Starbucks
Experience

As you prepare for the FY 08 strategic planning process, I
want to share some of my thoughts with you.

Over the past ten years, in order to achieve the growth,
development, and scale necessary to go from less than 1,000
stores to 13,000 stores and beyond, we have had to make a
series of decisions that, in retrospect, have lead to the
watering down of the Starbucks experience, and,
what some might call the commoditization of our brand.

HEARTFELT MEMO FROM HOWARD SHULTZ
FEB 14 2007



WINDOWONTHEWORLD
C2C
COMMUNITY




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
FROM ‘AVON LADIES’ TO
FRIEND AS SHOPKEEPER

A NEW RETAIL LANDSCAPE

REFERRAL AND SHARING
TRANSACTIONS

FROM FARMERS MARKETS TO
PEOPLE MARKETS




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
FREETAIL
WHYPAY?
THE ‘PENNY GAP’
Zero Market versus The Rest

ECOSYSTEM MARKETS

THE ‘ATTENTION’ ECONOMY

THE ‘REPUTATION’ECONOMY

‘FREEMIUM’




WINDOWONTHEWORLD
WINDOWONTHEWORLD
INNOVATION AND THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING
EXPERIENCE ARE PARAMOUNT…
                    REAL




MATURE                       EMERGING




                   VIRTUAL
WINDOWONTHEWORLD
Agenda
• A Global Tour of the world of retail
      - Rodney Fitch, Fitch Global

• The Collaborative Experience in Virtual Worlds
•           - Rick Brindle, Kraft Foods
The Collaborative Experience in
        Virtual Worlds
        Rick Brindle, Kraft Foods
Agenda

• Kraft.

• Emerging technologies changing OUR world.
   – Recent, Current, Future

• How our industry should participate.
One of Best Brand Portfolios in F&B Industry

        40+ Brands over 100 years old
        50+ Brands over $100 million
           9 Brands over $1 billion
Kraft’s Key Growth Platforms
   Health &
   Wellness         Snacking




Premium                 Quick Meals
Kraft eSales


Serving Two Major Constituencies

eTAILERS                   GROCERY
                 &
RETAILERS                  eCOMMERCE

            (since 1997)
In the U.S., “Grocery
Shopping”
ranks 24th out of 25
in terms of “Desirability”
of weekly household
tasks…

 …lower than “going to
          the dentist”!



                             Source: Supermarketguru.com
EU – “Shoppingas a a chore”
                View Shopping is Chore




     43.6

            34.5




Source: Verdict
By the first half of last year, sales were
£748 million…
          …up 35% versus 2006…
          …profit up 62%!
Receives over 300,000 orders each week.
Internet sales contributes ~ 4.2% of
Tesco's group profits and 3.1% of sales.
Customer base of more than one million
active users and up 20%!
e-Grocery Consumer is Too Important to Ignore!

  Busy Suburban Families Connected to the Internet

   Spend ~$5k/yr on food
   (+25% vs. avg. U.S. HH)

   Highly loyal to the home
   delivery channel
   (~80% share of wallet)

   Presence of children is
   the single biggest driver
   of order size

                                       Source: eMarketer.com
Before I go any further, a question…

              Are our children going to
   Mall
Shopping       buy their groceries the
  is an
 EVENT            same way we do?

  Grocery
 Shopping
                Communications? Relationships?
is a CHORE      Current Events? Entertainment?
             Electronics? Clothes? Cars? Pictures?
             Yard Sales? Directions? Information
                    Gathering? Real Estate?
                        Investments? …
Some Learning’s…
•   eBusiness is Business. Forget this and fail.

•   Success in eBusiness is defined by
    measurable business results
          increased sales/reduced costs
          improved productivity
          enhanced consumer satisfaction/loyalty


•   Three Major Factors have Accelerated
    Growth in Online Grocery:
       1. BROADBAND
       2. DEMOGRAPHICS
       3. MOBILITY
Broadband Penetration – U.S.
                                                            Rural   Suburban   Urban




        50%



2/3 of US Web Users are
        45%


   now on Broadband
        40%


        35%


        30%


        25%


        20%


        15%


        10%


         5%


         0%
                    ome                 ome                  ome                ome          ome           Work
                 1-H                 2-H                  3-H                4-H          5-H         e&
              200                 200                  200                200          200         Hom



  Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project, Feb. 2006
                                                                                                                  10
Broadband Penetration – EU




                      Netherlands,
                     > ž of EU Web
                   Denmark and UK
                   Users are now on
                    leading the way
                       Broadband
Broadband Penetration – EU




                            The correlation
                          between broadband
                          adoption and online
                           shopping is 0.86.


Source: Forrester
US – Women Dominate!
In 2006, Women
became the largest
user of the Internet.

Our best customer!

The Internet
Generation is
Growing up!
                        Source: eMarketer.com
EU – Woman are closing in!
Women use the Internet to…

 Shop.
 Research future purchases.
 Create Community.
 Self-Expression.
 Share their experiences with
 YOUR stores and brands!
Mobility
           “The device formerly
           known as the cell phone.”
The 4th
Screen
           Today, you follow the
           Internet…


           …In the next ten years, the
           Internet will follow you.
Mobility
 In 2006, 25% of the
 world’s 2B mobile phones
 are 2.5-3G…

 …This means they are
 broadband enabled.

 60% of EU will have 3G
 phones by 2010.
OBSERVATION
         GPS enabled POP!
 RU      POP Incentives…
         – Short Codes
READY?   – Mobile Couponing
         POP Advertising…
         – Video Clips
         POP information…
         – Amazon’s “textbuyit”.
Social revolution meets Technology evolution




                      Level of Interaction
                                                       3D Interaction




                                             Web 2.0




            Web 1.0


                                                                Time

                 The Social Web
What is a “Virtual World”
Also known as "digital worlds," "simulated worlds“,
“MUVE’s” and "MMOG's“, an interactive simulated
environment accessed by multiple users through an
online interface.

Five Common Features:
   1. Shared Space
   2. Graphical User Interface
   3. Immediacy
   4. Interactivity
   5. Socialization/Community
Virtual Worlds are here to stay

Collaboration
Prototyping
Marketing
Commerce
Innovation
Second Life – Fast Facts
 Population: >13,000,000
     … Tripled since 2/07!


 Gender:
  Male: 59%
  Female: 41%




                    Source: Linden Labs Monthly Data Report
Second Life – Top 10 Countries
       1. USA           36%
       2. Germany       8%
       3. UK            8%
       4. France        5%
       5. Japan         5%
       6. Italy         4%
       7. Brazil        4%
       8. Canada        3%
       9. Netherlands   3%
       10.Spain         3%
          Total         80%
                              Source: Linden Labs Monthly Data Report
Second Life – Fast Facts
Age Bucket   Num (%)       Time (%)
 13 – 17       1%                 .5%
 18 – 24      23%                 15%
 25 – 34      35%                 35%
  35 – 44     24%                 28%
  45 Plus     17%                 21%

      35+…49% of Time
     59% between 25-44 yrs.
                       Source: Linden Labs Monthly Data Report
Introducing!
For the Consumer:
     Education, celebration, connection


For the Retailer:
     Marketing research, path to future


For Kraft Foods:
     Leadership, consumer branding
• A supermarket – all Brands invited!
• Interactive CPG packages: nutritional information,
  recipes and promotional opportunities
• Virtual samplings
• Kraft Kitchens Cooking Institute
• The Food Forum
• Consumer focus group discussions
• Phil’s Food Club redeem points for rewards
• Monthly e-newsletter builds relationship in
  community (events and new products)
Why?
1. Build brand equity
2. Provide share and relationship building
   services for our valued retailers
3. Generate consumer learning’s via this
   emerging media
4. Create an open innovation learning
   environment for our customers, the
   industry and Kraft
Results to Date
1. Build Brand Equity.
   – 293mm media impressions in week one.
   – Created the “New Product Showcase”
   – Created the Maxwell House Coffee Café
   – Created the Kraft Kitchen’s Cooking Institute
     w/cooking videos on demand.
   – Rick’s Wine Cellar -- launched wine pairings list.
   – Over 27m visitors since launch.
   – Joined “Second Life Residents” face book group
Results to Date
1. Build Brand Equity.
2. Provide share and relationship building
   services for our valued Customers.
   – Created a confidential password driven conference
     room for focus group and strategy sessions.
   – Created a stadium for open forum discussions food
     and grocery retailing.
   – Conducted 35 store tours with customer partners
   – Exposure to several thousand retailers and
     wholesalers via keynote presentations
Results to Date
1. Build Brand Equity.
2. Provide share and relationship building
   services for our valued Customers.
3. Generate consumer learning’s via this
   emerging media
   – Provided a forum for over 20 confidential focus
     groups and/or associate meetings.
Results to Date
1. Build Brand Equity.
2. Provide share and relationship building
   services for our valued Customers.
3. Generate consumer learning’s via this
   emerging media
4. Create an open innovation learning
   environment for our customers, the
   industry and Kraft
   – Several other cpg manufacturers are involved!
   – Kwikee product images is providing 3-D product
     imaging to Kraft Foods and other cpg
     manufacturers’ participating in Phil’s.
Observations & Best Practices
The community is real.
Social responsibility is appreciated and rewarded.
A different environment is welcome.
Being too “corporate” is a risk.
Variety is key.
People will come to the store if there is an event
happening.
There is something dynamic and important
germinating here. It is smart to keep a close eye
and participate where practical.
It is the future and worth learning more about.
Conclusion

     LET’S
LEARN TOGETHER!
Agenda
• A Global Tour of the world of retail
  - Rodney Fitch, Fitch Global

• The Collaborative Experience in
  Virtual Worlds
  - Rick Brindle, Kraft Foods
• Panel: World’s Collide!
INNOVATION AND THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING
EXPERIENCE ARE PARAMOUNT…
                    REAL




MATURE                       EMERGING




                   VIRTUAL
WINDOWONTHEWORLD

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ECR Europe Forum '08. Window on the world of retail

  • 1. “Window on the World of Retail” 29th May, 2008
  • 2. Agenda • A Global Tour of the world of retail - Rodney Fitch, Fitch Global • The Collaborative Experience in Virtual Worlds – - Rick Brindle, Kraft Foods • Panel: World’s Collide!
  • 3. Window on the World of Retail • Exploration of what is happening in the real world of retail – mature to emerging markets – global players adapting to local markets – local retailers reinventing formats – changing consumer drivers (eg luxury vs value) – technology changing our world • Learnings from emerging and enabling eCommerce technologies – virtual worlds of social networking and 2nd life – challenges of convergence between ‘real’ and ‘virtual’ – changes to business models required for future success
  • 4. Panel Discussion: World’s collide • What are the implications for the future? • How can we use the experience of the convergence between real and 'virtual' worlds to change our business models?
  • 5. Agenda • A Global Tour of the world of retail - Rodney Fitch, Fitch Global
  • 7. WINDOWONTHEWORLD RODNEY FITCH CBE rodneyfitch@fitch.com WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 8. FOUR PROPOSITIONS… “…SHOPPING IS THE PURPOSE OF LIFE…..” “…SUCCESSFUL RETAILING WILL ALWAYS MIRROR THE SOCIETY IT SERVES…..” “…THE TECTONIC PLATES OF WORLD RETAILING ARE SHIFTING…..” “…INNOVATION AND THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE ARE PARAMOUNT…..” WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 9. SHOPPING IS THE PURPOSE OF LIFE… AND DRIVER OF CHANGE… GLOBAL …THE WORLD’S TOP 5 RETAILERS HAVE A COMBINED REVENUE OF $600 BILLION…. MORE THAN THE ENTIRE ECONOMIES OF SWEDEN, THAILAND AND KUWAIT COMBINED …THE IKEA CATALOGUE HAS A CIRCULATION OF 110 MILLION - FOUR TIMES GREATER THAN THE BIBLE …ONLINE SHOPPING IN THE UK GREW BY 50% IN 2006 …THERE ARE MORE AVON LADIES IN BRAZIL THAN PERSONNEL IN THE ARMED FORCES (GFK) WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 10. WHICH DO YOU PERSONALLY DO TO IMPROVE YOUR SENSE OF WELLBEING? CONSISTENTLY RANKED AS ONE OF THE TOP FOUR ACTIVITIES THAT IMPROVES CONSUMERS SENSE OF WELLBEING 2007: AVERAGE LEVEL OF IMPORTANCE OF ACTIVITY IN MATURE MARKETS 40% AND 42% IN EMERGING MARKETS A INCREASE OF IMPORTANCE OF 5% IN MATURE MARKETS AND 9% IN EMERGING SINCE 2003 BRAZIL IN THE TOP QUARTILE WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 11. BUT SUCCESSFUL RETAILING MUST ALWAYS MIRROR THE SOCIETY IT SERVES…. USA MORE CONSERVATIVE, LESS INNOVATIVE, MORE LIFESTYLE DRIVEN DUBAI A VISION TO BECOME THE WORLD’S TOURISM AND SHOPPING DESTINATION, WITH MORE AND BIGGER MALLS UK BECOMING A NATION OF ‘ARMCHAIR SHOPPERS’ WITH ONLINE GROWTH TWICE THAT OF EUROPE RUSSIA SHIFT FROM COMMAND TO DEMAND ECONOMY INDIA BURGEONING SPENDING CLASS,WITH THE WORLD’S LARGEST AND YOUNGEST MIDDLE CLASS BRAZIL YOUNGER, MORE ASPIRATIONAL CUSTOMERS WILL NEED MODERN AND COMPELLING RETAIL WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 12. …A HISTORY OF RETAILING IN SIX IMAGES WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 13. “…THE TECTONIC PLATES OF WORLD RETAILING ARE SHIFTING…” REAL MATURE EMERGING MARKETS MARKETS VIRTUAL WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 14. THERE IS NO WINDOW…THERE IS NO WORLD. RATHER THERE ARE MANY WINDOWS AND MANY WORLDS… WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 15. “…THE TECTONIC PLATES OF WORLD RETAILING ARE SHIFTING…” MATURE MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS CONSOLIDATION CHOICE TECHNOLOGY ORGANISED SECTOR NEW FORMATS GLOBALISATION SUSTAINABILITY TRAINED STAFF PRO-ACTIVE CONSUMERS ASPIRATIONAL CONSUMERS TRANSFER BRAND EQUITY LOCAL PLAYERS LUXURY (EXCLUSIVITY) LUXURY (STATUS) WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 16. “RETAIL PIONEER AMAZON EUROPE IS “THE MALL IS FULL OF ENERGY. IT’S FULL OF PLANNING TO AQUIRE A MAJORITY STAKE IN LIFE…THERE YOU CAN DO ANYTHING YOU LOVEFILM - WHO ITSELF CONTROLS 70% OF WANT…AT HOME IT’S RESTRICTED AND THE INTERNET RENTAL MARKET” (MINTEL 2008) BORING” (TECHNOPAK, INDIA 2007) MATURE EMERGING CONSOLIDATION… CHOICE… WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 17. “BY 2011 70% OF THE UK SHOPPING “…WITH 95% OF INDIA’S RETAIL SALES HELD POPULATION WILL REGULARLY BE BUYING BY THE TRADITIONAL SECTOR THINGS HAVE GOODS ONLINE COMPARED TO JUST OVER TO CHANGE...” 50% OF CONSUMERS TODAY (PRICE WATERHOUSE COOPER LLP 2008) MATURE EMERGING TECHNOLOGY… ORGANISED RETAIL… WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 18. “TO INCREASE MARKET SHARE AND “IN RUSSIA TOTAL RETAIL SALES ARE ATTRACT NEW CUSTOMERS BEST BUY EXPECTED TO DOUBLE BY 2010 FROM CONSTANTLY EXPLORE NEW IDEAS AND $245BN TO $526BN - MAKING IT THE 9TH RECENTLY DEVELOPED THREE NEW LARGEST RETAIL MARKET IN THE WORLD” FORMATS - STUDIO D, ESCAPE AND EQ (MINTEL 2007) LIFE” (BEST BUY) MATURE EMERGING NEW FORMATS… GLOBALISATION… a Q WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 19. “88% OF UK CONSUMERS MENTIONED AT “INDIA: 45M GRADUATE POPULATION YET LEAST ONE ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUE OF 700M DEPEND ON AGRICULTURE” CONCERN AND 60% AT LEAST ONE (DEMOS 2007) ETHICAL ISSUE” (MINTEL GREEN & ETHICAL CONSUMERS 2007) “THE GROWING ORGANISED SECTOR WILL NEED 10M TRAINED STAFF BY 2010” (TECHNOPAK, INDIA 2007) MATURE EMERGING SUSTAINABILITY… TRAINED STAFF… WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 20. “H&M’S FACEBOOK GROUP PROMOTING ITS “I DON’T THINK THERE IS A SINGLE PERSON RECENT FASHION AGAINST AIDS CAMPAIGN WHO DOESN’T LIKE SHOPPING…” BOASTS 27,568 FRIENDS WORLDWIDE” (TECHNOPAK 2007) 1 IN 10 PEOPLE ON THE PLANET ARE UNDER 25 AND LIVING IN INDIA (CNN) MATURE EMERGING PRO-ACTIVE ASPIRATIONAL CONSUMERS… CONSUMERS… WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 21. “OWN LABEL BRANDS ARE FUELLING THE “OF THE US $30 BN TO BE INVESTED IN GROWTH OF THE EU FOOD RETAIL MARKET, ORGANISED INDIAN RETAIL OVER THE NEXT EXPECTED TO RISE 36% IN A DECADE TO 4-5 YEARS, US $20 BN WILL COME FROM €1,063BN BY 2010” (MINTEL, 2008) INDIAN BUSINESSES” (TECHNOPAK, INDIA 2007) MATURE EMERGING TRANSFER OF EMERGENCE OF BRAND EQUITY… LOCAL PLAYERS… WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 22. “£135K THE COST OF A PRIVATE SPACE “THE GLOBAL NUMBER OF THOSE CLASSED AS FLIGHT IN 2012 ” (THE TIMES) WEALTHY (WITH PORTFOLIOS OVER €1M), HAS DOUBLED OVER A DECADE” (WORLD WEALTH REPORT 07) “A PRADA HANDBAG IS EQUAL TO ABOUT HALF THE ANNUAL INCOME OF THE AVERAGE BRAZILIAN HOUSEHOLD” MATURE EMERGING RETURN TO EXPLOSION OF EXCLUSIVE LUXURY… LUXURY STATUS… WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 23. INNOVATION AND THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE ARE PARAMOUNT… REAL MATURE EMERGING VIRTUAL WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 24. THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE NEW FORMATS - POPUP WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 25. WINDOWONTHEWORLD ILLY, VENICE
  • 26. WINDOWONTHEWORLD STARBUCKS SALON, NEW YORK
  • 27. WINDOWONTHEWORLD MOTOROLA RED, CHICAGO
  • 28. THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE NEW FORMATS - TARGETTED OFFERS WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 29. PLASTIC SURGERY - SINCE 500 AD TRIGONOMETRY - SINCE 700 AD SPACE OBSERVATORY - 1727 BC WINDOWONTHEWORLD TESCO, LONDON CARREFOUR, BUENOS AIRES
  • 30. WINDOWONTHEWORLD CARNIVAL, DALLAS
  • 31. WINDOWONTHEWORLD COS, LONDON
  • 32. THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE NEW LUXURY WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 33. WINDOWONTHEWORLD HARVEY NICHOLS, ISTANBUL
  • 34. WINDOWONTHEWORLD PAUL SMITH, LONDON
  • 35. WINDOWONTHEWORLD PAUL&JOE/TARGET, MELROSE AVE LA
  • 36. THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE ONLINE WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 37. WINDOWONTHEWORLD NET-A-PORTER WEBSITE
  • 38. WINDOWONTHEWORLD AMAZON WEBSITE
  • 39. PLASTIC SURGERY - SINCE 500 AD TRIGONOMETRY - SINCE 700 AD SPACE OBSERVATORY - 1727 BC WINDOWONTHEWORLD DELL WEBSITE COURTS, SINGAPORE
  • 40. FOUR THOUGHTS… NEW RETAIL RITUALS GENEROUS BRANDS THE C2C COMMUNITY FREE’TAIL WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 41. ™ RITUALS CONSUMERS ARE SEARCHING FOR A MORE STRUCTURED SHOPPING EXPERIENCE AND EQUALLY RETAILERS AND BRANDS ARE LOOKING FOR WAYS OF CREATING MARKERS IN PEOPLES LIVES THAT HELP TO BUILD LOYALTY AND A REASON TO RETURN. EXPLORING NEW RETAIL RITUALS CAN BEGIN TO ESTABLISH A COUNTER POINT TO THE INCREASING NUMBER OF SALES BEING MADE ON LINE, PROMPTING A VISIT VERSUS WAITNG FOR CONSUMERS TO ARRIVE. WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 42. WINDOWONTHEWORLD SELFRIDGES - EAT MY CITY
  • 43. ™ GENEROUSBRANDS IN A WORLD WHERE CONSUMERS ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY AWARE OF ‘MEAN’ BRANDS FITCH HAS BEGUN RESEARCHING THE CONCEPT OF GENEROSITY. GENEROUS BRANDS ARE THE ONES WHO SHOW MORE OF A HEARTBEAT, TAKE THE FIRST STEP AND DISPLAY A GENUINE UNDERSTANDING OF THEIR CUSTOMERS NEEDS. THIS IS A LONG WAY FROM 2 FOR 1 DEALS AND BONUS POINTS, BUT RATHER A TONE OF VOICE AND GENERAL PERSONALITY THAT ENCOURAGES CONSUMERS TO WARM TO THEIR OFFER. WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 44. Subject: The Commoditization of the Starbucks Experience As you prepare for the FY 08 strategic planning process, I want to share some of my thoughts with you. Over the past ten years, in order to achieve the growth, development, and scale necessary to go from less than 1,000 stores to 13,000 stores and beyond, we have had to make a series of decisions that, in retrospect, have lead to the watering down of the Starbucks experience, and, what some might call the commoditization of our brand. HEARTFELT MEMO FROM HOWARD SHULTZ FEB 14 2007 WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 46. FROM ‘AVON LADIES’ TO FRIEND AS SHOPKEEPER A NEW RETAIL LANDSCAPE REFERRAL AND SHARING TRANSACTIONS FROM FARMERS MARKETS TO PEOPLE MARKETS WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 47. FREETAIL WHYPAY? THE ‘PENNY GAP’ Zero Market versus The Rest ECOSYSTEM MARKETS THE ‘ATTENTION’ ECONOMY THE ‘REPUTATION’ECONOMY ‘FREEMIUM’ WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 49. INNOVATION AND THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE ARE PARAMOUNT… REAL MATURE EMERGING VIRTUAL WINDOWONTHEWORLD
  • 50. Agenda • A Global Tour of the world of retail - Rodney Fitch, Fitch Global • The Collaborative Experience in Virtual Worlds • - Rick Brindle, Kraft Foods
  • 51.
  • 52. The Collaborative Experience in Virtual Worlds Rick Brindle, Kraft Foods
  • 53. Agenda • Kraft. • Emerging technologies changing OUR world. – Recent, Current, Future • How our industry should participate.
  • 54. One of Best Brand Portfolios in F&B Industry 40+ Brands over 100 years old 50+ Brands over $100 million 9 Brands over $1 billion
  • 55. Kraft’s Key Growth Platforms Health & Wellness Snacking Premium Quick Meals
  • 56. Kraft eSales Serving Two Major Constituencies eTAILERS GROCERY & RETAILERS eCOMMERCE (since 1997)
  • 57. In the U.S., “Grocery Shopping” ranks 24th out of 25 in terms of “Desirability” of weekly household tasks… …lower than “going to the dentist”! Source: Supermarketguru.com
  • 58. EU – “Shoppingas a a chore” View Shopping is Chore 43.6 34.5 Source: Verdict
  • 59.
  • 60. By the first half of last year, sales were ÂŁ748 million… …up 35% versus 2006… …profit up 62%! Receives over 300,000 orders each week. Internet sales contributes ~ 4.2% of Tesco's group profits and 3.1% of sales. Customer base of more than one million active users and up 20%!
  • 61. e-Grocery Consumer is Too Important to Ignore! Busy Suburban Families Connected to the Internet Spend ~$5k/yr on food (+25% vs. avg. U.S. HH) Highly loyal to the home delivery channel (~80% share of wallet) Presence of children is the single biggest driver of order size Source: eMarketer.com
  • 62. Before I go any further, a question… Are our children going to Mall Shopping buy their groceries the is an EVENT same way we do? Grocery Shopping Communications? Relationships? is a CHORE Current Events? Entertainment? Electronics? Clothes? Cars? Pictures? Yard Sales? Directions? Information Gathering? Real Estate? Investments? …
  • 63. Some Learning’s… • eBusiness is Business. Forget this and fail. • Success in eBusiness is defined by measurable business results increased sales/reduced costs improved productivity enhanced consumer satisfaction/loyalty • Three Major Factors have Accelerated Growth in Online Grocery: 1. BROADBAND 2. DEMOGRAPHICS 3. MOBILITY
  • 64. Broadband Penetration – U.S. Rural Suburban Urban 50% 2/3 of US Web Users are 45% now on Broadband 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% ome ome ome ome ome Work 1-H 2-H 3-H 4-H 5-H e& 200 200 200 200 200 Hom Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project, Feb. 2006 10
  • 65. Broadband Penetration – EU Netherlands, > ž of EU Web Denmark and UK Users are now on leading the way Broadband
  • 66. Broadband Penetration – EU The correlation between broadband adoption and online shopping is 0.86. Source: Forrester
  • 67. US – Women Dominate! In 2006, Women became the largest user of the Internet. Our best customer! The Internet Generation is Growing up! Source: eMarketer.com
  • 68. EU – Woman are closing in!
  • 69. Women use the Internet to… Shop. Research future purchases. Create Community. Self-Expression. Share their experiences with YOUR stores and brands!
  • 70. Mobility “The device formerly known as the cell phone.” The 4th Screen Today, you follow the Internet… …In the next ten years, the Internet will follow you.
  • 71. Mobility In 2006, 25% of the world’s 2B mobile phones are 2.5-3G… …This means they are broadband enabled. 60% of EU will have 3G phones by 2010.
  • 72. OBSERVATION GPS enabled POP! RU POP Incentives… – Short Codes READY? – Mobile Couponing POP Advertising… – Video Clips POP information… – Amazon’s “textbuyit”.
  • 73. Social revolution meets Technology evolution Level of Interaction 3D Interaction Web 2.0 Web 1.0 Time The Social Web
  • 74. What is a “Virtual World” Also known as "digital worlds," "simulated worlds“, “MUVE’s” and "MMOG's“, an interactive simulated environment accessed by multiple users through an online interface. Five Common Features: 1. Shared Space 2. Graphical User Interface 3. Immediacy 4. Interactivity 5. Socialization/Community
  • 75. Virtual Worlds are here to stay Collaboration Prototyping Marketing Commerce Innovation
  • 76.
  • 77. Second Life – Fast Facts Population: >13,000,000 … Tripled since 2/07! Gender: Male: 59% Female: 41% Source: Linden Labs Monthly Data Report
  • 78. Second Life – Top 10 Countries 1. USA 36% 2. Germany 8% 3. UK 8% 4. France 5% 5. Japan 5% 6. Italy 4% 7. Brazil 4% 8. Canada 3% 9. Netherlands 3% 10.Spain 3% Total 80% Source: Linden Labs Monthly Data Report
  • 79. Second Life – Fast Facts Age Bucket Num (%) Time (%) 13 – 17 1% .5% 18 – 24 23% 15% 25 – 34 35% 35% 35 – 44 24% 28% 45 Plus 17% 21% 35+…49% of Time 59% between 25-44 yrs. Source: Linden Labs Monthly Data Report
  • 81.
  • 82. For the Consumer: Education, celebration, connection For the Retailer: Marketing research, path to future For Kraft Foods: Leadership, consumer branding
  • 83. • A supermarket – all Brands invited! • Interactive CPG packages: nutritional information, recipes and promotional opportunities • Virtual samplings • Kraft Kitchens Cooking Institute • The Food Forum • Consumer focus group discussions • Phil’s Food Club redeem points for rewards • Monthly e-newsletter builds relationship in community (events and new products)
  • 84.
  • 85. Why? 1. Build brand equity 2. Provide share and relationship building services for our valued retailers 3. Generate consumer learning’s via this emerging media 4. Create an open innovation learning environment for our customers, the industry and Kraft
  • 86. Results to Date 1. Build Brand Equity. – 293mm media impressions in week one. – Created the “New Product Showcase” – Created the Maxwell House Coffee CafĂŠ – Created the Kraft Kitchen’s Cooking Institute w/cooking videos on demand. – Rick’s Wine Cellar -- launched wine pairings list. – Over 27m visitors since launch. – Joined “Second Life Residents” face book group
  • 87. Results to Date 1. Build Brand Equity. 2. Provide share and relationship building services for our valued Customers. – Created a confidential password driven conference room for focus group and strategy sessions. – Created a stadium for open forum discussions food and grocery retailing. – Conducted 35 store tours with customer partners – Exposure to several thousand retailers and wholesalers via keynote presentations
  • 88. Results to Date 1. Build Brand Equity. 2. Provide share and relationship building services for our valued Customers. 3. Generate consumer learning’s via this emerging media – Provided a forum for over 20 confidential focus groups and/or associate meetings.
  • 89. Results to Date 1. Build Brand Equity. 2. Provide share and relationship building services for our valued Customers. 3. Generate consumer learning’s via this emerging media 4. Create an open innovation learning environment for our customers, the industry and Kraft – Several other cpg manufacturers are involved! – Kwikee product images is providing 3-D product imaging to Kraft Foods and other cpg manufacturers’ participating in Phil’s.
  • 90. Observations & Best Practices The community is real. Social responsibility is appreciated and rewarded. A different environment is welcome. Being too “corporate” is a risk. Variety is key. People will come to the store if there is an event happening. There is something dynamic and important germinating here. It is smart to keep a close eye and participate where practical. It is the future and worth learning more about.
  • 91. Conclusion LET’S LEARN TOGETHER!
  • 92. Agenda • A Global Tour of the world of retail - Rodney Fitch, Fitch Global • The Collaborative Experience in Virtual Worlds - Rick Brindle, Kraft Foods • Panel: World’s Collide!
  • 93. INNOVATION AND THE CUSTOMER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE ARE PARAMOUNT… REAL MATURE EMERGING VIRTUAL WINDOWONTHEWORLD