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Comparison and Selection
   among Alternatives
   Created By Eng.Maysa Gharaybeh
Quiz
 1, 2, 7, 15,19, 20, 22, 26, 36, 40.
The objective of chapter 6 is
to evaluate correctly capital
investment alternatives when
the time value of money is a
key influence.
Making decisions means
comparing alternatives.
 In this chapter we examine feasible design
 alternatives.
 The decisions considered are those selecting
 from among a set of mutually exclusive
 alternatives (when selecting one excludes the
 choice of any of the others).
Principle 2 from Chapter 1.
The alternative that requires the minimum investment of
capital and produces satisfactory functional results will be
chosen(the base alternative)
unless the incremental capital associated with an alternative
having a larger investment can be justified with respect to its
incremental benefits.
The alternative requiring the least investment is the base
alternative.
For alternatives that have a larger
investment than the base…
If the extra benefits obtained by investing additional
capital are better than those that could be obtained from
investment of the same capital elsewhere in the
company at the MARR, the investment should be made.

(Please note that there are some cautions when
considering more than two alternatives, which will be
examined later.)
Types of Alternatives
 Investment alternatives (capital & Revenue)


 Cost alternatives (Negative & salvage value) same
 expected revenue
Ensuring Comparable Basis
 Rule 1. When revenues and other economic benefits
     are present(Investment alternatives ), select
     alternative that has greatest positive equivalent
     worth at i %= MARR% and satisfies project
     requirements.

 Rule 2. When revenues and economic benefits are
     not present(Cost alternatives ), select alternative
     that minimizes cost.
In Other Words:
Select the alternative that gives you
the most money!

 For investment alternatives the PW of all cash flows
  must be positive, at the MARR, to be attractive.
  Select the alternative with the largest PW.
 For cost alternatives the PW of all cash flows will be
  negative. Select the alternative with the largest
  (smallest in absolute value) PW.
Example: Investment Alternative
Use a MARR of 10% and useful life of 5 years to select
between the investment alternatives below.
                                            Alternative
                                        A                 B
 Capital investment                 -$100,000        -$125,000
 Annual revenues less expenses       $34,000          $41,000




 Both alternatives are attractive, but Alternative B provides
 a greater present worth, so is better economically.
Cost alternative example
Use a MARR of 12% and useful life of 4 years to select
between the cost alternatives below.
                                            Alternative
                                        C                 D
 Capital investment                  -$80,000         -$60,000
 Annual expenses                     -$25,000         -$30,000




 Alternative D costs less than Alternative C, it has a greater
 PW, so is better economically.
Investment
Alternative




PW(10%)A= 9,738$
PW(10%)B= 10,131$
PW(10%)B-A = 393$
Cost
     Alternative
     with selvage
     value

PW(10%)C= -477,077$
PW(10%)D= -463,607$
PW(10%)D-C = 13,470$
Determining the study period.
 A study period (or planning horizon) is the time
  period over which mutually exclusive alternatives
  are compared, and it must be appropriate for the
  decision situation.
 mutually exclusive alternatives can have equal
  lives (in which case the study period used is these
  equal lives), or they can have unequal lives, and at
  least one does not match the study period.
 The equal life case is straightforward.
Useful Lives of all Alternatives
is Equal to the Study Period
1. Equivalent worth methods
2. Rate of return methods
1.Equivalent Worth Methods

 If : PWA (i) < PWB (i)
                       Then
 AWA (i) < AWB (i)
                           and
 FWA (i) < FWB (i)



               Select Alternative B
Example:
When lives are equal adjustments to cash flows are not
required. The MEAs can be compared by directly comparing
their equivalent worth (PW, FW, or AW) calculated using the
MARR. The decision will be the same regardless of the
equivalent worth method you use. For a MARR of 12%, select
from among the MEAs below.
                                     Alternatives
                        A           B               C       D
Capital investment   -$150,000   -$85,000     -$75,000   -$120,000
Annual revenues      $28,000     $16,000      $15,000    $22,000
Annual expenses       -$1,000     -$550         -$500     -$700
Market Value         $20,000     $10,000       $6,000    $11,000
(EOL)
Life (years)            10         10               10      10
Selecting the best alternative.


Present worth analysis  select Alternative A (but C is close).

Annual worth analysis—the decision is the same.
Using rates of return is
another way to compare
alternatives.
 The return on investment (rate of return) is a popular
  measure of investment performance.
 Selecting the alternative with the largest rate of return
  can lead to incorrect decisions do not compare the
  IRR of one alternative to the IRR of another
  alternative.
 Remember, the base alternative must be attractive
  (rate of return greater than the MARR), and the
  additional investment in other alternatives must itself
  make a satisfactory rate of return on that increment.
The Incremental Investment
 Analysis Procedure.
 Arrange (rank order) the feasible alternatives based on
  increasing capital investment.
 Establish a base alternative.
   Cost alternatives the first alternative is the base.
   Investment alternatives the first   acceptable alternative
    (IRR>MARR) is the base.
 Iteratively evaluate differences (incremental cash flows)
 between alternatives until all have been considered.

 a. If incremental cash flow between next alternative
 and current alternative is acceptable, choose the next.

 b. Repeat, and select as the preferred alternative the last
 one for which the incremental cash flow was
      acceptable
Example 6-4
              A       B       C       D       E       F
 Capital      900     1,500   2,500   4,000   5,000   7,000
 Annual R –   150     276     400     925     1,125   1,425
 Annual E
 IRR          10.6%   13%     9.6%    19.1%   18.3%   15.6%




    The alternative is arranged based on
     increasing capital investment.
    IRR for alternative (C) 9.6<MARR(10%)
    Then C is rejected
A       Δ(B-A)   Δ(D-B)   Δ(E-D)   Δ(F-E)

ΔCapital      900

Δ(Annual R    150
– Annual E)

IRRΔ          10.6%
Is            Yes
increment
justified


 A is the base alternative then we will compare A
 with B
A       Δ(B-A)   Δ(D-B)   Δ(E-D)   Δ(F-E)

ΔCapital      900     600

Δ(Annual R    150     126
– Annual E)

IRRΔ          10.6%   16.4%
Is            Yes     Yes
increment
justified

  B is better then A because the additional capital
  investment gives IRR >MARR(16.4%>10%)
  Then we will compare B with D since C is rejected from
  the beginning
A       Δ(B-A)   Δ(D-B)   Δ(E-D)   Δ(F-E)

ΔCapital      900     600      2,500

Δ(Annual R    150     126      649
– Annual E)

IRRΔ          10.6%   16.4%    22.6%
Is            Yes     Yes      Yes
increment
justified


  D is better then B because the additional capital
  investment gives IRR >MARR(22.6%>10%)
  Then we will compare D with E
A       Δ(B-A)   Δ(D-B)   Δ(E-D)   Δ(F-E)

ΔCapital      900     600      2,500    1,000

Δ(Annual R    150     126      649      200
– Annual E)

IRRΔ          10.6%   16.4%    22.6%    15.1%
Is            Yes     Yes      Yes      Yes
increment
justified


  E is better then D because the additional capital
  investment gives IRR >MARR(15.1%>10%)
  Then we will compare E with F
A       Δ(B-A)   Δ(D-B)   Δ(E-D)   Δ(F-E)

ΔCapital      900     600      2,500    1,000    2,000

Δ(Annual R    150     126      649      200      300
– Annual E)

IRRΔ          10.6%   16.4%    22.6%    15.1%    8.1%
Is            Yes     Yes      Yes      Yes      No
increment
justified


  F is NOT better then E because the additional
  capital investment gives IRR < MARR(8.1%>10%)
  Then E is the best alternative
Three Errors Common To Incremental Investment
 Analysis Procedure Applied To IRR


Choosing the feasible Alternative with:
1. the highest overall IRR on total cash flow (choose D)


             A       B       C       D       E       F
Capital      900     1,500   2,500   4,000   5,000   7,000
Annual R –   150     276     400     925     1,125   1,425
Annual E
IRR          10.6%   13%     9.6%    19.1%   18.3%   15.6%
Three Errors Common To Incremental Investment
Analysis Procedure Applied To IRR

Choosing the feasible Alternative with:
2.the highest IRR on an incremental capital investment(choose
   D-B instead of E-D)
              A       Δ(B-A)   Δ(D-B)    Δ(E-D)    Δ(F-E)

ΔCapital      900     600      2,500     1,000     2,000

Δ(Annual R    150     126      649       200       300
– Annual E)

IRRΔ          10.6%   16.4%    22.6%     15.1%     8.1%
Is            Yes     Yes      Yes       Yes       No
increment
justified
Three Errors Common To Incremental Investment
 Analysis Procedure Applied To IRR


3.the largest capital investment that has an IRR greater
    than or equal to the MARR (choose F)


             A       B       C       D       E       F
Capital      900     1,500   2,500   4,000   5,000   7,000
Annual R –   150     276     400     925     1,125   1,425
Annual E
IRR          10.6%   13%     9.6%    19.1%   18.3%   15.6%
Incremental analysis must be
 used with rate of return
 methods to ensure the best
 alternative is selected
Comparing MEAs with Unequal lives.

• Repeatability assumption

• Coterminated assumption
Rate of Return with unequal lifes
                     A                      B
Capital investment   $3,500                 $5,00
Annual cash flow     1,255                  1,480
Useful life          4                      6

 When the repeatability applies
 1.we need to find the AW of each alternative over it’s own
 useful life
 2.Find the interest rate that make them equal
 AW A(i*%) = AW B(i*%)
 -3,500(A/i*%,4) +1,255 = -5,000(A/i*%,6) +1,480
 Trail and error i= 26% >MARR (10%) the increment is justified
 and B is preferred
Useful life > Study period
 The imputed Market Value Technique
 i. e find the estimated market value at any year that is
  before the end of the useful life

 MVT = PW at EOY T of remaining CR amounts + PW at
  EOY T of original market value at end of useful life
 Example
 If the capital investment is 47,600 useful life = 9 years
  market value at the end of 9 years = $5,000 find the
  market value et the end of 5 years if MARR = 20%
Step 1 : CR = 47,000 (A/P,20%,9) – 5,000(A/F,20%,9)
Step 2 : PW at EOY 5 of the remaining CR
          PW(20%) CR = CR (P/A, 20%,4) = $29,949
Step 3 : PW at EOY 5 of MV 9
 PW(20%) MV = 5,000 (P/F, 20%,4) = $2,412
The estimated market value at EOY 5 =
MV 5 = PW(20%) CR + PW(20%) MV = 29,949 + 2,412 =
  32,361

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economy Chapter6 2011_by louy Al hami

  • 1. Comparison and Selection among Alternatives Created By Eng.Maysa Gharaybeh
  • 2. Quiz  1, 2, 7, 15,19, 20, 22, 26, 36, 40.
  • 3. The objective of chapter 6 is to evaluate correctly capital investment alternatives when the time value of money is a key influence.
  • 4. Making decisions means comparing alternatives.  In this chapter we examine feasible design alternatives.  The decisions considered are those selecting from among a set of mutually exclusive alternatives (when selecting one excludes the choice of any of the others).
  • 5. Principle 2 from Chapter 1. The alternative that requires the minimum investment of capital and produces satisfactory functional results will be chosen(the base alternative) unless the incremental capital associated with an alternative having a larger investment can be justified with respect to its incremental benefits. The alternative requiring the least investment is the base alternative.
  • 6. For alternatives that have a larger investment than the base… If the extra benefits obtained by investing additional capital are better than those that could be obtained from investment of the same capital elsewhere in the company at the MARR, the investment should be made. (Please note that there are some cautions when considering more than two alternatives, which will be examined later.)
  • 7. Types of Alternatives  Investment alternatives (capital & Revenue)  Cost alternatives (Negative & salvage value) same expected revenue
  • 8. Ensuring Comparable Basis Rule 1. When revenues and other economic benefits are present(Investment alternatives ), select alternative that has greatest positive equivalent worth at i %= MARR% and satisfies project requirements. Rule 2. When revenues and economic benefits are not present(Cost alternatives ), select alternative that minimizes cost.
  • 9. In Other Words: Select the alternative that gives you the most money!  For investment alternatives the PW of all cash flows must be positive, at the MARR, to be attractive. Select the alternative with the largest PW.  For cost alternatives the PW of all cash flows will be negative. Select the alternative with the largest (smallest in absolute value) PW.
  • 10. Example: Investment Alternative Use a MARR of 10% and useful life of 5 years to select between the investment alternatives below. Alternative A B Capital investment -$100,000 -$125,000 Annual revenues less expenses $34,000 $41,000 Both alternatives are attractive, but Alternative B provides a greater present worth, so is better economically.
  • 11. Cost alternative example Use a MARR of 12% and useful life of 4 years to select between the cost alternatives below. Alternative C D Capital investment -$80,000 -$60,000 Annual expenses -$25,000 -$30,000 Alternative D costs less than Alternative C, it has a greater PW, so is better economically.
  • 13. Cost Alternative with selvage value PW(10%)C= -477,077$ PW(10%)D= -463,607$ PW(10%)D-C = 13,470$
  • 14. Determining the study period.  A study period (or planning horizon) is the time period over which mutually exclusive alternatives are compared, and it must be appropriate for the decision situation.  mutually exclusive alternatives can have equal lives (in which case the study period used is these equal lives), or they can have unequal lives, and at least one does not match the study period.  The equal life case is straightforward.
  • 15. Useful Lives of all Alternatives is Equal to the Study Period 1. Equivalent worth methods 2. Rate of return methods
  • 16. 1.Equivalent Worth Methods  If : PWA (i) < PWB (i) Then  AWA (i) < AWB (i) and  FWA (i) < FWB (i) Select Alternative B
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Example: When lives are equal adjustments to cash flows are not required. The MEAs can be compared by directly comparing their equivalent worth (PW, FW, or AW) calculated using the MARR. The decision will be the same regardless of the equivalent worth method you use. For a MARR of 12%, select from among the MEAs below. Alternatives A B C D Capital investment -$150,000 -$85,000 -$75,000 -$120,000 Annual revenues $28,000 $16,000 $15,000 $22,000 Annual expenses -$1,000 -$550 -$500 -$700 Market Value $20,000 $10,000 $6,000 $11,000 (EOL) Life (years) 10 10 10 10
  • 23. Selecting the best alternative. Present worth analysis  select Alternative A (but C is close). Annual worth analysis—the decision is the same.
  • 24. Using rates of return is another way to compare alternatives.
  • 25.  The return on investment (rate of return) is a popular measure of investment performance.  Selecting the alternative with the largest rate of return can lead to incorrect decisions do not compare the IRR of one alternative to the IRR of another alternative.  Remember, the base alternative must be attractive (rate of return greater than the MARR), and the additional investment in other alternatives must itself make a satisfactory rate of return on that increment.
  • 26. The Incremental Investment Analysis Procedure.  Arrange (rank order) the feasible alternatives based on increasing capital investment.  Establish a base alternative.  Cost alternatives the first alternative is the base.  Investment alternatives the first acceptable alternative (IRR>MARR) is the base.
  • 27.  Iteratively evaluate differences (incremental cash flows) between alternatives until all have been considered. a. If incremental cash flow between next alternative and current alternative is acceptable, choose the next. b. Repeat, and select as the preferred alternative the last one for which the incremental cash flow was acceptable
  • 28. Example 6-4 A B C D E F Capital 900 1,500 2,500 4,000 5,000 7,000 Annual R – 150 276 400 925 1,125 1,425 Annual E IRR 10.6% 13% 9.6% 19.1% 18.3% 15.6%  The alternative is arranged based on increasing capital investment.  IRR for alternative (C) 9.6<MARR(10%)  Then C is rejected
  • 29. A Δ(B-A) Δ(D-B) Δ(E-D) Δ(F-E) ΔCapital 900 Δ(Annual R 150 – Annual E) IRRΔ 10.6% Is Yes increment justified A is the base alternative then we will compare A with B
  • 30. A Δ(B-A) Δ(D-B) Δ(E-D) Δ(F-E) ΔCapital 900 600 Δ(Annual R 150 126 – Annual E) IRRΔ 10.6% 16.4% Is Yes Yes increment justified B is better then A because the additional capital investment gives IRR >MARR(16.4%>10%) Then we will compare B with D since C is rejected from the beginning
  • 31. A Δ(B-A) Δ(D-B) Δ(E-D) Δ(F-E) ΔCapital 900 600 2,500 Δ(Annual R 150 126 649 – Annual E) IRRΔ 10.6% 16.4% 22.6% Is Yes Yes Yes increment justified D is better then B because the additional capital investment gives IRR >MARR(22.6%>10%) Then we will compare D with E
  • 32. A Δ(B-A) Δ(D-B) Δ(E-D) Δ(F-E) ΔCapital 900 600 2,500 1,000 Δ(Annual R 150 126 649 200 – Annual E) IRRΔ 10.6% 16.4% 22.6% 15.1% Is Yes Yes Yes Yes increment justified E is better then D because the additional capital investment gives IRR >MARR(15.1%>10%) Then we will compare E with F
  • 33. A Δ(B-A) Δ(D-B) Δ(E-D) Δ(F-E) ΔCapital 900 600 2,500 1,000 2,000 Δ(Annual R 150 126 649 200 300 – Annual E) IRRΔ 10.6% 16.4% 22.6% 15.1% 8.1% Is Yes Yes Yes Yes No increment justified F is NOT better then E because the additional capital investment gives IRR < MARR(8.1%>10%) Then E is the best alternative
  • 34. Three Errors Common To Incremental Investment Analysis Procedure Applied To IRR Choosing the feasible Alternative with: 1. the highest overall IRR on total cash flow (choose D) A B C D E F Capital 900 1,500 2,500 4,000 5,000 7,000 Annual R – 150 276 400 925 1,125 1,425 Annual E IRR 10.6% 13% 9.6% 19.1% 18.3% 15.6%
  • 35. Three Errors Common To Incremental Investment Analysis Procedure Applied To IRR Choosing the feasible Alternative with: 2.the highest IRR on an incremental capital investment(choose D-B instead of E-D) A Δ(B-A) Δ(D-B) Δ(E-D) Δ(F-E) ΔCapital 900 600 2,500 1,000 2,000 Δ(Annual R 150 126 649 200 300 – Annual E) IRRΔ 10.6% 16.4% 22.6% 15.1% 8.1% Is Yes Yes Yes Yes No increment justified
  • 36. Three Errors Common To Incremental Investment Analysis Procedure Applied To IRR 3.the largest capital investment that has an IRR greater than or equal to the MARR (choose F) A B C D E F Capital 900 1,500 2,500 4,000 5,000 7,000 Annual R – 150 276 400 925 1,125 1,425 Annual E IRR 10.6% 13% 9.6% 19.1% 18.3% 15.6%
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Incremental analysis must be used with rate of return methods to ensure the best alternative is selected
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. Comparing MEAs with Unequal lives. • Repeatability assumption • Coterminated assumption
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. Rate of Return with unequal lifes A B Capital investment $3,500 $5,00 Annual cash flow 1,255 1,480 Useful life 4 6 When the repeatability applies 1.we need to find the AW of each alternative over it’s own useful life 2.Find the interest rate that make them equal AW A(i*%) = AW B(i*%) -3,500(A/i*%,4) +1,255 = -5,000(A/i*%,6) +1,480 Trail and error i= 26% >MARR (10%) the increment is justified and B is preferred
  • 49. Useful life > Study period  The imputed Market Value Technique  i. e find the estimated market value at any year that is before the end of the useful life  MVT = PW at EOY T of remaining CR amounts + PW at EOY T of original market value at end of useful life
  • 50.  Example  If the capital investment is 47,600 useful life = 9 years market value at the end of 9 years = $5,000 find the market value et the end of 5 years if MARR = 20% Step 1 : CR = 47,000 (A/P,20%,9) – 5,000(A/F,20%,9) Step 2 : PW at EOY 5 of the remaining CR PW(20%) CR = CR (P/A, 20%,4) = $29,949 Step 3 : PW at EOY 5 of MV 9 PW(20%) MV = 5,000 (P/F, 20%,4) = $2,412 The estimated market value at EOY 5 = MV 5 = PW(20%) CR + PW(20%) MV = 29,949 + 2,412 = 32,361