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Shailesh Joshi, PMP
 Developed by Walt Lipke, 2003
 Included in PMI’s Practice Standard for EVM,
2011
 Included in PMI’s PMBOK (6th edition), 2017
 Extension to Earned Value Methodology (EVM)
 Uses EVM data such as PV & EV.
 Overcome known shortcomings of EVM
schedule indicators – SV & SPI.
◦ SV concludes at $0 variance and SPI at 1.00 at the
end of project, irrespective of whether the project
finished late or ahead of schedule.
 Better predictive ability than EVM schedule
indicators throughout the entire project life.
 Provide basis for performing schedule
analysis.
 To understand how to calculate ES, lets look at an
example. Here is some sample data showing
cumulative values of EV & PV in cost units.
 Graphically, ES can be computed by projecting EV
at status period onto PV curve and then taking X-
intercept of this projection, as shown before.
Period
(AT)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
EVcum
95 180 470 770 1065 1315 1610 1900 2150 2275 2425 2555 2695 2770 2823
PVcum
105 200 515 845 1175 1475 1805 2135 2435 2665 2760 2823
 Stacked Bar method
 Time based Schedule Variance: SV(t)
◦ Behaves consistently throughout the project
-0.10
-0.21 -0.14
-0.23
-0.33
-0.53 -0.59
-0.71
-0.95
-1.53
-2.03
-2.48
-2.68
-2.84
-3.00
-3.50
-3.00
-2.50
-2.00
-1.50
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Schedule Variance SV(t) = ES-AT
Variance(weeks)
 Cost based Schedule Variance: SV
◦ Reverts to $0 at the end of project
-10
-20
-45
-75
-110
-160
-195
-235
-285
-390
-335
-268
-128
-53
0
-450
-400
-350
-300
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Schedule Variance SV = EV-PV
Variance($)
 Time based Schedule Performance Index: SPI(t)
◦ Behaves consistently throughout the project
0.905
0.895
0.952
0.943
0.933
0.911 0.916 0.911
0.894
0.847
0.815
0.793 0.794 0.797 0.8
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
0.95
1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Schedule Performance Index (time based)
SPI(t) = ES/AT
 Cost based Schedule Performance Index: SPI
◦ Reverts to 1.0 at the end of project
0.905 0.900
0.913 0.911 0.906
0.892 0.892 0.890 0.883
0.854
0.879
0.905
0.955
0.981
1.000
0.750
0.800
0.850
0.900
0.950
1.000
1.050
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Schedule Performance Index (Cost based)
SPI = EV/PV
 Time based Independent Estimate At Completion: IEAC(t)
 To complete Schedule Performance Index: TSPI
◦ Similar to cost based - To Complete Performance Index
(TCPI)
1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.05 1.09 1.12 1.18
1.32
1.77
3.03
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
To complete Schedule Performance Index
TSPI = (PD-ES)/(PD-AT)
 E S is derived from existing E V M data
 Provides time-based schedule indicators
 E S Indicators do not fail for late finish
projects
 Schedule prediction is more accurate than
prediction by cost based schedule indicators.
 With Whizible’s upcoming EVM/ES Analytics Tool,
EVM data can be analyzed to get deeper insights into
the health of a project than traditional EVM analysis
 Whizible’s EVM/ES Analytics tool can be used at
project and/or task level where EVM data is available.
Summary data such as periodic & cumulative ES,
SV(t); indicators such as SPI(t) & TSPI; estimates like
IEAC & IECD, and charts are available to be made part
of periodic monitoring and reports.
 With these charts & indices, project managers can see
trends in the estimated completion date and cost,
and decide when re-baselining may be appropriate.
 Whizible is an integrated solution to manage
a projectized service business.
 To know more about Whizible, please
Visit: https://www.whizible.com/
Email: info@whizible.com
Earned schedule - concept and technique

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Earned schedule - concept and technique

  • 2.  Developed by Walt Lipke, 2003  Included in PMI’s Practice Standard for EVM, 2011  Included in PMI’s PMBOK (6th edition), 2017  Extension to Earned Value Methodology (EVM)  Uses EVM data such as PV & EV.
  • 3.  Overcome known shortcomings of EVM schedule indicators – SV & SPI. ◦ SV concludes at $0 variance and SPI at 1.00 at the end of project, irrespective of whether the project finished late or ahead of schedule.  Better predictive ability than EVM schedule indicators throughout the entire project life.  Provide basis for performing schedule analysis.
  • 4.
  • 5.  To understand how to calculate ES, lets look at an example. Here is some sample data showing cumulative values of EV & PV in cost units.  Graphically, ES can be computed by projecting EV at status period onto PV curve and then taking X- intercept of this projection, as shown before. Period (AT) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 EVcum 95 180 470 770 1065 1315 1610 1900 2150 2275 2425 2555 2695 2770 2823 PVcum 105 200 515 845 1175 1475 1805 2135 2435 2665 2760 2823
  • 7.  Time based Schedule Variance: SV(t) ◦ Behaves consistently throughout the project -0.10 -0.21 -0.14 -0.23 -0.33 -0.53 -0.59 -0.71 -0.95 -1.53 -2.03 -2.48 -2.68 -2.84 -3.00 -3.50 -3.00 -2.50 -2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Schedule Variance SV(t) = ES-AT Variance(weeks)
  • 8.  Cost based Schedule Variance: SV ◦ Reverts to $0 at the end of project -10 -20 -45 -75 -110 -160 -195 -235 -285 -390 -335 -268 -128 -53 0 -450 -400 -350 -300 -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Schedule Variance SV = EV-PV Variance($)
  • 9.  Time based Schedule Performance Index: SPI(t) ◦ Behaves consistently throughout the project 0.905 0.895 0.952 0.943 0.933 0.911 0.916 0.911 0.894 0.847 0.815 0.793 0.794 0.797 0.8 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Schedule Performance Index (time based) SPI(t) = ES/AT
  • 10.  Cost based Schedule Performance Index: SPI ◦ Reverts to 1.0 at the end of project 0.905 0.900 0.913 0.911 0.906 0.892 0.892 0.890 0.883 0.854 0.879 0.905 0.955 0.981 1.000 0.750 0.800 0.850 0.900 0.950 1.000 1.050 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Schedule Performance Index (Cost based) SPI = EV/PV
  • 11.  Time based Independent Estimate At Completion: IEAC(t)
  • 12.  To complete Schedule Performance Index: TSPI ◦ Similar to cost based - To Complete Performance Index (TCPI) 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.05 1.09 1.12 1.18 1.32 1.77 3.03 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 To complete Schedule Performance Index TSPI = (PD-ES)/(PD-AT)
  • 13.  E S is derived from existing E V M data  Provides time-based schedule indicators  E S Indicators do not fail for late finish projects  Schedule prediction is more accurate than prediction by cost based schedule indicators.
  • 14.  With Whizible’s upcoming EVM/ES Analytics Tool, EVM data can be analyzed to get deeper insights into the health of a project than traditional EVM analysis  Whizible’s EVM/ES Analytics tool can be used at project and/or task level where EVM data is available. Summary data such as periodic & cumulative ES, SV(t); indicators such as SPI(t) & TSPI; estimates like IEAC & IECD, and charts are available to be made part of periodic monitoring and reports.  With these charts & indices, project managers can see trends in the estimated completion date and cost, and decide when re-baselining may be appropriate.
  • 15.  Whizible is an integrated solution to manage a projectized service business.  To know more about Whizible, please Visit: https://www.whizible.com/ Email: info@whizible.com