Telco-OTT : Exploiting the Internet vs. fighting it

               Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis

            OTT Services, Kiev, 22nd March 2013
        dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com   @disruptivedean
About Disruptive Analysis

   London-based analyst house & strategic consulting firm
   Cross-silo, contrarian, visionary, independent
   Advisor to telcos, vendors, regulators & investors
   Published report on “Telco-OTT Strategies”, Feb 2012
   New report on WebRTC, Feb 2013
   Workshops on Future of Voice & TelcoOTT

Twitter @disruptivedean        Blog: disruptivewireless.blogspot.com




March 2013             Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
What do these have in common?




 Mobile advertising
      SingTel           Movies on demand
                             Telenor                             Online web portal
                                                                     Telefonica




  MusicKDDI
       streaming         VoIPTelefonica
                              & messaging                        Home automation
                                                                    Swisscom

             All are “OTT” Internet-based services
                   All are “Telco-OTT” services
March 2013              Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
What is “OTT”?
    Simply: any capability delivered “over the top” of
                   the Public Internet

       Can be service, application, feature or function,
      decoupled from the underlying access network

     Often used negatively by telecom “establishment”

             Overlooks 130+ examples of “Telco OTT”
March 2013              Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Classic telco & Internet-OTT model

                                             Billing &              Telco
                                                 ID                service
Internet OTT   Internet                                  Telco
   service                                            broadband


       TODAY: clear distinction between Internet-OTT
        services, and on-net integrated telco services

                                                            Note distinction between
                                                         broadband vs. Internet access



 March 2013               Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Telcos, like developers, can exploit the Internet




                Owned & operated by mobile operators
                Usable by anyone, not just subscribers
                      Via apps & public Internet

                                  Telco-OTT Services

March 2013       Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Telco-OTT on same model as Internet-OTT



Telco OTT
 service     Internet




      TELCO-OTT MODEL #1: Same model as Internet players
        – use OTT & apps to reach billions of potential users.
              and add extra value to access customers

March 2013              Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
OTT-extension model for telco services

             Normal “on
             net” users
                                                                        Off-net
 Telco                                                              extension user
service
             Telco                                Internet
Billing &
    ID

             TELCO-OTT MODEL #2: Telco “extends” in-house
              service to subscribers remotely, via OTT Internet
                          connection & application

March 2013                 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Telco-OTT trend spans multiple categories




                                                            Connec-
Comms          Content                       Cloud
                                                             tivity


  More than 130 identified Telco-OTT services worldwide

March 2013         Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Cloud services for business




March 2013      Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Fixed operators can offer mobile OTT services




                                                (or mobile-to-fixed)




March 2013      Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2010
Key success factors for Telco-OTT services




Organisation & governance   Managing cannibalisation                 Network awareness




               Design               Software mindset                     Synergies
  March 2013                Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Telcos developing “digital services” arms




March 2013       Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Remember these? Video & IM move to web




Mar 2013      Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Coming next: voice, video, data in browser




                                (Yes, you can sort-of do it with plug-ins and
                                    Flash already.... But it’s not great)
Mar 2013        Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Voice ≠ Telephony
    • Now: 2G & 3G                                  • Future: Smartphones & LTE
                 Voice
                                                                            Voice


                   Telephony




                                                                                Telephony


 Voicemail                           Gaming, CEBP,
Conferencing                        surveillance, social
    PTT                    Video    voice, TV voice etc
                                                                                Video, context, sense

    March 2013                     Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
WebRTC & HTML5 are game-changers


   Service
e.g. SMS, Telephony
                            Product
                      e.g. Lync, Uberconference


                                        Feature
                                     e.g. Business social

                                                  Function
Device base supporting WebRTC
                4000

                3500              Tablets
                3000              Smartphones
      Million




                2500              PCs
                2000

                1500

                1000

                 500

                    0



                Source: Disruptive Analysis WebRTC Strategy Report, Feb 2013
                Definitions & methodology in report - See disruptivewireless.blogspot.com for details

Mar 2013                                    Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Conclusions: Telco-OTT

   Operators can exploit the Internet too
        Extend existing services
        Develop new ones outside access footprint
        Spans voice, content, cloud etc.
   Requires
        Software & web skills
        Innovation & partnering ability
        Requires cultural & organisational change
   Technology making this easier to achieve at low cost
        Mobile apps
        HTML5 & WebRTC are game-changers
   No more false distinction Telco vs. OTT


March 2013                   Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
www.disruptive-analysis.com
disruptivewireless.blogspot.com
@disruptivedean



information@disruptive-analysis.com

Skype:disruptiveanalysis




 March 2013            Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

Disruptive Analysis - Telco-OTT Opportunities, Kiev OTT Services Conferences Mar 22 2013

  • 1.
    Telco-OTT : Exploitingthe Internet vs. fighting it Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis OTT Services, Kiev, 22nd March 2013 dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com @disruptivedean
  • 2.
    About Disruptive Analysis  London-based analyst house & strategic consulting firm  Cross-silo, contrarian, visionary, independent  Advisor to telcos, vendors, regulators & investors  Published report on “Telco-OTT Strategies”, Feb 2012  New report on WebRTC, Feb 2013  Workshops on Future of Voice & TelcoOTT Twitter @disruptivedean Blog: disruptivewireless.blogspot.com March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 3.
    What do thesehave in common? Mobile advertising SingTel Movies on demand Telenor Online web portal Telefonica MusicKDDI streaming VoIPTelefonica & messaging Home automation Swisscom All are “OTT” Internet-based services All are “Telco-OTT” services March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 4.
    What is “OTT”? Simply: any capability delivered “over the top” of the Public Internet Can be service, application, feature or function, decoupled from the underlying access network Often used negatively by telecom “establishment” Overlooks 130+ examples of “Telco OTT” March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 5.
    Classic telco &Internet-OTT model Billing & Telco ID service Internet OTT Internet Telco service broadband TODAY: clear distinction between Internet-OTT services, and on-net integrated telco services Note distinction between broadband vs. Internet access March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 6.
    Telcos, like developers,can exploit the Internet Owned & operated by mobile operators Usable by anyone, not just subscribers Via apps & public Internet Telco-OTT Services March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 7.
    Telco-OTT on samemodel as Internet-OTT Telco OTT service Internet TELCO-OTT MODEL #1: Same model as Internet players – use OTT & apps to reach billions of potential users. and add extra value to access customers March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 8.
    OTT-extension model fortelco services Normal “on net” users Off-net Telco extension user service Telco Internet Billing & ID TELCO-OTT MODEL #2: Telco “extends” in-house service to subscribers remotely, via OTT Internet connection & application March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 9.
    Telco-OTT trend spansmultiple categories Connec- Comms Content Cloud tivity More than 130 identified Telco-OTT services worldwide March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 10.
    Cloud services forbusiness March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 11.
    Fixed operators canoffer mobile OTT services (or mobile-to-fixed) March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2010
  • 12.
    Key success factorsfor Telco-OTT services Organisation & governance Managing cannibalisation Network awareness Design Software mindset Synergies March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 13.
    Telcos developing “digitalservices” arms March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 14.
    Remember these? Video& IM move to web Mar 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 15.
    Coming next: voice,video, data in browser (Yes, you can sort-of do it with plug-ins and Flash already.... But it’s not great) Mar 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 16.
    Voice ≠ Telephony • Now: 2G & 3G • Future: Smartphones & LTE Voice Voice Telephony Telephony Voicemail Gaming, CEBP, Conferencing surveillance, social PTT Video voice, TV voice etc Video, context, sense March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 17.
    WebRTC & HTML5are game-changers Service e.g. SMS, Telephony Product e.g. Lync, Uberconference Feature e.g. Business social Function
  • 18.
    Device base supportingWebRTC 4000 3500 Tablets 3000 Smartphones Million 2500 PCs 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Source: Disruptive Analysis WebRTC Strategy Report, Feb 2013 Definitions & methodology in report - See disruptivewireless.blogspot.com for details Mar 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 19.
    Conclusions: Telco-OTT  Operators can exploit the Internet too  Extend existing services  Develop new ones outside access footprint  Spans voice, content, cloud etc.  Requires  Software & web skills  Innovation & partnering ability  Requires cultural & organisational change  Technology making this easier to achieve at low cost  Mobile apps  HTML5 & WebRTC are game-changers  No more false distinction Telco vs. OTT March 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 20.