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Reflecting on ‘Human Choice and Climate Change’
Dipak Gyawali
Academician, Nepal Academy of Science and Technology &
Chair, Nepal Water Conservation Foundation, Kathmandu 14th January 2015
August 2008 Kosi Breach:
Flood from Climate
Change???
Hardly!!!!
Explanation more
‘pedestrian’ and
garden variety!!
Rayner, S. and Malone, E. (eds) 1998. Human Choice and Climate Change.
Vol 1-4. Battelle Pacific Northwest National Lab, Columbus, Ohio.
Human Choice & Climate Change’s Ten Suggestions for Policy Makers
1. View climate change issue holistically and not only as emissions reduction (or
adaptation: DG)
2. Recognize institutional limits being as important as environmental limits
3. Recognize likelihood that social, economic and technological change will be more
rapid and have greater impact on human populations than climate change
4. Recognize limits of rational planning
5. Employ decision aids from full range of natural & social sciences and humanities
6. Design policy for real world rather than fit world into particular policy model
7. Incorporate climate change concerns into other more immediate issues such as
employment, economic development, public health, security
8. Make climate policy making and implementation more regional and local
9. Direct resources into identifying vulnerability and promoting resilience in massive
impact areas
10.Use pluralistic approach to decision making
Marco Verweij and Michael Thompson (eds). 2006. Clumsy
Solutions for a Complex World: Governance, Policy and Plural
Perceptions. Palgrave/Macmillan Press, Basingstoke, UK.
 Cumbersome to implement international
mechanisms of CDMs, JI, emission permits
 Measures insufficient to stabilize world climate
even in most favourable scenario
 Trading scheme too expensive (transaction
and political costs); encourages ‘wait-and-see’
instead of ‘no regrets’
 Informed only by hierarchic procedural
fetishism, ignores egalitarian and
individualistic forms of governance
Hulme, M. 2009. Why We Disagree About
Climate Change: Understanding
Controversy, Inaction and Opportunity;
Cambridge University Press, UK.
 “Climate change, global warming and
greenhouse effect have different
meanings popularly across languages
and scientifically
 Human beings are more than material
objects and climate is more than a
physical entity
 Climate change cannot be ‘solved’ by
technical and political resource
mobilization like ozone depletion
 We need to understand ways in which
climate change connects with
foundational human attributes in
psychological, spiritual and ethical
work
 We disagree about climate change
because we worry about different
things
Asymmetrical Transactions
Symmetrical Transactions
Competition
Unfettered and
Unaccountable
Competition
Fettered and
Accountable
FATALISM HIERARCHY
INDIVIDUALISM EGALITARIANISM
RESOURCE LOTTERY RESOURCE SCARCITY
RESOURCE DEPLETIONRESOURCE ABUNDANCE
CLUB GOODS PUBLIC GOODS
PRIVATE GOODS COMMON-POOL GOODS
Electricity as ‘mirage’ in ads?
Electricity as regulated ‘municipal or
utility supply’.
Priced, glamourized private
diesel generators, solar on
rooftops, individual solutions.
Accessible to all, ‘common pool’
Alternative Energy – banmara briquettes
Resources: Abundance, Scarcity or Depletion?
Source: D. Gyawali 2009. Pluralized Water Policy Terrain = Sustainability and Integration.
SAWAS 1(2): 193-199 http://www.sawasjournal.org/templates/sawas/images/PluralizedWaterPolicyTerrain.pdf
believes in
that produces
from which they are excluded
argues for
to produce
argues against
to produce
argues for
to produce
low jointness high
highexcludability
 Hierarchism: Coercive Power (Tamasik), Strategy of Codes and Procedures
 Individualism: Persuasive Power (Rajasik), Strategy of Networking Freedom
 Egalitarianism: Moral Power (Satwik), Strategy of Critique
Source: D. Gyawali 2003.
Rivers, Technology and Society, Zed Books, London
Agency Choice:
Cement Dam,
Modern cement
technology
Community Choice:
Brushwood Dam, simple
labor saving devices
Market Choice:
Diesel Pump,
Donkey Cart-
Mobile Phone,
Irrigated Truck
Bureaucratic HierarchismControl - too many people is the
problem: Solution is to manage it
through rules and regulation.
DegradationAbundance
Scarcity
Market
Individualism
Egalitarianism of Social
Movements/Greens
Free innovation is the solution to
scarcity brought about by too
much control and scare
mongering.
Profligacy is the problem:
solution is to reign in our
greed.
Climate Change
Adapted from Rayner and Malone (1998)
Neruvian Politics: Regulatory
and Management Solutions
Regano-Thatcherite Politics:
Technical creativity and solutions
Gandhian Politics: Ethical
Behavioral solutions
Plural Definition of the Wicked Climate Change Problem
(and the origins of innovation)
Answer is: “Many 10% Solutions”!!
International Treaty
Consensus
NationState
NationState
NationState
NationState
Old Assumption
Based on S. Rayner and E. Malone 1998: Social Science Insights in Climate Change, in Human Choice and Climate
Change, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Battelle Press, Ohio.
International Treaty
Consensus
NationState
NationState
NationState
NationState
New Reality
Based on S. Rayner and E. Malone 1998: Social Science Insights in Climate Change, in Human Choice and Climate
Change, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Battelle Press, Ohio.
Environmental Activists
Multinational Corporations
Scientific and Professional Groups
Non Government Social Organizations
Verweij, M. 2000.
Transboundary
Environmental
Problems and
Cultural Theory: The
Protection of the
Rhine and the Great
Lakes. Palgrave,
Basingstoke, UK
Benedick, R. E. 1991.
Ozone Diplomacy:
New Directions in
Safeguarding the
Planet. Harvard
University Press,
Cambridge,
Massachussets, USA.
 If the Rhine can be cleaned up and
the salmon returned, every polluted
river AND the atmosphere can be
cleaned up
 Non-binding goals and
commitments at the high level,
implementation at the lowest unit of
governance
 All three styles of organizing
included at the level of cantons and
landers
 Pragmatically oriented American
industry forced intervened in favour
and against US Government
 Informed consumers and consumer
groups had decisive influence
 Effectiveness of a regulatory agreement
is enhanced when it employs market
incentives to stimulate technological
innovations

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Dipak gyawali

  • 1. Reflecting on ‘Human Choice and Climate Change’ Dipak Gyawali Academician, Nepal Academy of Science and Technology & Chair, Nepal Water Conservation Foundation, Kathmandu 14th January 2015 August 2008 Kosi Breach: Flood from Climate Change??? Hardly!!!! Explanation more ‘pedestrian’ and garden variety!!
  • 2. Rayner, S. and Malone, E. (eds) 1998. Human Choice and Climate Change. Vol 1-4. Battelle Pacific Northwest National Lab, Columbus, Ohio.
  • 3. Human Choice & Climate Change’s Ten Suggestions for Policy Makers 1. View climate change issue holistically and not only as emissions reduction (or adaptation: DG) 2. Recognize institutional limits being as important as environmental limits 3. Recognize likelihood that social, economic and technological change will be more rapid and have greater impact on human populations than climate change 4. Recognize limits of rational planning 5. Employ decision aids from full range of natural & social sciences and humanities 6. Design policy for real world rather than fit world into particular policy model 7. Incorporate climate change concerns into other more immediate issues such as employment, economic development, public health, security 8. Make climate policy making and implementation more regional and local 9. Direct resources into identifying vulnerability and promoting resilience in massive impact areas 10.Use pluralistic approach to decision making
  • 4. Marco Verweij and Michael Thompson (eds). 2006. Clumsy Solutions for a Complex World: Governance, Policy and Plural Perceptions. Palgrave/Macmillan Press, Basingstoke, UK.  Cumbersome to implement international mechanisms of CDMs, JI, emission permits  Measures insufficient to stabilize world climate even in most favourable scenario  Trading scheme too expensive (transaction and political costs); encourages ‘wait-and-see’ instead of ‘no regrets’  Informed only by hierarchic procedural fetishism, ignores egalitarian and individualistic forms of governance
  • 5. Hulme, M. 2009. Why We Disagree About Climate Change: Understanding Controversy, Inaction and Opportunity; Cambridge University Press, UK.  “Climate change, global warming and greenhouse effect have different meanings popularly across languages and scientifically  Human beings are more than material objects and climate is more than a physical entity  Climate change cannot be ‘solved’ by technical and political resource mobilization like ozone depletion  We need to understand ways in which climate change connects with foundational human attributes in psychological, spiritual and ethical work  We disagree about climate change because we worry about different things
  • 6. Asymmetrical Transactions Symmetrical Transactions Competition Unfettered and Unaccountable Competition Fettered and Accountable FATALISM HIERARCHY INDIVIDUALISM EGALITARIANISM RESOURCE LOTTERY RESOURCE SCARCITY RESOURCE DEPLETIONRESOURCE ABUNDANCE CLUB GOODS PUBLIC GOODS PRIVATE GOODS COMMON-POOL GOODS Electricity as ‘mirage’ in ads? Electricity as regulated ‘municipal or utility supply’. Priced, glamourized private diesel generators, solar on rooftops, individual solutions. Accessible to all, ‘common pool’ Alternative Energy – banmara briquettes Resources: Abundance, Scarcity or Depletion? Source: D. Gyawali 2009. Pluralized Water Policy Terrain = Sustainability and Integration. SAWAS 1(2): 193-199 http://www.sawasjournal.org/templates/sawas/images/PluralizedWaterPolicyTerrain.pdf believes in that produces from which they are excluded argues for to produce argues against to produce argues for to produce low jointness high highexcludability
  • 7.  Hierarchism: Coercive Power (Tamasik), Strategy of Codes and Procedures  Individualism: Persuasive Power (Rajasik), Strategy of Networking Freedom  Egalitarianism: Moral Power (Satwik), Strategy of Critique Source: D. Gyawali 2003. Rivers, Technology and Society, Zed Books, London Agency Choice: Cement Dam, Modern cement technology Community Choice: Brushwood Dam, simple labor saving devices Market Choice: Diesel Pump, Donkey Cart- Mobile Phone, Irrigated Truck
  • 8. Bureaucratic HierarchismControl - too many people is the problem: Solution is to manage it through rules and regulation. DegradationAbundance Scarcity Market Individualism Egalitarianism of Social Movements/Greens Free innovation is the solution to scarcity brought about by too much control and scare mongering. Profligacy is the problem: solution is to reign in our greed. Climate Change Adapted from Rayner and Malone (1998) Neruvian Politics: Regulatory and Management Solutions Regano-Thatcherite Politics: Technical creativity and solutions Gandhian Politics: Ethical Behavioral solutions Plural Definition of the Wicked Climate Change Problem (and the origins of innovation) Answer is: “Many 10% Solutions”!!
  • 9. International Treaty Consensus NationState NationState NationState NationState Old Assumption Based on S. Rayner and E. Malone 1998: Social Science Insights in Climate Change, in Human Choice and Climate Change, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Battelle Press, Ohio.
  • 10. International Treaty Consensus NationState NationState NationState NationState New Reality Based on S. Rayner and E. Malone 1998: Social Science Insights in Climate Change, in Human Choice and Climate Change, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Battelle Press, Ohio. Environmental Activists Multinational Corporations Scientific and Professional Groups Non Government Social Organizations
  • 11. Verweij, M. 2000. Transboundary Environmental Problems and Cultural Theory: The Protection of the Rhine and the Great Lakes. Palgrave, Basingstoke, UK Benedick, R. E. 1991. Ozone Diplomacy: New Directions in Safeguarding the Planet. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachussets, USA.  If the Rhine can be cleaned up and the salmon returned, every polluted river AND the atmosphere can be cleaned up  Non-binding goals and commitments at the high level, implementation at the lowest unit of governance  All three styles of organizing included at the level of cantons and landers  Pragmatically oriented American industry forced intervened in favour and against US Government  Informed consumers and consumer groups had decisive influence  Effectiveness of a regulatory agreement is enhanced when it employs market incentives to stimulate technological innovations