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5. Demography
Demography is the statistical study of human populations.
It encompasses the study of the size, structure and
distribution of these populations and spatial and temporal
changes in them in response to time, birth, migration, aging
and death.
Demography (literally, writing about the people, from the
Greek demos [people] and graphos [writing]) is the statistical
study of human populations with reference to size and
density, distribution, and vital statistics.
Demographic statistics provide information about significant
characteristics of a population that influence community
needs and the delivery of health care services.
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7. Definitions
It is the study of population in terms of density and
distribution such as age, gender, race, occupation
etc..
It studies the birth,death,age patterns and diseases
in a community by which statistical information can
be obtained
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9. DEMOGRAPHY
THE WORD DEMOGRAPHY WAS FIRST USED BY
Achilles in 1855 and tha actual founder of the
demography was John Graunt.
Demography includes the changes which are
occuring over time and place.it studies both the
aspect of human population ie,quantitative and
qualitative.
12. Scope of demography
1)Demography helps us in understanding the
population in relation to age and sex composition,
dependency and independency ratio, concentration of
population , the size of population,
education,occupation,age and duration of marriage
13. Cont…
2)The type of data helps the planners to forecast health
and educational needs.
3)Demography preserves the cultural minority group.
4)Demography is oftenly regarded as the branch of
anthropology, economics or sociology.
50researches on demography is conducted in
universities in research institutes as well as in
statistical departments
14. ASPECTS OF DEMOGRAPHY
COMPOSITION OF POPULATION
DENSITY OF POPULATION
URBANISATION
LITERACY AND EDUCATION
EXPECTATION OF LIFE
30. The history of the census began in1800 when England had begun its census.
• Based on this methodology, a census was conducted in some towns and
provinces of British India.
• The first census of India began in 1871 but, the modern census started in 1881.
• Since then the census of India has provided uninterrupted counts of population
for every ten years.
39. Demographic trends in India
[1] DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS
[2] AGE AND SEX COMPOSITION
[3] AGE PYRAMIDS
[4] SEX RATIO
[5] DEPENDENCY RATIO
[6] DENSITY OF POPULATION
[7] URBANIZATION
8] FAMILY SIZE
[9] LITERACY AND EDUCATION
[10] LIFE EXPECTANCY
40. DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS
Provide an overview of its population size,
composition, territorial distribution, changes therein
and the components of changes such as nativity,
mortality and social mobility. They are divide in to
two parts :-
POPULATION STATISTICS
Population size, sex, ratio ,density ,dependency and
ratio
VITAL STATISTICS
Birth Rate, Death Rate,, Natural Growth Rate Life
Expectancy ,Mortality And Fertility Rates
41. Population size:
India is the second most populous country in the
world, with over 1.277 billion people. (2015)
• Seventh largest in land area.
• With only 2.4% of world’s land area, India is
supporting about 17.5% of the world’s population.
• India’s population has been steadily increasing
since 1921.
• The year 1921 is called the “BIG DIVIDE”.
• India’s population is currently increasing at the rate
of 16 million each year.
• It has been estimated that with current trends, the
population In India will increase to 1.4 billion till
2026.
42. AGE AND SEX COMPOSITION
• AGE PYRAMID:
Represents age structure of a population.
• The age pyramid of India is typical of developing
countries i.e. with a “broad base” and “tapering top”.
TAPERING TOP BROAD BASE
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44. SEX RATIO
• Is defined as “the number of females per 1000
males”.
• It plays a vital role in any population analysis study.
• The sex composition is affected by the differentials in
mortality conditions of males and females; sex
selective migration and sex ratio at birth.
45. The sex ratio in India has been generally adverse to women, i.e., the
number of women per 1,000 men has generally been less than
1,000. Apart from being adverse to women, the sex ratio has also
declined over the decades.
Current Sex Ratio in India 2016 944 females for every 1,000 males
Sex Ratio in India (Yearly) 943 (2015),
942 (2014), 941 (2013), 940 (2012)
Total No. of Males in India 668,760,678 (668 million - Jan, 2016)
Total No. of Females in India 626,283,237 (626 million - Jan, 2016)
Sex ratio at birth : Sex ratio at birth can be affected by sex-
selectivity at birth. The sex ratio at birth for India for the period
2011 has been estimated at 878. It varies from 871 in rural areas to
891 in urban areas. 49
Kerala with 1084 females for every 1000 males has the highest sex
ratio according to Census of IndiaAccording to Census of India, the
child sex ratio (0-6 years) in India is one of the poorest
46. DEPENDENCY RATIO
The proportion of persons above 65 years of age and
Children below 15 years of age are considered to be
dependent on the economically productive age group (15-
64 years).
The ratio of the combined age groups 0-14 years plus 55
years and above to the 15-65 years age group is referred
to as the total dependency ratio.
It is also referred to as the societal dependency ratio and
reflects the need for a society to provide for their younger
and older population groups
In 2010 total dependency-54,child dependency-45,Old
age dependency-9.
47. The dependency ratio can be subdivided into [1]
young age dependency ratio (0-14 years) [2] old age
dependency ratio (65 years and more). These ratios
are, however, relatively crude, since they do not take
into consideration elderly or young persons who are
employed or working age persons who are
unemployed.
48. DENSITY OF POPULATION
One of the important indices of population
concentration is the density of population. In the
Indian census, density is defined as the number of
persons, living per square kilometre.
For the year 2014,the density of population per sq
km in India was 394.
49. URBANIZATION
Urban population is the number of persons residing
in urban localities. The definition of urban locality
varies from country to country.
In Indian context, the urban areas are the towns. In
absolute terms, the urban population in India was
projected to be 385 million in 2011 as compared to
217.17 million in 1991.
The increase in urban population has been attributed
both to natural growth and migration from villages.
50. Family size
While in common parlance, family size refers to the total
number of persons in a family, in demography, family
size means the total number of children a woman has
born at a point in time.
The completed family size indicates the total number of
children born by a woman during her child- bearing age,
which is generally assumed to be between 15 and 45
years. The total fertility rate gives the approximate
magnitude of the completed family size.
The total fertility rate gives the approximate magnitude
of complete family size.
51. The family size depends upon numerous factors,
viz duration of marriage, education of the couple,
the number of live births and living children,
preference of male children. desired family size,
etc.
52. LITERACY AND EDUCATION
• Spread of literacy is generally associated with
modernization.
• It was decided in 1991 census to use the term literacy
rate for the population relating to seven years age and
above. • A person who can merely read but cannot write
is not considered literate.
• The literacy rate taking in account the total population
in the denominator has now been termed as “ crude
literacy rate”. • The literacy rate calculated taking into
account the 7years and above population in the
denominator is called effective literacy rate.
In India Kerala occupies the top rank with 93.91%
literacy rate. Lakshadweep 92.28% Mizoram 91.58%
53. Life expectancy
Life expectancy - or expectation of life - at a given
age is the average number of years which a person of
that age may expect to live, according to the
mortality pattern prevalent in that country.
Demographers consider it as one of the best
indicators of a country's level of development and of
the overall health status of its population.
Expectation of life at birth – World (Combined for
both sexes) 1950 : 46.5 years 2002 : 63 years •
Census 2011:The value for Life expectancy at birth,
total (years) in India was 65.48 as of 2011.
54. R A T E S A N D R A T I O S
Demographic rates and ratios
55. Tools of measurement
Rate measures the occurrence of some particular event in
a population during a given period of time. It indicates
the change in some event that take place in a population
over a period of time like death rate or birth rate.
A ratio is a relationship between two numbers indicating
how many times the first number contains the second.
PROPORTION • Is a ratio which indicates the relation in
magnitude of a part of the whole. • Numerator is always
included in denominator. • Usually expressed as %ge. •
Measurement of the size of a part out of the whole,
usually the whole taken as 100. If the fraction is too
small, the base can be 1000 or any 10x.
56. CATEGORIES OF RATE
• CRUDE RATE
Actual observed birth or death rates
• SPECIFIC RATES (actual observed cases)
• STANDARDIZED RATE(obtained by
standardisation or adjustment)
57. Measurements of morbidity
Morbidity means deviation from normal state of
phyiological well being
Morbidity is measured in terms of
frequency,duration and severity.
58. FERTILITY RELATED STATISTICS
FERTILITY is meant the actual bearing of
children
Other name – natality
Fertility may be measured by number of
indicators are as follows:-
59. 1.BIRTH RATE
2. GENERAL FERTILITY RATE
3. GENERAL MARITAL FERTILITY RATE
4. AGE SPECIFIC FERTILITY RATE
5. AGE SPECIFIC MARITAL FERTILITY RATE
6. TOTAL FERTILITY RATE
7. TOTAL MARITAL FERTILITY RATE
8. GROSS REPRODUCTION RATE
9. NET REPRODUCTION RATE
10. CHILD WOMEN RATIO
11. PREGNANCY RATE
12. ABORTION RATE
13. ABORTION RATIO
14. MARRIAGE RATe
60. 1]BIRTH RATE The number of live births per 1000 estimated mid year
population, in a given year. 71 number of live births During the year X
1,000Estimated mid-year population
2] GENERAL FERTILITY RATE [GFR] The number of live births per 1000
women in the reproductive age group (15-44 or 49 years) in a given year. 72
number of live births in an area during the year X 1,000Mid year female
population age 15-44(or 49) in the same area in same year
[3] GENERAL MARITAL FERTILITY RATE [GMFR] The number of live
births per 1000 married women in the reproductive age group (15-44 or 49
years) in a given year. 73 number of live births in a year X 1,000Mid -year
married female population age 15-44(or 49)
[4] AGE SPECIFIC FERTILITY RATE [ASFR] The number of live births in
a year to 1000 women in any specified age-group. 74 number of live births
in a particular age group X 1,000Mid -year female population of the same
age group
61. 5] AGE –SPECIFIC MARITAL FERTILITY RATE [ASMFR]
The number of live births in a year to 1000 married women in
any specified age-group. 75 number of live births in a
particular age group X 1,000Mid -year married female
population of the same age group
[6] TOTAL FERTILITY RATE[TFR] The number of children
who would be born per woman (or per 1,000 women) if
she/they were to pass through the childbearing years bearing
children according to a current schedule of age-specific
fertility rates. (45-49) TFR = 5 × ∑ ASFR (15-19) 1000
[7] TOTAL MARITAL FERTILITY RATE [TMFR] Average
number of children that would be born to a married women if
she experiences the current fertility pattern throughout her
reproductive span. (45-49) TFR = 5 × ∑ ASMFR (15-19) 1000
62. 8]GROSS REPRODUCTIVE RATE [GRR]
Average number of girls that would be born to a women if she
experiences the current fertility pattern throughout her reproductive
span 9(15-44 OR 49), assuming no mortality. (45-49) TFR = 5 × ∑
ASMFR for female live births (15-19) 1000
[9]NET REPRODUCTION RATE [NRR] Number of daughters a
newborn girl will bear during her lifetime assuming fixed age –
specific fertility and mortality rates.
[10] CHILD WOMEN RATIO [CWR] Number of children 0 – 4 years
of age per 1000 women of child bearing age, usually defined as 15-44
or 49 years age.
[11] PREGNANCY RATE It is the ratio of no. of pregnancies in a year
to a married women in the ages 15-44 (or 49 years).
[12] ABORTION RATE The annual no. of all types of abortions,
usually per 1000 women of child bearing age usually 15-44 years.