CB February 2014 CD 1 Congressional Primary
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This document summarizes the results of a poll of 492 registered Democratic primary voters in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District. It finds that 65% would vote in the Democratic primary in August, with Donna Mercado Kim and Mark Takai leading among the candidates for the open 1st District Congressional seat. It also shows 71% approve of President Obama's job performance. It includes demographic information about the respondents such as age, ethnicity, education levels, and crosstabs between candidate support and other questions.
![1
First Congressional District Registered Voter Sample = 492
Margin of Error = +/- 4.4%
29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines
This upcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order
randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil
Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the Democratic
primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one party’s primary—you must choose
between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or another party’s primary.
What are you most likely to do on primary day in August?
DemScreen
Democratic
GOP
Other/None
Unsure
Total
65%
19%
7%
9%
100%
Likely Democratic Primary Voter Sample = 323
Margin of Error = +/- 5.4%
--The Democratic primary in August will also include a contest for the First District
Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The announced candidates include
State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State Representative Mark
Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; and Honolulu Councilman Stanley Chang
[candidate names presented in varied orders]. If you vote in this primary, what would you
do?
CD1Rep
Chang
Anderson
Takai
Kim
Espero
Unsure
Total
7%
5%
20%
25%
8%
36%
100%](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/cbfebruary2014cd1congressionalprimary-140225234014-phpapp02/85/CB-February-2014-CD-1-Congressional-Primary-1-320.jpg)
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CB February 2014 CD 1 Congressional Primary
- 1. 1 First Congressional District Registered Voter Sample = 492 Margin of Error = +/- 4.4% 29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines This upcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the Democratic primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one party’s primary—you must choose between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or another party’s primary. What are you most likely to do on primary day in August? DemScreen Democratic GOP Other/None Unsure Total 65% 19% 7% 9% 100% Likely Democratic Primary Voter Sample = 323 Margin of Error = +/- 5.4% --The Democratic primary in August will also include a contest for the First District Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The announced candidates include State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State Representative Mark Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; and Honolulu Councilman Stanley Chang [candidate names presented in varied orders]. If you vote in this primary, what would you do? CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Total 7% 5% 20% 25% 8% 36% 100%
- 2. 2 --How do you feel about Barack Obama’s job performance as President? Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Total 71% 25% 4% 100% Demographics (Likely Democratic Primary Voters, First Congressional District) Sex Male Female Refused Total 44% 56% 0% 100% Age Under 50 Fifty and over Total 23% 77% 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Total 25% 36% 11% 5% 8% 1% 14% 100%
- 3. 3 Politics Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure Total 31% 40% 17% 12% 100% Party Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Total 72% 8% 17% 3% 100% Education No degree HS graduate College Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Grad Degree Refused Total 2% 13% 24% 26% 33% 2% 100% Military_Family Yes No Refused Total 64% 33% 3% 100% Union_Family Yes No Refused Total 36% 61% 3% 100%
- 4. 4 Income Under $50,000 $50,000 - $99,999 $100,000 or more Refused Total 20% 36% 27% 16% 100% Opinion Crosstabs CD1Rep * Governor Crosstabulation % within Governor Governor CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Total Abercrombie 7% 6% 15% 23% 14% 36% 100% Ige Unsure 6% 4% 6% 1% 29% 8% 30% 15% 4% 4% 25% 68% 100% 100% Governor * CD1Rep Crosstabulation % within CD1Rep Governor Total Abercrombie Ige Unsure CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure 36% 38% 23% 28% 60% 26% 45% 56% 65% 53% 24% 26% 18% 6% 12% 18% 16% 48% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
- 5. 5 CD1Rep * Senate Crosstabulation % within Senate Senate CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Total Schatz Hanabusa Unsure 10% 3% 4% 6% 3% 4% 15% 27% 9% 25% 31% 9% 10% 5% 7% 35% 31% 67% 100% 100% 100% Senate * CD1Rep Crosstabulation % within CD1Rep Senate Schatz Hanabusa Unsure Total CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure 62% 53% 30% 39% 50% 32% 24% 27% 58% 52% 27% 30% 14% 20% 12% 9% 23% 38% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Obama * CD1Rep Crosstabulation % within CD1Rep Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Total Chang 68% 32% 100% CD1Rep Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure 63% 65% 63% 67% 65% 38% 35% 31% 30% 21% 7% 4% 14% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1Rep * Obama Crosstabulation % within Obama Obama CD1Rep Total Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Approve Disapprove Unsure 6% 7% 4% 6% 19% 23% 23% 26% 21% 8% 8% 4% 40% 30% 75% 100% 100% 100%
- 6. 6 Demographic Crosstabs CD1Rep * Sex Crosstabulation % within Sex CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Total Male 7% 6% 22% 21% 9% 36% 100% Sex Female Refused 6% 3% 17% 50% 27% 6% 43% 50% 100% 100% CD1Rep * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age Under Fifty and 50 over CD1Rep Chang 6% 6% Anderson 2% 4% Takai 11% 21% Kim 23% 24% Espero 16% 5% Unsure 42% 39% Total 100% 100% CD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasia Japanes Hawaiia Hispani n e Filipino n Chinese c CD1Rep Chang 7% 5% 2% 11% Anderso 6% 2% 22% 4% n Takai 17% 29% 12% 6% 11% Kim 19% 19% 31% 33% 21% 100% Espero 6% 3% 31% 0% 7% Unsure 45% 44% 21% 39% 46% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Other/ Mixed 12% 8% 14% 22% 4% 41% 100%
- 7. 7 CD1Rep * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Total Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure 8% 7% 4% 4% 2% 6% 7% 0% 22% 17% 20% 18% 15% 24% 33% 21% 9% 7% 7% 5% 43% 38% 28% 52% 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1Rep * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Total Democrat Republican Independent Unsure 6% 7% 9% 4% 5% 3% 4% 22% 23% 14% 8% 21% 37% 23% 16% 11% 7% 36% 23% 49% 72% 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1Rep * Education Crosstabulation % within Education CD1Rep Total Education No HS College Grad degree graduate Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Degree Refused Chang 9% 5% 8% Anderson 2% 4% 6% 5% Takai 11% 18% 24% 13% 19% 71% Kim 33% 30% 21% 29% 14% 0% Espero 9% 5% 4% 13% Unsure 56% 41% 37% 42% 41% 29% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
- 8. 8 CD1Rep * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Refused CD1Rep Chang 6% 7% Anderson 6% 2% Takai 22% 14% 31% Kim 23% 21% 19% Espero 6% 12% Unsure 38% 45% 50% Total 100% 100% 100% CD1Rep * Union_Family Crosstabulation % within Union_Family Union_Family Yes No Refused CD1Rep Chang 8% 6% Anderson 4% 4% 0% Takai 26% 16% 20% Kim 26% 20% 7% Espero 6% 8% 13% Unsure 30% 45% 60% Total 100% 100% 100% CD1Rep * Income Crosstabulation % within Income CD1Rep Total Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Income Under $50,000 - $100,000 $50,000 $99,999 or more Refused 3% 5% 12% 4% 3% 7% 2% 1% 10% 23% 24% 17% 29% 26% 18% 16% 13% 7% 9% 1% 43% 32% 34% 60% 100% 100% 100% 100%