Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 1
Counting the Council
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the
body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on
the ballot in their district.
Democrats currently lead on the generic council ballot, 49 percent to 31 percent. Currently, Democrats control
the Council 14-11.
The survey of 400 likely voters as conducted by Mason Strategies showed only 32 percent of respondents were
familiar with who their Councilor is, and only 9 percent said they were “very familiar”. This means that there
could be a lot of low-information headed to the polls this November. Familiarity is highest among college-
educated voters, as well as among Independent voters.
Currently, 53 percent of Indianapolis voters say the city is headed in the right direction. However, voters only
approve of the job the County-City Council is doing 43 percent to 31 percent disapprove. The other 26 percent
can’t say, reflecting the lack of familiarity voters have with the members of the Council and what they do. Even
among disapproval, though, only 10% “strongly disapprove”, meaning that the 2019 election is not likely to see
a “throw the bums out” animus that results in sweeping changes.
Accordingly, only 3 out of 10 of voters felt comfortable enough to say they would vote to re-elect their current
councilor (whomever that may be), and only a quarter say they would vote to replace, with the other 45 percent
of voters not knowing how they’re going to vote in November.
“There is still almost three months for council candidates to make themselves known,” said Mason Strategies
owner and President Stephen Spiker. “However, with an off-cycle election focused on local issues, these races
are likely to come down more to which party organization can get more of their voters out to the polls.”
More Indianapolis voters say that they would vote for the Democratic candidate for the County-City Council,
with a 49 percent to 31 percent advantage. This matches the political makeup of Indianapolis as a “blue” city
that gave Hillary Clinton 58 percent of the vote in 2016. However, the control of the Council will depend on the
distribution of those votes across Marion County and the make-up of the electorate.
The poll was taken Aug 11-14. The survey sample was composed of 42 percent Democrats, 27 percent
Republicans and 26 percent identified themselves as Independents.
It has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 2
Topline Results - Indianapolis Survey
n=400 likely voters
August 11 - 14, 2018
Introduction & Screener Questions
1. First, are you or any member of your family a member of the news media, a public relations
company, or an active participant with any political campaign?
No 100%
2. When there are local elections for mayor and the city-county council, do you always vote, almost
always vote, vote most of the time, vote some of the time, hardly ever vote, or never vote?
Always vote 66%
Almost always vote 15%
Vote most of the time 19%
Mayor’s Ballot
3. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
Images
Next, I’m going to read you some names. For each, please tell me whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion or have never heard of them, just say so. IF
FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE, PROBE: Is that very or somewhat? RANDOMIZE SERIES
TOTAL
FAV
TOTAL
UNFAV
Very
Fav
S’what
Fav
S’what
Unfav
Very
Unfav
No
Opinion
Never
Heard of
4. Donald Trump 38% 58% 29% 9% 6% 52% 4% *
5. Mike Pence 43% 51% 29% 14% 9% 42% 5% *
6. [EMBARGOED FOR
FUTURE RELEASE]
7. Pete Buttigieg 41% 28% 21% 20% 5% 23% 15% 13%
8. [EMBARGOED FOR
FUTURE RELEASE]
9. Curtis Hill 14% 30% 4% 10% 11% 19% 27% 27%
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 3
Issues & Job Approval
10. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
11. Moving on, would you say that things in Indiana are headed in the right direction, or have things
gotten off on the wrong track?
Right Direction 54%
Wrong Track 33%
DK/Refused 13%
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Eric Holcomb is doing as Governor? PROBE: Is that
strongly or somewhat?
TOTAL APPROVE 60%
Strongly approve 17%
Somewhat approve 43%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 24%
Strongly disapprove 16%
Somewhat disapprove 8%
DK/Refused 16%
13. Now thinking about things here in the city, would you say that things in the city of Indianapolis
are headed in the right direction, or have things gotten off on the wrong track?
Right Direction 53%
Wrong Track 38%
DK/Refused 9%
14. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 4
15. As you may know, the City-County Council governs the city of Indianapolis and Marion County,
and has 25 districts. How familiar are you with the City-Councilor that represents your district?
TOTAL FAMILIAR 32%
Very familiar 9%
Somewhat familiar 23%
TOTAL NOT FAMILIAR 66%
Not too familiar 32%
Not at all familiar 34%
DK/Refused 3%
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that the City-County Council as a whole is doing?
PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
TOTAL APPROVE 43%
Strongly approve 5%
Somewhat approve 38%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 31%
Strongly disapprove 21%
Somewhat disapprove 10%
DK/Refused 26%
17. If the election were held tomorrow, would you [ROTATE] vote to re-elect your City-County
Council Member OR vote to replace your City-County Council Member?
Re-elect 30%
Replace 25%
Undecided [vol.] 28%
DK/Refused 17%
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 5
18. If the election for your city-county council member were held tomorrow, would you vote for
[ROTATE] the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate [END ROTATE] in your district?
IF VOTE: Is that definitely or likely?
TOTAL REPUBLICAN 31%
Definitely Republican 18%
Likely Republican 13%
TOTAL DEMOCRAT 49%
Definitely Democrat 31%
Likely Democrat 18%
Undecided/Refused 21%
Education Policy
19. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
20. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
21. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
22. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
Demographics
23. Wrapping up, I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only. First, in which of
the following ranges is your age:
18-40 26%
41-54 24%
55-64 26%
65 or older 25%
Refused 1%
24. Gender:
Male 53%
Female 47%
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 6
25. Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?
White 69%
Hispanic or Latino 2%
African-American 22%
Asian-American 1%
Something else 5%
Refused 1%
26. If you had to label yourself, would you say you are a [ROTATE] liberal, moderate, or
conservative in your political beliefs? IF LIBERAL OR CONSERVATIVE, PROBE: Is that very
[liberal/conservative] or somewhat?
TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 32%
Very conservative 16%
Somewhat conservative 16%
TOTAL MODERATE 38%
TOTAL LIBERAL 28%
Somewhat liberal 17%
Very liberal 11%
DK/Refused 3%
27. In politics, do you generally consider yourself to be a (ROTATE) Republican, Independent, or
Democrat? IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, PROBE: Is that a strong (Republican/Democrat) or
not-so-strong?
TOTAL REPUBLICAN 27%
Strong Republican 19%
Not-so-strong Republican 8%
TOTAL INDEPENDENT 26%
TOTAL DEMOCRAT 42%
Not-so-strong Democrat 10%
Strong Democrat 32%
Other 1%
DK/Refused 4%
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 7
28. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
Some high school 4%
Graduated high school 29%
Some college or associate’s 32%
Graduated college 21%
Masters/Post-Graduate 15%
29. Which of the following categories best describes your annual household income?
IF REFUSED INITIALLY: This information is for demographic purposes and is confidential. Which
of these broad income categories best describes your annual household income?
Less than $25,000 7%
$25,000 to less than $50,000 24%
$50,000 to less than $100,000 31%
$100,000 to less than $150,000 14%
$150,000 or more 9%
DK/Refused 15%
Thank you for your time. This call was authorized and paid for by Indy Politics.
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 8
Methodology Statement
On behalf of IndyPolitics.org, Mason Strategies, LLC, a research firm located out of Woodbridge, Virginia, conducted a telephone
survey of 400 likely voters in Marion County, Indiana. The survey was completed from August 11 - 14, 2018 using live
interviewers from a call center who called of landline and cell phones. 50% of the interviews were completed on cell phones.
The survey used RBS (Registration-Based Sampling) methodology, using voter registration records to create a random sample of
voters who have voted in at least two of the previous four general elections, or were newly registered to vote. The final sample
was weighted for age and education.
The survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.9% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error applies to each individual data
point at the topline level. When applying margins of error to relative analysis (e.g., a ballot test), it would apply to each data
point and not the margin between the two. Thus, even a difference greater than 4.9% between two data points may not be
statistically significant. Sampling error is larger for subgroup analysis.
Pollster Contact:
Stephen Spiker
President & Owner of Mason Strategies
(757) 618-0676
email: stephen.spiker@gmail.com
www.masonstrategies.com
Sponsor Contact:
Abdul-Hakim Shabazz
IndyPolitics.org
(317) 727-1250
attyabdul@gmail.com

Counting the Council

  • 1.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 1 Counting the Council The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district. Democrats currently lead on the generic council ballot, 49 percent to 31 percent. Currently, Democrats control the Council 14-11. The survey of 400 likely voters as conducted by Mason Strategies showed only 32 percent of respondents were familiar with who their Councilor is, and only 9 percent said they were “very familiar”. This means that there could be a lot of low-information headed to the polls this November. Familiarity is highest among college- educated voters, as well as among Independent voters. Currently, 53 percent of Indianapolis voters say the city is headed in the right direction. However, voters only approve of the job the County-City Council is doing 43 percent to 31 percent disapprove. The other 26 percent can’t say, reflecting the lack of familiarity voters have with the members of the Council and what they do. Even among disapproval, though, only 10% “strongly disapprove”, meaning that the 2019 election is not likely to see a “throw the bums out” animus that results in sweeping changes. Accordingly, only 3 out of 10 of voters felt comfortable enough to say they would vote to re-elect their current councilor (whomever that may be), and only a quarter say they would vote to replace, with the other 45 percent of voters not knowing how they’re going to vote in November. “There is still almost three months for council candidates to make themselves known,” said Mason Strategies owner and President Stephen Spiker. “However, with an off-cycle election focused on local issues, these races are likely to come down more to which party organization can get more of their voters out to the polls.” More Indianapolis voters say that they would vote for the Democratic candidate for the County-City Council, with a 49 percent to 31 percent advantage. This matches the political makeup of Indianapolis as a “blue” city that gave Hillary Clinton 58 percent of the vote in 2016. However, the control of the Council will depend on the distribution of those votes across Marion County and the make-up of the electorate. The poll was taken Aug 11-14. The survey sample was composed of 42 percent Democrats, 27 percent Republicans and 26 percent identified themselves as Independents. It has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.
  • 2.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 2 Topline Results - Indianapolis Survey n=400 likely voters August 11 - 14, 2018 Introduction & Screener Questions 1. First, are you or any member of your family a member of the news media, a public relations company, or an active participant with any political campaign? No 100% 2. When there are local elections for mayor and the city-county council, do you always vote, almost always vote, vote most of the time, vote some of the time, hardly ever vote, or never vote? Always vote 66% Almost always vote 15% Vote most of the time 19% Mayor’s Ballot 3. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] Images Next, I’m going to read you some names. For each, please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion or have never heard of them, just say so. IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE, PROBE: Is that very or somewhat? RANDOMIZE SERIES TOTAL FAV TOTAL UNFAV Very Fav S’what Fav S’what Unfav Very Unfav No Opinion Never Heard of 4. Donald Trump 38% 58% 29% 9% 6% 52% 4% * 5. Mike Pence 43% 51% 29% 14% 9% 42% 5% * 6. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 7. Pete Buttigieg 41% 28% 21% 20% 5% 23% 15% 13% 8. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 9. Curtis Hill 14% 30% 4% 10% 11% 19% 27% 27%
  • 3.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 3 Issues & Job Approval 10. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 11. Moving on, would you say that things in Indiana are headed in the right direction, or have things gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 54% Wrong Track 33% DK/Refused 13% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Eric Holcomb is doing as Governor? PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat? TOTAL APPROVE 60% Strongly approve 17% Somewhat approve 43% TOTAL DISAPPROVE 24% Strongly disapprove 16% Somewhat disapprove 8% DK/Refused 16% 13. Now thinking about things here in the city, would you say that things in the city of Indianapolis are headed in the right direction, or have things gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 53% Wrong Track 38% DK/Refused 9% 14. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
  • 4.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 4 15. As you may know, the City-County Council governs the city of Indianapolis and Marion County, and has 25 districts. How familiar are you with the City-Councilor that represents your district? TOTAL FAMILIAR 32% Very familiar 9% Somewhat familiar 23% TOTAL NOT FAMILIAR 66% Not too familiar 32% Not at all familiar 34% DK/Refused 3% 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that the City-County Council as a whole is doing? PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat? TOTAL APPROVE 43% Strongly approve 5% Somewhat approve 38% TOTAL DISAPPROVE 31% Strongly disapprove 21% Somewhat disapprove 10% DK/Refused 26% 17. If the election were held tomorrow, would you [ROTATE] vote to re-elect your City-County Council Member OR vote to replace your City-County Council Member? Re-elect 30% Replace 25% Undecided [vol.] 28% DK/Refused 17%
  • 5.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 5 18. If the election for your city-county council member were held tomorrow, would you vote for [ROTATE] the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate [END ROTATE] in your district? IF VOTE: Is that definitely or likely? TOTAL REPUBLICAN 31% Definitely Republican 18% Likely Republican 13% TOTAL DEMOCRAT 49% Definitely Democrat 31% Likely Democrat 18% Undecided/Refused 21% Education Policy 19. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 20. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 21. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 22. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] Demographics 23. Wrapping up, I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only. First, in which of the following ranges is your age: 18-40 26% 41-54 24% 55-64 26% 65 or older 25% Refused 1% 24. Gender: Male 53% Female 47%
  • 6.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 6 25. Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity? White 69% Hispanic or Latino 2% African-American 22% Asian-American 1% Something else 5% Refused 1% 26. If you had to label yourself, would you say you are a [ROTATE] liberal, moderate, or conservative in your political beliefs? IF LIBERAL OR CONSERVATIVE, PROBE: Is that very [liberal/conservative] or somewhat? TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 32% Very conservative 16% Somewhat conservative 16% TOTAL MODERATE 38% TOTAL LIBERAL 28% Somewhat liberal 17% Very liberal 11% DK/Refused 3% 27. In politics, do you generally consider yourself to be a (ROTATE) Republican, Independent, or Democrat? IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, PROBE: Is that a strong (Republican/Democrat) or not-so-strong? TOTAL REPUBLICAN 27% Strong Republican 19% Not-so-strong Republican 8% TOTAL INDEPENDENT 26% TOTAL DEMOCRAT 42% Not-so-strong Democrat 10% Strong Democrat 32% Other 1% DK/Refused 4%
  • 7.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 7 28. What is the highest level of education you have completed? Some high school 4% Graduated high school 29% Some college or associate’s 32% Graduated college 21% Masters/Post-Graduate 15% 29. Which of the following categories best describes your annual household income? IF REFUSED INITIALLY: This information is for demographic purposes and is confidential. Which of these broad income categories best describes your annual household income? Less than $25,000 7% $25,000 to less than $50,000 24% $50,000 to less than $100,000 31% $100,000 to less than $150,000 14% $150,000 or more 9% DK/Refused 15% Thank you for your time. This call was authorized and paid for by Indy Politics.
  • 8.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 8 Methodology Statement On behalf of IndyPolitics.org, Mason Strategies, LLC, a research firm located out of Woodbridge, Virginia, conducted a telephone survey of 400 likely voters in Marion County, Indiana. The survey was completed from August 11 - 14, 2018 using live interviewers from a call center who called of landline and cell phones. 50% of the interviews were completed on cell phones. The survey used RBS (Registration-Based Sampling) methodology, using voter registration records to create a random sample of voters who have voted in at least two of the previous four general elections, or were newly registered to vote. The final sample was weighted for age and education. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.9% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error applies to each individual data point at the topline level. When applying margins of error to relative analysis (e.g., a ballot test), it would apply to each data point and not the margin between the two. Thus, even a difference greater than 4.9% between two data points may not be statistically significant. Sampling error is larger for subgroup analysis. Pollster Contact: Stephen Spiker President & Owner of Mason Strategies (757) 618-0676 email: stephen.spiker@gmail.com www.masonstrategies.com Sponsor Contact: Abdul-Hakim Shabazz IndyPolitics.org (317) 727-1250 attyabdul@gmail.com