1

Sample: Statewide Registered Voters = 1,003
Margin of Error = +/- 3.1%
February 12 – 15, 2014
29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines
All voters
1) First, how do you feel things are going in Hawaii—are they generally going in the
right direction or the wrong direction?
Direction
Right
Wrong
Unsure
Total

38%
48%
14%
100%

Likely Democratic Primary voters = 643
Margin of Error = +/- 3.9%
2) Now I would like to ask your opinion of several political figures in Hawaii…First, do
you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Governor Neil Abercrombie?

Abercrombie
 

 
42%
46%
12%

Positive
Negative
Unsure

Likely Democratic Primary voters
[Qs 3 & 4 order randomized]
3) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Senator Brian Schatz?

Schatz
 

Positive
Negative
Unsure

51%
27%
22%
2
Likely Democratic Primary voters
4) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman
Colleen Hanabusa?

Hanabusa
 

Positive
Negative
Unsure

58%
29%
13%

Likely Democratic Primary voters
5) And do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of State Senator David Ige?

Ige
 

Positive
Negative
Unsure

 
31%
13%
56%
3

Oahu registered voters = 685
Margin of Error = +/- 3.7%
6) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk
Caldwell?
Caldwell
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total

52%
35%
13%
100%

Oahu registered voters
7) And do you have a positive or negative opinion of former Honolulu Mayor Mufi
Hannemann?
Hannemann
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total

32%
59%
9%
100%

Oahu registered voters
8) If Mufi Hannemann were to run for a political office in the 2014 election, how likely
would you be to vote for him?
VoteHannemann
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat
unlikely
Very unlikely
Unsure
Total

20%
23%
20%
28%
9%
100%
4
All voters
9) This upcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order
randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil
Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the
Democratic primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one party’s primary—
you must choose between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or
another party’s primary. What are you most likely to do on primary day in August?

DemScreen
Democratic
GOP
Other/None
Unsure

 
64%
19%
7%
10%

Likely Democratic Primary voters
10) And if you do vote in the Democratic Senate primary between Brian Schatz and
Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized], what would you do?

Senate
 

Schatz
Hanabusa
Unsure

40%
40%
20%

Likely Democratic Primary voters
11) And if you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor between Neil Abercrombie
and David Ige [candidate name order randomized], what would you do?

Governor
 

Abercrombie
Ige
Unsure

 
37%
37%
26%
5

Likely CD 1 Democratic Congressional Primary Voters = 323
Margin of Error = +/- 5.4%
12) The Democratic primary in August will also include a contest for the First District
Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The announced candidates
include State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State
Representative Mark Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; and Honolulu
Councilman Stanley Chang [candidate names presented in different orders]. If you
vote in this primary, what would you do?
CD1Rep
Chang
Anderson
Takai
Kim
Espero
Unsure
Total

7%
5%
20%
25%
8%
36%
100%
6

All voters
13) Now I have a few quick questions about some important issues in Hawaii…The
Hawaii Legislature is considering allowing marijuana dispensaries to open in order to
supply medical marijuana patients. However, marijuana is still an illegal drug under
federal law. What do you think – do you think Hawaii should allow medical marijuana
dispensaries to open?
MedMarijuana
Yes
No
Unsure
Total

45%
47%
9%
100%

All voters
14) In Colorado and Washington State, they have gone a step further, legalizing
marijuana not just for medical use, but also for recreational use. Do you think Hawaii
should do the same, and legalize recreational marijuana use?

RecreationalMarijuana
Yes
No
Unsure
Total

33%
59%
8%
100%
7
All voters
15) Hawaii lawmakers are also considering increasing the state’s minimum wage, from
$7.25 an hour to at least $9.25 an hour, and perhaps over $10 by 2017. What do you
think about raising the minimum wage in Hawaii?
MinimumWage
Yes
No
Unsure
Total

68%
23%
8%
100%

All voters
16) And if Hawaii does raise the minimum wage, what effect do you think it would have
on the state’s economy – overall, would it be good for the economy, or bad for the
economy?
MinWageEconomy
Good
Bad
Unsure
Total

62%
25%
13%
100%

All voters
17) And what effect do you think raising the minimum wage have on business owners in
Hawaii – overall, would it be good for business owners, or bad for business owners?
MinWageBusiness
Good
Bad
Unsure
Total

41%
40%
19%
100%
8

All voters
18) How do you feel about Barack Obama’s job performance as President?
Obama
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

59
36
5
100

Demographics—all voters
Sex
Male
Female
Refused
Total

48%
52%
0%
100%

Age
Under 50
Fifty and over
Total

29%
71%
100%

Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian
Japanese
Filipino
Hawaiian
Chinese
Hispanic
Other/Mixed
Refused
Total

35%
26%
10%
9%
5%
1%
14%
0%
100%
9

County_CD
Oahu_CD1
Oahu_CD2
Hawaii
Maui
Kauai
Total

50%
19%
14%
11%
6%
100%

Politics
Liberal/progressive
Moderate
Conservative
Unsure
Total

29%
34%
22%
15%
100%

Party
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Unsure
Total

55%
20%
20%
6%
100%

Education
No degree
HS graduate
College Graduate
Some/Assoc/Voc
Grad Degree
Refused
Total

3%
13%
24%
32%
26%
3%
100%

Military_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Total

62%
34%
4%
100%
10

Union_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Total

33%
61%
6%
100%

Income
Under $50,000
$50,000 $99,999
$100,000 or more
Refused
Total

24%
32%
21%
23%
100%

Cb february 2014 posted pdf

  • 1.
    1 Sample: Statewide RegisteredVoters = 1,003 Margin of Error = +/- 3.1% February 12 – 15, 2014 29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines All voters 1) First, how do you feel things are going in Hawaii—are they generally going in the right direction or the wrong direction? Direction Right Wrong Unsure Total 38% 48% 14% 100% Likely Democratic Primary voters = 643 Margin of Error = +/- 3.9% 2) Now I would like to ask your opinion of several political figures in Hawaii…First, do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Governor Neil Abercrombie? Abercrombie     42% 46% 12% Positive Negative Unsure Likely Democratic Primary voters [Qs 3 & 4 order randomized] 3) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Senator Brian Schatz? Schatz   Positive Negative Unsure 51% 27% 22%
  • 2.
    2 Likely Democratic Primaryvoters 4) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa? Hanabusa   Positive Negative Unsure 58% 29% 13% Likely Democratic Primary voters 5) And do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of State Senator David Ige? Ige   Positive Negative Unsure   31% 13% 56%
  • 3.
    3 Oahu registered voters= 685 Margin of Error = +/- 3.7% 6) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell? Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total 52% 35% 13% 100% Oahu registered voters 7) And do you have a positive or negative opinion of former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann? Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Total 32% 59% 9% 100% Oahu registered voters 8) If Mufi Hannemann were to run for a political office in the 2014 election, how likely would you be to vote for him? VoteHannemann Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Unsure Total 20% 23% 20% 28% 9% 100%
  • 4.
    4 All voters 9) Thisupcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the Democratic primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one party’s primary— you must choose between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or another party’s primary. What are you most likely to do on primary day in August? DemScreen Democratic GOP Other/None Unsure   64% 19% 7% 10% Likely Democratic Primary voters 10) And if you do vote in the Democratic Senate primary between Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized], what would you do? Senate   Schatz Hanabusa Unsure 40% 40% 20% Likely Democratic Primary voters 11) And if you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor between Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized], what would you do? Governor   Abercrombie Ige Unsure   37% 37% 26%
  • 5.
    5 Likely CD 1Democratic Congressional Primary Voters = 323 Margin of Error = +/- 5.4% 12) The Democratic primary in August will also include a contest for the First District Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The announced candidates include State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State Representative Mark Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; and Honolulu Councilman Stanley Chang [candidate names presented in different orders]. If you vote in this primary, what would you do? CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Total 7% 5% 20% 25% 8% 36% 100%
  • 6.
    6 All voters 13) NowI have a few quick questions about some important issues in Hawaii…The Hawaii Legislature is considering allowing marijuana dispensaries to open in order to supply medical marijuana patients. However, marijuana is still an illegal drug under federal law. What do you think – do you think Hawaii should allow medical marijuana dispensaries to open? MedMarijuana Yes No Unsure Total 45% 47% 9% 100% All voters 14) In Colorado and Washington State, they have gone a step further, legalizing marijuana not just for medical use, but also for recreational use. Do you think Hawaii should do the same, and legalize recreational marijuana use? RecreationalMarijuana Yes No Unsure Total 33% 59% 8% 100%
  • 7.
    7 All voters 15) Hawaiilawmakers are also considering increasing the state’s minimum wage, from $7.25 an hour to at least $9.25 an hour, and perhaps over $10 by 2017. What do you think about raising the minimum wage in Hawaii? MinimumWage Yes No Unsure Total 68% 23% 8% 100% All voters 16) And if Hawaii does raise the minimum wage, what effect do you think it would have on the state’s economy – overall, would it be good for the economy, or bad for the economy? MinWageEconomy Good Bad Unsure Total 62% 25% 13% 100% All voters 17) And what effect do you think raising the minimum wage have on business owners in Hawaii – overall, would it be good for business owners, or bad for business owners? MinWageBusiness Good Bad Unsure Total 41% 40% 19% 100%
  • 8.
    8 All voters 18) Howdo you feel about Barack Obama’s job performance as President? Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Total 59 36 5 100 Demographics—all voters Sex Male Female Refused Total 48% 52% 0% 100% Age Under 50 Fifty and over Total 29% 71% 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Refused Total 35% 26% 10% 9% 5% 1% 14% 0% 100%
  • 9.
  • 10.