The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 433 registered New Hampshire voters on politics, economics, and social issues. Key findings include:
- Over three-quarters of voters support universal background checks for firearm sales.
- Views of the state and national economy have improved since last year.
- Senator Ayotte's unfavorable rating increased by 7% after her vote against expanded background checks.
- In hypothetical 2014 Senate matchups, Senator Shaheen leads potential challengers Jeb Bradley and Scott Brown. In 2016 presidential matchups, Hillary Clinton leads Chris Christie and Marco Rubio.
The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 403 New Hampshire registered voters between April 2-5, 2012 regarding political issues, the economy, and social policies. Key findings included:
- Voters were less pessimistic about the national and state economies than in 2011.
- In a hypothetical presidential matchup, Mitt Romney led Barack Obama by a slim margin of 43.9% to 42.4%.
- "Building a strong economy" was viewed as the most important issue for the state government.
- Voters were split on expanded gambling and college student voting eligibility. They supported same-sex marriage and cell phone bans while driving but opposed guns on college campuses and employer contraceptive coverage refus
A poll of 400 Indianapolis voters found that Governor Eric Holcomb has a 60% approval rating, with 53% thinking the state is headed in the right direction. Holcomb has high approval even among Democrats (47%) and independents (65%). President Trump has a 38% approval in Indianapolis, but is viewed favorably by 59% of non-college educated men. The poll also found views on other politicians like Vice President Mike Pence, Pete Buttigieg, and Curtis Hill.
Doug Schoen's Poll on American Expectations from the Obama Administrationaspeninstitute
Douglas Schoen conducted a survey of 800 voters to provide context for decisions made by the Obama administration. Key findings include:
- While Obama remains personally popular, his policies are less so and voters are skeptical they will create jobs or increase the deficit.
- The electorate supports Obama's healthcare and climate initiatives but doubts their efficiency and impact.
- There is no appetite for another stimulus package amid concerns over government involvement in the economy and rising deficits.
- On foreign policy, voters generally approve of Obama's handling of most issues but are divided on Afghanistan and using torture against terrorists.
Biden leads by double digits as coronavirus takes a toll on the president, Po...Dr Matt Boente MD
President Trump faces a significant challenge in his bid to win reelection in November, with former vice president Joe Biden holding a double-digit lead nationally and the president’s approval ratings crumbling amid a spreading coronavirus pandemic and a weakened economy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
This document summarizes a study on political participation among Mormon Millennials. A survey of 50 BYU-Idaho students found that they report voting at higher rates than the national average for their age group, though they demonstrate low levels of political knowledge in the survey. Focus groups with students suggest obstacles to their political engagement include a lack of trust in government, lack of political knowledge, disliking partisanship, feeling politics are not relevant, and a belief that individual votes do not matter. The author is developing a website to help educate Millennials on politics.
- A survey of 603 likely Virginia voters in March 2011 found strong opposition to cutting Social Security benefits in order to reduce the federal deficit. Three-quarters of voters opposed such cuts, including two-thirds who strongly opposed.
- Majorities of voters across party lines and demographics opposed three proposals to cut Social Security by raising the retirement age, reducing cost-of-living adjustments, and lowering benefits for higher-income individuals.
- Seven in ten voters favored requiring Social Security taxes on all wages over $106,800, including two-thirds or more of voters across political affiliations. Support for this proposal crossed party lines and demographics.
The survey of 503 Florida voters found strong opposition to cutting Social Security benefits to reduce the federal deficit. Three-quarters of voters oppose such cuts, including 70% who strongly oppose. Majorities of Democrats, Republicans, independents, and undecided voters oppose cuts. Voters also oppose three specific proposals to cut benefits by raising the retirement age, changing the COLA formula, or reducing benefits for higher earners. Voters favor requiring Social Security taxes on all wages and dedicating added revenue to the program.
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 403 New Hampshire registered voters between April 2-5, 2012 regarding political issues, the economy, and social policies. Key findings included:
- Voters were less pessimistic about the national and state economies than in 2011.
- In a hypothetical presidential matchup, Mitt Romney led Barack Obama by a slim margin of 43.9% to 42.4%.
- "Building a strong economy" was viewed as the most important issue for the state government.
- Voters were split on expanded gambling and college student voting eligibility. They supported same-sex marriage and cell phone bans while driving but opposed guns on college campuses and employer contraceptive coverage refus
A poll of 400 Indianapolis voters found that Governor Eric Holcomb has a 60% approval rating, with 53% thinking the state is headed in the right direction. Holcomb has high approval even among Democrats (47%) and independents (65%). President Trump has a 38% approval in Indianapolis, but is viewed favorably by 59% of non-college educated men. The poll also found views on other politicians like Vice President Mike Pence, Pete Buttigieg, and Curtis Hill.
Doug Schoen's Poll on American Expectations from the Obama Administrationaspeninstitute
Douglas Schoen conducted a survey of 800 voters to provide context for decisions made by the Obama administration. Key findings include:
- While Obama remains personally popular, his policies are less so and voters are skeptical they will create jobs or increase the deficit.
- The electorate supports Obama's healthcare and climate initiatives but doubts their efficiency and impact.
- There is no appetite for another stimulus package amid concerns over government involvement in the economy and rising deficits.
- On foreign policy, voters generally approve of Obama's handling of most issues but are divided on Afghanistan and using torture against terrorists.
Biden leads by double digits as coronavirus takes a toll on the president, Po...Dr Matt Boente MD
President Trump faces a significant challenge in his bid to win reelection in November, with former vice president Joe Biden holding a double-digit lead nationally and the president’s approval ratings crumbling amid a spreading coronavirus pandemic and a weakened economy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
This document summarizes a study on political participation among Mormon Millennials. A survey of 50 BYU-Idaho students found that they report voting at higher rates than the national average for their age group, though they demonstrate low levels of political knowledge in the survey. Focus groups with students suggest obstacles to their political engagement include a lack of trust in government, lack of political knowledge, disliking partisanship, feeling politics are not relevant, and a belief that individual votes do not matter. The author is developing a website to help educate Millennials on politics.
- A survey of 603 likely Virginia voters in March 2011 found strong opposition to cutting Social Security benefits in order to reduce the federal deficit. Three-quarters of voters opposed such cuts, including two-thirds who strongly opposed.
- Majorities of voters across party lines and demographics opposed three proposals to cut Social Security by raising the retirement age, reducing cost-of-living adjustments, and lowering benefits for higher-income individuals.
- Seven in ten voters favored requiring Social Security taxes on all wages over $106,800, including two-thirds or more of voters across political affiliations. Support for this proposal crossed party lines and demographics.
The survey of 503 Florida voters found strong opposition to cutting Social Security benefits to reduce the federal deficit. Three-quarters of voters oppose such cuts, including 70% who strongly oppose. Majorities of Democrats, Republicans, independents, and undecided voters oppose cuts. Voters also oppose three specific proposals to cut benefits by raising the retirement age, changing the COLA formula, or reducing benefits for higher earners. Voters favor requiring Social Security taxes on all wages and dedicating added revenue to the program.
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
The recent controversy surrounding Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill may not have had much impact on what Hoosiers think of the job he is doing.
As part of our Indy Politics scientific poll of 600 likely voters, conducted last week by Mason Strategies LLC, we asked about Hill’s favorable and unfavorable ratings.
The report measures attitudes and preferences regarding the 2020 presidential election, as well as attitudes about the current administration and its policies.
This document provides an overview and analysis of a poll conducted in June 2008 on voter opinions and attitudes regarding the 2008 US presidential election between Barack Obama and John McCain. Some key findings from the poll include: Obama has a slight lead over McCain nationally; support for Obama is driven by a desire for change from President Bush, while McCain's support comes from his experience in foreign policy; the economy is the top issue but voters see the candidates as tied on handling it.
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714Magellan Strategies
This document is a summary of a post-election landline and cell phone survey of 500 unaffiliated women voters in Colorado that voted in the 2014 general election. The interviews were conducted on November 17th and 18th, and the survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This group of women voters contributed 14% of the total vote, or 286,283 votes of the 2,080,071 total votes cast in the 2014 election.
The survey used Magellan Strategies Colorado segmentation data to draw the sample, which only surveyed female unaffiliated voters that voted in the 2014 general election. The three unaffiliated segments used were Lean Republican Unaffiliated, True Middle and Lean Democrat Unaffiliated. Among all unaffiliated women who voted in the 2014 general election, 17% were Lean Republican Unaffiliated, 48% were True Middle and 35% were Lean Democrat Unaffiliated.
Most observers of Colorado politics would confirm that unaffiliated women voters are an important voting block that can decide most elections in the Centennial state. These women voters are less partisan and more likely to consider candidates of both parties. This survey attempts to understand how these women viewed: the 2014 candidates for the United States Senate and Governor, the dominance of women’s issues, the Republican and Democrat parties, and their support for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
This document analyzes the results of the 2016 US presidential election and identifies key factors that impacted the outcome. It summarizes that:
1. There was significant anger and frustration with the status quo that drove voters to take risks for change, and Democrats lost ground with the working class.
2. Demographics are not destiny, as turnout changed in ways that hurt Democrats, such as increased rural and white voter turnout.
3. Lack of an economic message and vision hurt Democrats, and having a populist economic message combined with reform can win.
4. Perceptions of race, immigration, and gender roles strongly correlated with votes for Trump.
The document summarizes the findings of a survey of 502 likely 2012 Colorado voters regarding their attitudes toward Social Security. Key findings include:
- Strong bipartisan opposition (71%) to cutting Social Security benefits to reduce the federal deficit. This is especially true for independents and undecided voters.
- Over 60% would be less likely to vote for candidates supporting such cuts.
- Majorities oppose three specific proposals to cut benefits: raising the retirement age, changing the COLA formula, and reducing benefits for those earning over $60k.
- There is support for requiring Social Security taxes on all wages and dedicating additional tax revenue to the program.
This document summarizes the results of the 2012 Massachusetts Senate election between Elizabeth Warren and Scott Brown. It finds that Warren's victory further weakened the already small Republican Party in the state and solidified its status as a one-party dominated state. It analyzes demographic data from the election, finding that Brown underperformed compared to 2010 among key groups like women, younger voters, union members, and those without a college degree. This suggests that for Republicans to be competitive in future Massachusetts elections, they will need to broaden their appeal beyond their current base.
This document summarizes the results of a poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District. The poll shows Jim Banks leading with 29.3% support, followed closely by Kip Tom at 23.3% and Liz Brown at 21.8%. The differences are within the margin of error. While Banks and Tom have stronger levels of support, one-fifth of voters for each of the front-runners are unsure how strong their support is. The candidates have similar levels of support across gender and religious attendance. A majority of voters feel political tone does not impact their involvement, though Brown's supporters are less likely to feel this way.
An Indiana statewide survey of 1,000 registered voters found Governor Mike Pence's approval ratings have declined since April, with more voters disapproving than approving of his job performance. Pence is in a statistical tie with potential Democratic challengers Glenda Ritz and John Gregg in hypothetical 2016 matchups. College-educated women, in particular, strongly disapprove of Pence and support Ritz and Gregg over him. The survey also found continued majority support for adding sexual orientation and gender identity protections to Indiana's civil rights law, which could become a key issue in the 2016 gubernatorial election.
By David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan, CGRI Survey Series. Corporate Governance Research Initiative, Stanford Rock Center for Corporate Governance, October 2018
In summer and fall 2018, the Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University conducted a nationwide survey of 3,544 individuals — representative by gender, race, age, household income, and state residence — to understand how the American public views CEOs who take public positions on environmental, social, and political issues.
“We find that the public is highly divided about CEOs who take vocal positions on social, environmental, or political issues,” says Professor David F. Larcker, Stanford Graduate School of Business. “While some applaud CEOs who speak up, others strongly disapprove. The divergence in opinions is striking. CEOs who take public positions on specific issues might build loyalty with their employees or customers, but these same positions can inadvertently alienate important segments of those populations. The cost of CEO activism might be higher than many CEOs, companies, or boards realize.”
“Hot-button issues are hot for a reason,” adds Brian Tayan, researcher at Stanford Graduate School of Business. “Interestingly, people are much more likely to think of products they have stopped using than products they have started using because of a position the CEO took on a public issue. When consumers don’t like what they hear, they react the best way they know how to: by closing their wallets.”
This document appears to be a presentation on polling data related to the 2012 US presidential election and Republican primaries. It includes data on favorability ratings for Mitt Romney and Barack Obama from April 2012, with Obama viewed more favorably than Romney overall. It also breaks down the favorability ratings by demographic groups. The presentation was given at the American Association for Public Opinion Research conference in May 2012 by Gary Langer from Langer Research Associates.
This document discusses ranked choice voting and its benefits over the current plurality voting system. It argues ranked choice voting (1) ensures a candidate wins with majority support, either in the first round of counting or through an instant runoff process; (2) increases voter participation and reduces negative campaigning; and (3) allows voters to fully express their preferences rather than feeling limited to their top choice or "throwing away" their vote. Evidence from cities that have adopted ranked choice voting shows increased diversity of candidates elected and high voter understanding of the system.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that the presidential race in Indiana has tightened significantly since August, with Trump now leading Clinton by only 4 points compared to an 11-point lead previously. Pence's approval rating as governor has also dropped. In the Senate race, Evan Bayh maintains a 6-point lead over Todd Young despite attacks against him. The governor's race has seen the most movement, with Democrat John Gregg now leading by 12 points after being virtually tied in August.
The document analyzes the relationship between political polarization, wealth inequality, voter turnout laws, and voter turnout. Regression models found that political polarization and voter ID laws did not significantly impact turnout, but wealth inequality did have a significant negative effect on turnout. While the study has limitations, it provides initial evidence that increasing wealth inequality, rather than polarization alone, may contribute to decreasing voter participation. Further research is needed to more fully understand the impacts of polarization and inequality on political engagement.
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
Three surveys conducted by the Kaiser Family Foundation in February 2013 found:
1) Americans remain split in their views of the Affordable Care Act, with slightly more holding unfavorable than favorable opinions.
2) Hispanics and blacks were more likely than other groups to say they worry about being victims of gun violence and to personally know someone affected by gun violence.
3) While most Americans favor requiring equivalent mental health benefits, only about a third correctly understood current law as requiring parity between mental health and other medical benefits.
Slide deck from “Maximimizing Your Leave Terms” session at Dartmouth College Sophomore Family Weekend 2012.
Hosted by: Rockefeller Center (http://rockefeller.dartmouth.edu), Tucker Foundation (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~tucker/), Dickey Center (http://dickey.dartmouth.edu/), and the Office of Undergraduate Advising and Research (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~ugar/).
Thanks to our student speakers: Edgar Sandoval ’14, Samuel Street ’13, and Hannah Rowe ’14.
This document provides instructions for a "Block of the Month" quilt project featuring a manger, Christmas tree bauble with peace dove, and Christmas wreath patterns for June. It lists the materials, colors, and sizes needed to complete the three 12.5x12.5 inch machine appliqued blocks. Detailed instructions are provided for sewing each design using the specified fabrics.
The recent controversy surrounding Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill may not have had much impact on what Hoosiers think of the job he is doing.
As part of our Indy Politics scientific poll of 600 likely voters, conducted last week by Mason Strategies LLC, we asked about Hill’s favorable and unfavorable ratings.
The report measures attitudes and preferences regarding the 2020 presidential election, as well as attitudes about the current administration and its policies.
This document provides an overview and analysis of a poll conducted in June 2008 on voter opinions and attitudes regarding the 2008 US presidential election between Barack Obama and John McCain. Some key findings from the poll include: Obama has a slight lead over McCain nationally; support for Obama is driven by a desire for change from President Bush, while McCain's support comes from his experience in foreign policy; the economy is the top issue but voters see the candidates as tied on handling it.
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714Magellan Strategies
This document is a summary of a post-election landline and cell phone survey of 500 unaffiliated women voters in Colorado that voted in the 2014 general election. The interviews were conducted on November 17th and 18th, and the survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This group of women voters contributed 14% of the total vote, or 286,283 votes of the 2,080,071 total votes cast in the 2014 election.
The survey used Magellan Strategies Colorado segmentation data to draw the sample, which only surveyed female unaffiliated voters that voted in the 2014 general election. The three unaffiliated segments used were Lean Republican Unaffiliated, True Middle and Lean Democrat Unaffiliated. Among all unaffiliated women who voted in the 2014 general election, 17% were Lean Republican Unaffiliated, 48% were True Middle and 35% were Lean Democrat Unaffiliated.
Most observers of Colorado politics would confirm that unaffiliated women voters are an important voting block that can decide most elections in the Centennial state. These women voters are less partisan and more likely to consider candidates of both parties. This survey attempts to understand how these women viewed: the 2014 candidates for the United States Senate and Governor, the dominance of women’s issues, the Republican and Democrat parties, and their support for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
This document analyzes the results of the 2016 US presidential election and identifies key factors that impacted the outcome. It summarizes that:
1. There was significant anger and frustration with the status quo that drove voters to take risks for change, and Democrats lost ground with the working class.
2. Demographics are not destiny, as turnout changed in ways that hurt Democrats, such as increased rural and white voter turnout.
3. Lack of an economic message and vision hurt Democrats, and having a populist economic message combined with reform can win.
4. Perceptions of race, immigration, and gender roles strongly correlated with votes for Trump.
The document summarizes the findings of a survey of 502 likely 2012 Colorado voters regarding their attitudes toward Social Security. Key findings include:
- Strong bipartisan opposition (71%) to cutting Social Security benefits to reduce the federal deficit. This is especially true for independents and undecided voters.
- Over 60% would be less likely to vote for candidates supporting such cuts.
- Majorities oppose three specific proposals to cut benefits: raising the retirement age, changing the COLA formula, and reducing benefits for those earning over $60k.
- There is support for requiring Social Security taxes on all wages and dedicating additional tax revenue to the program.
This document summarizes the results of the 2012 Massachusetts Senate election between Elizabeth Warren and Scott Brown. It finds that Warren's victory further weakened the already small Republican Party in the state and solidified its status as a one-party dominated state. It analyzes demographic data from the election, finding that Brown underperformed compared to 2010 among key groups like women, younger voters, union members, and those without a college degree. This suggests that for Republicans to be competitive in future Massachusetts elections, they will need to broaden their appeal beyond their current base.
This document summarizes the results of a poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District. The poll shows Jim Banks leading with 29.3% support, followed closely by Kip Tom at 23.3% and Liz Brown at 21.8%. The differences are within the margin of error. While Banks and Tom have stronger levels of support, one-fifth of voters for each of the front-runners are unsure how strong their support is. The candidates have similar levels of support across gender and religious attendance. A majority of voters feel political tone does not impact their involvement, though Brown's supporters are less likely to feel this way.
An Indiana statewide survey of 1,000 registered voters found Governor Mike Pence's approval ratings have declined since April, with more voters disapproving than approving of his job performance. Pence is in a statistical tie with potential Democratic challengers Glenda Ritz and John Gregg in hypothetical 2016 matchups. College-educated women, in particular, strongly disapprove of Pence and support Ritz and Gregg over him. The survey also found continued majority support for adding sexual orientation and gender identity protections to Indiana's civil rights law, which could become a key issue in the 2016 gubernatorial election.
By David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan, CGRI Survey Series. Corporate Governance Research Initiative, Stanford Rock Center for Corporate Governance, October 2018
In summer and fall 2018, the Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University conducted a nationwide survey of 3,544 individuals — representative by gender, race, age, household income, and state residence — to understand how the American public views CEOs who take public positions on environmental, social, and political issues.
“We find that the public is highly divided about CEOs who take vocal positions on social, environmental, or political issues,” says Professor David F. Larcker, Stanford Graduate School of Business. “While some applaud CEOs who speak up, others strongly disapprove. The divergence in opinions is striking. CEOs who take public positions on specific issues might build loyalty with their employees or customers, but these same positions can inadvertently alienate important segments of those populations. The cost of CEO activism might be higher than many CEOs, companies, or boards realize.”
“Hot-button issues are hot for a reason,” adds Brian Tayan, researcher at Stanford Graduate School of Business. “Interestingly, people are much more likely to think of products they have stopped using than products they have started using because of a position the CEO took on a public issue. When consumers don’t like what they hear, they react the best way they know how to: by closing their wallets.”
This document appears to be a presentation on polling data related to the 2012 US presidential election and Republican primaries. It includes data on favorability ratings for Mitt Romney and Barack Obama from April 2012, with Obama viewed more favorably than Romney overall. It also breaks down the favorability ratings by demographic groups. The presentation was given at the American Association for Public Opinion Research conference in May 2012 by Gary Langer from Langer Research Associates.
This document discusses ranked choice voting and its benefits over the current plurality voting system. It argues ranked choice voting (1) ensures a candidate wins with majority support, either in the first round of counting or through an instant runoff process; (2) increases voter participation and reduces negative campaigning; and (3) allows voters to fully express their preferences rather than feeling limited to their top choice or "throwing away" their vote. Evidence from cities that have adopted ranked choice voting shows increased diversity of candidates elected and high voter understanding of the system.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that the presidential race in Indiana has tightened significantly since August, with Trump now leading Clinton by only 4 points compared to an 11-point lead previously. Pence's approval rating as governor has also dropped. In the Senate race, Evan Bayh maintains a 6-point lead over Todd Young despite attacks against him. The governor's race has seen the most movement, with Democrat John Gregg now leading by 12 points after being virtually tied in August.
The document analyzes the relationship between political polarization, wealth inequality, voter turnout laws, and voter turnout. Regression models found that political polarization and voter ID laws did not significantly impact turnout, but wealth inequality did have a significant negative effect on turnout. While the study has limitations, it provides initial evidence that increasing wealth inequality, rather than polarization alone, may contribute to decreasing voter participation. Further research is needed to more fully understand the impacts of polarization and inequality on political engagement.
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
Three surveys conducted by the Kaiser Family Foundation in February 2013 found:
1) Americans remain split in their views of the Affordable Care Act, with slightly more holding unfavorable than favorable opinions.
2) Hispanics and blacks were more likely than other groups to say they worry about being victims of gun violence and to personally know someone affected by gun violence.
3) While most Americans favor requiring equivalent mental health benefits, only about a third correctly understood current law as requiring parity between mental health and other medical benefits.
Slide deck from “Maximimizing Your Leave Terms” session at Dartmouth College Sophomore Family Weekend 2012.
Hosted by: Rockefeller Center (http://rockefeller.dartmouth.edu), Tucker Foundation (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~tucker/), Dickey Center (http://dickey.dartmouth.edu/), and the Office of Undergraduate Advising and Research (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~ugar/).
Thanks to our student speakers: Edgar Sandoval ’14, Samuel Street ’13, and Hannah Rowe ’14.
This document provides instructions for a "Block of the Month" quilt project featuring a manger, Christmas tree bauble with peace dove, and Christmas wreath patterns for June. It lists the materials, colors, and sizes needed to complete the three 12.5x12.5 inch machine appliqued blocks. Detailed instructions are provided for sewing each design using the specified fabrics.
O documento convida os Escoteiros do Brasil a renovar sua Promessa Escoteira, prometendo fazer o melhor, cumprir seus deveres com Deus e sua Pátria, ajudar o próximo sempre e obedecer a Lei Escoteira. O fundador do Escotismo deseja aos Escoteiros uma vida longa e feliz com muitos bons acampamentos.
The Noriko handbag is a graceful yet whimsical bag made from a single pattern piece. It has two side panels that can be tucked in to close the bag flat for storage. Handles and a button closure are attached to complete the look. The instructions provide details on cutting fabric, assembling the bag pieces, adding handles and a button loop, and finishing techniques like topstitching. Decorative tassels can be optionally added to embellish the bag.
The document summarizes the activities of the Nelson A. Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College for the 2012-2013 academic year. It discusses the Center's Policy Research Shop program, in which over 50 students produced policy briefs on various topics that were utilized by policymakers. It also highlights the Center's support for student internships, including at the White House, and its educational programming that engaged over 400 students in public policy courses and other leadership activities. The Center aims to develop the next generation of public policy leaders through hands-on learning opportunities.
The document provides descriptions of sessions for the Management and Leadership Development Program (MLDP) at Dartmouth College in Spring 2012. Each Tuesday evening features a guest speaker to discuss elements of management and leadership. Topics include facilitating group discussions, connecting to challenges and leadership, defining leadership skills, writing in the workplace, and designing effective presentations. Brief biographies are provided for each speaker. Successful completion of MLDP strengthens students' applications for internship and fellowship opportunities.
Consumer Energy Alliance Poll of Voters in NC, VA, WV re Atlantic Coast PipelineMarcellus Drilling News
A poll conducted for the Consumer Energy Alliance that shows majorities of voters in NC, VA and WV have heard about Dominion's $5 billion, 550-mile Atlantic Coast Pipeline--and they support it. Voters overwhelmingly believe pipelines are the safest means to transport natural gas. More than 80% of the voters surveyed said energy will be a significant factor in how they vote. It also shows pipelines and drilling is a partisan issue--a majority of Republicans/Conservatives are in favor, and a majority of Democrats/Liberals are against.
This document summarizes the findings of a study on voter preferences in South Africa prior to the 2019 national elections. Some key findings:
- Support for the ruling ANC party increased to 56% from 53% previously, while support declined for the main opposition parties DA and EFF.
- Receipt of a social grant had a statistically significant impact on voter preferences, making recipients more likely to support the ANC.
- Perceptions of socio-economic well-being surpassed democratic rights as a more important factor influencing voter choices.
- Trust in political institutions like the presidency and social agencies increased under President Ramaphosa, which may impact voter support.
Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire's Senate race according to a new poll. The poll finds that the political environment favors Republicans with 65% saying the country is on the wrong track and only 36% approving of President Obama's job performance. Additionally, midterm election demographics typically benefit Republicans as turnout among key Democratic constituencies like women, young voters, and Democrats declines from presidential years. As a result of these factors, Scott Brown has a respectable chance to defeat Jeanne Shaheen despite currently trailing her by 5 points in the poll.
Social Security & The Future of the Democratic Partyourfuture
The document summarizes polling data showing that Democrats have lost their advantage over Republicans on the issue of Social Security. Trust in Democrats to handle Social Security has declined significantly since the 1990s. Polls show that large bipartisan majorities oppose cutting Social Security benefits or raising the retirement age. However, voters support eliminating the payroll tax income cap. The document warns that if Democrats support Social Security cuts, Republicans may attack them on the issue as they did with Medicare in 2010.
This document contains the results of a Kaiser Family Foundation poll conducted shortly after the 2012 presidential election. It shows that:
1) The top issues for voters were the economy, direction of the country, and President Obama's job performance.
2) For senior voters, the top issues were the economy, direction of the country, and the future of Medicare.
3) After the election, a plurality of voters wanted to keep the Affordable Care Act as is or expand it, rather than repeal it.
4) A majority saw President Obama's policies as good for lower income Americans but bad for the wealthy in his second term.
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential ElectionEdelman
The document provides information on a supplementary research study conducted by Edelman on trust and the 2016 U.S. presidential election. It finds that a majority of Americans feel the system is failing them and hold fears related to issues like corruption, globalization and immigration. Trump voters were more likely to be fearful, especially of immigration and globalization, while Clinton voters showed less fear. The study also found divisions between Trump and Clinton voters in levels of trust in institutions and support for various policy priorities.
As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
This presentation explains a predictive data modeling project that segmented Colorado's 3.5 million voters into 11 groups. The segmentation enables campaign decision makers the ability to understand and target voters beyond data that is is available on a Colorado voter file.
The 2012 election resulted in a narrow victory for President Obama despite a still struggling economy. Obama was able to energize key parts of his coalition, including younger voters, minorities, and women. Romney faced challenges in appealing to these groups and struggled to convince voters that he cared about average Americans. The election highlighted the increasing polarization of the electorate along racial and partisan lines. It remains to be seen whether the Republican party can adapt to the changing demographics of the country.
This document summarizes key aspects of measuring and understanding public opinion in the United States. It discusses how public opinion is defined and measured through polling. Polls must use representative sampling, carefully worded questions, and account for respondent knowledge and biases. Many factors influence political attitudes, including family, gender, religion, education, social class, race, and geography. Ideology in the U.S. is generally viewed on a liberal-conservative spectrum, though definitions have changed over time. Most Americans do not have highly ideological views and vote based on group interests or current economic conditions.
Magellan Strategies Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey April 2014Magellan Strategies
1) A survey of likely 2014 Minnesota voters finds Senator Al Franken potentially vulnerable in the November election. He has not faced voters in a midterm election before and won his previous election by a narrow margin.
2) The survey shows the Republican candidate leading the Democrat candidate by 3 points in a generic Senate ballot test. Additionally, Al Franken's approval ratings are below 50%.
3) Key findings indicate the political environment may be better for Republicans, as voters think the country is headed in the wrong direction and disapprove of President Obama's job performance.
Where do we go from here - the democratic party opportunities over the next f...Eric Foster
1) The Democratic party faces an important decision over the next four years on whether to fight against Republican majorities or find victories within the existing system.
2) While Republicans control most state and federal offices, Democrats received more total votes nationally in 2016 and won urban centers and diverse counties.
3) Democrats are well positioned to rebound by focusing on growing their base among non-white voters, younger white voters in cities, and voters in diverse and economically successful areas rather than trying to win back white rural voters who supported Trump.
Predicting Voter Turnout in the 2008 Presidential Electionjemccull
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2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
1. For Immediate Release:
May 10, 2013
Rockefeller Center Associate Director & Senior Fellow Ronald G. Shaiko, Survey Director
Contact:
Professor Ronald G. Shaiko, (603) 646-9146 or Ronald.G.Shaiko@Dartmouth.edu
Undergraduate Data Analysts: Michael Altamirano and Katherine Schade
NELSON A. ROCKEFELLER CENTER COMPLETES 6th
ANNUAL
NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE OF THE STATE POLL ON POLITICS, ECONOMIC
ISSUES, AND SOCIAL POLICIES
Over three-quarters of voters support universal background checks for firearms sales.
Voters' views of New Hampshire economy and personal economic future improve.
Senator Ayotte unfavorable rating increases by seven percent.
NH voters prioritize building the economy and improving education.
In 2014 U.S. Senate match-ups, Jeanne Shaheen leads Jeb Bradley (47.9% to 25.2%) and
Scott Brown (44.2% to 29.5%).
In 2016 presidential match-ups, Hillary Clinton leads Chris Christie (37.1% to 32.3%) and
Marco Rubio (44.3% to 33.2%).
HANOVER, NH—The Rockefeller Center’s sixth annual State of the State Poll surveyed a
sample of New Hampshire registered voters (N=433) to ascertain their opinions on policy issues,
elected officials, and the state of the economy in New Hampshire and in the United States. The
sample error rate is +/- 4.7 percent at a 95 percent confidence interval. Sample demographics
and polling methodology are summarized at the end of this report.
The poll indicates that voters have perceived an improvement in the national economy since last
year. Respondents rating the economy as “excellent,” “good,” or “fair” have increased from 53.9
percent last year to 62.3 percent this year. Respondents expressing economic optimism has also
increased over last year, although not as significantly as the increase from 2011 to 2012.
Respondents who would prefer that state legislators focus primarily on building a strong
economy or reducing the property tax burden on residents both fell slightly as the number who
2. 2
wanted the legislature to focus on balancing the state budget or improving education increased.
Most respondents continued to believe that the federal deficit should be resolved with a
combination of spending cuts and tax increases. President Obama’s job approval rating has
increased from 39.2 percent to 44.8 percent over the same period.
NATIONAL POLITICS AND POLICY ISSUES
New Hampshire voters have a marginally more favorable general opinion of President Barack
Obama when compared to findings in last year's poll. Over 40 percent of respondents (41.1
percent) view President Obama favorably, up slightly from last year’s figure of 40.4 percent.
Unlike last year, President Obama’s favorable rating now exceeds his unfavorable rating (39.1
percent), which has fallen by four percent from last year (43 percent).
President Obama Job Approval Rating
Respondents were also asked for their assessment of how President Obama is handling his job as
President of the United States. President Obama’s approval rating increased from 39.2 percent in
2012 to 44.8 percent as in this year's poll. His disapproval rating similarly decreased, falling six
percent from 48.1 percent in 2012 to 42.1 percent over the same period. A more detailed analysis
of President Obama’s job approval is included below in Figure 1.
Figure 1.
81%
16%
44%
42%
48%
80%
49%
15%
45% 46%
41%
10%
74%
37%
45%
38%
12%
33%
75%
35%
41%
50%
10% 10%
19%
12% 14%
9%
18%
10%
19%
14%
10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Obama Job Approval According to Respondent
Demographics
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
3. 3
The majority of respondents who are registered Democrats and who self-identify as “liberal”
approve of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as President (81 percent and 80
percent, respectively), while the majority of respondents who are registered Republicans and
who self-identify as “conservative” disapprove of President Obama’s job performance (74
percent and 75 percent, respectively). Respondents who self-identify as having a “moderate”
political ideology are slightly more likely to approve of President Obama’s performance (49
percent approve and 33 percent disapprove). Undeclared voters are slightly more evenly split on
the issue with 43 percent approving and 37 percent disapproving.
United States Economic Condition and Budgetary Policy
Respondents’ assessments of the national economy have improved since last year. Eleven
percent of respondents rate the United States economy as “excellent” or “good,” compared to
nine percent in 2012. Fifty-two percent of respondents believe that the national economy is in
“fair” condition, up from 45 percent in 2012; whereas 37 percent believe that the U.S. economy
is in a “poor” state—down from 44 percent in 2012.
When asked “if you were to advise policymakers in Washington” regarding the federal budget
deficit situation in Washington, D.C., most respondents supported a combination of cutting
programs and raising taxes (48.2 percent), up from last year (45.9 percent). Next respondents
favored cutting taxes (33 percent) and only 7.4 percent of responded that they would advise
policymakers to “raise taxes,” however both numbers fell in comparison to last year.
2016 Presidential Election
To gauge the current political landscape in the state of New Hampshire regarding the 2016
Presidential Election, respondents were asked, if the election were held today, whether they vote
for Hillary Clinton, Chris Christie, or if they were unsure. They were also asked whether they
would vote for Hillary Clinton, Marco Rubio, or if they were unsure. Finally, respondents were
given the opportunity to volunteer the name of a fourth candidate who they preferred over Hilary
Clinton, Chris Christie, and Marco Rubio.
With the choice between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie, 37.1 percent of respondents said
they would vote for Clinton, 32.3 percent of respondents would vote for Christie, and 30.6
percent were unsure. This outcome is within the margin of error for the sample. When asked to
choose between Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio, 44.3 percent said they would vote for Clinton,
33.2 percent of respondents would vote for Rubio, and 22.5 percent were unsure. The following
chart illustrates how the Clinton-Christie and Clinton-Rubio election results break down
according to demographic information, including political party identification, political ideology,
sex, and income.
5. 5
When asked if there was another candidate for President that they would support, 79 percent of
respondents did not have another candidate in mind at the time. The next most common
responses were Rand Paul and Joe Biden, with 5.3 percent and 2.1 percent respectively. The
following list represents the other candidates suggested and the proportion of responses they
received.
Figure 4.
NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE POLITICS AND POLICY ISSUES
New Hampshire Politicians
Respondents were asked for their assessments of elected officials in New Hampshire. Newly
elected in November of 2012, Governor Hassan’s favorability rating demonstrates a large
amount of uncertainty, with 27.6 percent of respondents “unsure” of their opinion toward the
Governor and 53.9 percent “unsure” of Governor Hassan’s job performance so far. Still,
Governor Hassan’s approval rating far exceeds disapproving opinions with 35.5 percent
approving compared to 10.7 percent disapproving. Senator Shaheen once again enjoyed higher
favorability ratings over last year, moving from 39.7 percent in 2012 to 46.2 percent this year.
6. 6
Senator Ayotte’s favorability rating remained steady (36.2 percent in 2012, 36.7 percent in
2013), but the Senator’s unfavorable ratings rose more dramatically from 24 percent to 31
percent. The chart below summarizes the results in detail.
Figure 5.
31%
40%
46%
36% 37%
27%
18%
20%
23%
16%
15%
29%
22%
24% 31%
28%
13% 12%
18% 16%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Hassan Shaheen 2012 Shaheen 2013 Ayotte 2012 Ayotte 2013
Opinions of Elected Officials
Unsure
Unfavorable
Neutral
Favorable
7. 7
On April 17, 2013, Senator Ayotte voted against a measure to expand firearm background checks
in the US Congress. Poll respondents were asked if they supported or opposed universal
background checks for the purchase of firearms in New Hampshire. A strong majority of
respondents supported universal background checks (76 percent), while 17 percent opposed and
7 percent were unsure. To further analyze the relationship between opinions of Senator Ayotte
and Senator Ayotte’s vote on the Senate bill, the following charts depict voters’ views of Senator
Ayotte broken down by their opinion on background checks, and then the distribution of
opinions on background checks according to favorability ratings of Senator Ayotte.
Figure 6.
Figure 7.
61%
88%
86%
81%
32%
9% 9% 7%8%
3%
6%
13%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Unsure
Senator Ayotte Favorability by Opinion on Universal
Background Checks for Firearms
Support
Oppose
Unsure
29%
69%
40%
19%
9%
6%
35%
16%
25%
17%
6%
29%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Support Oppose Unsure
Opinion on Universal Background Checks for Firearms by
Ayotte Favorability Ratings
Favorable
Neutral
Unfavorable
Unsure
8. 8
Less than one quarter of respondents (22.5 percent) approve of the New Hampshire Legislature’s
job performance, around the same as last year’s approval rating of 21.9 percent. Respondents
who disapprove of the State Legislature’s job performance is down from 36.1 percent in 2012 to
29.6 percent this year, while respondents expressing uncertainty regarding the Legislature’s
performance rose to 47.9 percent from 42 percent last year.
State Policy Priorities and Social Issues
Registered voters answered a number of questions about policy issues facing the state of New
Hampshire. This year, respondents once again identified “building a strong economy” as the top
priority issue for state lawmakers, followed by “improving education.” Improving education has
demonstrated the most significant increase in salience among voters over the past four years. The
following chart depicts what respondents identified as the top policy priorities from the 2010,
2011, 2012, and 2013 State of the State polls conducted by the Rockefeller Center.
Figure 8.
Respondents also answered questions regarding a number of social issues facing the state,
including same-sex marriage, the expansion of gambling in the state, the quality of New
Hampshire’s public education system, universal background checks for firearms sales, the
37%
23%
28% 27%
12%
13%
17%
22%
2%
2%
4%
3%
18%
23%
13%
17%
6%
10% 10%
7%
3%
3% 3%
5%
17%
15% 14%
11%
5%
11% 11%
8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013
Top Priority for New Hampshire Policymakers
Other
Reduce Property Tax
Maintain Infrastructure
Provide Healthcare
Balance the Budget
Preserve Environment
Improve Education
Strong Economy
9. 9
Northern Pass project, requiring photo identification for voting, and the decriminalization of
marijuana.
Respondents who support of same-sex marriage in the state of New Hampshire increased slightly
from 55.1 percent in 2012 to 55.4 percent this year. Opposition decreased similarly from 30.9
percent last year to 29.6 in this year’s survey. The majority of registered Democrats or
undeclared voters are in support of same-sex marriage (72 percent and 64 percent, respectively).
One-third (34 percent) of Republicans respondents support the measure. The majority of
respondents who self-identified as “liberal” or “moderate” support same-sex marriage, while the
majority of those who self-identified as “conservative” are in opposition. Figure 8 depicts
support for and opposition to same-sex marriage according to respondent demographic
information.
Figure 9.
72%
34%
64%
89%
62%
23%
50%
62%
12%
51%
23%
5%
20%
59%
32%
27%
16% 16%
14%
6%
18% 18% 18%
12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Same-Sex Marriage According to Respondent Demographics
Support
Oppose
Unsure
10. 10
When respondents were asked if they supported or opposed the expansion of gambling to include
casino gambling, 44.1 percent of respondents supported expansion, 36.7 percent opposed, and
19.2 percent were unsure. This year’s results demonstrated a shift in support of gambling with
40.9 percent in support, 41.6 percent in opposition, and 17.5 percent unsure in 2012. Figure 9
illustrates the breakdown of support and opposition for expanding gambling according to the
demographic factors of party identification, political ideology, and sex.
Figure 10.
45% 46%
42%
45%
44% 44%
47%
40%
28%
42%
38%
29%
34%
45%
35%
39%
28%
12%
20%
26%
22%
11%
18% 21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Expansion of Gambling According to Respondent
Demographics
Support
Oppose
Unsure
11. 11
As discussed above, respondents were asked about their positions on universal background
checks for the purchase of firearms in New Hampshire. A significant majority of respondents
supported universal background checks (76 percent), a trend which held for all demographic
breakdowns, but decreased in magnitude for Republican respondents and those who self-
identified as “conservative”. Figure 10 details respondent support and opposition to the policy
according to demographic factors.
Figure 11.
88%
63%
79%
91%
85%
54%
74%
78%
8%
32%
10%
6%
9%
35%
20%
13%
4%
5%
12%
3%
6%
11%
6%
9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Universal Background Checks According to Respondent Demographics
Support
Oppose
Unsure
12. 12
Respondents were also asked whether they supported or opposed the Northern Pass project
power lines through New Hampshire. The largest plurality of respondents (38.7 percent) are
unsure about the project, while support of and opposition to the project are evenly split (30.1
percent and 31.2 percent, respectively). The chart below demonstrates a high degree of
uncertainty among all political parties, self-identified political ideologies, and genders.
Figure 12.
24%
40%
25%
22%
29%
39%
34%
26%
33% 34%
27%
39%
29%
28%
30%
32%
43%
26%
49%
39%
43%
34%
36%
42%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Northern Pass Responses According to Respondent Demographics
Support
Oppose
Unsure
13. 13
The survey asked respondents whether they “support or oppose a bill under consideration in
Concord that would decriminalize possession of up to one quarter of an ounce of marijuana.”
Over half of those surveyed (54.5 percent) support the measure, while 22.6 percent oppose it,
and 22.8 percent are unsure as to whether they support or oppose it. Undeclared voters, those
who self-identified as “moderate,” and women are the only demographic groups in which a
majority does not support the measure. The following chart outlines the respective support and
opposition of various demographic cohorts.
Figure 13.
73%
62%
32%
64%
45%
56%
61%
47%
8%
16%
23%
11%
32%
23%
18%
28%
20%
23%
25% 25%
23%
21%
22% 24%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Marijuana Decriminalization According to Respondent Demographics
Support
Oppose
Unsure
14. 14
Almost 60 percent of respondents support requiring a government-issued photo identification to
vote in New Hampshire elections. The majority of respondents support the measure (59.8
percent), while 35.5 percent oppose it and only 4.8 percent report being unsure as to whether
they support or oppose the policy. Voters registered as Democrats and those who self-identify as
“liberal” are the only demographic groupings in which a majority opposes the measure. Eighty-
one percent of Republicans and 80 percent of those who self-identify as “conservative” support
required photo identification. The chart below outlines responses according to several
demographic considerations.
Figure 14.
43%
81%
52%
30%
60%
80%
59% 60%
52%
17%
41%
64%
36%
16%
37%
34%
6%
2%
7% 7%
5% 4% 4%
6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Required Photo Identification According to Respondent Demographics
Support
Oppose
Unsure
15. 15
New Hampshire Public Education
Respondents were asked to rate the state of the New Hampshire public education system on a
scale from one to five with one representing “poor” and five representing “excellent.” The
majority of respondents rate the public education system with a three (47 percent), while 19
percent give a grade above a three and 27 percent rate the system below a three. The following
chart displays the distribution of education ratings by those who answered “improving
education” as the most important focus of the New Hampshire legislature in comparison to the
distribution of all respondents. The chart demonstrates that those who prioritized “improving
education” are more likely to rate the public education system as a two or three (22 percent and
61 percent respectively, compared to 16 percent and 47 percent), less likely to rate the public
education system as a four or five (11 percent and 2 percent versus 24 percent and 3 percent),
and less likely to be unsure about the quality of the public education system (2 percent versus 7
percent).
Figure 15.
New Hampshire Economy and Budgetary Policy
Respondents’ impressions of New Hampshire’s economic situation have improved from last
year. Just over one third of respondents (34.8 percent) believe that the condition of New
Hampshire’s economy is “excellent” or “good,” compared to 27.1 percent last year. Almost half
of respondents (51.1 percent) assess the state economy as being in “fair” shape, up slightly from
49.8 last year. The proportion of respondents who believe that the state economy is “poor” has
fallen to 12.9 percent this year. This continues a trend from 2011 to 2012, when the proportion of
respondents evaluating the economy as “poor” dropped from 29.3 percent to 20.7 percent.
New Hampshire voters are less concerned about the state of the budget this year than they were
last year. The proportion of respondents who view New Hampshire’s budget problems as “very
serious” is down from 19.1 percent in 2012 to 14.3 percent this year. There was a similar
decrease in the proportion of respondents who believe the budget problems to be “somewhat
3%
22%
61%
11%
2% 2%3%
16%
47%
24%
3%
7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1 2 3 4 5 Unsure
Public Education Ratings for Respondents who Prioritized
Improving Education vs All Respondents
Prioritized "Improving
Education"
All Respondents
16. 16
serious,” from 54.8 percent last year to 50.4 percent in 2013. With nearly identical responses to
last year’s poll, respondents indicate that they would rather have reduced services than higher
taxes to balance the budget. When asked about measures to help resolve local budget problems,
44.9 percent favor “maintaining taxes, decreasing services;” 35.5 percent of respondents support
“increasing taxes, maintaining services;” and 12.8 percent said that their answer “depends” on
the taxes being levied and the services being cut.
Respondents were also asked whether they believed whether funding should come from the state
or local level, or a combination of both. The majority of respondents (53.8 percent) prefer the
state level, compared to 22.6 percent who would choose the local level and 15.9 percent who are
unsure. The chart below deconstructs responses by both political party and responses to the
previous question of how to best resolve local budget problems.
Figure 16.
Respondents’ Personal Finances
Continuing a trend from 2012, 2011, and 2010, respondents’ assessments of their personal
financial situations have improved. When asked to compare their current personal economic
situation to one year ago, 15.4 percent believe that they are “better off” and 60.6 of respondents
say they are “about the same.” The proportion of respondents who believe their personal
economic situation is “about the same” as it was last year is up from 56.3 percent, 55.2 percent,
and 49.6 percent in 2012, 2011, and 2010, respectively. Twenty-four percent of respondents
believe they are “worse off” economically than they were one year ago, down from 29 percent in
2012, 34 percent in 2011 and 38 percent in 2010. Respondents are similarly more optimistic
about their future economic well-being as they were last year. Thirty-two percent of those
surveyed this year believe that their financial situation would be “better” in one year, compared
to 31.2 percent of respondents last year.
67%
43%
54%
67%
44% 44%
68%
11%
35%
20%
15%
31%
18%
14%
17%
11%
19%
15% 15%
25%
12%
5%
11%
7%
3%
11%
13%
5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Democrat Republican Undeclared Raise taxes Cut services Depends Unsure
Political Party Preferred Budget Balancing Method
Funding on State vs Local Level
State
Local
Both
Unsure
17. 17
When asked if credit card debit was a “top personal financial concern,” only 18.4 percent of
respondents agreed that they were concerned about their credit card debt, a reduction from 20.6
percent last year.
2014 Senate Election
Lastly, respondents were asked about their views on the candidates for the upcoming Senate
election in New Hampshire. Respondents were asked to choose between Senator Shaheen and
New Hampshire Senate Majority Leader Bradley and then between Senator Shaheen and former
Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown. The responses predicted Senator Shaheen winning both
races by similar margins. In a race against Senator Bradley, 47.9 percent would vote for Senator
Shaheen, 25.2 percent for Senator Bradley, and 26.9 percent are unsure. In a race against Scott
Brown, a lower 44.2 percent would vote for Senator Shaheen, while 29.5 percent would vote for
Scott Brown, and again 26.3 percent are unsure. The following chart displays responses to both
questions according to voters’ registered political parties.
Figure 17.
82%
15%
52%
2%
53%
16%16%
32% 31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Democrat Republican Undeclared
Shaheen-Bradley Election According to
Respondent Political Party
Shaheen
Bradley
Unsure
79%
16%
43%
5%
54%
26%
17%
30% 31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Democrat Republican Undeclared
Shaheen-Brown Election According to
Respondent Political Party
Shaheen
Brown
Unsure
18. 18
SAMPLE DEMOGRAPHICS
The 2013 New Hampshire State of the State Poll respondents are representative of the registered
voter population of the state. Respondents were 54.7 percent male and 45.3 percent female. On
the partisan identification measure, the respondents closely mirror the voting population in New
Hampshire with the largest plurality of respondents identifying as "undeclared" or independent
(40.1 percent), with 26.5 percent identifying as Democrats and 32.0 percent identifying as
Republicans. Geographically, respondents from the 2nd Congressional District are a bit over-
represented in the sample (56.5 percent), with the remaining 43.5 percent drawn from the 1st
Congressional District. Approximately three-quarters of the respondents are married (75.1
percent), while 7.0 percent are divorced, 4.3 percent are widowed, and 13.5 percent are single.
Respondents reported their 2012 household income as follows: 17.6 percent earned less than
$40,000, 43.3 percent earned between $40,000 and $100,000, and 28.8 percent earned more than
$100,000. Additionally, respondents reported their occupational status—54.0 percent of
respondents are employed full time, 13.5 percent are employed part time, and 7.8 percent are
unemployed. Just over one-fifth of the respondents are retired (21.1 percent). The sample
respondents are more highly educated than the New Hampshire general population with more
than 60 percent of the respondents having college degrees (61.9 percent), including 22.0 percent
with masters degrees and 3.0 percent with doctoral degrees (e.g., M.D., J.D., Ph.D.). We have no
comparable education level data for registered voters in the state, however.
SAMPLE WEIGHTING
The sample respondents are generally older than the voting population with 35.5 percent of the
pre-weighted sample 65 or over, compared to 20.1 percent of registered voters according to the
2010 New Hampshire State Census. Conversely, only 14.2 percent of the pre-weighted sample
was between the ages of 18 and 44, compared to 35.6 of the registered voters in New Hampshire
as of 2010. To adjust for this discrepancy in representation, the results are weighted using
population proportions based on age groups of 18-44, 45-64, 65-74, and over 75.
POLL METHODS
During the week of April 22-25, 2013, students from The Nelson A. Rockefeller Center at
Dartmouth College conducted a telephone survey of registered voters in New Hampshire. Drawn
from a statewide data base of New Hampshire registered voters, the sample survey respondents
were asked a wide range of questions relating to the current political, economic, and social state
of affairs in New Hampshire and the country as a whole. In addition, respondents were asked to
select candidates for President in trial heats of the 2016 election and for Senate in trial heats of
the 2014 election. The 41-question survey took between eight and ten minutes to complete. Calls
were made between the hours of 6:30 pm and 9:30 pm on Monday through Thursday evenings.
Additional call-backs were made during daytime hours on Thursday, April 25 when specified by
poll participants. Over the course of the week, callers made three attempts to contact each of the
registered voters drawn in the sample. A total of 433 survey interviews were completed during
the four-day calling period, yielding an error rate of +/-4.7 percent at a 95 percent confidence
interval.