The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 403 New Hampshire registered voters between April 2-5, 2012 regarding political issues, the economy, and social policies. Key findings included:
- Voters were less pessimistic about the national and state economies than in 2011.
- In a hypothetical presidential matchup, Mitt Romney led Barack Obama by a slim margin of 43.9% to 42.4%.
- "Building a strong economy" was viewed as the most important issue for the state government.
- Voters were split on expanded gambling and college student voting eligibility. They supported same-sex marriage and cell phone bans while driving but opposed guns on college campuses and employer contraceptive coverage refus
Progress Now Arizona conducted an online poll in April 2018 to quantify themes from qualitative research, including Arizonans' negative views of politics. Key findings include:
- Voters see corporations and lobbyists as symbols of problems and support taxing corporations more.
- Populist messages rejecting help for the powerful resonate more than overtly progressive ones.
- Voters want honest leaders who provide facts over spin.
However, centrist messages also test well. Some theories did not pan out, and voters prioritize candidate qualities like honesty over struggling financially or personal attributes. This non-probability survey of 814 adults is biased towards more engaged online voters.
Doug Schoen's Poll on American Expectations from the Obama Administrationaspeninstitute
Douglas Schoen conducted a survey of 800 voters to provide context for decisions made by the Obama administration. Key findings include:
- While Obama remains personally popular, his policies are less so and voters are skeptical they will create jobs or increase the deficit.
- The electorate supports Obama's healthcare and climate initiatives but doubts their efficiency and impact.
- There is no appetite for another stimulus package amid concerns over government involvement in the economy and rising deficits.
- On foreign policy, voters generally approve of Obama's handling of most issues but are divided on Afghanistan and using torture against terrorists.
The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 433 registered New Hampshire voters on politics, economics, and social issues. Key findings include:
- Over three-quarters of voters support universal background checks for firearm sales.
- Views of the state and national economy have improved since last year.
- Senator Ayotte's unfavorable rating increased by 7% after her vote against expanded background checks.
- In hypothetical 2014 Senate matchups, Senator Shaheen leads potential challengers Jeb Bradley and Scott Brown. In 2016 presidential matchups, Hillary Clinton leads Chris Christie and Marco Rubio.
This document provides an overview and analysis of a poll conducted in June 2008 on voter opinions and attitudes regarding the 2008 US presidential election between Barack Obama and John McCain. Some key findings from the poll include: Obama has a slight lead over McCain nationally; support for Obama is driven by a desire for change from President Bush, while McCain's support comes from his experience in foreign policy; the economy is the top issue but voters see the candidates as tied on handling it.
This document summarizes the results of a poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District. The poll shows Jim Banks leading with 29.3% support, followed closely by Kip Tom at 23.3% and Liz Brown at 21.8%. The differences are within the margin of error. While Banks and Tom have stronger levels of support, one-fifth of voters for each of the front-runners are unsure how strong their support is. The candidates have similar levels of support across gender and religious attendance. A majority of voters feel political tone does not impact their involvement, though Brown's supporters are less likely to feel this way.
An Indiana statewide survey of 1,000 registered voters found Governor Mike Pence's approval ratings have declined since April, with more voters disapproving than approving of his job performance. Pence is in a statistical tie with potential Democratic challengers Glenda Ritz and John Gregg in hypothetical 2016 matchups. College-educated women, in particular, strongly disapprove of Pence and support Ritz and Gregg over him. The survey also found continued majority support for adding sexual orientation and gender identity protections to Indiana's civil rights law, which could become a key issue in the 2016 gubernatorial election.
The recent controversy surrounding Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill may not have had much impact on what Hoosiers think of the job he is doing.
As part of our Indy Politics scientific poll of 600 likely voters, conducted last week by Mason Strategies LLC, we asked about Hill’s favorable and unfavorable ratings.
Consumer Energy Alliance Poll of Voters in NC, VA, WV re Atlantic Coast PipelineMarcellus Drilling News
A poll conducted for the Consumer Energy Alliance that shows majorities of voters in NC, VA and WV have heard about Dominion's $5 billion, 550-mile Atlantic Coast Pipeline--and they support it. Voters overwhelmingly believe pipelines are the safest means to transport natural gas. More than 80% of the voters surveyed said energy will be a significant factor in how they vote. It also shows pipelines and drilling is a partisan issue--a majority of Republicans/Conservatives are in favor, and a majority of Democrats/Liberals are against.
Progress Now Arizona conducted an online poll in April 2018 to quantify themes from qualitative research, including Arizonans' negative views of politics. Key findings include:
- Voters see corporations and lobbyists as symbols of problems and support taxing corporations more.
- Populist messages rejecting help for the powerful resonate more than overtly progressive ones.
- Voters want honest leaders who provide facts over spin.
However, centrist messages also test well. Some theories did not pan out, and voters prioritize candidate qualities like honesty over struggling financially or personal attributes. This non-probability survey of 814 adults is biased towards more engaged online voters.
Doug Schoen's Poll on American Expectations from the Obama Administrationaspeninstitute
Douglas Schoen conducted a survey of 800 voters to provide context for decisions made by the Obama administration. Key findings include:
- While Obama remains personally popular, his policies are less so and voters are skeptical they will create jobs or increase the deficit.
- The electorate supports Obama's healthcare and climate initiatives but doubts their efficiency and impact.
- There is no appetite for another stimulus package amid concerns over government involvement in the economy and rising deficits.
- On foreign policy, voters generally approve of Obama's handling of most issues but are divided on Afghanistan and using torture against terrorists.
The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 433 registered New Hampshire voters on politics, economics, and social issues. Key findings include:
- Over three-quarters of voters support universal background checks for firearm sales.
- Views of the state and national economy have improved since last year.
- Senator Ayotte's unfavorable rating increased by 7% after her vote against expanded background checks.
- In hypothetical 2014 Senate matchups, Senator Shaheen leads potential challengers Jeb Bradley and Scott Brown. In 2016 presidential matchups, Hillary Clinton leads Chris Christie and Marco Rubio.
This document provides an overview and analysis of a poll conducted in June 2008 on voter opinions and attitudes regarding the 2008 US presidential election between Barack Obama and John McCain. Some key findings from the poll include: Obama has a slight lead over McCain nationally; support for Obama is driven by a desire for change from President Bush, while McCain's support comes from his experience in foreign policy; the economy is the top issue but voters see the candidates as tied on handling it.
This document summarizes the results of a poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District. The poll shows Jim Banks leading with 29.3% support, followed closely by Kip Tom at 23.3% and Liz Brown at 21.8%. The differences are within the margin of error. While Banks and Tom have stronger levels of support, one-fifth of voters for each of the front-runners are unsure how strong their support is. The candidates have similar levels of support across gender and religious attendance. A majority of voters feel political tone does not impact their involvement, though Brown's supporters are less likely to feel this way.
An Indiana statewide survey of 1,000 registered voters found Governor Mike Pence's approval ratings have declined since April, with more voters disapproving than approving of his job performance. Pence is in a statistical tie with potential Democratic challengers Glenda Ritz and John Gregg in hypothetical 2016 matchups. College-educated women, in particular, strongly disapprove of Pence and support Ritz and Gregg over him. The survey also found continued majority support for adding sexual orientation and gender identity protections to Indiana's civil rights law, which could become a key issue in the 2016 gubernatorial election.
The recent controversy surrounding Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill may not have had much impact on what Hoosiers think of the job he is doing.
As part of our Indy Politics scientific poll of 600 likely voters, conducted last week by Mason Strategies LLC, we asked about Hill’s favorable and unfavorable ratings.
Consumer Energy Alliance Poll of Voters in NC, VA, WV re Atlantic Coast PipelineMarcellus Drilling News
A poll conducted for the Consumer Energy Alliance that shows majorities of voters in NC, VA and WV have heard about Dominion's $5 billion, 550-mile Atlantic Coast Pipeline--and they support it. Voters overwhelmingly believe pipelines are the safest means to transport natural gas. More than 80% of the voters surveyed said energy will be a significant factor in how they vote. It also shows pipelines and drilling is a partisan issue--a majority of Republicans/Conservatives are in favor, and a majority of Democrats/Liberals are against.
The survey of 503 Florida voters found strong opposition to cutting Social Security benefits to reduce the federal deficit. Three-quarters of voters oppose such cuts, including 70% who strongly oppose. Majorities of Democrats, Republicans, independents, and undecided voters oppose cuts. Voters also oppose three specific proposals to cut benefits by raising the retirement age, changing the COLA formula, or reducing benefits for higher earners. Voters favor requiring Social Security taxes on all wages and dedicating added revenue to the program.
- A survey of 603 likely Virginia voters in March 2011 found strong opposition to cutting Social Security benefits in order to reduce the federal deficit. Three-quarters of voters opposed such cuts, including two-thirds who strongly opposed.
- Majorities of voters across party lines and demographics opposed three proposals to cut Social Security by raising the retirement age, reducing cost-of-living adjustments, and lowering benefits for higher-income individuals.
- Seven in ten voters favored requiring Social Security taxes on all wages over $106,800, including two-thirds or more of voters across political affiliations. Support for this proposal crossed party lines and demographics.
The report measures attitudes and preferences regarding the 2020 presidential election, as well as attitudes about the current administration and its policies.
Biden leads by double digits as coronavirus takes a toll on the president, Po...Dr Matt Boente MD
President Trump faces a significant challenge in his bid to win reelection in November, with former vice president Joe Biden holding a double-digit lead nationally and the president’s approval ratings crumbling amid a spreading coronavirus pandemic and a weakened economy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
Three key findings from the document:
1) Voters are highly dissatisfied with the direction of the country and both political parties in Congress due to the poor economy and lack of results on jobs.
2) Republicans have an enthusiasm advantage going into the midterm elections, especially among young voters, while Democrats face an enthusiasm gap.
3) The economy overwhelmingly dominates voters' concerns, with unemployment the top issue, making voters sensitive to arguments about taxes, spending and deficits.
The 2016 presidential election is already being billed as the most expensive in history, but the value of its impact on U.S. companies and multinationals operating in the U.S. could be much greater. From the fate of corporate inversions to the future of energy and climate change regulations, never before has so much ridden on the outcome of a single vote.
For more information contact:
David Sutphen: www.brunswickgroup.com/people/directory/david-sutphen/
Or our Washington, DC office: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/washington-dc/
As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future Election 2010 Pollourfuture
A Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future poll highlights the messages voters sought to convey on Tuesday. It not only shows that voter fears about the economy drove this election, but it also shows that conservatives do not have a mandate from voters for their proposals for deep cuts in spending combined with tax cuts for the rich. There is deep anger at the failure of government to make it work for middle class families, even as Wall Street got bailed out.
This document provides a summary of key issues likely to be priorities for President-elect Donald Trump's first 100 days in office based on an analysis by Brunswick Group. It finds that Trump will likely work with a Republican-controlled Congress to repeal the Affordable Care Act, lower corporate taxes, reduce financial and environmental regulations, boost oil and gas production, and withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement. However, progress may be slowed by Democratic opposition in the Senate and Trump will need to determine whether to govern as a partisan or seek bipartisan cooperation.
The 2010 Political Landscape and the Influence of Indian American on PoliticsKathy Kulkarni
- The document summarizes polling data on the 2010 political landscape in the United States, including views on the economy, President Obama, Congress, immigration reform, and the growing influence of Indian Americans in politics.
- Americans are pessimistic about the economy and direction of the country, and disapprove of Congress though views on President Obama are more mixed. There is support for comprehensive immigration reform but also the Arizona immigration law.
- The Indian American population and influence are growing, especially in some battleground states. They tend to identify as Democrats and supported Obama in 2008. A record number of Indian Americans are running for office in 2010.
The document summarizes the results of a poll of registered voters in Hawaii. It finds that 48% feel things in Hawaii are going in the wrong direction, while 38% say right direction. Approval ratings for political figures like Governor Abercrombie, Senator Schatz, and Congresswoman Hanabusa varied from 31-58%. On key issues, support was mixed for legalizing medical marijuana dispensaries (45% yes, 47% no) but less for recreational use (33% yes, 59% no). Two-thirds supported raising the minimum wage, though views were divided on the economic impact. A majority approved of President Obama's job performance.
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
1) The candidates in the Pennsylvania midterm Senate election are Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey.
2) Joe Sestak is a retired Navy admiral and current Congressman who defeated incumbent Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary. Pat Toomey is a former Congressman who overwhelmingly won the Republican primary.
3) Recent polls show Toomey with an 8 point lead over Sestak, as Pennsylvania voters have become disgruntled with the Obama administration. The key issues are the economy and government spending.
1) The candidates in the Pennsylvania midterm Senate election are Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey.
2) Joe Sestak is a retired Navy admiral and current Congressman who defeated incumbent Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary. Pat Toomey is a former Congressman who overwhelmingly won the Republican primary.
3) The key issues in the race are the economy, with Pennsylvania's 9% unemployment rate, and views on President Obama's policies, as polls show Toomey with a lead reflecting voter discontent with the administration.
This document provides an election night viewing guide, outlining key states and races to watch as polls close between 6-7PM and 7PM Eastern time. It recommends ignoring early exit poll leaks and turnout reports, as initial exit polls are often inaccurate and long lines do not necessarily indicate high turnout. As Virginia polls close at 7PM, the author notes several counties to watch that could provide early clues about the outcome there and in other competitive states.
Can Democrats change the politics of health care?childlikeegg1000
The passage discusses the debate around the Affordable Care Act (ACA) between Democrats and Republicans. While 7 million have now signed up under the ACA, Republicans still want a full repeal. Democrats argue that repeal is unrealistic and want to modify the law instead. However, Democrats are divided on whether to fully embrace the law or propose changes, and have not agreed on specific changes. Support for the law has increased slightly but remains divided along party lines. The politics of healthcare could shift by the November election depending on if Democrats can motivate supporters as much as Republicans motivate opponents.
The document summarizes the findings of a survey of 502 likely 2012 Colorado voters regarding their attitudes toward Social Security. Key findings include:
- Strong bipartisan opposition (71%) to cutting Social Security benefits to reduce the federal deficit. This is especially true for independents and undecided voters.
- Over 60% would be less likely to vote for candidates supporting such cuts.
- Majorities oppose three specific proposals to cut benefits: raising the retirement age, changing the COLA formula, and reducing benefits for those earning over $60k.
- There is support for requiring Social Security taxes on all wages and dedicating additional tax revenue to the program.
The document summarizes the activities of the Nelson A. Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College for the 2012-2013 academic year. It discusses the Center's Policy Research Shop program, in which over 50 students produced policy briefs on various topics that were utilized by policymakers. It also highlights the Center's support for student internships, including at the White House, and its educational programming that engaged over 400 students in public policy courses and other leadership activities. The Center aims to develop the next generation of public policy leaders through hands-on learning opportunities.
The survey of 503 Florida voters found strong opposition to cutting Social Security benefits to reduce the federal deficit. Three-quarters of voters oppose such cuts, including 70% who strongly oppose. Majorities of Democrats, Republicans, independents, and undecided voters oppose cuts. Voters also oppose three specific proposals to cut benefits by raising the retirement age, changing the COLA formula, or reducing benefits for higher earners. Voters favor requiring Social Security taxes on all wages and dedicating added revenue to the program.
- A survey of 603 likely Virginia voters in March 2011 found strong opposition to cutting Social Security benefits in order to reduce the federal deficit. Three-quarters of voters opposed such cuts, including two-thirds who strongly opposed.
- Majorities of voters across party lines and demographics opposed three proposals to cut Social Security by raising the retirement age, reducing cost-of-living adjustments, and lowering benefits for higher-income individuals.
- Seven in ten voters favored requiring Social Security taxes on all wages over $106,800, including two-thirds or more of voters across political affiliations. Support for this proposal crossed party lines and demographics.
The report measures attitudes and preferences regarding the 2020 presidential election, as well as attitudes about the current administration and its policies.
Biden leads by double digits as coronavirus takes a toll on the president, Po...Dr Matt Boente MD
President Trump faces a significant challenge in his bid to win reelection in November, with former vice president Joe Biden holding a double-digit lead nationally and the president’s approval ratings crumbling amid a spreading coronavirus pandemic and a weakened economy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
Three key findings from the document:
1) Voters are highly dissatisfied with the direction of the country and both political parties in Congress due to the poor economy and lack of results on jobs.
2) Republicans have an enthusiasm advantage going into the midterm elections, especially among young voters, while Democrats face an enthusiasm gap.
3) The economy overwhelmingly dominates voters' concerns, with unemployment the top issue, making voters sensitive to arguments about taxes, spending and deficits.
The 2016 presidential election is already being billed as the most expensive in history, but the value of its impact on U.S. companies and multinationals operating in the U.S. could be much greater. From the fate of corporate inversions to the future of energy and climate change regulations, never before has so much ridden on the outcome of a single vote.
For more information contact:
David Sutphen: www.brunswickgroup.com/people/directory/david-sutphen/
Or our Washington, DC office: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/washington-dc/
As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future Election 2010 Pollourfuture
A Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future poll highlights the messages voters sought to convey on Tuesday. It not only shows that voter fears about the economy drove this election, but it also shows that conservatives do not have a mandate from voters for their proposals for deep cuts in spending combined with tax cuts for the rich. There is deep anger at the failure of government to make it work for middle class families, even as Wall Street got bailed out.
This document provides a summary of key issues likely to be priorities for President-elect Donald Trump's first 100 days in office based on an analysis by Brunswick Group. It finds that Trump will likely work with a Republican-controlled Congress to repeal the Affordable Care Act, lower corporate taxes, reduce financial and environmental regulations, boost oil and gas production, and withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement. However, progress may be slowed by Democratic opposition in the Senate and Trump will need to determine whether to govern as a partisan or seek bipartisan cooperation.
The 2010 Political Landscape and the Influence of Indian American on PoliticsKathy Kulkarni
- The document summarizes polling data on the 2010 political landscape in the United States, including views on the economy, President Obama, Congress, immigration reform, and the growing influence of Indian Americans in politics.
- Americans are pessimistic about the economy and direction of the country, and disapprove of Congress though views on President Obama are more mixed. There is support for comprehensive immigration reform but also the Arizona immigration law.
- The Indian American population and influence are growing, especially in some battleground states. They tend to identify as Democrats and supported Obama in 2008. A record number of Indian Americans are running for office in 2010.
The document summarizes the results of a poll of registered voters in Hawaii. It finds that 48% feel things in Hawaii are going in the wrong direction, while 38% say right direction. Approval ratings for political figures like Governor Abercrombie, Senator Schatz, and Congresswoman Hanabusa varied from 31-58%. On key issues, support was mixed for legalizing medical marijuana dispensaries (45% yes, 47% no) but less for recreational use (33% yes, 59% no). Two-thirds supported raising the minimum wage, though views were divided on the economic impact. A majority approved of President Obama's job performance.
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
1) The candidates in the Pennsylvania midterm Senate election are Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey.
2) Joe Sestak is a retired Navy admiral and current Congressman who defeated incumbent Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary. Pat Toomey is a former Congressman who overwhelmingly won the Republican primary.
3) Recent polls show Toomey with an 8 point lead over Sestak, as Pennsylvania voters have become disgruntled with the Obama administration. The key issues are the economy and government spending.
1) The candidates in the Pennsylvania midterm Senate election are Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey.
2) Joe Sestak is a retired Navy admiral and current Congressman who defeated incumbent Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary. Pat Toomey is a former Congressman who overwhelmingly won the Republican primary.
3) The key issues in the race are the economy, with Pennsylvania's 9% unemployment rate, and views on President Obama's policies, as polls show Toomey with a lead reflecting voter discontent with the administration.
This document provides an election night viewing guide, outlining key states and races to watch as polls close between 6-7PM and 7PM Eastern time. It recommends ignoring early exit poll leaks and turnout reports, as initial exit polls are often inaccurate and long lines do not necessarily indicate high turnout. As Virginia polls close at 7PM, the author notes several counties to watch that could provide early clues about the outcome there and in other competitive states.
Can Democrats change the politics of health care?childlikeegg1000
The passage discusses the debate around the Affordable Care Act (ACA) between Democrats and Republicans. While 7 million have now signed up under the ACA, Republicans still want a full repeal. Democrats argue that repeal is unrealistic and want to modify the law instead. However, Democrats are divided on whether to fully embrace the law or propose changes, and have not agreed on specific changes. Support for the law has increased slightly but remains divided along party lines. The politics of healthcare could shift by the November election depending on if Democrats can motivate supporters as much as Republicans motivate opponents.
The document summarizes the findings of a survey of 502 likely 2012 Colorado voters regarding their attitudes toward Social Security. Key findings include:
- Strong bipartisan opposition (71%) to cutting Social Security benefits to reduce the federal deficit. This is especially true for independents and undecided voters.
- Over 60% would be less likely to vote for candidates supporting such cuts.
- Majorities oppose three specific proposals to cut benefits: raising the retirement age, changing the COLA formula, and reducing benefits for those earning over $60k.
- There is support for requiring Social Security taxes on all wages and dedicating additional tax revenue to the program.
The document summarizes the activities of the Nelson A. Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College for the 2012-2013 academic year. It discusses the Center's Policy Research Shop program, in which over 50 students produced policy briefs on various topics that were utilized by policymakers. It also highlights the Center's support for student internships, including at the White House, and its educational programming that engaged over 400 students in public policy courses and other leadership activities. The Center aims to develop the next generation of public policy leaders through hands-on learning opportunities.
This document provides instructions for a "Block of the Month" quilt project featuring a manger, Christmas tree bauble with peace dove, and Christmas wreath patterns for June. It lists the materials, colors, and sizes needed to complete the three 12.5x12.5 inch machine appliqued blocks. Detailed instructions are provided for sewing each design using the specified fabrics.
Slide deck from “Maximimizing Your Leave Terms” session at Dartmouth College Sophomore Family Weekend 2012.
Hosted by: Rockefeller Center (http://rockefeller.dartmouth.edu), Tucker Foundation (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~tucker/), Dickey Center (http://dickey.dartmouth.edu/), and the Office of Undergraduate Advising and Research (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~ugar/).
Thanks to our student speakers: Edgar Sandoval ’14, Samuel Street ’13, and Hannah Rowe ’14.
O documento convida os Escoteiros do Brasil a renovar sua Promessa Escoteira, prometendo fazer o melhor, cumprir seus deveres com Deus e sua Pátria, ajudar o próximo sempre e obedecer a Lei Escoteira. O fundador do Escotismo deseja aos Escoteiros uma vida longa e feliz com muitos bons acampamentos.
The document provides descriptions of sessions for the Management and Leadership Development Program (MLDP) at Dartmouth College in Spring 2012. Each Tuesday evening features a guest speaker to discuss elements of management and leadership. Topics include facilitating group discussions, connecting to challenges and leadership, defining leadership skills, writing in the workplace, and designing effective presentations. Brief biographies are provided for each speaker. Successful completion of MLDP strengthens students' applications for internship and fellowship opportunities.
The Noriko handbag is a graceful yet whimsical bag made from a single pattern piece. It has two side panels that can be tucked in to close the bag flat for storage. Handles and a button closure are attached to complete the look. The instructions provide details on cutting fabric, assembling the bag pieces, adding handles and a button loop, and finishing techniques like topstitching. Decorative tassels can be optionally added to embellish the bag.
Our two main political parties are at a crossroads. Can a consumer marketing lens reveal a way forward?
By Stacy Baas and Samantha Cabaluna
Full text of the report available at https://www.baasstrategy.com/blog/making-sense-of-the-moment-b4tsw
This document contains the results of a Kaiser Family Foundation poll conducted shortly after the 2012 presidential election. It shows that:
1) The top issues for voters were the economy, direction of the country, and President Obama's job performance.
2) For senior voters, the top issues were the economy, direction of the country, and the future of Medicare.
3) After the election, a plurality of voters wanted to keep the Affordable Care Act as is or expand it, rather than repeal it.
4) A majority saw President Obama's policies as good for lower income Americans but bad for the wealthy in his second term.
This document analyzes the results of the 2016 US presidential election and identifies key factors that impacted the outcome. It summarizes that:
1. There was significant anger and frustration with the status quo that drove voters to take risks for change, and Democrats lost ground with the working class.
2. Demographics are not destiny, as turnout changed in ways that hurt Democrats, such as increased rural and white voter turnout.
3. Lack of an economic message and vision hurt Democrats, and having a populist economic message combined with reform can win.
4. Perceptions of race, immigration, and gender roles strongly correlated with votes for Trump.
This document summarizes key aspects of measuring and understanding public opinion in the United States. It discusses how public opinion is defined and measured through polling. Polls must use representative sampling, carefully worded questions, and account for respondent knowledge and biases. Many factors influence political attitudes, including family, gender, religion, education, social class, race, and geography. Ideology in the U.S. is generally viewed on a liberal-conservative spectrum, though definitions have changed over time. Most Americans do not have highly ideological views and vote based on group interests or current economic conditions.
"It's Jobs, Stupid": Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future Pollourfuture
A Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future survey examines the top economic priorities of American voters, the extent to which they are rejecting the economic priorities of conservatives and offers insight into what Democrats will have to do in order to regain the support of the public. More details on the poll and links to related material on ourfuture.org/economypoll2011
Barack Obama ran one of the most sophisticated presidential campaigns in history by segmenting and targeting voters across multiple demographics and behaviors. He targeted youth through social media, mobile ads, and issues important to students. Obama targeted specific racial and ethnic groups by running ads in their languages and visiting communities important to them. Locally, the campaign customized ads and visited important areas and battleground states. Overall, Obama targeted voters across diverse channels and messages to build enthusiasm and support across broad demographic and regional groups.
A poll of 400 Indianapolis voters found that Governor Eric Holcomb has a 60% approval rating, with 53% thinking the state is headed in the right direction. Holcomb has high approval even among Democrats (47%) and independents (65%). President Trump has a 38% approval in Indianapolis, but is viewed favorably by 59% of non-college educated men. The poll also found views on other politicians like Vice President Mike Pence, Pete Buttigieg, and Curtis Hill.
Texas Elections
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Essay On The Election
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Election In 2008 Essay
Candidate-Centered Election
Midterm Elections
Incumbents In Congressional Elections Essay
1) The candidates in the Pennsylvania midterm Senate election are Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey.
2) Joe Sestak is a retired Navy admiral and current Congressman who defeated incumbent Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary. Pat Toomey is a former Congressman who overwhelmingly won the Republican primary.
3) The key issues in the race are the economy, with Pennsylvania's 9% unemployment rate, and views on President Obama's policies, as polls show Toomey with a lead reflecting voter discontent with the administration.
The Making of an Engaged Electorate? (view full screen)Rhesa Jenkins
This document analyzes data from the 2008 US election to understand patterns in campaign donations, voter demographics, and key issues. It finds that while large donors still provided most funds, Obama attracted more small donors than other candidates. Obama also received more support from lower-income voters. The top issues for Obama voters were the economy, healthcare, and energy policy. The document suggests voter turnout may depend on whether political priorities address the key concerns that motivated groups like Obama supporters in 2008.
The document discusses the importance of voting, especially among young voters, in midterm and local elections. It notes that young voters made up a significant portion of the electorate in 2012 and supported issues like same-sex marriage and immigration reform. The youth vote was important in key swing states and more likely to vote if they lived in battleground areas. The document encourages rocking the vote and correlates the importance of voting in midterm and local youth council elections.
The document provides a summary of a research paper that investigates the relationship between voters' opinions of President Obama and whether voters feel they can relate to him through personal factors. It reviews literature on how factors like race, religion, age, and political affiliation can influence voter opinions. The research aims to test if a voter's ability to relate to Obama personally affects their opinion of him, while controlling for race, religion, age, political party identification through statistical analysis of survey data. It hypothesizes that if a voter feels they can relate to Obama as a person, their opinion of him will be more positive.
Magellan Strategies Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey April 2014Magellan Strategies
1) A survey of likely 2014 Minnesota voters finds Senator Al Franken potentially vulnerable in the November election. He has not faced voters in a midterm election before and won his previous election by a narrow margin.
2) The survey shows the Republican candidate leading the Democrat candidate by 3 points in a generic Senate ballot test. Additionally, Al Franken's approval ratings are below 50%.
3) Key findings indicate the political environment may be better for Republicans, as voters think the country is headed in the wrong direction and disapprove of President Obama's job performance.
This document summarizes polling data and makes predictions for the 2012 US presidential election. It finds that the top pollsters in 2008 accurately predicted the popular vote. The document then analyzes key swing states like Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Based on demographic and polling trends in these states, it predicts that Obama will win re-election with 294 electoral votes to Romney's 244.
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential ElectionEdelman
The document provides information on a supplementary research study conducted by Edelman on trust and the 2016 U.S. presidential election. It finds that a majority of Americans feel the system is failing them and hold fears related to issues like corruption, globalization and immigration. Trump voters were more likely to be fearful, especially of immigration and globalization, while Clinton voters showed less fear. The study also found divisions between Trump and Clinton voters in levels of trust in institutions and support for various policy priorities.
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Rockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State Report
1. For Immediate Release:
April 18, 2012
Rockefeller Center Associate Director & Senior Fellow Ronald G. Shaiko, Survey Director
Contact:
Professor Ronald G. Shaiko, (603) 646-9146 or Ronald.G.Shaiko@Dartmouth.edu
Undergraduate Data Analysts: Michael Altamirano (Michael.J.Altamirano.13@Dartmouth.edu)
Christopher Whitehead (Christopher.T.Whitehead.12@Dartmouth.edu)
Nelson A. Rockefeller Center Completes 5th Annual New
Hampshire State of the State Poll on Politics, Economic
Issues, and Social Policies.
Voters less pessimistic about the economy and economic future.
Romney leads Obama by slim margin—NH remains a "battleground" state.
"Building a strong economy"—most important issue for NH government.
Voters split on expanded gambling and voting eligibility of college students.
Voters support same-sex marriage and cell phone ban while driving.
Voters oppose allowing guns on state college campuses, reduction of tobacco
tax, and allowing employers to refuse to provide contraceptive health benefits.
Less than one-quarter of voters approve of the job performance of the NH
legislature.
HANOVER, NH—The Rockefeller Center’s fifth annual New Hampshire State of the State Poll
surveyed a sample of New Hampshire registered voters (N=403) on April 2-5, 2012 to get voter
opinions on policy issues, elected officials, and the state of the economy in New Hampshire and
2. in the United States. Sample demographics and polling methodology are summarized at the end
of this report.
The poll indicates that voters have perceived an improvement in the national economy since last
year. The proportion of respondents rating the economy “excellent”, “good”, or “fair” has
increased from 38.6 percent last year to 53.9 percent this year. The proportion of respondents
expressing economic optimism has also increased. More than double the number of respondents
would prefer that state legislators focus on building a strong economy before balancing the state
budget and most respondents believe that the federal deficit should be resolved with a
combination of spending cuts and tax increases. President Obama’s job approval rating has
increased from 36.4 percent to 39.2 percent over the same period.
In a head-to-head matchup for president, Mitt Romney has a slight lead on Barack Obama, with
Romney receiving support from 43.9 percent of respondents and Obama receiving support from
42.4 percent of respondents. The remaining 13.7 percent are unsure of the vote choice. This
result is within the margin of error for the survey (+-4.9 percent).
On many of the tabular presentations that follow, demographic variables are presented to provide
additional information regarding voter preferences. Variables included are: party identification,
ideology, sex, age, and income. For partisan identification, 27.2 percent of respondents
identified as Democrats, 33.7 percent identified as Republicans, and 38.1 percent registered as
undeclared or independent. Regarding respondents' ideology, 23.1 percent of respondents
identified as liberals, 44.6 percent identified as moderates, and 32.1 percent identified as
conservatives. The sample is divided roughly evenly on gender with 52.1 percent male and 47.9
percent female respondents. Regarding age, 29.2 percent of respondents are between the ages of
18 and 49 while 32.8 percent of respondents are between the ages of 50 and 64; the remaining
respondents (28.0 percent) are 65 and older. Regarding household incomes of respondents for
2011, 18.9 percent of respondents earned less than $40,000 and 41.3 percent of respondents
earned between $40,000 and $100,000; the remaining 28.2 percent of respondents earned
$100,000 or more. The complete survey instrument is included in the Appendix.
NATIONAL POLITICS AND POLICY ISSUES
New Hampshire voters have a slightly more favorable general opinion of President Barack
Obama compared to last year. Just over 40 percent of respondents (40.4 percent) view President
Obama favorably, up three percent from last year’s figure of 37 percent. However, President
Obama’s unfavorable rating (43.2 percent) exceeds his favorable rating, and remains roughly
unchanged from last year (43 percent).
President Obama Job Approval Rating
Respondents were also asked for their assessment of how President Obama is handling his job as
President of the United States. President Obama’s approval rating increased slightly from 36.4
3. percent in 2011 to 39.2 percent in 2012. His disapproval rating similarly increased, moving from
46.8 percent in 2011 to 48.1 percent over the same period.
A more detailed analysis of President Obama’s job approval according to respondent
demographics is included below:
The majority of respondents who are registered Democrats and who self-identify as “liberal”
approve of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as President (73 percent and 78
percent, respectively), while the majority of respondents who are registered Republicans and
who self-identify as “conservative” disapprove of President Obama’s job performance (59
percent and 82 percent, respectively). Undeclared voters are more than twice as likely to approve
of President Obama’s job performance, while respondents who self-identified as having a
“moderate” political ideology were evenly split on the issue (42 percent approve and 38 percent
disapprove of President Obama’s job performance).
2012 Presidential Election
To gauge the current political landscape in the state of New Hampshire regarding the upcoming
Presidential Election, respondents were asked – if the election were held today – whether they
would vote for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or whether they are unsure whom they would vote
for. The results were close, though Romney had a slight edge: 42.4 percent of respondents would
4. vote for Barack Obama, 43.9 percent would vote for Mitt Romney, and 13.7 percent are unsure
as to whom they would elect. When asked a similar question last year, 39 percent of respondents
said they would have voted for Obama, 47 percent responded that they would vote for Romney,
and 15 percent were unsure.
The following chart illustrates how the Obama-Romney election results break down according to
demographic information, including political party identification, political ideology, sex, age,
and income.
Nearly four-fifths of respondents who are registered Democrats indicated that they would vote
for President Obama in the upcoming election. Similarly, 78 percent of those respondents who
self-identified as “liberal” said that they would vote to re-elect President Obama. Almost three-
quarters of those respondents who are registered Republicans answered that they would vote for
Governor Romney, while 86 percent of those who self-identified as “conservative” indicated that
they would cast their ballot for Romney. President Obama has a slight advantage among
undeclared voters and with those respondents who self-identified as having a “moderate”
political ideology. Almost half the men surveyed said that they would vote for Mitt Romney,
while nearly half of the women respondents indicated that they would vote for Barack Obama.
However, the gap between female and male supporters of President Obama (48 percent and 37
percent, respectively) is greater than the gap between male and female supporters of Governor
Romney (49 percent and 39 percent, respectively). Those with household incomes of $100,000
5. or greater tend to support President Obama, while those with household incomes below that
figure tend to support Governor Romney.
The following chart depicts voter preferences according to their assessment of current conditions
of the United States economy, the New Hampshire economy, and their current personal
economic condition compared to that of one year ago.
Respondents who believe that the United States economy is in “good” or “fair” shape tend to
support President Obama over Governor Romney, while the majority who believe the national
economy is either in “poor” shape or are unsure as to the state of the U.S. economy indicate that
they would vote for Romney over Obama. With regard to the New Hampshire state economy,
almost two-thirds of those who believe that the state’s economic condition is “good” support
President Obama in the 2012 presidential election. However, Romney has a slight edge over
Obama with those who believe New Hampshire’s state economy is in “fair” condition, and
enjoys the support of the majority of those who responded that the state economy is in “poor”
condition or that they are unsure as to the state of New Hampshire’s economy. Similarly, the
majority of those who responded that they are “better off” with respect to their personal
economic situation this year as opposed to last year said that they would vote for President
Obama, while the majority of those who believe they are “worse off” support Governor Romney.
6. The proportion of respondents who answered that they believed their economic condition was
“about the same” as last year divided their support nearly evenly between the two candidates,
although President Obama has a slight edge with this cohort.
United States Economic Condition and Budgetary Policy
Respondents’ assessments of the national economy have improved since last year. Nine percent
of respondents rate the United States economy as “excellent” or “good,” compared to 3.5 percent
in 2011. Forty-five percent believe that the national economy is in “fair” condition, up from 35.1
percent in 2011; whereas 44 percent believe that the U.S. economy is in a “poor” state – down
from 60.4 percent in 2011.
When asked “if you were to advise policymakers in Washington” regarding the federal budget
deficit situation in Washington, D.C., just over one third of the respondents supported only
cutting programs (36 percent), while just under one half of the respondents supported a
combination of cutting programs and raising taxes (45.9 percent); 8.2 percent of responded that
they would advise policymakers to “raise taxes” only.
NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE POLITICS AND POLICY ISSUES
New Hampshire Politicians
Respondents were asked for their assessments of elected officials in New Hampshire. Governor
Lynch’s favorability rating jumped to 58.9 percent from 51.6 percent last year. Senators Shaheen
and Ayotte similarly enjoy higher approval ratings over last, moving from 38 percent in 2011 to
39.7 percent this year and from 35 percent to 36.2 percent, respectively. The chart below
summarizes the results in detail.
7. Nearly two-thirds of respondents (65.4 percent) approve of the way that Governor Lynch is
handling his job as Governor of New Hampshire, up from 59.6 percent last year; 14.5 percent of
respondents said that they did not approve of Governor Lynch’s job performance, and 20.1
percent responded that they were unsure. Less than one quarter of respondents (21.9 percent)
approve of the New Hampshire Legislature’s job performance, down from last year’s approval
rating of 24.0 percent. The proportion of respondents that disapprove of the State Legislature’s
job performance is down slightly from 37.8 percent in 2011 to 36.1 percent this year.
State Policy Priorities and Social Issues
Registered voters answered a number of questions about policy issues facing the state of New
Hampshire. This year, respondents identified “building a strong economy” as the top priority
issue for state lawmakers, a shift from last year’s top priority of “balancing the budget.” The
following chart depicts what respondents identified as the top policy priorities from the 2010,
2011, and 2012 State of the State polls, conducted by the Rockefeller Center.
8. Respondents also answered questions regarding a number of social issues facing the state,
including same-sex marriage, the expansion of gambling in the state, reducing the rate of the
tobacco tax levied on the purchase of cigarettes, whether an employer can refuse to provide
contraceptive coverage in insurance plans on religious grounds, out-of-state student voting
rights, and a ban on cellular phone use while driving.
The proportion of respondents in support of same-sex marriage in the state of New Hampshire
increased from 41.5 percent in 2011 to 55.1 percent this year. The rate of opposition decreased
from 42.2 percent last year to under one-third (30.9 percent) in this year’s survey. The majority
of registered Democrats or Undeclared voters are in support of same-sex marriage (76 percent
and 66 percent, respectively). Under one-third (29 percent) of Republicans surveyed support the
measure. The majority of respondents who self-identified as “liberal” or “moderate” support
same-sex marriage, while the majority of those who self-identified as “conservative” are in
opposition. The following chart depicts support and opposition to same-sex marriage according
to respondent demographic information.
9. Asked whether they supported or opposed the expansion of gambling, including video slot
machines and casinos, 40.9 percent of respondents were in support, 41.6 percent were in
opposition, and 17.5 percent were unsure. This year’s results are essentially unchanged from last
year’s, with 41.5 percent in support, 41.3 percent in opposition, and 16.9 percent unsure in 2011.
Self-identified liberals have the highest rate of opposition, while self-identified conservatives
have the highest rate of support – though the proportions of those in favor of expanding
gambling in the state and those opposed to it are near evenly split. The following chart illustrates
the breakdown of support and opposition for expanding gambling according to the demographic
factors of party identification, political ideology, and sex.
10. The majority of respondents (66.2 percent) opposed allowing guns on college campuses or any
other properties owned by the state; 17.7 percent of respondents were in support of the measure,
while roughly the same proportion (16.2 percent) were unsure on the matter. The following chart
details respondent support and opposition to the policy according to demographic factors.
.
11. Respondents were also asked whether they supported or opposed reducing the rate of the tobacco
tax levied on the purchase of cigarettes. The majority of respondents (59.1 percent) opposed the
measure, while 23.8 percent supported the tax reduction. Opposition was consistent across
several demographic cohorts, as the chart below demonstrates.
The survey asked respondents whether they “support or oppose allowing an employer to refuse
to provide contraceptive coverage in insurance plans on religious grounds.” Over half of those
surveyed (52.1 percent) opposed the measure, while 27.5 percent supported it, and 19.4 percent
were unsure as to whether they supported or opposed it. The majority of Democrats, Undeclared
voters, liberals, moderates and women oppose the measure (71 percent, 50 percent, 82 percent,
51 percent, and 58 percent, respectively). More Republicans and men oppose the measure than
support it. Self-identified conservatives, however, support the policy in greater proportions than
oppose it (46 percent to 38 percent). The following chart outlines the respective support and
opposition of various demographic cohorts.
12. The opinions of respondents were near evenly split regarding whether they supported or opposed
allowing eligible students who attend New Hampshire colleges and universities to vote,
regardless of their residence prior to enrolling in school. Roughly four in ten respondents (40.2
percent) are in favor of the measure, while 38.0 percent oppose it; 21.8 percent are unsure as to
whether they support or oppose the policy. The majority of Democrats and liberals support the
policy, while the majority of conservatives oppose it. Undeclared voters are split on the issue,
with 40 percent in support and 38 percent in opposition to the policy. The chart below outlines
responses according to several demographic considerations.
13. Lastly, respondents were asked if they support or oppose a ban on cellular phone use while
driving in the New Hampshire. The majority of respondents (63.8 percent) are in support of the
ban, while 27.1 percent are opposed to the measure. The graph below depicts how opinions break
down along party, ideological, and gender lines.
14. New Hampshire Economy and Budgetary Policy
Respondents’ impressions of New Hampshire’s economic situation have improved from last year
as 27.1 percent of respondents believe that the condition of New Hampshire’s economy is
“excellent” or “good,” compared to 21.1 percent last year. Almost half of respondents (49.8
percent) assessed the state economy as being in “fair” shape, up slightly from 47.7 last year. The
proportion of respondents who believe that the state economy is “poor” is down from 29.3
percent in 2011 to 20.7 percent this year.
New Hampshire voters are less concerned about the state of the budget this year than they were
last year. The proportion of respondents who view New Hampshire’s budget problems as “very
serious” are down from 30.5 percent in 2011 to 19.1 percent this year. There was a small uptick
in the proportion of respondents who believe the budget problems to be “somewhat serious” (up
from 51.0 percent in 2011 to 54.8 percent this year), although the increase likely indicates that
voters are growing more optimistic about the budget, and find the situation less serious than they
did last year. In general, respondents indicate that they would rather have reduced services than
higher taxes. When asked about measures to help resolve local budget problems, 43.2 percent
favor “maintaining taxes, decreasing services.” 36.5 percent of respondents support “increasing
taxes, maintaining services,” and 14.1 percent said that their answer “depends” on the taxes
being levied and the services being cut.
Respondents’ Personal Finances
Compared to results from 2011 and 2010, respondents’ assessments of their personal financial
situations have improved. When asked to compare their current personal economic situation to
one year ago, 14.9 percent believe that they are “better off” and 55.2 of respondents say they are
“about the same.” The proportion of respondents who believe their personal economic situation
is “about the same” as it was last year is up from 55.2 percent and 49.6 percent in 2011 and
2010, respectively; 28.8 percent of respondents believe they are worse off economically than
they were one year ago, down from 34 percent in 2011 and 38 percent in 2010. Respondents
were similarly more optimistic about their future economic well-being. While 22.1 percent of
those surveyed last year believed that their financial situation would be “better” in one year, this
year 31.2 percent of respondents believe that next year will be “better” financially (this figure is
similar to those reported in 2010 and 2009: 31.7 percent and 32.5 percent, respectively).
The number of respondents who report that they or a family member has been negatively
affected by the mortgage crisis increased slightly from last year (22.1 percent this year from 20.0
percent last year); 20.6 percent of voters list credit card debt as a “top personal financial
concern.”
2012 Gubernatorial Election
Lastly, respondents were asked about their views on the candidates in this year’s gubernatorial
election in New Hampshire. The responses revealed that voters are largely unsure of how they
feel about each of the candidates for governor—Jackie Cilley, Maggie Hassan, Steve Kenda,
Ovide LaMontagne, and Kevin Smith—though LaMontagne has the highest “favorable” and
“unfavorable” ratings (22.8 percent and 19.7 percent, respectively). The following chart
summarizes the results in detail.
15. The following chart details the responses to the question: “Please identify the candidate for
whom you are most likely to vote in November.” LaMontagne has the most support with 12
percent of the vote. Most voters (78 percent) are still unsure as to whom they will vote for in
November.
16. SAMPLE DEMOGRAPHICS
The 2012 New Hampshire State of the State poll respondents are representative of the registered
voter population of the state. Respondents were split among males (52.1 percent) and females
(47.9 percent). On the partisan identification measure, the respondents closely mirror the voting
population in New Hampshire with the largest plurality of respondents identifying as
“undeclared” or independent (38.1 percent), with 27.2 percent identifying as Democrats and 33.7
percent identifying as Republicans. Geographically, respondents were evenly split among
congressional districts: 50.1 percent from the 1st Congressional District and 49.9 percent from
the 2nd Congressional District. More than three-quarters of the respondents are married (76
percent), while 8.5 percent are divorced, 5.4 percent are widowed, and 10.1 percent are single.
The sample respondents are more highly educated than the New Hampshire general population
with more than 60 percent of the respondents having graduated college (60.2 percent), including
3.1 percent with doctoral degrees (e.g. M.D., J.D., Ph.D.). Regarding age, 29.2 percent of
respondents are between the ages of 18 and 49 while 32.8 percent of respondents are between the
ages of 50 and 64; the remaining respondents (28.0 percent) are 65 and older. We have no
comparable age or education level data for registered voters in the state, however. Respondents
reported their 2010 household income as follows: 18.9 percent earned less than $40,000, 41.3
percent earned between $40,000 and $100,000, and 28.2 percent earned more than $100,000.
Additionally, respondents reported their occupational status, with 49.2 percent employed full-
time, 11.7 percent employed part-time, and 6.5 percent unemployed, and 27.3 percent retired.
POLL METHODS
During the week of April 2-5, 2012, students from The Nelson A. Rockefeller Center at
Dartmouth College conducted a telephone survey of registered voters in New Hampshire. Drawn
from a statewide data base of New Hampshire registered voters, the sample survey respondents
were asked a wide range of questions relating to the current political, economic, and social state
of affairs in New Hampshire and the country as a whole. In addition, respondents were asked to
select candidates for president in the 2012 election. The 44-question survey took between eight
and ten minutes to complete. Calls were made between the hours of 6:30 pm and 9:30 pm on
Monday through Thursday evenings. Additional call-backs were made during daytime hours on
Thursday, April 5 when specified by poll participants. Over the course of the week, callers made
three attempts to contact each of the registered voters drawn in the sample. A total of 403 survey
interviews were completed during the four-day calling period, yielding an error rate of +/-4.9
percent at a 95 percent confidence interval.
17. APPENDIX
ROCKEFELLER CENTER NH STATE OF THE STATE POLL: 2012
________ SURVEY1
Caller: ___________ Date Completed: ( ) Mon. ( ) Tues. ( ) Wed. ( ) Thurs.
SEX: 1( ) M 2( ) F CD: 1 ( ) 2( ) PARTYID: 1( )D 2( )R 3( )Undeclared/Independent
4( ) Other
Respondent Name: ____________________ Survey # ___________ SURVEY2
Hello, is _______ at home?
Hello, my name is _____________ and I am a student at Dartmouth College calling from our Nelson A.
Rockefeller Center. We are conducting a statewide poll of New Hampshire citizens regarding the
economy and political issues. The survey will take only a few minutes to complete. First, we would like
to know your views regarding the state of the economy in New Hampshire, your own economic situation,
and the state of the economy nationwide.
1. In general, how would you assess the current state of the economy in New
Hampshire? Would you say it is excellent, good, fair, or poor?
1 ( ) Excellent 2 ( ) Good 3 ( ) Fair 4 ( ) Poor 5 ( ) Unsure NHECON
2. Regarding your own personal economic situation, compared to one year ago, do you
believe that you are better off financially, worse off financially, or about in the same
financial situation you were in one year ago?
1 ( ) Better Off 2 ( ) Worse Off 3 ( ) About the Same PERSECON
3. Have you or has any member of your family been negatively affected by the current
mortgage crisis? 1 ( ) Yes 2 ( ) No MORTG
4. Today, many families have credit card debt to manage along with all of their other
financial concerns. Would you consider your own personal credit card situation to be
among your top personal financial concerns at the present time? 1( )Yes 2( )No CRD
5. Looking ahead a year from now, do you think that your own financial situation will be
better than it is today, worse than it is today, or about the same as it is today?
1 ( ) Better 2 ( ) Worse 3 ( ) About the same 4 ( ) Unsure FUTFIN
6. Now, thinking about the economic situation across the nation, how would you rate
the current state of the national economy? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?
1( ) Excellent 2( ) Good 3( ) Fair 4( ) Poor 5( ) Unsure USECON
7. Regarding the federal budget deficit situation in Washington, DC in this current fiscal
year, the federal government is spending one trillion dollars more than it receives
through taxes and other revenue generating sources. If you were to advise policy-
makers in Washington, would you suggest either raising taxes in order to fund existing
government programs or cutting government programs in order to balance the federal
budget, or a combination of taxes and spending cuts, or are you unsure? FEDDEF
1( ) Raise taxes 2( ) Cut programs 3( ) Both 4 ( ) Unsure
18. Next, we would like to discuss New Hampshire government and politics.
8. Which of the following issues do you think is most important for New Hampshire
policy makers to focus on in Concord: 1. building and maintaining a strong economy,
2. improving education across the state, 3. working to achieve a more sustainable and
livable environment, 4. balancing the state budget, 5. providing for the healthcare
needs of New Hampshire citizens, 6. maintaining roads, highways, and bridges across
the state, 7. relieving the property tax burdens on New Hampshire citizens, or
something else? MOSTIMP
1 ( ) Strong economy 2 ( ) Improving education 3 ( ) Maintaining a clean
environment 4 ( ) Balancing the state budget 5 ( ) Providing for healthcare needs
6 ( ) Maintaining roads/bridges 7 ( ) Relieving property tax burden 8 ( ) Other______
9. In general, how serious do you think New Hampshire’s budget problems are? Very
serious, somewhat serious, not very serious, or not at all serious? Or are you unsure?
1 ( ) Very serious 2 ( ) Somewhat serious 3 ( ) Not very serious
4 ( ) Not at all serious 5 ( ) Unsure BUDGET
10. Regarding town governance in New Hampshire, many towns in New Hampshire are
facing budget problems. In order to provide the same level of services, they might
have to raise taxes. If you had to choose between raising taxes or cutting services,
which would you choose?
1 ( ) Increase taxes, maintain services 2 ( ) Maintain taxes, decrease services
3 ( ) Depends 4 ( ) Don’t know/no opinion TAXSERVE
11. In general, do you believe that government in New Hampshire should be funded at
state level through taxes and fees or do you believe that government should be funded
primarily at the local level through property taxes?
1( ) State level 2( ) Local level 3( ) Both 4( ) Unsure STLOCAL
Regarding some of the specific issues currently being discussed in New Hamsphire, what are your views
on the following issues?
12. Do you support or oppose same-sex marriage in the State of New Hampshire?
Or, are you unsure? 1( ) Support 2( ) Oppose 3( ) Unsure SAMESEX
13. Do you support or oppose the expansion of gambling in New Hampshire to include
video slot machines and casinos? Or, are you unsure?
1( ) Support 2( ) Oppose 3( ) Unsure CASINO
14. Do you support or oppose allowing guns on public college campuses and on any
other properties owned by the state? Or, are you unsure?
1( ) Support 2( ) Oppose 3 ( ) Unsure GUNS
15. Do you support or oppose reducing the rate of the tobacco tax levied on the purchase
of cigarettes? Or, are you unsure? 1( ) Support 2( ) Oppose 3 ( ) Unsure CIGAR
16. Do you support or oppose allowing an employer to refuse to provide contraceptive
coverage in insurance plans on religious grounds? Or, are you unsure?
1( ) Support 2( ) Oppose 3( ) Unsure CONTRA
19. 17. Do you support or oppose allowing eligible students who attend New Hampshire
colleges and universities to register to vote in New Hampshire, regardless of their
residence prior to enrolling in school? Or, are you unsure?
1( ) Support 2( ) Oppose 3( ) Unsure STUDENT
18. Do you support or oppose a ban on cellular phone use while driving in New
Hampshire? Or, are you unsure? 1( ) Support 2( )Oppose 3( ) Unsure CELL
Now, I would like to ask you about your views on state politics and elected officials in the state of New
Hampshire and in the nation. I am going to begin by asking your opinions about our national and
statewide elected officials—
19. First, regarding GOVERNOR JOHN LYNCH, do you have a generally favorable,
neutral or unfavorable opinion of Governor Lynch or are you not sure?
1 ( ) Favorable 2 ( ) Neutral 3 ( ) Unfavorable 4 ( ) Unsure LYNCH
20. Next, SENATOR JEANNE SHAHEEN, do you have a generally favorable, neutral,
or unfavorable opinion of Senator Shaheen or are you unsure?
1 ( ) Favorable 2 ( ) Neutral 3 ( ) Unfavorable 4 ( ) Unsure SHAHEEN
21. And, SENATOR KELLY AYOTTE, do you have a generally favorable, neutral, or
unfavorable opinion of Senator Ayotte or are you unsure?
1 ( ) Favorable 2 ( ) Neutral 3 ( ) Unfavorable 4 ( ) Unsure AYOTTE
22. And now, PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA, do you have a generally favorable,
neutral, or unfavorable opinion of President Obama, or are you unsure?
1 ( ) Favorable 2 ( ) Neutral 3 ( ) Unfavorable 4 ( ) Unsure OBAMA
23. Regarding the job performance of Governor Lynch, do you approve or disapprove of
the way Governor Lynch is handling his job as Governor, or are you unsure?
1 ( ) Approve 2 ( ) Disapprove 3 ( ) Unsure GOVJOB
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the members of the New Hampshire
Legislature are handling their jobs, or are you unsure? LEGJOB
1 ( ) Approve 2 ( ) Disapprove 3 ( ) Unsure
25. And President Obama, do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama
is handling his job as President, or are you unsure?
1 ( ) Approve 2 ( ) Disapprove 3 ( ) Unsure OBAMAJOB
In November we will be holding an election for governor in New Hampshire as well as
for President of the United States, and for other federal and state offices. Currently there
are five announced candidates for governor—two Democrats and three Republicans. I am going to read
you the five names in alpabetical order, please let me know if you have a generally favorable, neutral, or
unfavorable opinion of each of the candidates. If you do not know enough about each candidate to render
a judgment, just say you are unsure.
26. First, JACKIE CILLEY, a Democrat. Do you have a generally favorable, neutral, or
unfavorable opinion of Jackie Cilley, or are you unsure? CILLEY
1( ) Favorable 2( ) Neutral 3( ) Unfavorable 4( ) Unsure
20. 27. Next, MAGGIE HASSAN, a Democrat. Do you have a generally favorable, neutral,
or unfavorable opinion of Maggie Hassan, or are you unsure? HASSAN
1( ) Favorable 2( ) Neutral 3( ) Unfavorable 4( ) Unsure
28. And next, STEVE KENDA, a Republican. Do you have a generally favorable,
neutral, or unfavorable opinion of Steve Kenda, or are you unsure? KENDA
1( ) Favorable 2( ) Neutral 3( ) Unfavorable 4( ) Unsure
29. And now, OVIDE LAMONTAGNE, a Republican. Do you have a generally
favorable, neutral or unfavorable opinion of Ovide Lamontagne, or are you unsure?
1( ) Favorable 2( ) Neutral 3( ) Unfavorable 4( ) Unsure LAMONT
30. And finally, KEVIN SMITH, a Republican. Favorable, neutral, or unfavorable,
or are you unsure? SMITH
1( ) Favorable 2( ) Neutral 3( ) Unfavorable 4( ) Unsure
31. Of these five candidates for Governor—Jackie Cilley, Maggie Hassan, Steve Kenda,
Ovide Lamontagne, and Kevin Smith—please identify the candidate for whom you
are most likely to vote in November. Or, are you unsure at this time? GOVRACE
1( ) Cilley 2( ) Hassan 3( ) Kenda 4( )Lamontagne 5( ) Smith 6( ) Unsure
32. In addition to the race for governor, we will have an election for President of the
United States. If the election were held today, would you vote for BARACK
OBAMA as the Democratic nominee or MITT ROMNEY as the Republican
nominee? Or, are you unsure? OBROM
1( ) OBAMA 2( ) ROMNEY 3( ) Unsure
33. If the election for President were held today, would you vote for BARACK OBAMA
as the Democratic nominee or RICK SANTORUM as the Republican nominee?
Or, are you unsure? 1( ) OBAMA 2( ) SANTORUM 3( ) Unsure OBSAN
Now, we would like to know a bit about your media viewing habits.
34. On average, how many days per week do you read a daily newspaper? PAPER
1 ( ) never 2 ( ) 1-2 days 3 ( ) 3-4 days 4 ( ) 5-6 days 5 ( ) every day
35. On average, how many days per week do you watch a local evening television news
broadcast? TVNEWS
1 ( ) never 2 ( ) 1-2 days 3 ( ) 3-4 days 4 ( ) 5-6 days 5 ( ) every day
36. On a typical day, how much total time do you spend on the Internet? Include any time
spent sending and receiving email, surfing web pages, chatting with others, watching
video, blogging, downloading or sharing files. INTERNET
1( ) No time 2 ( ) less than an hour 3 ( ) 1-2 hours 4 ( ) 3-4 hours
5 ( ) more than four hours a day
Now, I have just a few more demographic questions to ask so that we can compare your responses with
those of other New Hampshire citizens without identifying you.
37. First, what is your age? ________ AGE
21. 38. Next, please stop me when I reach the educational level that best reflects your highest
level of education:
1 ( ) elementary school 2 ( ) some high school 3 ( ) high school graduate
4 ( ) some college or vocational/technical training 5 ( ) college graduate
6 ( ) some graduate training 7 ( ) master’s degree 8 ( ) some doctoral training
9 ( ) doctoral degree (prompt only Ph.D./J.D./M.D./D.V.M) EDUC
39. What is your current marital status? Are you married, divorced or separated,
widowed, or single (never married)? 1 ( ) married 2 ( ) divorced/separated
3 ( ) widowed 4 ( ) single MARITAL
40. Are there any labor union members living in your household? 1 ( ) Yes 2 ( ) No
UNION
41. What is your current occupational status? Are you employed full-time, employed part-time, not
currently employed, retired, or are you a student attending school, or are you unable to work due to a
disability? 1 ( ) Employed full-time 2 ( ) Employed part-time 3 ( ) Not currently employed 4 ( )
Retired 5 ( ) Student 6 ( ) Disabled OCCUP
42. Are you a registered voter in the State of New Hampshire as a Democrat, Republican or Undeclared?
1 ( ) Democrat 2 ( ) Republican 3 ( ) Undeclared/Ind.
4 ( ) Other ___________ 5 ( ) Don’t Remember/Claim not to be registered PARTYID2
43. In terms of your own personal views on politics, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative?
1 ( ) Liberal 2 ( ) Moderate 3 ( ) Conservative IDEO
44. Finally, please stop me when I reach the income level that best reflects your annual household income
for 2011:
1 ( ) under $20,000 5 ( ) 80,000 up to 100,000 9 ( ) No answer/refuse
2 ( ) $20,000 up to $40,000 6 ( ) 100,000 up to 150,000
3 ( ) $40,000 up to 60,000 7 ( ) 150,000 up to 200,000
4 ( ) 60,000 up to 80,000 8 ( ) over $200,000 INCOME
That concludes our survey. Thank you for your cooperation. Please look for the results in your local
media or at the Rockefeller Center web site at Dartmouth College. Go to www.dartmouth.edu and search
Rockefeller Center.