Sample:	
  Statewide	
  Registered	
  Voters	
  =	
  840
May	
  18	
  –	
  19,	
  2014
Margin	
  of	
  Error	
  =	
  +/-­‐	
  	
  3.4%
30%	
  Cell	
  Phones,	
  70%	
  Landlines
In	
  Hawaii,	
  if	
  you	
  decide	
  to	
  vote	
  in	
  a	
  primary,	
  you	
  may	
  choose	
  between	
  voting	
  in	
  either	
  the	
  Democratic	
  or	
  Republican	
  primary—but	
  not	
  in	
  both
Neil	
  Abercrombie	
  and	
  David	
  Ige	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  Governor,	
  [in	
  1st	
  CD	
  only	
  —	
  and	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  Democrats	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  Congress].
Duke	
  Aiona	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  Governor,	
  [in	
  1st	
  CD	
  only	
  —	
  and	
  Charles	
  Djou	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  Congress]—each	
  with	
  at	
  least	
  one	
  other	
  Republican	
  primary	
  opponent.
With	
  that	
  in	
  mind,	
  what	
  are	
  you	
  most	
  likely	
  to	
  do	
  in	
  August?
Democratic 63%
Republican 23%
Other/None 4%
Not	
  sure 11%
This	
  coming	
  August,	
  Hawaii	
  will	
  hold	
  its	
  political	
  primaries.
In	
  the	
  upcoming	
  Democratic	
  primary,	
  Brian	
  Schatz	
  and	
  Colleen	
  Hanabusa	
  will	
  face	
  each	
  other	
  for	
  the	
  U.S.	
  Senate	
  nomination,	
  
In	
  the	
  upcoming	
  Republican	
  primary,	
  Cam	
  Cavasso	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  the	
  Republican	
  Senate	
  nomination,
Likely	
  Democratic	
  Primary	
  voters	
  =	
  520
Margin	
  of	
  Error	
  =	
  +/-­‐	
  	
  4.3%
Overall
Schatz 44%
Hanabusa 39%
Unsure 16%
Male Female
Schatz 43% 45%
Hanabusa 44% 36%
Unsure 14% 19%
Under	
  50 50	
  or	
  older
Schatz 26% 49%
Hanabusa 48% 38%
Unsure 26% 13%
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
Schatz 45% 51% 46% 35%
Hanabusa 38% 43% 37% 65%
Unsure 17% 6% 16% 0%
Military	
  Family Non-­‐Military	
  Family Refused
Schatz 46% 45% 34%
Hanabusa 40% 35% 51%
Unsure 14% 20% 15%
If	
  you	
  do	
  vote	
  in	
  the	
  Democratic	
  Senate	
  primary	
  between	
  Brian	
  Schatz	
  and	
  Colleen	
  Hanabusa,	
  what	
  would	
  you	
  do?
Union	
  Family Non-­‐Union	
  Family Refused
Schatz 42% 46% 62%
Hanabusa 37% 42% 20%
Unsure 21% 12% 18%
Liberal Moderal Conservative Unsure
Schatz 55% 49% 32% 21%
Hanabusa 26% 38% 52% 61%
Unsure 18% 13% 16% 17%
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed
Schatz 59% 35% 41% 39% 55% 96% 34%
Hanabusa 33% 42% 47% 56% 36% 4% 37%
Unsure 8% 23% 13% 6% 8% 0% 29%
$50,000	
  or	
  less $50,000	
  -­‐	
  $100,000 $100,000	
  or	
  more Refused
Schatz 44% 39% 56% 49%
Hanabusa 43% 38% 40% 34%
Unsure 13% 23% 4% 16%
Oahu Hawaii Maui Kauai
Schatz 45% 39% 47% 45%
Hanabusa 40% 43% 32% 37%
Unsure 15% 18% 20% 19%
CD1 CD2
Schatz 44% 45%
Hanabusa 43% 36%
Unsure 14% 19%
Likely	
  Democratic	
  Primary	
  Voter	
  Demographics
Gender
Male 47%
Female 53%
Age
Under	
  50 24%
50	
  or	
  older 76%
Politics
Liberal/Progressive 36%
Moderate 37%
Conservative 12%
Unsure 14%
Party
Democrat 77%
Republican 5%
Independent 17%
Unsure 2%
Military	
  Family
Yes 65%
No 32%
Refused 3%
Union	
  Family
Yes 39%
No 58%
Refused 4%
Ethnicity
Caucasian 28%
Japanese 27%
Filipino 7%
Hawaiian 7%
Chinese 4%
Hispanic 1%
Other/Mixed 14%
Refused 11%
Income
Less	
  than	
  $50,000 25%
$50,000	
  -­‐	
  $100,000 35%
$100,000	
  or	
  more 23%
Refused 17%
County
Oahu 71%
Hawaii 14%
Maui 11%
Kauai 5%
Congressional	
  	
  District
CD1 52%
CD2 48%

May 2014 senate results (3)

  • 1.
    Sample:  Statewide  Registered  Voters  =  840 May  18  –  19,  2014 Margin  of  Error  =  +/-­‐    3.4% 30%  Cell  Phones,  70%  Landlines In  Hawaii,  if  you  decide  to  vote  in  a  primary,  you  may  choose  between  voting  in  either  the  Democratic  or  Republican  primary—but  not  in  both Neil  Abercrombie  and  David  Ige  will  run  for  Governor,  [in  1st  CD  only  —  and  a  number  of  Democrats  will  run  for  Congress]. Duke  Aiona  will  run  for  Governor,  [in  1st  CD  only  —  and  Charles  Djou  will  run  for  Congress]—each  with  at  least  one  other  Republican  primary  opponent. With  that  in  mind,  what  are  you  most  likely  to  do  in  August? Democratic 63% Republican 23% Other/None 4% Not  sure 11% This  coming  August,  Hawaii  will  hold  its  political  primaries. In  the  upcoming  Democratic  primary,  Brian  Schatz  and  Colleen  Hanabusa  will  face  each  other  for  the  U.S.  Senate  nomination,   In  the  upcoming  Republican  primary,  Cam  Cavasso  will  run  for  the  Republican  Senate  nomination,
  • 2.
    Likely  Democratic  Primary  voters  =  520 Margin  of  Error  =  +/-­‐    4.3% Overall Schatz 44% Hanabusa 39% Unsure 16% Male Female Schatz 43% 45% Hanabusa 44% 36% Unsure 14% 19% Under  50 50  or  older Schatz 26% 49% Hanabusa 48% 38% Unsure 26% 13% Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Schatz 45% 51% 46% 35% Hanabusa 38% 43% 37% 65% Unsure 17% 6% 16% 0% Military  Family Non-­‐Military  Family Refused Schatz 46% 45% 34% Hanabusa 40% 35% 51% Unsure 14% 20% 15% If  you  do  vote  in  the  Democratic  Senate  primary  between  Brian  Schatz  and  Colleen  Hanabusa,  what  would  you  do?
  • 3.
    Union  Family Non-­‐Union  Family Refused Schatz 42% 46% 62% Hanabusa 37% 42% 20% Unsure 21% 12% 18% Liberal Moderal Conservative Unsure Schatz 55% 49% 32% 21% Hanabusa 26% 38% 52% 61% Unsure 18% 13% 16% 17% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Schatz 59% 35% 41% 39% 55% 96% 34% Hanabusa 33% 42% 47% 56% 36% 4% 37% Unsure 8% 23% 13% 6% 8% 0% 29% $50,000  or  less $50,000  -­‐  $100,000 $100,000  or  more Refused Schatz 44% 39% 56% 49% Hanabusa 43% 38% 40% 34% Unsure 13% 23% 4% 16% Oahu Hawaii Maui Kauai Schatz 45% 39% 47% 45% Hanabusa 40% 43% 32% 37% Unsure 15% 18% 20% 19% CD1 CD2 Schatz 44% 45% Hanabusa 43% 36% Unsure 14% 19%
  • 4.
    Likely  Democratic  Primary  Voter  Demographics Gender Male 47% Female 53% Age Under  50 24% 50  or  older 76% Politics Liberal/Progressive 36% Moderate 37% Conservative 12% Unsure 14% Party Democrat 77% Republican 5% Independent 17% Unsure 2% Military  Family Yes 65% No 32% Refused 3% Union  Family Yes 39% No 58% Refused 4%
  • 5.
    Ethnicity Caucasian 28% Japanese 27% Filipino7% Hawaiian 7% Chinese 4% Hispanic 1% Other/Mixed 14% Refused 11% Income Less  than  $50,000 25% $50,000  -­‐  $100,000 35% $100,000  or  more 23% Refused 17% County Oahu 71% Hawaii 14% Maui 11% Kauai 5% Congressional    District CD1 52% CD2 48%