Business Cases
Juan Arangote, CMA
Misconceptions about Business Cases

                 • Excel spreadsheets that show financial aspects of
                      projects (i.e. revenues, costs, investments
                      ROI, payback, etc.

                 • Required by Finance for presentation to decision body




                 • Convoluted documentation and approvals that can be
                      frustrating



                                                                    J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                                Consulting   Business Cases
Why do a business cases analysis?


                                                      $
                                         Time

                                                FTE




                                                ROI


                                                          J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                      Consulting   Business Cases
Define and differentiate
                                             Excel spreadsheets highlighting the
                          Financial models   financials of the project (i.e.
                                             revenues, costs and investments
                                             ROI, payback, etc.)


                                             Working description of a business
                          Business models    (i.e. strategy, SWOT, functions such
                                             as
                                             sales, marketing, production, financ
                                             e).

                           Business cases     Persuasive argument for a particular
                                              action / decision




                                                                      J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                                  Consulting   Business Cases
Align Business Cases
     to Strategy




                                         J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.     Consulting   Business Cases
Sample Strategy Map
                                                           Shareholder Wealth
               Customer Financial



                                       Defend & grow “Stars”                                   Revitalize “weak links”

                                    Acquisition            New product            Rationalize product line         Strategic Partners


                                             Best Value
                                              Customer                            Partnership                          Image
               Business




                                            Emerging mkt                     Customer             Strategic            Reputable
               Process




                                            expansion                        Support              Alliances            Partners


                                            Rewards                        Operational &                            Performance
               People &
               Culture




                                            System                         Technical Skills                         Measurement
                                         •Consistent                     •Nurture innovation                 •Congruent and relevant



                                                                                                                     J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                 Consulting   Business Cases
Benefits

                    • Positive outcomes/impact of business case
                    • Derived from business objective
                    • Each must be validated




                                                                  J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                              Consulting   Business Cases
Types of Benefits
                    • Financial vs Non-Financial
                    • Immediate vs Long-term
                    • Hard vs Soft Benefits
                    • Direct vs Indirect (Societal)




                                                      J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                  Consulting   Business Cases
Costs

          • Resources or activities needed to achieve benefits
          • Derived from action
          • “Fleshed-out” through a cost-influence diagram




                                                             J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                         Consulting   Business Cases
Categories of Costs

            • Financial vs non-financial
            • Cash vs non-cash (i.e. accounting/accrual)
            • Direct vs indirect
            • Start-up vs ongoing




                                                           J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                       Consulting   Business Cases
Are there soft costs?


            • Risks absorbed
            • Employee morale
            • Societal costs (cascaded costs)




                                                J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.            Consulting   Business Cases
Cost Derivation Perspectives



       Resource-based                    Identifies resources that cause cost




           Activity-based                Activities drive use of resources. Suited
                                         for projects where major costs are
                                         personnel.



                                                                           J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                                       Consulting   Business Cases
Business case drivers

          • Drivers are KEY assumptions
          • Influence success/failure of business case
          • May comprise of several assumptions
          • Must be stress-tested
          • NOT ALL ASSUMPTIONS ARE DRIVERS




                                                         J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                     Consulting   Business Cases
Metrics

              • Measures to indicate success
              • Specified at the start of the business case
              • Clearly understand
                      • Elements
                      • Formula
                      • When to measure




                                                              J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                          Consulting   Business Cases
Common Financial Measures

           • Net present value (NPV)
           • Internal rate of return (IRR)
           • Payback period




                                             J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.         Consulting   Business Cases
Special measures
            • Important measures of companies
            • Industry standards




                                                J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.            Consulting   Business Cases
Definition of Risks

            • All Business Cases face risk
            • The chance of an event that impedes realization of
                 objectives
            • What can go wrong!
            • Risk profile can be unique for each company




                                                             J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                         Consulting   Business Cases
Risks Perspective
                      • Internal                                • External




                                         Financial   Customer




                                         Operation   Employee

                      • Controllable                            • Non-
                                                                  controllable



                                                                             J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                                         Consulting   Business Cases
Sensitivity Analysis vs Simulation
                   Sensitivity Analysis          Simulation

           • Change one variable          • Change variables at the
           • Hold others constant           same time
           • Determine impact to          • Determine impact to
             metrics                        metrics
           • Tedious for multiple         • Use software (Crystal Ball
             variables                      or @Risk)
           • Masks critical               • Statistically identifies
             assumptions                    critical assumptions



                                                            J. Arangote    Financial Models
Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved.                        Consulting   Business Cases

Business Case Summary

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Misconceptions about BusinessCases • Excel spreadsheets that show financial aspects of projects (i.e. revenues, costs, investments ROI, payback, etc. • Required by Finance for presentation to decision body • Convoluted documentation and approvals that can be frustrating J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 3.
    Why do abusiness cases analysis? $ Time FTE ROI J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 4.
    Define and differentiate Excel spreadsheets highlighting the Financial models financials of the project (i.e. revenues, costs and investments ROI, payback, etc.) Working description of a business Business models (i.e. strategy, SWOT, functions such as sales, marketing, production, financ e). Business cases Persuasive argument for a particular action / decision J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 5.
    Align Business Cases to Strategy J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 6.
    Sample Strategy Map Shareholder Wealth Customer Financial Defend & grow “Stars” Revitalize “weak links” Acquisition New product Rationalize product line Strategic Partners Best Value Customer Partnership Image Business Emerging mkt Customer Strategic Reputable Process expansion Support Alliances Partners Rewards Operational & Performance People & Culture System Technical Skills Measurement •Consistent •Nurture innovation •Congruent and relevant J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 7.
    Benefits • Positive outcomes/impact of business case • Derived from business objective • Each must be validated J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 8.
    Types of Benefits • Financial vs Non-Financial • Immediate vs Long-term • Hard vs Soft Benefits • Direct vs Indirect (Societal) J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 9.
    Costs • Resources or activities needed to achieve benefits • Derived from action • “Fleshed-out” through a cost-influence diagram J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 10.
    Categories of Costs • Financial vs non-financial • Cash vs non-cash (i.e. accounting/accrual) • Direct vs indirect • Start-up vs ongoing J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 11.
    Are there softcosts? • Risks absorbed • Employee morale • Societal costs (cascaded costs) J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 12.
    Cost Derivation Perspectives Resource-based Identifies resources that cause cost Activity-based Activities drive use of resources. Suited for projects where major costs are personnel. J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 13.
    Business case drivers • Drivers are KEY assumptions • Influence success/failure of business case • May comprise of several assumptions • Must be stress-tested • NOT ALL ASSUMPTIONS ARE DRIVERS J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 14.
    Metrics • Measures to indicate success • Specified at the start of the business case • Clearly understand • Elements • Formula • When to measure J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 15.
    Common Financial Measures • Net present value (NPV) • Internal rate of return (IRR) • Payback period J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 16.
    Special measures • Important measures of companies • Industry standards J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 17.
    Definition of Risks • All Business Cases face risk • The chance of an event that impedes realization of objectives • What can go wrong! • Risk profile can be unique for each company J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 18.
    Risks Perspective • Internal • External Financial Customer Operation Employee • Controllable • Non- controllable J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases
  • 19.
    Sensitivity Analysis vsSimulation Sensitivity Analysis Simulation • Change one variable • Change variables at the • Hold others constant same time • Determine impact to • Determine impact to metrics metrics • Tedious for multiple • Use software (Crystal Ball variables or @Risk) • Masks critical • Statistically identifies assumptions critical assumptions J. Arangote Financial Models Copyright © 2009. All Rights Reserved. Consulting Business Cases