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Predictive Performance Management System(PM 2.0)




                               Balanced Scorecard

                  Vision       Mission      Value      Strategy



                           Financial Intelligence
    People                         Budgeting                           Customer
  intelligence                     Forecasting                        Intelligence
                                  Consolidation

                           Activity based Management



             Process   Sales     Purchase        MFG   Intelligence

     Predictive Analytic Platform+Multi Dimension Database Platform




                                                                                     © 2011 All rights reserved 4
Evolution of Performance Management




                               Predictive
 PM 1.0                                                       PM 2.0
                                Analytic




 Financial                    Operational
Intelligence                                                  PM 2.0
                              Intelligence




                 Process         Customer         People
               intelligence     intelligence   intelligence


                                                                       © 2011 All rights reserved 5
Closed Loop Performance Management
                             Develop the strategy                          Plan the strategy
                        • Mission,values,vision                      •   Strategy map/themes
                        • Strategic analysis                         •   Measures/Targets
                        • Strategy formulatoin                       •   Initiatives portfolios
                                                                     •   Funding/STRATEX


                                                      Strategy Plan
       Test and Adapt            Performance
                                 Measure       • Strategy map                               Align the Organization
  • Profitability analysis                     • Balanced Scorecard
  • Strategy correlations                      • STRATEX                                   • Business units
  • Emerging Strategies                                                                    • Support units
                                                                                           • Employees
                                 Performance                             Results
                                 Measure
                                                     Operating Plan
                                               •   Dashboards
    Monitor and Learn                          •   Sales forecast                                 Plan operations
                                               •   Resource requirement
 • Strategy reviews                            •   Budgets                                  •   Key process improvement
 • Operating reviews                                                                        •   Sales planning
                                                                         Results            •   Resource capacity plan
                                                                                            •   Budgeting

                                                        Execution
                                                           Process
                                                          Initiatives

Source: Robert S. Kaplan ,Execution Premium


                                                                                                               © 2011 All rights reserved 6
Balanced Scorecard - Rolling View


                                                  KPI
                                    • Relative KPI
                                    • Reliable Key Leading
                                      Indicator(KLI)
                                    • Rolling view looking
                                      forward




                                                Visual
                                    • Sparkline to show trend
                                    • Red Traffic light to focus




                                               © 2011 All rights reserved 7
Balanced Scorecard - Actionable Data From Predictive Model

                                                   Actionable Data
                                              • Link From Summary data
                                                to detail actionable top 20
                                                possible to churn
                                                important client




                                                  Predictive Model
                                              • Actionable data come from
                                                reliable predictive model




                                                       © 2011 All rights reserved 8
Reliable Dynamic Rolling Forecast
Let’s focus on the most import number to forecast: Sales



                                                           Biased
                                                           Sandbagged
                      Judgment




                  Predictive Model                     Reliable
                                                       Trustable




                      Judgment

                                                             © 2011 All rights reserved 9
Expense Management – Avoid budget dilemma



                                            We should spend up
 Budget Item    Target                       to 21,999 before
 Marketing      22,000                      year end, otherwise
                                                next year9
 Expense




                                        How can we improve
 Budget Item    Target                        campaign
                                           profitability, can
 Revenue        >=5.3                   response model help?
 /Marketing
 Expense


   Predictive
                Relative KPI
    Model

                                                     © 2011 All rights reserved 10
Customer Intelligence: Life Cycle Customer Value Management

                                                               Established                       Former
           Prospect            Responder                        Customer                        Customer




                                                                           High Value             Voluntary
                                                                                                    Churn
            Target                                     New                   High
                              Responder
            Market                                   Customer               Potential
                                                                                                    Forced
                                                                                Low                 Churn
                                                                               Value




Source: Michael J. A. Berry, Mastering Data Mining: The Art and Science of Customer Relationship Management


                                                                                                        © 2011 All rights reserved 11

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Predictive Performance Management Solutionv.pdf

  • 1. Predictive Performance Management System(PM 2.0) Balanced Scorecard Vision Mission Value Strategy Financial Intelligence People Budgeting Customer intelligence Forecasting Intelligence Consolidation Activity based Management Process Sales Purchase MFG Intelligence Predictive Analytic Platform+Multi Dimension Database Platform © 2011 All rights reserved 4
  • 2. Evolution of Performance Management Predictive PM 1.0 PM 2.0 Analytic Financial Operational Intelligence PM 2.0 Intelligence Process Customer People intelligence intelligence intelligence © 2011 All rights reserved 5
  • 3. Closed Loop Performance Management Develop the strategy Plan the strategy • Mission,values,vision • Strategy map/themes • Strategic analysis • Measures/Targets • Strategy formulatoin • Initiatives portfolios • Funding/STRATEX Strategy Plan Test and Adapt Performance Measure • Strategy map Align the Organization • Profitability analysis • Balanced Scorecard • Strategy correlations • STRATEX • Business units • Emerging Strategies • Support units • Employees Performance Results Measure Operating Plan • Dashboards Monitor and Learn • Sales forecast Plan operations • Resource requirement • Strategy reviews • Budgets • Key process improvement • Operating reviews • Sales planning Results • Resource capacity plan • Budgeting Execution Process Initiatives Source: Robert S. Kaplan ,Execution Premium © 2011 All rights reserved 6
  • 4. Balanced Scorecard - Rolling View KPI • Relative KPI • Reliable Key Leading Indicator(KLI) • Rolling view looking forward Visual • Sparkline to show trend • Red Traffic light to focus © 2011 All rights reserved 7
  • 5. Balanced Scorecard - Actionable Data From Predictive Model Actionable Data • Link From Summary data to detail actionable top 20 possible to churn important client Predictive Model • Actionable data come from reliable predictive model © 2011 All rights reserved 8
  • 6. Reliable Dynamic Rolling Forecast Let’s focus on the most import number to forecast: Sales Biased Sandbagged Judgment Predictive Model Reliable Trustable Judgment © 2011 All rights reserved 9
  • 7. Expense Management – Avoid budget dilemma We should spend up Budget Item Target to 21,999 before Marketing 22,000 year end, otherwise next year9 Expense How can we improve Budget Item Target campaign profitability, can Revenue >=5.3 response model help? /Marketing Expense Predictive Relative KPI Model © 2011 All rights reserved 10
  • 8. Customer Intelligence: Life Cycle Customer Value Management Established Former Prospect Responder Customer Customer High Value Voluntary Churn Target New High Responder Market Customer Potential Forced Low Churn Value Source: Michael J. A. Berry, Mastering Data Mining: The Art and Science of Customer Relationship Management © 2011 All rights reserved 11