Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2004-2008

1. BTS Development
Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and
Numbers: Charts & Tables
2004-2008
[HR.CTD005.V1U1-2009]
Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research
11/4/2009
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos

2. BTS Development
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 4
2
Contents
List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3
Trends & Records .................................................................................................................. 4
Growth ................................................................................................................................... 7
Telkomsel............................................................................................................................... 9
Indosat ................................................................................................................................. 10
Excelcomindo ....................................................................................................................... 12
Telkom.................................................................................................................................. 13
Bakrie Telecom.................................................................................................................... 14
Mobile-8................................................................................................................................ 15
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 16

3. BTS Development
Harewos.Research
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Nov. 4
3
List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 BTS Development over Years (2004-2008) ........................................................... 4
Figure 2 Market Share of Installed BTSs at 2008E............................................................ 5
Figure 3 Market Share of Installed BTSs (2004-2008) – Part 1 ......................................... 6
Figure 4 Market Share of Installed BTSs (2004-2008) – Part 2 ......................................... 6
Table 1 Total Number of BTSs for Each Operator (2004-2008).......................................... 4
Table 2 Percentage of Installed BTSs for Each Operator (2004-2008)............................... 5
Figure Table 1 Growth of Installed BTSs – 7 Operators..................................................... 7
Figure Table 2 Growth of Installed BTSs – with Estimates............................................... 7
Figure Table 3 Growth of Installed BTSs – 7 Operators (AGR & CAGR).......................... 8
Figure Table 4 Growth of Installed BTSs – with Estimates (AGR & CAGR).................... 8
Figure Table 5 TSEL’s BTS Development 2004 – 2008 ...................................................... 9
Figure Table 6 TSEL’s BTS Development Growth – AGR & CAGR .................................. 9
Figure Table 7 ISAT’s BTS Development 2004 – 2008 ..................................................... 10
Figure Table 8 ISAT’s BTS Development Growth – AGR & CAGR ................................. 10
Figure Table 9 ISAT’s FWA BTS Development 2004 – 2008............................................ 11
Figure Table 10 ISAT’s FWA BTS Development Growth – AGR & CAGR...................... 11
Figure Table 11 XL’s BTS Development 2004 – 2008 ....................................................... 12
Figure Table 12 XL’s BTS Development Growth – AGR & CAGR ................................... 12
Figure Table 13 TLKM’s FWA BTS Development 2004 – 2008........................................ 13
Figure Table 14 TLKM’s BTS Development Growth – AGR & CAGR............................. 13
Figure Table 15 BTEL’s BTS Development 2004 – 2008 .................................................. 14
Figure Table 16 BTEL’s BTS Development Growth – AGR & CAGR.............................. 14
Figure Table 17 M-8’s BTS Development 2004 – 2008 ..................................................... 15
Figure Table 18 M-8’s BTS Development Growth – AGR & CAGR ................................. 15

4. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
TSEL
XL
ISAT
ISAT‐FW
TLKM
BTEL
M‐8
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
WA
Table 1 T
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
rch
rvirtual.com
gure 1 BT
2004E
6,205
2,357
4,026
300
1,136
126
366
Total Num
2004E
2
m/harewos
TS Develo
2005
9,895
4,324
5,702
513
1,448
235
429
mber of B
2005E
200
BTS D
Tr
opment ov
E 2
5 1
4
2
8
BTSs for E
06E
2007
Develo
rend
ver Years
2006E
16,057
7,260
7,221
1,018
1,531
408
440
Each Ope
7E
2008E
pment
s & R
s (2004-20
2007E
20,858
11,157
10,760
1,079
1,911
1,200
945
erator (20
t
BTS Devel
Reco
008)
20
26
16
14
1,
4,
2,
1,
004-2008)
M-8
BTEL
TLKM
ISAT-FWA
ISAT
XL
TSEL
lopment
4
rds
008E
6,872
6,729
4,162
,454
,054
,772
,563
)
A

5. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
TSEL
XL
ISAT
ISAT‐FW
TLKM
BTEL
M‐8
Others
Tab
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
WA
ble 2 Perc
Fig
XL
20%
rch
rvirtual.com
2004E
42.7
16.2
27.7
2.1
7.8
0.9
2.5
0.0
centage o
gure 2 Ma
TSEL
33%
ISA
17
m/harewos
2005
42.0
18.4
24.2
2.2
6.1
1.0
1.8
4.2
of Installe
arket Sha
L
%
AT
7%
ISAT
#BT
E 2
ed BTSs f
are of Ins
T-FWA
2% TLKM
5%
Oth
23
TSs - 20
2006E
44.7
20.2
20.1
2.8
4.3
1.1
1.2
5.6
for Each
stalled BT
M
her
3%
008E
2007E
38.7
20.7
20.0
2.0
3.5
2.2
1.8
11.1
Operator
TSs at 200
BTS Devel
20
3
2
1
4
3
1
r (2004-20
08E
lopment
5
008E
32.5
20.3
17.1
1.8
4.9
3.4
1.9
18.2
008)
BTEL
3%
M-8
2%
Others
18%

6. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 3
Figure 4
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
Percentage
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
3 Market
4 Market
2004E
2004E 2
m/harewos
Share of
Share of
2005E
#BT
2005E 20
#BT
Installed
Installed
2006E
TSs Sh
006E 20
TSs Sh
d BTSs (2
d BTSs (2
2007E
hare
07E 200
hare
004-2008)
004-2008)
2008E
08E
BTS Devel
) – Part 1
) – Part 2
TSEL
XL
ISAT
ISAT-FWA
TLKM
BTEL
M-8
lopment
6
L
T
A

7. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figur
Figure
#B
#B
rch
rvirtual.com
re Table 1
Table 2 G
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2004
BTS 14,51
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
200
BTS 14,51
m/harewos
1 Growth
Growth o
2004
200
4 200
16 22,54
#BT
2004
200
4 200
16 23,54
#BT
h of Instal
of Installe
05
2006
5 200
46 33,9
TS Gro
47%
05
2006
05 200
46 35,9
TS Gro
54%
lled BTSs
ed BTSs –
2007
06 200
35 47,9
owth
2007
06 200
35 53,9
owth
G
s – 7 Oper
– with Es
2008
07 200
910 67,6
2008
07 200
910 82,6
BTS Devel
Grow
rators
timates
08
606
08
606
lopment
7
wth

8. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figu
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
ure Table
gure Tab
AG
CA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Percentage
AG
CA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
3 Growth
ble 4 Grow
20
GR 5
AGR 5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
20
GR 6
AGR 6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
m/harewos
h of Insta
wth of Ins
005
5.3
5.3
#BT
005
2.2
2.2
#BT
alled BTS
stalled BT
CAGR)
2006
50.5
52.9
TS Gro
2006
52.6
57.3
TS Gro
Ss – 7 Ope
TSs – wit
2007
41.2
48.9
owth
2007
50.0
54.9
owth
erators (A
th Estima
2
4
4
2
5
5
BTS Devel
AGR & CA
ates (AGR
2008
41.1
46.9
2008
53.2
54.5
lopment
8
AGR)
R &

9. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fi
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
igure Tab
5,00
10,00
15,00
20,00
25,000
30,000
#BTS
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ure Table
ble 6 TSE
0
00
00
00
0
0
0
2004
2004
6,205
2005
59.5
59.5
m/harewos
e 5 TSEL’s
EL’s BTS D
2005
2005
9,895
#BTS
5
BTS
s BTS De
Developm
2006
200
16,0
S Telko
CAGR
2006
62.3
60.9
S Grow
velopmen
ment Gro
2007
06
57 2
omsel
R 44%
200
29.9
49.8
wth
Tel
nt 2004 –
owth – AG
2008
2007
20,858
7
9
8
BTS Devel
lkom
2008
GR & CAG
2008
26,872
2008
28.8
44.3
lopment
9
msel
GR

10. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
igure Tab
2,00
4,00
6,00
8,00
10,00
12,00
14,000
16,000
#BTS
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ure Table
ble 8 ISA
0
00
00
00
00
00
0
0
0
2004
2004
4,026
2005
41.6
41.6
m/harewos
e 7 ISAT’s
AT’s BTS D
2005
2005
5,702
#B
5
BTS
s BTS Dev
Developm
2006
200
7,22
BTS ISA
CAG
2006
26.6
33.9
S Grow
velopmen
ment Grow
2007
06
21 1
AT
GR 37
200
49.0
38.8
wth
I
nt 2004 –
wth – AG
2008
2007
10,760
%
7
0
8
BTS Devel
Indo
2008
GR & CAG
2008
14,162
2008
31.6
37.0
lopment
10
osat
GR

11. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figu
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
re Table
20
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
#BTSs
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
e Table 9
10 ISAT’s
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2004
2004
300
2005
71.0
71.0
m/harewos
ISAT’s FW
s FWA BT
2005
2005
513
#BTS
CA
5
BTS
WA BTS D
TS Develo
2006
200
1,0
S ISAT
AGR 4
2006
98.4
84.2
S Grow
Developm
opment G
2007
06
18
T-FWA
8%
200
6.0
53.2
wth
ment 2004
Growth –
2008
2007
1,079
7
0
2
BTS Devel
4 – 2008
AGR & C
2008
1,454
2008
34.8
48.4
lopment
11
CAGR

12. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
Figure Ta
2,00
4,00
6,00
8,00
10,00
12,00
14,000
16,000
18,000
#BTS
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ure Table
able 12 XL
0
00
00
00
00
00
0
0
0
0
2004
2004
2,357
2005
83.5
83.5
m/harewos
e 11 XL’s
L’s BTS D
2005
2005
4,324
#
5
BTS
BTS Dev
Developm
2006
200
7,26
BTS X
CAGR
2006
67.9
75.5
S Grow
Ex
velopmen
ment Grow
2007
06
60 1
XL
R 63%
200
53.7
67.9
wth
xcelc
nt 2004 – 2
wth – AGR
2008
2007
11,157
7
7
9
BTS Devel
omin
2008
R & CAG
2008
16,729
2008
49.9
63.2
lopment
12
ndo
R

13. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fig
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure T
gure Tabl
50
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
#BTS
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
Table 13 T
le 14 TLK
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2004
2004
1,136
2005
27.5
27.5
m/harewos
TLKM’s F
KM’s BTS
2005
2005
1,448
#BT
C
5
BTS
FWA BTS
S Develop
2006
200
1,53
TS TL
CAGR
2006
5.7
16.1
S Grow
S Develop
pment Gro
2007
06
31
KM
37%
200
24.8
18.9
wth
pment 200
owth – AG
2008
2007
1,911
7
8
9
BTS Devel
Telk
04 – 2008
GR & CA
2008
4,054
2008
112.1
37.4
lopment
13
kom
AGR

14. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fig
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figur
gure Tab
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
#BTS
AGR
CAGR
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
re Table
ble 16 BTE
0
0
0
0
0
2004
2004
126
2005
86.5
86.5
m/harewos
15 BTEL’
EL’s BTS
2005
2005
235
#B
C
5
BTS
’s BTS De
Developm
2006
200
408
TS BT
CAGR
2006
73.6
79.9
S Grow
Bak
evelopme
ment Gro
2007
06
8
TEL
117%
200
194.
112.
wth
krie T
ent 2004 –
owth – AG
2008
2007
1,200
7
.1
.0
BTS Devel
Telec
– 2008
GR & CAG
2008
2,772
2008
131.0
116.6
lopment
14
com
GR

15. No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
#B
Percentage
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
Figure Ta
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
200
BTS 36
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
rch
rvirtual.com
ure Table
ble 18 M-
2004
04
66
2005
17.2
17.2
m/harewos
e 17 M-8’s
-8’s BTS D
2005
2005
429
#BT
CA
20
2
9
BTS G
s BTS Dev
Developm
2006
2006
440
TS M-8
AGR 4
006
.6
.6
Growt
velopmen
ment Grow
2007
200
94
8
44%
2007
114.8
37.2
th
M
nt 2004 –
wth – AG
2008
07
45
20
6
4
BTS Devel
Mobil
2008
GR & CAG
2008
1,563
008
65.4
43.8
lopment
15
le-8
GR

16. BTS Development
Harewos.Research
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Nov. 4
16
Abbreviations & Notes
AGR Annual Growth Rate
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
2008E At the end of year 2008
BTS Base Transceiver Station
FWA Fixed Wireless Access
TLKM PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia / PT. Telkom Indonesia
ISAT PT. Indosat
XL PT. Excelcomindo Pratama
M-8 PT. Mobile-8
BTEL PT. Bakrie Telecom
TSEL PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel)