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Telecom Customer
Bases – Part 1
Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and
Numbers: Charts & Tables
2004-2008
[HR.CTD001.V1U1-2009]
Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research
11/4/2009
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 1
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 4
2
Contents
List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3
FWL vs. FWA vs. Mobile....................................................................................................... 4
Wireline vs. Wireless............................................................................................................. 6
Fixed vs. Mobile..................................................................................................................... 8
Growth ................................................................................................................................. 10
Teledensity........................................................................................................................... 16
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 18
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 1
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 4
3
List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 Telecom Subscribers – FWL, FWA & Mobile (2004-2008) ................................... 4
Figure 2 Market Share of Telecom Subscribers by Type (2004-2008)................................ 5
Figure 3 Market Share of Telecom Subscribers by Type at 2008E .................................... 5
Figure 4 Telecom Subscribers – Wireline & Wireless (2004-2008)..................................... 6
Figure 5 Portion of Wireless Subscribers (2004-2008) ........................................................ 7
Figure 6 Market Share of Subscribers – Wireline & Wireless (2004-2008) ....................... 7
Figure 7 Telecom Subscribers – Fixed & Mobile (2004-2008)............................................. 8
Figure 8 Portion of Mobile Subscribers (2004-2008) ........................................................... 9
Figure 9 Market Share of Subscribers – Mobile & Fixed (2004-2008) ............................... 9
Figure 10 Growth of Telecom Subscribers – All (2004-2008)............................................ 10
Figure 11 Growth of Wireless Subscribers (2004-2008).................................................... 11
Figure 12 Growth of FWL Subscribers (2004-2008).......................................................... 12
Figure 13 Growth of Fixed Subscribers (2004-2008)......................................................... 13
Figure 14 Growth of Mobile Subscribers (2004-2009)....................................................... 14
Figure 15 Growth of FWA Subscribers (2004-2008).......................................................... 15
Figure 16 Growth of FWA Subscribers – AGR & CAGR................................................... 15
Figure 17 Telecom Teledensity (2004-2008) ...................................................................... 16
Figure 18 Wireless Telecom Teledensity (2004-2008)....................................................... 16
Figure 19 Mobile / Cellular Telecom Teledensity (2004-2008).......................................... 17
Figure 20 Fixed Telecom Teledensity (2004-2008)............................................................ 17
Table 1 Number of Telecom Subscribers (2004-2008) ......................................................... 4
Table 2 Percentage of Telecom Subscribers (2004-2008) .................................................... 4
Table 3 Number of Subscribers – Wireline & Wireless (2004-2008) .................................. 6
Table 4 Percentage of Subscribers – Wireline & Wireless (2004-2008).............................. 6
Table 5 Number of Subscribers – Fixed & Mobile (2004-2008) .......................................... 8
Table 6 Percentage of Subscribers – Fixed & Mobile (2004-2008)...................................... 8
Figure Table 1 Growth of Subscribers – All (AGR & CAGR)............................................ 10
Figure Table 2 Growth of Wireless Subscribers – AGR & CAGR..................................... 11
Figure Table 3 Growth of FWL Subscribers – AGR & CAGR........................................... 12
Figure Table 4 Growth of Fixed Subscribers – AGR & CAGR.......................................... 13
Figure Table 5 Growth of Mobile Subscribers – AGR & CAGR........................................ 14
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
 
PSTN/FW
FWA 
Mobile 
 
PSTN/FW
FWA 
Mobile 
1
1
1
1
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 1 T
2
WL 
3
Tab
WL 
Table
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
rch
rvirtual.com
Telecom S
2004E 
8,582,228 
1,684,113 
30,250,415 
le 1 Num
2004E 
21.2 
4.2 
74.7 
e 2 Percen
0
0
0
0
0
PSTN/
m/harewos
FW
Subscribe
2005E
8,710,3
4,819,6
46,587,3
mber of Te
2005E
14.5 
8.0 
77.5 
ntage of T
/FWL
All O
L vs.
ers – FWL
20
385 8
629 6
371 63
elecom Su
20
1
8
Telecom S
FWA
Opera
Telec
. FWA
L, FWA &
006E 
8,738,343
6,102,137
3,803,108
ubscriber
006E 
11.1 
7.8 
81.1 
Subscrib
Mo
ators
com Custom
A vs.
& Mobile (
2007E 
8,717,7
10,811,4
93,387,0
rs (2004-2
2007E 
7.7 
9.6 
82.7 
ers (2004
obile
mer Bases –
. Mob
(2004-200
20
760  8
479  21
019  140
2008)
20
5
1
8
4-2008)
– Part 1
4
bile
8)
008E 
8,674,228
,124,057
0,548,229
008E 
5.1 
12.4 
82.5 
2004E
2005E
2006E
2007E
2008E
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fig
F
MarketPercentage
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
gure 2 Ma
igure 3 M
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
2
MarketPercentage
rch
rvirtual.com
arket Sha
Market Sh
2004E 2
Tele
m/harewos
are of Tel
hare of Te
2005E 2
All O
Mobile
83%
ecom M
lecom Sub
elecom Su
006E 20
Opera
PSTN/F
5%
Marke
2008E
Telec
bscribers
ubscribe
007E 20
ators
FWL
%
FWA
12%
et by T
E
com Custom
s by Type
rs by Typ
008E
Type
mer Bases –
e (2004-20
pe at 2008
PSTN/FW
FWA
Mobile
– Part 1
5
008)
8E
WL
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
 
Wireline
Wireless
Ta
 
Wireless
Wireline
Tab
1
1
1
1
1
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 4 T
2
e 
s  3
able 3 Nu
2
s 
e 
ble 4 Perc
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
180,000,000
rch
rvirtual.com
Telecom S
2004E 
8,582,228 
31,934,528 
umber of
2004E 
78.8 
21.2 
centage o
0
0
0
0
0
0
W
m/harewos
W
Subscribe
2005E
8,710,3
51,407,0
Subscrib
2005E
85.5 
14.5 
of Subscr
Wireline
All O
Wire
ers – Wir
20
385 8
000 69
bers – Wir
20
8
1
ibers – W
Opera
Telec
eline
eline & W
006E 
8,738,343
9,905,245
reline & W
006E 
88.9 
11.1 
Wireline &
Wireless
ators
com Custom
vs. W
Wireless (
2007E 
8,717,7
104,198,4
Wireless (
2007E 
92.3 
7.7 
& Wireles
mer Bases –
Wirel
(2004-2008
20
760  8
498  161
(2004-200
20
9
5
s (2004-20
– Part 1
6
less
8)
008E 
8,674,228
,672,286
08)
008E 
94.9 
5.1 
008)
2004E
2005E
2006E
2007E
2008E
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figur
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
re 6 Mark
78.
2004
rch
rvirtual.com
ure 5 Port
ket Share
.8
4E 2
W
Te
W
m/harewos
tion of W
e of Subsc
85.5
2005E
Wireles
W
lecom
Wirelin
Wireless Su
cribers –
88.9
2006E
ss Port
Wir
9
Wireline
5%
m Mark
ne vs. W
Telec
ubscriber
Wireline
92.3
2007E
tion (%
reless
95%
ket 200
Wirele
com Custom
rs (2004-2
e & Wirele
3 9
E 20
%)
08E
ss
mer Bases –
2008)
ess (2004-
94.9
008E
– Part 1
7
-2008)
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
 
Fixed 
Mobile 
 
Fixed 
Mobile 
T
1
1
1
1
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 7
2
1
3
Table 5 N
2
Table 6 Pe
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
rch
rvirtual.com
7 Telecom
2004E 
10,266,341 
30,250,415 
Number o
2004E 
25.3 
74.7 
ercentage
0
0
0
0
0
m/harewos
m Subscr
2005E
13,530,0
46,587,3
of Subscr
2005E
22.5 
77.5 
e of Subs
Fixed
All O
F
ribers – F
20
014 14
371 63
ribers – F
20
1
8
scribers –
Opera
Telec
Fixe
ixed & M
006E 
4,840,480
3,803,108
Fixed & M
006E 
18.9 
81.1 
– Fixed &
Mobile
ators
com Custom
d vs.
Mobile (20
2007E 
19,529,2
93,387,0
Mobile (20
2007E 
17.3 
82.7 
Mobile (
mer Bases –
. Mob
04-2008)
20
239  29
019  140
004-2008)
20
1
8
2004-2008
– Part 1
8
bile
008E 
9,798,285
0,548,229
008E 
17.5 
82.5 
8)
2004E
2005E
2006E
2007E
2008E
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
gure 9 Ma
74.
2004
rch
rvirtual.com
ure 8 Por
arket Sha
.7
4E 2
M
Te
m/harewos
rtion of M
are of Sub
77.5
2005E
Mobile
Mobile
83%
lecom
Mobi
Mobile Su
bscribers
81.1
2006E
e Porti
m Mark
le vs. F
Telec
ubscriber
s – Mobile
82.7
2007E
ion (%
Fixed
17%
ket 200
Fixed
com Custom
rs (2004-2
e & Fixed
7 8
E 20
%)
08E
mer Bases –
008)
d (2004-20
82.5
008E
– Part 1
9
008)
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
Figure
AG
CA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
10 Growt
Table 1 G
50,000,00
100,000,00
150,000,00
200,000,00
T
20
GR 4
AGR 4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Telec
m/harewos
th of Tele
Growth o
0
00
00
00
0
2004
Telecom
G
005
8.2
8.2
com Su
ecom Sub
f Subscri
2005 200
m Sub
Growth
43%
2006
30.7
39.2
ubscrib
Telec
bscribers
ibers – Al
06 2007
bscribe
h
%
2007
43.5
40.6
ber Gr
com Custom
G
– All (200
ll (AGR &
2008
er
2
5
4
rowth
mer Bases –
Grow
04-2008)
& CAGR)
2008
50.9
43.1
– Part 1
10
wth
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
Figure Ta
AG
CA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
re 11 Gro
able 2 Gro
50,000,00
100,000,00
150,000,00
200,000,00
W
20
GR 6
AGR 6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Wirel
m/harewos
owth of W
owth of W
0
00
00
00
0
2004
Wireles
G
005
1.0
1.0
less Su
Wireless S
Wireless S
2005 200
ss Sub
Growth
50%
2006
36.0
48.0
ubscrib
Telec
Subscribe
Subscribe
06 2007
bscribe
h
%
2007
49.1
48.3
ber Gr
com Custom
ers (2004-
ers – AGR
2008
er
2
5
5
rowth
mer Bases –
-2008)
R & CAGR
2008
55.2
50.0
– Part 1
11
R
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
Figure T
AG
CA
-1
-0
0
0
1
1
2
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
gure 12 G
Table 3 G
8,500,000
8,550,000
8,600,000
8,650,000
8,700,000
8,750,000
FW
20
GR 1
AGR 1
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
FW
m/harewos
Growth of
Growth of
2004 2
WL Sub
005
1.5
1.5
WL Sub
f FWL Sub
f FWL Su
2005 2006
scribe
2006
0.3
0.9
scribe
Telec
bscribers
ubscriber
6
2007
er Gro
2007
-0.2
0.5
er Gro
com Custom
s (2004-20
rs – AGR &
2008
wth
0.3%
2
wth
mer Bases –
008)
& CAGR
2008
-0.5
0.3
– Part 1
12
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
Figure T
AG
CA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ure 13 Gr
Table 4 G
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
Fixe
20
GR 3
AGR 3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Fixe
m/harewos
rowth of
Growth of
0
0
0
0
2004
ed Sub
005
1.8
1.8
ed Sub
Fixed Su
f Fixed Su
2005 200
bscribe
31%
2006
9.7
20.2
bscribe
Telec
ubscriber
ubscriber
6
2007
er Gro
2007
31.6
23.9
er Gro
com Custom
rs (2004-20
rs – AGR
2008
owth
2
5
3
owth
mer Bases –
008)
& CAGR
2008
52.6
30.5
– Part 1
13
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
Figure T
AG
CA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
ure 14 Gr
Table 5 Gr
20,000,00
40,000,00
60,000,00
80,000,00
100,000,00
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
Mob
20
GR 5
AGR 5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Mob
m/harewos
rowth of M
rowth of
0
00
00
00
0
0
0
0
0
2004
ile Sub
005
4.0
4.0
ile Sub
Mobile Su
Mobile S
2005 200
bscrib
47%
2006
37.0
45.2
bscrib
Telec
ubscriber
ubscribe
06 2007
ber Gro
%
2007
46.4
45.6
ber Gro
com Custom
rs (2004-2
ers – AGR
2008
owth
2
5
4
owth
mer Bases –
2009)
R & CAGR
2008
50.5
46.8
– Part 1
14
R
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
Figur
AG
CA
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
gure 15 G
re 16 Gro
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
FWA
20
GR 18
AGR 18
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
FWA
m/harewos
Growth of
owth of FW
0
0
0
0
2004
WA Sub
005
86.2
86.2
A Sub
f FWA Sub
WA Subs
2005 200
bscribe
88%
2006
26.6
90.4
scribe
Telec
bscribers
cribers –
6
2007
er Gro
%
2007
77.2
85.9
er Gro
com Custom
s (2004-20
– AGR & C
2008
wth
2
9
8
wth
mer Bases –
008)
CAGR
2008
95.4
88.2
– Part 1
15
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
18.7
200
14.7
200
rch
rvirtual.com
Figure 1
ure 18 Wi
72%
2
04E
T
(M
76%
2
04E
W
m/harewos
17 Teleco
ireless Te
27.34%
2005E
elecom
Mobile
23.38%
2005E
Wireles
om Telede
elecom Te
35.31%
2006E
m Tele
e+FWA
31.38%
2006E
ss Tele
Telec
ensity (20
eledensit
50.04%
2007E
edensit
A+FWL
46.18%
2007E
edensit
com Custom
Tele
004-2008)
ty (2004-2
%
74.
E 200
ty
L)
%
70.
E 200
ty
mer Bases –
edens
2008)
54%
08E
75%
08E
– Part 1
16
sity
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 1
Fig
13.9
200
3.9
0.7
200
rch
rvirtual.com
19 Mobile
gure 20 F
98%
2
04E
Mobil
97%
78%
04E
F
m/harewos
e / Cellula
Fixed Tele
21.19%
2005E
le / Cel
3.96%
2.19%
2005E
Fixed
PST
ar Teleco
ecom Tel
28.64%
2006E
llular
3.92%
2.7
2006E
Teled
TN/FWL
Telec
m Telede
ledensity
41.39%
2007E
Telede
3.86%
4%
4.79%
2007E
density
FWA
com Custom
ensity (20
(2004-20
%
61.
E 200
ensity
%
3.8
E 200
y
mer Bases –
004-2008)
08)
50%
08E
y
80%
9.24%
08E
– Part 1
17
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 1
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 4
18
Abbreviations & Notes
AGR Annual Growth Rate
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
2008E At the end of year 2008
FWA Fixed Wireless Access
(Limited Mobile Service)
FWL Fixed Wire-Line
(PSTN – Public Switched Telephone Network)

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Telecom Customer Bases – Part 1

  • 1. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 1 Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2004-2008 [HR.CTD001.V1U1-2009] Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research 11/4/2009 http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
  • 2. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 1 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 4 2 Contents List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3 FWL vs. FWA vs. Mobile....................................................................................................... 4 Wireline vs. Wireless............................................................................................................. 6 Fixed vs. Mobile..................................................................................................................... 8 Growth ................................................................................................................................. 10 Teledensity........................................................................................................................... 16 Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 18
  • 3. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 1 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 4 3 List of Figures & Tables Figure 1 Telecom Subscribers – FWL, FWA & Mobile (2004-2008) ................................... 4 Figure 2 Market Share of Telecom Subscribers by Type (2004-2008)................................ 5 Figure 3 Market Share of Telecom Subscribers by Type at 2008E .................................... 5 Figure 4 Telecom Subscribers – Wireline & Wireless (2004-2008)..................................... 6 Figure 5 Portion of Wireless Subscribers (2004-2008) ........................................................ 7 Figure 6 Market Share of Subscribers – Wireline & Wireless (2004-2008) ....................... 7 Figure 7 Telecom Subscribers – Fixed & Mobile (2004-2008)............................................. 8 Figure 8 Portion of Mobile Subscribers (2004-2008) ........................................................... 9 Figure 9 Market Share of Subscribers – Mobile & Fixed (2004-2008) ............................... 9 Figure 10 Growth of Telecom Subscribers – All (2004-2008)............................................ 10 Figure 11 Growth of Wireless Subscribers (2004-2008).................................................... 11 Figure 12 Growth of FWL Subscribers (2004-2008).......................................................... 12 Figure 13 Growth of Fixed Subscribers (2004-2008)......................................................... 13 Figure 14 Growth of Mobile Subscribers (2004-2009)....................................................... 14 Figure 15 Growth of FWA Subscribers (2004-2008).......................................................... 15 Figure 16 Growth of FWA Subscribers – AGR & CAGR................................................... 15 Figure 17 Telecom Teledensity (2004-2008) ...................................................................... 16 Figure 18 Wireless Telecom Teledensity (2004-2008)....................................................... 16 Figure 19 Mobile / Cellular Telecom Teledensity (2004-2008).......................................... 17 Figure 20 Fixed Telecom Teledensity (2004-2008)............................................................ 17 Table 1 Number of Telecom Subscribers (2004-2008) ......................................................... 4 Table 2 Percentage of Telecom Subscribers (2004-2008) .................................................... 4 Table 3 Number of Subscribers – Wireline & Wireless (2004-2008) .................................. 6 Table 4 Percentage of Subscribers – Wireline & Wireless (2004-2008).............................. 6 Table 5 Number of Subscribers – Fixed & Mobile (2004-2008) .......................................... 8 Table 6 Percentage of Subscribers – Fixed & Mobile (2004-2008)...................................... 8 Figure Table 1 Growth of Subscribers – All (AGR & CAGR)............................................ 10 Figure Table 2 Growth of Wireless Subscribers – AGR & CAGR..................................... 11 Figure Table 3 Growth of FWL Subscribers – AGR & CAGR........................................... 12 Figure Table 4 Growth of Fixed Subscribers – AGR & CAGR.......................................... 13 Figure Table 5 Growth of Mobile Subscribers – AGR & CAGR........................................ 14
  • 4. No Harew http:// ov. 4 F   PSTN/FW FWA  Mobile    PSTN/FW FWA  Mobile  1 1 1 1 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 1 T 2 WL  3 Tab WL  Table 0 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 140,000,000 160,000,000 rch rvirtual.com Telecom S 2004E  8,582,228  1,684,113  30,250,415  le 1 Num 2004E  21.2  4.2  74.7  e 2 Percen 0 0 0 0 0 PSTN/ m/harewos FW Subscribe 2005E 8,710,3 4,819,6 46,587,3 mber of Te 2005E 14.5  8.0  77.5  ntage of T /FWL All O L vs. ers – FWL 20 385 8 629 6 371 63 elecom Su 20 1 8 Telecom S FWA Opera Telec . FWA L, FWA & 006E  8,738,343 6,102,137 3,803,108 ubscriber 006E  11.1  7.8  81.1  Subscrib Mo ators com Custom A vs. & Mobile ( 2007E  8,717,7 10,811,4 93,387,0 rs (2004-2 2007E  7.7  9.6  82.7  ers (2004 obile mer Bases – . Mob (2004-200 20 760  8 479  21 019  140 2008) 20 5 1 8 4-2008) – Part 1 4 bile 8) 008E  8,674,228 ,124,057 0,548,229 008E  5.1  12.4  82.5  2004E 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E
  • 5. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fig F MarketPercentage wos.Resear /www.ligar gure 2 Ma igure 3 M 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 2 MarketPercentage rch rvirtual.com arket Sha Market Sh 2004E 2 Tele m/harewos are of Tel hare of Te 2005E 2 All O Mobile 83% ecom M lecom Sub elecom Su 006E 20 Opera PSTN/F 5% Marke 2008E Telec bscribers ubscribe 007E 20 ators FWL % FWA 12% et by T E com Custom s by Type rs by Typ 008E Type mer Bases – e (2004-20 pe at 2008 PSTN/FW FWA Mobile – Part 1 5 008) 8E WL
  • 6. No Harew http:// ov. 4 F   Wireline Wireless Ta   Wireless Wireline Tab 1 1 1 1 1 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 4 T 2 e  s  3 able 3 Nu 2 s  e  ble 4 Perc 0 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 140,000,000 160,000,000 180,000,000 rch rvirtual.com Telecom S 2004E  8,582,228  31,934,528  umber of 2004E  78.8  21.2  centage o 0 0 0 0 0 0 W m/harewos W Subscribe 2005E 8,710,3 51,407,0 Subscrib 2005E 85.5  14.5  of Subscr Wireline All O Wire ers – Wir 20 385 8 000 69 bers – Wir 20 8 1 ibers – W Opera Telec eline eline & W 006E  8,738,343 9,905,245 reline & W 006E  88.9  11.1  Wireline & Wireless ators com Custom vs. W Wireless ( 2007E  8,717,7 104,198,4 Wireless ( 2007E  92.3  7.7  & Wireles mer Bases – Wirel (2004-2008 20 760  8 498  161 (2004-200 20 9 5 s (2004-20 – Part 1 6 less 8) 008E  8,674,228 ,672,286 08) 008E  94.9  5.1  008) 2004E 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E
  • 7. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Figur wos.Resear /www.ligar Figu re 6 Mark 78. 2004 rch rvirtual.com ure 5 Port ket Share .8 4E 2 W Te W m/harewos tion of W e of Subsc 85.5 2005E Wireles W lecom Wirelin Wireless Su cribers – 88.9 2006E ss Port Wir 9 Wireline 5% m Mark ne vs. W Telec ubscriber Wireline 92.3 2007E tion (% reless 95% ket 200 Wirele com Custom rs (2004-2 e & Wirele 3 9 E 20 %) 08E ss mer Bases – 2008) ess (2004- 94.9 008E – Part 1 7 -2008)
  • 8. No Harew http:// ov. 4   Fixed  Mobile    Fixed  Mobile  T 1 1 1 1 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 7 2 1 3 Table 5 N 2 Table 6 Pe 0 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 140,000,000 160,000,000 rch rvirtual.com 7 Telecom 2004E  10,266,341  30,250,415  Number o 2004E  25.3  74.7  ercentage 0 0 0 0 0 m/harewos m Subscr 2005E 13,530,0 46,587,3 of Subscr 2005E 22.5  77.5  e of Subs Fixed All O F ribers – F 20 014 14 371 63 ribers – F 20 1 8 scribers – Opera Telec Fixe ixed & M 006E  4,840,480 3,803,108 Fixed & M 006E  18.9  81.1  – Fixed & Mobile ators com Custom d vs. Mobile (20 2007E  19,529,2 93,387,0 Mobile (20 2007E  17.3  82.7  Mobile ( mer Bases – . Mob 04-2008) 20 239  29 019  140 004-2008) 20 1 8 2004-2008 – Part 1 8 bile 008E  9,798,285 0,548,229 008E  17.5  82.5  8) 2004E 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E
  • 9. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fig wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig gure 9 Ma 74. 2004 rch rvirtual.com ure 8 Por arket Sha .7 4E 2 M Te m/harewos rtion of M are of Sub 77.5 2005E Mobile Mobile 83% lecom Mobi Mobile Su bscribers 81.1 2006E e Porti m Mark le vs. F Telec ubscriber s – Mobile 82.7 2007E ion (% Fixed 17% ket 200 Fixed com Custom rs (2004-2 e & Fixed 7 8 E 20 %) 08E mer Bases – 008) d (2004-20 82.5 008E – Part 1 9 008)
  • 10. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure Figure AG CA 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Percentage rch rvirtual.com 10 Growt Table 1 G 50,000,00 100,000,00 150,000,00 200,000,00 T 20 GR 4 AGR 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Telec m/harewos th of Tele Growth o 0 00 00 00 0 2004 Telecom G 005 8.2 8.2 com Su ecom Sub f Subscri 2005 200 m Sub Growth 43% 2006 30.7 39.2 ubscrib Telec bscribers ibers – Al 06 2007 bscribe h % 2007 43.5 40.6 ber Gr com Custom G – All (200 ll (AGR & 2008 er 2 5 4 rowth mer Bases – Grow 04-2008) & CAGR) 2008 50.9 43.1 – Part 1 10 wth
  • 11. No Harew http:// ov. 4 F wos.Resear /www.ligar Figu Figure Ta AG CA 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Percentage rch rvirtual.com re 11 Gro able 2 Gro 50,000,00 100,000,00 150,000,00 200,000,00 W 20 GR 6 AGR 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Wirel m/harewos owth of W owth of W 0 00 00 00 0 2004 Wireles G 005 1.0 1.0 less Su Wireless S Wireless S 2005 200 ss Sub Growth 50% 2006 36.0 48.0 ubscrib Telec Subscribe Subscribe 06 2007 bscribe h % 2007 49.1 48.3 ber Gr com Custom ers (2004- ers – AGR 2008 er 2 5 5 rowth mer Bases – -2008) R & CAGR 2008 55.2 50.0 – Part 1 11 R
  • 12. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig Figure T AG CA -1 -0 0 0 1 1 2 Percentage rch rvirtual.com gure 12 G Table 3 G 8,500,000 8,550,000 8,600,000 8,650,000 8,700,000 8,750,000 FW 20 GR 1 AGR 1 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 FW m/harewos Growth of Growth of 2004 2 WL Sub 005 1.5 1.5 WL Sub f FWL Sub f FWL Su 2005 2006 scribe 2006 0.3 0.9 scribe Telec bscribers ubscriber 6 2007 er Gro 2007 -0.2 0.5 er Gro com Custom s (2004-20 rs – AGR & 2008 wth 0.3% 2 wth mer Bases – 008) & CAGR 2008 -0.5 0.3 – Part 1 12
  • 13. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig Figure T AG CA 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Percentage rch rvirtual.com ure 13 Gr Table 4 G 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 Fixe 20 GR 3 AGR 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Fixe m/harewos rowth of Growth of 0 0 0 0 2004 ed Sub 005 1.8 1.8 ed Sub Fixed Su f Fixed Su 2005 200 bscribe 31% 2006 9.7 20.2 bscribe Telec ubscriber ubscriber 6 2007 er Gro 2007 31.6 23.9 er Gro com Custom rs (2004-20 rs – AGR 2008 owth 2 5 3 owth mer Bases – 008) & CAGR 2008 52.6 30.5 – Part 1 13
  • 14. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figu Figure T AG CA 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Percentage rch rvirtual.com ure 14 Gr Table 5 Gr 20,000,00 40,000,00 60,000,00 80,000,00 100,000,00 120,000,000 140,000,000 160,000,000 Mob 20 GR 5 AGR 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mob m/harewos rowth of M rowth of 0 00 00 00 0 0 0 0 0 2004 ile Sub 005 4.0 4.0 ile Sub Mobile Su Mobile S 2005 200 bscrib 47% 2006 37.0 45.2 bscrib Telec ubscriber ubscribe 06 2007 ber Gro % 2007 46.4 45.6 ber Gro com Custom rs (2004-2 ers – AGR 2008 owth 2 5 4 owth mer Bases – 2009) R & CAGR 2008 50.5 46.8 – Part 1 14 R
  • 15. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig Figur AG CA 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Percentage rch rvirtual.com gure 15 G re 16 Gro 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 FWA 20 GR 18 AGR 18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 FWA m/harewos Growth of owth of FW 0 0 0 0 2004 WA Sub 005 86.2 86.2 A Sub f FWA Sub WA Subs 2005 200 bscribe 88% 2006 26.6 90.4 scribe Telec bscribers cribers – 6 2007 er Gro % 2007 77.2 85.9 er Gro com Custom s (2004-20 – AGR & C 2008 wth 2 9 8 wth mer Bases – 008) CAGR 2008 95.4 88.2 – Part 1 15
  • 16. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figu 18.7 200 14.7 200 rch rvirtual.com Figure 1 ure 18 Wi 72% 2 04E T (M 76% 2 04E W m/harewos 17 Teleco ireless Te 27.34% 2005E elecom Mobile 23.38% 2005E Wireles om Telede elecom Te 35.31% 2006E m Tele e+FWA 31.38% 2006E ss Tele Telec ensity (20 eledensit 50.04% 2007E edensit A+FWL 46.18% 2007E edensit com Custom Tele 004-2008) ty (2004-2 % 74. E 200 ty L) % 70. E 200 ty mer Bases – edens 2008) 54% 08E 75% 08E – Part 1 16 sity
  • 17. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 1 Fig 13.9 200 3.9 0.7 200 rch rvirtual.com 19 Mobile gure 20 F 98% 2 04E Mobil 97% 78% 04E F m/harewos e / Cellula Fixed Tele 21.19% 2005E le / Cel 3.96% 2.19% 2005E Fixed PST ar Teleco ecom Tel 28.64% 2006E llular 3.92% 2.7 2006E Teled TN/FWL Telec m Telede ledensity 41.39% 2007E Telede 3.86% 4% 4.79% 2007E density FWA com Custom ensity (20 (2004-20 % 61. E 200 ensity % 3.8 E 200 y mer Bases – 004-2008) 08) 50% 08E y 80% 9.24% 08E – Part 1 17
  • 18. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 1 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 4 18 Abbreviations & Notes AGR Annual Growth Rate CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate 2008E At the end of year 2008 FWA Fixed Wireless Access (Limited Mobile Service) FWL Fixed Wire-Line (PSTN – Public Switched Telephone Network)