Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2004-2009

1. Internet Services
Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and
Numbers: Charts & Tables
2004-2009
[HR.CTD012.V1U1-2009]
Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research
11/21/2009
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos

2. 2
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Harewos.Research
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Contents
List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3
Legacy / Non-Mobile Market................................................................................................. 4
Mobile & Non-Mobile Market ............................................................................................... 6
APJII Numbers – Comparison............................................................................................ 10
Growth ................................................................................................................................. 12
Telkom DSL ......................................................................................................................... 15
Telkom Dial-Up ................................................................................................................... 16
First Media .......................................................................................................................... 17
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 18

3. 3
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List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 Legacy / Non-Mobile Internet Subscribers 2004-2009 ......................................... 4
Figure 2 Portion of Subscribers of Legacy Internet Market 2009 ...................................... 5
Figure 3 Portions of Legacy Internet Market 2004-2009.................................................... 5
Figure 4 Legacy & Mobile Internet Intensive (MI-I) Subscribers ...................................... 6
Figure 5 Portion / Composition of Legacy & MI-I Market .................................................. 6
Figure 6 Composition of Internet Market 2009 (Legacy & MI-I)........................................ 7
Figure 7 Legacy & Mobile Internet (MI) Subscribers.......................................................... 8
Figure 8 Portion / Composition of Legacy & MI Market ..................................................... 8
Figure 9 Composition of Internet Market 2009 (Legacy & MI) .......................................... 9
Figure 10 Comparison of APJII’s & Recordable Legacy Internet Subscribers ................ 10
Figure 11 Comparison of APJII’s & Compound MII+Legacy Internet Subscribers ........ 10
Figure 12 Comparison of APJII’s & Compound MI+Legacy Internet Subscribers.......... 11
Table 1 Legacy / Non-Mobile Internet Subscribers 2004-2009 ........................................... 4
Table 2 Portion / Percentage of Legacy Internet Market.................................................... 4
Table 3 Number of Subscribers of Legacy Internet, MI, and MI-I Market........................ 7
Figure Table 1 Growth of Compound MII+Legacy Internet Subscribers......................... 12
Figure Table 2 Growth of MII+Legacy Subscribers (AGR & CAGR)................................ 12
Figure Table 3 Growth of Compound MI+Legacy Internet Subscribers .......................... 13
Figure Table 4 Growth of MI+Legacy Subscribers (AGR & CAGR)................................. 13
Figure Table 5 Growth of Legacy Internet Subscribers .................................................... 14
Figure Table 6 Growth of Legacy Subscribers (AGR & CAGR)........................................ 14
Figure Table 7 Growth TLKM’s DSL Subscribers 2004-2009........................................... 15
Figure Table 8 Growth of TLKM’s DSL Subs. (AGR & CAGR) ........................................ 15
Figure Table 9 Growth TLKM’s Dial-Up Subscribers 2004-2009..................................... 16
Figure Table 10 Growth of TLKM’s Dial-Up Subs. (AGR & CAGR) ................................ 16
Figure Table 11 Growth of First Media Subscribers 2007-2009....................................... 17
Figure Table 12 Growth of First Media Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) .............................. 17

4. Harew
http://
TLKM DS
TLKM D
Others
TLKM DS
TLKM D
Others
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 1
SL
ial‐Up
Table 1
SL
ial‐Up
Table
50
1,00
1,50
2,000
2,500
I
rch
rvirtual.com
Leg
Legacy /
2004E
11,000
457,000
400,000
Legacy /
2004E
1.27
52.65
46.08
2 Portion
0
00,000
00,000
00,000
0,000
0,000
20
Intern
TL
m/harewos
gacy /
/ Non-Mob
2005E
31,000
500,000
440,000
Non-Mob
2005E
3.19
51.49
45.31
n / Percen
04E 2005E
net Sub
LKM DSL
/ Non
bile Inter
2006E
93,000
680,000
470,000
bile Inter
2006E
7.48
54.71
37.81
ntage of L
E
2006E
2
bscrib
TLKM Di
n-Mo
rnet Subs
2007E
241,00
662,00
500,00
net Subs
2007E
17.18
47.18
35.64
Legacy In
2007E
200
bers - L
ial-Up O
obile
scribers 2
E 200
0 645,
0 574,
0 550,
cribers 2
E 200
36.
32.
31.
nternet M
8E
2009No
Legacy
Others
Internet S
Mar
2004-2009
08E 20
000 97
000 50
000 62
2004-2009
08E 20
46 4
45 2
09 2
Market
ov
y
4
Services
ket
9
009Nov
79,000
00,000
20,000
009Nov
46.64
23.82
29.54

5. Harew
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F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 2 P
Figur
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
Percentage
M
rch
rvirtual.com
Portion of
re 3 Porti
T
Oth
29
Mar
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Marke
m/harewos
f Subscri
ions of Le
TLKM Dial-
Up
24%
hers
9%
rket Co
t Com
ibers of L
egacy Int
-
ompos
mpositi
Legacy In
ernet Ma
TL
sition
ion 200
nternet M
arket 2004
LKM DSL
47%
2009
04-200
TLKM
TLKM
Othe
Internet S
Market 200
4-2009
9
M DSL
M Dial-Up
ers
5
Services
09

6. Harew
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F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 4 L
Figure
1,
2,
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
2
rch
rvirtual.com
Mob
Legacy &
e 5 Portio
0
,000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
Le
91.9%
8.1%
2007E
Mark
m/harewos
bile &
Mobile I
on / Comp
2007E
egacy &
ket Com
L
L
& Non
nternet I
position o
2008E
& MI-I
70.2%
29.8%
2008E
mposit
Legacy
Legacy
n-Mo
Intensive
of Legacy
2009Nov
I Mark
tion: M
y
MI-I
obile
e (MI-I) Su
y & MI-I M
ket
M
L
32.8%
67.2%
2009N
MI-I &
Internet S
Mar
ubscriber
Market
MI-I
Legacy
%
%
ov
6
Services
ket
rs

7. Harew
http://
F
Legacy
MI‐I
MI
Table
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 6
e 3 Numb
rch
rvirtual.com
Composit
1,
1
2,
ber of Sub
m/harewos
tion of In
2007E
,403,000
122,843
,764,746
bscribers
MI-I
67%
Comp
MI-I
nternet M
of Legac
osition
I & Leg
Market 20
2008E
1,769,000
750,939
5,875,528
cy Interne
Legacy
33%
n 2009
gacy
09 (Legac
et, MI, an
9
Internet S
cy & MI-I
2009No
2,099,00
4,295,24
10,836,6
nd MI-I M
7
Services
I)
ov
00
49
67
Market

8. Harew
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wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figu
Figur
2
4
6
8
10
12,
14,
2
rch
rvirtual.com
ure 7 Leg
re 8 Porti
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
L
33.7%
66.3%
2007E
Mark
m/harewos
acy & Mo
ion / Com
2007E
Legacy
ket Co
L
obile Inte
mposition
2008E
y & MI
23.1%
76.9%
2008E
omposi
Legacy
Legacy
ernet (MI
of Legac
2009Nov
Mark
ition: M
y
MI
) Subscri
cy & MI M
et
M
L
16.2%
83.8%
2009N
MI &
Internet S
ibers
Market
MI
Legacy
%
%
ov
8
Services

9. Harew
http://
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 9
rch
rvirtual.com
Compos
m/harewos
ition of I
MI
84%
Comp
MI
nternet M
Le
%
osition
& Leg
Market 20
egacy
16%
n 2009
gacy
009 (Lega
9
Internet S
acy & MI)
9
Services
)

10. Harew
http://
F
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
A
Figure 10
gure 11 Co
1,087,
868,0
2004
rch
rvirtual.com
APJI
Compari
ompariso
,428
1,500
000 971,
4E 200
2,000,000
1,525,843
2007E
m/harewos
I Nu
ison of AP
S
on of APJ
S
0,000
1,700
000
1,243
5E 200
A
APJ
mbe
PJII’s & R
ubscribe
JII’s & Co
ubscribe
0,000
2,000
3,000
1,40
06E 20
APJII
3,000,000
2,519,939
2008E
JII Le
rs – C
Recordab
rs
ompound
rs
0,000
3,00
03,000
1,76
07E 20
Legacy
6,394
egacy+MII
Comp
ble Legac
MII+Leg
00,000
3,5
69,000
2,0
008E 20
3,500,000
,249
2009E
Internet S
paris
cy Interne
gacy Inter
00,000
99,000
009E
0
10
Services
son
et
rnet

11. Harew
http://
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
gure 12 C
rch
rvirtual.com
ompariso
2,000,000
4,167,746
2007E
m/harewos
on of APJ
S
7
APJ
JII’s & Co
ubscribe
3,000,000
7,644,528
2008E
JII Le
ompound
rs
egacy+MI
d MI+Lega
3,500,000
12,935,66
2009E
Internet S
acy Inter
0
7
11
Services
rnet

12. Harew
http://
Figur
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
re Table
gure Tab
1
2
3
4
5,
6,
7,
#Su
A
1
1
1
1
1
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
1 Growth
ble 2 Grow
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
ubs. 1,5
#Subs
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
#Subs
m/harewos
h of Comp
wth of MI
2007
2007
525,843
scribe
2008
65.2
65.2
scribe
pound MI
II+Legacy
2008
200
2,519
ers - Le
105%
8
2
2
rs - Le
II+Legac
y Subscri
8
2
08
9,939
egacy
%
egacy
G
cy Interne
ibers (AG
2009
2009
6,394,24
& MII
2009
153.7
104.7
& MII
Internet S
Grow
et Subscr
GR & CAG
9
12
Services
wth
ribers
GR)

13. Harew
http://
Figu
Fi
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
ure Table
igure Tab
2
4
6,
8,
10,
12,0
14,0
#Sub
A
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
3 Growth
ble 4 Grow
0
2,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
000,000
000,000
2
bs. 4,1
#Sub
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
#Sub
m/harewos
h of Com
wth of MI
2007
2007
67,746
bscribe
2008
83.4
83.4
bscribe
mpound M
I+Legacy
2008
200
7,644
ers - L
76%
8
4
4
ers - Le
MI+Legacy
y Subscrib
8
08
4,528
egacy
%
egacy
y Interne
bers (AG
2009
2009
12,935,6
& MI
2009
69.2
76.2
& MI
Internet S
et Subscri
R & CAG
667
13
Services
ibers
GR)

14. Harew
http://
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figur
Figure T
5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,50
#Sub
A
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
re Table 5
Table 6 Gr
0
500,000
000,000
500,000
00,000
00,000
2
bs. 1,4
#S
AGR
CAGR
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
#S
m/harewos
5 Growth
rowth of
2007
2007
403,000
Subscr
2008
26.1
26.1
Subscr
h of Legac
Legacy S
2008
200
1,769
ribers
22%
8
1
1
ribers
cy Intern
Subscribe
2
08
9,000
- Lega
%
- Lega
net Subscr
ers (AGR
2009
2009
2,099,00
acy
2009
18.7
22.3
acy
Internet S
ribers
& CAGR)
00
14
Services
)

15. Harew
http://
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
Figure T
1,0
#Su
A
1
1
2
2
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
Table 7 G
Table 8 G
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
000,000
2004
ubs. 11,000
#Sub
2
AGR 18
CAGR 18
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
#Sub
m/harewos
Growth T
Growth of
2004 2005
4 2005
0 31,000
bscrib
005 2
81.8 20
81.8 19
bscrib
TLKM’s D
f TLKM’s
5 2006 2
2006
93,000
bers - T
145%
006 2
00.0 1
90.8 1
bers - T
T
SL Subsc
DSL Sub
2007 200
2007
241,000 6
TLKM
%
2007 2
59.1 1
79.8 1
TLKM
Telko
cribers 20
bs. (AGR &
8
2009
2008 2
645,000 97
DSL
2008 2
67.6 5
76.7 1
DSL
Internet S
om D
004-2009
& CAGR)
2009
9,000
2009
1.78
45.4
15
Services
DSL

16. Harew
http://
F
Fi
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure Ta
igure Tab
4
5
6
7
#S
A
Percentage
#
rch
rvirtual.com
able 9 Gr
ble 10 Gr
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
2
2004
ubs. 457,00
#Sub
2
AGR 9
CAGR 9
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
#Subs
m/harewos
rowth TLK
owth of T
2004 2005
4 2005
00 500,000
bscrib
005 2
9.4 3
9.4 2
scriber
KM’s Dia
TLKM’s D
5 2006 2
2006
0 680,000
ers - T
Up
006 2
36.0 -
22.0 1
rs - TL
Telk
al-Up Sub
Dial-Up Su
007 2008
2007
662,000 5
TLKM
2007 2
-2.6 -1
13.1
LKM D
kom D
bscribers
ubs. (AGR
2009
2008 2
574,000 500
Dial-
2%
2008 2
13.3 -1
5.9
Dial-Up
Internet S
Dial-
2004-2009
R & CAG
009
0,000
2009
12.89
1.8
p
16
Services
-Up
9
R)

17. Harew
http://
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure T
gure Tabl
1
12
14
16
#Su
A
1
1
1
1
1
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
Table 11 G
le 12 Gro
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
00,000
20,000
40,000
60,000
ubs. 4
#Sub
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
#Sub
m/harewos
Growth of
wth of Fi
2007
2007
40,991
bscribe
94
2008
168.4
168.4
bscribe
f First Me
irst Medi
2008
200
110,0
ers - F
4%
8
4
4
ers - F
edia Subs
a Subscr
20
08
000
First M
First M
First
scribers 2
ibers (AG
009
2009
155,000
Media
2009
40.9
94.5
Media
Internet S
t Me
2007-2009
GR & CAG
0
17
Services
dia
9
GR)

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Abbreviations & Notes
AGR Annual Growth Rate
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
2008E End of 2008
2009Nov As of November 2009
MI Mobile Internet
i.e. Internet access via cellular & FWA networks
MI-I Mobile Internet - Intensive
FWA Fixed Wireless Access
DSL Digital Subscriber Line
APJII
Asosiasi Penyelenggara Jasa Internet Indonesia
i.e. Indonesian Internet Service Provider Association
TLKM PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (PT. Telkom)